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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A future history of Labour’s election in ten seats
Labour will overtake the SNP within 12 months if @LabourRichard wins. Remember this tweet. https://t.co/pnrPdAoAwB
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It won't be at this GE but over the next few, I think we will begin to see a rise of far more radical parties. It won't be Left vs Right. The likes of the Tories ,Lib Dems and Labour will be going backwards. I'm going to predict that XR will become a political party, and the Greens will gain more traction. Young people are becoming more politically aware, Greta Thunberg has become a role model for the youn'g 'uns and there will be wave upon wave of them reaching voting age.
We're dinosaurs on PB, either got our head down eating grass or in petty squabbles with other raptors. That comet is on it's way, we just can't see it in the glare of the sun.
Edit- It looks like a first by a landslide too!
Don’t forget the dinosaurs outlasted us by several hundred million years - and are still with us.
No one would be left unscathed.
Unleash Britain's potential?
You are having laugh Tories. Leave the world's largest free market (which your heroine was instrumental in setting up) and probably wreck the union of Britain in the process.
I suppose there’s no chance Islington North could be vulnerable? No, I thought not *sighs heavily.*
Scotland looked dead to Labour last time but they recovered a bit, as the header notes seats like that are key.
Wales I think they have a good shot with people like Crabb. The Tories flatter to deceive there (unlike the MIdlands).
Lesley Laird is probably a gonner in Kirkcaldy, but a couple of the seats they hold in Scotland are ultra marginal, so anything could happen if current voter volatility is anything to go by.
Still feel that Ian Murray is likely to be last man standing once again.
Until then, the question isn’t meaningful.
cutting political satire KLAXON
What feels good about any of them? Nothing, that's what. Old and stale. People only vote for them because they are pretty much all we have. One good thing about Brexit is the complete shitshow that it has turned into has shown up the political parties for what they are-crap, out of touch and facing crises of their own making.
Maybe we need a few more years of political chaos to finish them off. It'll probably be better for the country in the long run.
BREAKING Truro & Falmouth Brexit Party Steps Down to Avoid Splitting Leave Vote https://t.co/WODAST80r4 https://t.co/6Tl486rY2x
https://twitter.com/lewis_goodall/status/1192163164701560833?s=20
The SNP vote is basically static, they take these swathes of seats on the incumbent receeding. But tactical voting could keep the incumbent in place even as the SLab national vote plummets.
Absolutely loved the grand and excited limo cam as Boris went to the palace. Very Trump. Exactly what Winston would have done if alive today.
Then in downing street, what he did promise us is probably the most key pitch in this whole election, hundreds of billions of pounds to flow into the country once we have got Brexit done.
What daft voter would turn money like that down? Look what good the hundreds of billions of Brexit bonus can do in this country, for people on the breadline, in communities the elites in parliament have forgotten about, for health service, for benefits, people with dementia where care chews up all their life savings, for people going hungry, we are talking hundreds of billions of pounds Boris has lined up, and we can do all that good work and all of us have tax cuts too and be richer in our pockets. Its insane there are actual people blocking Brexit when our country can be hundreds of billions of pounds richer.
He stood there, he launched his campaign with this promise. What sort of person wouldn’t take Boris up on such a promise?
Game set match Before the archaic Stalinist has even creaked out of bed ? 🆘
https://twitter.com/aldotcom/status/1192152133174468609?s=19
Oh, wait.
I would be interested on your thoughts on the Grenfell fire disaster too.
Actually, my lads will mostly be drinking beer, advocating a 3 day week so they can play more Modern Warfare and advocating the use of skateboards as public transport, so perhaps some other kids can step up.
They are squabbling over a tiny slice of the vote now, with a poor position on Brexit in a Remain voting country, whilst alienating potentially indy curious voters.
But tactical voting is huge in Scotland, and all I can safely predict is a highly entertaining night for the armchair psephologists.
Boris said it. Boris launched his campaign saying it. Did he not?
Tom Watson to quit as Labour deputy leader and stand down as MP
Exclusive: move will reopen debate about party’s direction under Jeremy Corbyn
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/nov/06/tom-watson-to-quit-as-labour-deputy-leader-and-stand-down-as-mp?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
Oh wait...
That is a major surprise.
https://twitter.com/tom_watson/status/1192169894479122433
There is no evidence of very much at all, for now.
Remainers vs. Leavers: Who are the most ardent?
From the YouGov / The Times / Sky Survey Results
Remainy Parties:
Lab: 36% of Remainers,9% of Leavers
Lib: 33% of Remainers, 3% of Leavers
SNP: 6% of Remainers, 1% of Leavers
Plaid: 1% of Remainers, 1% of Leavers
Green: 6% of remainers, 3% of Leavers
Total Remainy Parties: 83% of Remainers, 17% of Leavers
Brexity Parties:
Con: 17% of Remainers, 59% of Leavers
BXP: 0% of Remainers, 22% of Leavers
Total Brexity Parties: 17% of Remainers, 81% of Leavers
So there we have it: About 17% of both remainers and leavers are sufficiently unardent (inardent?) to vote for a party offering the opposite of what they voted for in 2016.
i) About 1% voted for other parties
ii) I have assumed that labour is a remainy party.
iii) I failed the stats module in my degree
Will we ever get back to the days when everything isn't turned up to eleventy stupid?
Which means I think that the NEC would appoint a caretaker.
Is this how Macdonnell wins the prize?
Has he seen the polling in his seat
I failed my biology CSE.
Did Boris really come out to the lectern and say he didn’t want an election?
Will he repeat that again?
https://order-order.com/2019/11/06/truro-falmouth-brexit-party-steps-avoid-splitting-leave-vote/
Whoever wins Portsmouth South has had a good election. Labour hold for value, surely?
I think it’s more likely there was some manoeuvring behind the scenes within Labour. That tweet can be read in a number of ways - e.g. ‘I’ll campaign for brilliant Labour candidates, which excludes all the momentum nutters and racists.’