Politicians avoiding the press goes at least back to 2005. I remember a Blair-Brown little speech type event where, afterwards, assorted applauding party hacks formed a ring around them, preventing the media asking questions.
Not saying it's a good thing, but it's certainly not a new thing.
There are only 40 seats where the LibDems are less than 20% behind the winners.
Looking only at Labour seats, there are a couple with very large Remain votes: Cambridge, Bermondsey & Old Southwark, Cardiff Central, Bristol West and Hornsey & Wood Green. Of those, if the LDs were to pick up three or four, that would be a pretty good performance.
Looking at Conservative seats, there are sizeable (i.e. above 55% Remain votes) in Twickenham, Kingston & Surbiton, Cheadle, Cheltenham, Oxford West & Abingdon and Bath... and... errr... that's about it*. The LibDems appear to be stronger in Leave voting Tory seats than Remain ones. That makes pickups from the Conservatives very tough.
So, let's assume that the LibDems win all the Labour Seats where there are big Remain votes and they're less than 20% behind. That's five pickups.
Let's assume every possible Conservative seats. That's another seven (including Lewes).
Let's also give them all four of the vaguely possible SNP seats.
And let's add another two seats which the LibDems remarkably pull out of the hat.
I think any normal person would agree that these are pretty bullish forecasts for the LibDems. And - assuming they keep all their current seats - that puts them on... (drumroll)...
28 seats.
And that's in a "best of all possible worlds" scenario**.
Much more likely they manage three of the five labour seats, two of the Conservative ones, and two SNP ones. We'll give them one for good luck, and assume they hold Richmond and their other seats.
That gets you to 18. And I'm still probably a bit bullish. My range on their seats would be 14 to 18.
* Lewes almost makes the cut, so that's a possible for them too. ** Assuming no total Labour meltdown.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
Practising for when Jeremy Hunt has his appendix out?
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
You shouldn't have been if you are talking about ect for depression; it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does.
It also is not perhaps as you imagine it, it isn't like the beginning of a Frankenstein film with the patient giving off blue sparks.
There are only 40 seats where the LibDems are less than 20% behind the winners.
Looking only at Labour seats, there are a couple with very large Remain votes: Cambridge, Bermondsey & Old Southwark, Cardiff Central, Bristol West and Hornsey & Wood Green. Of those, if the LDs were to pick up three or four, that would be a pretty good performance.
Looking at Conservative seats, there are sizeable (i.e. above 55% Remain votes) in Twickenham, Kingston & Surbiton, Cheadle, Cheltenham, Oxford West & Abingdon and Bath... and... errr... that's about it*. The LibDems appear to be stronger in Leave voting Tory seats than Remain ones. That makes pickups from the Conservatives very tough.
So, let's assume that the LibDems win all the Labour Seats where there are big Remain votes and they're less than 20% behind. That's five pickups.
Let's assume every possible Conservative seats. That's another seven (including Lewes).
Let's also give them all four of the vaguely possible SNP seats.
And let's add another two seats which the LibDems remarkably pull out of the hat.
I think any normal person would agree that these are pretty bullish forecasts for the LibDems. And - assuming they keep all their current seats - that puts them on... (drumroll)...
28 seats.
And that's in a "best of all possible worlds" scenario**.
Much more likely they manage three of the five labour seats, two of the Conservative ones, and two SNP ones. We'll give them one for good luck, and assume they hold Richmond and their other seats.
That gets you to 18. And I'm still probably a bit bullish. My range on their seats would be 14 to 18.
* Lewes almost makes the cut, so that's a possible for them too. ** Assuming no total Labour meltdown.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Are you up for the Battle of Bosworth ?
Yep. It is the best local target.
Not a Lib Dem fan obviously but even I would be glad to see you win if it means getting rid of Tredinnick.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
You shouldn't have been if you are talking about ect for depression; it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does.
It also is not perhaps as you imagine it, it isn't like the beginning of a Frankenstein film with the patient giving off blue sparks.
"it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does."
That isn't what the Gruadian claimed. They said no established benefits.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
Practising for when Jeremy Hunt has his appendix out?
Gove to NHS after election? He'll sort it all out...
There are only 40 seats where the LibDems are less than 20% behind the winners.
Looking only at Labour seats, there are a couple with very large Remain votes: Cambridge, Bermondsey & Old Southwark, Cardiff Central, Bristol West and Hornsey & Wood Green. Of those, if the LDs were to pick up three or four, that would be a pretty good performance.
Looking at Conservative seats, there are sizeable (i.e. above 55% Remain votes) in Twickenham, Kingston & Surbiton, Cheadle, Cheltenham, Oxford West & Abingdon and Bath... and... errr... that's about it*. The LibDems appear to be stronger in Leave voting Tory seats than Remain ones. That makes pickups from the Conservatives very tough.
So, let's assume that the LibDems win all the Labour Seats where there are big Remain votes and they're less than 20% behind. That's five pickups. .... [snip]
I think your logic is faulty here. If I've understood correctly, you're assuming that the LibDems won't win back any seats unless there was a higher-than average Remain vote. I don't think that's at all a valid assumption; the Remain/Leave factor is only one of the relevant considerations. For example, you mention Lewes but not Eastbourne. These are local to me, so I have a reasonable feel for them, and I reckon Eastbourne is probably the more vulnerable to a LibDem regain. Why? Because the 2015 baseline for Lewes was flattered by the huge personal vote for Norman Baker, who is not re-standing. In Eastbourne, in contrast, Stephen Lloyd is re-standing - and he'll be a formidable opponent for Caroline Ansell.
He's awful. Turned into a toddler stamping his feet during the campaign. Refused to go on French Paxman (Jean Jacques Bourdin) unlike the 10 other candidates (even Le Pen was on the other day, and she actually does get overtly negative treatment) because he didn't want to have a hard time.
If he were to scrape through to R2 against Le Pen, I really struggle to see how he could rally the left to support him at this point.
There are only 40 seats where the LibDems are less than 20% behind the winners.
Looking only at Labour seats, there are a couple with very large Remain votes: Cambridge, Bermondsey & Old Southwark, Cardiff Central, Bristol West and Hornsey & Wood Green. Of those, if the LDs were to pick up three or four, that would be a pretty good performance.
Looking at Conservative seats, there are sizeable (i.e. above 55% Remain votes) in Twickenham, Kingston & Surbiton, Cheadle, Cheltenham, Oxford West & Abingdon and Bath... and... errr... that's about it*. The LibDems appear to be stronger in Leave voting Tory seats than Remain ones. That makes pickups from the Conservatives very tough.
So, let's assume that the LibDems win all the Labour Seats where there are big Remain votes and they're less than 20% behind. That's five pickups. .... [snip]
I think your logic is faulty here. If I've understood correctly, you're assuming that the LibDems won't win back any seats unless there was a higher-than average Remain vote. I don't think that's at all a valid assumption; the Remain/Leave factor is only one of the relevant considerations. For example, you mention Lewes but not Eastbourne. These are local to me, so I have a reasonable feel for them, and I reckon Eastbourne is probably the more vulnerable to a LibDem regain. Why? Because the 2015 baseline for Lewes was flattered by the huge personal vote for Norman Baker, who is not re-standing. In Eastbourne, in contrast, Stephen Lloyd is re-standing - and he'll be a formidable opponent for Caroline Ansell.
It is recommended that electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) is used only to achieve rapid and short-term improvement of severe symptoms after an adequate trial of other treatment options has proven ineffective and/or when the condition is considered to be potentially life-threatening, in individuals with:
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
You shouldn't have been if you are talking about ect for depression; it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does.
It also is not perhaps as you imagine it, it isn't like the beginning of a Frankenstein film with the patient giving off blue sparks.
"it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does."
That isn't what the Gruadian claimed. They said no established benefits.
ECT antedates modern clinical trials, so there is thin evidence, but abscence of evidence is not the same as abscence of effect.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
You shouldn't have been if you are talking about ect for depression; it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does.
It also is not perhaps as you imagine it, it isn't like the beginning of a Frankenstein film with the patient giving off blue sparks.
"it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does."
That isn't what the Gruadian claimed. They said no established benefits.
It is recommended that electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) is used only to achieve rapid and short-term improvement of severe symptoms after an adequate trial of other treatment options has proven ineffective and/or when the condition is considered to be potentially life-threatening, in individuals with:
catatonia
a prolonged or severe manic episode.
I don't think you should post details of TSE's "episode" and treatment in the hours after Osborne announced he was standing down yesterday afternoon.
1.10.4.1 Consider ECT for acute treatment of severe depression that is life‑threatening and when a rapid response is required, or when other treatments have failed.
1.10.4.2 Do not use ECT routinely for people with moderate depression but consider it if their depression has not responded to multiple drug treatments and psychological treatment.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
You shouldn't have been if you are talking about ect for depression; it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does.
It also is not perhaps as you imagine it, it isn't like the beginning of a Frankenstein film with the patient giving off blue sparks.
"it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does."
That isn't what the Gruadian claimed. They said no established benefits.
ECT antedates modern clinical trials, so there is thin evidence, but abscence of evidence is not the same as abscence of effect.
I think I would prefer there was some proper clinical trials. For most modern treatments in order to get NCE approval the barrier is sensibly set to require a certain level of benefit.
Cannot understand the praise being heaped on Douglas Carswell and Gisela Stuart today.
From where I'm standing, they've led the country down a dark path, and are running away before the consequences become known. If they really believe this is right for Britain they should stay and make it happen and take the credit / blame properly.
I'm sure they are both decent constituency MPs, and I've always admired Douglas Carswell's views on democracy (other than the EU) but this comes across as running scared from any accountability for what they've done.
Cannot understand the praise being heaped on Douglas Carswell and Gisela Stuart today.
From where I'm standing, they've led the country down a dark path, and are running away before the consequences become known. If they really believe this is right for Britain they should stay and make it happen and take the credit / blame properly.
I'm sure they are both decent constituency MPs, and I've always admired Douglas Carswell's views on democracy (other than the EU) but this comes across as running scared from any accountability for what they've done.
Not a surprise really. God alone knows why this has to be seven weeks, or is it do with getting FTPA vote through?
The latter, I think. Had Corbyn not been so co-operative and had May chosen to go down the VoNC route, it would have been a fairly tight timescale to hit a June 8 election.
There are only 40 seats where the LibDems are less than 20% behind the winners.
Looking only at Labour seats, there are a couple with very large Remain votes: Cambridge, Bermondsey & Old Southwark, Cardiff Central, Bristol West and Hornsey & Wood Green. Of those, if the LDs were to pick up three or four, that would be a pretty good performance.
Looking at Conservative seats, there are sizeable (i.e. above 55% Remain votes) in Twickenham, Kingston & Surbiton, Cheadle, Cheltenham, Oxford West & Abingdon and Bath... and... errr... that's about it*. The LibDems appear to be stronger in Leave voting Tory seats than Remain ones. That makes pickups from the Conservatives very tough.
So, let's assume that the LibDems win all the Labour Seats where there are big Remain votes and they're less than 20% behind. That's five pickups. .... [snip]
I think your logic is faulty here. If I've understood correctly, you're assuming that the LibDems won't win back any seats unless there was a higher-than average Remain vote. I don't think that's at all a valid assumption; the Remain/Leave factor is only one of the relevant considerations. For example, you mention Lewes but not Eastbourne. These are local to me, so I have a reasonable feel for them, and I reckon Eastbourne is probably the more vulnerable to a LibDem regain. Why? Because the 2015 baseline for Lewes was flattered by the huge personal vote for Norman Baker, who is not re-standing. In Eastbourne, in contrast, Stephen Lloyd is re-standing - and he'll be a formidable opponent for Caroline Ansell.
OK. Let's look at Labour seats where the LDs are less than 20% behind:
Cambridge (26.5% Leave) Burnley (66.7%) Bermondsey & Old Southwark (27.0%) Cardiff Central (30.4%) Birmingham Yardley (61.3%) Bristol West (20.4%) Horney & Wood Green (18.5%)
That's only SEVEN seats where the LDs are less than 20% behind a winning Labour Party. Five are good targets, the other two are big Leave areas where the 'overthrow the referendum' policy is unlikely to be a vote winner.
Eastbourne was 57.6% Leave. Could it go LibDem? Sure. There's a strong local presence, etc. But there's a big UKIP vote for the Tories to squeeze, and the Conservative Party is up significantly from 2015. If the LibDems get their vote share up to 18-19%, then - sure - Eastbourne is a fair bet. But at the 15-16% that I'm expecting, I think they'll struggle.
Cannot understand the praise being heaped on Douglas Carswell and Gisela Stuart today.
From where I'm standing, they've led the country down a dark path, and are running away before the consequences become known. If they really believe this is right for Britain they should stay and make it happen and take the credit / blame properly.
I'm sure they are both decent constituency MPs, and I've always admired Douglas Carswell's views on democracy (other than the EU) but this comes across as running scared from any accountability for what they've done.
So what sort of contest do people want? One winnable by corbyn obv but what specific format meets that criterion? Scissors stone paper perhaps, with the option to extend to best of 3 after he inevitably cocks up the first round.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
You shouldn't have been if you are talking about ect for depression; it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does.
It also is not perhaps as you imagine it, it isn't like the beginning of a Frankenstein film with the patient giving off blue sparks.
"it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does."
That isn't what the Gruadian claimed. They said no established benefits.
ECT antedates modern clinical trials, so there is thin evidence, but abscence of evidence is not the same as abscence of effect.
I think I would prefer there was some proper clinical trials. For most modern treatments in order to get NCE approval the barrier is sensibly set to require a certain level of benefit.
@WillBLC: @PickardJE May at PMQs (19/04): "Free press underpins our democracy" May campaigning (20/04): "Sorry no press allowed" #GeneralElection #GE2017
Too frit to debate other leaders. Too frit to face the press.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
Practising for when Jeremy Hunt has his appendix out?
Gove to NHS after election? He'll sort it all out...
One underconsidered aspect of all this is that if the Conservatives win, there'll likely be another reshuffle.
The SNP leader recently made a taxpayer-funded trip to the US. It was a lavish affair in which she posed with Hillary Clinton,spoke at the UN and Stanford and pressed all the right progressive buttons for a centre-left audience back home.
There were secret meetings that Sturgeon’s public relations handlers – paid for by the taxpayer – were less keen to publicise, however.
I understand that those meetings were with Blackrock, the finance giant which coincidentally pays George Osborne over £600,000 a year for one day’s work per week. She also held a meeting with the vice-chairman of Morgan Stanley, I’m told.
Now, of course she should meet senior financiers, and a trip with Scotland’s Aberdeen Asset Management was highlighted online at the time. What is intriguing is that these other Wall Street meetings with financial service companies were not. It is almost as though they don’t quite fit with Sturgeon’s progressive image aimed at her left of centre base in the West of Scotland.
The First Minister’s spokesman would not confirm or deny the meetings to place, saying only that there were meetings with “stakeholders” that were “not media-facing.” Not media-facing! What a euphemism.
Not a surprise really. God alone knows why this has to be seven weeks, or is it do with getting FTPA vote through?
My recollection of June 1983 was the election was called the Monday after the local election results in early May. I presume had something unexpected happened, the Conservatives could have held back but it was pretty much assumed the election would be called if the local elections were as strong for the Conservatives as the polls suggested (which they were).
OK. Let's look at Labour seats where the LDs are less than 20% behind:
Cambridge (26.5% Leave) Burnley (66.7%) Bermondsey & Old Southwark (27.0%) Cardiff Central (30.4%) Birmingham Yardley (61.3%) Bristol West (20.4%) Horney & Wood Green (18.5%)
That's only SEVEN seats where the LDs are less than 20% behind a winning Labour Party. Five are good targets, the other two are big Leave areas where the 'overthrow the referendum' policy is unlikely to be a vote winner.
Eastbourne was 57.6% Leave. Could it go LibDem? Sure. There's a strong local presence, etc. But there's a big UKIP vote for the Tories to squeeze, and the Conservative Party is up significantly from 2015. If the LibDems get their vote share up to 18-19%, then - sure - Eastbourne is a fair bet. But at the 15-16% that I'm expecting, I think they'll struggle.
Certainly a high UKIP 2015 vote is a factor of comfort to the Tories in seats like Eastbourne.
Reference the Independent story, it will be truly hilarious if Corbyn refuses to resign after reducing Labour to a rump of (say) 150.
Hard to believe a party leader would stay after such an appalling electoral defeat. But while there’s still the odd Blairite MP clinging on after GE2017, Corbyn will feel it his duty to lose the lot.
@WillBLC: @PickardJE May at PMQs (19/04): "Free press underpins our democracy" May campaigning (20/04): "Sorry no press allowed" #GeneralElection #GE2017
Too frit to debate other leaders. Too frit to face the press.
Apart from the fact she did a radio interview with a BBC journalist yesterday.
Who was the last PM with a working majority who called a general election three years early ?
Depends what you mean by 'working majority' TMay's majority is smaller than Major's after 1992 and that wasn't a working one. Wilson called one in 1966 and Attlee in 1951, both of whom had majorities only fractionally smaller than May's.
More recently, Gordon Brown very nearly called an election at about the same point in the parliament and for much the same reason: to win his own mandate and to capitalise on the polls.
Shadsys 10-20 LD seats at 11/4 is great value. I agree with your logic. Bosworth is possible too, the LDs held up well here in 2015 and Tredinnick is the Tory MP and widely disliked. Still uphill though.
Lots of strong second places to build on too.
Treddinick is an embarassment to parliament, the Conservative Party and the country.
Is he the homeopathy nutter?
I amazed to read in the Gruadian the other day the NHS is increasingly using electric shock treatment.
You shouldn't have been if you are talking about ect for depression; it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does.
It also is not perhaps as you imagine it, it isn't like the beginning of a Frankenstein film with the patient giving off blue sparks.
"it is universally acknowledged that it can work when nothing else does."
That isn't what the Gruadian claimed. They said no established benefits.
ECT antedates modern clinical trials, so there is thin evidence, but abscence of evidence is not the same as abscence of effect.
I think I would prefer there was some proper clinical trials. For most modern treatments in order to get NCE approval the barrier is sensibly set to require a certain level of benefit.
@WillBLC: @PickardJE May at PMQs (19/04): "Free press underpins our democracy" May campaigning (20/04): "Sorry no press allowed" #GeneralElection #GE2017
Too frit to debate other leaders. Too frit to face the press.
How is believing in a free press and not talking to the aforementioned free press a volte-face?
Bunch of sulking journos.
[she does need to get talk to them more than she is, but the comparison being drawn in that tweet is just BS]
So what sort of contest do people want? One winnable by corbyn obv but what specific format meets that criterion? Scissors stone paper perhaps, with the option to extend to best of 3 after he inevitably cocks up the first round.
He'd probably let slip that he always goes for paper.
Comments
Not saying it's a good thing, but it's certainly not a new thing.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/feb/25/astrology-help-nhs-claim-conservative-mp-david-tredinnick
He also asked a question in the House of Commons about that well known drug 'Cake'.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MIAJemmO-bg
Bad Puns .... Worse History Information .... Shocking Musical References .....Terrible Fashion Advice
It also is not perhaps as you imagine it, it isn't like the beginning of a Frankenstein film with the patient giving off blue sparks.
That isn't what the Gruadian claimed. They said no established benefits.
If he were to scrape through to R2 against Le Pen, I really struggle to see how he could rally the left to support him at this point.
https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ta59
Never underestimate a Blundell
1. Electro shock therapy for mental illness, which is extreme but effective
2. Electro shock treatment of pain, which is probably just a placebo.
catatonia
a prolonged or severe manic episode.
Mr. Eagles, I see you're suffering delusions of historical knowledge again.
https://twitter.com/JournoStephen/status/854795486515126272
cites a recent study saying effective in 91% of cases. It says no established explanation for why it works which is not the same thing.
https://twitter.com/undefined/status/854731569860403200
1.10.4 Electroconvulsive therapy (ECT)
1.10.4.1 Consider ECT for acute treatment of severe depression that is life‑threatening and when a rapid response is required, or when other treatments have failed.
1.10.4.2 Do not use ECT routinely for people with moderate depression but consider it if their depression has not responded to multiple drug treatments and psychological treatment.
From where I'm standing, they've led the country down a dark path, and are running away before the consequences become known. If they really believe this is right for Britain they should stay and make it happen and take the credit / blame properly.
I'm sure they are both decent constituency MPs, and I've always admired Douglas Carswell's views on democracy (other than the EU) but this comes across as running scared from any accountability for what they've done.
https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/a-letter-to-david-miliband
'tis madness, surely?
Cambridge (26.5% Leave)
Burnley (66.7%)
Bermondsey & Old Southwark (27.0%)
Cardiff Central (30.4%)
Birmingham Yardley (61.3%)
Bristol West (20.4%)
Horney & Wood Green (18.5%)
That's only SEVEN seats where the LDs are less than 20% behind a winning Labour Party. Five are good targets, the other two are big Leave areas where the 'overthrow the referendum' policy is unlikely to be a vote winner.
Eastbourne was 57.6% Leave. Could it go LibDem? Sure. There's a strong local presence, etc. But there's a big UKIP vote for the Tories to squeeze, and the Conservative Party is up significantly from 2015. If the LibDems get their vote share up to 18-19%, then - sure - Eastbourne is a fair bet. But at the 15-16% that I'm expecting, I think they'll struggle.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18580559
May campaigning (20/04): "Sorry no press allowed"
#GeneralElection #GE2017
Too frit to debate other leaders. Too frit to face the press.
And one, famously, didn't.......
Reference the Independent story, it will be truly hilarious if Corbyn refuses to resign after reducing Labour to a rump of (say) 150.
The SNP leader recently made a taxpayer-funded trip to the US. It was a lavish affair in which she posed with Hillary Clinton,spoke at the UN and Stanford and pressed all the right progressive buttons for a centre-left audience back home.
There were secret meetings that Sturgeon’s public relations handlers – paid for by the taxpayer – were less keen to publicise, however.
I understand that those meetings were with Blackrock, the finance giant which coincidentally pays George Osborne over £600,000 a year for one day’s work per week. She also held a meeting with the vice-chairman of Morgan Stanley, I’m told.
Now, of course she should meet senior financiers, and a trip with Scotland’s Aberdeen Asset Management was highlighted online at the time. What is intriguing is that these other Wall Street meetings with financial service companies were not. It is almost as though they don’t quite fit with Sturgeon’s progressive image aimed at her left of centre base in the West of Scotland.
The First Minister’s spokesman would not confirm or deny the meetings to place, saying only that there were meetings with “stakeholders” that were “not media-facing.”
Not media-facing! What a euphemism.
https://reaction.life/nicola-sturgeon-secret-wall-street-meetings-blackrock-morgan-stanley/
Same happened in 1987 as well.
Bollocks, I know, but...
More recently, Gordon Brown very nearly called an election at about the same point in the parliament and for much the same reason: to win his own mandate and to capitalise on the polls.
Meanwhile... in Jezza's blueprint for the UK..
Bunch of sulking journos.
[she does need to get talk to them more than she is, but the comparison being drawn in that tweet is just BS]
'All her experience of farming is that she was once ploughed by a Field'.