Absolutely devastating judgment for any party, absolutely devastating if you're the sitting Prime Minister.
If Boris Johnson had any honour he'd resign, but since he doesn't, he will not.
Parliament can VONC him if they want. Always had that option.
What happened to honour and decency? Do we not even pretend anymore that those are requirements for a PM?
All governments, past, present and in the future can and have lost court cases. That is what the courts are for. Did May resign when she lost the Miller case?
The court has ruled, the government must implement its ruling. That's separation of powers in a nutshell. Courts shouldn't result in changes of government. That would put far too much undue pressure on court cases which should stand on their own merit.
And what will the Supreme Court of Public Opinion make of all this? I suspect not very much and the Tory leads will persist. I think HYUFD is spot on that Johnson will never agree to extend beyond October 31st which makes the government's resignation more than probable (but after October 17th).
Avoided no deal (Boris and Cummings have never been no dealers) and responsibility for delivering no deal (hard work, loads of responsibility and blame) Brings in more potential loyalists Tory MPs and less rebels after a GE Plays fine with his base, who think he has been stopped from delivering Brexit by 31 Oct
The prorogation was designed to get an extension - it is the only logical conclusion beyond incredible incompetence.
Could any PB lawyers say if the Speaker's decisions might ever be justiciable? I'm thinking of the decision that Queen's Consent was not required for the Benn bill, although I don't know the arguments that led to it.
Imagine you're a Conservative MP (not one of the completely nuts ones) and a vote of no confidence is tabled over the Prime Minister leading the Queen into an unlawful prorogation. Enjoy defending that one in Parliament or voting for him.
Chances and how long will it take to appoint emergency PM / leader of Tories to fight coming election? Or will Boris attempt to plough on ignoring damage to his authority?
Imagine you're a Conservative MP (not one of the completely nuts ones) and a vote of no confidence is tabled over the Prime Minister leading the Queen into an unlawful prorogation. Enjoy defending that one in Parliament or voting for him.
So parliament re-convenes tomorrow and the first vote will be for a recess to hold the party conferences. The Labour party conference will be practically over and the LD conference is now history. What are the chances that the recess will be voted down, forcing parliament to sit during the Conservative Conference?
Now we get a test of OGH's long-standing theory that Tory MPs don't like Boris. They can get rid of him by Thursday, get nearly all their colleagues and most of their majority back, and he can't stand again.
If they miss this chance he'll have time to regroup ready to shaft them again.
All about effect on voting intention now, I'd expect some hit on Tory VI but not too much, opinions on this and Brexit are pretty well set. Surely they have to table a VONC? Anything else is tacit confidence in law breaking?!
I think the real upshot of today is that Old Liz and her advisers aren't going to just comply with whatever Boris requests in future.
That's particularly relevant if a VONC is passed. Theoretically, it might've been possible for Boris to refuse to resign, and not recommend Liz appoint anyone else, which would mean an automatic election after two weeks. But now, she'll probably be more inclined to go with Parliament's judgement (if a majority of MPs nominate an alternative PM) than just what Boris says.
And what will the Supreme Court of Public Opinion make of all this? I suspect not very much and the Tory leads will persist. I think HYUFD is spot on that Johnson will never agree to extend beyond October 31st which makes the government's resignation more than probable (but after October 17th).
Suspect Leave voters will look on and wonder how odd it is that every single legal decision always goes in favour of Remain.
Now we get a test of OGH's long-standing theory that Tory MPs don't like Boris. They can get rid of him by Thursday, get nearly all their colleagues and most of their majority back, and he can't stand again.
If they miss this chance he'll have time to regroup ready to shaft them again.
Johnson likely doesn't have the confidence of the Commons, I suspect he'll have the confidence of the majority of Tory MPs.
Absolutely devastating judgment for any party, absolutely devastating if you're the sitting Prime Minister.
If Boris Johnson had any honour he'd resign, but since he doesn't, he will not.
Parliament can VONC him if they want. Always had that option.
What happened to honour and decency? Do we not even pretend anymore that those are requirements for a PM?
All governments, past, present and in the future can and have lost court cases. That is what the courts are for. Did May resign when she lost the Miller case?
The court has ruled, the government must implement its ruling. That's separation of powers in a nutshell. Courts shouldn't result in changes of government. That would put far too much undue pressure on court cases which should stand on their own merit.
I think the real upshot of today is that Old Liz and her advisers aren't going to just comply with whatever Boris requests in future.
That's particularly relevant if a VONC is passed. Theoretically, it might've been possible for Boris to refuse to resign, and not recommend Liz appoint anyone else, which would mean an automatic election after two weeks. But now, she'll probably be more inclined to go with Parliament's judgement (if a majority of MPs nominate an alternative PM) than just what Boris says.
Yes the idea this government can squat in Downing Street after losing a VONC is for the birds. The bailiffs are on the Queens speed dial.
So parliament re-convenes tomorrow and the first vote will be for a recess to hold the party conferences. The Labour party conference will be practically over and the LD conference is now history. What are the chances that the recess will be voted down, forcing parliament to sit during the Conservative Conference?
Tory Conference cancelled. Cummings to pay bill for cancellation.
Could any PB lawyers say if the Speaker's decisions might ever be justiciable? I'm thinking of the decision that Queen's Consent was not required for the Benn bill, although I don't know the arguments that led to it.
I'd always thought it wasn't. But then again I always thought prorogation wasn't justiciable.
Bercow has the extra protection of art ix bill of rights ( no court can make a call on ops in parliament), but I thought that protected the order in council for the prorogation too.
So parliament re-convenes tomorrow and the first vote will be for a recess to hold the party conferences. The Labour party conference will be practically over and the LD conference is now history. What are the chances that the recess will be voted down, forcing parliament to sit during the Conservative Conference?
Tory Conference cancelled. Cummings to pay bill for cancellation.
And what will the Supreme Court of Public Opinion make of all this? I suspect not very much and the Tory leads will persist. I think HYUFD is spot on that Johnson will never agree to extend beyond October 31st which makes the government's resignation more than probable (but after October 17th).
Suspect Leave voters will look on and wonder how odd it is that every single legal decision always goes in favour of Remain.
Perhaps it would help if they read more widely and realised that is not true? The ones that go against them, unanimously, are the ones where their leaders break the law?
Surely he doesn't make his speech to business leaders in NY now?
If he's not going to resign, and Corbyn and Co aren't going to call a VONC, why should he do anything other than just carry on?
Every Prime minister up until now would have resigned in similar circumstances.
Did May resign after she lost in the Supreme Court?
no, but he acts were not considered unlawful, she was told what the state of play was under the law. in this case BJ has been found to have performed acts which are unlawful.
So parliament re-convenes tomorrow and the first vote will be for a recess to hold the party conferences. The Labour party conference will be practically over and the LD conference is now history. What are the chances that the recess will be voted down, forcing parliament to sit during the Conservative Conference?
Tory Conference cancelled. Cummings to pay bill for cancellation.
Jesus. Corbyn even in front of his own cheering supporters on a day like this is fuc*ing hopeless.
Boris' great advantage is that he has an opponent who doesn't really respect the rules either. Not because he's 'special' like BoJo but because the rules have been invented by people in power to further their own interests not those of the 'people'.
The opposition would vote for an election if they had any balls.
But first Labour and the Lib Dems need to milk this for all it is worth. The Conservative members were conned into voting for a known cheat and incompetent. Let them see what comes of their folly and greed.
And what will the Supreme Court of Public Opinion make of all this? I suspect not very much and the Tory leads will persist. I think HYUFD is spot on that Johnson will never agree to extend beyond October 31st which makes the government's resignation more than probable (but after October 17th).
For once I think you've got this wrong. Support for your man seems to be slipping fast and he's out of the country. Traditionally a good time for a coup.
I'm wryly amused that all the people who thought that prorogation was a masterstroke when it was announced at the end of August have decided that it was a disaster now.
Some of us said that it was unbelievably dumb at the time.
This decision throws the impossible situation in Parliament into strong relief. We have a Government that does not have the confidence of the HoC and yet the HoC will not act to put it out of its misery. The key question now is what is Parliament going to do with the time that the SC has given it? Surely the only reasonable response is to VONC the Government and either call an election or try to find another Government which commands the confidence of the HoC (good luck with that!). What is the purpose and where is the dignity of keeping the Government in a straitjacket for another five weeks and just shouting at it?
Surely he doesn't make his speech to business leaders in NY now?
If he's not going to resign, and Corbyn and Co aren't going to call a VONC, why should he do anything other than just carry on?
Every Prime minister up until now would have resigned in similar circumstances.
Did May resign after she lost in the Supreme Court?
no, but he acts were not considered unlawful, she was told what the state of play was under the law. in this case BJ has been found to have performed acts which are unlawful.
Who’d’ve thought the PM after May was going to be even worse than her?
Who'd have thought the PM after Cameron would be worse than him, or for that matter the PM after Brown being worse than him. They all make Blair and Major look like great statesmen. What a state we are in.
Comments
No call to resign (just "consider his position"). Seems no VONC.
Flunks it.
(But then seems to call for a GE. But when?)
Surely he doesn't make his speech to business leaders in NY now?
*rues bent needle*
*calls maintenance company to have it recalibrated*
Wowzers. When she said at the top it was unanimous, I thought Boris was home and dry.
To have such a clear-cut, unanimous judgment leaves La Boz absolutely out of wiggle-room.
The result of the election is uncertain, but it is coming whether you like it or not.
The court has ruled, the government must implement its ruling. That's separation of powers in a nutshell. Courts shouldn't result in changes of government. That would put far too much undue pressure on court cases which should stand on their own merit.
All those no deal bills that died with prorogation are no active again.
Are we still laying 2019 GE?
Should Tories be 1.41 most seats?
Boris has shown conclusively that he needs a majority in the next election or there will be no Brexit.
Boris = Watford.
Where is Ave It when you need him?
https://twitter.com/PoliticsJOE_UK/status/1176431923100618754
Avoided no deal (Boris and Cummings have never been no dealers) and responsibility for delivering no deal (hard work, loads of responsibility and blame)
Brings in more potential loyalists Tory MPs and less rebels after a GE
Plays fine with his base, who think he has been stopped from delivering Brexit by 31 Oct
The prorogation was designed to get an extension - it is the only logical conclusion beyond incredible incompetence.
Also Business Questions to the Leader of the House is going to be a real popcorn moment.
If they miss this chance he'll have time to regroup ready to shaft them again.
Surely they have to table a VONC? Anything else is tacit confidence in law breaking?!
That's particularly relevant if a VONC is passed. Theoretically, it might've been possible for Boris to refuse to resign, and not recommend Liz appoint anyone else, which would mean an automatic election after two weeks. But now, she'll probably be more inclined to go with Parliament's judgement (if a majority of MPs nominate an alternative PM) than just what Boris says.
Laura says it's a triumph for Boris.
Prorogue now for Queen's speech in 5 weeks time is unlawful.
The "only a few days" argument is dead because the SC clearly stated that recess is not the same as Prorogue.
Bercow has the extra protection of art ix bill of rights ( no court can make a call on ops in parliament), but I thought that protected the order in council for the prorogation too.
So yeah I don't know
Over in the States you can pretty much predict how each Justice will vote beforehand, not here.
Some of us said that it was unbelievably dumb at the time.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/09/24/labour-party-conference-vote-brexit-jeremy-corbyn-private-schools/
Oh boy..... Delegates to walk out of Watson's speech
https://twitter.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1167376931014225920