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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sanders trailing by 22% in Michigan – a state where he beat Hi
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sanders trailing by 22% in Michigan – a state where he beat Hillary at WH2016
Ahead of tomorrow’s Michigan primary two new polls have Bernie struggling to repeat his WH2016 performance where he just edged it over Hillary.
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Re: super spreaders, what of those people on Japanese train platforms whose job it is to push commuters onto the trains before the doors close?
With cases of the coronavirus jumping from 45 to 73 in less than 48 hours in Greece, health authorities have announced further precautionary measures to be enforced with immediate effect. The measures, which include a two-week ban on sporting events.
A shame, because he's in infinitely better intellectual shape than Biden, and with much more intellectual if not negotiating skill than Biden ( or Corbyn), and his prescient warnings of the catastrophe of US healthcare may be about to be vindicated like never before ; having also given him the potential to become the man of the hour like never before ; but there we are.
Does anyone seriously believe this crisis will be over in 2 weeks time?
Amazing how bad the quality of Presidential candidates has got in recent years.
https://twitter.com/GECFrost/status/1237014254500405249
In New York the Dow Jones has opened sharply lower and trading has been suspended whilst they appeal for calm.
I invested in a worldwide growth fund for my SIIP last Tuesday...
Wait no, that's Murder on the Dancefloor. Not good enough according to whom?
https://twitter.com/DHSCgovuk/status/1237015402028335105?s=20
I must be in London.
46 positive tests past 24 hours
That's pretty good.
That said I don't need any further excuse to avoid the Guinness Village.
At the moment, I think we are being very lucky...and probably helped by the fact we don't do the La Bise type greetings as much of Southern Europe does.
Bloody thing is half empty, but that half are sneezing and coughing like they've never heard of Covid-19....
https://twitter.com/Baddiel/status/1236984876403998722
It's needed now
https://twitter.com/SiouxsieW/status/1236721200291655680
Football attendance in the Uk is around 50m per year, and whilst its busy its rarely quite as close proximity as the tube at rush hour.
Still, he might come to be seen as disproportionately important historically in America for a failed candidate, and might carry on having a day-to-day influence on the Democratic platform on health this year, particularly if the outbreak carries on getting worse. The party has already begun to move closer towards his 2016 stance on other issues, after all.
So that two weeks isn't 5-10x, it's more like 4- x
If you introduce measures to limit gatherings and travel, and that people are encouraged to work from home, etc., then I would suspect that growth (as seen in South Korea and Singapore) rapidly slows.
That's not a panacea, of course, because once those restrictions are lifted then growth starts again. But with proper management you can really slow the speed at which the virus spreads.
Oh except John Edwards, but he was from there. Also prior to 1992 it was J Jackson that took the state, it was also his home state.
I have no doubt that HMG is following the scientific advice it is being given. But the evidence for that advice is likely to be fuzzy at best. In the presence of uncertainty, more than one "evidence-based" approach may be perfectly reasonable - a lot comes down to the judgment of the advisor. (For example, there may be no firm evidence that shutting down Cheltenham will prevent a single case, versus a precautionary approach that prioritises minimising the risk that it might.)
I'm in no position to say the scientific advice is "incorrect" or "not guided by the evidence". As a member of a high risk group I would somewhat selfishly feel more reassured if either more action or more preparation was visible, and if it was clear the decision-making process (how do we weigh up economic vs health risks of our actions) was more strongly weighted to the health size.
10+ years ago, I had a major op and was confined to bed at home for 3 months and then I couldn't leave the house for another 2. It really wasn't that bad, with tv, computers, doing work, learning new stuff, talking to my family.
I trust Professor Whitty more than some witless Twitter scraper.
I think where the government haven't been making the right moves, companies in London who are worried about staff welfare have stepped up. Now we need the government to do the same so people who work for shitty companies will be forced to allow for their people to work remotely or at least find a way to.limit worked exposure to the plague.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-number-of-cases-in-england/coronavirus-covid-19-number-of-cases-in-england
If the scientists in and advising the govt, with the latest data and plans are content, Im content.
There, new infections are plateauing, and the conversation will be moving to how they can relax measures to restore economic activity without triggering a fresh wave of infection..
We now need to see Europe, specifically Italy, get a grip. But the evidence shows it is possible.
In the UK, the new figures show that it is probably too early to impose country-wide containment policies. We don’t appear to have a regional cluster that can be more easily isolated; therefore any measures will by default affect the whole country.
Having said that, I am not sure why the government is not already advising those who can to work from home.
Unless we hear a direct attack from someone qualified in this complex subject we just need to be careful with our hygeine and follow any future advice that will no doubt be round the corner
Boris is acting as a CEO trusting his experts which is best advice, and not doing a Trump who is an absolute danger to mankind
Expert on TV now explaining why people mixing at stadiums can be better than the alternatives.
If the Govt are following the advice of their experts (& they should have access to really superlative modellers, statisticians and data scientists), then I am content.
I assume Devon has lots of rich pensioners who jet off to Italy for skiing in the winter.....which shows they already have a significant reckless streak.
Also would find it reassuring if the suspected community cases were followed up by masses of health workers testing local neighbours, schools, shop workers, the infected person's workplace etc in an effort to pin down where the cluster is and how big it is. Has that been happening quietly, under the radar, or has it just been all about contact tracing? Again I'm not claiming it would be scientifically justified but it would give reassurance on the "something is actually being done" front, and that has its own value (not just politically but economically) right now.
- European slowdown / guaranteed recession.
- Poor political leadership in US on the virus.
- The oil dispute
He is pretty good at it but careless at times also.
Time will tell.
Only in your nasty mind is anybody going to be "gutted" if it turns out better than predicted.