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  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237
    2020 💃
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,504
    Alistair said:

    Deal goes through then election == massive Tory Majority

    Election triggered before October 31st October has passed == massive Tory Majority

    Election triggered after Oct 31st with Brexit not sorted == Brexit Party resurgence.

    Exactly.
  • Harris_TweedHarris_Tweed Posts: 1,337
    kle4 said:

    stodge said:

    SNP say if Boris pulls the bill they will support the GE

    Why continue with it

    The problem for Boris is if he pulls the Brexit Bill and fails to get an election his authority and credibility will be in tatters.
    Then must be very confident in getting an election, since after saying he'd pull it not doing so would shred any remaining credibility.
    Presumably, BJ's thinking is that a continuing zombie parliament which has failed either to piss or get off the pot will become even more unpopular the longer it remains in that state.

    My one word of caution (like he's listening to me :smile: ) is that he gets lumped in with all the rest after a while - "you said you could fix this, and you couldn't". I can see the others voting for an election, then fatally holing the bill with amendments (ones which feel reasonable to remainers and waverers), and leave him hobbling to polling day almost begging for votes to "get Boris over the line".

    In any case, I think the "deal" he's offered today is an odd one: "give me an election and I'll bring back this bill you all love so much"? I guess he thinks the public loves the bill so much, the opposition will either back it or be punished for failing to. There's also a chance that a couple of months of forensic scrutiny (aka MPs flinging faeces at each other on TV) makes it look less attractive to the electorate.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    kle4 said:

    Andrew said:

    nico67 said:

    We don’t have the full voting figures yet in terms of MPs . Bozo really wanted to lose that vote .

    Indeed - really curious to see who abstained. 310-294, there were 31 of them.

    Edit:
    11 Lab abstainers, Allen and Lamb from LibDems.

    Indies: Bebb Boles Clarke Hermon Paisley Lewis Nokes Stewart Woodcock and …. Williamson

    …. and the whole of tigc
    Curious why Allen and Lamb would do so.
    Sorry am I reading this right? There were Labour abstentions on the Queen’s Speech?!
    According to CommonsVotes
    https://commonsvotes.digiminster.com/Divisions/Details/730?byMember=false#notrecorded

    I guess they just didn't turn up? Same sort of numbers on the amendments.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293

    I couldn’t really care less about anger in the public or Tory party if this election can is kicked into next year.

    I’m just looking forward to the tortured climb downs from the likes of Gin and Big G on here!

    In the words of Rev. Paisley

    NEVER! NEVER! NEVER!

    :D
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    Well after all this maybe time to see what happens tomorrow.

    I have no idea but I find it inconceivable the SNP and Corbyn would turn down an election

    I cannot even start to imagine the gift to the Scons.

    All their birthdays at once in making the SNP look frit

    If you were a labour my with no faith in corbyn saving them in the current climate you would vote against an election. All they can do is say no and wait to see what happens. Anything could happen so better to sit back and wait after all 2022 is the only date that matters. Not my view because I think a pre brexit resolution election is best for the lib dems and since everybody else is now doing I support what’s best for my party I’ll do the same. After all it’s served the Torys well for years.
  • Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547
    edited October 2019
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Andrew said:

    nico67 said:

    We don’t have the full voting figures yet in terms of MPs . Bozo really wanted to lose that vote .

    Indeed - really curious to see who abstained. 310-294, there were 31 of them.

    Edit:
    11 Lab abstainers, Allen and Lamb from LibDems.

    Indies: Bebb Boles Clarke Hermon Paisley Lewis Nokes Stewart Woodcock and …. Williamson

    …. and the whole of tigc
    Curious why Allen and Lamb would do so.
    Sorry am I reading this right? There were Labour abstentions on the Queen’s Speech?!
    According to CommonsVotes
    https://commonsvotes.digiminster.com/Divisions/Details/730?byMember=false#notrecorded

    I guess they just didn't turn up? Same sort of numbers on the amendments.
    I suppose that now it can’t collapse the Government there’s scope for the three pairings and (it seems) some to be slipped. Still looks odd.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,491
    Interestingly, the DUP voted with the Government on the Queen’s Speech and the amendment.

    They are clearly not interested in burning all bridges.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Alistair said:

    Deal goes through then election == massive Tory Majority

    Election triggered before October 31st October has passed == massive Tory Majority

    Election triggered after Oct 31st with Brexit not sorted == Brexit Party resurgence.

    That's the theory. But still leaves me wit hthe question of why Boris doesn't at least try to pass his deal in the interim, as it will show to BXP voters he is trying, just being defeated by the elitist remainers or whatever.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    Alistair said:



    Election triggered after Oct 31st with Brexit not sorted == Brexit Party resurgence.

    I don't think that will be the case at all. ;)
  • eekeek Posts: 28,405
    edited October 2019

    Well after all this maybe time to see what happens tomorrow.

    I have no idea but I find it inconceivable the SNP and Corbyn would turn down an election

    I cannot even start to imagine the gift to the Scons.

    All their birthdays at once in making the SNP look frit

    You forget the first rule about Boris. - He's a confirmed liar (remember he's been sacked for it twice) who can't be trusted.

    My current thinking is that Boris will be left in limbo for a week and then there will be a VoNC on November 4th / 5th with an election after Christmas.
  • Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547
    edited October 2019

    Interestingly, the DUP voted with the Government on the Queen’s Speech and the amendment.

    They are clearly not interested in burning all bridges.

    Suggests that with a few indies and the ex-Tories as a block, a VONC would fail I guess?

    Edit - Or rather no chance Corbyn could gain confidence now No deal Brexit is off. So VONC passes with Gvt inactivity (via whipless Tories) and leads to GE?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Andrew said:
    As was predicted, the same method as last time in order to let Macron show how much he'd rather we take the first tier, without making it problematic for the others.

  • If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Andrew said:

    nico67 said:

    We don’t have the full voting figures yet in terms of MPs . Bozo really wanted to lose that vote .

    Indeed - really curious to see who abstained. 310-294, there were 31 of them.

    Edit:
    11 Lab abstainers, Allen and Lamb from LibDems.

    Indies: Bebb Boles Clarke Hermon Paisley Lewis Nokes Stewart Woodcock and …. Williamson

    …. and the whole of tigc
    Curious why Allen and Lamb would do so.
    Sorry am I reading this right? There were Labour abstentions on the Queen’s Speech?!
    According to CommonsVotes
    https://commonsvotes.digiminster.com/Divisions/Details/730?byMember=false#notrecorded

    I guess they just didn't turn up? Same sort of numbers on the amendments.
    Over 10% of Tory Swinson party abstained

    100% of Change UK abstained
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,491

    Interestingly, the DUP voted with the Government on the Queen’s Speech and the amendment.

    They are clearly not interested in burning all bridges.

    Suggests that with a few indies and the ex-Tories as a block, a VONC would fail I guess?
    Probably, by abstentions. Many independents don’t want to risk Corbyn in charge and also want to tar Boris with all the responsibility.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,491
    kinabalu said:

    2020 💃

    Labour and the SNP are going to shit the bed and, if it doesn’t happen on Monday, it won’t happen in 2019 at all.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Andrew said:

    nico67 said:

    We don’t have the full voting figures yet in terms of MPs . Bozo really wanted to lose that vote .

    Indeed - really curious to see who abstained. 310-294, there were 31 of them.

    Edit:
    11 Lab abstainers, Allen and Lamb from LibDems.

    Indies: Bebb Boles Clarke Hermon Paisley Lewis Nokes Stewart Woodcock and …. Williamson

    …. and the whole of tigc
    Curious why Allen and Lamb would do so.
    Sorry am I reading this right? There were Labour abstentions on the Queen’s Speech?!
    According to CommonsVotes
    https://commonsvotes.digiminster.com/Divisions/Details/730?byMember=false#notrecorded

    I guess they just didn't turn up? Same sort of numbers on the amendments.
    Look it’s thursday evening that’s POETF day for MPs
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    Interestingly, the DUP voted with the Government on the Queen’s Speech and the amendment.

    They are clearly not interested in burning all bridges.


    Only the ones with customs posts on
  • nichomar said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Andrew said:

    nico67 said:

    We don’t have the full voting figures yet in terms of MPs . Bozo really wanted to lose that vote .

    Indeed - really curious to see who abstained. 310-294, there were 31 of them.

    Edit:
    11 Lab abstainers, Allen and Lamb from LibDems.

    Indies: Bebb Boles Clarke Hermon Paisley Lewis Nokes Stewart Woodcock and …. Williamson

    …. and the whole of tigc
    Curious why Allen and Lamb would do so.
    Sorry am I reading this right? There were Labour abstentions on the Queen’s Speech?!
    According to CommonsVotes
    https://commonsvotes.digiminster.com/Divisions/Details/730?byMember=false#notrecorded

    I guess they just didn't turn up? Same sort of numbers on the amendments.
    Look it’s thursday evening that’s POETF day for MPs
    Yes, but for a Queen’s Speech vote with a minority Gvt? It just underlines the different world FTPA created.
  • eek said:

    Well after all this maybe time to see what happens tomorrow.

    I have no idea but I find it inconceivable the SNP and Corbyn would turn down an election

    I cannot even start to imagine the gift to the Scons.

    All their birthdays at once in making the SNP look frit

    You forget the first rule about Boris. - He's a confirmed liar (remember he's been sacked for it twice) who can't be trusted.

    My current thinking is that Boris will be left in limbo for a week and then there will be a VoNC on November 4th / 5th with an election after Christmas.
    But that is not possible if this extension ends on the 31st January

    I cannot see the EU extending further for a GE that like this one,if it takes place, has no certain outcome
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    kinabalu said:

    2020 💃

    Labour and the SNP are going to shit the bed and, if it doesn’t happen on Monday, it won’t happen in 2019 at all.
    The SNP will be happy to have one whenever it happens, I should think, so can afford to wait until the moment Boris does not want it.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    Britain finally loses its tiny mind:

    https://twitter.com/lisanandy/status/1187419776450285569

    The Brexit virus has destroyed this country. Can we ever come back?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,616
    Alistair said:

    Deal goes through then election == massive Tory Majority

    Election triggered before October 31st October has passed == massive Tory Majority

    Election triggered after Oct 31st with Brexit not sorted == Brexit Party resurgence.

    Your first two assessments are right.

    Brexit Party resurgence in 3 comes from Labour though. Tory vote stays solid.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    What on eath could this "senior figure" be afraid of? :D
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676

    If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
  • eekeek Posts: 28,405

    eek said:

    Well after all this maybe time to see what happens tomorrow.

    I have no idea but I find it inconceivable the SNP and Corbyn would turn down an election

    I cannot even start to imagine the gift to the Scons.

    All their birthdays at once in making the SNP look frit

    You forget the first rule about Boris. - He's a confirmed liar (remember he's been sacked for it twice) who can't be trusted.

    My current thinking is that Boris will be left in limbo for a week and then there will be a VoNC on November 4th / 5th with an election after Christmas.
    But that is not possible if this extension ends on the 31st January

    I cannot see the EU extending further for a GE that like this one,if it takes place, has no certain outcome
    An election on January 9th allows everything to be done.

  • blueblueblueblue Posts: 875
    GIN1138 said:

    What on eath could this "senior figure" be afraid of? :D
    Christmas! :wink:
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,504
    kinabalu said:

    2020 💃

    All those that laid 2019 take a bow. Kudos to @AlastairMeeks and @Casino_Royale I would predict...
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    Britain finally loses its tiny mind:

    https://twitter.com/lisanandy/status/1187419776450285569

    The Brexit virus has destroyed this country. Can we ever come back?

    Not in my life time whoever let this out of Pandora’s box has a lot to answer to
  • blueblueblueblue Posts: 875

    If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    Because Labour can't win anything without vote-rigging.
  • Twitter

    I’m calculating that if they vote down an election the french will veto the extension, because in all seriousness what would be the point in three more months of this.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,504
    Any chance of an apology @gin ? Pathetic patronising drivel from you these past few days old bean.
  • If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    I’ve wondered about that idea. Away from the pros and cons, is it practicably possible to affect that change in time? None of the paperwork would line up.

    Even if it was, you’d surely only catch the really motivated few who applied, and you’d miss the millions(s) you get with the letter reminder.
  • If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    Not enough time
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    eek said:

    eek said:

    Well after all this maybe time to see what happens tomorrow.

    I have no idea but I find it inconceivable the SNP and Corbyn would turn down an election

    I cannot even start to imagine the gift to the Scons.

    All their birthdays at once in making the SNP look frit

    You forget the first rule about Boris. - He's a confirmed liar (remember he's been sacked for it twice) who can't be trusted.

    My current thinking is that Boris will be left in limbo for a week and then there will be a VoNC on November 4th / 5th with an election after Christmas.
    But that is not possible if this extension ends on the 31st January

    I cannot see the EU extending further for a GE that like this one,if it takes place, has no certain outcome
    An election on January 9th allows everything to be done.

    Campaigning over Christmas and New Year?

    Can't see that going down well.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    Ffs lets just have an election. This is ridiculous.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    Will Macron do a huge favour for the PM of a departing nation at the risk of totally alienating 26 other EU members who he has to work with in the future .

    I expect a ladder will be designed to allow Macron to climb down from .
  • eek said:

    eek said:

    Well after all this maybe time to see what happens tomorrow.

    I have no idea but I find it inconceivable the SNP and Corbyn would turn down an election

    I cannot even start to imagine the gift to the Scons.

    All their birthdays at once in making the SNP look frit

    You forget the first rule about Boris. - He's a confirmed liar (remember he's been sacked for it twice) who can't be trusted.

    My current thinking is that Boris will be left in limbo for a week and then there will be a VoNC on November 4th / 5th with an election after Christmas.
    But that is not possible if this extension ends on the 31st January

    I cannot see the EU extending further for a GE that like this one,if it takes place, has no certain outcome
    An election on January 9th allows everything to be done.

    Not if it is another hung parliament
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    Long overdue, let’s add STV with multi member constituencies as well to resolve the anti democratic nature of the UK voting system
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2019/oct/24/majority-of-voters-think-violence-against-mps-is-price-worth-paying-for-brexit

    We are all going to start fighting. On a more serious point I would like to see peoples reasons as to why they think violence is acceptable, i certainly do not.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675

    If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    Not enough time
    A couple of days ago Tories were arguing that you could get Brexit done in days. Now there is no time for anything.

    Seriously, make up your mind.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293

    Any chance of an apology @gin ? Pathetic patronising drivel from you these past few days old bean.

    X
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237

    Labour and the SNP are going to shit the bed and, if it doesn’t happen on Monday, it won’t happen in 2019 at all.

    No way 2019.

    Johnson needs to miss his 31 Oct date and then let him percolate for a while.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    edited October 2019

    Ffs lets just have an election. This is ridiculous.

    Quite, stupid to wait until some bollocks deal is agreed let’s have this out.
  • stodge said:


    Clearly you are not talking to any Leave supporters. The fact that Boris has managed to get a deal and that it is only been blocked by Parliament because they don't want any sort of Brexit is what is angering Leavers. We are way passed the point at which any Leaver with the possible exception of Farage and Tice will make anything of this. Amongst Leave voters the hatred for Parliament and its games is all consuming.

    There are two aspects - there is a WA which Parliament will accept (or did at Second Reading) but it simply wants time to carry out proper and appropriate scrutiny and the farcical notion such a key document should be rushed through Parliament in 72 hours just to satisfy one man's ego and promises is absurd.

    The second is while I appreciate the pro-Government and pro-Johnson spin, there will also be the counter argument that Johnson made a promise and couldn't keep it. Some may wonder why he made the commitment if he thought it couldn't be kept and others might ask what other unachievable commitments and promises he has made - the one about making Britain "the greatest place on Earth" for example?

    I am certainly not pro-Johnson. All I want is Brexit done. If both Johnson and Corbyn fall as a result then all the better.

    But you are missing the basic point. No one on the Leave side cares about the Johnson promise anymore. They have seen us get within touching distance of Brexit thanks to Johnson and that has transformed Leaver's views. You even have Banks now supporting Johnson's plans.

    The only people who still seem to care about the promise are Remainers - and they were never going to support him anyway.

    The optics of this are entirely of Parliament preventing Brexit. Johnson may be a scumbag but he has played this one perfectly and got exactly the position he wants as far as Leave voters are concerned.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    Andrew said:
    LOL! So its a 31st January extension but gives Macron a way of saving face! :D
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    justin124 said:

    No sign of the Opposition parties being inclined to vote for the election motion.The Green , LDs , ChangeUK and many Labour MPs will vote against or abstain.

    It is both sad and amusing to see the succession of Opposition MPs parading in front of the cameras to come up with their desperate excuses for why they don't want an election. Of course none of them will mention the real reason - that they are frightened of the verdict of the voters.
    I they conspire to stop the GE or worse try to remove Boris I cannot imagine the fury heading their way in public opinion
    <blockquote class="Quote" rel="Big_G_No

    This is no conspiracy. The people knew what they were doing when they voted for a fixed term Parliament until 2022. How dare Johnson defy the will of the people?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,133
    edited October 2019
    Andrew said:
    I would be surprised if Boris and Macron have not negotiated this
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468

    stodge said:


    Clearly you are not talking to any Leave supporters. The fact that Boris has managed to get a deal and that it is only been blocked by Parliament because they don't want any sort of Brexit is what is angering Leavers. We are way passed the point at which any Leaver with the possible exception of Farage and Tice will make anything of this. Amongst Leave voters the hatred for Parliament and its games is all consuming.

    There are two aspects - there is a WA which Parliament will accept (or did at Second Reading) but it simply wants time to carry out proper and appropriate scrutiny and the farcical notion such a key document should be rushed through Parliament in 72 hours just to satisfy one man's ego and promises is absurd.

    The second is while I appreciate the pro-Government and pro-Johnson spin, there will also be the counter argument that Johnson made a promise and couldn't keep it. Some may wonder why he made the commitment if he thought it couldn't be kept and others might ask what other unachievable commitments and promises he has made - the one about making Britain "the greatest place on Earth" for example?

    I am certainly not pro-Johnson. All I want is Brexit done. If both Johnson and Corbyn fall as a result then all the better.

    But you are missing the basic point. No one on the Leave side cares about the Johnson promise anymore. They have seen us get within touching distance of Brexit thanks to Johnson and that has transformed Leaver's views. You even have Banks now supporting Johnson's plans.

    The only people who still seem to care about the promise are Remainers - and they were never going to support him anyway.

    The optics of this are entirely of Parliament preventing Brexit. Johnson may be a scumbag but he has played this one perfectly and got exactly the position he wants as far as Leave voters are concerned.
    Does the polling support this assertion?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,491
    kinabalu said:

    Labour and the SNP are going to shit the bed and, if it doesn’t happen on Monday, it won’t happen in 2019 at all.

    No way 2019.

    Johnson needs to miss his 31 Oct date and then let him percolate for a while.
    This assumption is now flawed and out of date.

    Leave voters know perfectly well what's going on.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    eek said:

    eek said:

    Well after all this maybe time to see what happens tomorrow.

    I have no idea but I find it inconceivable the SNP and Corbyn would turn down an election

    I cannot even start to imagine the gift to the Scons.

    All their birthdays at once in making the SNP look frit

    You forget the first rule about Boris. - He's a confirmed liar (remember he's been sacked for it twice) who can't be trusted.

    My current thinking is that Boris will be left in limbo for a week and then there will be a VoNC on November 4th / 5th with an election after Christmas.
    But that is not possible if this extension ends on the 31st January

    I cannot see the EU extending further for a GE that like this one,if it takes place, has no certain outcome
    An election on January 9th allows everything to be done.

    Earliest 2020 date is probably 23rd January.
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    GIN1138 said:


    LOL! So its a 31st January extension but gives Macron a way of saving face! :D

    Classic Eurofudge indeed.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    How could it all be so different from 2017? ;)
  • Jonathan said:

    If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    Not enough time
    A couple of days ago Tories were arguing that you could get Brexit done in days. Now there is no time for anything.

    Seriously, make up your mind.
    How do you achieve votes for 16s for a GE on the 12th December
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    edited October 2019
    DougSeal said:

    justin124 said:

    No sign of the Opposition parties being inclined to vote for the election motion.The Green , LDs , ChangeUK and many Labour MPs will vote against or abstain.

    It is both sad and amusing to see the succession of Opposition MPs parading in front of the cameras to come up with their desperate excuses for why they don't want an election. Of course none of them will mention the real reason - that they are frightened of the verdict of the voters.
    I they conspire to stop the GE or worse try to remove Boris I cannot imagine the fury heading their way in public opinion

    This is no conspiracy. The people knew what they were doing when they voted for a fixed term Parliament until 2022. How dare Johnson defy the will of the people?
    What fraction of the public has heard of the FTPA? Must be near zero. :D
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237

    Ffs lets just have an election. This is ridiculous.

    It isn't. It's fascinating.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,163
    nichomar said:

    Britain finally loses its tiny mind:

    https://twitter.com/lisanandy/status/1187419776450285569

    The Brexit virus has destroyed this country. Can we ever come back?

    Not in my life time whoever let this out of Pandora’s box has a lot to answer to
    Let us just go for it. No Deal and wreck the country.

    We will then see how many of those saying "We must respect democracy even if it wrecks the country" actually mean it when the rubber hits the road.

    I suspect very few will think the price was worth paying once they face the consequences.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,504
    GIN1138 said:

    Any chance of an apology @gin ? Pathetic patronising drivel from you these past few days old bean.

    X
    Thought not.
  • OllyT said:

    justin124 said:

    No sign of the Opposition parties being inclined to vote for the election motion.The Green , LDs , ChangeUK and many Labour MPs will vote against or abstain.

    It is both sad and amusing to see the succession of Opposition MPs parading in front of the cameras to come up with their desperate excuses for why they don't want an election. Of course none of them will mention the real reason - that they are frightened of the verdict of the voters.
    I they conspire to stop the GE or worse try to remove Boris I cannot imagine the fury heading their way in public opinion
    Tories get furious if Tory leader doesnt get his way shocker!
    The Tories changed the rules and brought in the FTPA when it suited them, now, only a few short years later they are having a tantrum and throwing their toys out the pram because it no longer suits them. Hoist by their own petard seems to describe the situation perfectly. That and schadenfreude.
    It was the Coalition that brought in the FTPA because that was the only ay the Lib Dems would go into Government. If anyone is to blame it is Clegg. This was his abortion.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237

    All those that laid 2019 take a bow. Kudos to @AlastairMeeks and @Casino_Royale I would predict...

    What about ME ??
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,163

    eek said:

    eek said:

    Well after all this maybe time to see what happens tomorrow.

    I have no idea but I find it inconceivable the SNP and Corbyn would turn down an election

    I cannot even start to imagine the gift to the Scons.

    All their birthdays at once in making the SNP look frit

    You forget the first rule about Boris. - He's a confirmed liar (remember he's been sacked for it twice) who can't be trusted.

    My current thinking is that Boris will be left in limbo for a week and then there will be a VoNC on November 4th / 5th with an election after Christmas.
    But that is not possible if this extension ends on the 31st January

    I cannot see the EU extending further for a GE that like this one,if it takes place, has no certain outcome
    An election on January 9th allows everything to be done.

    Not if it is another hung parliament
    You cannot know the outcome without holding the election (unless you get Asimov's Multivac involved)

    Since hung parliaments are less common than "un-hung" ones, the probability is that the deadlock will be broken.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    RobD said:

    DougSeal said:

    justin124 said:

    No sign of the Opposition parties being inclined to vote for the election motion.The Green , LDs , ChangeUK and many Labour MPs will vote against or abstain.

    It is both sad and amusing to see the succession of Opposition MPs parading in front of the cameras to come up with their desperate excuses for why they don't want an election. Of course none of them will mention the real reason - that they are frightened of the verdict of the voters.
    I they conspire to stop the GE or worse try to remove Boris I cannot imagine the fury heading their way in public opinion

    This is no conspiracy. The people knew what they were doing when they voted for a fixed term Parliament until 2022. How dare Johnson defy the will of the people?
    What fraction of the public has heard of the FTPA? Must be near zero. :D
    I suppose the same proportion that have a clue about any deal that has been negotiated with the Eu and the same proportion that understand the implications of leaving the EU.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,900


    I am certainly not pro-Johnson. All I want is Brexit done. If both Johnson and Corbyn fall as a result then all the better.

    But you are missing the basic point. No one on the Leave side cares about the Johnson promise anymore. They have seen us get within touching distance of Brexit thanks to Johnson and that has transformed Leaver's views. You even have Banks now supporting Johnson's plans.

    The only people who still seem to care about the promise are Remainers - and they were never going to support him anyway.

    The optics of this are entirely of Parliament preventing Brexit. Johnson may be a scumbag but he has played this one perfectly and got exactly the position he wants as far as Leave voters are concerned.

    I apologise for making you a Johnson supporter - that was uncalled for. You have far more intelligence than to support that charlatan.

    You may be surprised I want Brexit done too but I want a WA which works for the whole of the UK and a WA which has been subject to proper and adequate scrutiny.

    I'm not buying some old pig in a poke from the snake oil salesman without a touch of due diligence and I'm already seeing from those who have scrutinised it in detail some worrying concerns as to whether it's even as good a treaty as May's.

    To leave just for the sake of leaving with a WA which will harm the UK in the medium to longer terms is stupid.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    I'm guessing Cummings' strategy is that MPs will reject an election on 12th December and that as a result the Tories' poll ratings wilo continue to go up.
  • nichomar said:

    Britain finally loses its tiny mind:

    https://twitter.com/lisanandy/status/1187419776450285569

    The Brexit virus has destroyed this country. Can we ever come back?

    Not in my life time whoever let this out of Pandora’s box has a lot to answer to
    Blame those who refused to accept the will of the people. - oh like you.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,405
    stodge said:


    Clearly you are not talking to any Leave supporters. The fact that Boris has managed to get a deal and that it is only been blocked by Parliament because they don't want any sort of Brexit is what is angering Leavers. We are way passed the point at which any Leaver with the possible exception of Farage and Tice will make anything of this. Amongst Leave voters the hatred for Parliament and its games is all consuming.

    There are two aspects - there is a WA which Parliament will accept (or did at Second Reading) but it simply wants time to carry out proper and appropriate scrutiny and the farcical notion such a key document should be rushed through Parliament in 72 hours just to satisfy one man's ego and promises is absurd.

    The second is while I appreciate the pro-Government and pro-Johnson spin, there will also be the counter argument that Johnson made a promise and couldn't keep it. Some may wonder why he made the commitment if he thought it couldn't be kept and others might ask what other unachievable commitments and promises he has made - the one about making Britain "the greatest place on Earth" for example?


    There seems to be a lot of mis-understanding as to what the purpose of a second reading is.

    It does not mean that the bill will be passed - it merely shows that Parliament believes the bill is worthy of more detailed discussion.

    An MP voting for a bill in it's second reading does not mean they will vote for it in a the third reading - they may only want to vote for it to add some amendments (say a CU, or referendum) and only if those amendments are added vote for it in the final reading.
  • So opposition stop a GE, Boris pulls deal, therefore no deal, no GE then what
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    So opposition stop a GE, Boris pulls deal, therefore no deal, no GE then what

    No Deal is off the table.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675

    Jonathan said:

    If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    Not enough time
    A couple of days ago Tories were arguing that you could get Brexit done in days. Now there is no time for anything.

    Seriously, make up your mind.
    How do you achieve votes for 16s for a GE on the 12th December
    In exactly the same way that you get Brexit done by 31st October.

    " to dedicate ourselves again to that simple proposition that we are here to serve the democratic will of the British people

    and if we do that with optimism and confidence then I tell you we will not go wrong"
  • Alistair said:

    So opposition stop a GE, Boris pulls deal, therefore no deal, no GE then what

    No Deal is off the table.
    How
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    stodge said:


    I am certainly not pro-Johnson. All I want is Brexit done. If both Johnson and Corbyn fall as a result then all the better.

    But you are missing the basic point. No one on the Leave side cares about the Johnson promise anymore. They have seen us get within touching distance of Brexit thanks to Johnson and that has transformed Leaver's views. You even have Banks now supporting Johnson's plans.

    The only people who still seem to care about the promise are Remainers - and they were never going to support him anyway.

    The optics of this are entirely of Parliament preventing Brexit. Johnson may be a scumbag but he has played this one perfectly and got exactly the position he wants as far as Leave voters are concerned.

    I apologise for making you a Johnson supporter - that was uncalled for. You have far more intelligence than to support that charlatan.

    You may be surprised I want Brexit done too but I want a WA which works for the whole of the UK and a WA which has been subject to proper and adequate scrutiny.

    I'm not buying some old pig in a poke from the snake oil salesman without a touch of due diligence and I'm already seeing from those who have scrutinised it in detail some worrying concerns as to whether it's even as good a treaty as May's.

    To leave just for the sake of leaving with a WA which will harm the UK in the medium to longer terms is stupid.
    There are serious problems in the WA the least of which is the boarder in the Irish Sea, but there are some seriously anti democratic issues within the WAIB which could fundamentally alter the balance between executive and parliament but I’m afraid most people can’t be arsed. We actually need this election so that every day of the campaign the serious issues of these proposals are scrutinized which at the moment the government seem reluctant to do. Yes you’ll say remainer crap but please look at what they are trying to slide past you.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    LOL - leave the baby killers in place

    Useless fecks
  • Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    Not enough time
    A couple of days ago Tories were arguing that you could get Brexit done in days. Now there is no time for anything.

    Seriously, make up your mind.
    How do you achieve votes for 16s for a GE on the 12th December
    In exactly the same way that you get Brexit done by 31st October.

    " to dedicate ourselves again to that simple proposition that we are here to serve the democratic will of the British people

    and if we do that with optimism and confidence then I tell you we will not go wrong"
    How in the practical sense. They would need to be on the electoral register
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    Not enough time
    A couple of days ago Tories were arguing that you could get Brexit done in days. Now there is no time for anything.

    Seriously, make up your mind.
    How do you achieve votes for 16s for a GE on the 12th December
    In exactly the same way that you get Brexit done by 31st October.

    " to dedicate ourselves again to that simple proposition that we are here to serve the democratic will of the British people

    and if we do that with optimism and confidence then I tell you we will not go wrong"
    How in the practical sense. They would need to be on the electoral register
    You have no right to start talking about practicalities now.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Alistair said:

    So opposition stop a GE, Boris pulls deal, therefore no deal, no GE then what

    No Deal is off the table.
    It is not I’m afraid
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,842
    For a man who has stated time after time that he wants an election, Corbyn is doing everything to appear frit of one
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,504
    And you Kinbalau!
  • Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    Not enough time
    A couple of days ago Tories were arguing that you could get Brexit done in days. Now there is no time for anything.

    Seriously, make up your mind.
    How do you achieve votes for 16s for a GE on the 12th December
    In exactly the same way that you get Brexit done by 31st October.

    " to dedicate ourselves again to that simple proposition that we are here to serve the democratic will of the British people

    and if we do that with optimism and confidence then I tell you we will not go wrong"
    How in the practical sense. They would need to be on the electoral register
    You have no right to start talking about practicalities now.
    Really. Why and it is valid
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,900
    Anyway, enough of this nonsense (as PP would say) and we've all forgotten the Thuringia Landtag election this weekend.

    Latest polls show the ruling Linke with 28% and AfD on 24% with the CDU well down on 24%. As we all know, the CDU topped the poll in the last State election but it was a LInke/SPD/Green coalition which took over with a bare majority of 46 seats in the 91 seat Landtag.

    The polls suggest the ruling coalition will lose its majority as the SPD is down on last time but it seems unlikely the CDU and AfD will join forces so the key may be whether the FDP will break into the Landtag as the polls have them very close to the 5% threshold (last time they only got 2.5%).

    Just a quick word on Canada after Monday's election. Trudeau may not have kept his majority but his losses were fewer than many had expected because of the strong Liberal performance in Ontario. In 2015, the Liberals won 80 seats, the Conservatives 33 and the NDP 8 but this time the Liberals won 79, the Conservatives 36 and the NDP 6. For all the huge Conservative vote on the prairies Ontario and Quebec failed to match that and that's why Scheer failed.

    Half of Trudeau's MPs are from Ontario with another 35 from Quebec and holding that firewall kept Trudeau in power.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    RobD said:

    DougSeal said:

    justin124 said:

    No sign of the Opposition parties being inclined to vote for the election motion.The Green , LDs , ChangeUK and many Labour MPs will vote against or abstain.

    It is both sad and amusing to see the succession of Opposition MPs parading in front of the cameras to come up with their desperate excuses for why they don't want an election. Of course none of them will mention the real reason - that they are frightened of the verdict of the voters.
    I they conspire to stop the GE or worse try to remove Boris I cannot imagine the fury heading their way in public opinion

    This is no conspiracy. The people knew what they were doing when they voted for a fixed term Parliament until 2022. How dare Johnson defy the will of the people?
    What fraction of the public has heard of the FTPA? Must be near zero. :D
    Oh no. The electorate is all knowing. Apparently they voted for Brexit knowing EXACTLY what would happen. We cannot overturn either vote.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    Labour are stupid. Without an alternative plan and the numbers to deliver if, this is all pointless. Boris will just go round the country ramping up hatred and division in his pretend GE campaign.
  • Floater said:

    LOL - leave the baby killers in place

    Useless fecks
    And before they hear from the EU.

    Very unwise
  • Labour are stupid. Without an alternative plan and the numbers to deliver if, this is all pointless. Boris will just go round the country ramping up hatred and division in his pretend GE campaign.

    It also doesn't get us any closer to resolving the Brexit issue.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    nichomar said:

    Britain finally loses its tiny mind:

    https://twitter.com/lisanandy/status/1187419776450285569

    The Brexit virus has destroyed this country. Can we ever come back?

    Not in my life time whoever let this out of Pandora’s box has a lot to answer to
    Blame those who refused to accept the will of the people. - oh like you.
    Well they had no where near a majority of the population for the leave decision. Who knows what the 20% plus thought about it.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    If Corbyn's idea is a one line motion, it gets over the problem of his mps abstaining or worse voting against the FTA and sees the GE pass

    And the 1 line gets amended for votes at 16
    Not enough time
    A couple of days ago Tories were arguing that you could get Brexit done in days. Now there is no time for anything.

    Seriously, make up your mind.
    How do you achieve votes for 16s for a GE on the 12th December
    In exactly the same way that you get Brexit done by 31st October.

    " to dedicate ourselves again to that simple proposition that we are here to serve the democratic will of the British people

    and if we do that with optimism and confidence then I tell you we will not go wrong"
    How in the practical sense. They would need to be on the electoral register
    16 and 17 year olds can put themselves on the register. They just don’t get polling cards until they are 18. You just send polling cards to the ones who are registered same as everyone else. Easy compared to getting Brexit through in 7 days
  • Floater said:

    LOL - leave the baby killers in place

    Useless fecks
    And before they hear from the EU.

    Very unwise
    Well he didn't read the first WA and claimed the second one totally utterly rubbish and worse than the first before it had even been published.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Andrew said:
    Just call it for 31 Jan then FFS. This ain't passing by then. Boris's fans are openly acknowledging that the deal won't pass, that's why he is doing this.

    A rather pathetic sop to Macron, that.
  • Alistair said:

    So opposition stop a GE, Boris pulls deal, therefore no deal, no GE then what

    No Deal is off the table.
    What's the point in Macron granting an extension if there's not going to be a GE? What will change?

    If Corbyn does reject the election then Macron should veto a longer extension. Technical extension only as there's no point dragging this out.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,798

    Britain finally loses its tiny mind:

    https://twitter.com/lisanandy/status/1187419776450285569

    The Brexit virus has destroyed this country. Can we ever come back?

    I'm starting to think this might be headed towards an actual civil war. At the very least, this election, assuming it's happening, is going to be grim AF. Happy Christmas everyone.
This discussion has been closed.