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  • Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905
    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sandpit said:

    MikeL said:

    Rees-Mogg just confirmed to Andrew Neil that he'll support Govt in a future VONC whatever May does in the Brexit negotiations.

    Of course he will, as will every MP wishing to remain a member of the Conservative party.

    This is the root of why the FTPA is such a problem: a decade ago, last night’s vote would have been made an issue of confidence, the equivalent of a four line whip, and would probably have passed.
    It would have been very close indeed.

    The Gov't would have had 325 less 10 DUP = 315. (Tories + Hermon less Laing less 2 tellers)
    Isn't Hermon pro-Labour?
    Absolubtely not, she's one of the most sensible parliamentarians there is.
    She was, for a long time. In fact she resigned from the UUP over their decision to resume formal links with the Tories.

    She seems markedly less pro-Corbyn however.
    From 2017:

    'Lady Sylvia Hermon has ruled out ever lending her support to a Labour government led by Jeremy Corbyn.

    'The veteran North Down politician, who is the widow of former RUC Chief Constable Sir John Hermon, has traditionally supported Labour in Westminster votes.

    'Seven years ago she quit the Ulster Unionist Party in protest at its alliance with the Conservatives ahead of the 2010 General Election.

    'But Lady Hermon, who is again standing as an independent on Thursday, said "there are no circumstances" in which she would support a Corbyn-led government.'

    https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/general-election-2017/i-could-never-back-labour-if-corbyn-was-its-leader-says-hermon-35783622.html
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Jonathan said:

    She should take no deal off the table.

    Why weaken your hand and make the EU refuse further concessions. It is not going to happen until a clear alternative has been decided upon
    The EU will not offer further concessions. This deal is the best deal and the only deal.
    Until 48 hours to 29th March deadline......... It's the way they work. Always have.
    It's how they work if they think you have a chance of delivering. May is clearly unable to deliver; her party want to crash out and so does the DUP, so why would anyone go out on a limb for her?

    Though I do look forward to the gradually ramping chaos and panic as we move ever closer to that cliff edge, it's going to be beautiful.
    Take away the backstop - and she can deliver......
    Yes - the EU can buy the Irish a new potato factory or something to save face. Simples.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    edited January 2019
    Sean_F said:


    3. Corbyn wants no deal.

    Well of course he does, but the also wants May to be the one that gets the blame for it. As long as No Deal is a possibility, Labour must ensure that it remains HER that drives us over the cliff edge. That's why Labour can't be in a formal negotiation process with May as long as she's still driving us towards the cliff edge.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    MTimT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    MTimT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    A smart way forward would be
    i) Repeal the FTPA
    ii) Make the next vote on May's deal an explicit confidence vote.

    There are enough numpties in the ERG to vote against and bring down the government.
    OK So we have a General Election and they're all deselected. We move forward.
    Who selects Tory candidates, the Central Office or the CPs?
    I always assumed voting against party position in a VONC = whip withdrawn so you couldn't stand at next GE.
    Not sure it would be that successful though. If 110 stood together, particularly if their CPs were very pro-Brexit, it would be a brave Party that withdrew that many whips simultaneously. It could be shown to be an empty threat, even before there were a chance to deploy.
    Like Blazing Saddles - don't move or the ****** gets it.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,902
    Pulpstar said:

    stodge said:

    Pulpstar said:

    A smart way forward would be
    i) Repeal the FTPA
    ii) Make the next vote on May's deal an explicit confidence vote.

    Is there a majority for either option apart from in your head?
    Making May's deal an explicit confidence vote triggers either a General Election or the deal passes. It *moves things forward*. I have no idea if there is a majority for either, and that was not my argument.
    Yes, I get that but it's a nuclear option par excellence and would lead to open civil war in the Conservative Party would it not (which isn't a bad reason for proposing it I suppose) but that's not how politics works. Blair didn't make support for Iraq a Confidence measure but he would have quit had the motion to support the war lost. May could have publicly stated she would resign if the WA was rejected (but most would have called her bluff).

    As to repealing the FTPA, I've no idea whether there is a majority for that or not. I imagine IF both the Conservative and Labour parties want or believe a GE necessary they have more than enough numbers to make it happen.

    I don't know why the current Conservatives are so anti the FTPA - they were happy to support it once.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    Norm said:

    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    A smart way forward would be
    i) Repeal the FTPA
    ii) Make the next vote on May's deal an explicit confidence vote.

    There are enough numpties in the ERG to vote against and bring down the government.
    How about numpties among the pro second referendum school bringing down the government? I suspect the likes of Grieve at al will bring the gov't down to avoid a no deal scenario
    Also true.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,220
    stodge said:

    Pulpstar said:

    stodge said:

    Pulpstar said:

    A smart way forward would be
    i) Repeal the FTPA
    ii) Make the next vote on May's deal an explicit confidence vote.

    Is there a majority for either option apart from in your head?
    Making May's deal an explicit confidence vote triggers either a General Election or the deal passes. It *moves things forward*. I have no idea if there is a majority for either, and that was not my argument.
    Yes, I get that but it's a nuclear option par excellence and would lead to open civil war in the Conservative Party would it not (which isn't a bad reason for proposing it I suppose) but that's not how politics works. Blair didn't make support for Iraq a Confidence measure but he would have quit had the motion to support the war lost. May could have publicly stated she would resign if the WA was rejected (but most would have called her bluff).

    As to repealing the FTPA, I've no idea whether there is a majority for that or not. I imagine IF both the Conservative and Labour parties want or believe a GE necessary they have more than enough numbers to make it happen.

    I don't know why the current Conservatives are so anti the FTPA - they were happy to support it once.
    Didn't Major make Maastricht a confidence vote ?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871

    So, Mr Corbyn, you said you talked to the IRA and Hamas without pre-condition to find paths to peace, but you will not speak to the PM without pre-condition to try to find a way to avoid an economic catastrophe for the UK. Why?
    https://twitter.com/fleetstreetfox/status/1085627591678148610

    More stonewalling. The more he prats about, the more the clock runs down. He wants No Deal.
    He would have been better to turn up and make that demand in person
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,626
    MTimT said:

    MTimT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    MTimT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    A smart way forward would be
    i) Repeal the FTPA
    ii) Make the next vote on May's deal an explicit confidence vote.

    There are enough numpties in the ERG to vote against and bring down the government.
    OK So we have a General Election and they're all deselected. We move forward.
    Who selects Tory candidates, the Central Office or the CPs?
    I always assumed voting against party position in a VONC = whip withdrawn so you couldn't stand at next GE.
    Not sure it would be that successful though. If 110 stood together, particularly if their CPs were very pro-Brexit, it would be a brave Party that withdrew that many whips simultaneously. It could be shown to be an empty threat, even before there were a chance to deploy.
    Like Blazing Saddles - don't move or the ****** gets it.
    It worked there.....
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sandpit said:

    MikeL said:

    Rees-Mogg just confirmed to Andrew Neil that he'll support Govt in a future VONC whatever May does in the Brexit negotiations.

    Of course he will, as will every MP wishing to remain a member of the Conservative party.

    This is the root of why the FTPA is such a problem: a decade ago, last night’s vote would have been made an issue of confidence, the equivalent of a four line whip, and would probably have passed.
    It would have been very close indeed.

    The Gov't would have had 325 less 10 DUP = 315. (Tories + Hermon less Laing less 2 tellers)
    Isn't Hermon pro-Labour?
    Absolubtely not, she's one of the most sensible parliamentarians there is.
    She was, for a long time. In fact she resigned from the UUP over their decision to resume formal links with the Tories.

    She seems markedly less pro-Corbyn however.
    From 2017:

    'Lady Sylvia Hermon has ruled out ever lending her support to a Labour government led by Jeremy Corbyn.

    'The veteran North Down politician, who is the widow of former RUC Chief Constable Sir John Hermon, has traditionally supported Labour in Westminster votes.

    'Seven years ago she quit the Ulster Unionist Party in protest at its alliance with the Conservatives ahead of the 2010 General Election.

    'But Lady Hermon, who is again standing as an independent on Thursday, said "there are no circumstances" in which she would support a Corbyn-led government.'

    https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/general-election-2017/i-could-never-back-labour-if-corbyn-was-its-leader-says-hermon-35783622.html
    Indeed - and she needs to watch her back against the DUP. I had half expected her to abstain.
  • ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sandpit said:

    MikeL said:

    Rees-Mogg just confirmed to Andrew Neil that he'll support Govt in a future VONC whatever May does in the Brexit negotiations.

    Of course he will, as will every MP wishing to remain a member of the Conservative party.

    This is the root of why the FTPA is such a problem: a decade ago, last night’s vote would have been made an issue of confidence, the equivalent of a four line whip, and would probably have passed.
    It would have been very close indeed.

    The Gov't would have had 325 less 10 DUP = 315. (Tories + Hermon less Laing less 2 tellers)
    Isn't Hermon pro-Labour?
    Absolubtely not, she's one of the most sensible parliamentarians there is.
    She was, for a long time. In fact she resigned from the UUP over their decision to resume formal links with the Tories.

    She seems markedly less pro-Corbyn however.
    From 2017:

    'Lady Sylvia Hermon has ruled out ever lending her support to a Labour government led by Jeremy Corbyn.

    'The veteran North Down politician, who is the widow of former RUC Chief Constable Sir John Hermon, has traditionally supported Labour in Westminster votes.

    'Seven years ago she quit the Ulster Unionist Party in protest at its alliance with the Conservatives ahead of the 2010 General Election.

    'But Lady Hermon, who is again standing as an independent on Thursday, said "there are no circumstances" in which she would support a Corbyn-led government.'

    https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/general-election-2017/i-could-never-back-labour-if-corbyn-was-its-leader-says-hermon-35783622.html
    Thanks for that :)
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414

    Jonathan said:

    She should take no deal off the table.

    Why weaken your hand and make the EU refuse further concessions. It is not going to happen until a clear alternative has been decided upon
    The EU will not offer further concessions. This deal is the best deal and the only deal.
    Until 48 hours to 29th March deadline......... It's the way they work. Always have.
    It's how they work if they think you have a chance of delivering. May is clearly unable to deliver; her party want to crash out and so does the DUP, so why would anyone go out on a limb for her?

    Though I do look forward to the gradually ramping chaos and panic as we move ever closer to that cliff edge, it's going to be beautiful.
    Take away the backstop - and she can deliver......
    I refer you to my earlier question. What, specifically would you be prepared to sacrifice for a backstop solution?
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    edited January 2019
    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Unlike Lewis and Woodcock who actively chose to abstain tonight, and I say this with a good deal of kindness, but Flynn really needs to resign his seat.

    Do we know how sick he is? It would be sad to see a repeat of what happened in 1979, where the VonC came down to an MP who was five days from meeting his maker.
    The official story is he has very severe arthritis and therefore finds it very difficult to move.

    I'm starting to wonder if there's a bit more to it than that.
    Ah okay. That doesn’t sound like something that’s likely to improve with treatment, in which case maybe it’s better that he takes the Chiltern Hundreds.
    Immunotherapy RA treatments are now very effective. We spend more on them than any other drug. Thank God a biosimilar (generic) adalimumab had become available.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,626
    TGOHF said:

    Jonathan said:

    She should take no deal off the table.

    Why weaken your hand and make the EU refuse further concessions. It is not going to happen until a clear alternative has been decided upon
    The EU will not offer further concessions. This deal is the best deal and the only deal.
    Until 48 hours to 29th March deadline......... It's the way they work. Always have.
    It's how they work if they think you have a chance of delivering. May is clearly unable to deliver; her party want to crash out and so does the DUP, so why would anyone go out on a limb for her?

    Though I do look forward to the gradually ramping chaos and panic as we move ever closer to that cliff edge, it's going to be beautiful.
    Take away the backstop - and she can deliver......
    Yes - the EU can buy the Irish a new potato factory or something to save face. Simples.
    The EU don't need to save face. The UK Govt. could agree to build a bridge/tunnel combo between NI and Scotland. Everybody gets something. Ireland gets a massive piece of infrastructure. UK gets Brexit. EU gets orderly Brexit and its £39n.

    I mean, people, for fucks sake, start thinking outside the bloody box..... We need creative ideas.
  • I'd say that tonight for the first time I feel genuine despair. I don't see a way back from the brink from here. Our country is in deep, deep trouble.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,261
    dixiedean said:

    Jonathan said:

    She should take no deal off the table.

    Why weaken your hand and make the EU refuse further concessions. It is not going to happen until a clear alternative has been decided upon
    The EU will not offer further concessions. This deal is the best deal and the only deal.
    Until 48 hours to 29th March deadline......... It's the way they work. Always have.
    It's how they work if they think you have a chance of delivering. May is clearly unable to deliver; her party want to crash out and so does the DUP, so why would anyone go out on a limb for her?

    Though I do look forward to the gradually ramping chaos and panic as we move ever closer to that cliff edge, it's going to be beautiful.
    Take away the backstop - and she can deliver......
    I refer you to my earlier question. What, specifically would you be prepared to sacrifice for a backstop solution?
    Cede Northern Ireland to the French
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237

    Chris_A said:

    So even with the DUP Corbyn would still have fallen short.

    According to my maths, if the DUP had voted against the Government tonight then the VoNC would've succeeded by a margin of one.

    Note: It would appear that the three ex-Labour abstainers/absentees tonight were John Woodcock, Ivan Lewis and Fiona Onasanya.
    Peston says otherwise; did they all vote?
  • Marcelo Bielsa has admitted Leeds United have spied on all their opponents this season but remains adamant no specific rules were broken and believes he is guilty of stupidity rather than cheating.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,626

    Marcelo Bielsa has admitted Leeds United have spied on all their opponents this season but remains adamant no specific rules were broken and believes he is guilty of stupidity rather than cheating.

    Dock them 100 points.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871

    I'd say that tonight for the first time I feel genuine despair. I don't see a way back from the brink from here. Our country is in deep, deep trouble.

    Your months of despair prior weren't genuine??
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    dixiedean said:

    Jonathan said:

    She should take no deal off the table.

    Why weaken your hand and make the EU refuse further concessions. It is not going to happen until a clear alternative has been decided upon
    The EU will not offer further concessions. This deal is the best deal and the only deal.
    Until 48 hours to 29th March deadline......... It's the way they work. Always have.
    It's how they work if they think you have a chance of delivering. May is clearly unable to deliver; her party want to crash out and so does the DUP, so why would anyone go out on a limb for her?

    Though I do look forward to the gradually ramping chaos and panic as we move ever closer to that cliff edge, it's going to be beautiful.
    Take away the backstop - and she can deliver......
    I refer you to my earlier question. What, specifically would you be prepared to sacrifice for a backstop solution?
    Cede Northern Ireland to the French
    How about Northern Ireland to Spain and Gibraltar to Ireland?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389

    Sean_F said:


    3. Corbyn wants no deal.

    Well of course he does, but the also wants May to be the one that gets the blame for it. As long as No Deal is a possibility, Labour must ensure that it remains HER that drives us over the cliff edge. That's why Labour can't be in a formal negotiation process with May as long as she's still driving us towards the cliff edge.
    If there is no deal, it is because the Commons has willed it.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    One of the rare times I agree with Corbo.

    May should take No Deal off the table.

    That is a fair starting point for talks given she has said several times she wants to avoid it.
  • IanB2 said:

    I'd say that tonight for the first time I feel genuine despair. I don't see a way back from the brink from here. Our country is in deep, deep trouble.

    Your months of despair prior weren't genuine??

    I wasn't despairing. I was observing. I guess it did not seem real. Now it does.

  • dellertronicdellertronic Posts: 133
    edited January 2019
    The problem with a new referendum is that the people that want an new EU referendum are the same ones that oppose a new Scottish Independence one. The other problem is that we now know that in the event of a leave vote this parliament and these parties will never implement it. So why waste £120M on the pointless vote. Just withdraw article 50 and prepare to be swept away at the next election.
  • Anazina said:

    One of the rare times I agree with Corbo.

    May should take No Deal off the table.

    That is a fair starting point for talks given she has said several times she wants to avoid it.

    It is ridiculous. You go into the talks without preconditions, you let May tell you she will not take No Deal off the table and you react accordingly.

  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,138
    Anazina said:

    One of the rare times I agree with Corbo.

    May should take No Deal off the table.

    That is a fair starting point for talks given she has said several times she wants to avoid it.

    If May took "No Deal" off the table, Corbyn would just find something else to object to. He's just yanking her chain.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871

    IanB2 said:

    I'd say that tonight for the first time I feel genuine despair. I don't see a way back from the brink from here. Our country is in deep, deep trouble.

    Your months of despair prior weren't genuine??

    I wasn't despairing. I was observing. I guess it did not seem real. Now it does.

    The night is always darkest before the dawn.

    Or before the apocalypse, to be fair.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    IanB2 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Corbyn is absolutely right to refuse to talk to May unless she takes no deal off the table. Keeping No Deal alive is blackmail, and nobody in good conscience could be expected to negotiate where the other party is trying to blackmail you.

    I would expect the other parties to similarly decline May's invitation.

    Corbyn is absolutely right to refuse to talk to May unless she takes no deal off the table. Keeping No Deal alive is blackmail, and nobody in good conscience could be expected to negotiate where the other party is trying to blackmail you.

    I would expect the other parties to similarly decline May's invitation.

    1. May can't take it off the table, because it's what has been legislated for, in the absence of a deal,
    2. It 's not blackmail to hold people to their decisions,
    3. Corbyn wants no deal.
    1. She can, it is entirely within the government's gift
    2. Oh yes it is
    3. He wants Tory no deal, which he is seen to oppose.
    May can't just proclaim that legislation to leave the EU doesn't apply (well, she can, but the Supreme Court will take a different view)
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,710
    Surely May would be better meeting all the party leaders at once, not individually...
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    Sean_F said:

    IanB2 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Corbyn is absolutely right to refuse to talk to May unless she takes no deal off the table. Keeping No Deal alive is blackmail, and nobody in good conscience could be expected to negotiate where the other party is trying to blackmail you.

    I would expect the other parties to similarly decline May's invitation.

    Corbyn is absolutely right to refuse to talk to May unless she takes no deal off the table. Keeping No Deal alive is blackmail, and nobody in good conscience could be expected to negotiate where the other party is trying to blackmail you.

    I would expect the other parties to similarly decline May's invitation.

    1. May can't take it off the table, because it's what has been legislated for, in the absence of a deal,
    2. It 's not blackmail to hold people to their decisions,
    3. Corbyn wants no deal.
    1. She can, it is entirely within the government's gift
    2. Oh yes it is
    3. He wants Tory no deal, which he is seen to oppose.
    May can't just proclaim that legislation to leave the EU doesn't apply (well, she can, but the Supreme Court will take a different view)
    If the government wants to revoke or extend (with EU support), it can, and quickly.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,261
    ydoethur said:

    dixiedean said:

    Jonathan said:

    She should take no deal off the table.

    Why weaken your hand and make the EU refuse further concessions. It is not going to happen until a clear alternative has been decided upon
    The EU will not offer further concessions. This deal is the best deal and the only deal.
    Until 48 hours to 29th March deadline......... It's the way they work. Always have.
    It's how they work if they think you have a chance of delivering. May is clearly unable to deliver; her party want to crash out and so does the DUP, so why would anyone go out on a limb for her?

    Though I do look forward to the gradually ramping chaos and panic as we move ever closer to that cliff edge, it's going to be beautiful.
    Take away the backstop - and she can deliver......
    I refer you to my earlier question. What, specifically would you be prepared to sacrifice for a backstop solution?
    Cede Northern Ireland to the French
    How about Northern Ireland to Spain and Gibraltar to Ireland?
    Cunning. We can always claim Ireland was a party to the Treaty of Utrecht anyway. While we're at it, I'd quite like to swap Scotland for Flanders..
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705
    Very good thread header Cyclefree - thanks.

    I only wish you had some influence over May and Corbyn :(
  • Surely May would be better meeting all the party leaders at once, not individually...

    What are they going of say. Jezza says must take no deal off table, cable says must offer second referendum, SNP say they want that and a second referendum on Scottish independence and the greens bang on about fracking.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,902
    Pulpstar said:


    Didn't Major make Maastricht a confidence vote ?

    As I recall, it was the social chapter that was the problem.

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,742

    Foxy said:

    So, after a seismic 48 hours...Nothing has changed.

    The stalemate continues.

    At least we had something to bet on, and I am £100 better off.

    There is no doubt that TM legacy will be 'nothing has changed' but no matter your politics you have to be amazed at her resilience and dedication to public service
    She's autistic. That's all.
    Can you provide a link to your allegation
    She's described "as having no friends" by michael gove
    People have said she lacks warmth and personality on first meeting.
    She even has the autistic facial structure, wide eyes and cat face.
    It has variously been said that she is ‘fundamentally unknowable’, ‘aloof’, ’reticent’, ‘self-contained’ and ‘sphinx like’.

    She shows every single trait of somebody with autism. Her absurd, self-defeating stubbornness, secrecy and absolute imperviousness to either shame or change are all just part of May's neurological makeup.

    Theresa May is neurologically incapable of the task to which we have set her. In many ways it's cruel, because we're torturing a helpless innocent.
    That is not a link to medical confirmation and without it you may want to take care in your allegations
    Yes, I would say it was not possible to diagnose autism this way, just as it is difficult to do the same for Trump's supposed Narcisstic Personality Disorder. It would require some evidence of damage to physical, mental or social functioning to reach that threshold, and there is no evidence for that.

    I do think that her mental rigidity and poor people skills make her particularly ill suited for the task of negotiation, either with other British politicians or with those abroad. She has squandered 2 years of negotiating time and has no ideas on how to break the deadlock.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,735
    Sean_F said:

    IanB2 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Corbyn is absolutely right to refuse to talk to May unless she takes no deal off the table. Keeping No Deal alive is blackmail, and nobody in good conscience could be expected to negotiate where the other party is trying to blackmail you.

    I would expect the other parties to similarly decline May's invitation.

    Corbyn is absolutely right to refuse to talk to May unless she takes no deal off the table. Keeping No Deal alive is blackmail, and nobody in good conscience could be expected to negotiate where the other party is trying to blackmail you.

    I would expect the other parties to similarly decline May's invitation.

    1. May can't take it off the table, because it's what has been legislated for, in the absence of a deal,
    2. It 's not blackmail to hold people to their decisions,
    3. Corbyn wants no deal.
    1. She can, it is entirely within the government's gift
    2. Oh yes it is
    3. He wants Tory no deal, which he is seen to oppose.
    May can't just proclaim that legislation to leave the EU doesn't apply (well, she can, but the Supreme Court will take a different view)
    http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2018/16/crossheading/main-powers-in-connection-with-withdrawal/enacted

    She can refer them to the Act itself.

    (1)A Minister of the Crown may by regulations make such provision as the Minister considers appropriate to prevent, remedy or mitigate—

    (a)any failure of retained EU law to operate effectively, or

    (b)any other deficiency in retained EU law,

    arising from the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the EU.

    (5)Regulations under subsection (1) may make any provision that could be made by an Act of Parliament.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    Ivan Lewis and John Woodcock have clearly split with Labour on a permanent basis. No way that they would now have the Whip restored. Onasanya clearly feels she has no future there either.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    IanB2 said:

    Sean_F said:

    IanB2 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Corbyn is absolutely right to refuse to talk to May unless she takes no deal off the table. Keeping No Deal alive is blackmail, and nobody in good conscience could be expected to negotiate where the other party is trying to blackmail you.

    I would expect the other parties to similarly decline May's invitation.

    Corbyn is absolutely right to refuse to talk to May unless she takes no deal off the table. Keeping No Deal alive is blackmail, and nobody in good conscience could be expected to negotiate where the other party is trying to blackmail you.

    I would expect the other parties to similarly decline May's invitation.

    1. May can't take it off the table, because it's what has been legislated for, in the absence of a deal,
    2. It 's not blackmail to hold people to their decisions,
    3. Corbyn wants no deal.
    1. She can, it is entirely within the government's gift
    2. Oh yes it is
    3. He wants Tory no deal, which he is seen to oppose.
    May can't just proclaim that legislation to leave the EU doesn't apply (well, she can, but the Supreme Court will take a different view)
    If the government wants to revoke or extend (with EU support), it can, and quickly.
    In theory, May could offer to form a coalition with Labour to revoke Brexit, but if you expect her to do that, as a pre -condition for talks, I've got a bridge to sell you.
  • Marcelo Bielsa has admitted Leeds United have spied on all their opponents this season but remains adamant no specific rules were broken and believes he is guilty of stupidity rather than cheating.

    Dirty fucking Leeds.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631
    Chris_A said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Unlike Lewis and Woodcock who actively chose to abstain tonight, and I say this with a good deal of kindness, but Flynn really needs to resign his seat.

    Do we know how sick he is? It would be sad to see a repeat of what happened in 1979, where the VonC came down to an MP who was five days from meeting his maker.
    The official story is he has very severe arthritis and therefore finds it very difficult to move.

    I'm starting to wonder if there's a bit more to it than that.
    Ah okay. That doesn’t sound like something that’s likely to improve with treatment, in which case maybe it’s better that he takes the Chiltern Hundreds.
    Immunotherapy RA treatments are now very effective. We spend more on them than any other drug. Thank God a biosimilar (generic) adalimumab had become available.
    Interesting background. Thanks.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,261

    Marcelo Bielsa has admitted Leeds United have spied on all their opponents this season but remains adamant no specific rules were broken and believes he is guilty of stupidity rather than cheating.

    Dirty fucking Leeds.
    I don't follow football, but can't see in any way why this is a problem. Know the enemy.
  • Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905
    Chris_A said:

    Chris_A said:

    So even with the DUP Corbyn would still have fallen short.

    According to my maths, if the DUP had voted against the Government tonight then the VoNC would've succeeded by a margin of one.

    Note: It would appear that the three ex-Labour abstainers/absentees tonight were John Woodcock, Ivan Lewis and Fiona Onasanya.
    Peston says otherwise; did they all vote?
    With the aid of the HoC and BBC websites, I make the breakdown as follows:

    Government side

    314 Conservatives (that's all of them except the tellers and deputy speaker)
    All 10 DUP and Sylvia Hermon

    Total = 325

    Opposition side

    251 Labour (that's all of them except the tellers, two deputy speakers and the absent Paul Flynn)
    All 35 SNP, 11 LD, 4 Plaid and the Green
    4 independents (Kelvin Hopkins, Jared O'Mara, Frank Field and Stephen Lloyd)

    Total = 306

    The grand total of votes cast was 631. The remaining 19 non-voters were:

    The Speaker and three deputies (4)
    The tellers (4)
    Sinn Fein (7)
    Absent sick: Paul Flynn
    Other abstentions: John Woodcock, Fiona Onasanya, Ivan Lewis

    So I'm sure my maths was right. If Woodcock, Onasanya and Lewis weren't the abstainers then the BBC are misreporting some of the votes.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,735

    We can always claim Ireland was a party to the Treaty of Utrecht anyway.

    It wasn't.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,742
    Chris_A said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Unlike Lewis and Woodcock who actively chose to abstain tonight, and I say this with a good deal of kindness, but Flynn really needs to resign his seat.

    Do we know how sick he is? It would be sad to see a repeat of what happened in 1979, where the VonC came down to an MP who was five days from meeting his maker.
    The official story is he has very severe arthritis and therefore finds it very difficult to move.

    I'm starting to wonder if there's a bit more to it than that.
    Ah okay. That doesn’t sound like something that’s likely to improve with treatment, in which case maybe it’s better that he takes the Chiltern Hundreds.
    Immunotherapy RA treatments are now very effective. We spend more on them than any other drug. Thank God a biosimilar (generic) adalimumab had become available.
    I quite agree. Modern biologic therapy for arthritis has transformed the prognosis of rheumatoid, albeit at a pretty steep price.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293


    Apart from your unacceptable language you show no knowledge of negotiation and in virtually every case it worked often upto minutes from signing contract

    You tell him Big G! :D

  • Marcelo Bielsa has admitted Leeds United have spied on all their opponents this season but remains adamant no specific rules were broken and believes he is guilty of stupidity rather than cheating.

    Dirty fucking Leeds.
    I don't follow football, but can't see in any way why this is a problem. Know the enemy.
    Dirty Leeds are the pineapple pizza of football.

    All right thinking people hate them.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,742

    Marcelo Bielsa has admitted Leeds United have spied on all their opponents this season but remains adamant no specific rules were broken and believes he is guilty of stupidity rather than cheating.

    Dirty fucking Leeds.
    I don't follow football, but can't see in any way why this is a problem. Know the enemy.
    Wasn't the guy at Derby caught onsite with bolt cutters?

    It was more than watching the training pitch with binoculars.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389

    Sean_F said:

    IanB2 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Corbyn is absolutely right to refuse to talk to May unless she takes no deal off the table. Keeping No Deal alive is blackmail, and nobody in good conscience could be expected to negotiate where the other party is trying to blackmail you.

    I would expect the other parties to similarly decline May's invitation.

    Corbyn is absolutely right to refuse to talk to May unless she takes no deal off the table. Keeping No Deal alive is blackmail, and nobody in good conscience could be expected to negotiate where the other party is trying to blackmail you.

    I would expect the other parties to similarly decline May's invitation.

    1. May can't take it off the table, because it's what has been legislated for, in the absence of a deal,
    2. It 's not blackmail to hold people to their decisions,
    3. Corbyn wants no deal.
    1. She can, it is entirely within the government's gift
    2. Oh yes it is
    3. He wants Tory no deal, which he is seen to oppose.
    May can't just proclaim that legislation to leave the EU doesn't apply (well, she can, but the Supreme Court will take a different view)
    http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2018/16/crossheading/main-powers-in-connection-with-withdrawal/enacted

    She can refer them to the Act itself.

    (1)A Minister of the Crown may by regulations make such provision as the Minister considers appropriate to prevent, remedy or mitigate—

    (a)any failure of retained EU law to operate effectively, or

    (b)any other deficiency in retained EU law,

    arising from the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the EU.

    (5)Regulations under subsection (1) may make any provision that could be made by an Act of Parliament.
    That 's for the birds.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406

    In 2049, unlocked Cabinet papers will reveal how May and Corbyn worked closely on their secret plan to ensure No Deal passed a House set against it as an outcome.....

    Once again someone sees Conspiracy when it's just a cock up...
  • nielhnielh Posts: 1,307

    IanB2 said:

    I'd say that tonight for the first time I feel genuine despair. I don't see a way back from the brink from here. Our country is in deep, deep trouble.

    Your months of despair prior weren't genuine??

    I wasn't despairing. I was observing. I guess it did not seem real. Now it does.

    In my view, it was all over at about 1 am on June 24th 2016. I realised this in the count. That was the point of no return. The political consequences of overruling the leave victory negate any meaningful attempt to mitigate the damage of the decision.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    edited January 2019
    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,138

    IanB2 said:

    I'd say that tonight for the first time I feel genuine despair. I don't see a way back from the brink from here. Our country is in deep, deep trouble.

    Your months of despair prior weren't genuine??

    I wasn't despairing. I was observing. I guess it did not seem real. Now it does.

    Perhaps I may help here...

    The temptation is to think that we are players in this game, but we're not: we're spectators, not participants. I'm annoyed that many of our MPs and fellow citizens are irresponsible twats, but that's never going to change. Instead of bemoaning our plight, which is unproductive, let us at least try to profit from other people's fuckups.

    Think of it positively. You know things that many do not. Corbyn is a Leaver who actively wants chaos. May is Clausewitz type IV. MPs are [REDACTED]. If you know there's going to be a bad thing on March 29th, then you have considerable time to arrange your finances to benefit from it. Use this knowledge and the time that you have to make your life better.

    After all: what else are you going to do...?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    Foxy said:

    Marcelo Bielsa has admitted Leeds United have spied on all their opponents this season but remains adamant no specific rules were broken and believes he is guilty of stupidity rather than cheating.

    Dirty fucking Leeds.
    I don't follow football, but can't see in any way why this is a problem. Know the enemy.
    Wasn't the guy at Derby caught onsite with bolt cutters?

    It was more than watching the training pitch with binoculars.
    Wouldn't that be B+E?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    Well, she's now offered twice. It's hardly her fault if he prefers to look like the posturing waste of space he undoubtedly is.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Oh!
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,389
    ydoethur said:

    Well, she's now offered twice. It's hardly her fault if he prefers to look like the posturing waste of space he undoubtedly is.
    If he won't, he won't. You can't force someone to do what he doesn't want to do.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,710
    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Where are you seeing that being said out of interest
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    GIN1138 said:

    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Oh!
    Knowing Mrs M it'll be 20 past 10
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Oh goody. The sides are still talking past each other to posture pointlessly, what's she going to say? "I offered to speak to Corbyn but he said no"? Labour and others won't care about that.
    Well that's a pointless question if ever I saw one. Should be involved vs how to ensure he is on terms both sides can accept are very different.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176
    GIN1138 said:

    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Oh!
    Government crest watch!
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Anazina said:

    One of the rare times I agree with Corbo.

    May should take No Deal off the table.

    That is a fair starting point for talks given she has said several times she wants to avoid it.

    You cannot take No Deal off the table because it is not an option in the first place, it is the consequence of failure to exercise an option.

    Insultingly patronising analogy time: if the menu says chicken tikka, korma or biryani you have four options - chicken tikka, korma, biryani or not eating. Taking no deal off the table is saying to the waiter "I do not wish not to be served a meal" and the waiter's only possible response is: well do you want tikka, korma or biryani, then?

    That's one problem. In itself it is not insuperable, because if "I don't want No Meal" completely defines your position then you can make the choice by asking what the chef recommends, or throwing dice, or something. The further problem is that you and your fellow diners don't just want to avoid a No Meal situation, they are also each of them implacably opposed to at least one of tikka, korma, biryani as well.

    Which is why "No Deal won't happen because nobody wants it" is just not a sound argument.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,626
    eek said:

    In 2049, unlocked Cabinet papers will reveal how May and Corbyn worked closely on their secret plan to ensure No Deal passed a House set against it as an outcome.....

    Once again someone sees Conspiracy when it's just a cock up...
    I'm just joshing.....
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    Nothing has changed. My deal or no deal. Etc.
  • IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Link please ?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871

    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Link please ?
    When there is one, I'll post it. Meanwhile I am ahead of the pack.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,735
    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    "I'm still here."
  • Sean_F said:

    ydoethur said:

    Well, she's now offered twice. It's hardly her fault if he prefers to look like the posturing waste of space he undoubtedly is.
    If he won't, he won't. You can't force someone to do what he doesn't want to do.
    Well you’ve never hired a dominatrix.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,712
    It's notable that Woodcock, Lewis and Onasanya were all there for the vote yesterday.

    So no question these are deliberate abstentions today.

    Now they knew their votes didn't matter today - Govt was certain to win.

    But it begs the question - if Govt loses the DUP and it's on an absolute knife-edge what would they do? They surely aren't indifferent as to whether there is a GE - it will have a major personal affect on them.

    Has to be a chance they vote with the Govt - especially Woodcock and Lewis who have surely left Labour ideologically. Situation a bit different with Onasanya as presumably she still supports Labour 100%.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    Surely May would be better meeting all the party leaders at once, not individually...

    It would be an interesting prospect. Perhaps that can follow the individual meetings. How could anyone say no? And it would mean they could not say one thing and claim another slightly different thing without all knowing about it.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705

    Sean_F said:

    ydoethur said:

    Well, she's now offered twice. It's hardly her fault if he prefers to look like the posturing waste of space he undoubtedly is.
    If he won't, he won't. You can't force someone to do what he doesn't want to do.
    Well you’ve never hired a dominatrix.
    If he hired one, he's not being forced surely?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,876
    Completely O/T (for which I apologise, its an excellent thread header) but I have just caught the trailer for Vice. I really can't remember when I was looking forward to a film so much.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    tlg86 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Oh!
    Government crest watch!
    It's hard to see why she'd resign after she's just won a VONC?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    Sean_F said:

    ydoethur said:

    Well, she's now offered twice. It's hardly her fault if he prefers to look like the posturing waste of space he undoubtedly is.
    If he won't, he won't. You can't force someone to do what he doesn't want to do.
    Well you’ve never hired a dominatrix.
    I now have a mental image of May and Corbyn I could well have done without.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    edited January 2019
    A good review of the UK's three Brexit options:

    1. No Deal is grim. If anything they understate the ghastliness because there will big political fallout from having to make the same compromises, this time in the context of economic dislocation and no transition period.

    2. Remain after a second referendum lacks support and is difficult to achieve.

    3. Resubmit a revised, softer version of the Deal with countdown to No Deal hanging as a threat, in the hope that enough Labour MPs come on board. Highly risky.

    The authors think Theresa May is pinning her hopes on the third option.

    https://twitter.com/JohnSpringford/status/1085549974367154180
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    I'd say that tonight for the first time I feel genuine despair. I don't see a way back from the brink from here. Our country is in deep, deep trouble.

    I wonder how more will get to that position. I got there awhile ago.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414

    Sean_F said:

    ydoethur said:

    Well, she's now offered twice. It's hardly her fault if he prefers to look like the posturing waste of space he undoubtedly is.
    If he won't, he won't. You can't force someone to do what he doesn't want to do.
    Well you’ve never hired a dominatrix.
    If he hired one, he's not being forced surely?
    The idea is to PRETEND you are being forced...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,710
    GIN1138 said:

    tlg86 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Oh!
    Government crest watch!
    It's hard to see why she'd resign after she's just won a VONC?
    Some sort of pineapple on pizza emergency statement?
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    GIN1138 said:

    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Oh!
    Nothing has changed?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,705
    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    I see Laura K has read your post now :wink:
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    edited January 2019
    FF43 said:

    A good review of the UK's three Brexit options:

    1. No Deal is grim. If anything they understate the ghastliness because there will big political fallout from having to make the same compromises, this time in the context of economic dislocation and no transition period.

    2. Remain on a second referendum lacks support and is difficult to achieve.

    3. Resubmit a revised, softer version of the Deal with countdown to No Deal hanging as a threat, in the hope that enough Labour MPs come on board. Highly risky.

    The authors think Theresa May is pinning her hopes on the third option.

    https://twitter.com/JohnSpringford/status/1085549974367154180

    Since option 3 is not available, that leaves, 2, which has been rejected by the public or er, no deal.

    So it is a false suggestion.

    If she announces that she is going to try to renegotiate I hope Hammond puts us - and her - out of her misery by resigning.
  • ydoethur said:

    Sean_F said:

    ydoethur said:

    Well, she's now offered twice. It's hardly her fault if he prefers to look like the posturing waste of space he undoubtedly is.
    If he won't, he won't. You can't force someone to do what he doesn't want to do.
    Well you’ve never hired a dominatrix.
    I now have a mental image of May and Corbyn I could well have done without.
    Now throw in the ‘Chief Whip’.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    Jonathan said:

    She should take no deal off the table.

    Why weaken your hand and make the EU refuse further concessions. It is not going to happen until a clear alternative has been decided upon
    The EU will not offer further concessions. This deal is the best deal and the only deal.
    Until 48 hours to 29th March deadline......... It's the way they work. Always have.
    It's how they work if they think you have a chance of delivering. May is clearly unable to deliver; her party want to crash out and so does the DUP, so why would anyone go out on a limb for her?

    Though I do look forward to the gradually ramping chaos and panic as we move ever closer to that cliff edge, it's going to be beautiful.
    Take away the backstop - and she can deliver......
    The EU don't want it delivered anymore, so any prospect of it being taken away has gone, if it ever was there.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    GIN1138 said:

    tlg86 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Oh!
    Government crest watch!
    It's hard to see why she'd resign after she's just won a VONC?
    Well, people compare her to Thatcher. Maybe she's just aiming for the last point of comparison.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871

    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    I see Laura K has read your post now :wink:
    Nice to have beat the online media by a whole nine minutes!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631
    MikeL said:

    It's notable that Woodcock, Lewis and Onasanya were all there for the vote yesterday.

    So no question these are deliberate abstentions today.

    Now they knew their votes didn't matter today - Govt was certain to win.

    But it begs the question - if Govt loses the DUP and it's on an absolute knife-edge what would they do? They surely aren't indifferent as to whether there is a GE - it will have a major personal affect on them.

    Has to be a chance they vote with the Govt - especially Woodcock and Lewis who have surely left Labour ideologically. Situation a bit different with Onasanya as presumably she still supports Labour 100%.

    With any luck Ms Onasanya will find herself otherwise engaged shortly, won’t have that decision to make.
  • ydoethur said:

    GIN1138 said:

    tlg86 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    IanB2 said:

    PM statement outside no 10 at 10 pm

    Oh!
    Government crest watch!
    It's hard to see why she'd resign after she's just won a VONC?
    Well, people compare her to Thatcher. Maybe she's just aiming for the last point of comparison.
    Thatcher announced her resignation the morning of the Parliamentary VONC.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    ydoethur said:

    Sean_F said:

    ydoethur said:

    Well, she's now offered twice. It's hardly her fault if he prefers to look like the posturing waste of space he undoubtedly is.
    If he won't, he won't. You can't force someone to do what he doesn't want to do.
    Well you’ve never hired a dominatrix.
    I now have a mental image of May and Corbyn I could well have done without.
    Now throw in the ‘Chief Whip’.
    Shall I add a pid cock?
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677

    Foxy said:

    So, after a seismic 48 hours...Nothing has changed.

    The stalemate continues.

    At least we had something to bet on, and I am £100 better off.

    There is no doubt that TM legacy will be 'nothing has changed' but no matter your politics you have to be amazed at her resilience and dedication to public service
    She's autistic. That's all.
    Can you provide a link to your allegation
    She's described "as having no friends" by michael gove
    People have said she lacks warmth and personality on first meeting.
    She even has the autistic facial structure, wide eyes and cat face.
    It has variously been said that she is ‘fundamentally unknowable’, ‘aloof’, ’reticent’, ‘self-contained’ and ‘sphinx like’.

    She shows every single trait of somebody with autism. Her absurd, self-defeating stubbornness, secrecy and absolute imperviousness to either shame or change are all just part of May's neurological makeup.

    Theresa May is neurologically incapable of the task to which we have set her. In many ways it's cruel, because we're torturing a helpless innocent.
    That is not a link to medical confirmation and without it you may want to take care in your allegations
    Why the need to "take care"? Do you really think Treason Mayhem is going to take time out of her heavily occluded calendar to sue grabcoque because he called her autistic on the arse end of the Internet?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    The past is a different country, as they say.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    Benpointer

    LOL! :smiley:
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,138
    Scott_P said:
    OH HOLY F*****G S**T. EVERYTIME SHE OPENS HER MOUTH THE POUND TAKES A BATH. WHAT IS IT THIS TIME? ELECTION? RESIGNATION? GONU? WAR WITH SATURN? CAN'T YOU LAY OFF THE DRAMA FOR A FEW DAYS GODSDAMMIT?! I CAN ONLY COPE WITH ONE B****Y EMERGENCY AT A TIME.
This discussion has been closed.