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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the spread betting markets the number of Brexit deal “ayes”
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the spread betting markets the number of Brexit deal “ayes” for TMay’s deal slips five during the afternoon
For me the most satisfying, if risky, form of political gambling is on the spread betting markets where the more you are right with your prediction the more you win – with, alas, of the converse being the case.
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3rd
"UK - Brexit - UK to leave the EU by the 29/03/2019?
Yes 5
No 1.24"
Royal Blue
Tough, if you can’t email because of the brilliant GDPR, you shouldn’t be able to spam me with your wasteful printed propaganda either. Do something better with your time. Cry me a river.
Oxford Simon
Sorry to hear about your mum. Agree entirely.
If you bet at that level and the outcome was, say, 210 MPs then you would win the difference between the actual outcome and your bet – in this case seven, times your stake level. The worse it is for Mrs May the more money you would make.
Case closed on political junk mail. Bin it.
FPT
I know. Bonkers on stilts.
I'm hoping May immediately calls a GE when the deal is voted down tonight.
Watch the remainers absolutely sh*t themselves.
Thank you for the article. We don't have many articles about the types of betting, and things like this are interesting
However, you did trumpet on here that you knew that to be a lie.
And you still pushed it through letterboxes.
May up now.
Oh dear, that's a very bad sign.
The petty posturing and preening that has been displayed by too many members is only matched by their refusal to actually engage with the reality of the situation they are facing.
Far too much bloviating. Far too little reason.
The Speaker's job is to select which amendments are in order, effective and likely to command the support of the house. Most of the amendments were wrecking amendments, and wrecking amendments are never in order.
As for the Swire and Murrison amendments, they were both ineffective, as they tried to bind the EU to act in a certain way (which Parliament cannot do) or to attempt to redraft the WA to say something it does not (which directly contradicts the government's legal obligations and would therefore be unconscionable to do).
The Mann amendment was not selected due to lack of support in the house. After Labour, the ERG and the DUP all declined to support it, it would have been futile to put it to the house.
Once again, if the House finds fault with the way the Speaker selects amendments, they are welcome to move an early day motion and resolve that the house has no confidence in him and a new speaker would be elected.
But I think we all know the House would resolve it still very much has confidence in the Speaker.
If every one of these tossers loses their seats, good riddance. We need a clearout.
I stand to be proven wrong by events (I have been often enough in the past, after all,) but unless or until there's a revolt somewhere on the Government side then nothing will change, and the clock will continue to tick down. And neither the ERG wing, nor the DUP with their crucial votes, have any incentive to rock the boat under such circumstances. If the clock simply runs down to zero without Parliament caving in and backing the Withdrawal Agreement, then they get everything that they want.
If a majority exists in Parliament for staying in the EU, then the various groups within it are only going to get their way by working together. I very much doubt that the current Prime Minister will expedite their wishes.
It was the head shaving and the white laces in the Doc Martens that, for me, represent the zenith of her powers
I am not sure about the common-sense, but I certainly have a life unlike those in Numptyville, SW1 where they seem to ignore reality and hatch second rate plots and schemes.
Oh well, back to shoes: I have found a new website selling some utterly delightful ones and they are most diligent in sending me enticing looking emails. I have enough shoes left for the rest of my life - but, still.......
That is great news on the shoes, because you can never have too many. I am redoing my clothes collection at the minute and considering a new set of colours now that I spend less time schmoozing the business / corporate lifestyle, so the work gray / black / blues / (insert subdued colour here) are going and stronger colours that suit me are "in".
I expect to have bags of fun. :-)
I must say he seemed very pleased with her response and looked approvingly back at his colleagues almost with a wink.
Edit: the Guardian has it as "May refers to Corbyn’s call for a general election. But this is about what is best for the country, not what is best for Labour."
Flame over!
She thinks it's all over.
It is disturbing to reflect she has done so by delivering on their instructions, getting an extremely good deal that actually should satisfy most requirements, and the had them all shout that this isn't what they wanted.
What does that say about us as a nation?
For instance, I could vote for Nicky Morgan, but not for Andrew Bridgen, though they nominally are in the same party in adjacent constituencies.
I also like to see some effort made for my vote. If a candidate cannot be arsed to get a leaflet through my door, I cannot be arsed to vote for them.
SNP amendment not moved.
Leigh amendment not moved.
Which is why no deal is now red hot favourite.