We have not looked at the WH2020 nomination recently but the latest development is that Wall Street multi-billionaire, Michael Bloomberg (77), has started registering to ensure that he’s on the primary ballots in some states. On top of this there’s a lot of betting interest in Hillary Clinton (72) although she has not said that she is running.
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https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/1194584527836008448
If they want a loser from a previous cycle who's now a bit too old, a better candidate is Al Gore.
Speaking of whom, she’ll be silent in the Senate during the weeks of the impeachment trial, along with Harris, Warren, Sanders et al. (During the trial, Senators do not get to speak.)
Whether this will play to Biden and Buttigieg’s advantage is for now unknowable.
Pretty sprightly for a septuagenarian...
Democracy should be about choice. Not 'vote this one way or fuck off' binary simplistics.
The difference between that and the Brexit party is that the Brexit party was never a functioning party in the first place/
ARRGHRGRHRGRHGHRH!
https://www.spiked-online.com/2019/11/11/the-brexit-party-steps-aside/
The gist seems to be: fill parliament with hard-Brexit purists and then bump off Boris later.
Boris has gone out of his way to make Tory Remainers unwelcome (by sacking 27 of them to begin with) while Corbyn really isn't that bothered if we leave or remain.
https://twitter.com/MattCartoonist/status/1194315930223943684?s=20
The argument used to run that Labour - ideology aside - could not afford to allow Scotland to become independent because they'd never form a majority government in Westminster again without their huge block of Scottish MPs.
If they can't rely on Scottish voters to provide those MPs, then their practical objections may fall away. Which could be why Jeremy Corbyn sounds so much more relaxed about an independence referendum than any of his predecessors.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-50405399?intlink_from_url=https://www.bbc.com/news/scotland/scotland_politics&link_location=live-reporting-correspondent
It is also not the job of Plaid Cymru & the Greens to prop up the LibDems.
Corbyn can rely on Scottish voters to provide SNP MPs that loathe the tories as much if not more than labour Scottish MPs did. MPs who are quite happy to prop up his government.
They can also be relied upon to keep failing to get and win independence referendums.
History tells us both parties pick older, more experienced candidates for that task e.g. Romney, Kerry, Dole, Mondale, Reagan or radicals like McGovern or Goldwater.
2020 will likely be the same with the Democrats either picking the experienced Biden or the radical Warren or Sanders
Should go down well in Esher and Walton....
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2019/11/08/regional-voting-intentions-show-both-main-parties-
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/pennsylvania/
The latest poll shows Trump just ahead of both Sanders and Warren with likely voters (with an A+ rated pollster, too).
Cherry-picking would be taking the 3rd most recent poll which has Trump 11 ahead of Warren in Pennsylvania.
Or listen to the podcast for more analysis of this:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/politics-podcast-could-trump-lose-the-popular-vote-and-win-again/
https://twitter.com/GuyKiddey/status/1194555805514838016
Seems his main concern is that the candidate who stood down in Canterbury is facing disciplinary action.
Not sure the LD activist core is going to take very kindly to this kind of top-down bullying
There are several questions, all at play at the same time.
1. Do you want to stay in the EU or do you want to leave it?
2. Do you want a Johnson government with unfettered power?
3. Do you want a Socialist government with unfettered power?
For my part, I certainly do not want either 2 or 3. I do not hate and fear a Tory government so much that I would risk having a Socialist one. And conversely.
The Lib Dems are our only option for ending up with a responsible government.
Brexit is costing us our future, Labour is planning to visit Venezuela on us, and we are fretting over LD selection policy in Canterbury?
Jeez.....
Strange that many of those most exercised by the "will of the people" voting in the referendum don't give a stuff whether our electoral system delivers the "will of the people" when we are electing a government.
This election should be a no-brainer. But sadly all it will prove is that the electorate indeed has no brain...
In Wisconsin out of 43 match ups Trump leads in 4 of them.
In Michigan out of 50 match ups Trump leads in 9 of them.
In Pennsylvania out of 29 match ups Trump leads in 7 of them.
If that's OK I'd hate to see what doing badly looks like.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_tax_revenue_to_GDP_ratio
https://twitter.com/andysilke/status/1194541555291430913
I agree that defeating an incumbent (even a fairly unpopular one) is harder than winning an election with no incumbent. However, it's not a particularly original idea, and there are several examples of candidates doing just that.
What do you think that proves.
If (for example) no-one in France earning under 20 thousand Euros paid any tax then it is completely irrelevant what the countries Tax take to GDP is.
Like, I am completely blown away by the utter randomness of your link.
O - Orator
S - States
W - Women
I - In
N - Northern
S - Scotland
O - Own
N - Nothing
This election should be a no-brainer. But sadly all it will prove is that the electorate indeed has no brain...
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You have to seriously be prepared to threaten to walk away with no deal in order to get a good deal, that doesn't mean you intend no deal.
Just the same as you spend on your military in order to have peace. The Romans had an expression: Si vis pacem, para bellum that logic was known thousands of years ago is still relevant today.
PS if you wanted no deal you wouldn't threaten it, you'd just prepare for it and walk away without engaging in negotiations.
The Trump tariff war has hammered Iowa farmers, and I think that could flip. Arizona is becoming bluer by the day, and I think that's also likely to go to the Dems.
Which makes this a pretty exciting election.
Someone new comes on here and asks us all how we feel things are going.
Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm .....