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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the betting markets it’s now a 74% chance that TMay will go

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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Norm said:

    Grieve has been every bit as unhelpful to the process as the most intransigent ERGer.
    More unhelpful. The ERG have compromised, eg backing the Brady amendment, Grieve has not.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    A thousand comments on one thread. Slow news day!
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    RobD said:

    A thousand comments on one thread. Slow news day!

    1003rd!
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,992
    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    Prepare Dimbleby.
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    NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758

    Fenman said:

    We need to revoke Article 50 now. This is no longer amusing.

    A lot of people agree.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    The votes are piling up so quickly people are taking video screenshots and putting them online.
    If this got millions of signatures it could have a big impact. In fact if it got more than 17M ...
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    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    Making it a vote of confidence is brave
  • Options
    NormNorm Posts: 1,251

    Norm said:

    Grieve has been every bit as unhelpful to the process as the most intransigent ERGer.
    I don't mind some of them going as well !!!
    Yes if we had set out to join EFTA right from the beginning we would not be where we are today. The ultra leavers and ultra remainers in the party have a lot to answer for.
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    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,790

    @Nigel_Foremain you're making a complete dick of yourself re @Richard_Tyndall - he's always been very clear in his support for freedom of movement, he just wanted to leave the EU. Supporting UKIP in that aim was the only route to it.

    Well you must be pals because you also resort to personal abuse. He said he was a member of UKIP. Support for an outcome would be different. There are plenty of people who have differing views on here and they can be respected. Richard is not one that I can have any respect for, particularly with such a ridiculous position as that. I don't normally enjoy being rude to people, but he is clearly unpleasant so deserves it. So no, I am not the one being a dick here, dickhead!
    "I don't normally enjoy being rude to people"

    Hahahaha
    Well I can make an exception for you if you like! There are some Brexiteers on here that are perfectly pleasant and make rational comments, even though I disagree with them. Then there are the likes of yourself and Richard Tyndall, and now Mr Tredifficile.
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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,082

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    Making it a vote of confidence is brave
    Surely it will be voted down? Labour want a GE and what on earth does the ERG have to fear about a GE?
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Fenman said:

    We need to revoke Article 50 now. This is no longer amusing.

    A lot of people agree.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    The votes are piling up so quickly people are taking video screenshots and putting them online.
    It seems the natural response to those who want to remain and see their hope of a referendum disappear
    Yes. But maybe other people feel like I do. I've given it enough respect. If three years on the leavers still don't know what they want then the moment has passed. We need to stop. Brexit is unworkable.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    How does that get people to vote for the deal?
  • Options
    RobD said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    Prepare Dimbleby.
    Get me Rex Kramer. And Professor Sir John Curtice.
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    kjhkjh Posts: 10,667
    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
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    StreeterStreeter Posts: 684
    Norm said:

    Norm said:

    Grieve has been every bit as unhelpful to the process as the most intransigent ERGer.
    I don't mind some of them going as well !!!
    Yes if we had set out to join EFTA right from the beginning we would not be where we are today. The ultra leavers and ultra remainers in the party have a lot to answer for.
    Leave won. It’s entirely down to them.
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    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    Making it a vote of confidence is brave
    Surely it will be voted down? Labour want a GE and what on earth does the ERG have to fear about a GE?
    Many do not including TIG and lots in marginal seats
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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,082

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    Making it a vote of confidence is brave
    Surely it will be voted down? Labour want a GE and what on earth does the ERG have to fear about a GE?
    Many do not including TIG and lots in marginal seats
    TIG are not going to vote for the deal, let's be real, and most marginal torys are already voting for the deal.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    edited March 2019

    kle4 said:

    x

    IanB2 said:

    Grieve: "never been more ashamed to be a member of the Conservative party"
    "What is the purpose of this government?"
    "Trust and credibility in this government is running out"
    "We are going to spiral down into oblivion, and the worst part is that we will deserve it"

    He's upset he's lost?

    The purpose of this government is to enact Brexit. He should know that, its the manifesto he stood on last time.

    EDIT: And why hasn't he quit to join TIG if that's how he feels?
    Sorry Philip, but the idea that all MPs should robotically fall into line with a manifesto, particularly when they may have been an MP for a long time is just silly. Our (rather broken) system attempts to present a manifesto for the executive through it's MPs. There are probably hundreds, if not thousands, of MPs over the years who have not rigidly stuck to the manifesto of the front bench, and quite rightly so.
    "As someone whech at Lancaster House in February."

    Dominic Grieve 2/5/17
    Nothing contradictory in that statement if you read it properly.
    He has been clear since that nothing the PM could achieve would be good enough for him. He should have been honest from the start. Carefully worded statements were not needed.
    Can't agree with you Mr. kle4. You might not like what he has done, but he has been holding the PM to account while she has drifted inexorably in the direction of the ERG. For that he has done parliament and the country good service. He is a man of conscience and he believes what she has done has damaged the country.
    I have no problem with people trying to get us to remain. I think we need to remain as well. But I regard Grieve as one of the most hypocritical actors in this whole affair, and I think people are giving him a free pass because he is articulate and they like what he says, nothing more, nothing less. Him believing something is meaningless, because others think what he has done is damaging the country, and I doubt you agree with that.
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    solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,623
    kle4 said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    How does that get people to vote for the deal?
    I suppose it only works on the Tories if May also threatens to lead them into that GE.
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    Fenman said:

    We need to revoke Article 50 now. This is no longer amusing.

    A lot of people agree.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    The votes are piling up so quickly people are taking video screenshots and putting them online.
    It seems the natural response to those who want to remain and see their hope of a referendum disappear
    Yes. But maybe other people feel like I do. I've given it enough respect. If three years on the leavers still don't know what they want then the moment has passed. We need to stop. Brexit is unworkable.
    As a matter of interest did you vote remain
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    dixiedean said:

    kle4 said:

    dixiedean said:

    Scott_P said:
    The backlash against Labour for backing something like that would be immense.
    Depends what it is of course. More likely nowt will come of it.
    A compromise to the PM means everyone deciding to agree with her.
    Seems as good an excuse as any to bring back my theoretical conversation between party leaders at the suggestion they get locked together in a room to figure something out.


    May: You must do as I say
    Corbyn: You must do as I say
    Blackford: You must do as I say
    Saville-Roberts: You must do as the SNP say
    Lucas: You must do as..wait, why am I even here?
    Dodds: Never, never...
    May: We've not discussed any options yet...
    Dodds: Don't interrupt me. Ahem. Never!
    May: *sigh*. Someone wake up Vince please.
    Umunna: I'll do it.
    All: Who the f*ck invited the Tiggers?


    But yeah, we know nothing will come of this.
    LOL. And btw Grieve and Trevelyan even more determined to vote against now.
    Yes, the deal is going backwards. Sticking with it, or not making it to be confirmed by referendum, is just being unhelpful now.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    @Nigel_Foremain you're making a complete dick of yourself re @Richard_Tyndall - he's always been very clear in his support for freedom of movement, he just wanted to leave the EU. Supporting UKIP in that aim was the only route to it.

    Well you must be pals because you also resort to personal abuse. He said he was a member of UKIP. Support for an outcome would be different. There are plenty of people who have differing views on here and they can be respected. Richard is not one that I can have any respect for, particularly with such a ridiculous position as that. I don't normally enjoy being rude to people, but he is clearly unpleasant so deserves it. So no, I am not the one being a dick here, dickhead!
    "I don't normally enjoy being rude to people"

    Hahahaha
    Well I can make an exception for you if you like! There are some Brexiteers on here that are perfectly pleasant and make rational comments, even though I disagree with them. Then there are the likes of yourself and Richard Tyndall, and now Mr Tredifficile.
    Come on Nigel,when you started to show up on here,you were rude to most leavers and the SNP posters.

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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,992
    kle4 said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    How does that get people to vote for the deal?
    No idea. Don't shoot the messenger :) Surely if you don't want the Deal or a GE, then VONC is the way?
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Fenman said:

    We need to revoke Article 50 now. This is no longer amusing.

    A lot of people agree.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    The votes are piling up so quickly people are taking video screenshots and putting them online.
    It seems the natural response to those who want to remain and see their hope of a referendum disappear
    Yes. But maybe other people feel like I do. I've given it enough respect. If three years on the leavers still don't know what they want then the moment has passed. We need to stop. Brexit is unworkable.
    As a matter of interest did you vote remain
    I did.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    Making it a vote of confidence is brave
    Surely it will be voted down? Labour want a GE and what on earth does the ERG have to fear about a GE?
    Many do not including TIG and lots in marginal seats
    TIG are not going to vote for the deal, let's be real, and most marginal torys are already voting for the deal.
    TIG may not want a GE, but they also took action to likely shorten their political careers by quitting their parties so that they could more actively push for remaining. If the two come into conflict they'd rather a GE than the deal.
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    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    Making it a vote of confidence is brave
    Surely it will be voted down? Labour want a GE and what on earth does the ERG have to fear about a GE?
    Many do not including TIG and lots in marginal seats
    TIG are not going to vote for the deal, let's be real, and most marginal torys are already voting for the deal.
    I was talking about a GE
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,956
    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    She did in 2017
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,790
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    x

    IanB2 said:

    Grieve: "never been more ashamed to be a member of the Conservative party"
    "What is the purpose of this government?"
    "Trust and credibility in this government is running out"
    "We are going to spiral down into oblivion, and the worst part is that we will deserve it"

    He's upset he's lost?

    The purpose of this government is to enact Brexit. He should know that, its the manifesto he stood on last time.

    EDIT: And why hasn't he quit to join TIG if that's how he feels?
    Sorry Philip, but the idea that all MPs should robotically fall into line with a manifesto, particularly when they may have been an MP for a long time is just silly. Our (rather broken) system attempts to present a manifesto for the executive through it's MPs. There are probably hundreds, if not thousands, of MPs over the years who have not rigidly stuck to the manifesto of the front bench, and quite rightly so.
    "As someone whech at Lancaster House in February."

    Dominic Grieve 2/5/17
    Nothing contradictory in that statement if you read it properly.
    He has been clear since that nothing the PM could achieve would be good enough for him. He should have been honest from the start. Carefully worded statements were not needed.
    Can't agree with you Mr. kle4. You might not like what he has done, but he has been holding the PM to account while she has drifted inexorably in the direction of the ERG. For that he has done parliament and the country good service. He is a man of conscience and he believes what she has done has damaged the country.
    I have no problem with people trying to get us to remain. I think we need to remain as well. But I regard Grieve as one of the most hypocritical actors in this whole affair, and I think people are giving him a free pass because he is articulate and they like what he says, nothing more, nothing less. Him believing something is meaningless, because others think what he has done is damaging the country, and I doubt you agree with that.
    Hmm, I can't I am afraid, I think he has genuinely done what he thinks is right from what I can see. I can't sadly, even agree that we should now remain, as I think it will take generations for us to repair our relationship with Europe after this debacle. I hope we end up with Norway + or something like that. Try and minimise the disruption and give future generations a chance to go back in.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    It's reporting shorthand for call 'for a GE'.
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    It's not in her gift. But then neither is much else at the moment.
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,992

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    Making it a vote of confidence is brave
    Surely it will be voted down? Labour want a GE and what on earth does the ERG have to fear about a GE?
    Many do not including TIG and lots in marginal seats
    TIG are not going to vote for the deal, let's be real, and most marginal torys are already voting for the deal.
    Would be ironic if Ummuna et al storm out of Labour cos Corbyns too Leavey. Then vote for the deal...won't happen.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    edited March 2019

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    x

    IanB2 said:

    Grieve: "never been more ashamed to be a member of the Conservative party"
    "What is the purpose of this government?"
    "Trust and credibility in this government is running out"
    "We are going to spiral down into oblivion, and the worst part is that we will deserve it"

    He's upset he's lost?

    The purpose of this government is to enact Brexit. He should know that, its the manifesto he stood on last time.

    EDIT: And why hasn't he quit to join TIG if that's how he feels?
    Sorry Philip, but the idea that all MPs should robotically fall into line with a manifesto, particularly when they may have been an MP for a long time is just silly. Our (rather broken) system attempts to present a manifesto for the executive through it's MPs. There are probably hundreds, if not thousands, of MPs over the years who have not rigidly stuck to the manifesto of the front bench, and quite rightly so.
    "As someone whech at Lancaster House in February."

    Dominic Grieve 2/5/17
    Nothing contradictory in that statement if you read it properly.
    He has been clear since that nothing the PM could achieve would be good enough for him. He should have been honest from the start. Carefully worded statements were not needed.
    Can't agree with you Mr. kle4. You might not like what he has done, but he has been holding the PM to account while she has drifted inexorably in the direction of the ERG. For that he has done parliament and the country good service. He is a man of conscience and he believes what she has done has damaged the country.
    I have no problem with people trying to get us to remain. I think we need to remain as well. But I regard Grieve as one of the most hypocritical actors in this whole affair, and I think people are giving him a free pass because he is articulate and they like what he says, nothing more, nothing less. Him believing something is meaningless, because others think what he has done is damaging the country, and I doubt you agree with that.
    I think he has genuinely done what he thinks is right from what I can see.
    So has May. So has Corbyn. So has Rees-Mogg.

    Do they get a pass when they are fanatically stubborn? Particularly when in being so stubborn they may cause what they say they do not want? He is no different to them, and being intelligent and saying things people in one camp want to hear doesn't change that.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,969

    @Nigel_Foremain you're making a complete dick of yourself re @Richard_Tyndall - he's always been very clear in his support for freedom of movement, he just wanted to leave the EU. Supporting UKIP in that aim was the only route to it.

    Well you must be pals because you also resort to personal abuse. He said he was a member of UKIP. Support for an outcome would be different. There are plenty of people who have differing views on here and they can be respected. Richard is not one that I can have any respect for, particularly with such a ridiculous position as that. I don't normally enjoy being rude to people, but he is clearly unpleasant so deserves it. So no, I am not the one being a dick here, dickhead!
    You are the one who started the exchanges by accusing me of being a BNP supporter. I would suggest anything you get in return is fully justified. Rudeness on here is probably excusable. Being wilfully dumb is not.
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    Fenman said:

    We need to revoke Article 50 now. This is no longer amusing.

    A lot of people agree.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    The votes are piling up so quickly people are taking video screenshots and putting them online.
    It seems the natural response to those who want to remain and see their hope of a referendum disappear
    Yes. But maybe other people feel like I do. I've given it enough respect. If three years on the leavers still don't know what they want then the moment has passed. We need to stop. Brexit is unworkable.
    As a matter of interest did you vote remain
    I did.
    As did I and I am conflicted by brexit but I still believe we must exit due to the democratic vote and accept that the choice post brexit is to make the best of it or campaign to rejoin
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    Can anyone stop her calling an election?
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Interesting sky polling on who's to blame. Very much a plague on all houses.
    Expenses on steroids
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,106
    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    Given that Labour have done nothing but demand one, in effect she can because she knows they will vote for it.
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    notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006
    edited March 2019

    notme2 said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    I had my periodic glance at La Repubblica this morning and Brexit, even at this stage, was the 93rd strapline on the, very large, main page.
    And while we are used to the ‘elected dictatorship’ nature of our politics, and all this parliament stuff seems dreadful and grubby, actually in the rest of Europe and most of the world this kind of thing is pretty normal. Deals, back scratching, nose holding and governments prostrating themselves to a small number of people who hold the balance of power is not considered a bug, but a feature of their politics based on proportional voting system creating perpetual coalitions.
    While the rest of the country goes about its business quite happily.

    Recent political events have been very European in their nature.
    Is that the ‘irony’ we have all been waiting for? Brexit has resulted in the Europeanising of our political process ?
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    And this is all just for the transition arrangement, not our eventual relationship. Lovely.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898

    Can anyone stop her calling an election?

    Easily. But then Parliament has so far steadfastly refused to make her do something different to that which is happening, even though it is in its power and they forced her to have a MV in the first place.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,131
    Being able to blame France for a No Deal Brexit gets most MPs off the hook.....
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898

    And this is all just for the transition arrangement, not our eventual relationship. Lovely.

    I am sure that would be torturous too, but there is actually reason to believe it would not be quite as torturous, because while a lot of the ERGer derailing of Brexit is down to not liking were they think the eventual relationship will end up, another large section of dispute is because, as many placards and posters have told us 'It's not a done deal' and that Brexit itself can be stopped. It's last chance saloon to stop Brexit at all, and might succeed. But if we do, in some form, leave, then while there will be a great deal of anger and dispute over what to do next, the issue of actually leaving will no longer be on the table (whether immediately rejoining would pick up steam I am uncertain of).
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    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,790

    @Nigel_Foremain you're making a complete dick of yourself re @Richard_Tyndall - he's always been very clear in his support for freedom of movement, he just wanted to leave the EU. Supporting UKIP in that aim was the only route to it.

    Well you must be pals because you also resort to personal abuse. He said he was a member of UKIP. Support for an outcome would be different. There are plenty of people who have differing views on here and they can be respected. Richard is not one that I can have any respect for, particularly with such a ridiculous position as that. I don't normally enjoy being rude to people, but he is clearly unpleasant so deserves it. So no, I am not the one being a dick here, dickhead!
    "I don't normally enjoy being rude to people"

    Hahahaha
    Well I can make an exception for you if you like! There are some Brexiteers on here that are perfectly pleasant and make rational comments, even though I disagree with them. Then there are the likes of yourself and Richard Tyndall, and now Mr Tredifficile.
    Come on Nigel,when you started to show up on here,you were rude to most leavers and the SNP posters.

    OK, fair enough. I think others should be the judge. It was not all leavers though, and as there are only two SNP supporters it is possible that they got rough edge, as I really do dislike the hypocrisy of the SNP. Leavers or nationalists that used intemperate language such as "traitors" etc., yep. guilty as charged. Malcolm was a result of remarks he made about Tory liars and scum if I remember rightly. You will find I am perfectly polite if everyone else is. Look at Tyndall's recent posts. He deserves it. We can disagree politely, but if someone wants to dish it out, I am quite happy to enter the fray, even though sometimes I may come off worse, sometimes I won't! Just because I am a centrist doesn't mean I have to be a shrinking violet! Friends?
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,992

    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    Given that Labour have done nothing but demand one, in effect she can because she knows they will vote for it.
    Yes. But does she have the authority on her own side?
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    kjhkjh Posts: 10,667
    Pulpstar said:

    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    She did in 2017
    A GE would be a nightmare. I would hope that enough MPs of all parties would get together to form a Govt of National Unity and try and work out this mess and then vote themselves down for an ordered GE. The ball would be in Labour's court though.

    She only could in 2017 because the other parties went along with it.
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Fenman said:

    We need to revoke Article 50 now. This is no longer amusing.

    A lot of people agree.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    The votes are piling up so quickly people are taking video screenshots and putting them online.
    It seems the natural response to those who want to remain and see their hope of a referendum disappear
    Yes. But maybe other people feel like I do. I've given it enough respect. If three years on the leavers still don't know what they want then the moment has passed. We need to stop. Brexit is unworkable.
    As a matter of interest did you vote remain
    I did.
    As did I and I am conflicted by brexit but I still believe we must exit due to the democratic vote and accept that the choice post brexit is to make the best of it or campaign to rejoin
    And I've agreed up until some time in January. I can't remember if anything in particular pushed me over the line, but I just decided that enough democratic rope has been played out. We can't let them hang all of us with it.
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    kjh said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    She did in 2017
    A GE would be a nightmare. I would hope that enough MPs of all parties would get together to form a Govt of National Unity and try and work out this mess and then vote themselves down for an ordered GE. The ball would be in Labour's court though.

    She only could in 2017 because the other parties went along with it.
    Government of National Unity seems like the best resolution to me.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    kjh said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    She did in 2017
    A GE would be a nightmare. I would hope that enough MPs of all parties would get together to form a Govt of National Unity and try and work out this mess and then vote themselves down for an ordered GE. The ball would be in Labour's court though.

    She only could in 2017 because the other parties went along with it.
    I fear we are getting the awful situation of Euro elections, a referendum and a GE this year. I have colleagues in elections who are are at their wits end at the prospect.
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Being able to blame France for a No Deal Brexit gets most MPs off the hook.....
    No it doesn't. The leavers are on the hook.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898

    kjh said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    She did in 2017
    A GE would be a nightmare. I would hope that enough MPs of all parties would get together to form a Govt of National Unity and try and work out this mess and then vote themselves down for an ordered GE. The ball would be in Labour's court though.

    She only could in 2017 because the other parties went along with it.
    Government of National Unity seems like the best resolution to me.
    Runs into the same problem as any compromise option - the people involved would insist this government of national unity do what they want, and not support the idea unless it remained/dealed etc.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,320
    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,956
    Watching parliament on TV, they're all so convinced that THEY are right !
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,759
    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    easy

    ignore them
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    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    I have heard that so many times in this chaos
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,759
    Pulpstar said:

    Watching parliament on TV, they're all so convinced that THEY are right !

    bunch of useless hypocrites the lot of them
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898

    Fenman said:

    We need to revoke Article 50 now. This is no longer amusing.

    A lot of people agree.

    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

    The votes are piling up so quickly people are taking video screenshots and putting them online.
    It seems the natural response to those who want to remain and see their hope of a referendum disappear
    Yes. But maybe other people feel like I do. I've given it enough respect. If three years on the leavers still don't know what they want then the moment has passed. We need to stop. Brexit is unworkable.
    As a matter of interest did you vote remain
    I did.
    As did I and I am conflicted by brexit but I still believe we must exit due to the democratic vote and accept that the choice post brexit is to make the best of it or campaign to rejoin
    And I've agreed up until some time in January. I can't remember if anything in particular pushed me over the line, but I just decided that enough democratic rope has been played out. We can't let them hang all of us with it.
    Agreed. I too cannot pin point the exact moment, but the insistence of so many leavers that they'd rather remain than vote for a deal to exit certainly contributed to it.
    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    Which would make it hilarious if a vote of no confidence was called and she still won it.

    Though part of me suspects she would lose one now, and Corbyn is not calling for one because he knows that, but doesn't want things to go down that route yet.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Would MPs from all sides really risk no deal rather than agree to the only deal the EU are offering? Seems like it.

    9 days and either May or ERG win. I don't see how the opposition do from here.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,320

    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    I have heard that so many times in this chaos
    So have I, but if you're listening to the debate, it is striking how personal the condemnation of her strategy and behaviour now is.
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    She'll be gone this year but will survive the weekend. Nobody is going to take over days before exit.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    edited March 2019

    Being able to blame France for a No Deal Brexit gets most MPs off the hook.....
    No it doesn't. The leavers are on the hook.
    The key is whether people think they are off the hook or not. Leavers and remainers are utterly unconcerned about us potentially crashing out - whatever their crocodile tears and insincere wailings about it - because they are content that they won't be blamed first, or all will be blamed.
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    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,790

    @Nigel_Foremain you're making a complete dick of yourself re @Richard_Tyndall - he's always been very clear in his support for freedom of movement, he just wanted to leave the EU. Supporting UKIP in that aim was the only route to it.

    Well you must be pals because you also resort to personal abuse. He said he was a member of UKIP. Support for an outcome would be different. There are plenty of people who have differing views on here and they can be respected. Richard is not one that I can have any respect for, particularly with such a ridiculous position as that. I don't normally enjoy being rude to people, but he is clearly unpleasant so deserves it. So no, I am not the one being a dick here, dickhead!
    You are the one who started the exchanges by accusing me of being a BNP supporter. I would suggest anything you get in return is fully justified. Rudeness on here is probably excusable. Being wilfully dumb is not.
    Sorry Richard, I see no difference between BNP and UKIP. Both are parties of hatred and intolerance. If you can't see that, well that is a shame, and holding such affiliations and accusing others of being dumb makes you look, well, very dumb, even though I am sure you are not. We will have to agree to disagree.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Prorogue Parliament is past 90,000.
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    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    I have heard that so many times in this chaos
    So have I, but if you're listening to the debate, it is striking how personal the condemnation of her strategy and behaviour now is.
    There are a lot of very angry remainer mps
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    stodgestodge Posts: 12,877


    As did I and I am conflicted by brexit but I still believe we must exit due to the democratic vote and accept that the choice post brexit is to make the best of it or campaign to rejoin

    That's a credible line but the problem is the damage the uncertainty has already caused to business and industry. There's an accountability that has to be accepted by those supportive of the Government that the process has been unhelpful so far and with barely a week to go it's inexcusable we are still in this position.

    Yes, we could all troop behind the WA but a lot of people don't like it so why should they support something just to unite the country behind a certain Prime Minister? May should have admitted after the failure of MV2 it couldn't pass the Commons and sought to revoke with a view to re-commencing the A50 process at a later date,

    She still can if she purports to act in the national interest but I now consider her to be acting purely in her own interests and those of the Conservative Party.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Sorry Richard, I see no difference between BNP and UKIP. Both are parties of hatred and intolerance.

    Bulls**t. If that was true you wouldn't have said BNP, you switched it because you knew one was worse.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,956

    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    easy

    ignore them
    Mostly hardcore remainers
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    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    She'll be gone this year but will survive the weekend. Nobody is going to take over days before exit.
    That is my view
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,097

    Would MPs from all sides really risk no deal rather than agree to the only deal the EU are offering? Seems like it.

    9 days and either May or ERG win. I don't see how the opposition do from here.

    Portillo said last week he expected the Commons to narrowly vote to revoke Article 50 and cancel Brexit completely rather than allow No Deal if the Deal fails again, as the polls shift to Remain Brexit may well be on its last legs unless Letwin and Cooper and Boles can get some sort of 'Common Market 2.0' Single Market and Customs Union BINO through next week
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Hard to see how anyone could convince the EU that any plan is credible from here.....
    May's deal or no deal, has to be I think, I can't see the EU granting an extension
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    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    Given that Labour have done nothing but demand one, in effect she can because she knows they will vote for it.
    But might not many Tories oppose a GE?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    stodge said:


    As did I and I am conflicted by brexit but I still believe we must exit due to the democratic vote and accept that the choice post brexit is to make the best of it or campaign to rejoin

    That's a credible line but the problem is the damage the uncertainty has already caused to business and industry. There's an accountability that has to be accepted by those supportive of the Government that the process has been unhelpful so far and with barely a week to go it's inexcusable we are still in this position.

    Yes, we could all troop behind the WA but a lot of people don't like it so why should they support something just to unite the country behind a certain Prime Minister? May should have admitted after the failure of MV2 it couldn't pass the Commons and sought to revoke with a view to re-commencing the A50 process at a later date,

    She still can if she purports to act in the national interest but I now consider her to be acting purely in her own interests and those of the Conservative Party.
    I don't think she's working in the interests of the party either, frankly, I don't see how what is going on will be good for them either, but she's obviously acting in the way she is because of the pressures of the party, not the country.

    Revoking was clearly a no go, that would be to admit Brexit is never going to happen, what she should have done was tack to a Labour Brexit - might it have cost her some more Cabinet Members? Probably, and upset many in her party to boot. But she might have been able to get some Brexit at least.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,106

    Hard to see how anyone could convince the EU that any plan is credible from here.....
    May's deal or no deal, has to be I think, I can't see the EU granting an extension

    If parliament voted for May's deal subject to a referendum, I think the EU would agree to allow time for it.
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Prorogue Parliament is past 90,000.
    Which this one will catch up with in about 3 hours at current rates of signing.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,956
    Swansea West - 65 signatures for revocation of article 50.
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    justin124 said:

    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    Given that Labour have done nothing but demand one, in effect she can because she knows they will vote for it.
    But might not many Tories oppose a GE?
    She only needs 100 or so loyalists if labour support , shes got that
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898

    Hard to see how anyone could convince the EU that any plan is credible from here.....

    Any plan to deal, sure. Even though both lead to uncertain outcomes would the EU hold such a firm view if a GE or referendum option though? I think not. They see no reason to waste more time pursuing the deal, hence the shortest possible chance. But plenty of other options for them.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,131
    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    "WAAAAAAAAAAAAMbulance to Parliament......."
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    EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    I have heard that so many times in this chaos
    So have I, but if you're listening to the debate, it is striking how personal the condemnation of her strategy and behaviour now is.
    If it's personal, means they've got nothing else.
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    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,790

    Sorry Richard, I see no difference between BNP and UKIP. Both are parties of hatred and intolerance.

    Bulls**t. If that was true you wouldn't have said BNP, you switched it because you knew one was worse.
    I said UKIP/BNP and also said UKIP/EDL in the same way as Tories used to say SinnFein/IRA. Two cheeks of the same arse!
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,956
    Pulpstar said:

    Swansea West - 65 signatures for revocation of article 50.

    382 signatures for no deal there..
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    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    justin124 said:

    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    Given that Labour have done nothing but demand one, in effect she can because she knows they will vote for it.
    But might not many Tories oppose a GE?
    She only needs 100 or so loyalists if labour support , shes got that
    She would need 434 votes.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Sorry Richard, I see no difference between BNP and UKIP. Both are parties of hatred and intolerance.

    Bulls**t. If that was true you wouldn't have said BNP, you switched it because you knew one was worse.
    I said UKIP/BNP and also said UKIP/EDL in the same way as Tories used to say SinnFein/IRA. Two cheeks of the same arse!
    Sinn Fein/IRA were literally the same organisation though. Sinn Fein was the political wing of the IRA, they were the same people. That's not the case here.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,131

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    I have heard that so many times in this chaos
    So have I, but if you're listening to the debate, it is striking how personal the condemnation of her strategy and behaviour now is.
    There are a lot of very angry remainer mps
    Make a note of those trashing her today, and see how many of them will be giving fullsome eulogies for her career and handling of Brexit when she does finally step down.

    Stock up on sick bags......
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,320
    Debate closes with the formal neutral motion nodded through.

    Next is May on the steps of No 10 in 100 minutes' time.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    The Commons has done such an excellent job of directing the negotiation of the Withdrawal Agreement that Lisa Nandy & Gareth Snell have tabled an amendment which would ensure that the Commons decides on the negotiating mandate for the next stage and has to approve the final deal.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,898
    Time to sign off I think - I don't think anything May is going to say in a few hours will be worth hearing, and MPs are not going to be listening as their minds are made up anyway, so it'll just be a bunch of leaks from Cabinet saying 'unbelievable, this is a nightmare' and other vapidity, which we are more than able to generate on our own.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    This is relentless against May from every side of the chamber. I can't see how she can survive the weekend.

    I have heard that so many times in this chaos
    So have I, but if you're listening to the debate, it is striking how personal the condemnation of her strategy and behaviour now is.
    There are a lot of very angry remainer mps
    They've been stuck in the denial stage of grief for so long, they're only just now reaching the anger stage.
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    justin124 said:

    justin124 said:

    kjh said:

    dixiedean said:

    C4 saying PM will call GE if MV3 is defeated...

    She can't just call a GE.
    Given that Labour have done nothing but demand one, in effect she can because she knows they will vote for it.
    But might not many Tories oppose a GE?
    She only needs 100 or so loyalists if labour support , shes got that
    She would need 434 votes.
    Just over 100 plus labour, snp etc
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    If the government tries to engineer a general election early, it does so by calling a vote of no confidence in itself. There is then a 14 day period during which other people can try to form an administration. It strikes me that this might easily boomerang on Theresa May if she tries it. The idea of someone else forming a government is not beyond the realms of possibility by any means.
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    dotsdots Posts: 615
    That’s it game over. May wins.

    After Tusk and EU pre ordained master plan, an MP not voting for May’s deal MV3 will be voting for no deal brexit or abstaining to facilitate no deal brexit.

    GAME OVER

    look on May’s, Goves, Graylins, (and JohnManns) face next week when when MV3 passes will be a sight to behold.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    If the government tries to engineer a general election early, it does so by calling a vote of no confidence in itself. There is then a 14 day period during which other people can try to form an administration. It strikes me that this might easily boomerang on Theresa May if she tries it. The idea of someone else forming a government is not beyond the realms of possibility by any means.

    No, it does so by laying a motion for a General Election like it did in 2017.
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    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,790

    Sorry Richard, I see no difference between BNP and UKIP. Both are parties of hatred and intolerance.

    Bulls**t. If that was true you wouldn't have said BNP, you switched it because you knew one was worse.
    I said UKIP/BNP and also said UKIP/EDL in the same way as Tories used to say SinnFein/IRA. Two cheeks of the same arse!
    Sinn Fein/IRA were literally the same organisation though. Sinn Fein was the political wing of the IRA, they were the same people. That's not the case here.
    Fair enough, I agree the analogy is not perfect. It is known that UKIP attracted people from BNP, and Alan Sked has accused Farage of facilitating that. There is much greater similarity between the extremes of the two groups than there is between the two wings of the Tory party. The BNP and UKIP are like the Judean People's Front and the Popular Front for Judea. The only difference is they don't hate each other!
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    If the government tries to engineer a general election early, it does so by calling a vote of no confidence in itself. There is then a 14 day period during which other people can try to form an administration. It strikes me that this might easily boomerang on Theresa May if she tries it. The idea of someone else forming a government is not beyond the realms of possibility by any means.

    It would be done the same way ss 2017. Vote to dissolve, 2/3 required
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,320
    kle4 said:

    Time to sign off I think - I don't think anything May is going to say in a few hours will be worth hearing, and MPs are not going to be listening as their minds are made up anyway, so it'll just be a bunch of leaks from Cabinet saying 'unbelievable, this is a nightmare' and other vapidity, which we are more than able to generate on our own.

    Just a wild guess, but maybe she'll say that the only way to avoid no deal is to agree her deal?
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610
    dots said:

    That’s it game over. May wins.

    After Tusk and EU pre ordained master plan, an MP not voting for May’s deal MV3 will be voting for no deal brexit or abstaining to facilitate no deal brexit.

    GAME OVER

    look on May’s, Goves, Graylins, (and JohnManns) face next week when when MV3 passes will be a sight to behold.

    Unfortunately you're wrong, we're sleepwalking into No Deal. The dickheads in the ERG and the cowards on the opposition benches are about to see us crash out with no deal.
This discussion has been closed.