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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If you’re not mentally prepared for Corbyn as Prime Minister,

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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,469
    Has anyone got an update on the seat projections
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Watson +7.8
    Con +13.3
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,059
    stjohn said:

    I've just backed Labour most seats at 6.6

    Good call!
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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    kle4 said:

    Polruan said:

    I guess we'll have to put this down to all the shy Labour voters who didn't want to express their true views due to the culture of right wing abuse on social media [is this right?]

    I have to say I thought there were shy labour voters...when they were in the 20s. Didn't expect it when they were in the mid 30s.
    They liked there services under Blair, new schools etc. How it was paid for they don't quite grasp.
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    TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Tories doing well in West midlands
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,260

    I've managed to kill the mood at Matthew Parker Street.

    *please* tell us how.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,223
    HYUFD said:

    Paisley and Renfrewshire South


    Mhairi Black HOLDS

    If Labour are going to have a good night can they at least win me some money? :angry:
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,087

    DUP piling up MASSIVE majorities in the Unionist seats

    Looks like a lot of straight swings from UKIP. They might do it in Belfast South, so.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,751
    The Tories did genuinely think they could take West Bromwich East.

    Well done for announcing it.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850

    My CCHQ sources says looks like the young voters did turn out, as well their middle class parents, and frightened grannies stayed at home.

    Perfect storm.

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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    I thought Mhairi would lose - looks like us CON have been wrong about quite a few things!
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    surbiton said:

    surbiton said:

    Attention: PB Tories [ except David Herdson ]

    How did you get it so wrong ? Did you not see this coming ?

    No.

    Did you?
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,821

    Are we all invited to TSE's wedding?

    Arf.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,288
    What a shame. LibDems to gain Twickenham but lose Hallam.

    Ugh.
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,858

    SeanT said:

    Corbyn PM for about three months?

    If it's any consolation to my right-wing friends there's nothing that'll be more infuriating to Juncker and the rest of the unlucky people lumbered with negotiating a Brexit agreement than having no idea if the people they're talking to will still be in office in 3 weeks time.
    Indeed. The EU wants an orderly exit. Keyword is exit.
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    kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,026

    Looks like I am relocating to Canada then...Out and abooottt...

    It's amazing how many vocal leaver have pissed, or are pissing, off abroad.

    Leaving the rest of us in the shit.

    Apologies for language.
    I didn't vote leave....
    I've managed to rustle up two conversations about jobs outside the UK already this eve, hope to be following them up next week.

    Corbyn as PM? McDonnell as chancellor? I'm out.
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    EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Hopefully Salmond gone
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,883
    Don't believe the Tories ever targeted Tom Watson
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    Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Alastair Campbell throwing in the towel.

    Suggests the left have won and chance that Labour are largest party??
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,130
    Is there any hope left that Tories can get most seats? Even then they will be too far back for a majority even with DUP help.
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    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,158

    My CCHQ sources says looks like the young voters did turn out, as well their middle class parents, and frightened grannies stayed at home.

    People want to buy cheap houses and keep expensive houses.
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,322
    After 35 seats:

    Lab + 8.1
    Con +7.1

    But presumably likely to get worse for Con.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,751

    I've managed to kill the mood at Matthew Parker Street.

    *please* tell us how.
    The headline of this thread.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,290
    HaroldO said:

    So at 01.26 we are looking at a Labour minority governement, Corbyn as PM.

    Wonder what things are like at CCHQ?

    The Cameroon's will have their knives out.
    Cameron and Osborne are no longer MPs
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336

    My CCHQ sources says looks like the young voters did turn out, as well their middle class parents, and frightened grannies stayed at home.

    That is what really struck me from that age break down poll showed earlier today, the Tories were losing in the middle age bracket. It is one thing being smashed in the youngster bracket, but at the start of the GE campaign May was a country mile ahead in the other two age brackets.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,821

    My CCHQ sources says looks like the young voters did turn out, as well their middle class parents, and frightened grannies stayed at home.

    Rasputin hat-trick.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    What on earth are sane Labour supporters going to do if Corbyn does become PM?
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    TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    West Midlands is the litmus test. Derbyshire Yorkshire towns very important.
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    JasonJason Posts: 1,614
    edited June 2017
    Are we really suggesting Corbyn PM? Labour would need 50 gains for that to even be a remote possibility. Not going to happen.
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913
    Corbyn ran the campaign of the century.

    May didn't.
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    AR404AR404 Posts: 21
    What North- South split? Lab gains in Weaver Vale, Pudsey, Colne Valley, Bury South - the kippers are fools, they've sliced Brexit to pieces
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,260
    I've accidentally moved onto a channel about 'ocean acidification'.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Reported recount in Stockton South
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,913

    What on earth are sane Labour supporters going to do if Corbyn does become PM?

    Celebrate. Better than May.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Con hold Harlow
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,796
    Tories not voting tactically in Scotland so far.
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    glwglw Posts: 9,556

    People want to buy cheap houses and keep expensive houses.

    That's very well put. Boy is this country in deep shit.
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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Very little change in Carlisle. Perhaps the Tories won't lose seats (outside of London). Could be that this is the "waste of time" election.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,130
    MikeL said:

    After 35 seats:

    Lab + 8.1
    Con +7.1

    But presumably likely to get worse for Con.

    All those London seats *shudder*
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    EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Jonathan said:

    Corbyn ran the campaign of the century.

    May didn't.

    May offered nothing, nothing, nothing. shocking campaign
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    Are we all invited to TSE's wedding?

    Snigger
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    tysontyson Posts: 6,052
    SeanT said:

    Well we can now all agree that the dreadful Theresa May is gone. And, with her, hopefully, Hard Brexit.

    Why the fuck did you ever want Brexit in the first place you empty headed numpty.....

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    kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,026

    My CCHQ sources says looks like the young voters did turn out, as well their middle class parents, and frightened grannies stayed at home.

    Perfect storm.

    Dementia tax.
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    chloechloe Posts: 308
    I've given up. PM Corbyn. Disasterous.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,751
    HYUFD said:

    HaroldO said:

    So at 01.26 we are looking at a Labour minority governement, Corbyn as PM.

    Wonder what things are like at CCHQ?

    The Cameroon's will have their knives out.
    Cameron and Osborne are no longer MPs
    But there are Cameroons still on the backbenches
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    Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928

    What on earth are sane Labour supporters going to do if Corbyn does become PM?

    Simple. Broad church cabinet. Yvette as home secretary.
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    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,158

    What on earth are sane Labour supporters going to do if Corbyn does become PM?

    Whatever they're told to do.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,130
    Jason said:

    Are we really suggesting Corbyn PM? Labour would need 50 gains for that to even be a remote possibility. Not going to happen.

    The SNP and LDs will back him over Tories.

    It's over, Jason.
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    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Is 1/4 May or Corbyn PM Good value?
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    Jonathan said:

    Corbyn ran the campaign of the century.

    May didn't.

    Undoubtedly. The Tories need someone (far) less wooden.
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    midwintermidwinter Posts: 1,112
    HYUFD said:

    HaroldO said:

    So at 01.26 we are looking at a Labour minority governement, Corbyn as PM.

    Wonder what things are like at CCHQ?

    The Cameroon's will have their knives out.
    Cameron and Osborne are no longer MPs
    Mores the pity
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,678
    SeanT said:

    Well we can now all agree that the dreadful Theresa May is gone. And, with her, hopefully, Hard Brexit.

    Yes, May is gone by Monday. No chance she holds on now.
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    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Corbyn PM for about three months?

    If it's any consolation to my right-wing friends there's nothing that'll be more infuriating to Juncker and the rest of the unlucky people lumbered with negotiating a Brexit agreement than having no idea if the people they're talking to will still be in office in 3 weeks time.
    What will they do?

    Article 50 will have to be put in the fridge.
    Just where they want it to be - in fact.
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    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,098
    Conservatives = Mickey Mouse in The Sorcerer's Apprentice. Brexit = The Broom.
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    houndtanghoundtang Posts: 450

    What on earth are sane Labour supporters going to do if Corbyn does become PM?

    Whatever they're told to do.
    He won - they and the party will row in behind him. Power will out.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,408
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    I'm fearing for the future of my party. All unionists are going DUP.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    kle4 said:

    Jason said:

    Are we really suggesting Corbyn PM? Labour would need 50 gains for that to even be a remote possibility. Not going to happen.

    The SNP and LDs will back him over Tories.

    It's over, Jason.
    LDs won't do a deal with LAB, especially if they're doing well in the shires.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,130
    tyson said:

    SeanT said:

    Well we can now all agree that the dreadful Theresa May is gone. And, with her, hopefully, Hard Brexit.

    Why the fuck did you ever want Brexit in the first place you empty headed numpty.....

    Yes, well you were right, congratulations.
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,059
    Where is this massive Midlands swing? Tories going down!
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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    HYUFD said:

    HaroldO said:

    So at 01.26 we are looking at a Labour minority governement, Corbyn as PM.

    Wonder what things are like at CCHQ?

    The Cameroon's will have their knives out.
    Cameron and Osborne are no longer MPs
    There are members and MP's still about that supported them.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    Well we can now all agree that the dreadful Theresa May is gone. And, with her, hopefully, Hard Brexit.

    Yes, May is gone by Monday. No chance she holds on now.
    By Monday? Generous!
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,821

    Dura_Ace said:

    Amber Rudd's tears taste like nectar to me.

    What an unpleasant comment
    We will see the full unpleasantness of the Far Left now in all its glory.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,260
    SeanT said:

    Well we can now all agree that the dreadful Theresa May is gone. And, with her, hopefully, Hard Brexit.

    I bet you can show me loads of posts in your diarrhetic output that shows that?

    Hang on, you post every possible view nightly.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,629
    JICIPM!!!
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    TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Please p!ease please please Ian Duncan Smith to lose....
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    Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928

    My CCHQ sources says looks like the young voters did turn out, as well their middle class parents, and frightened grannies stayed at home.

    Rasputin hat-trick.
    A Tale of Two Campaigns.

    This was the best political campaign in living memory.

    This was the worst political campaign in living memory.
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,087

    My CCHQ sources says looks like the young voters did turn out, as well their middle class parents, and frightened grannies stayed at home.

    Rasputin hat-trick.
    You can't applaud the Boris bus then complain about votes for the NHS.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,960

    My CCHQ sources says looks like the young voters did turn out, as well their middle class parents, and frightened grannies stayed at home.

    People want to buy cheap houses and keep expensive houses.
    So just the moon on a stick, then?
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Harlow

    Con +5.2
    Lab +8.4
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    UUP gone
    UKIP gone
    Greens ?!?
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    EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Brexit has already cost UK a trillion or two
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    DadgeDadge Posts: 2,038
    I think my £500 on Labour getting more than 165 seats is looking good.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,953

    What on earth are sane Labour supporters going to do if Corbyn does become PM?

    The country is going down the cr*pper... But PB will be fun! :D
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    OUTOUT Posts: 569
    Roll up for your Banksy print and BJ
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    kle4 said:

    Is there any hope left that Tories can get most seats? Even then they will be too far back for a majority even with DUP help.


    Yes, just about.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,130

    Very little change in Carlisle. Perhaps the Tories won't lose seats (outside of London). Could be that this is the "waste of time" election.

    They only look like gaining in Scotland - so they'd need to lose no others outside London and hope the two cancel each other out. Seems unlikely when Lab are predicted to make such good gains, and will outperform the exit poll.

    Tories crunched the numbers and don't believe it my arse.
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,858
    Interesting. SNP hold onto Paisley (Mhairi Black) thanks to Unionist tactical voting not happening or going wrong:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/872974787823489024
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JamieRoss7: After those first few results, an SNP source tells me it's looking like "a very difficult night". "The Corbyn bounce is real," they say.
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    spire2spire2 Posts: 183
    Any news on bolsover?
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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185

    HYUFD said:

    HaroldO said:

    So at 01.26 we are looking at a Labour minority governement, Corbyn as PM.

    Wonder what things are like at CCHQ?

    The Cameroon's will have their knives out.
    Cameron and Osborne are no longer MPs
    But there are Cameroons still on the backbenches
    Planning ahead yet?
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    RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 2,978
    Ah well, guess we'll all find out what its like to live under a socialist alternative

    Not looking forward to it. May focus some minds.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,751
    SeanT said:

    The hatred for Theresa May and Nick Timothy in Tory circles must now be around 189.45 on a scale of 1 to 5.

    Remove the decimal point from your post, and you're still lowballing it
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    GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    Shami - barf. She genuinely has a good versus evil narrative of the world, with herself as being the goodie.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    spire2 said:

    Any news on bolsover?

    Naughty... :D
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,629
    "Comrades, this is your Leader. It is an honour to speak to you today, and I am honoured to be sailing with you on the maiden voyage of our Party's most recent achievement. Once more, we play our dangerous game, a game of chess against our old adversary — The Conservative Party. For a hundred years, your fathers before you and your older brothers played this game and played it well. But today the game is different. We have the advantage. It reminds me of the heady days of 1945 and Clement Attlee, when the world trembled at the sound of our Nationalisations! Well, they will tremble again — at the sound of our Glorious 2017 Manifesto. The order is: engage the Corbyn Drive!

    "Comrades, our own Parliamentary Party doesn't know our full potential. They will do everything possible to test us; but they will only test their own embarrassment. We will leave our MPs behind, we will pass through the Conservative patrols, past their sonar nets, and lay off their largest constituency, and listen to their chortling and tittering... while we conduct Austerity Debates! Then, and when we are finished, the only sound they will hear is our laughter, while we sail to Brighton, where the sun is warm, and so is the... Comradeship!

    "A great day, Comrades! We sail into history!"
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,713
    I think I'm come to the conclusion that I'm just one man, one vote, time to accept and enjoy the ride wherever it goes
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    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083
    kle4 said:

    Polruan said:

    I guess we'll have to put this down to all the shy Labour voters who didn't want to express their true views due to the culture of right wing abuse on social media [is this right?]

    I have to say I thought there were shy labour voters...when they were in the 20s. Didn't expect it when they were in the mid 30s.
    Joking aside, in a rural professional environment then public support for Labour is a no-no at whatever age.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,260

    Dura_Ace said:

    Amber Rudd's tears taste like nectar to me.

    What an unpleasant comment
    We will see the full unpleasantness of the Far Left now in all its glory.
    whereas we saw the full unpleasantness of the Far right last year.

    Remember that?
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    AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Spreads C307 L275 LD13 SNP34.

    How does anyone form a government with that? Especially since LibDems taking a hardline against being part of a coalition.
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Chelmsford

    Con +2.2
    Lab +12.2
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    TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    George Osborne - Ipswich Milton Keynes reading northampton looking very bad. Globalised connected towns
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    Scott_P said:

    @JamieRoss7: After those first few results, an SNP source tells me it's looking like "a very difficult night". "The Corbyn bounce is real," they say.

    Mmm yes please. Although Mhairi should be gone if that was the case.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Labour pile up 47,351 votes in Knowsley, 85.3% of the vote.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,223
    FF43 said:

    Interesting. SNP hold onto Paisley (Mhairi Black) thanks to Unionist tactical voting not happening or going wrong:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/872974787823489024

    Absolute fucking morons. :angry:
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    Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928

    My CCHQ sources says looks like the young voters did turn out, as well their middle class parents, and frightened grannies stayed at home.

    That is what really struck me from that age break down poll showed earlier today, the Tories were losing in the middle age bracket. It is one thing being smashed in the youngster bracket, but at the start of the GE campaign May was a country mile ahead in the other two age brackets.
    I think it was you that pointed that out earlier. If we had listened to you, we could all have won a lot of money.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    @Sunil_Prasannan - thanks.. I needed a good cheering up!
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,953
    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    Well we can now all agree that the dreadful Theresa May is gone. And, with her, hopefully, Hard Brexit.

    Yes, May is gone by Monday. No chance she holds on now.
    May will be gone by 10am.
This discussion has been closed.