Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If there are UK Euro elections in May Farage’s new Brexit part

245

Comments

  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,902
    Afternoon all :)

    While having lunch in my local café in the Barking Road, I was musing on the malevolent power of democracy. BBC News was showing pictures from the Indo-Pakistan border with the release of the captured Indian pilot apparently underway.

    Yet speaking to correspondents in both Delhi and Islamabad it almost sounded as though the public in both countries had been disappointed by events. In Pakistan initial praise for Imran Khan's gesture toward Delhi had been replaced by disappointment the apparent military advantage had not been pressed home while Modi faced criticism he had allowed Pakistan to get away with their violations of the LoC.

    In democracies, the mob sometimes rules and can push sensible politicians into dangerous places as said politicians feel obliged to follow the public mood. In a democracy, the mood of an angry and resentful people can take you down some dangerous paths.

    That's not to praise dictatorship per se. Dictators are capable of doing stupid things and there are no checks or balances to stop them. When I think of how countries have been transformed, on the one hand you have Hitler's Germany, Stalin's Russia or Mao's China where millions suffered as the State forcibly imposed an ideology on the economic, social and cultural profile of the people and the country.

    Yet it happens in democracies too - the two World Wars changed British society irrevocably but so did Asquith, Attlee and Thatcher as their Governments brought in radical changes backed by large Parliamentary majorities.

    It's not a faultless analogy - I'd argue the 1950s saw great economic and social changes but the cultural changes came later.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,812

    How much of a boost to Q1 GDP will this extra stock create?
    None if it's imported. Ironically, it will be supporting euro area GDP though.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Doms back..

    https://dominiccummings.com/2019/02/21/on-the-referendum-29-genetics-genomics-predictions-the-gretzky-game-a-chance-for-britain-to-help-the-world/

    "It combines, inter alia, all the political benefits of focus on the NHS, helping domestic technology companies, incentivising global investment, doing something that shows the world that Britain is (contra the May/Hammond outlook) open to science and high skilled immigrants, it is based on intrinsic advantages that Europe and America will find hard to overcome over a decade, it supplies (NB. MPs/spads) a never-ending string of heart-wrenching good news stories, and, very rarely in SW1, those pushing it would be seen as leading something of global importance. It will, therefore, obviously be rejected by a section of Conservative MPs who much prefer to live in a parallel world, who hate anything to do with science and who are ignorant about how new industries and wealth are really created. "
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,197
    edited March 2019

    Oh and @Harris_Tweed while Farage would be able to claim [with some basis] inheritance of UKIP's past electoral performance, Chukka couldn't as the current Labour Leader is still the same as the Labour Leader at the last General Election so Miliband is irrelevant.

    TIG is not aiming to be Labour 2 though but SDP2, after all 3/12 of its MPs are ex Tories.

    The Brexit Party though is aiming to be UKIP2 and almost all its leadership are ex UKIP
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631

    Anorak said:

    Farage is box office and will get the BBC airtime advantage over UKIP.

    The problem with seeing any EU Parliament elections as a mini-referendum is Labour. Their official policy headline will still be formally for Brexit (albeit a Labour unicorn Brexit) but many of their members and voters will see their support as being for voting Remain in another referendum.

    Yes Farage interviews very well, and has [mostly] avoided the taint of the completely bonkers people remaining in UKIP. UKIP are two steps from using banners and large gold eagles, IMO.
    That'll be a difficult editorial policy question for Ofcom and the BBC in assessing "demonstrable electoral support". From past experience, UKIP would get the nod and a great deal of airtime on the basis of the last EU election (probably tempered by somewhat quieter GE's since). But there'd be a counter-argument from Farage that UKIP's moved a long way since then, and he's the continuity act.

    If you accepted that, though, you'd have the same argument from Chukka that he's the true inheritor of the Miliband dynasty!
    Yes, there’s going to be an almighty bunfight between the parties, the Electoral Commission and the broadcasters over rights to airtime if the EU elections go ahead.

    The TIG group don’t even have a registered party, which in an election based on party lists is somewhat sub-optimal.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    Floater said:

    eek said:

    Anorak said:

    No problem here. This is unfixable from within.
    https://twitter.com/l_attfield/status/1101449436423745536

    Well it's fixable by leaving it open for a month finding out which other CLP's agree with them and kicking the entire CLP out of the party.

    Other than that yep - the Labour party clearly has a antisemitism issue that has taken hold of the body and is going to be utterly impossible to remove.
    It is even worse than that (terrible though the jew-hating is). The root of this is belief in mad conspiracy theories about how the world works and also defending the Leader and the Party in all circumstances no matter how terrible the morals involved are. No personal compromise is too great in order to show support of the leader and his power to revolutionise the UK.

    This is Leninism. Pure and simple.

    Who knows who the next target will be, especially if they are in government? But whichever group gets targeted (I'd guess journalists, then academics), then all the CLPs will support whatever is being done by these kinds of numbers.


    Yes - if they get in it will be ugly, very ugly.
    Short of a big majority or a big clearout of moderate MPs, the left won't have control of Parliament and the right will have the same potential leverage that the ERG has achieved over Tory governments.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,773
    IanB2 said:

    Floater said:

    eek said:

    Anorak said:

    No problem here. This is unfixable from within.
    https://twitter.com/l_attfield/status/1101449436423745536

    Well it's fixable by leaving it open for a month finding out which other CLP's agree with them and kicking the entire CLP out of the party.

    Other than that yep - the Labour party clearly has a antisemitism issue that has taken hold of the body and is going to be utterly impossible to remove.
    It is even worse than that (terrible though the jew-hating is). The root of this is belief in mad conspiracy theories about how the world works and also defending the Leader and the Party in all circumstances no matter how terrible the morals involved are. No personal compromise is too great in order to show support of the leader and his power to revolutionise the UK.

    This is Leninism. Pure and simple.

    Who knows who the next target will be, especially if they are in government? But whichever group gets targeted (I'd guess journalists, then academics), then all the CLPs will support whatever is being done by these kinds of numbers.


    Yes - if they get in it will be ugly, very ugly.
    Short of a big majority or a big clearout of moderate MPs, the left won't have control of Parliament and the right will have the same potential leverage that the ERG has achieved over Tory governments.
    The clear out has merely been delayed.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,318

    Cyclefree said:

    Anorak said:

    Alistair said:

    Chris Grayling's time at justice should be a black mark against David Cameron.

    Fixed that for you.

    Is there a department Grayling has ever done well at? Why on Earth he has gotten to the Cabinet and stayed there is beyond me.

    Contrast with people like Gove at Justice and the difference is remarkable.
    Grayling is utterly useless and in any ordinary cabinet he would have been fired ages ago
    He benefits from May's patronage, but even here patience must be at its end by now. Surely?
    Loyalty is valued particularly highly at this time and Brexit means that political attention moves on from a Minister in trouble. Amber Rudd was only forced to leave the Home Office because otherwise the responsibility for the failings would have fallen at May's door, but as long as May has not been personally involved in Grayling's failures at Justice or Transport he will remain in place.
    What do you mean - "not personally involved"? She's the PM. The buck stops with her.
    I suspect, Ms Cyclefree, that the days of 'taking responsibility' when things go wrong are lost in the mists of time.
    Sadly.
    Not if I have anything to do with it. Taking responsibility is the essence of leadership. If you don’t do, if you are not prepared to do that, if your team cannot trust you to do that, you are not a leader.

    No amount of management bollocks can make up for this lack.

    May I direct you to this modest reflection - https://barry-walsh.co.uk/2018/08/ - and a politician who understood this lesson instinctively.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    IanB2 said:

    Floater said:

    eek said:

    Anorak said:

    No problem here. This is unfixable from within.
    https://twitter.com/l_attfield/status/1101449436423745536

    Well it's fixable by leaving it open for a month finding out which other CLP's agree with them and kicking the entire CLP out of the party.

    Other than that yep - the Labour party clearly has a antisemitism issue that has taken hold of the body and is going to be utterly impossible to remove.
    It is even worse than that (terrible though the jew-hating is). The root of this is belief in mad conspiracy theories about how the world works and also defending the Leader and the Party in all circumstances no matter how terrible the morals involved are. No personal compromise is too great in order to show support of the leader and his power to revolutionise the UK.

    This is Leninism. Pure and simple.

    Who knows who the next target will be, especially if they are in government? But whichever group gets targeted (I'd guess journalists, then academics), then all the CLPs will support whatever is being done by these kinds of numbers.


    Yes - if they get in it will be ugly, very ugly.
    Short of a big majority or a big clearout of moderate MPs, the left won't have control of Parliament and the right will have the same potential leverage that the ERG has achieved over Tory governments.
    Good job they aren't talking about deselections then.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    How much of a boost to Q1 GDP will this extra stock create?
    None if it's imported. Ironically, it will be supporting euro area GDP though.
    Which isn't going well apparently
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    HYUFD said:

    Oh and @Harris_Tweed while Farage would be able to claim [with some basis] inheritance of UKIP's past electoral performance, Chukka couldn't as the current Labour Leader is still the same as the Labour Leader at the last General Election so Miliband is irrelevant.

    TIG is not aiming to be Labour 2 though but SDP2, after all 3/12 of its MPs are ex Tories.

    The Brexit Party though is aiming to be UKIP2 and almost all its leadership are ex UKIP
    Leadership set up as a company rather than a democratic political party.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,197
    edited March 2019
    https://twitter.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1101432653881008128?s=20

    Including free movement from Africa to Europe Guy?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631
    To come back to a discussion from last night, which is on topic for this thread:

    What chance that the EU force us to partake in the elections anyway, as condition of a three-month extension until the end of June?

    The new Parliament meets on 2nd July, and if for any reason we are still members on that date it creates an almighty problem for them if it's not constituted correctly. There's also the issue that a number of the UK seats have been re-allocated elsewhere, so the elections elsewhere will take those new seats into account.

    This may cause the EU side to only offer a longer extention, or to offer a shorter one as a strictly one-time offer, on condition that the Treaty was formally ratified (not just a single 'meaningful' vote in the Commons) by the UK before 29th March.

    EU source for discussion:
    http://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20180607IPR05241/number-of-meps-to-be-reduced-after-eu-elections-in-2019
    What's missing is what happens if at the time of the election in May, there is some uncertainty as to whether or not the UK will still be a member in July.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,197
    edited March 2019
    IanB2 said:

    Floater said:

    eek said:

    Anorak said:

    No problem here. This is unfixable from within.
    https://twitter.com/l_attfield/status/1101449436423745536

    Well it's fixable by leaving it open for a month finding out which other CLP's agree with them and kicking the entire CLP out of the party.

    Other than that yep - the Labour party clearly has a antisemitism issue that has taken hold of the body and is going to be utterly impossible to remove.
    It is even worse than that (terrible though the jew-hating is). The root of this is belief in mad conspiracy theories about how the world works and also defending the Leader and the Party in all circumstances no matter how terrible the morals involved are. No personal compromise is too great in order to show support of the leader and his power to revolutionise the UK.

    This is Leninism. Pure and simple.

    Who knows who the next target will be, especially if they are in government? But whichever group gets targeted (I'd guess journalists, then academics), then all the CLPs will support whatever is being done by these kinds of numbers.


    Yes - if they get in it will be ugly, very ugly.
    Short of a big majority or a big clearout of moderate MPs, the left won't have control of Parliament and the right will have the same potential leverage that the ERG has achieved over Tory governments.
    What, enabling extension of Article 50 and a delay to Brexit?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    The US has outlined its objectives for a post-Brexit trade deal with the UK, demanding greater access to the food markets where products such as chlorinated chicken or hormone-fed beef are banned under EU rules.

    The US laid out its aims for a trade deal to cut tariff and non-tariff barriers for US industrial and agricultural goods and reduce regulatory differences.

    The Trump administration is seeking to eliminate or reduce barriers for US agricultural products and secure duty-free access for industrial goods.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/mar/01/us-seeks-greater-access-to-uk-food-markets-after-brexit-trade-deal
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,902
    HYUFD said:


    TIG is not aiming to be Labour 2 though but SDP2, after all 3/12 of its MPs are ex Tories.

    The Brexit Party though is aiming to be UKIP2 and almost all its leadership are ex UKIP

    I don't think TIG is clear as to what it wants to be as yet - calling it SDP 2 may be a slightly pejorative term but it's also inaccurate. I'd like to see what ideas and policies it has beyond Brexit and whether they can agree on something that isn't either existing LAB, CON or LD policy or is a re-hash of Blair-ism.

  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    IanB2 said:

    The US has outlined its objectives for a post-Brexit trade deal with the UK, demanding greater access to the food markets where products such as chlorinated chicken or hormone-fed beef are banned under EU rules.

    The US laid out its aims for a trade deal to cut tariff and non-tariff barriers for US industrial and agricultural goods and reduce regulatory differences.

    The Trump administration is seeking to eliminate or reduce barriers for US agricultural products and secure duty-free access for industrial goods.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/mar/01/us-seeks-greater-access-to-uk-food-markets-after-brexit-trade-deal

    Could mean cheaper Teslas though..
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    edited March 2019
    HYUFD said:

    Including free movement from Africa to Europe Guy?


    Freedom of movement from Libya and Somalia, what could possibly go wrong.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631

    malcolmg said:

    FPT for Floater


    Floater said:

    » show previous quotes
    Nice Avatar pic Malc - is it new or have I not being paying attention?

    Been there a while now. I got my grandson one of these painted in the TIKI colours etc, very nice. Also got him this one recently.
    https://www.rctank.de/New-Panther-F-metal-edition-with-Taigen-BB-shoot-unit-metal-lower-hull-and-turret-steel-41-gearboxes

    I'm really, really, really trying to not buy one of these:
    https://www.cornwallmodelboats.co.uk/acatalog/B512.html

    Mrs J won't object as we got married on the real one, and I can just say it's a tribute to our love. ;)
    I just ordered one of these. Appropriately it contains 1969 pieces.
    https://shop.lego.com/en-US/product/LEGO-NASA-Apollo-Saturn-V-21309
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,197
    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:


    TIG is not aiming to be Labour 2 though but SDP2, after all 3/12 of its MPs are ex Tories.

    The Brexit Party though is aiming to be UKIP2 and almost all its leadership are ex UKIP

    I don't think TIG is clear as to what it wants to be as yet - calling it SDP 2 may be a slightly pejorative term but it's also inaccurate. I'd like to see what ideas and policies it has beyond Brexit and whether they can agree on something that isn't either existing LAB, CON or LD policy or is a re-hash of Blair-ism.

    SDP2, New Labour 2 or Cameroons2 all in the same place ideologically and TIG's target market
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    Dura_Ace said:

    Whatever the rights or wrong's of Brexit, the UK will be just fine either inside or outside of the European Union.

    Brexit mean's Brexit.
    It appears the humble apostrophe is to be severely abused without the protection of the EU.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,599
    eek said:

    algarkirk said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    The answer is always David Lammy
    Beg to disagree. Christopher Chope and David Lammy are utterly decent human beings. I often disagree with them, and no doubt they disagree with each other. Incidentally, speaking from a centre right traditionalist position in many ways I think David Lammy is about correct in his recent controversy.

    Christopher Chope a decent human being? Given that his private member bill policy is to object to all bills except those from his mates you really can't call him decent....

    Frankly he is about the biggest embarrassment in the Tory party and that has a lot of competition.
    I think you will find that Messrs Chope, and indeed Lammy, are more interesting and complicated than this.

  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1101432653881008128?s=20

    Including free movement from Africa to Europe Guy?

    Italy, Hungary and Poland will all definitely veto this.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,197
    edited March 2019
    Andrew said:

    HYUFD said:

    Including free movement from Africa to Europe Guy?


    Freedom of movement from Libya and Somalia, what could possibly go wrong.
    Yes, I think Guy is taking the Marie Antoniette approach to Brexit and the current rise of nationalist parties in Europe
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    Sandpit said:

    Anorak said:

    Farage is box office and will get the BBC airtime advantage over UKIP.

    The problem with seeing any EU Parliament elections as a mini-referendum is Labour. Their official policy headline will still be formally for Brexit (albeit a Labour unicorn Brexit) but many of their members and voters will see their support as being for voting Remain in another referendum.

    Yes Farage interviews very well, and has [mostly] avoided the taint of the completely bonkers people remaining in UKIP. UKIP are two steps from using banners and large gold eagles, IMO.
    That'll be a difficult editorial policy question for Ofcom and the BBC in assessing "demonstrable electoral support". From past experience, UKIP would get the nod and a great deal of airtime on the basis of the last EU election (probably tempered by somewhat quieter GE's since). But there'd be a counter-argument from Farage that UKIP's moved a long way since then, and he's the continuity act.

    If you accepted that, though, you'd have the same argument from Chukka that he's the true inheritor of the Miliband dynasty!
    Yes, there’s going to be an almighty bunfight between the parties, the Electoral Commission and the broadcasters over rights to airtime if the EU elections go ahead.

    The TIG group don’t even have a registered party, which in an election based on party lists is somewhat sub-optimal.
    Indeed so. It is far from clear that the Brexit Party and the Tiggers would have any more entitlement to coverage from the Broadcasters than - say - the Literal Democrats.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    HYUFD said:
    Pathetic morons. They are no better than Momentum.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    algarkirk said:

    eek said:

    algarkirk said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    The answer is always David Lammy
    Beg to disagree. Christopher Chope and David Lammy are utterly decent human beings. I often disagree with them, and no doubt they disagree with each other. Incidentally, speaking from a centre right traditionalist position in many ways I think David Lammy is about correct in his recent controversy.

    Christopher Chope a decent human being? Given that his private member bill policy is to object to all bills except those from his mates you really can't call him decent....

    Frankly he is about the biggest embarrassment in the Tory party and that has a lot of competition.
    I think you will find that Messrs Chope, and indeed Lammy, are more interesting and complicated than this.

    You could make that argument for Chope if he yelled "Object" to his mates backbench bills as well.
  • TrèsDifficileTrèsDifficile Posts: 1,729
    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1101432653881008128?s=20

    Including free movement from Africa to Europe Guy?

    Doesn't China own most of Africa?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,725
    Sandpit said:

    malcolmg said:

    FPT for Floater


    Floater said:

    » show previous quotes
    Nice Avatar pic Malc - is it new or have I not being paying attention?

    Been there a while now. I got my grandson one of these painted in the TIKI colours etc, very nice. Also got him this one recently.
    https://www.rctank.de/New-Panther-F-metal-edition-with-Taigen-BB-shoot-unit-metal-lower-hull-and-turret-steel-41-gearboxes

    I'm really, really, really trying to not buy one of these:
    https://www.cornwallmodelboats.co.uk/acatalog/B512.html

    Mrs J won't object as we got married on the real one, and I can just say it's a tribute to our love. ;)
    I just ordered one of these. Appropriately it contains 1969 pieces.
    https://shop.lego.com/en-US/product/LEGO-NASA-Apollo-Saturn-V-21309
    Have fun with that. I resisted it... so far ...

    I haven't updated you on my ongoing project to build a bigger LEGO Bucket Wheel Excavator: it currently has eight tracks (of the same size as the two of the original), and the bucket arm is a metre long - and fully functions...

    It's just waiting for me to get a running or walking injury so I have time to work on it (and the fact the little 'un keeps on adding pieces that jam the mechanism).
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Cyclefree said:

    Alistair said:

    Chris Grayling's time at justice should be a black mark against David Cameron.

    Fixed that for you.

    Is there a department Grayling has ever done well at? Why on Earth he has gotten to the Cabinet and stayed there is beyond me.

    Contrast with people like Gove at Justice and the difference is remarkable.
    Why Grayling has ever been a Minister is a mystery? Why?? He shouldn't be let out of the house without a carer to guide him across the road. Incompetent is too kind a word for him.
    One must beware of anyone who is stupid and diligent - he must not be entrusted with any responsibility because he will only ever cause mischief

    https://en.m.wikiquote.org/wiki/Kurt_von_Hammerstein-Equord
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    The answer is always David Lammy
    Trust you to put a black face in there for completeness.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313

    HYUFD said:
    Pathetic morons. They are no better than Momentum.
    On a lighter note, has anyone seen a chair walking? It is an interesting concept.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631
    IanB2 said:

    The US has outlined its objectives for a post-Brexit trade deal with the UK, demanding greater access to the food markets where products such as chlorinated chicken or hormone-fed beef are banned under EU rules.

    The US laid out its aims for a trade deal to cut tariff and non-tariff barriers for US industrial and agricultural goods and reduce regulatory differences.

    The Trump administration is seeking to eliminate or reduce barriers for US agricultural products and secure duty-free access for industrial goods.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/mar/01/us-seeks-greater-access-to-uk-food-markets-after-brexit-trade-deal

    That doesn't seem an unreasonable starting point from their point of view, although IMO there's never going to be a grand trade deal with the USA, far too many red lines on both sides.

    What's much more likely in practice is a number of win-win sectoral agreements, such as on high-tech manufactured and capital goods (cars, machinery), pharmacuticals, financial services and a number of other areas where regulatory equivalence could possibly be made to work.

    On agriculture we could remove tariffs but insist on standards, so to allow e.g. USDA beef to be imported but not the mass-market GM crap they feed themselves on.

    The USA also have a habit of insisting on one-sided dispute resolution systems, which we're never going to agree to either.

    In the short term, being out of the EU (and out of Trump's trade war with them) could be almost the equivalent of a good trade deal.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    Sandpit said:

    IanB2 said:

    The US has outlined its objectives for a post-Brexit trade deal with the UK, demanding greater access to the food markets where products such as chlorinated chicken or hormone-fed beef are banned under EU rules.

    The US laid out its aims for a trade deal to cut tariff and non-tariff barriers for US industrial and agricultural goods and reduce regulatory differences.

    The Trump administration is seeking to eliminate or reduce barriers for US agricultural products and secure duty-free access for industrial goods.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/mar/01/us-seeks-greater-access-to-uk-food-markets-after-brexit-trade-deal

    That doesn't seem an unreasonable starting point from their point of view, although IMO there's never going to be a grand trade deal with the USA, far too many red lines on both sides.

    What's much more likely in practice is a number of win-win sectoral agreements, such as on high-tech manufactured and capital goods (cars, machinery), pharmacuticals, financial services and a number of other areas where regulatory equivalence could possibly be made to work.

    On agriculture we could remove tariffs but insist on standards, so to allow e.g. USDA beef to be imported but not the mass-market GM crap they feed themselves on.

    The USA also have a habit of insisting on one-sided dispute resolution systems, which we're never going to agree to either.

    In the short term, being out of the EU (and out of Trump's trade war with them) could be almost the equivalent of a good trade deal.
    It is a great idea. Let us leave one trading arrangement where we are an equal partner to one where we have to suck it up from the senior partner, the US. Take back control? No just give it to Donald Trump.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Alistair said:

    Chris Grayling's time at justice should be a black mark against David Cameron.

    Fixed that for you.

    Is there a department Grayling has ever done well at? Why on Earth he has gotten to the Cabinet and stayed there is beyond me.

    Contrast with people like Gove at Justice and the difference is remarkable.
    Why Grayling has ever been a Minister is a mystery? Why?? He shouldn't be let out of the house without a carer to guide him across the road. Incompetent is too kind a word for him.
    One must beware of anyone who is stupid and diligent - he must not be entrusted with any responsibility because he will only ever cause mischief

    https://en.m.wikiquote.org/wiki/Kurt_von_Hammerstein-Equord
    Is there any evidence of diligence?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    eek said:

    algarkirk said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    The answer is always David Lammy
    Beg to disagree. Christopher Chope and David Lammy are utterly decent human beings. I often disagree with them, and no doubt they disagree with each other. Incidentally, speaking from a centre right traditionalist position in many ways I think David Lammy is about correct in his recent controversy.

    Christopher Chope a decent human being? Given that his private member bill policy is to object to all bills except those from his mates you really can't call him decent....

    Frankly he is about the biggest embarrassment in the Tory party and that has a lot of competition.
    He’s a douche. But not the “worst human being”
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,599
    Pulpstar said:

    algarkirk said:

    eek said:

    algarkirk said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    The answer is always David Lammy
    Beg to disagree. Christopher Chope and David Lammy are utterly decent human beings. I often disagree with them, and no doubt they disagree with each other. Incidentally, speaking from a centre right traditionalist position in many ways I think David Lammy is about correct in his recent controversy.

    Christopher Chope a decent human being? Given that his private member bill policy is to object to all bills except those from his mates you really can't call him decent....

    Frankly he is about the biggest embarrassment in the Tory party and that has a lot of competition.
    I think you will find that Messrs Chope, and indeed Lammy, are more interesting and complicated than this.

    You could make that argument for Chope if he yelled "Object" to his mates backbench bills as well.
    Quite a few Bills deserve proper scrutiny.

  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    HYUFD said:

    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:


    TIG is not aiming to be Labour 2 though but SDP2, after all 3/12 of its MPs are ex Tories.

    The Brexit Party though is aiming to be UKIP2 and almost all its leadership are ex UKIP

    I don't think TIG is clear as to what it wants to be as yet - calling it SDP 2 may be a slightly pejorative term but it's also inaccurate. I'd like to see what ideas and policies it has beyond Brexit and whether they can agree on something that isn't either existing LAB, CON or LD policy or is a re-hash of Blair-ism.

    SDP2, New Labour 2 or Cameroons2 all in the same place ideologically and TIG's target market
    You are right there Mr. HYUFD. Otherwise known as the sensible centre. Whether they can persuade those right of centre to take the risk of a Corbyn government will be the challenge with our antiquated electoral system.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,725
    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Alistair said:

    Chris Grayling's time at justice should be a black mark against David Cameron.

    Fixed that for you.

    Is there a department Grayling has ever done well at? Why on Earth he has gotten to the Cabinet and stayed there is beyond me.

    Contrast with people like Gove at Justice and the difference is remarkable.
    Why Grayling has ever been a Minister is a mystery? Why?? He shouldn't be let out of the house without a carer to guide him across the road. Incompetent is too kind a word for him.
    One must beware of anyone who is stupid and diligent - he must not be entrusted with any responsibility because he will only ever cause mischief

    https://en.m.wikiquote.org/wiki/Kurt_von_Hammerstein-Equord
    The problem with that is the definition of 'stupid': most of us, however intelligent, are stupid at when it comes to one thing or another: and I'd argue the more highly qualified someone is, they more generally stupid they become. ;)

    For instance, in Hammerstein-Equord's role, you might have someone who couldn't devise a military attack strategy that wouldn't get the army slaughtered, but might be exceptionally able at logistics, or at deciphering codes.

    IMO 'Stupidity', especially amongst the intelligent, is often a sign they are in the wrong role - or have misjudged their capabilities. The real stupidity comes in not recognising it - and that's a human failing m,any of us have.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631

    Sandpit said:

    malcolmg said:

    FPT for Floater


    Floater said:

    » show previous quotes
    Nice Avatar pic Malc - is it new or have I not being paying attention?

    Been there a while now. I got my grandson one of these painted in the TIKI colours etc, very nice. Also got him this one recently.
    https://www.rctank.de/New-Panther-F-metal-edition-with-Taigen-BB-shoot-unit-metal-lower-hull-and-turret-steel-41-gearboxes

    I'm really, really, really trying to not buy one of these:
    https://www.cornwallmodelboats.co.uk/acatalog/B512.html

    Mrs J won't object as we got married on the real one, and I can just say it's a tribute to our love. ;)
    I just ordered one of these. Appropriately it contains 1969 pieces.
    https://shop.lego.com/en-US/product/LEGO-NASA-Apollo-Saturn-V-21309
    Have fun with that. I resisted it... so far ...

    I haven't updated you on my ongoing project to build a bigger LEGO Bucket Wheel Excavator: it currently has eight tracks (of the same size as the two of the original), and the bucket arm is a metre long - and fully functions...

    It's just waiting for me to get a running or walking injury so I have time to work on it (and the fact the little 'un keeps on adding pieces that jam the mechanism).
    I figured I should do it before July this year, for obvious reasons. Your large bucket wheel sounds like a good project too, have fun :)
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,313
    IanB2 said:

    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Alistair said:

    Chris Grayling's time at justice should be a black mark against David Cameron.

    Fixed that for you.

    Is there a department Grayling has ever done well at? Why on Earth he has gotten to the Cabinet and stayed there is beyond me.

    Contrast with people like Gove at Justice and the difference is remarkable.
    Why Grayling has ever been a Minister is a mystery? Why?? He shouldn't be let out of the house without a carer to guide him across the road. Incompetent is too kind a word for him.
    One must beware of anyone who is stupid and diligent - he must not be entrusted with any responsibility because he will only ever cause mischief

    https://en.m.wikiquote.org/wiki/Kurt_von_Hammerstein-Equord
    Is there any evidence of diligence?
    Probably not, but plenty of stupidity. I wonder who would win an intelligence competition, him or Corbyn? It'd be pretty close.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,732
    Nick Timothy has been touring the TV stations.

    https://twitter.com/channel4news/status/1101472096893497344?s=21
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    IanB2 said:

    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Alistair said:

    Chris Grayling's time at justice should be a black mark against David Cameron.

    Fixed that for you.

    Is there a department Grayling has ever done well at? Why on Earth he has gotten to the Cabinet and stayed there is beyond me.

    Contrast with people like Gove at Justice and the difference is remarkable.
    Why Grayling has ever been a Minister is a mystery? Why?? He shouldn't be let out of the house without a carer to guide him across the road. Incompetent is too kind a word for him.
    One must beware of anyone who is stupid and diligent - he must not be entrusted with any responsibility because he will only ever cause mischief

    https://en.m.wikiquote.org/wiki/Kurt_von_Hammerstein-Equord
    Is there any evidence of diligence?
    Didn’t he pay someone to do diligence on the ferry company...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631

    Sandpit said:

    IanB2 said:

    That doesn't seem an unreasonable starting point from their point of view, although IMO there's never going to be a grand trade deal with the USA, far too many red lines on both sides.

    What's much more likely in practice is a number of win-win sectoral agreements, such as on high-tech manufactured and capital goods (cars, machinery), pharmacuticals, financial services and a number of other areas where regulatory equivalence could possibly be made to work.

    On agriculture we could remove tariffs but insist on standards, so to allow e.g. USDA beef to be imported but not the mass-market GM crap they feed themselves on.

    The USA also have a habit of insisting on one-sided dispute resolution systems, which we're never going to agree to either.

    In the short term, being out of the EU (and out of Trump's trade war with them) could be almost the equivalent of a good trade deal.
    It is a great idea. Let us leave one trading arrangement where we are an equal partner to one where we have to suck it up from the senior partner, the US. Take back control? No just give it to Donald Trump.
    That's not what I said at all. I said that there's little chance of a comprehensive trade deal that doesn't make us Trump's bitch, so what we should do in practice is look at agreements in sectors where it's relatively straightforward to allow regulatory equivalence in practice.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,742
    Pulpstar said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1101432653881008128?s=20

    Including free movement from Africa to Europe Guy?

    Italy, Hungary and Poland will all definitely veto this.
    Why? it is an FTA he is advocating on his presentation, not membership of the Single Market. We already have tariff free deals with 56 mostly African LDCs via Everything But Arms.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    algarkirk said:

    Pulpstar said:

    algarkirk said:

    eek said:

    algarkirk said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    The answer is always David Lammy
    Beg to disagree. Christopher Chope and David Lammy are utterly decent human beings. I often disagree with them, and no doubt they disagree with each other. Incidentally, speaking from a centre right traditionalist position in many ways I think David Lammy is about correct in his recent controversy.

    Christopher Chope a decent human being? Given that his private member bill policy is to object to all bills except those from his mates you really can't call him decent....

    Frankly he is about the biggest embarrassment in the Tory party and that has a lot of competition.
    I think you will find that Messrs Chope, and indeed Lammy, are more interesting and complicated than this.

    You could make that argument for Chope if he yelled "Object" to his mates backbench bills as well.
    Quite a few Bills deserve proper scrutiny.

    Just quite a few?

    Why don't his mates bills deserve it?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,893

    malcolmg said:

    FPT for Floater


    Floater said:

    » show previous quotes
    Nice Avatar pic Malc - is it new or have I not being paying attention?

    Been there a while now. I got my grandson one of these painted in the TIKI colours etc, very nice. Also got him this one recently.
    https://www.rctank.de/New-Panther-F-metal-edition-with-Taigen-BB-shoot-unit-metal-lower-hull-and-turret-steel-41-gearboxes

    I'm really, really, really trying to not buy one of these:
    https://www.cornwallmodelboats.co.uk/acatalog/B512.html

    Mrs J won't object as we got married on the real one, and I can just say it's a tribute to our love. ;)
    Shops don't seem to sell model kits any more :(
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    Floater said:

    eek said:

    Anorak said:

    No problem here. This is unfixable from within.
    https://twitter.com/l_attfield/status/1101449436423745536

    Well it's fixable by leaving it open for a month finding out which other CLP's agree with them and kicking the entire CLP out of the party.

    Other than that yep - the Labour party clearly has a antisemitism issue that has taken hold of the body and is going to be utterly impossible to remove.
    It is even worse than that (terrible though the jew-hating is). The root of this is belief in mad conspiracy theories about how the world works and also defending the Leader and the Party in all circumstances no matter how terrible the morals involved are. No personal compromise is too great in order to show support of the leader and his power to revolutionise the UK.

    This is Leninism. Pure and simple.

    Who knows who the next target will be, especially if they are in government? But whichever group gets targeted (I'd guess journalists, then academics), then all the CLPs will support whatever is being done by these kinds of numbers.


    Yes - if they get in it will be ugly, very ugly.
    Short of a big majority or a big clearout of moderate MPs, the left won't have control of Parliament and the right will have the same potential leverage that the ERG has achieved over Tory governments.
    What, enabling extension of Article 50 and a delay to Brexit?
    Chortle. Fair play to you.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,254
    Apologies if this has already been floated on here - it is such an obvious suggestion that I bet it has - but why not treat the Euro elections, if they happen, as a proxy for REF2?

    Run them between just 2 parties, one called 'Leave Means Leave!' and the other called 'Storrrp Brexit!' and see who comes out on top.

    Landslide for either settles the matter. If it's close, ok back in the doo doo, but nothing lost.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,387

    HYUFD said:
    Pathetic morons. They are no better than Momentum.
    I thought Fallon was a Brexit hardliner.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,387

    Sandpit said:

    IanB2 said:

    The US has outlined its objectives for a post-Brexit trade deal with the UK, demanding greater access to the food markets where products such as chlorinated chicken or hormone-fed beef are banned under EU rules.

    The US laid out its aims for a trade deal to cut tariff and non-tariff barriers for US industrial and agricultural goods and reduce regulatory differences.

    The Trump administration is seeking to eliminate or reduce barriers for US agricultural products and secure duty-free access for industrial goods.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/mar/01/us-seeks-greater-access-to-uk-food-markets-after-brexit-trade-deal

    That doesn't seem an unreasonable starting point from their point of view, although IMO there's never going to be a grand trade deal with the USA, far too many red lines on both sides.

    What's much more likely in practice is a number of win-win sectoral agreements, such as on high-tech manufactured and capital goods (cars, machinery), pharmacuticals, financial services and a number of other areas where regulatory equivalence could possibly be made to work.

    On agriculture we could remove tariffs but insist on standards, so to allow e.g. USDA beef to be imported but not the mass-market GM crap they feed themselves on.

    The USA also have a habit of insisting on one-sided dispute resolution systems, which we're never going to agree to either.

    In the short term, being out of the EU (and out of Trump's trade war with them) could be almost the equivalent of a good trade deal.
    It is a great idea. Let us leave one trading arrangement where we are an equal partner to one where we have to suck it up from the senior partner, the US. Take back control? No just give it to Donald Trump.
    There's no reason to sign up to a trade deal with the USA. We run a hefty trade surplus without one.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    The only way of leaving is by accepting it's worse than Remaining, which is what I think Lilico intended to write. That's why a bunch of the more aware voted Remain. It's better than Leave.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,722
    Sean_F said:

    Sandpit said:

    IanB2 said:

    The US has outlined its objectives for a post-Brexit trade deal with the UK, demanding greater access to the food markets where products such as chlorinated chicken or hormone-fed beef are banned under EU rules.

    The US laid out its aims for a trade deal to cut tariff and non-tariff barriers for US industrial and agricultural goods and reduce regulatory differences.

    The Trump administration is seeking to eliminate or reduce barriers for US agricultural products and secure duty-free access for industrial goods.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/mar/01/us-seeks-greater-access-to-uk-food-markets-after-brexit-trade-deal

    That doesn't seem an unreasonable starting point from their point of view, although IMO there's never going to be a grand trade deal with the USA, far too many red lines on both sides.

    What's much more likely in practice is a number of win-win sectoral agreements, such as on high-tech manufactured and capital goods (cars, machinery), pharmacuticals, financial services and a number of other areas where regulatory equivalence could possibly be made to work.

    On agriculture we could remove tariffs but insist on standards, so to allow e.g. USDA beef to be imported but not the mass-market GM crap they feed themselves on.

    The USA also have a habit of insisting on one-sided dispute resolution systems, which we're never going to agree to either.

    In the short term, being out of the EU (and out of Trump's trade war with them) could be almost the equivalent of a good trade deal.
    It is a great idea. Let us leave one trading arrangement where we are an equal partner to one where we have to suck it up from the senior partner, the US. Take back control? No just give it to Donald Trump.
    There's no reason to sign up to a trade deal with the USA. We run a hefty trade surplus without one.
    eh?
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,580
    Anorak said:

    Cyclefree said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    Steve Baker needs to be on the list. And Seamus Milne.
    I nearly put Seamus on there. But he just didn't meet the 'skin crawl' test, however unpleasant he is.
    I think I would have to put Chope at the top. Whilst the others are all vile because of what they say, only Chope has made use of his position to actually cause material harm to people through his actions.
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Scott_P said:
    681 hours until Brexit and nothing has changed.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631
    edited March 2019
    Scott_P said:
    Not that I particularly trust Buzzfeed as a source, but it's quite clear from this week that Watson is trying to work out whether the disease is actually curable or if it's time to split the party in two.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Anorak said:

    Cyclefree said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    Steve Baker needs to be on the list. And Seamus Milne.
    I nearly put Seamus on there. But he just didn't meet the 'skin crawl' test, however unpleasant he is.
    I think I would have to put Chope at the top. Whilst the others are all vile because of what they say, only Chope has made use of his position to actually cause material harm to people through his actions.
    The thing is that Chope's supposed principles are fine. The willingness of an MP to stand up for his principles while others in his party pressure him not to is also fine.

    What isn't ok is the fact Chope is a flaming hypocrite. He hasn't objected to his mates bills so he has no principle.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    I'm beginning to believe that whatever revised deal the PM comes up with will pass.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,683
    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:
    Pathetic morons. They are no better than Momentum.
    I thought Fallon was a Brexit hardliner.
    I suppose any local activist with a grudge can now shout 'Remainer' and Leave.EU will pile in screaming for deselection, regardless of what the MP's actual views are. It's all a bit like the Inquisition or the Salem witch trials.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,626
    Scott_P said:
    The Labour Party should suspend any constituency party that passes that motion.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,814
    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Mr. Max, I am quite tempted by the 2.5, Ladbrokes, on a deal passing the Commons at the next time of asking. Was 3.5 a few days ago.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,732

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:
    Pathetic morons. They are no better than Momentum.
    I thought Fallon was a Brexit hardliner.
    I suppose any local activist with a grudge can now shout 'Remainer' and Leave.EU will pile in screaming for deselection, regardless of what the MP's actual views are. It's all a bit like the Inquisition or the Salem witch trials.
    Rees-Mogg had better watch out he's not next on the list.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,626

    Anorak said:

    Cyclefree said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    Steve Baker needs to be on the list. And Seamus Milne.
    I nearly put Seamus on there. But he just didn't meet the 'skin crawl' test, however unpleasant he is.
    I think I would have to put Chope at the top. Whilst the others are all vile because of what they say, only Chope has made use of his position to actually cause material harm to people through his actions.
    Corbyn should be top. He is the Poisonous Puppet Master. He gives strength to the idiots doing His work.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    Sean_F said:

    Sandpit said:

    IanB2 said:

    The US has outlined its objectives for a post-Brexit trade deal with the UK, demanding greater access to the food markets where products such as chlorinated chicken or hormone-fed beef are banned under EU rules.

    The US laid out its aims for a trade deal to cut tariff and non-tariff barriers for US industrial and agricultural goods and reduce regulatory differences.

    The Trump administration is seeking to eliminate or reduce barriers for US agricultural products and secure duty-free access for industrial goods.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/mar/01/us-seeks-greater-access-to-uk-food-markets-after-brexit-trade-deal

    That doesn't seem an unreasonable starting point from their point of view, although IMO there's never going to be a grand trade deal with the USA, far too many red lines on both sides.

    What's much more likely in practice is a number of win-win sectoral agreements, such as on high-tech manufactured and capital goods (cars, machinery), pharmacuticals, financial services and a number of other areas where regulatory equivalence could possibly be made to work.

    On agriculture we could remove tariffs but insist on standards, so to allow e.g. USDA beef to be imported but not the mass-market GM crap they feed themselves on.

    The USA also have a habit of insisting on one-sided dispute resolution systems, which we're never going to agree to either.

    In the short term, being out of the EU (and out of Trump's trade war with them) could be almost the equivalent of a good trade deal.
    It is a great idea. Let us leave one trading arrangement where we are an equal partner to one where we have to suck it up from the senior partner, the US. Take back control? No just give it to Donald Trump.
    There's no reason to sign up to a trade deal with the USA. We run a hefty trade surplus without one.
    Funnily enough, I think UK and US stats disagree with each other on this. Although the EU doesn't have an overarching FTA with the US, it does have a number of bilateral agreements. We should expect the US to push hard when we try to roll them over for a separate UK. We will be squashed between the US the the EU.
  • TrèsDifficileTrèsDifficile Posts: 1,729
    kinabalu said:

    Apologies if this has already been floated on here - it is such an obvious suggestion that I bet it has - but why not treat the Euro elections, if they happen, as a proxy for REF2?

    Run them between just 2 parties, one called 'Leave Means Leave!' and the other called 'Storrrp Brexit!' and see who comes out on top.

    Landslide for either settles the matter. If it's close, ok back in the doo doo, but nothing lost.

    Different electorate.
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:
    Not that I particularly trust Buzzfeed as a source, but it's quite clear from this week that Watson is trying to work out whether the disease is actually curable or if it's time to split the party in two.
    If he believes the latter it might still be best for him to try to achieve the former in order to bring as many people with him as possible.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,285
    .
    Sandpit said:

    malcolmg said:

    FPT for Floater


    Floater said:

    » show previous quotes
    Nice Avatar pic Malc - is it new or have I not being paying attention?

    Been there a while now. I got my grandson one of these painted in the TIKI colours etc, very nice. Also got him this one recently.
    https://www.rctank.de/New-Panther-F-metal-edition-with-Taigen-BB-shoot-unit-metal-lower-hull-and-turret-steel-41-gearboxes

    I'm really, really, really trying to not buy one of these:
    https://www.cornwallmodelboats.co.uk/acatalog/B512.html

    Mrs J won't object as we got married on the real one, and I can just say it's a tribute to our love. ;)
    I just ordered one of these. Appropriately it contains 1969 pieces.
    https://shop.lego.com/en-US/product/LEGO-NASA-Apollo-Saturn-V-21309
    I got one of those for the school astronomy club: they had great fun putting it together!
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,387

    Anorak said:

    Cyclefree said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    Steve Baker needs to be on the list. And Seamus Milne.
    I nearly put Seamus on there. But he just didn't meet the 'skin crawl' test, however unpleasant he is.
    I think I would have to put Chope at the top. Whilst the others are all vile because of what they say, only Chope has made use of his position to actually cause material harm to people through his actions.
    Chope was an excellent council leader who has transformed himself into a prat.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631

    .

    Sandpit said:

    malcolmg said:

    FPT for Floater


    Floater said:

    » show previous quotes
    Nice Avatar pic Malc - is it new or have I not being paying attention?

    Been there a while now. I got my grandson one of these painted in the TIKI colours etc, very nice. Also got him this one recently.
    https://www.rctank.de/New-Panther-F-metal-edition-with-Taigen-BB-shoot-unit-metal-lower-hull-and-turret-steel-41-gearboxes

    I'm really, really, really trying to not buy one of these:
    https://www.cornwallmodelboats.co.uk/acatalog/B512.html

    Mrs J won't object as we got married on the real one, and I can just say it's a tribute to our love. ;)
    I just ordered one of these. Appropriately it contains 1969 pieces.
    https://shop.lego.com/en-US/product/LEGO-NASA-Apollo-Saturn-V-21309
    I got one of those for the school astronomy club: they had great fun putting it together!
    Cool. I plan to show mine off to my nephews (8 and 6), at least that was the excuse I gave the missus when ordering it ;)
  • FF43 said:

    The only way of leaving is by accepting it's worse than Remaining, which is what I think Lilico intended to write. That's why a bunch of the more aware voted Remain. It's better than Leave.
    Remain Now may be better than Leave Now. But what about the future?

    We have no crystal ball. What we can see is that the EU has many fundamental problems as they try to forge an ever closer union. They may be able to pull together amicably or they may require force (economic or military) to build it. Human history strongly suggests the latter - either to forge it (as per the US Civil War) or prevent its breakup (Yugoslavia). Personally I want no part of that.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Mr. Max, I am quite tempted by the 2.5, Ladbrokes, on a deal passing the Commons at the next time of asking. Was 3.5 a few days ago.

    I still don't see a deal passing - Labour are against as are enough hard core ERG members for it to not go ahead. What I do see (as suggested earlier today) is a referendum being added and the labour then abstaining on the basis that the deal would go ahead if the deal won the Deal or Remain referendum.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,138
    malcolmg said:

    FPT for Floater


    Floater said:

    » show previous quotes
    Nice Avatar pic Malc - is it new or have I not being paying attention?

    Been there a while now. I got my grandson one of these painted in the TIKI colours etc, very nice. Also got him this one recently.
    https://www.rctank.de/New-Panther-F-metal-edition-with-Taigen-BB-shoot-unit-metal-lower-hull-and-turret-steel-41-gearboxes

    In the latter half of WWII, the Germans came up with phenomenal tank designs but (for various different reasons) could not make them reliable nor in sufficient numbers. As a result there were not many Tigers, King Tigers, Panthers et al. This means that individual tanks can be identified.

    Your tank is Tiger 812 (nicknamed "Tiki") of the 8/SSPzRgt 2, a regiment better known as "Das Reich". This bunch of murderous bastards were immortalised in Max Hastings' book also called "Das Reich", which detailed their attempts to make it from their posting to the Normandy beaches to help repel D-Day. Their route was crucially delayed by Allied bombing, British special forces, and the French Resistance, some of whom died hideous deaths in their efforts to halt the German advance, including the Oradour-sur-Glane massacre.

    http://forum-console.worldoftanks.com/index.php?/topic/185157-tiger-812-tiki/
    https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/16115490-das-reich
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oradour-sur-Glane_massacre
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,951
    kinabalu said:

    Apologies if this has already been floated on here - it is such an obvious suggestion that I bet it has - but why not treat the Euro elections, if they happen, as a proxy for REF2?

    Run them between just 2 parties, one called 'Leave Means Leave!' and the other called 'Storrrp Brexit!' and see who comes out on top.

    Landslide for either settles the matter. If it's close, ok back in the doo doo, but nothing lost.

    It's something I was talking about last night. If the euro elections go ahead, there won't be a second referendum. Because if its a strong remain turnout the leavers in Parliament will take whatever they can get. And if its a strong leave turnout I suspect the fervour for a "people's" vote will die out pretty fast, once its clear what the "people" will actually say. And of course if its close, we know that another referendum will solve nothing.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    FF43 said:

    The only way of leaving is by accepting it's worse than Remaining, which is what I think Lilico intended to write. That's why a bunch of the more aware voted Remain. It's better than Leave.
    Remain Now may be better than Leave Now. But what about the future?

    We have no crystal ball. What we can see is that the EU has many fundamental problems as they try to forge an ever closer union. They may be able to pull together amicably or they may require force (economic or military) to build it. Human history strongly suggests the latter - either to forge it (as per the US Civil War) or prevent its breakup (Yugoslavia). Personally I want no part of that.
    Don't forget our own history of forming a union. Which makes it more amusing to me that Nationalists are so pro-EU.
  • TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    I didn't realise there was more referendum dog walks going on, apparently there are going to be lions* as well.

    https://twitter.com/wooferendum/status/1101246641477160961

    *Might just be a big fluffy dog.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,732
    kyf_100 said:

    kinabalu said:

    Apologies if this has already been floated on here - it is such an obvious suggestion that I bet it has - but why not treat the Euro elections, if they happen, as a proxy for REF2?

    Run them between just 2 parties, one called 'Leave Means Leave!' and the other called 'Storrrp Brexit!' and see who comes out on top.

    Landslide for either settles the matter. If it's close, ok back in the doo doo, but nothing lost.

    It's something I was talking about last night. If the euro elections go ahead, there won't be a second referendum. Because if its a strong remain turnout the leavers in Parliament will take whatever they can get. And if its a strong leave turnout I suspect the fervour for a "people's" vote will die out pretty fast, once its clear what the "people" will actually say. And of course if its close, we know that another referendum will solve nothing.
    If there's a strong Remain turnout, the Leavers in parliament won't have the numbers to "take" any Brexit.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Charles said:

    eek said:

    algarkirk said:

    Brom said:

    TOPPING said:

    Anorak said:

    Apropos of nothing, who is the worst human being out of:
    1. George Galloway
    2. Piers Morgan
    3. Andrew Bridgen
    4. Christopher Chope
    5. Chris Williamson

    I rank them 1,3,5,4,2 (first being worst). But open to persuasion.

    6. Mark Francois
    The answer is always David Lammy
    Beg to disagree. Christopher Chope and David Lammy are utterly decent human beings. I often disagree with them, and no doubt they disagree with each other. Incidentally, speaking from a centre right traditionalist position in many ways I think David Lammy is about correct in his recent controversy.

    Christopher Chope a decent human being? Given that his private member bill policy is to object to all bills except those from his mates you really can't call him decent....

    Frankly he is about the biggest embarrassment in the Tory party and that has a lot of competition.
    He’s a douche. But not the “worst human being”
    As a point of order, it was posed as "worst human being out of...", so a relative rather than absolute ranking.
  • FF43 said:

    The only way of leaving is by accepting it's worse than Remaining, which is what I think Lilico intended to write. That's why a bunch of the more aware voted Remain. It's better than Leave.
    Remain Now may be better than Leave Now. But what about the future?

    We have no crystal ball. What we can see is that the EU has many fundamental problems as they try to forge an ever closer union. They may be able to pull together amicably or they may require force (economic or military) to build it. Human history strongly suggests the latter - either to forge it (as per the US Civil War) or prevent its breakup (Yugoslavia). Personally I want no part of that.
    Don't forget our own history of forming a union. Which makes it more amusing to me that Nationalists are so pro-EU.
    Yes. I strongly approve of devolution as much as possible. Decisions should be made as close to the people as possible, subject to efficiencies and value for money - but the fact that the last military action on British soil against a hostile power was either Culloden or Fishguard depending on where you look - certainly over 220 years ago - makes us blessed compared to most parts of the World.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Scott_P said:
    Every time May's team leaks signs of hope the EU or the DUP or whoever are quick to respond. If all the EU are doing is giving a straight no to all the demands on the backstop what the hell is taking so long? Getting in games of backgammon?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,387

    FF43 said:

    The only way of leaving is by accepting it's worse than Remaining, which is what I think Lilico intended to write. That's why a bunch of the more aware voted Remain. It's better than Leave.
    Remain Now may be better than Leave Now. But what about the future?

    We have no crystal ball. What we can see is that the EU has many fundamental problems as they try to forge an ever closer union. They may be able to pull together amicably or they may require force (economic or military) to build it. Human history strongly suggests the latter - either to forge it (as per the US Civil War) or prevent its breakup (Yugoslavia). Personally I want no part of that.
    Don't forget our own history of forming a union. Which makes it more amusing to me that Nationalists are so pro-EU.
    It's a case of my enemy's enemy is my friend. When the UK was negotiating to join the EU, Scottish and Irish nationalists were opposed.
  • ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312

    FF43 said:

    The only way of leaving is by accepting it's worse than Remaining, which is what I think Lilico intended to write. That's why a bunch of the more aware voted Remain. It's better than Leave.
    Remain Now may be better than Leave Now. But what about the future?

    We have no crystal ball. What we can see is that the EU has many fundamental problems as they try to forge an ever closer union. They may be able to pull together amicably or they may require force (economic or military) to build it. Human history strongly suggests the latter - either to forge it (as per the US Civil War) or prevent its breakup (Yugoslavia). Personally I want no part of that.
    Absolutely. There has been far too little focus on where the EU is going (on its way to oblivion?).
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited March 2019
    Scott_P said:
    Sounds like the Tiggers want to ramp up the media attention a few days of relative quiet. But it would be damn exciting.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,732
    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:
    Every time May's team leaks signs of hope the EU or the DUP or whoever are quick to respond. If all the EU are doing is giving a straight no to all the demands on the backstop what the hell is taking so long? Getting in games of backgammon?
    The Commission has probably had time to develop a whole syllabus to help educate visiting British ministers on the backstop. Cox is currently up to Module 5 - "Sanitary and phytosanitary measures" and hoping to become a Certified Backstop Expert in time for the March deadline.
  • AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621

    Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:
    Not that I particularly trust Buzzfeed as a source, but it's quite clear from this week that Watson is trying to work out whether the disease is actually curable or if it's time to split the party in two.
    If he believes the latter it might still be best for him to try to achieve the former in order to bring as many people with him as possible.
    And there's no way on earth Watson didn't want that meeting known about.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    RobD said:
    Don't count your splitters before they, er, split. Otherwise you just get let down.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    Anorak said:

    Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:
    Not that I particularly trust Buzzfeed as a source, but it's quite clear from this week that Watson is trying to work out whether the disease is actually curable or if it's time to split the party in two.
    If he believes the latter it might still be best for him to try to achieve the former in order to bring as many people with him as possible.
    And there's no way on earth Watson didn't want that meeting known about.
    I'd guess Alex Wickham's source for the news is most likely err... Tom Watson.
This discussion has been closed.