My intro to PB was finding it through a recommendation on Twitter, around the time of the Glasgow East by-election. I won a nice sum, thanks to advice on here.
Professor John Curtice makes a prediction on @LBC:
“I will make a prediction. There are going to be a record number of non-Conservative and non-Labour MPs as a result of this election.
Assuming this is a post-WWII record then that's not too hard to achieve if both the SNP and Liberal Democrats do well in the same election for the first time.
It does mean that if the Tories have any majority that Labour would have to be on a very low number of seats.
I wonder who PBers would tip for coming third in MPs - SNP or Liberal Democrats?
Mr. Code, when proofing my own work, the discovery of errant apostrophes (especially "it's" for the possessive) is horrendous. Probably the most loathsome of mistakes to make.
I think the desire for perfect consistency in these matter is misplaced.
I think this is key. After all, the human brain is developing through adolescence to the age of 25 or even 30. Adulthood is not a threshold, it's a journey. It's a change in state that occurs gradually over a prolonged period of time. Of course the legal system, justice system, health system, education system and, yes, electoral system needs to place thresholds at one point or another, but aside from the desire for imposed artificial neatness, there's no reason why the thresholds for everything need to be in the same position. It's just our desire to pigeonhole and categorise things neatly that makes us want to do things (according to Kahnemann and Twesrky, it's the desire to reduce cognitive load: if we can just chuck things into a pigeonhole that we made earlier, we don't have to think. If that pigeonhole isn't a perfect fit or even relevant, well, so be it).
I do not know where I am on votes for 16-year-olds. I feel highly skeptical on it, but is that just because I grew up with 18 as the done thing?
I have just watched Corbyn announce the start of his campaign. He's an attractive politician and I suspect we're all underestimating him. What's more his followers adore him. You can see it. I think in the midst of all the criticism and spending so much time on the back foot it was easy to forget his qualities. He has an aura and an honesty that could be quite a USP.
I have just watched Corbyn announce the start of his campaign. He's an attractive politician and I suspect we're all underestimating him. What's more his followers adore him. You can see it. I think in the midst of all the criticism and always being on the back foot it was easy to forget his qualities. He has an aura and an honesty and in to days politics that could be quite a USP.
He is the most unpopular leader of the opposition in history.
I have just watched Corbyn announce the start of his campaign. He's an attractive politician and I suspect we're all underestimating him. What's more his followers adore him. You can see it. I think in the midst of all the criticism and always being on the back foot it was easy to forget his qualities. He has an aura and an honesty and in to days politics that could be quite a USP.
I don't see the appeal of such devotion, frankly, and his qualities were not so apparenty that he remained happily anonymous on the back benches for 30 years,
However, you are right that he is underestimated and that adoration, however much I do not understand it, is useful.
But it does have limitations, and there are reasons he has spent years struggling with his own MPs and poor ratings - MPs want an easy life, they don't express such concerns without reservations being genuine.
I think the desire for perfect consistency in these matter is misplaced.
Perfect consistency may not be reasonable, but more consistency than we have at present is not, and there are many things where the basic question of if we think they are children or adults would see changes to the age limits.
I have just watched Corbyn announce the start of his campaign. He's an attractive politician and I suspect we're all underestimating him. What's more his followers adore him. You can see it. I think in the midst of all the criticism and spending so much time on the back foot it was easy to forget his qualities. He has an aura and an honesty that could be quite a USP.
Honesty? Can't even get his story straight about a wreath.
Comments
I like the line "we will burn that bride when we get to it"
Time for a total re-boot
And I am relaxed at the outcome. Either Boris wins and we leave or there will be a referendum (not the absurd named peoples vote) in Summer 2020
It does mean that if the Tories have any majority that Labour would have to be on a very low number of seats.
I wonder who PBers would tip for coming third in MPs - SNP or Liberal Democrats?
If so that was when the LibDems collapsed
All he’s saying is SNP reclaim their peak plus some LibDem recovery - not a bold prediction
I take his predictions very seriously.
After all, the human brain is developing through adolescence to the age of 25 or even 30.
Adulthood is not a threshold, it's a journey. It's a change in state that occurs gradually over a prolonged period of time.
Of course the legal system, justice system, health system, education system and, yes, electoral system needs to place thresholds at one point or another, but aside from the desire for imposed artificial neatness, there's no reason why the thresholds for everything need to be in the same position. It's just our desire to pigeonhole and categorise things neatly that makes us want to do things (according to Kahnemann and Twesrky, it's the desire to reduce cognitive load: if we can just chuck things into a pigeonhole that we made earlier, we don't have to think. If that pigeonhole isn't a perfect fit or even relevant, well, so be it).
I do not know where I am on votes for 16-year-olds. I feel highly skeptical on it, but is that just because I grew up with 18 as the done thing?
However, you are right that he is underestimated and that adoration, however much I do not understand it, is useful.
But it does have limitations, and there are reasons he has spent years struggling with his own MPs and poor ratings - MPs want an easy life, they don't express such concerns without reservations being genuine.