Surprised to see the Morning Star given away free by the exits at my local Tesco store tonight. Wouldn't have thought Tesco's kind of capitalism would chime with that paper's editorial.
So it begins Three guests check into a hotel room. The manager says the bill is $30, so each guest pays $10. Later the manager realizes the bill should only have been $25. To rectify this, he gives the bellhop $5 as five one-dollar bills to return to the guests.
On the way to the guests' room to refund the money, the bellhop realizes that he cannot equally divide the five one-dollar bills among the three guests. As the guests aren't aware of the total of the revised bill, the bellhop decides to just give each guest $1 back and keep $2 as a tip for himself, and proceeds to do so.
As each guest got $1 back, each guest only paid $9, bringing the total paid to $27. The bellhop kept $2, which when added to the $27, comes to $29. So if the guests originally handed over $30, what happened to the remaining $1?
Con 339 Lab 238 LD 13 Green 1 SNP 38 Plaid 3 DUP 8 SF 6 All 3 SDLP 1
Technically the biggest Tory majority since 1987, but it will feel a bit underwhelming. More a sense of relief than triumph.
Politics is absolutely horrible at the moment and nobody will emerge from this election with much credit. We will look back on this as a low point, regardless of the result.
What are the ethics of not voting vs turning up to spoil a ballot, in a non marginal constituency? One hears "If you don't vote you have no right to complain" but why, and so what anyway? Losing the right to complain for the duration of the next parliament would free up a lot of valuable time.
I am struggling with an almighty bout of cantbearsedness.
Always, always, vote as if you are the only person that is voting and that people will die if you don't. It is a very serious thing and should be done with all the effort at your command.
This is unduly prim.
I won't be voting tomorrow. It is the responsibility of political parties to provide me with positive and joyful reasons to vote.
"I hate Corby" or "I hate Bozza" is not a positive reason to vote.
Won't you think of those betting on higher turnout?
I am helping those betting on a low turnout.
If you spoil your ballot does that still count for turnout? I'm expecting loads more than normal this election...
People said there would be loads of spoilt ballots at the Euros too; there weren't.
Thinking of next LD leader....its probably going to be Davey isn't it?
Seeing as Swinson's main problem is her being tainted by being part of the Cameron govt, it won't help to replace her with Davey. Need to pick someone new, eg. Moran.
If she survives the election, I have a feeling Swinson would make a decent leader of the Lib Dems. She made mistakes but those were largely due to inexperience I think. Different politics but she reminds me a bit of Margaret Thatcher. And objectively she would make a better prime minister than either Johnson or Corbyn. And by the way I am not voting for her.
What strikes me is how the apparently innocuous figure of a national average of 2.9% Brexit Party vote translates into large concentrations of BXP votes in several Leave seats where the Conservatives are losing by less than half the BXP vote share. See pages 23-37 of the table.
e.g. for some of the double figure BXP polling Burnley, Lab 7% ahead, BXP polling 15% Hartlepool, Lab 8% ahead, BXP 22% Hyndburn, Lab 2% ahead, BXP 10% Leigh, Lab 4% ahead, BXP 11% NW Durham Lab 5% ahead, BXP 11% Redcar Lab 5% ahead, BXP 14% Stoke N Lab 2% ahead, BXP 10%
and there are loads more where the BXP could make all the difference even without getting into double figures
Con 339 Lab 238 LD 13 Green 1 SNP 38 Plaid 3 DUP 8 SF 6 All 3 SDLP 1
Technically the biggest Tory majority since 1987, but it will feel a bit underwhelming. More a sense of relief than triumph.
Politics is absolutely horrible at the moment and nobody will emerge from this election with much credit. We will look back on this as a low point, regardless of the result.
That's very close to my expectation. And yes, I agree with the idea that this will be the nadir.
We will Brexit, democracy will be saved, Corbyn will go..... and maybe a long, slow healing process will begin. At last.
So it begins Three guests check into a hotel room. The manager says the bill is $30, so each guest pays $10. Later the manager realizes the bill should only have been $25. To rectify this, he gives the bellhop $5 as five one-dollar bills to return to the guests.
On the way to the guests' room to refund the money, the bellhop realizes that he cannot equally divide the five one-dollar bills among the three guests. As the guests aren't aware of the total of the revised bill, the bellhop decides to just give each guest $1 back and keep $2 as a tip for himself, and proceeds to do so.
As each guest got $1 back, each guest only paid $9, bringing the total paid to $27. The bellhop kept $2, which when added to the $27, comes to $29. So if the guests originally handed over $30, what happened to the remaining $1?
It's behind one of the unopened hotel doors. Wanna swap?
So it begins Three guests check into a hotel room. The manager says the bill is $30, so each guest pays $10. Later the manager realizes the bill should only have been $25. To rectify this, he gives the bellhop $5 as five one-dollar bills to return to the guests.
On the way to the guests' room to refund the money, the bellhop realizes that he cannot equally divide the five one-dollar bills among the three guests. As the guests aren't aware of the total of the revised bill, the bellhop decides to just give each guest $1 back and keep $2 as a tip for himself, and proceeds to do so.
As each guest got $1 back, each guest only paid $9, bringing the total paid to $27. The bellhop kept $2, which when added to the $27, comes to $29. So if the guests originally handed over $30, what happened to the remaining $1?
The $2 gets subtracted, not added, because it is no different from the $1 refund. Not a huge improvement on the poetry.
So it begins Three guests check into a hotel room. The manager says the bill is $30, so each guest pays $10. Later the manager realizes the bill should only have been $25. To rectify this, he gives the bellhop $5 as five one-dollar bills to return to the guests.
On the way to the guests' room to refund the money, the bellhop realizes that he cannot equally divide the five one-dollar bills among the three guests. As the guests aren't aware of the total of the revised bill, the bellhop decides to just give each guest $1 back and keep $2 as a tip for himself, and proceeds to do so.
As each guest got $1 back, each guest only paid $9, bringing the total paid to $27. The bellhop kept $2, which when added to the $27, comes to $29. So if the guests originally handed over $30, what happened to the remaining $1?
Where did then bellhop get the extra £2 to allow you to add it to the total twice :-) .
So it begins Three guests check into a hotel room. The manager says the bill is $30, so each guest pays $10. Later the manager realizes the bill should only have been $25. To rectify this, he gives the bellhop $5 as five one-dollar bills to return to the guests.
On the way to the guests' room to refund the money, the bellhop realizes that he cannot equally divide the five one-dollar bills among the three guests. As the guests aren't aware of the total of the revised bill, the bellhop decides to just give each guest $1 back and keep $2 as a tip for himself, and proceeds to do so.
As each guest got $1 back, each guest only paid $9, bringing the total paid to $27. The bellhop kept $2, which when added to the $27, comes to $29. So if the guests originally handed over $30, what happened to the remaining $1?
Better to think that the manager got $25, the guests $1 each, the bellhop $2 & go to bed!
But I think the answer is that the $27 paid includes the bellhops $2, so adding them together is the putaway
Thinking of next LD leader....its probably going to be Davey isn't it?
Seeing as Swinson's main problem is her being tainted by being part of the Cameron govt, it won't help to replace her with Davey. Need to pick someone new, eg. Moran.
Con 339 Lab 238 LD 13 Green 1 SNP 38 Plaid 3 DUP 8 SF 6 All 3 SDLP 1
Technically the biggest Tory majority since 1987, but it will feel a bit underwhelming. More a sense of relief than triumph.
Politics is absolutely horrible at the moment and nobody will emerge from this election with much credit. We will look back on this as a low point, regardless of the result.
That's very close to my expectation. And yes, I agree with the idea that this will be the nadir.
We will Brexit, democracy will be saved, Corbyn will go..... and maybe a long, slow healing process will begin. At last.
That is my Christmas prayer.
It would be better for Labour in the long run if they lose 100 seats tomorrow rather than just 40 or 50 IMO.
So it begins Three guests check into a hotel room. The manager says the bill is $30, so each guest pays $10. Later the manager realizes the bill should only have been $25. To rectify this, he gives the bellhop $5 as five one-dollar bills to return to the guests.
On the way to the guests' room to refund the money, the bellhop realizes that he cannot equally divide the five one-dollar bills among the three guests. As the guests aren't aware of the total of the revised bill, the bellhop decides to just give each guest $1 back and keep $2 as a tip for himself, and proceeds to do so.
As each guest got $1 back, each guest only paid $9, bringing the total paid to $27. The bellhop kept $2, which when added to the $27, comes to $29. So if the guests originally handed over $30, what happened to the remaining $1?
The guests paid $27, of which $25 went to the manager and $2 to the bellhop.
If she survives the election, I have a feeling Swinson would make a decent leader of the Lib Dems. She made mistakes but those were largely due to inexperience I think. Different politics but she reminds me a bit of Margaret Thatcher. And objectively she would make a better prime minister than either Johnson or Corbyn. And by the way I am not voting for her.
Con 339 Lab 238 LD 13 Green 1 SNP 38 Plaid 3 DUP 8 SF 6 All 3 SDLP 1
Technically the biggest Tory majority since 1987, but it will feel a bit underwhelming. More a sense of relief than triumph.
Politics is absolutely horrible at the moment and nobody will emerge from this election with much credit. We will look back on this as a low point, regardless of the result.
That's very close to my expectation. And yes, I agree with the idea that this will be the nadir.
We will Brexit, democracy will be saved, Corbyn will go..... and maybe a long, slow healing process will begin. At last.
That is my Christmas prayer.
It would be better for Labour in the long run if they lose 100 seats tomorrow rather than just 40 or 50 IMO.
Hopefully there is going to be a prediction thread tomorrow morning.
Con 339 Lab 238 LD 13 Green 1 SNP 38 Plaid 3 DUP 8 SF 6 All 3 SDLP 1
Technically the biggest Tory majority since 1987, but it will feel a bit underwhelming. More a sense of relief than triumph.
Politics is absolutely horrible at the moment and nobody will emerge from this election with much credit. We will look back on this as a low point, regardless of the result.
That's very close to my expectation. And yes, I agree with the idea that this will be the nadir.
We will Brexit, democracy will be saved, Corbyn will go..... and maybe a long, slow healing process will begin. At last.
That is my Christmas prayer.
It would be better for Labour in the long run if they lose 100 seats tomorrow rather than just 40 or 50 IMO.
It would be better for the country in the long run....it would hopefully mean the end of Corbyn and the madness.
What strikes me is how the apparently innocuous figure of a national average of 2.9% Brexit Party vote translates into large concentrations of BXP votes in several Leave seats where the Conservatives are losing by less than half the BXP vote share. See pages 23-37 of the table.
e.g. for some of the double figure BXP polling Burnley, Lab 7% ahead, BXP polling 15% Hartlepool, Lab 8% ahead, BXP 22% Hyndburn, Lab 2% ahead, BXP 10% Leigh, Lab 4% ahead, BXP 11% NW Durham Lab 5% ahead, BXP 11% Redcar Lab 5% ahead, BXP 14% Stoke N Lab 2% ahead, BXP 10%
and there are loads more where the BXP could make all the difference even without getting into double figures
If Brexit isn't delivered, Farage really will be remembered as the one who killed it.
There is absolutely no reason to believe that a single one of those BXP votes would go to the Conservatives if the BXP were not standing. Indeed the most likely outcome is those votes would go back to Labour and increase their lead in those seats/
The danger is that says Labour 34%...they get 35-36% when the work shy students turn out and Tories under perform with Flat Cap Fred doesn't fancy it in the end and they get 42%...Eeeekkk...
Comments
Oh wait.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/weve-missed-our-chance-but-i-wont-quit-says-jo-swinson-dl2p8wbbz
Three guests check into a hotel room. The manager says the bill is $30, so each guest pays $10. Later the manager realizes the bill should only have been $25. To rectify this, he gives the bellhop $5 as five one-dollar bills to return to the guests.
On the way to the guests' room to refund the money, the bellhop realizes that he cannot equally divide the five one-dollar bills among the three guests. As the guests aren't aware of the total of the revised bill, the bellhop decides to just give each guest $1 back and keep $2 as a tip for himself, and proceeds to do so.
As each guest got $1 back, each guest only paid $9, bringing the total paid to $27. The bellhop kept $2, which when added to the $27, comes to $29. So if the guests originally handed over $30, what happened to the remaining $1?
https://twitter.com/PME_Politics/status/1204908224215965696
LAB +8
That'd be quite the swing
Con 339
Lab 238
LD 13
Green 1
SNP 38
Plaid 3
DUP 8
SF 6
All 3
SDLP 1
Technically the biggest Tory majority since 1987, but it will feel a bit underwhelming. More a sense of relief than triumph.
Politics is absolutely horrible at the moment and nobody will emerge from this election with much credit. We will look back on this as a low point, regardless of the result.
Corbyn might be gone soon
What strikes me is how the apparently innocuous figure of a national average of 2.9% Brexit Party vote translates into large concentrations of BXP votes in several Leave seats where the Conservatives are losing by less than half the BXP vote share. See pages 23-37 of the table.
e.g. for some of the double figure BXP polling
Burnley, Lab 7% ahead, BXP polling 15%
Hartlepool, Lab 8% ahead, BXP 22%
Hyndburn, Lab 2% ahead, BXP 10%
Leigh, Lab 4% ahead, BXP 11%
NW Durham Lab 5% ahead, BXP 11%
Redcar Lab 5% ahead, BXP 14%
Stoke N Lab 2% ahead, BXP 10%
and there are loads more where the BXP could make all the difference even without getting into double figures
e.g. Workington Lab 2% ahead, BXP 8%
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/uk714vkjy3/MRP_Tables_2019_Election_Public_Release (5).pdf
If Brexit isn't delivered, Farage really will be remembered as the one who killed it.
We will Brexit, democracy will be saved, Corbyn will go..... and maybe a long, slow healing process will begin. At last.
That is my Christmas prayer.
But I think the answer is that the $27 paid includes the bellhops $2, so adding them together is the putaway
GULP
https://twitter.com/WorkClassTories/status/1204911903174275072?s=20
If Sky, probably meths and lampreys.
CON 41
LAB 40
And chucked a lung. Then I realised it was the poll from 2017
FWIW the rumoured result showed a Tory lead of 9
Scary, isn't it?
https://www.survation.com/final-general-election-2019-poll-results-a-preview/
Go to bed, everyone.
Night all.
There's no Brexit Party in that poll??
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1204913852015620098?s=20
Time to unmute Owen Jones, Ash Sarkar, Aaron Bastani, 'Rachael' Swindon etc.
Just checked that I saw the right figures this time!
E.G. I spoke to someone in Wythenshawe who told me that the Labour vote is cratering...especially on the council estates.
Survation I think you need to turn it off and on again.
What a sickener.