Wayhey, several pairs of XX chromosomes make an appearance. I fear that apart from their mums, some of the lads may not have much experience of talking to the opposite sex.
Lol - Surprised Nicola has been off to Oban though, SNP canvass returns must be showing some real trouble.
Argyll & Bute 2015 result: SNP 44, LD 28, Con 15 YouGov model: SNP 36, Con 27, LD 24 Ashcroft model: SNP 39, Con 31-32, LD 18
Reasonable cushion for Brendan O'Hara on these models.
edit: corrected YouGov figures
It depends on the degree of Unionist tactical voting, which starts with agreeing which party everyone is going to tactically vote for. If they do, and it would probably be the Lib Dems in this seat for historical reasons, I would say Argyll & Bute is winnable for the competition.
That's a health and safety concern on that traffic island. A gust of wind from a large vehicle could have that barchart into the middle of the road. Horrible tories playing with the lives of people.
The Scottish Tory boss recognises Jeremy Corbyn as one of her key assets in this campaign. Many lifelong Labour voters are appalled that such a man is leading their party and cannot bring themselves to cast a vote that could see him become Prime Minister. Here the tightening national polls are useful to Miss Davidson. They act as a warning to those who oppose Corbyn — whether for his extreme views or because he is soft on independence — that he actually could walk into 10 Downing Street next Friday morning.
But no one, not even the terrorist-befriending, Trident-surrendering Mr Corbyn, can recruit first-time Tory voters like Nicola Sturgeon. The SNP leader’s refusal to set side independence and her decision to turn the Scottish Government into a 24/7 separatist campaign hub has infuriated voters who want her to concentrate on their schools and hospitals. Her botched attempt to exploit Brexit to force a second referendum was, for many, the final straw.
Wayhey, several pairs of XX chromosomes make an appearance. I fear that apart from their mums, some of the lads may not have much experience of talking to the opposite sex.
They seem to be standing for the Ruth Davidson party. Perhaps they fancy her... and are likely to be disappointed.
@ScottyNational: News:Using John Swinney's old oil revenue calculator,it's estimated 12bn people attended the pro-Indy rally today,with more to be discovered
Lol - Surprised Nicola has been off to Oban though, SNP canvass returns must be showing some real trouble.
Argyll & Bute 2015 result: SNP 44, LD 28, Con 15 YouGov model: SNP 36, Con 27, LD 24 Ashcroft model: SNP 39, Con 31-32, LD 18
Reasonable cushion for Brendan O'Hara on these models.
edit: corrected YouGov figures
It depends on the degree of Unionist tactical voting, which starts with agreeing which party everyone is going to tactically vote for. If they do, and it would probably be the Lib Dems in this seat for historical reasons, I would say Argyll & Bute is winnable for the competition.
Yeah, if the SCons think that they're polling ahead of the LDs, they're definitely going to want to rollover.
Of course if the LDs want to make it known that they'll take a bullet for the Union..
@ScottyNational: News:Using John Swinney's old oil revenue calculator,it's estimated 12bn people attended the pro-Indy rally today,with more to be discovered
Come on you can post the funny one's from that account that's ok But the shit one's really?
And 91% is true? None of these numbers are accurate. Lots of people of all ages are missing off the registers.
Ofcourse but young people are much more likely to guess they are registred when they are not. Something like 90+% of oldies are registered so the difference between how many oldies estimate they are registered but aren't is going to be a much, much smaller gap.
ICM past weight filter wont help for this group because many of the 18-24 wont even have a history of voting. ICM have to rely on what the young claim they will do.
I am lost, what does "Just getting back to pre-IER levels gets the 18-24s to around 75% registered" mean? What is IER? And doesn't this thing of writing essays on twitter and chopping them up into 10 tweets kind of defeat the purpose?
IER = individual registration I assume
Basically they have a lot of work to do on registration otherwise polls are overstating 18-24
Liar liar the The T May song is number 4 in the charts number ,2 in the I tune down loads.Some going to say it is not been played on radio stations.
People still listen to music via the radio?
The song has been all over my social media feeds. No one under the age of 35 (surely?) is seriously getting their music mainly from radio, so it not being played on their doesn't matter. As long as it's avaliable on Apple Music or Spotify, that's all that matters.
Fox jr just uses Spotify, and I often Spotify too, but I also like BBC 6 Music, Jack FM, and we often have Smooth FM on in our waiting area. The latter drives me mad because the playlist is the same dozen songs!
How about a playlist for the election?
I nominate:
Devil Woman (Cliff Richard) Union Man (the Strawbs) Elected (Alice Cooper) Its a Sin (Pet Shop Boys) Enola Gay (OMD) Cruella De Ville (Disney)
and for the UKIPpers : We've Gotta Get out of this Place (The Animals)
I much prefer Apple Music, but IIRC Spotify is still more popular than Apple Music, but the latter is growing.
Liar liar the The T May song is number 4 in the charts number ,2 in the I tune down loads.Some going to say it is not been played on radio stations.
People still listen to music via the radio?
The song has been all over my social media feeds. No one under the age of 35 (surely?) is seriously getting their music mainly from radio, so it not being played on their doesn't matter. As long as it's avaliable on Apple Music or Spotify, that's all that matters.
Fox jr just uses Spotify, and I often Spotify too, but I also like BBC 6 Music, Jack FM, and we often have Smooth FM on in our waiting area. The latter drives me mad because the playlist is the same dozen songs!
How about a playlist for the election?
I nominate:
Devil Woman (Cliff Richard) Union Man (the Strawbs) Elected (Alice Cooper) Its a Sin (Pet Shop Boys) Enola Gay (OMD) Cruella De Ville (Disney)
and for the UKIPpers : We've Gotta Get out of this Place (The Animals)
I much prefer Apple Music, but IIRC Spotify is still more popular than Apple Music, but the latter is growing.
Are there any Labour supporters prepared to say that (even if they don't think it can possibly happen) that, possibly outside of a Tory landslide, the worst possible scenario for them is A Labour majority. Having to take responsibility for Brexit, with a negotiating position at odds with most of their Brexit supporters, and a totally unaffordable electoral platform which in large part they will feel compelled to deliver? Could be at 10% in the polls within a year?
Change the word Labour to Theresa May and you might be onto something
6% lead? That actually shouldn't lead anyone to bed wet - it's still a majority. Looking at those Election Data figures, the Tory lead, in reality, is probably a few percentage points higher.
Tories lucky though that this election ends in matter of days.
I do wonder how many millions will get into the polling booth pencil in hand paper in front of them going in there with the intention of voting for a party but then changing their mind at the last minute. I could see a lot doing that this election, perhaps a lot of pensioners pissed off with May but can't vote for Corbyn and his soft stance on defence?
Liar liar the The T May song is number 4 in the charts number ,2 in the I tune down loads.Some going to say it is not been played on radio stations.
People still listen to music via the radio?
The song has been all over my social media feeds. No one under the age of 35 (surely?) is seriously getting their music mainly from radio, so it not being played on their doesn't matter. As long as it's avaliable on Apple Music or Spotify, that's all that matters.
Fox jr just uses Spotify, and I often Spotify too, but I also like BBC 6 Music, Jack FM, and we often have Smooth FM on in our waiting area. The latter drives me mad because the playlist is the same dozen songs!
How about a playlist for the election?
I nominate:
Devil Woman (Cliff Richard) Union Man (the Strawbs) Elected (Alice Cooper) Its a Sin (Pet Shop Boys) Enola Gay (OMD) Cruella De Ville (Disney)
and for the UKIPpers : We've Gotta Get out of this Place (The Animals)
I much prefer Apple Music, but IIRC Spotify is still more popular than Apple Music, but the latter is growing.
I haven't heard of Jack FM!
Jack FM is around the Solent. Mandatory on the Wight!
The area I was in was mostly WWC Council house and lower middle class 1930s. Plenty of UKIP and Labour to Blue switching. Very little evidence this is a Labour seat. A more posters for Gavin but very few in total.
Hitchin and Harpenden taking well to their new black MP to be. Rather a change from Peter Lilley I expect.
I think your cut and paste has gone a bit awry - for clarity, Concanvasser was in Luton South, not MarqueeMark!
Thanks Mark! Hope Torbay is as sunny as Bedfordshire today.
Spectacular - the Torbay airshow today - Red Arrows, Lancaster. Spitfire, Hurricane, Typhoon.... How much more of Brexit can you get in the air?
Assuming you meant this Typhoon, not this Typhoon, you couldn't have picked a more Remainian aircraft.
I suspect looking at the rest of the list it was definitely the Hawker version.
I wondered that as well, but if the Wiki article is correct there are no flying airframes extant and no display versions likely to be at the show. Given the Torbay airshow website specifies it's a Typhoon FGR4 http://torbayairshow.com/air-displays/ , it's the Eurofighter jet, not the Hawker prop job.
A pity: the WW2 Typhoon is one of the best aircraft Britain's ever produced, and a good example of the need for a dedicated ground-attack aircraft in close liaison with the infantry.
Failing in my duty in reading over 1000 posts perhaps PBers will take pity on poor JackW as his wallet has today all the numerical confidence of a Diane Abbott economic statement.
Any new polls today and what's the Tory Bedwetting Index?
Failing in my duty in reading over 1000 posts perhaps PBers will take pity on poor JackW as his wallet has today all the numerical confidence of a Diane Abbott economic statement.
Any new polls today and what's the Tory Bedwetting Index?
Lol - Surprised Nicola has been off to Oban though, SNP canvass returns must be showing some real trouble.
Argyll & Bute 2015 result: SNP 44, LD 28, Con 15 YouGov model: SNP 36, Con 27, LD 24 Ashcroft model: SNP 39, Con 31-32, LD 18
Reasonable cushion for Brendan O'Hara on these models.
edit: corrected YouGov figures
It depends on the degree of Unionist tactical voting, which starts with agreeing which party everyone is going to tactically vote for. If they do, and it would probably be the Lib Dems in this seat for historical reasons, I would say Argyll & Bute is winnable for the competition.
(In this seat) I came home from work the other day to find two dodgy bar charts, one from the Lib Dems based on the 2015 election and one from the Tories based on the recent locals, both designed to demonstrate that they were the stronger challenger. My vote will be motivated by Brexit rather than independence though.
Comments
So Tories will reduce tax for the richest.
Con 302
Lab 265
LD 11
SNP 41
Looks good to me...
I fear that apart from their mums, some of the lads may not have much experience of talking to the opposite sex.
A gust of wind from a large vehicle could have that barchart into the middle of the road.
Horrible tories playing with the lives of people.
https://twitter.com/philipjcowley/status/870580007743234048
The key tweet in the thread:
https://twitter.com/philipjcowley/status/870581473455288321
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/03/theresa-may-approval-rating-sinks-as-tory-lead-shrinks-to-six-points?CMP=twt_gu
Worth a punt methinks.
But no one, not even the terrorist-befriending, Trident-surrendering Mr Corbyn, can recruit first-time Tory voters like Nicola Sturgeon. The SNP leader’s refusal to set side independence and her decision to turn the Scottish Government into a 24/7 separatist campaign hub has infuriated voters who want her to concentrate on their schools and hospitals. Her botched attempt to exploit Brexit to force a second referendum was, for many, the final straw.
https://stephendaisley.com/2017/06/03/rebel-with-a-cause/
2015 result: SNP 41, Lab 34, Con 22
YouGov model: Con 39, SNP 35, Lab 23
Ashcroft model: SNP 36, Con 34, Lab 25
The central forecasts for SNP seats are 47 (YouGov), 45-47 (Ashcroft).
Hmmmmmmm
I have not seen what Fallon said directly but from what has been said on here this doesn't seem to gel with the way it is being reported.
Of course if the LDs want to make it known that they'll take a bullet for the Union..
But the shit one's really?
Oh...
And now the reality from real voters:
https://twitter.com/DenisMacShane/status/871019632521605120
Basically they have a lot of work to do on registration otherwise polls are overstating 18-24
I haven't heard of Jack FM!
I haven't heard of Jack FM!
https://twitter.com/stvcolin/status/871024389894098944
Tories lucky though that this election ends in matter of days.
NEW THREAD
Not good for the babyeaters though, and they do have some surprising Lab gains.
A bit of fun to bait the Tories with!
A pity: the WW2 Typhoon is one of the best aircraft Britain's ever produced, and a good example of the need for a dedicated ground-attack aircraft in close liaison with the infantry.
Any new polls today and what's the Tory Bedwetting Index?
I would like that to be true but I am doubtful.