A Tory 7% lead would be a swing of 0.2% from Lab to Con since May 2015. They would gain one seat - Chester - without any account being taken of first time incumbency.
But you don't think the Tories will impose a three line whip with threats of deselection to get the boundaries through?
As double acts go Wishart and Nicolson are less Montrose and MacEwen than Abbott and Costello. Wishart, a walking snarl, is the former keyboard player in Runrig whose greatest achievement as an MP is being the former keyboard player in Runrig. A BBC broadcaster whose career stalled — columnist Euan McColm memorably compared him to “an Eddie Mair tribute act playing matinees at Pontins” — Nicolson changed tack and went into politics, entering Parliament in 2015.
Hmmm, the CDU may prefer the SDP but what about the CSU? They have been increasingly warming to the AfD - which means there's no guarantee that a grand coalition will have a majority, if the CSU decide they've had enough.
They won't. The CSU are like the Tory right - they grumble loudly from time to time, but they never actually defect, unless you count Carswell and Powell.
Comments
As double acts go Wishart and Nicolson are less Montrose and MacEwen than Abbott and Costello. Wishart, a walking snarl, is the former keyboard player in Runrig whose greatest achievement as an MP is being the former keyboard player in Runrig. A BBC broadcaster whose career stalled — columnist Euan McColm memorably compared him to “an Eddie Mair tribute act playing matinees at Pontins” — Nicolson changed tack and went into politics, entering Parliament in 2015.
https://stephendaisley.com/2017/02/04/snp-tried-to-silence-me-and-their-freedom-to-bully-vilify-and-malign-is-a-chilling-glimpse-of-one-party-scotland/
Or been silenced......