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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A Labour view as the campaign draws to a close

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  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,130
    edited June 2017
    calum said:
    Corbyn was in Gateshead today, 3 days before the election, Labour majority 14,000 and not even in the top 100 Tory target seats and got a 10,000 turnout. Hooray! Meanwhile May was in Scotland targeting marginal seats held by the SNP. Surge or no surge I have never seen a general election campaign as strategically inept as this Labour campaign, Blair and Mandelson must have their heads in their hands!
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,994
    DavidL said:

    Surely the Eagles only have one song. You hear it, you wonder again how a bunch of dorks came up with that and then you go home.

    150 million albums sold. Someone must like them.
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    nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    edited June 2017
    ydoethur said:

    nichomar said:

    Floater said:

    tlg86 said:

    nichomar said:

    Bloody hell what is she on?

    She looked sedated. Soon snapped out of it when asked about Trump, though.
    Because she had no fucking clue what the reporter was on about

    He was kind, other reporters would have eviscerated her for that pile of shite.
    It was far better to let herself hang out to dry than pulling her to shreds which would only marginally improve the sympathy vote, how did she get past a constituency selection meeting, was their only one candidate?
    She was almost certainly the only black woman, this being in the heyday of Militant and the Loony Left when things like gender and race were shall we say rather important.

    That said, although I've never been her biggest admirer I've been really shocked by her meltdown over this campaign. Is she suffering from some kind of illness?
    From my own personal experience with early onset dementia the sufferer is able to answer open questions very criedibly but if they are specific they fall back on what the think they would have done. Not suggesting this is the case but if my wife is asked did she enjoy a the meal last night will say yes, even if we didn't go out. If asked what did you have then it will be prawn cocktail, lamb and ice cream even if we have been to the Chinese. So viewing the interview from that perspective the open questions she can handle but if it requires detailed recall she falls back to what she thinks she would answe or do in that situation
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,336

    Some students will continue taking AS levels e.g. to demonstrate what their likely final A-level grades will be.

    However, as universities can no longer use them in coming to a decision on probable grades and making offers, I wonder how long most AS levels will last. My guess is that it may not be long given the expense involved in managing a subordinate course and putting them in for exams, not to mention the disruption in the summer term.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,991
    calum said:
    I guess that's more than one more paper supporting an Independent Scotland.
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    LucyJonesLucyJones Posts: 651
    edited June 2017

    I thought AS Levels had been scrapped?

    They are great questions and I'm glad kids are being taught/can choose to be taught this stuff. Certainly better than my miserable AS level geography about oxbox lakes.....

    They have, pretty much. Except in Maths, politics and DT. Daughter is doing both maths and politics, so she's been a lot busier than most of her peers for these last few weeks.
    I think all A-levels will be 2-year linear courses then, and AS levels will just be stand-alone qualifications with a level of difficulty between GCSEs and A-levels.

    Edited to add: I loved doing all the stuff about ox bow lakes and glaciated valleys!

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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,086
    TudorRose said:

    Pulpstar said:
    If Bradford South is in play then we are in landslide territory.
    Surely not... Large UKIP vote but UKIP still standing. Been Labour since 1945.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,371

    DavidL said:

    Surely the Eagles only have one song. You hear it, you wonder again how a bunch of dorks came up with that and then you go home.

    150 million albums sold. Someone must like them.
    Yes but millions of people are going to vote Labour on Thursday. Some things are just inexplicable.
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    ydoethur said:

    surbiton said:

    ydoethur said:

    nichomar said:

    Floater said:

    tlg86 said:

    nichomar said:

    Bloody hell what is she on?

    She looked sedated. Soon snapped out of it when asked about Trump, though.
    Because she had no fucking clue what the reporter was on about

    He was kind, other reporters would have eviscerated her for that pile of shite.
    It was far better to let herself hang out to dry than pulling her to shreds which would only marginally improve the sympathy vote, how did she get past a constituency selection meeting, was their only one candidate?
    She was almost certainly the only black woman, this being in the heyday of Militant and the Loony Left when things like gender and race were shall we say rather important.

    That said, although I've never been her biggest admirer I've been really shocked by her meltdown over this campaign. Is she suffering from some kind of illness?
    I remember those days in London. Militant was anti black. In fact, Militant was against the middle class as well.
    That's more than a little surprising given they went through children's books seeking out caricatures of black people they could ban. I don't think Ms Abbott would thank you for calling her middle class either.
    I think you are confusing the Militant Tendency and the Labour Hard Left of which Abbott and Corbyn were part of. Militant was not particularly strong in London but they did try to enter a few CLPs.

    Regarding children's books [ gollywog ? ], it was the Left campaign and I support that to this day.

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,986

    TudorRose said:

    Pulpstar said:
    If Bradford South is in play then we are in landslide territory.
    Surely not... Large UKIP vote but UKIP still standing. Been Labour since 1945.
    UKIP standing or not doesn't actually matter. There has been academic work done on this.
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    chloechloe Posts: 308
    Evening all do we think Corbyn is safe even if he loses the election? I am not so sure, we haven't heard much from the moderate side of the party, presumably they are waiting to see what happens but are they going to back Corbyn continuing in his job when most MPs had no confidence in him last year. Even if he increases the vote share he will have failed to get them elected.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    edited June 2017
    HYUFD said:

    calum said:
    Corbyn was in Gateshead today, 3 days before the election, Labour majority 14,000 and not even in the top 100 Tory target seats and got a 10,000 turnout. Hooray! Meanwhile May was in Scotland targeting marginal seats held by the SNP. Surge or no surge I have never seen a campaign as strategically inept as this Labour campaign, Blair and Mandelson must have their heads in their hands!
    The Tories' internal polling is either seriously out of whack and there will be serious eggs on faces come Friday, or it's majority of 70-80+. Strange.
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,904
    My antenna are picking up a potential bloodbath for Labour. No evidence. All gut and sniffing guff on the Internet. But it could be brutal in three days time.
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    isamisam Posts: 40,988

    DavidL said:

    Surely the Eagles only have one song. You hear it, you wonder again how a bunch of dorks came up with that and then you go home.

    150 million albums sold. Someone must like them.
    I wrote a song in Drama class when I was 13 (1988) and didn't realise that all I had done was change the words to "Take it Easy" until 2010
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,994
    ydoethur said:

    Some students will continue taking AS levels e.g. to demonstrate what their likely final A-level grades will be.

    However, as universities can no longer use them in coming to a decision on probable grades and making offers, I wonder how long most AS levels will last. My guess is that it may not be long given the expense involved in managing a subordinate course and putting them in for exams, not to mention the disruption in the summer term.
    I find that strange. Surely Universities can chose themselves what they use to come to their decisions.
  • Options
    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    kle4 said:

    calum said:
    I guess that's more than one more paper supporting an Independent Scotland.
    Anyone but the Tories mentality.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,986
    chloe said:

    Evening all do we think Corbyn is safe even if he loses the election? I am not so sure, we haven't heard much from the moderate side of the party, presumably they are waiting to see what happens but are they going to back Corbyn continuing in his job when most MPs had no confidence in him last year. Even if he increases the vote share he will have failed to get them elected.

    Everything depends on his numbers. 200+ seats and an increase in labour share - he will be very tough to shift.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,534
    Pulpstar said:

    chloe said:

    Evening all do we think Corbyn is safe even if he loses the election? I am not so sure, we haven't heard much from the moderate side of the party, presumably they are waiting to see what happens but are they going to back Corbyn continuing in his job when most MPs had no confidence in him last year. Even if he increases the vote share he will have failed to get them elected.

    Everything depends on his numbers. 200+ seats and an increase in labour share - he will be very tough to shift.
    Corbyn isn't going anywhere.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,130
    MaxPB said:

    I think everyone is going to wake up to a 120-125 seat Con majority on Friday. The mood music has changed after Saturday night, even within the London liberal bubble that is my social group.

    I have seen at least 1 Labour 2015 voter posting that video of Corbyn refusing to endorse the 'shoot to kill' policy on twitter
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,895

    ydoethur said:

    Some students will continue taking AS levels e.g. to demonstrate what their likely final A-level grades will be.

    However, as universities can no longer use them in coming to a decision on probable grades and making offers, I wonder how long most AS levels will last. My guess is that it may not be long given the expense involved in managing a subordinate course and putting them in for exams, not to mention the disruption in the summer term.
    I find that strange. Surely Universities can chose themselves what they use to come to their decisions.
    Yes, but already universities are moving away from using ASs to help inform their decision making from what I've seen, both anecdotally and from admissions officers.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,991
    Pulpstar said:

    chloe said:

    Evening all do we think Corbyn is safe even if he loses the election? I am not so sure, we haven't heard much from the moderate side of the party, presumably they are waiting to see what happens but are they going to back Corbyn continuing in his job when most MPs had no confidence in him last year. Even if he increases the vote share he will have failed to get them elected.

    Everything depends on his numbers. 200+ seats and an increase in labour share - he will be very tough to shift.
    Quite. Given how much better that would be that predicted, he would some justification for suggesting perhaps they would have done even better had his critics not spent his entire leadership undermining him.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,534
    SeanT said:

    AndyJS said:

    Surely the best GE Bee Gees song is:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZY9oYSSjFI

    I once listened to this song about 50 times in a row, without a break. It's that good.
    Gosh, that is very good. I'd quite forgotten it.

    I reckon pop song writing is (ahem) a bit like thriller writing. People sneer at it (especially if it is popular) because it appears cheap and ubiquitous - sold in supermarkets like detergent. In reality, it is very difficult and few can do it well, hence the huge rewards if you get it right - as the Bee Gees clearly did.

    Here's another forsaken classic. In my mind the greatest song about male lovesickness and romantic rejection ever written

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jpR8r0D2EyY

    "I'd pay the devil to replace her"

    GENIUS
    I love Hall and Oates.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,371
    I really thought that the SNP were a bunch of losers but to be supported by the Guardian? That's bordering on sad.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    edited June 2017
    LucyJones said:

    I thought AS Levels had been scrapped?

    They are great questions and I'm glad kids are being taught/can choose to be taught this stuff. Certainly better than my miserable AS level geography about oxbox lakes.....

    They have, pretty much. Except in Maths, politics and DT. Daughter is doing both maths and politics, so she's been a lot busier than most of her peers for these last few weeks.
    I think all A-levels will be 2-year linear courses then, and AS levels will just be stand-alone qualifications with a level of difficulty between GCSEs and A-levels.

    Edited to add: I loved doing all the stuff about ox bow lakes and glaciated valleys!

    Oh, okay.

    Never got the option to do a Politics AS Level [insert sad emoticon]. Would definitely have done one.

    'Glaciated valleys'! It all comes flooding back.....
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,336

    ydoethur said:



    No - politics is being reformed from next year anyway, so it is still on the old system (it's one of the last to change and is incidentally changing very much for the worse). However, the key thing is that AS levels under the new system no longer count towards A-levels. You can still do them, but they are a qualification worth half an A-level, rather than half of a full A-level.

    Why is the Politics subject changing for the worse? Watered down?
    Not watered down - indeed, if anything the opposite. A great deal more content is being crammed in but it is becoming a great deal more theoretical and such examples as remain are historical rather than contemporary - e.g. AQA insist students learn about the 1832 Reform Act but make no mention of Brexit. Popular protest covers the Iraq War but not anything more recent. It's also very heavily based on the UK and USA (and only one board offers the second in any detail).

    Also OCR has decided to drop it entirely which is a shame as theirs used to be the best spec.
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    RestharrowRestharrow Posts: 233
    tlg86 said:

    calum said:
    Probably the right thing to do if all they care about is stopping the Tories.
    Or selling The Guardian.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,991
    Jonathan said:

    My antenna are picking up a potential bloodbath for Labour. No evidence. All gut and sniffing guff on the Internet. But it could be brutal in three days time.

    How well did your antenna serve you last time? (mine were crap)
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    handandmousehandandmouse Posts: 213
    That interview was unspeakably bad. Possibly the worst I've ever seen. I've never been a fan of Abbott's even during my most fervent support of Corbyn in the 2015 leadership campaign, but she was so far out of her depth it was unreal. Shit! Shit shit shit.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,534
    calum said:
    Look at the age of the faces in the crowd. How many live and are registered to vote in Gateshead?

    He's a trendy pop star that you tweet your mates you've gone to see.
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    LucyJonesLucyJones Posts: 651
    Jonathan said:

    LucyJones said:

    Pong said:

    LucyJones said:

    O/T My older daughter sat her AS Government and Politics earlier today.

    The questions were:

    VOTING BEHAVIOUR

    1) Explain the term Safe seat

    2) Explain reasons for differential turnout between constituencies at General Elections.

    3) 'Voting behaviour at UK General elections is primarily down to the personalities of those seeking office, as opposed to their policies' Discuss

    ELECTORAL SYSTEMS

    1) Explain the term representative democracy

    2) Identify and explain two reasons why David Cameron decided to call the EU Referendum.

    3) 'The use of referendums since 1975 has done little to enhance democracy' Discuss


    I reckon most posters here would be nailed on for an easy "A" with those questions. (No A* grade for AS levels). My daughter thought it pretty easy, too - we'll find out if she did as well as she thought on results day in August.

    I'd guess the higher marks would go to those who can make a convincing argument, and *also* contextualising + representing (and rebutting) opposing arguments.

    Quite hard when you're 17 and only have 15 mins per question...

    I recon most posters on here would do ok but struggle to get the highest grades.

    Good luck to your daughter!
    Thanks. She's still only 16 (summer birthday).
    She did work experience in the House of Lords last year and managed to get a seat in the gallery for PMQs, the first one after the referendum. She was sitting directly opposite Cameron (and above Corbyn) when Cameron uttered the lines "For goodness sake man, just go now!".

    What on Earth is work experience in Hol? A long nap?
    LOL. She spent a week there meeting various politicians, being taken out to lunch in various dining rooms (including both terraces, if I remember correctly), having a few guided tours and erm... doing some photocopying for about an hour. Amazing experience for her.

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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,895

    That interview was unspeakably bad. Possibly the worst I've ever seen. I've never been a fan of Abbott's even during my most fervent support of Corbyn in the 2015 leadership campaign, but she was so far out of her depth it was unreal. Shit! Shit shit shit.

    Abbott is getting shared a lot on Facebook, seen 3 or 4 videos of her in the past week.
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,904
    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    My antenna are picking up a potential bloodbath for Labour. No evidence. All gut and sniffing guff on the Internet. But it could be brutal in three days time.

    How well did your antenna serve you last time? (mine were crap)
    Said it felt like 1992. So pretty good.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,894
    Jonathan said:

    My antenna are picking up a potential bloodbath for Labour. No evidence. All gut and sniffing guff on the Internet. But it could be brutal in three days time.

    I think you could be right.

    I am happy i cashed out a decent profit on Tories LT 399.5
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,311
    QT with Farron and Sturgeon starting on BBC1 in a minute - though not showing on the Sky EPG.

    Interestingly it is being hosted by Nick Robinson - not sure why not Dimbleby (it was scheduled to be him as usual) - maybe so he can have a good rest before Thur and Fri.

    Could maybe be a pointer that Robinson will take over QT when Dimbleby retires.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    FF43 said:

    Jonathan said:

    SeanT said:

    Jonathan said:

    SeanT said:

    Jason said:


    I also know the sneering and snobbery aimed at Coldplay is rather pathetic.

    Coldplay, the Theresa May of 'rock' music.
    Prediction: in ten years Coldplay will be seen as unquestionably great. Their problem is they just got too popular, so insecure people (such as yourself, it seems) feel forced to prove their coolness - to separate themselves from the plebs - by sneering at them.

    This process happens time and again in pop music. The Bee Gees are an excellent example. Became massively famous, became as reviled as Coldplay. Now no one doubts their enormous talent.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XpqqjU7u5Yc

    100 million views. 100 million! And rightly so. A genius song.
    May is not the Bee Gees. She is not Coldplay. Both wrote their own tunes and demonstrated not only popularity ,but creativity.

    If May were a band, she would be Jive Bunny. Popular initially with her nostalgic remixes, but ultimately with nothing much to say.
    I agree! i never made the comparison. I was just pointing out that people like to sneer at very popular acts, but these acts are often - usually - very popular because they are very talented.

    Though I'm not sure TMay is *quite* as bad as Jive Bunny.
    I genuinely can't think of anything original from May. Nothing at all. Mostly carries on what Dave started. Borrows from Ed. Borrows from Nigel. Evokes Maggie through her gender. But offers nothing really of her own at all.

    It's remarkable really when you think about it. Not a single idea. Even John Major had his cones hotline.

    I was scanning the Conservative Party manifesto and came across something I hadn't heard of before. They plan to create nine* Her Majesty's Commissioners for Trade after Brexit. I did some googling. It seems these dated back to the empire. Their job was to make sure the colonies made their necessary economic contributions to the mother country.

    * John McDonnell's quip about the only numbers in the manifesto are page numbers isn't quite true. There are a half dozen or so numbers. This is one.
    Don't you remember Heseltine calling himself the "President of the Board of Trade"? The Commissioners are the members of the Board
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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,086

    calum said:
    Look at the age of the faces in the crowd. How many live and are registered to vote in Gateshead?

    He's a trendy pop star that you tweet your mates you've gone to see.
    A lot of them will live in Newcastle East.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    edited June 2017
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:



    No - politics is being reformed from next year anyway, so it is still on the old system (it's one of the last to change and is incidentally changing very much for the worse). However, the key thing is that AS levels under the new system no longer count towards A-levels. You can still do them, but they are a qualification worth half an A-level, rather than half of a full A-level.

    Why is the Politics subject changing for the worse? Watered down?
    Not watered down - indeed, if anything the opposite. A great deal more content is being crammed in but it is becoming a great deal more theoretical and such examples as remain are historical rather than contemporary - e.g. AQA insist students learn about the 1832 Reform Act but make no mention of Brexit. Popular protest covers the Iraq War but not anything more recent. It's also very heavily based on the UK and USA (and only one board offers the second in any detail).

    Also OCR has decided to drop it entirely which is a shame as theirs used to be the best spec.
    FFS. I envisaged Politics being a bit closer to something like 'Citizenship', with plenty of contemporary subject matter and in some part putting in context the events of now. 1832 etc - just as interesting but should be in History.
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,995
    TudorRose said:

    Pulpstar said:
    If Bradford South is in play then we are in landslide territory.
    More likely its proximity to the 4 Rugby League targets, Wakefield, Halifax, Batley and Dewsbury.
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    paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,461
    DavidL said:

    Surely the Eagles only have one song. You hear it, you wonder again how a bunch of dorks came up with that and then you go home.

    Desperado was/is brilliant. And even more so when sung by Karen carpenter.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,336
    surbiton said:

    ydoethur said:

    surbiton said:

    ydoethur said:

    nichomar said:

    Floater said:

    tlg86 said:

    nichomar said:

    Bloody hell what is she on?

    She looked sedated. Soon snapped out of it when asked about Trump, though.
    Because she had no fucking clue what the reporter was on about

    He was kind, other reporters would have eviscerated her for that pile of shite.
    It was far better to let herself hang out to dry than pulling her to shreds which would only marginally improve the sympathy vote, how did she get past a constituency selection meeting, was their only one candidate?
    She was almost certainly the only black woman, this being in the heyday of Militant and the Loony Left when things like gender and race were shall we say rather important.

    That said, although I've never been her biggest admirer I've been really shocked by her meltdown over this campaign. Is she suffering from some kind of illness?
    I remember those days in London. Militant was anti black. In fact, Militant was against the middle class as well.
    That's more than a little surprising given they went through children's books seeking out caricatures of black people they could ban. I don't think Ms Abbott would thank you for calling her middle class either.
    I think you are confusing the Militant Tendency and the Labour Hard Left of which Abbott and Corbyn were part of. Militant was not particularly strong in London but they did try to enter a few CLPs.

    Regarding children's books [ gollywog ? ], it was the Left campaign and I support that to this day.

    I was thinking of the famous example of the black horse to which a girl fed white sugar.

    I am happy to take your word for my confusion re Militant/Hard Left.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    HYUFD said:

    calum said:
    Corbyn was in Gateshead today, 3 days before the election, Labour majority 14,000 and not even in the top 100 Tory target seats and got a 10,000 turnout. Hooray! Meanwhile May was in Scotland targeting marginal seats held by the SNP. Surge or no surge I have never seen a general election campaign as strategically inept as this Labour campaign, Blair and Mandelson must have their heads in their hands!
    May was in an invitation only meeting with activists in a warehouse specialising in office storage. perhaps she has a plan for Mayexit? Is packing tea-chests a boy or girl job?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,991
    Chameleon said:

    That interview was unspeakably bad. Possibly the worst I've ever seen. I've never been a fan of Abbott's even during my most fervent support of Corbyn in the 2015 leadership campaign, but she was so far out of her depth it was unreal. Shit! Shit shit shit.

    Abbott is getting shared a lot on Facebook, seen 3 or 4 videos of her in the past week.
    I do wonder if she might have cost Labour many seats. It's hard to judge, but Corbyn has definitely had a good campaign, I can recall only one media gaffe, whereas she has had loads, and they are often embarrassing, and it must affect some people.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,336

    ydoethur said:

    Some students will continue taking AS levels e.g. to demonstrate what their likely final A-level grades will be.

    However, as universities can no longer use them in coming to a decision on probable grades and making offers, I wonder how long most AS levels will last. My guess is that it may not be long given the expense involved in managing a subordinate course and putting them in for exams, not to mention the disruption in the summer term.
    I find that strange. Surely Universities can chose themselves what they use to come to their decisions.
    They are obliged, by law, not to disadvantage students who have not done AS levels in making offers.

    The only way they can do this is to ignore them entirely, which as Chameleon has noted is what they are doing.
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    paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,461
    Pulpstar said:

    TudorRose said:

    Pulpstar said:
    If Bradford South is in play then we are in landslide territory.
    Surely not... Large UKIP vote but UKIP still standing. Been Labour since 1945.
    UKIP standing or not doesn't actually matter. There has been academic work done on this.
    I did back con gain Bradford south but I've pretty much written that one off.
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    LucyJonesLucyJones Posts: 651
    Is there going to be a PB prediction competition this year?
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    CD13 said:

    Mr 64,

    "Karen carpenter has the best voice of all time for me."

    Now you're talking. Number two is probably Joan Baez.

    I haven't heard much of JB. I'll listen out for her. What's her best known song?
    I've always liked Mary Hamilton
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850

    calum said:
    Look at the age of the faces in the crowd. How many live and are registered to vote in Gateshead?

    He's a trendy pop star that you tweet your mates you've gone to see.
    Thought exactly the same when I saw this on C4. A lot of the crowd were too young to vote and definitely a 'festival with your mates' air. Not sure it will translate into a great deal of actual votes.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,991
    LucyJones said:

    Is there going to be a PB prediction competition this year?

    Yes - which PB Tory will panic the most in the run up to the exit poll?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,130

    HYUFD said:

    calum said:
    Corbyn was in Gateshead today, 3 days before the election, Labour majority 14,000 and not even in the top 100 Tory target seats and got a 10,000 turnout. Hooray! Meanwhile May was in Scotland targeting marginal seats held by the SNP. Surge or no surge I have never seen a campaign as strategically inept as this Labour campaign, Blair and Mandelson must have their heads in their hands!
    The Tories' internal polling is either seriously out of whack and there will be serious eggs on faces come Friday, or it's majority of 70-80+. Strange.
    I am beginning to think it may even now be 100+ Tory majority just because the Labour campaign on the ground is so awful, CCHQ is ruthlessly targeting Labour marginals in the North and Midlands and sending May only to those areas and seats in Scotland they want to win from the SNP, the Labour campaign seems mainly focused on getting huge crowds for Jeremy in seats that would vote for a donkey in a red rosette.
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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited June 2017
    LucyJones said:

    I thought AS Levels had been scrapped?

    They are great questions and I'm glad kids are being taught/can choose to be taught this stuff. Certainly better than my miserable AS level geography about oxbox lakes.....

    Daughter is doing both maths and politics

    Add psychology to the mix and imo she'd have the perfect skillset for political betting.

    Obviously not advising gambling for an u18, but still!
  • Options
    marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    MikeL said:

    QT with Farron and Sturgeon starting on BBC1 in a minute - though not showing on the Sky EPG.

    Interestingly it is being hosted by Nick Robinson - not sure why not Dimbleby (it was scheduled to be him as usual) - maybe so he can have a good rest before Thur and Fri.

    Could maybe be a pointer that Robinson will take over QT when Dimbleby retires.

    showing onmy sky epg
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    isamisam Posts: 40,988
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,988
    SeanT said:

    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    JonWC said:

    Coldplay fan who also saw them at Wembley.. easily the most impressive show I've ever seen. How many bands can play over twenty songs at a concert?

    Hmm. I think it is a generational thing. I saw your posting and my first thought was if I saw a band that played less than 20 songs I would feel cheated. But most of the bands I watch have been around for decades. Of those I have seen in the last couple of years

    Springsteen regularly does 30 plus songs - 33 when I saw him at Coventry last year
    Fleetwood Mac did 23 at Leeds in 2015
    The Eagles did 27 at Leeds the year before
    ELO did 20 at Nottingham

    Even the young upstarts Suede did 27 at Leeds last year.
    I saw Paul Simon play for almost four hours a few years ago. I didn't count how many songs he sung, but it was a lot.
    I remember going to see Lenny Kravitz Just after the 7/7 bombings and he was on stage for around 3 hours, some of which was just him and his band jamming and doing covers of songs about togetherness and love. It is one of the best gigs I've been to.
    Aren't Grateful Dead the winners of this competition, every time?
    Coz they were all on heroin. Not hard to play for 19 hours if you're totally smacked out (as I can personally attest)

    Surely the question should be: how many good or great songs can you play, i.e. how brilliant is your back catalogue? Most pop stars can only claim one or two famous songs (if they write themselves).

    The acts in a different league can claim a dozen, even two dozen: the Beatles, the Stones, Led Zep, Simon and Garfunkel, Bob Dylan, Elton John, Genesis, the Smiths, Springsteen, Stevie Wonder, the Bee Gees, Abba, the entire Stone Roses first album (and nothing since)

    I struggle to name bands post 1985 because I genuinely think pop music has declined since then, the way Italian painting declined post-Raphael, or English verse drama after Shakespeare.

    There was a golden age of popular music, and it was 1965-1985, maybe 1990 at a push. Art forms are born, they thrive, and then they kind of die - or evolve dramatically into something different.
    Fleetwood Mac, Pink Floyd, Oasis, blur?
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,991

    calum said:
    Look at the age of the faces in the crowd. How many live and are registered to vote in Gateshead?

    He's a trendy pop star that you tweet your mates you've gone to see.
    Must be a serious part of the speech, the faces aren't exulting in ecstasy.
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,311
    marke09 said:

    MikeL said:

    QT with Farron and Sturgeon starting on BBC1 in a minute - though not showing on the Sky EPG.

    Interestingly it is being hosted by Nick Robinson - not sure why not Dimbleby (it was scheduled to be him as usual) - maybe so he can have a good rest before Thur and Fri.

    Could maybe be a pointer that Robinson will take over QT when Dimbleby retires.

    showing onmy sky epg
    It is now on mine too - but wasn't earlier.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,371

    DavidL said:

    Surely the Eagles only have one song. You hear it, you wonder again how a bunch of dorks came up with that and then you go home.

    Desperado was/is brilliant. And even more so when sung by Karen carpenter.
    Quite a few minutes of my life I won't get back. Wife was a fan. Thankfully she had many redeeming features.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,130

    HYUFD said:

    calum said:
    Corbyn was in Gateshead today, 3 days before the election, Labour majority 14,000 and not even in the top 100 Tory target seats and got a 10,000 turnout. Hooray! Meanwhile May was in Scotland targeting marginal seats held by the SNP. Surge or no surge I have never seen a general election campaign as strategically inept as this Labour campaign, Blair and Mandelson must have their heads in their hands!
    May was in an invitation only meeting with activists in a warehouse specialising in office storage. perhaps she has a plan for Mayexit? Is packing tea-chests a boy or girl job?
    She was at a rally in Scotland in a marginal seat then went to a factory in Berwickshire meeting voters who might be won over from the SNP, not one voter who attended that Corbyn rally in a safe Labour seat will not already be voting for him
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,534
    Pulpstar said:
    Bradford South strikes me as the sort of place that could easily be an unexpected gain on the night.

    I heard the Labour vote was "hemorrhaging" on council estates in Southampton at the weekend, from a CCHQ source, and holding up a bit better amongst the ABs, but, in the absence of seeing the figures myself, I took it to just be a motivational anecdote.

    Maybe it wasn't.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,336

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:



    No - politics is being reformed from next year anyway, so it is still on the old system (it's one of the last to change and is incidentally changing very much for the worse). However, the key thing is that AS levels under the new system no longer count towards A-levels. You can still do them, but they are a qualification worth half an A-level, rather than half of a full A-level.

    Why is the Politics subject changing for the worse? Watered down?
    Not watered down - indeed, if anything the opposite. A great deal more content is being crammed in but it is becoming a great deal more theoretical and such examples as remain are historical rather than contemporary - e.g. AQA insist students learn about the 1832 Reform Act but make no mention of Brexit. Popular protest covers the Iraq War but not anything more recent. It's also very heavily based on the UK and USA (and only one board offers the second in any detail).

    Also OCR has decided to drop it entirely which is a shame as theirs used to be the best spec.
    FFS. I envisaged Politics being a bit closer to something like 'Citizenship', with plenty of contemporary subject matter and in some part putting in context the events of now. 1832 etc - just as interesting but should be in History.
    So do I and I've taught both subjects. I've no objection to context, but when it comes to a full constitutional narrative (which AQA's is) I think it's going a bit far. And I think AQA is still better than Edexcel, the de facto alternative, which starts with Runnymede the small matter of 800 years ago and goes downhill from there.

    Now you will see why I think it's not getting better.
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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,086
    Anecdote Alert

    My mate who I believe is a good representative of the white working class in the North East outside of Tyneside told me today that May has had an awful campaign. He did, however, describe Corbyn as a 'f*cking idiot'.
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    BigIanBigIan Posts: 198

    Jonathan said:

    My antenna are picking up a potential bloodbath for Labour. No evidence. All gut and sniffing guff on the Internet. But it could be brutal in three days time.

    I think you could be right.

    I am happy i cashed out a decent profit on Tories LT 399.5
    Blimey bigjohnowls, do you think it could really go over 400?
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    QT off to a belter...

    "Why don't we have internment?"
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    ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312

    DavidL said:

    Surely the Eagles only have one song. You hear it, you wonder again how a bunch of dorks came up with that and then you go home.

    150 million albums sold. Someone must like them.
    150 million insomniacs
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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    Awww Peter Sallis. Aside from Wallace he was also good in the original Ice Warriors story in Doctor Who with Patrick Troughton.
    I remember he best in Last of the Summer Wine, the show itself was awful but I used to watch it when I was a lad with my grandparents. Cocoa and Cleggy.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Sheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeees back

    https://order-order.com/2017/06/05/diane-abbott-car-crash-clueless-about-terror-report/

    And just as useless as ever
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,311
    Robinson just destroyed Farron.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,534
    On music: I love my early 90s.

    Olive: you're not alone, and Everything But the Girl: Missing, both hold a lot of memories for me.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q4sPkS8b62Q
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,336
    SeanT said:

    DavidL said:

    Surely the Eagles only have one song. You hear it, you wonder again how a bunch of dorks came up with that and then you go home.

    James Joyce had one novel.
    Finnegans Wake and Portrait of an Artist as a Young Man surely count as novels, bringing the total to three?

    Or were you excluding Ulysses and Finnegans Wake because they're unreadable?
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,994

    DavidL said:

    Surely the Eagles only have one song. You hear it, you wonder again how a bunch of dorks came up with that and then you go home.

    Desperado was/is brilliant. And even more so when sung by Karen carpenter.
    The Eagles also include one of the greatest guitarists of all time, Mr Joe Walsh.
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    Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,059
    Floater said:
    Who knew that being a career high of being the leftie rebel pundit on This Week would leave you so under equipped for high office...
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,371

    Anecdote Alert

    My mate who I believe is a good representative of the white working class in the North East outside of Tyneside told me today that May has had an awful campaign. He did, however, describe Corbyn as a 'f*cking idiot'.

    Sounds spot on. On both points.
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    LucyJonesLucyJones Posts: 651
    edited June 2017
    kle4 said:

    LucyJones said:

    Is there going to be a PB prediction competition this year?

    Yes - which PB Tory will panic the most in the run up to the exit poll?
    SeanT has already won that one, hasn't he? Probably the Lifetime Achievement Award.

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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    Scott_P said:

    QT off to a belter...

    "Why don't we have internment?"

    What?!
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    JonWCJonWC Posts: 285
    SeanT said:

    DavidL said:

    Surely the Eagles only have one song. You hear it, you wonder again how a bunch of dorks came up with that and then you go home.

    James Joyce had one novel.
    Best used as a doorstop for a very pretentious door.
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,904

    Jonathan said:

    My antenna are picking up a potential bloodbath for Labour. No evidence. All gut and sniffing guff on the Internet. But it could be brutal in three days time.

    I think you could be right.

    I am happy i cashed out a decent profit on Tories LT 399.5
    Been a toss-up for me between a 2005 style election where the disliked incumbent wins against a polarising opponent or a very heavy Labour defeat.

    I'm coming down on the latter. Does it feel like a change of government is coming? No. Not at all.
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    camelcamel Posts: 815
    Tim Farron needs to learn how to be concise.
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    OUTOUT Posts: 569
    DavidL said:

    I really thought that the SNP were a bunch of losers but to be supported by the Guardian? That's bordering on sad.

    Michty me scons upset by a newspaper that's read by about 3 people in Scotland.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,336
    JonWC said:

    SeanT said:

    DavidL said:

    Surely the Eagles only have one song. You hear it, you wonder again how a bunch of dorks came up with that and then you go home.

    James Joyce had one novel.
    Best used as a doorstop for a very pretentious door.
    Nothing can get through Ulysses? :tongue:

    Anyway, I am getting an early night. Have a good evening everyone!
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,792
    jonny83 said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Jason said:


    I also know the sneering and snobbery aimed at Coldplay is rather pathetic.

    Coldplay, the Theresa May of 'rock' music.
    Prediction: in ten years Coldplay will be seen as unquestionably great. Their problem is they just got too popular, so insecure people (such as yourself, it seems) feel forced to prove their coolness - to separate themselves from the plebs - by sneering at them.

    This process happens time and again in pop music. The Bee Gees are an excellent example. Became massively famous, became as reviled as Coldplay. Now no one doubts their enormous talent.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XpqqjU7u5Yc

    100 million views. 100 million! And rightly so. A genius song.
    Yep. I used to refer to the Bee Gees as one of my guilty pleasures. Now they are just a pleasure and I don't care who knows it.

    ABBA are the prime example of this phenomonen.

    Also Elton John, the Carpenters. Phil Collins and Genesis.
    Coldplay aren't fit to lick Benny and Bjorn's spangly boots! 90% of their songs are instantly forgettable. Yellow and the one with the backwards video are the only things they've written that have made any lasting impression on my mind.

    Also a terrible insult to the Bee Gees and Phil Collins to compare them to Chris Martin et al. Coldplay are more like Simple Minds, but without the interesting early stuff.
    Karen carpenter has the best voice of all time for me.
    It was amazing.

    Annie Lennox (when with the Eurythmics) and Stevie Nicks (when in her pomp) are particular favorite female voices I really enjoy listening to.
    All good choices, but - Aretha.
    That is all.

  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,371
    Scott_P said:

    QT off to a belter...

    "Why don't we have internment?"

    I heard McDonnell was asking exactly the same thing. Something to do with Abbott.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,534
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    AndyJS said:

    Surely the best GE Bee Gees song is:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZY9oYSSjFI

    I once listened to this song about 50 times in a row, without a break. It's that good.
    Gosh, that is very good. I'd quite forgotten it.

    I reckon pop song writing is (ahem) a bit like thriller writing. People sneer at it (especially if it is popular) because it appears cheap and ubiquitous - sold in supermarkets like detergent. In reality, it is very difficult and few can do it well, hence the huge rewards if you get it right - as the Bee Gees clearly did.

    Here's another forsaken classic. In my mind the greatest song about male lovesickness and romantic rejection ever written

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jpR8r0D2EyY

    "I'd pay the devil to replace her"

    GENIUS
    I love Hall and Oates.
    Also the subject of a magnificent Big Train sketch:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zh5f-_I1df4
    I miss Big Train.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    Jonathan said:

    My antenna are picking up a potential bloodbath for Labour. No evidence. All gut and sniffing guff on the Internet. But it could be brutal in three days time.

    I think you could be right.

    I am happy i cashed out a decent profit on Tories LT 399.5
    Bloody hell - you've changed your tune a bit
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,995
    isam said:

    SeanT said:

    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    JonWC said:

    Coldplay fan who also saw them at Wembley.. easily the most impressive show I've ever seen. How many bands can play over twenty songs at a concert?

    Hmm. I think it is a generational thing. I saw your posting and my first thought was if I saw a band that played less than 20 songs I would feel cheated. But most of the bands I watch have been around for decades. Of those I have seen in the last couple of years

    Springsteen regularly does 30 plus songs - 33 when I saw him at Coventry last year
    Fleetwood Mac did 23 at Leeds in 2015
    The Eagles did 27 at Leeds the year before
    ELO did 20 at Nottingham

    Even the young upstarts Suede did 27 at Leeds last year.
    I saw Paul Simon play for almost four hours a few years ago. I didn't count how many songs he sung, but it was a lot.
    I remember going to see Lenny Kravitz Just after the 7/7 bombings and he was on stage for around 3 hours, some of which was just him and his band jamming and doing covers of songs about togetherness and love. It is one of the best gigs I've been to.
    Aren't Grateful Dead the winners of this competition, every time?
    Coz they were all on heroin. Not hard to play for 19 hours if you're totally smacked out (as I can personally attest)

    Surely the question should be: how many good or great songs can you play, i.e. how brilliant is your back catalogue? Most pop stars can only claim one or two famous songs (if they write themselves).

    The acts in a different league can claim a dozen, even two dozen: the Beatles, the Stones, Led Zep, Simon and Garfunkel, Bob Dylan, Elton John, Genesis, the Smiths, Springsteen, Stevie Wonder, the Bee Gees, Abba, the entire Stone Roses first album (and nothing since)

    I struggle to name bands post 1985 because I genuinely think pop music has declined since then, the way Italian painting declined post-Raphael, or English verse drama after Shakespeare.

    There was a golden age of popular music, and it was 1965-1985, maybe 1990 at a push. Art forms are born, they thrive, and then they kind of die - or evolve dramatically into something different.
    Fleetwood Mac, Pink Floyd, Oasis, blur?
    Brian Wilson, too.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,994
    isam said:
    Just continuing what they have long done. The Manchester Central Mosque refused to hold the funeral service for the Abedi last week.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/31/one-manchesters-biggest-mosques-refuses-bury-salman-abedis-body/
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    SeanT said:

    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    JonWC said:

    Coldplay fan who also saw them at Wembley.. easily the most impressive show I've ever seen. How many bands can play over twenty songs at a concert?

    Hmm. I think it is a generational thing. I saw your posting and my first thought was if I saw a band that played less than 20 songs I would feel cheated. But most of the bands I watch have been around for decades. Of those I have seen in the last couple of years

    Springsteen regularly does 30 plus songs - 33 when I saw him at Coventry last year
    Fleetwood Mac did 23 at Leeds in 2015
    The Eagles did 27 at Leeds the year before
    ELO did 20 at Nottingham

    Even the young upstarts Suede did 27 at Leeds last year.
    I saw Paul Simon play for almost four hours a few years ago. I didn't count how many songs he sung, but it was a lot.
    I remember going to see Lenny Kravitz Just after the 7/7 bombings and he was on stage for around 3 hours, some of which was just him and his band jamming and doing covers of songs about togetherness and love. It is one of the best gigs I've been to.
    Aren't Grateful Dead the winners of this competition, every time?
    Coz they were all on heroin. Not hard to play for 19 hours if you're totally smacked out (as I can personally attest)

    Surely the question should be: how many good or great songs can you play, i.e. how brilliant is your back catalogue? Most pop stars can only claim one or two famous songs (if they write themselves).

    The acts in a different league can claim a dozen, even two dozen: the Beatles, the Stones, Led Zep, Simon and Garfunkel, Bob Dylan, Elton John, Genesis, the Smiths, Springsteen, Stevie Wonder, the Bee Gees, Abba, the entire Stone Roses first album (and nothing since)

    I struggle to name bands post 1985 because I genuinely think pop music has declined since then, the way Italian painting declined post-Raphael, or English verse drama after Shakespeare.

    There was a golden age of popular music, and it was 1965-1985, maybe 1990 at a push. Art forms are born, they thrive, and then they kind of die - or evolve dramatically into something different.
    Kasabian are the best stadium band, or festival headliners at the moment. They are great live and know how to put on a show. They are headlining at Reading this August. Worth taking in. I have seen them 4 times, and they too are well known Leicester City Fans. They did a free concert for us on Vicky Park a year ago.

    For the best song about breakup, I would nominate Husker Du's "Don't want to know if you are lonely"

    https://youtu.be/eoKeH7JYE48
  • Options
    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,341

    LucyJones said:

    O/T My older daughter sat her AS Government and Politics earlier today.

    The questions were:

    VOTING BEHAVIOUR

    1) Explain the term Safe seat

    2) Explain reasons for differential turnout between constituencies at General Elections.

    3) 'Voting behaviour at UK General elections is primarily down to the personalities of those seeking office, as opposed to their policies' Discuss

    ELECTORAL SYSTEMS

    1) Explain the term representative democracy

    2) Identify and explain two reasons why David Cameron decided to call the EU Referendum.

    3) 'The use of referendums since 1975 has done little to enhance democracy' Discuss


    I reckon most posters here would be nailed on for an easy "A" with those questions. (No A* grade for AS levels). My daughter thought it pretty easy, too - we'll find out if she did as well as she thought on results day in August.

    I am impressed. That is a good set of questions
    Would "EICIPM" get full marks to the 2nd Q1?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @ScottyNational: #bbcqt : shock for Nicola Sturgeon as she is informed that, unlike at #FMQs , she has to actually answer the questions
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    kle4 said:

    calum said:
    I guess that's more than one more paper supporting an Independent Scotland.
    How shit must Scottish Labour be??
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    HaroldO said:

    What?!

    Question from the audience. If we know who the bad guys are, why do we not intern them?
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    LucyJones said:

    Is there going to be a PB prediction competition this year?

    Seemingly not. Presumably the bookies were all too tight-fisted to come up with a few hundred quids worth of prize money.
    Actually i think with one or two exceptions (eg Betfair), the bookies have put up a pretty disappointing show this time. Oddschecker have been worse still with the result that most of the time one has to do the hard spadework in seeking out betting markets.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,137
    kle4 said:

    Chameleon said:

    That interview was unspeakably bad. Possibly the worst I've ever seen. I've never been a fan of Abbott's even during my most fervent support of Corbyn in the 2015 leadership campaign, but she was so far out of her depth it was unreal. Shit! Shit shit shit.

    Abbott is getting shared a lot on Facebook, seen 3 or 4 videos of her in the past week.
    I do wonder if she might have cost Labour many seats. It's hard to judge, but Corbyn has definitely had a good campaign, I can recall only one media gaffe, whereas she has had loads, and they are often embarrassing, and it must affect some people.
    Even those who are adoring of Corbyn must acknowledge that as a Presidential candidate he would be in a much stronger position than where he is asking to head a Government with Abbott and McDonnell stood by your side.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,205
    Scott_P said:

    HaroldO said:

    What?!

    Question from the audience. If we know who the bad guys are, why do we not intern them?
    It's a fair riposte to the opportunistic shits on the Left who are trying to make political gains out of the attacks.
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    The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979

    isam said:
    Just continuing what they have long done. The Manchester Central Mosque refused to hold the funeral service for the Abedi last week.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/31/one-manchesters-biggest-mosques-refuses-bury-salman-abedis-body/
    That maybe the best way of stopping the religious fanatics who commit atrocities. I have no understanding of the religion but does it leave the dead suicide bombers soul in limbo? I suppose if you were a believer it could be a barrier to doing something nasty.
  • Options
    paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,461
    Scott_P said:

    QT off to a belter...

    "Why don't we have internment?"

    Because BT haven't laid the cables yet?
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,988
    edited June 2017
    @SeanT

    Oasis first two albums were the soundtrack to my generations teen years really. They could just play them plus a couple of B sides and that's two dozen

    blur seem a bit like wankers, but I do like them. I am a bit of a fan so I guess I could name a dozen or so songs I really liked. Their album Think Tank is brilliant, I still listen to it a lot. Tender is a lovely song too

    Paul Weller has done two dozen w various bands/solo I would say. Nowadays I am too old, I barely knew who any of the artists were last night. Little Mix are fit, so is Ariana Grande, but I wouldn't have recognised them in Brentwood High St!
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    ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312
    isam said:
    how many Muslim leaders?
  • Options
    calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    Faith !
This discussion has been closed.