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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The government needs to sort out the PPE issues or it will be

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  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    edited April 2020


    Within the UK the big urban areas have been hit the hardest as well. Geography matters at least as much as policy.

    Seems so. The difference between western and eastern Europe is pretty stark in particular - yes, some aren't testing much, but others are. eg Lithuania has done Germany style testing but has a quarter of their deaths per capita. Latvia the same with testing, with less than 1/10th the death rate.




  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,935
    Seems like they are covering all the bases there. Sensible. :)
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,435
    glw said:

    Given that we were two weeks behind Italy, so we had extra time to prepare, react and take action, I think it's a monumental failure that we ended up with more deaths in a single day.

    The deaths on a single day simply do not matter. They aren't even deaths from that day, but instead they are an accumulation of reports that were counted on the same day.

    What matters is where we stand in 18-24 months time when hopefully we are vaccinating the population. You can drive the fastest lap in a grand prix and still lose the race, of even fail to finish.
    We don't know where we'll end up in 18-24 months time. We can only make judgements now on the basis of the information we have now. The daily deaths tally is the best information we have now and my judgement is that it shows that our political leadership have squandered the advantages the country had. I want to see some evidence that they realise that they've fallen short, and how they are going to do better. Or we need new leadership.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,837
    nichomar said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    eristdoof said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    kle4 said:

    Seems like virtually the only major European country that has done anything right, to read that, given how events have proceeded.
    Yet Germany failed to contain the virus. It seemed more important for the authorities here not to inconvenience people going on skiing holidays than to seriously try to contain a deadly epidemic. Germany seeming so far to be doing a bit better than Britain isn't saying much. All the major European governments have been disappointing.


    And why is Hammond indulging in lazy stereotypes? Not helpful, or funny if it's supposed to be a joke.

    Taiwan looks to be doing the best so far.
    New Zealand too. The message 'We go hard, we go early', very All Blacks. Didn't wait until people wanted to close things down, did it well before they'd even thought about it. As Jacinda Ardern said "“A strategy that sacrifices people in favour of supposedly a better economic outcome is a false dichotomy and has been shown to produce the worst of both worlds: loss of life and prolonged economic pain,”

    Clear, forceful, truthful, compassionate.
    New Zealand is doing relatively well, but still worse than Taiwan (276 cases per million against 16 cases per million). New Zealand also had the advantage of seeing what was happening in other countries which I'm not sure they really made the most of.
    The UK had that advantage too. Then we wasted at least a week before locking down. Leaders lead, they don't wait for the people to agree with them. NZ did that and they closed the borders as well, all things which the UK refused to do because they thought people wouldn't like it.
    The population density of NZ is also only twice that of the Scottish Highlands... what we call 'social-distancing measures' here is what they call Tuesday.
    But not over the whole of the country. Auckland has 1.5 times the population of Birmingham. It is not as densley packed, but it is still a large city.
    New Zealand is thousands of miles from anywhere, it is not a valid comparison
    What about Ireland?
    There is a common theme that the countries that have been hit hardest have multiple big cities (US, Italy, Spain, France, UK, Netherlands) whereas countries with less population density like Ireland, Greece, NZ, Norway, Finland have been hit less.

    Within the UK the big urban areas have been hit the hardest as well. Geography matters at least as much as policy.
    What explains Cumbria though?
    Is it particularly unusual, sounds like about 1% of the UK deaths and 0.8% of the UK population so worse than youd expect but quite possibly just random variations?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,218
    RobD said:

    Seems like they are covering all the bases there. Sensible. :)
    The Dan Hannan one about the return of bowing and curtseying has to win some kind of prize.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,908

    "Invisible Enemy"

    Dude, we can totally see you.

    — Stay-at-Home Jedi (@JediCounselor) April 12, 2020
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,381
    If this is winning, I would hate to see what losing looks like!
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751
    HYUFD said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    eristdoof said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    kle4 said:

    Seems like virtually the only major European country that has done anything right, to read that, given how events have proceeded.
    Yet Germany failed to contain the virus. It seemed more important for the authorities here not to inconvenience people going on skiing holidays than to seriously try to contain a deadly epidemic. Germany seeming so far to be doing a bit better than Britain isn't saying much. All the major European governments have been disappointing.


    And why is Hammond indulging in lazy stereotypes? Not helpful, or funny if it's supposed to be a joke.

    Taiwan looks to be doing the best so far.
    New Zealand too. The message 'We go hard, we go early', very All Blacks. Didn't wait until people wanted to close things down, did it well before they'd even thought about it. As Jacinda Ardern said "“A strategy that sacrifices people in favour of supposedly a better economic outcome is a false dichotomy and has been shown to produce the worst of both worlds: loss of life and prolonged economic pain,”

    Clear, forceful, truthful, compassionate.
    New Zealand is doing relatively well, but still worse than Taiwan (276 cases per million against 16 cases per million). New Zealand also had the advantage of seeing what was happening in other countries which I'm not sure they really made the most of.
    The UK had that advantage too. Then we wasted at least a week before locking down. Leaders lead, they don't wait for the people to agree with them. NZ did that and they closed the borders as well, all things which the UK refused to do because they thought people wouldn't like it.
    The population density of NZ is also only twice that of the Scottish Highlands... what we call 'social-distancing measures' here is what they call Tuesday.
    But not over the whole of the country. Auckland has 1.5 times the population of Birmingham. It is not as densley packed, but it is still a large city.
    New Zealand is thousands of miles from anywhere, it is not a valid comparison
    What about Ireland?
    Ireland has 1955 cases per million, the UK has 1241
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
    If we'd been testing less, we could have had half that number!

    How stupid we are to be doing so much testing.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,837
    No wonder people have bizarre views if this is what mainstream serious news are reporting. This site keeps us far better informed than any mainstream press imo.

    The return of the bow and curtsy would not be a silver lining to coronavirus.....
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    edited April 2020

    If this is winning, I would hate to see what losing looks like!
    To be fair to Trump the US is now testing for Covid 19 at a faster rate than France, Spain and us and the US has a lower death rate at the moment than France, Spain, Italy, Switzerland, Belgium, the Netherlands, Ireland, Sweden, Luxembourg, San Marino, Andorra, Sint Marteen and us.
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,205

    ukpaul said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    kle4 said:

    Seems like virtually the only major European country that has done anything right, to read that, given how events have proceeded.
    Yet Germany failed to contain the virus. It seemed more important for the authorities here not to inconvenience people going on skiing holidays than to seriously try to contain a deadly epidemic. Germany seeming so far to be doing a bit better than Britain isn't saying much. All the major European governments have been disappointing.


    And why is Hammond indulging in lazy stereotypes? Not helpful, or funny if it's supposed to be a joke.

    Taiwan looks to be doing the best so far.
    New Zealand too. The message 'We go hard, we go early', very All Blacks. Didn't wait until people wanted to close things down, did it well before they'd even thought about it. As Jacinda Ardern said "“A strategy that sacrifices people in favour of supposedly a better economic outcome is a false dichotomy and has been shown to produce the worst of both worlds: loss of life and prolonged economic pain,”

    Clear, forceful, truthful, compassionate.
    New Zealand is doing relatively well, but still worse than Taiwan (276 cases per million against 16 cases per million). New Zealand also had the advantage of seeing what was happening in other countries which I'm not sure they really made the most of.
    The UK had that advantage too. Then we wasted at least a week before locking down. Leaders lead, they don't wait for the people to agree with them. NZ did that and they closed the borders as well, all things which the UK refused to do because they thought people wouldn't like it.
    The UK locked down on 23 March (having requested organisations to lock down from 20 March and schools from 18 March).

    NZ locked down between 23-26 March.

    So UK locked down earlier.

    If you are arguing NZ locked down earlier vs the spread of the disease that is probable (hard to know for sure with low levels of testing) but clearly NZ had a massive benefit of seeing what was happening elsewhere across the world to aid that decision.
    Yes, they were earlier in the spread of the disease but we had the same benefit of seeing what was happening. People who were open mouthed at the wasted weeks and more at the time aren’t going to forget that. The 12th March and the infamous ‘let it spread through the population’ is the day that will be remembered as the missed opportunity. 590 cases at that point and 10 deaths, during Cheltenham and before the Stereophonics gig the following Saturday. By the time of the current lockdown 6650 cases and 335 deaths, more than ten times as many cases and thirty times as many deaths. These were the eleven days that led us to where we are now and that exponential growth could have been stopped.

    New Zealand closed the borders on 19th March to all but New Zealanders, a key factor and something that the UK has not done. By 26th lockdown was complete, at that point they had 331 cases and zero deaths. Now they have 1330 cases and 4 deaths, They didn’t wait for a death toll to increase and they isolated their nation, these were key decisions.
    When NZ were taking those decisions they had more information than the UK did. Closing borders is much easier in NZ which is one of the most remote countries in the world, probably the most remote country of its size?
    Just how in hock to LHR are we as a nation ?
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    HYUFD said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    eristdoof said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    kle4 said:

    Seems like virtually the only major European country that has done anything right, to read that, given how events have proceeded.
    Yet Germany failed to contain the virus. It seemed more important for the authorities here not to inconvenience people going on skiing holidays than to seriously try to contain a deadly epidemic. Germany seeming so far to be doing a bit better than Britain isn't saying much. All the major European governments have been disappointing.


    And why is Hammond indulging in lazy stereotypes? Not helpful, or funny if it's supposed to be a joke.

    Taiwan looks to be doing the best so far.
    New Zealand too. The message 'We go hard, we go early', very All Blacks. Didn't wait until people wanted to close things down, did it well before they'd even thought about it. As Jacinda Ardern said "“A strategy that sacrifices people in favour of supposedly a better economic outcome is a false dichotomy and has been shown to produce the worst of both worlds: loss of life and prolonged economic pain,”

    Clear, forceful, truthful, compassionate.
    New Zealand is doing relatively well, but still worse than Taiwan (276 cases per million against 16 cases per million). New Zealand also had the advantage of seeing what was happening in other countries which I'm not sure they really made the most of.
    The UK had that advantage too. Then we wasted at least a week before locking down. Leaders lead, they don't wait for the people to agree with them. NZ did that and they closed the borders as well, all things which the UK refused to do because they thought people wouldn't like it.
    The population density of NZ is also only twice that of the Scottish Highlands... what we call 'social-distancing measures' here is what they call Tuesday.
    But not over the whole of the country. Auckland has 1.5 times the population of Birmingham. It is not as densley packed, but it is still a large city.
    New Zealand is thousands of miles from anywhere, it is not a valid comparison
    What about Ireland?
    Ireland has 1955 cases per million, the UK has 1241
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
    What about deaths?
    Neither are doing as well as Germany, in terms of keeping a low death rate per head
    Go on, say the actual numbers out loud.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,102
    edited April 2020
    TGOHF666 said:

    Scott_xP said:
    I haven't seen that before. How embarrassing but then I am not a fan
    You weren't a fan of Boris once, and look how that turned out!
    Boris and Patel are miles apart. Boris is liberal Patel is right.

    I support Boris for his liberal views

    I do not support Patel
    Didn’t have you down as a misogynist Big G.
    I am not, I just do not like her right wing politics

    I would say the same about IDS
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,205
    The Telegraph is having an absolute shocker, far more so than any other paper.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,424
    glw said:

    "Invisible Enemy"

    Dude, we can totally see you.

    — Stay-at-Home Jedi (@JediCounselor) April 12, 2020
    Ouch. That has to be the second best burn of a sitting American President ever.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,424
    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    eristdoof said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    kle4 said:

    Seems like virtually the only major European country that has done anything right, to read that, given how events have proceeded.
    Yet Germany failed to contain the virus. It seemed more important for the authorities here not to inconvenience people going on skiing holidays than to seriously try to contain a deadly epidemic. Germany seeming so far to be doing a bit better than Britain isn't saying much. All the major European governments have been disappointing.


    And why is Hammond indulging in lazy stereotypes? Not helpful, or funny if it's supposed to be a joke.

    Taiwan looks to be doing the best so far.
    New Zealand too. The message 'We go hard, we go early', very All Blacks. Didn't wait until people wanted to close things down, did it well before they'd even thought about it. As Jacinda Ardern said "“A strategy that sacrifices people in favour of supposedly a better economic outcome is a false dichotomy and has been shown to produce the worst of both worlds: loss of life and prolonged economic pain,”

    Clear, forceful, truthful, compassionate.
    New Zealand is doing relatively well, but still worse than Taiwan (276 cases per million against 16 cases per million). New Zealand also had the advantage of seeing what was happening in other countries which I'm not sure they really made the most of.
    The UK had that advantage too. Then we wasted at least a week before locking down. Leaders lead, they don't wait for the people to agree with them. NZ did that and they closed the borders as well, all things which the UK refused to do because they thought people wouldn't like it.
    The population density of NZ is also only twice that of the Scottish Highlands... what we call 'social-distancing measures' here is what they call Tuesday.
    But not over the whole of the country. Auckland has 1.5 times the population of Birmingham. It is not as densley packed, but it is still a large city.
    New Zealand is thousands of miles from anywhere, it is not a valid comparison
    What about Ireland?
    Ireland has 1955 cases per million, the UK has 1241
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
    What about deaths?
    Neither are doing as well as Germany, in terms of keeping a low death rate per head
    Go on, say the actual numbers out loud.
    That would be Priti challenging.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,999
    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

  • Please read this thread by Adam at Opinium

    https://twitter.com/AGKD123/status/1249418192050630661
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    edited April 2020
    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:



    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    737 UK wide Covid related deaths.

    200 down from yesterday, sad news for the relatives but UK curve starting to flatten which is good news
    This pattern happens every single week.
    Up until last weekend the figure was doubling every 3.5 days, had the curve not flattened and that trend continued there would have been 2,500 deaths announced today
    The lower figures today have nothing to do with the curve flattening and everything to do with the weekend effect that happens with the death reporting.
    The death numbers are a lag factor and will be last to flatten. Numbers in hospital is a much better guide. On this level we have definitely flattened the curve
    Oh, I have no doubt we are curve flattening, I'm just picking up on HYUFD's number bollocks.
    My post was 100% correct, had the curve not flattened we would have 2500 new deaths announced today
    Surely all your posts are 100% correct? That last one implies that some of them might only be, say, 95% correct. :)
    My posts are always of course 100% correct
    If that’s right, the world’s cartographers are going to have to radically reassess where they have put the Strait of Hormuz, my personal favourite HYUFD post from 2019 having suggested that ships bound for the Persian Gulf should round the Cape of Good Hope to avoid it
  • I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,999

    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    Oops, I forgot, honest.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,675
    edited April 2020

    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    Oops, I forgot, honest.

    Ah that makes sense, as I said, usually that's not the sort of comment you'd make.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,424
    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:



    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    737 UK wide Covid related deaths.

    200 down from yesterday, sad news for the relatives but UK curve starting to flatten which is good news
    This pattern happens every single week.
    Up until last weekend the figure was doubling every 3.5 days, had the curve not flattened and that trend continued there would have been 2,500 deaths announced today
    The lower figures today have nothing to do with the curve flattening and everything to do with the weekend effect that happens with the death reporting.
    The death numbers are a lag factor and will be last to flatten. Numbers in hospital is a much better guide. On this level we have definitely flattened the curve
    Oh, I have no doubt we are curve flattening, I'm just picking up on HYUFD's number bollocks.
    My post was 100% correct, had the curve not flattened we would have 2500 new deaths announced today
    Surely all your posts are 100% correct? That last one implies that some of them might only be, say, 95% correct. :)
    My posts are always of course 100% correct
    If that’s right, the world’s cartographers are going to have to radically reassess where they have put the Strait of Hormuz, my personal favourite HYUFD post from 2019 having suggested that ships bound for the Persian Gulf should round the Cape of Good Hope to avoid it
    It might perhaps have been a reference to his politics rather than their accuracy.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,601
    Pulpstar said:

    The Telegraph is having an absolute shocker, far more so than any other paper.

    Why are they doing worse than other papers?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,720
    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Seems like they are covering all the bases there. Sensible. :)
    The Dan Hannan one about the return of bowing and curtseying has to win some kind of prize.
    The competition for kiss arse is particularly fierce at the moment.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Dems are now at 2.06 and I don't know what is reality any more.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,999

    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    Oops, I forgot, honest.

    Ah that makes sense, as I said, usually that's not the sort of comment you'd make.
    I'm quite house trained nowadays, I managed to restrain my peurile instincts when I saw Nige and his revealing shorts.
  • I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    Oops, I forgot, honest.

    Ah that makes sense, as I said, usually that's not the sort of comment you'd make.
    I'm quite house trained nowadays, I managed to restrain my peurile instincts when I saw Nige and his revealing shorts.
    I've uploaded this pictures of Nigel in his shorts onto the PB server for use in future threads.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,424

    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    Oops, I forgot, honest.

    Ah that makes sense, as I said, usually that's not the sort of comment you'd make.
    I'm quite house trained nowadays, I managed to restrain my peurile instincts when I saw Nige and his revealing shorts.
    I've uploaded this pictures of Nigel in his shorts onto the PB server for use in future threads.
    I hope they’re not TOO revealing :hushed: We don’t want to see anything like this:

    https://youtu.be/ReWWn9UZbOw
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,225
    ydoethur said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:



    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    737 UK wide Covid related deaths.

    200 down from yesterday, sad news for the relatives but UK curve starting to flatten which is good news
    This pattern happens every single week.
    Up until last weekend the figure was doubling every 3.5 days, had the curve not flattened and that trend continued there would have been 2,500 deaths announced today
    The lower figures today have nothing to do with the curve flattening and everything to do with the weekend effect that happens with the death reporting.
    The death numbers are a lag factor and will be last to flatten. Numbers in hospital is a much better guide. On this level we have definitely flattened the curve
    Oh, I have no doubt we are curve flattening, I'm just picking up on HYUFD's number bollocks.
    My post was 100% correct, had the curve not flattened we would have 2500 new deaths announced today
    Surely all your posts are 100% correct? That last one implies that some of them might only be, say, 95% correct. :)
    My posts are always of course 100% correct
    If that’s right, the world’s cartographers are going to have to radically reassess where they have put the Strait of Hormuz, my personal favourite HYUFD post from 2019 having suggested that ships bound for the Persian Gulf should round the Cape of Good Hope to avoid it
    It might perhaps have been a reference to his politics rather than their accuracy.
    To be fair, that’s definitely a way of avoiding the Strait.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    I did not know about his eye before reading that led me to look at his Wiki entry
  • ydoethur said:

    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    Oops, I forgot, honest.

    Ah that makes sense, as I said, usually that's not the sort of comment you'd make.
    I'm quite house trained nowadays, I managed to restrain my peurile instincts when I saw Nige and his revealing shorts.
    I've uploaded this pictures of Nigel in his shorts onto the PB server for use in future threads.
    I hope they’re not TOO revealing :hushed: We don’t want to see anything like this:

    https://youtu.be/ReWWn9UZbOw
    Well since you ask.



  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,424
    DougSeal said:

    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    I did not know about his eye before reading that led me to look at his Wiki entry
    Nor did I, and indeed, his Wiki entry could be clearer on the subject.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    ydoethur said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:



    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    737 UK wide Covid related deaths.

    200 down from yesterday, sad news for the relatives but UK curve starting to flatten which is good news
    This pattern happens every single week.
    Up until last weekend the figure was doubling every 3.5 days, had the curve not flattened and that trend continued there would have been 2,500 deaths announced today
    The lower figures today have nothing to do with the curve flattening and everything to do with the weekend effect that happens with the death reporting.
    The death numbers are a lag factor and will be last to flatten. Numbers in hospital is a much better guide. On this level we have definitely flattened the curve
    Oh, I have no doubt we are curve flattening, I'm just picking up on HYUFD's number bollocks.
    My post was 100% correct, had the curve not flattened we would have 2500 new deaths announced today
    Surely all your posts are 100% correct? That last one implies that some of them might only be, say, 95% correct. :)
    My posts are always of course 100% correct
    If that’s right, the world’s cartographers are going to have to radically reassess where they have put the Strait of Hormuz, my personal favourite HYUFD post from 2019 having suggested that ships bound for the Persian Gulf should round the Cape of Good Hope to avoid it
    It might perhaps have been a reference to his politics rather than their accuracy.
    I see what you (or he) did there!
  • DougSeal said:

    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    I did not know about his eye before reading that led me to look at his Wiki entry
    It's not something I knew about until he mentioned being trolled about his appearance on TV a while back.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,424
    edited April 2020

    ydoethur said:

    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    Oops, I forgot, honest.

    Ah that makes sense, as I said, usually that's not the sort of comment you'd make.
    I'm quite house trained nowadays, I managed to restrain my peurile instincts when I saw Nige and his revealing shorts.
    I've uploaded this pictures of Nigel in his shorts onto the PB server for use in future threads.
    I hope they’re not TOO revealing :hushed: We don’t want to see anything like this:

    https://youtu.be/ReWWn9UZbOw
    Well since you ask.

    *Something truly vile deleted*

    Do you mind? I’ve just eaten.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,381
    edited April 2020

    TGOHF666 said:

    Scott_xP said:
    I haven't seen that before. How embarrassing but then I am not a fan
    You weren't a fan of Boris once, and look how that turned out!
    Boris and Patel are miles apart. Boris is liberal Patel is right.

    I support Boris for his liberal views

    I do not support Patel
    Didn’t have you down as a misogynist Big G.
    I am not, I just do not like her right wing politics

    I would say the same about IDS
    Anyway in Priti's world you would just be Big_ _NorthWales!
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486

    nichomar said:

    Alistair said:

    HYUFD said:

    eristdoof said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    ukpaul said:

    kamski said:

    kle4 said:

    Seems like virtually the only major European country that has done anything right, to read that, given how events have proceeded.
    Yet Germany failed to contain the virus. It seemed more important for the authorities here not to inconvenience people going on skiing holidays than to seriously try to contain a deadly epidemic. Germany seeming so far to be doing a bit better than Britain isn't saying much. All the major European governments have been disappointing.


    And why is Hammond indulging in lazy stereotypes? Not helpful, or funny if it's supposed to be a joke.

    Taiwan looks to be doing the best so far.
    New Zealand too. The message 'We go hard, we go early', very All Blacks. Didn't wait until people wanted to close things down, did it well before they'd even thought about it. As Jacinda Ardern said "“A strategy that sacrifices people in favour of supposedly a better economic outcome is a false dichotomy and has been shown to produce the worst of both worlds: loss of life and prolonged economic pain,”

    Clear, forceful, truthful, compassionate.
    New Zealand is doing relatively well, but still worse than Taiwan (276 cases per million against 16 cases per million). New Zealand also had the advantage of seeing what was happening in other countries which I'm not sure they really made the most of.
    The UK had that advantage too. Then we wasted at least a week before locking down. Leaders lead, they don't wait for the people to agree with them. NZ did that and they closed the borders as well, all things which the UK refused to do because they thought people wouldn't like it.
    The population density of NZ is also only twice that of the Scottish Highlands... what we call 'social-distancing measures' here is what they call Tuesday.
    But not over the whole of the country. Auckland has 1.5 times the population of Birmingham. It is not as densley packed, but it is still a large city.
    New Zealand is thousands of miles from anywhere, it is not a valid comparison
    What about Ireland?
    There is a common theme that the countries that have been hit hardest have multiple big cities (US, Italy, Spain, France, UK, Netherlands) whereas countries with less population density like Ireland, Greece, NZ, Norway, Finland have been hit less.

    Within the UK the big urban areas have been hit the hardest as well. Geography matters at least as much as policy.
    What explains Cumbria though?
    Is it particularly unusual, sounds like about 1% of the UK deaths and 0.8% of the UK population so worse than youd expect but quite possibly just random variations?
    Lake District tourism. Second homes.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,291
    WOW! It's a miracle!

    BORIS HAS RISEN!!!

    :D
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,205
    Andy_JS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    The Telegraph is having an absolute shocker, far more so than any other paper.

    Why are they doing worse than other papers?
    An embarrassing underestimate of the graveness and seriousness of the problem at every step of the way for starters.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,878
    GIN1138 said:

    WOW! It's a miracle!

    BORIS HAS RISEN!!!

    :D

    Your Own Personal Boris :)
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,720

    I was never a great Hodges fan but he seems to have gone full glassy eyed PB fanboi. It's embarrassing.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249354352248193025?s=20

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1249233564278894593?s=20

    Glassy eyed is unusually tactless from you.
    Oops, I forgot, honest.

    Ah that makes sense, as I said, usually that's not the sort of comment you'd make.
    I'm quite house trained nowadays, I managed to restrain my peurile instincts when I saw Nige and his revealing shorts.
    I've uploaded this pictures of Nigel in his shorts onto the PB server for use in future threads.
    He went the full Alan Partridge, didn't he?
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    When will Saint Boris day be celebrated ! Will it be a bank holiday ?
  • Gabs3Gabs3 Posts: 836
    In all the debate over Syrian refugees, the primary victims, the Yazidis have been completely forgotten. The right didn't want to let anyone at all in. The left focused on letting as many in as possible, largely the Sunni Muslims who victimized the Yazidis. The people actually closest to the Jews in the 1940s were just left facing genocide and sex slavery.

    https://twitter.com/Ezidi2/status/1100350647650697216
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    edited April 2020
    I am glad the PM is getting better.

    Can we now start asking why we were later to lock down, are slower to test, and have a higher death rate than comparator countries?

    Even the much-derided US have are now testing at almost double our rate per capita.

    Meanwhile the economy is in free-fall and there’s no indication of an exit strategy whatsoever.

    It’s only 6 weeks since we were told smugly, that unlike those infernal Europeans, we will be “following the science”. This country’s government - and the mainstream media whose job it is to hold them to account - have been caught with their trousers down.
  • Gabs3Gabs3 Posts: 836
    HYUFD said:
    Admirable from Umunna too. Maybe this country does have a future.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,381
    edited April 2020
    nico67 said:

    When will Saint Boris day be celebrated ! Will it be a bank holiday ?

    Easter Sunday, every year. So no bank holiday!
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502

    I am glad the PM is getting better.

    Can we now start asking why we were later to lock down, are slower to test, and have a higher death rate than comparator countries?

    Even the much-derided US have are now testing at almost double our rate per capita.

    Meanwhile the economy is in free-fall and there’s no indication of an exit strategy whatsoever.

    It’s only 6 weeks since we were told smugly, that unlike those infernal Europeans, we will be “following the science”. This country’s government - and the mainstream media whose job it is to hold them to account - have been caught with its trousers down.

    You’re not allowed to question anything because it will upset the PM , asking difficult questions is unpatriotic and everyone needs to just say everything is going great ! When Spain and Italy were reporting huge deaths a day the UK media reported it as a catastrophe but now that’s happening in the country it’s just a side show to the press’s martyrdom and beatification of the PM.

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,119
    Gabs3 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Admirable from Umunna too. Maybe this country does have a future.
    We have just forgotten that the adults used to be in charge of the Labour Party.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    nico67 said:

    When will Saint Boris day be celebrated ! Will it be a bank holiday ?

    Once the first statue of Boris the Great is erected
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,381
    HYUFD said:

    nico67 said:

    When will Saint Boris day be celebrated ! Will it be a bank holiday ?

    Once the first statue of Boris the Great is erected
    Will that be located outside St. Thomas' Hospital?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,119
    edited April 2020
    eadric said:

    This is the Europe editor of the Economist. Madness

    https://twitter.com/chrislockwd/status/1249345952726556681?s=21

    Boris / Brexit Derangement Syndrome....
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    edited April 2020

    I am glad the PM is getting better.

    Can we now start asking why we were later to lock down, are slower to test, and have a higher death rate than comparator countries?

    Even the much-derided US have are now testing at almost double our rate per capita.

    Meanwhile the economy is in free-fall and there’s no indication of an exit strategy whatsoever.

    It’s only 6 weeks since we were told smugly, that unlike those infernal Europeans, we will be “following the science”. This country’s government - and the mainstream media whose job it is to hold them to account - have been caught with their trousers down.

    Yes we need to test more (though we are still testing more than France for example) but our deaths per head are currently lower than France, Spain, Italy, Belgium and the Netherlands.

    Sweden is still not locked down
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,601
    edited April 2020
    eadric said:

    This is the Europe editor of the Economist. Madness

    https://twitter.com/chrislockwd/status/1249345952726556681?s=21

    Unbelievable.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766

    eadric said:

    This is the Europe editor of the Economist. Madness

    https://twitter.com/chrislockwd/status/1249345952726556681?s=21

    Boris / Brexit Derangement Syndrome....
    The Americans did not land on the moon.
  • BannedinnParisBannedinnParis Posts: 1,884
    eadric said:

    This is the Europe editor of the Economist. Madness

    https://twitter.com/chrislockwd/status/1249345952726556681?s=21

    You know when I said they'd all cracked …
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,720
    HYUFD said:

    nico67 said:

    When will Saint Boris day be celebrated ! Will it be a bank holiday ?

    Once the first statue of Boris the Great is erected
    His holy relics will be something impressive indeed. Plenty of immaculate conceptions too...
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868

    eadric said:

    This is the Europe editor of the Economist. Madness

    https://twitter.com/chrislockwd/status/1249345952726556681?s=21

    Boris / Brexit Derangement Syndrome....
    Yeah, I had a cousin who didn't believe Bozza was in hospital until she was told by another one that he saw Bozza arrive at Tommy's where he works. Then she didn't believe it was serious and the government were using it to distract everyone.

    There is a hardcore if remainers who are just stuck on repeat.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,720
    Gabs3 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Admirable from Umunna too. Maybe this country does have a future.
    What a twat! Does he want to defect again to the cult of Boris?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766
    Hancock looks shattered on the clips on news at 10.

    I do hope he is taking a day off every so often to keep his energy levels ok.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766
    And then, the King's gaze turned to the comely young maiden at the back, who had only recently arrived at court.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766
    Andy_JS said:

    eadric said:

    This is the Europe editor of the Economist. Madness

    https://twitter.com/chrislockwd/status/1249345952726556681?s=21

    Unbelievable.
    It seems that the twitter accounts of established journalists and editors have been hacked and taken over by flat earthers.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited April 2020
    nico67 said:

    When will Saint Boris day be celebrated ! Will it be a bank holiday ?

    You have to die or to be a virgin to increase the chances for Sainthood. If you're a murdered virgin, it is a sure bet.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Foxy said:

    Gabs3 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Admirable from Umunna too. Maybe this country does have a future.
    What a twat! Does he want to defect again to the cult of Boris?
    Do try to put your prejudices to one side Foxy :smiley:
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    eadric said:

    This is the Europe editor of the Economist. Madness

    https://twitter.com/chrislockwd/status/1249345952726556681?s=21

    What a tosspot
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,775
    This CV stuff is bad. No two ways about that. However in the last 30 days there are perhaps 75k deaths anyway.

    Alas Tim Brooke-Taylor seems to have failed to dodge the paw of this big cat. OBE's will never be the same again.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,675
    edited April 2020
    I don't think that is the account of Chris.

    1) He hasn't been worked at The Economist for many years.

    2) He's a longstanding Tory, and he's retweeting a bunch of hard left accounts.

    3) He worked for David Cameron (pbuh) in Downing Street between 2013-15, so most unlikely.

    4) Currently he's working at the finest university in the world

    http://www.csap.cam.ac.uk/network/christopher-lockwood/


    I think it is a spoof account
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766
    This is why the left will be out of power for a decade more.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    Don’t read the Express front page if you’ve just eaten . You might throw up unless of course you can’t get enough of Johnson and his hospital story !

    “My survival was powered by love “.

    Someone pass me the sick bucket !
  • kamskikamski Posts: 5,191
    The sickening cult of "Boris" is gathering pace I see
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,680

    I don't think that is the account of Chris.

    1) He hasn't been worked at The Economist for many years

    2) He's a longstanding Tory, and he's retweeting a bunch of hard left accounts

    3) He worked for David Cameron (pbuh) in Downing Street between 2013-15

    4) Currently he's working at the finest university in the world

    http://www.csap.cam.ac.uk/network/christopher-lockwood/


    I think it is a spoof account
    Really? If that's true it can only be the work of the Hard Brexit Right, attempting to discredit pro-EU journalists as depraved conspiracy theorists and nutters. Astonishingly dark if so.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653
    Gabs3 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Admirable from Umunna too. Maybe this country does have a future.
    We’re heading to a better country. I truly believe this.

  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    I don't think that is the account of Chris.

    1) He hasn't been worked at The Economist for many years

    2) He's a longstanding Tory, and he's retweeting a bunch of hard left accounts

    3) He worked for David Cameron (pbuh) in Downing Street between 2013-15

    4) Currently he's working at the finest university in the world

    http://www.csap.cam.ac.uk/network/christopher-lockwood/


    I think it is a spoof account
    And I don’t think he was ever “Europe editor” - I’m not even sure they have one
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    It’s a shame Carrie wasn’t closer to her due date . That way the press could ignore the 10,000 death toll as they camped out waiting for the new arrival . We could all be discussing baby names whilst ignoring the governments failings in its handling of the virus .
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,139
    Gabs3 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Admirable from Umunna too. Maybe this country does have a future.
    Is Umunna the Blair to Starmer's Kinnock, the Macron to Starmer's Hollande?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,601
    nico67 said:

    It’s a shame Carrie wasn’t closer to her due date . That way the press could ignore the 10,000 death toll as they camped out waiting for the new arrival . We could all be discussing baby names whilst ignoring the governments failings in its handling of the virus .

    It's a terrible situation where the government has no choice but to balance the number of deaths from the virus against the damage caused by a huge economic downturn.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,149
    Foxy said:

    Gabs3 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Admirable from Umunna too. Maybe this country does have a future.
    What a twat! Does he want to defect again to the cult of Boris?
    A rather out of character unkind comment from you for what was a pretty innocuous comment.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 5,191
    HYUFD said:

    Gabs3 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Admirable from Umunna too. Maybe this country does have a future.
    Is Umunna the Blair to Starmer's Kinnock, the Macron to Starmer's Hollande?
    The Zaphod to Starmer's Vader?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    HYUFD said:

    Gabs3 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Admirable from Umunna too. Maybe this country does have a future.
    Is Umunna the Blair to Starmer's Kinnock, the Macron to Starmer's Hollande?
    No.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,149

    I am glad the PM is getting better.

    Can we now start asking why we were later to lock down, are slower to test, and have a higher death rate than comparator countries?

    Even the much-derided US have are now testing at almost double our rate per capita.

    Meanwhile the economy is in free-fall and there’s no indication of an exit strategy whatsoever.

    It’s only 6 weeks since we were told smugly, that unlike those infernal Europeans, we will be “following the science”. This country’s government - and the mainstream media whose job it is to hold them to account - have been caught with their trousers down.

    The first question has been asked a great deal already, and answered many many times. The second has certainly been asked but remains a live concern, the third does not seem to have been reflected on a great deal but should.

    You are also projecting your own view on comments regarding following the science. Given most places in Europe are doing the same or very similar things, at different times based on their levels of infection, it would have been a very odd thing to be smug about it since the science in those places seems to have led to pretty much the same conclusions in most of them, and its managing that which has been of different effectiveness from place to place.
  • alteregoalterego Posts: 1,100
    kle4 said:

    Foxy said:

    Gabs3 said:

    HYUFD said:
    Admirable from Umunna too. Maybe this country does have a future.
    What a twat! Does he want to defect again to the cult of Boris?
    A rather out of character unkind comment from you for what was a pretty innocuous comment.
    I thought it was a very Liberal comment
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,149
    kamski said:

    The sickening cult of "Boris" is gathering pace I see

    Oh don't worry, it'll be back to normal soon enough for you. His illness has no doubt elevated the existing rally round the flag effect is all.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,036
    Before calling it a day, I just have to say that I think the happy-clappy 'God is Love' crowd have definitely got it wrong.

    The vindictive so-and-so from the Old Testament, killing children in Egypt and drowning everyone except for one family and two of each species, seems closer to the mark to me.

    That's the god of COVID-19.

    Night all.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,149
    Well, more people work in No.10 I expect for starters.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,720
    kle4 said:

    nico67 said:

    It’s a shame Carrie wasn’t closer to her due date . That way the press could ignore the 10,000 death toll as they camped out waiting for the new arrival . We could all be discussing baby names whilst ignoring the governments failings in its handling of the virus .

    The baby will be called Covid-19, to show how the nation is overcoming the disease and to remind Boris what number child of his it is.
    All praise be to Boris, our Lord and saviour, and his blessed mistress...
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,837

    I am glad the PM is getting better.

    Can we now start asking why we were later to lock down, are slower to test, and have a higher death rate than comparator countries?

    Even the much-derided US have are now testing at almost double our rate per capita.

    Meanwhile the economy is in free-fall and there’s no indication of an exit strategy whatsoever.

    It’s only 6 weeks since we were told smugly, that unlike those infernal Europeans, we will be “following the science”. This country’s government - and the mainstream media whose job it is to hold them to account - have been caught with their trousers down.

    If we had locked down earlier surely the economic free fall would be faster? Complaining of both seems strange.

    "We were told smugly" - well it depends who by, govts have generally been very reluctant to criticise each other and say each country is different. Perhaps you can find a quote from a cabinet minister, CMO or CSO smugly criticising infernal Europeans for not following science?

    Of course the govt has been caught with their trousers down, so has every country, this is a once in a hundred years crisis, it would have been crazy and wildly expensive to be constantly fully prepared for such an event.



  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,288
    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    nico67 said:

    When will Saint Boris day be celebrated ! Will it be a bank holiday ?

    Once the first statue of Boris the Great is erected
    His holy relics will be something impressive indeed. Plenty of immaculate conceptions too...
    Lo! He produced enough babies to feed the whole Tory faithful from just his own two breads and five fishes.
This discussion has been closed.