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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on whether or not we’ll have another EU referendum bef

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  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    Terrible question:

    Because David Cameron thought it would be a good idea to put our EU membership to the public.

    Next inane question please.

    You didn't answer the question, but did prove my point :smile:
    I did answer the question. 'Why would anyone trigger article 50'? 'Because David Cameron held a referendum'. Question and answer.

    Also didn't prove your point as answering your question is not outrage.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    I did answer the question. 'Why would anyone trigger article 50'? 'Because David Cameron held a referendum'. Question and answer.

    That wasn't the question asked. Want another go?
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,014
    Jonathan said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    malcolmg said:

    Arguably Trump won't care that his ban has been (temporarily) overturned. It just all feeds into his narrative...

    He has achieved his goal, met his campaign promise only to be thwarted by those liberal lefties, win win for him.
    The ban hasn't been overturned has it? Just the subsequent deportations. So anyone not in the country still can't come, and anyone already there is stuck in limbo.
    Trump's (temporary) ban is clumsy, messy and possibly counterproductive. But there's a lot of liberal overreaction. Carter banned all Iranians, I think. And Shia? Obama banned Iraqis. And of course Obama has been bombing and droning Muslims for eight years. A drone on your head is a LOT messier than a 90 day wait for a visa.

    Yet I don't recall Le tout Manhattan marching on the White House when Obama hit the drone button time and again.
    To be fair, IIRC neither Carter nor Obama’s bans affected people in transit http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-38786119
    Certainly not at a moments notice.
    Yes, that's one area where the ban was clumsy. Deliberately? Who knows.

    Almost certainly. He wanted to turn the outrage dial up to 11 and give his support some meat. The problem is this time, outside of the campaign, real innocent people get squished.
    AIUI, accidentally hurting the innocent has been part of Trumps business progress.
  • Options
    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    SeanT said:

    John_M said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Scott_P said:

    Good question

    @jimkillock: Why on earth would anyone sane trigger Article 50 in the midst of this emerging global diplomatic motorway pile up?

    Cue outrage from the headbangers...

    Not so much a good question as a new benchmark for whataboutery.
    Or indeed when there is an "r" in the month. Or not....
    We have long had elements of the SNP who feel a stiff breeze justifies a second independence referendum. We now have the English subspecies, where every geopolitical or economic frisson demands Brexit be reconsidered. We just have to accept that this will remain the state of affairs ad nauseam.

    I went to bed extremely exercised by Trump's idiocy. This morning, I'm more inclined to think he's already running up against the constitutional limits of government via XO.
    For those criticising Theresa May I'm really not sure David Cameron would have done anything differently re Trump. Brexit or no Brexit. The UK always has to accommodate the USA. America is the leading military power in the world, the biggest economic power in the world (alongside China). It's our chief intelligence and security ally. It's the arsenal of the West. The guarantor of European freedom.

    Short of an American Mao becoming POTUS, British PMs, Labour or Tory, will go to Washington looking for close friendship. And offering flattery and praise.

    TMay did what she had to do and she did it well.
    Yes, I'll repeat what I posted last night. Those who think May should have temporised about visiting our #1 military partner, #1 intelligence partner, #1 bilateral investment partner and #1 export market are fuckwits halfwits.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    John_M said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Scott_P said:

    Good question

    @jimkillock: Why on earth would anyone sane trigger Article 50 in the midst of this emerging global diplomatic motorway pile up?

    Cue outrage from the headbangers...

    Not so much a good question as a new benchmark for whataboutery.
    Or indeed when there is an "r" in the month. Or not....
    We have long had elements of the SNP who feel a stiff breeze justifies a second independence referendum. We now have the English subspecies, where every geopolitical or economic frisson demands Brexit be reconsidered. We just have to accept that this will remain the state of affairs ad nauseam.

    I went to bed extremely exercised by Trump's idiocy. This morning, I'm more inclined to think he's already running up against the constitutional limits of government via XO.
    For those criticising Theresa May I'm really not sure David Cameron would have done anything differently re Trump. Brexit or no Brexit. The UK always has to accommodate the USA. America is the leading military power in the world, the biggest economic power in the world (alongside China). It's our chief intelligence and security ally. It's the arsenal of the West. The guarantor of European freedom.

    Short of an American Mao becoming POTUS, British PMs, Labour or Tory, will go to Washington looking for close friendship. And offering flattery and praise.

    TMay did what she had to do and she did it well.
    I don't criticise Theresa May. She did what she had to. But she had to do what she had to do because of Brexit. Britain is in a strategically awful position and she's out of options.
    No. Brexit is irrelevant. Imagine if we hadn't Brexited, how would PM Cameron have reacted to Trump? He'd have decided - in the interests of Britain and the west, it's best to go over there asap, flatter him, praise him, and subtly try and get him to see the merits of NATO, tone it down on torture. And so on.

    Which is exactly what TMay did.

    The idea that a British PM would ever ignore or criticize a new POTUS is daft.
    Correct:

    http://tinyurl.com/m5zlrpg
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,829
    Morning PB.

    Much happening? ;)
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Steven_Swinford: What a difference 24 hours makes. Government now hugely critical of Donald Trump's 'divisive' immigration ban #marr

    @DPJHodges: One thing this saga shows is inexperience of Theresa May's team. Totally blindsided by immigration announcement.
  • Options
    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    malcolmg said:

    Arguably Trump won't care that his ban has been (temporarily) overturned. It just all feeds into his narrative...

    He has achieved his goal, met his campaign promise only to be thwarted by those liberal lefties, win win for him.
    The ban hasn't been overturned has it? Just the subsequent deportations. So anyone not in the country still can't come, and anyone already there is stuck in limbo.
    Trump's (temporary) ban is clumsy, messy and possibly counterproductive. But there's a lot of liberal overreaction. Carter banned all Iranians, I think. And Shia? Obama banned Iraqis. And of course Obama has been bombing and droning Muslims for eight years. A drone on your head is a LOT messier than a 90 day wait for a visa.

    Yet I don't recall Le tout Manhattan marching on the White House when Obama hit the drone button time and again.
    I think that's fair. I also wonder if he knew it was likely unconstitutional in parts (i.e. those people issued valid US visas), and he wanted it to get struck down by the Supreme Court, so he could turn to his base and say "fucking elites, stopping me from protecting our country".

    On the other hand, there's a steady drip-drip of him alienating a few of his supporters at a time. There will be thousands, maybe tens of thousands of people who voted for him and have a friend who falls under these categories, and think "whoahhh... that's a bit much".

    The thing that may come back to haunt him on this, of course, is that the countries terrorists who have attacked the US come from are:

    Saudi Arabia (2,369 US citizens killed)
    UAE (314)
    Egypt (162)
    Lebanon (159)

    While the number of terrorist attacks carried out by Iranians (0), Yemeni (0), Sudan (0) and Libya (0).

    It looks awfully like the US ban is more about business interests than preventing actual terrorists from going to the US.

    (On the other hand, in Toulouse they must be high-fiving. That $17bn order for Boeing planes is surely soon going to be going to Airbus instead.)
    I agree - Trump is engaging in the modern day equivalent of blitzkrieg on his liberal enemies. Remember Mexico and the wall ? - yesterday's news - as today's federal injunction takes over. Soon the liberals will have so many protests to go to they won't be able to stop the real smaller changes that Trump wants to happen and will get through.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,014
    Scott_P said:

    @Steven_Swinford: What a difference 24 hours makes. Government now hugely critical of Donald Trump's 'divisive' immigration ban #marr

    @DPJHodges: One thing this saga shows is inexperience of Theresa May's team. Totally blindsided by immigration announcement.

    In other words, T May knew nothing whatsoever about it 10 minutes before it was done. Surely Trump would have mentioned it.

    If, of course, he’d thought it about 10 minutes before he did it!
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    SeanT said:



    I don't criticise Theresa May. She did what she had to. But she had to do what she had to do because of Brexit. Britain is in a strategically awful position and she's out of options.

    No. Brexit is irrelevant. Imagine if we hadn't Brexited, how would PM Cameron have reacted to Trump? He'd have decided - in the interests of Britain and the west, it's best to go over there asap, flatter him, praise him, and subtly try and get him to see the merits of NATO, tone it down on torture. And so on.

    Which is exactly what TMay did.

    The idea that a British PM would ever ignore or criticize a new POTUS is daft.
    A week ago we were being assured by Leavers that Theresa May being first to meet Donald Trump was a diplomatic coup (it was, incidentally). Now we are being told by Leavers that it would always have been an imperative for any British Prime Minister (it wouldn't, incidentally). The correct response of a Britain still in the EU would have been to obtain public assurances of Donald Trump's commitment to NATO before visiting. No public criticism would have been required but the public anointing could have been withheld, pending establishing whether his intentions were friendly.

    With Europe divided, Donald Trump can divide and rule, and is doing so. A united EU could have given him more pause for thought about the US's responsibilities in the region. One of the many malign consequences of Brexit.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,914
    edited January 2017

    Sandpit said:


    Yes, that's a common complaint. We see it a lot in IT, people who maybe be brilliant at building a server or developing software, but lacking in many of the other vital skills required of someone working in corporate IT - whether it be communication, troubleshooting, soft people skills or the standard office-worker skills of turning up on time, having had a shower and being appropriately dressed!

    Now a large company might be able to keep a genius in their IT team who can't talk to people, but unless there's a load of others keeping between him and the business, it's not going to work out. Schools teaching Comp Sci and the like need to concentrate on employable skills as much as the technical ones, else their graduates are going to struggle in the real world.

    Novartis, where I used to work (lovely, patient, tolerant employers in my experience) did have a grumpy, arrogant genius in IT, and an insane manager put him into customer support, where he would say things to callers like "Have you even switched your computer on, you moron?" He was hastily taken off that but still stayed on for a while, until he greeted a delegation of directors visiting the IT centre by asking "Don't these arseholes have anything better to do than waste our time?" A polite enquiry to IT management as to whether this was typical and whether his presence was really essential led to his early retirement...

    (Personally I thought being rude to hapless users seeking help was actually worse than being rude to directors.)
    LOL that's brilliant.

    Most recent graduates don't understand that for a sysadmin role the entry level is the helpdesk (or Service Desk as ITIL now likes to call it). People skills and documentation are at least as important in that role as the technical skills of course, yet frequently neither have been trained at all!
  • Options
    rcs1000 said:


    I think that's fair. I also wonder if he knew it was likely unconstitutional in parts (i.e. those people issued valid US visas), and he wanted it to get struck down by the Supreme Court, so he could turn to his base and say "fucking elites, stopping me from protecting our country".
    [...]

    Basically this was all told to him when he floated the proposals ~6 months or so ago; that the proposed treatment of certain groups including those with green cards, would be hugely problematic in the courts; but they could be dropped easily enough from the scope of the order.

    So (not for the first or last time) ... what is Trump's plan here?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    I agree - Trump is engaging in the modern day equivalent of blitzkrieg on his liberal enemies. Remember Mexico and the wall ? - yesterday's news - as today's federal injunction takes over. Soon the liberals will have so many protests to go to they won't be able to stop the real smaller changes that Trump wants to happen and will get through.

    That is certainly one possibility. As someone said yesterday, he has released hundreds of rabbits, and "liberals" are chasing all of them.

    It's also possible having successfully launched Blitzkrieg on the low countries, he has now launched Operation Barbarossa without preparing for Winter...
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    Jobabob said:

    On topic, I'm with Mr Eagles on this one: in fact I would be amazed if there were another national (as opposed to local) referendum in the U.K. in my lifetime.

    There will be no more UK wide referendums - the one good consequence of the Brexit vote. We are a representative democracy, and the EU referendum should never been allowed to happen.
    And saying that will KILL Labour's remaining vote.

    "You're too stupid to vote". Keep shouting it from the rooftops...

    (BTW - A Clough back at the City Ground? Looks likely.....)
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,829

    Scott_P said:

    @Steven_Swinford: What a difference 24 hours makes. Government now hugely critical of Donald Trump's 'divisive' immigration ban #marr

    @DPJHodges: One thing this saga shows is inexperience of Theresa May's team. Totally blindsided by immigration announcement.

    In other words, T May knew nothing whatsoever about it 10 minutes before it was done. Surely Trump would have mentioned it.

    If, of course, he’d thought it about 10 minutes before he did it!
    Hasn't he been campaigning about doing this for months? Not sure why anyone is surprised and surely governments (including the UK) should have been prepared?

    Maybe they just didn't think he'd actually do it?
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    John_M said:

    SeanT said:

    John_M said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Scott_P said:

    Good question

    @jimkillock: Why on earth would anyone sane trigger Article 50 in the midst of this emerging global diplomatic motorway pile up?

    Cue outrage from the headbangers...

    Not so much a good question as a new benchmark for whataboutery.
    Or indeed when there is an "r" in the month. Or not....
    We have long had elements of the SNP who feel a stiff breeze justifies a second independence referendum. We now have the English subspecies, where every geopolitical or economic frisson demands Brexit be reconsidered. We just have to accept that this will remain the state of affairs ad nauseam.

    I went to bed extremely exercised by Trump's idiocy. This morning, I'm more inclined to think he's already running up against the constitutional limits of government via XO.
    For those criticising Theresa May I'm really not sure David Cameron would have done anything differently re Trump. Brexit or no Brexit. The UK always has to accommodate the USA. America is the leading military power in the world, the biggest economic power in the world (alongside China). It's our chief intelligence and security ally. It's the arsenal of the West. The guarantor of European freedom.

    Short of an American Mao becoming POTUS, British PMs, Labour or Tory, will go to Washington looking for close friendship. And offering flattery and praise.

    TMay did what she had to do and she did it well.
    Yes, I'll repeat what I posted last night. Those who think May should have temporised about visiting our #1 military partner, #1 intelligence partner, #1 bilateral investment partner and #1 export market are fuckwits halfwits.
    China, Germany and Japan all down the toilet now of course because they didn't do the lapdog impression.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,014
    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @Steven_Swinford: What a difference 24 hours makes. Government now hugely critical of Donald Trump's 'divisive' immigration ban #marr

    @DPJHodges: One thing this saga shows is inexperience of Theresa May's team. Totally blindsided by immigration announcement.

    In other words, T May knew nothing whatsoever about it 10 minutes before it was done. Surely Trump would have mentioned it.

    If, of course, he’d thought it about 10 minutes before he did it!
    Hasn't he been campaigning about doing this for months? Not sure why anyone is surprised and surely governments (including the UK) should have been prepared?

    Maybe they just didn't think he'd actually do it?
    See The White Rabbit’s post.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PickardJE: Farron quotes Art of the Deal": "He says the best time for you to make a deal is when the other guy is desperate, and she looked desperate."
  • Options

    Scott_P said:

    @Steven_Swinford: What a difference 24 hours makes. Government now hugely critical of Donald Trump's 'divisive' immigration ban #marr

    @DPJHodges: One thing this saga shows is inexperience of Theresa May's team. Totally blindsided by immigration announcement.

    In other words, T May knew nothing whatsoever about it 10 minutes before it was done. Surely Trump would have mentioned it.

    If, of course, he’d thought it about 10 minutes before he did it!

    But she did know about it on Friday. And it has taken until now to frame a response, having at first fixed on a policy of no respoinse. That is weak.

  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,989
    Mr. Meeks, if the EU hadn't decided it wanted to be a political body moving ever closer towards nationhood and had remained a trade body, we'd still be in. We didn't leave because we dislike trade or Europe, we left because we voted to join a trading bloc and found the boiled frog technique was being used to transform it into a country without any permission from the electorate.

    If Europe is disunited, the cause is the deceit of the EU.

    I do wonder how Cameron feels, shunning the alleged offer of Juncker for an associate membership because he wanted to 'permanently dock' the UK in the EU. Worked about as well as Blair's plan to kill Scottish nationalism stone dead with devolution.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    Scott_P said:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_lie#Goebbels.27s_use_of_the_expression

    "The essential English leadership secret does not depend on particular intelligence. Rather, it depends on a remarkably stupid thick-headedness. The English follow the principle that when one lies, one should lie big, and stick to it. They keep up their lies, even at the risk of looking ridiculous."

    - Goebbels

    https://twitter.com/MichaelPDeacon/status/747000584226607104/photo/1
    That Goebbels quote is a tad harsh on Osborne's Referendum strategy.

    Only a tad, mind.
  • Options
    Jonathan said:

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    malcolmg said:

    Arguably Trump won't care that his ban has been (temporarily) overturned. It just all feeds into his narrative...

    He has achieved his goal, met his campaign promise only to be thwarted by those liberal lefties, win win for him.
    The ban hasn't been overturned has it? Just the subsequent deportations. So anyone not in the country still can't come, and anyone already there is stuck in limbo.
    Trump's (temporary) ban is clumsy, messy and possibly counterproductive. But there's a lot of liberal overreaction. Carter banned all Iranians, I think. And Shia? Obama banned Iraqis. And of course Obama has been bombing and droning Muslims for eight years. A drone on your head is a LOT messier than a 90 day wait for a visa.

    Yet I don't recall Le tout Manhattan marching on the White House when Obama hit the drone button time and again.
    Trump is discovering the difference between governing and campaigning. Will the malignant narcissist adapt?
    Thank goodness HMG have decided to wait and see if Don can evolve.
  • Options
    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    edited January 2017
    Jonathan said:

    John_M said:

    SeanT said:

    John_M said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Scott_P said:

    Good question

    @jimkillock: Why on earth would anyone sane trigger Article 50 in the midst of this emerging global diplomatic motorway pile up?

    Cue outrage from the headbangers...

    Not so much a good question as a new benchmark for whataboutery.
    Or indeed when there is an "r" in the month. Or not....
    We have long had elements of the SNP who feel a stiff breeze justifies a second independence referendum. We now have the English subspecies, where every geopolitical or economic frisson demands Brexit be reconsidered. We just have to accept that this will remain the state of affairs ad nauseam.

    I went to bed extremely exercised by Trump's idiocy. This morning, I'm more inclined to think he's already running up against the constitutional limits of government via XO.
    For those criticising Theresa May I'm really not sure David Cameron would have done anything differently re Trump. Brexit or no Brexit. The UK always has to accommodate the USA. America is the leading military power in the world, the biggest economic power in the world (alongside China). It's our chief intelligence and security ally. It's the arsenal of the West. The guarantor of European freedom.

    Short of an American Mao becoming POTUS, British PMs, Labour or Tory, will go to Washington looking for close friendship. And offering flattery and praise.

    TMay did what she had to do and she did it well.
    Yes, I'll repeat what I posted last night. Those who think May should have temporised about visiting our #1 military partner, #1 intelligence partner, #1 bilateral investment partner and #1 export market are fuckwits halfwits.
    China, Germany and Japan all down the toilet now of course because they didn't do the lapdog impression.
    None of those countries meet the criteria I laid out. You have no idea how important the Five Eyes is to the UK's security.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,952
    I think all betting tips in thread headers should use the racing post system of 'points' to guide us as to how strong a bet to have.

    A maximum bet = 5pts
    A minimum bet = 0.25pts

    This mornings tip seems as though it is a maximum? Put your savings on it rather than keep them in the bank?
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,937
    edited January 2017
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    malcolmg said:

    Arguably Trump won't care that his ban has been (temporarily) overturned. It just all feeds into his narrative...

    He has achieved his goal, met his campaign promise only to be thwarted by those liberal lefties, win win for him.
    The ban hasn't been overturned has it? Just the subsequent deportations. So anyone not in the country still can't come, and anyone already there is stuck in limbo.
    Trump's (temporary) ban is clumsy, messy and possibly counterproductive. But there's a lot of liberal overreaction. Carter banned all Iranians, I think. And Shia? Obama banned Iraqis. And of course Obama has been bombing and droning Muslims for eight years. A drone on your head is a LOT messier than a 90 day wait for a visa.

    Yet I don't recall Le tout Manhattan marching on the White House when Obama hit the drone button time and again.
    To be fair, IIRC neither Carter nor Obama’s bans affected people in transit http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-38786119
    Certainly not at a moments notice.
    Yes, that's one area where the ban was clumsy. Deliberately? Who knows.

    It also affects British citizens - including a Tory MP - who had the temerity to be born in the relevant countries; as well as people who have already made their lives in America, paid taxes in America and broken no American laws.
  • Options

    GIN1138 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @Steven_Swinford: What a difference 24 hours makes. Government now hugely critical of Donald Trump's 'divisive' immigration ban #marr

    @DPJHodges: One thing this saga shows is inexperience of Theresa May's team. Totally blindsided by immigration announcement.

    In other words, T May knew nothing whatsoever about it 10 minutes before it was done. Surely Trump would have mentioned it.

    If, of course, he’d thought it about 10 minutes before he did it!
    Hasn't he been campaigning about doing this for months? Not sure why anyone is surprised and surely governments (including the UK) should have been prepared?

    Maybe they just didn't think he'd actually do it?
    See The White Rabbit’s post.
    Everyone assumed he'd take out the dodgy bits and leave a reasonably defensible position.

    I mean seriously if British service personnel would fought in say Afghanistan are turned away at the border, I think ~90% of people here are going to be opposed.
  • Options
    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095

    SeanT said:



    I don't criticise Theresa May. She did what she had to. But she had to do what she had to do because of Brexit. Britain is in a strategically awful position and she's out of options.

    No. Brexit is irrelevant. Imagine if we hadn't Brexited, how would PM Cameron have reacted to Trump? He'd have decided - in the interests of Britain and the west, it's best to go over there asap, flatter him, praise him, and subtly try and get him to see the merits of NATO, tone it down on torture. And so on.

    Which is exactly what TMay did.

    The idea that a British PM would ever ignore or criticize a new POTUS is daft.
    A week ago we were being assured by Leavers that Theresa May being first to meet Donald Trump was a diplomatic coup (it was, incidentally). Now we are being told by Leavers that it would always have been an imperative for any British Prime Minister (it wouldn't, incidentally). The correct response of a Britain still in the EU would have been to obtain public assurances of Donald Trump's commitment to NATO before visiting. No public criticism would have been required but the public anointing could have been withheld, pending establishing whether his intentions were friendly.

    With Europe divided, Donald Trump can divide and rule, and is doing so. A united EU could have given him more pause for thought about the US's responsibilities in the region. One of the many malign consequences of Brexit.
    Well.. as someone who doesn't seem to have come to terms with the ref result, you are doing a good job of trying to divide people with continual use of the terms leavers and remainers. You don't want to end up like embittered Scott P do you?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    I am guessing this is not the hashtag Tezza was hoping for from this trip...

    #TheresaTheAppeaser
  • Options
    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Jobabob said:

    On topic, I'm with Mr Eagles on this one: in fact I would be amazed if there were another national (as opposed to local) referendum in the U.K. in my lifetime.

    There will be no more UK wide referendums - the one good consequence of the Brexit vote. We are a representative democracy, and the EU referendum should never been allowed to happen.
    And saying that will KILL Labour's remaining vote.

    "You're too stupid to vote". Keep shouting it from the rooftops...

    (BTW - A Clough back at the City Ground? Looks likely.....)
    I would love to see Nigel come to us. I just fear for him having to deal with the arch knob that is Fawaz. I would be much happier if he arrived with a more stable chairman in charge!
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    edited January 2017
    isam said:

    I think all betting tips in thread headers should use the racing post system of 'points' to guide us as to how strong a bet to have.

    A maximum bet = 5pts
    A minimum bet = 0.25pts

    This mornings tip seems as though it is a maximum? Put your savings on it rather than keep them in the bank?

    I don't know about you Sam but I might need my savings in the next two years... not sure Aviva can put my pension into a bet either!
  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    I agree - Trump is engaging in the modern day equivalent of blitzkrieg on his liberal enemies. Remember Mexico and the wall ? - yesterday's news - as today's federal injunction takes over. Soon the liberals will have so many protests to go to they won't be able to stop the real smaller changes that Trump wants to happen and will get through.

    That is certainly one possibility. As someone said yesterday, he has released hundreds of rabbits, and "liberals" are chasing all of them.

    It's also possible having successfully launched Blitzkrieg on the low countries, he has now launched Operation Barbarossa without preparing for Winter...
    Next step - paying for the wall. Witholding Tax of 30% by banks and money transfer agents of all remittances to Mexico. Legal workers get the tax back through their tax returns, illegal workers or those not paying enough tax to offset the witholding tax (ie getting funds from black economy) don't.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,777
    Jobabob said:

    On topic, I'm with Mr Eagles on this one: in fact I would be amazed if there were another national (as opposed to local) referendum in the U.K. in my lifetime.

    There will be no more UK wide referendums - the one good consequence of the Brexit vote. We are a representative democracy, and the EU referendum should never been allowed to happen.
    "Allowed"?

    A party wins a GE with that in its manifesto and shouldn't be "allowed" to hold one?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,024
    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    malcolmg said:

    Arguably Trump won't care that his ban has been (temporarily) overturned. It just all feeds into his narrative...

    He has achieved his goal, met his campaign promise only to be thwarted by those liberal lefties, win win for him.
    The ban hasn't been overturned has it? Just the subsequent deportations. So anyone not in the country still can't come, and anyone already there is stuck in limbo.
    Trump's (temporary) ban is clumsy, messy and possibly counterproductive. But there's a lot of liberal overreaction. Carter banned all Iranians, I think. And Shia? Obama banned Iraqis. And of course Obama has been bombing and droning Muslims for eight years. A drone on your head is a LOT messier than a 90 day wait for a visa.

    Yet I don't recall Le tout Manhattan marching on the White House when Obama hit the drone button time and again.
    I think that's fair. I also wonder if he knew it was likely unconstitutional in parts (i.e. those people issued valid US visas), and he wanted it to get struck down by the Supreme Court, so he could turn to his base and say "fucking elitesories, and think "whoahhh... that's a bit much".

    The thing that may come back to haunt him on this, of course, is that the countries terrorists who have attacked the US come from are:

    Saudi Arabia (2,369 US citizens killed)
    UAE (314)
    Egypt (162)
    Lebanon (159)

    While the number of terrorist attacks carried out by Iranians (0), Yemeni (0), Sudan (0) and Libya (0).

    It looks awfully like the US ban is more about business interests than preventing actual terrorists from going to the US.

    (On the other hand, in Toulouse they must be high-fiving. That $17bn order for Boeing planes is surely soon going to be going to Airbus instead.)
    Wow. I just read this. Read it.

    It this is true, it looks like a lot of the hysteria against Trump isn't just overdone, it's based on lies. Alternative Facts from the Snowflake Left.

    https://sethfrantzman.com/2017/01/28/obamas-administration-made-the-muslim-ban-possible-and-the-media-wont-tell-you/

    "So for more than a year it has been US policy to discriminate against, target and even begin to ban people from the seven countries that Trump is accused of banning immigrants and visitors from. CNN even hinted at this by noting “those countries were named in a 2016 law concerning immigration visas as ‘countries of concern.'” But why didn’t CNN note that the seven countries were not named and that in fact they are only on the list because of Obama’s policy?"

    That's fairly incredible.
    The Terrorist Travel Prevention Act is an act of Congress, not an executive order. So he's being quite misleading too.
  • Options
    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    Scott_P said:

    @Steven_Swinford: What a difference 24 hours makes. Government now hugely critical of Donald Trump's 'divisive' immigration ban #marr

    @DPJHodges: One thing this saga shows is inexperience of Theresa May's team. Totally blindsided by immigration announcement.

    In other words, T May knew nothing whatsoever about it 10 minutes before it was done. Surely Trump would have mentioned it.

    If, of course, he’d thought it about 10 minutes before he did it!

    But she did know about it on Friday. And it has taken until now to frame a response, having at first fixed on a policy of no respoinse. That is weak.

    Better to remain silent and be thought a fool rather than open your mouth and remove all doubt.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,024
    isam said:

    I think all betting tips in thread headers should use the racing post system of 'points' to guide us as to how strong a bet to have.

    A maximum bet = 5pts
    A minimum bet = 0.25pts

    This mornings tip seems as though it is a maximum? Put your savings on it rather than keep them in the bank?

    Given Paddy's maximum bet sizes, that only works if your savings are about 76p
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,014

    Jonathan said:

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    malcolmg said:

    Arguably Trump won't care that his ban has been (temporarily) overturned. It just all feeds into his narrative...

    He has achieved his goal, met his campaign promise only to be thwarted by those liberal lefties, win win for him.
    The ban hasn't been overturned has it? Just the subsequent deportations. So anyone not in the country still can't come, and anyone already there is stuck in limbo.
    Trump's (temporary) ban is clumsy, messy and possibly counterproductive. But there's a lot of liberal overreaction. Carter banned all Iranians, I think. And Shia? Obama banned Iraqis. And of course Obama has been bombing and droning Muslims for eight years. A drone on your head is a LOT messier than a 90 day wait for a visa.

    Yet I don't recall Le tout Manhattan marching on the White House when Obama hit the drone button time and again.
    Trump is discovering the difference between governing and campaigning. Will the malignant narcissist adapt?
    Thank goodness HMG have decided to wait and see if Don can evolve.
    Evolution is, at least in part, a result of adaptation to external stimuli.
  • Options
    Panelbase/The Sunday Times Scottish polling

    Yes to Independence 46% (-1)

    No to Independence 54% (+1)

    Changes since September 2016
  • Options
    Having checked the archives, the current order is less clumsy than the original proposal, which focussed on an individual's religion (thus allowing for the possibility US citizens would be detained): https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/experts-trumps-muslim-entry-ban-idea-ridiculous-unconsitutional/2015/12/07/d44a970a-9d47-11e5-bce4-708fe33e3288_story.html?utm_term=.46cb3b7ec9b9

    That being said, there are some obvious flaws in the current approach that Trump has had a year (!) to avoid. Flaws, because there are going to be at least some cases that will hit home domestically. War heroes, sportspeople, etc.
  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    How does the BBC justify giving so much air time to the leader of a party that has single digit MPs and less than 10% support in the country?
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190

    Jobabob said:

    On topic, I'm with Mr Eagles on this one: in fact I would be amazed if there were another national (as opposed to local) referendum in the U.K. in my lifetime.

    There will be no more UK wide referendums - the one good consequence of the Brexit vote. We are a representative democracy, and the EU referendum should never been allowed to happen.
    "Allowed"?

    A party wins a GE with that in its manifesto and shouldn't be "allowed" to hold one?
    I don't want to start the A50 debate again, but the MPs did vote for the referendum. The government then spent tax payers money on an information booklet telling voters that the government would implement what the people decided. They didn't say that they'd "try to" implement what the people decided. The time for MPs to get upset about direct democracy was long before June 23.
  • Options
    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    malcolmg said:

    Arguably Trump won't care that his ban has been (temporarily) overturned. It just all feeds into his narrative...

    He has achieved his goal, met his campaign promise only to be thwarted by those liberal lefties, win win for him.
    The ban hasn't been overturned has it? Just the subsequent deportations. So anyone not in the country still can't come, and anyone already there is stuck in limbo.
    Trump's (temporary) ban is clumsy, messy and possibly counterproductive. But there's a lot of liberal overreaction. Carter banned all Iranians, I think. And Shia? Obama banned Iraqis. And of course Obama has been bombing and droning Muslims for eight years. A drone on your head is a LOT messier than a 90 day wait for a visa.

    Yet I don't recall Le tout Manhattan marching on the White House when Obama hit the drone button time and again.
    I think that's fair. I also wonder if he knew it was likely unconstitutional in parts (i.e. those people issued valid US visas), and he wanted it to get struck down by the Supreme Court, so he could turn to his base and say "fucking elitesories, and think "whoahhh... that's a bit much".

    The thing that may come back to haunt him on this, of course, is that the countries terrorists who have attacked the US come from are:

    Saudi Arabia (2,369 US citizens killed)
    UAE (314)
    Egypt (162)
    Lebanon (159)

    While the number of terrorist attacks carried out by Iranians (0), Yemeni (0), Sudan (0) and Libya (0).

    It looks awfully like the US ban is more about business interests than preventing actual terrorists from going to the US.

    (On the other hand, in Toulouse they must be high-fiving. That $17bn order for Boeing planes is surely soon going to be going to Airbus instead.)
    Wow. I just read this. Read it.

    It this is true, it looks like a lot of the hysteria against Trump isn't just overdone, it's based on lies. Alternativly on the list because of Obama’s policy?"

    That's fairly incredible.
    The Terrorist Travel Prevention Act is an act of Congress, not an executive order. So he's being quite misleading too.
    Nonetheless it puts to bed that bollocks about Trump's business interests determining the list.

    Trump has taken Obama's list, and Obama's policy. And amped it up to 11
    Quite, he could have amped it to 10 much more easily. By going to 11, as it were, he has changed the rules.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Blue_rog said:

    How does the BBC justify giving so much air time to the leader of a party that has single digit MPs and less than 10% support in the country?

    The same way they justify having Nigel Farage on later
  • Options
    The supplementaries indicate why Brexit isn't the gamechanger for Scottish Independence many thought it would be.

    It also found that, when asked for their favoured option if Scotland becomes independent after the UK leaves the EU, about a third of voters (31%) oppose Scotland applying to join the EU while 48% are in favour and 21% don’t know. Among those who backed independence in 2014, 21% oppose an independent Scotland seeking to join the EU while 63% are in favour and 17% don’t know.

    Similarly, among those who voted “yes” to Scottish independence, about a quarter (26%) oppose the automatic right of people from other European countries to live and work in Scotland — a central feature of EU membership. Among Scots voters as a whole, 40% support continued freedom of movement after Brexit and 37% are opposed.
  • Options
    An interesting fact: President Obama issued fewer executive orders than any two-term US president since the 1890s.
  • Options
    Panelbase poll found enthusiasm for a pre-Brexit “indyref2” has fallen away — from 43% last June to 32% in September and only 27% now, and a majority (51%) do not want another independence vote held within the next few years.
  • Options
    Blue_rog said:

    How does the BBC justify giving so much air time to the leader of a party that has single digit MPs and less than 10% support in the country?

    Does it give Farron as much time as it gives someone who is not a party leader at all and has failed seven times to be elected to Parliament?

  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    I've just read one of the lead articles in the Sunday Times. If true, I wonder if Trump's aides realise the depth of feeling the British people have for the Royal family. If he behaves as reported, I could see an incredible backlash almost immediately
  • Options
    Blue_rog said:

    How does the BBC justify giving so much air time to the leader of a party that has single digit MPs and less than 10% support in the country?

    Well, on the 'Farage will be on evey other episode of QT' rule..
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,829
    edited January 2017

    Panelbase poll found enthusiasm for a pre-Brexit “indyref2” has fallen away — from 43% last June to 32% in September and only 27% now, and a majority (51%) do not want another independence vote held within the next few years.

    Nicola should have done it on 24th June. Looks like she's missed the boat...
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    edited January 2017

    Roger said:

    Roger said:

    it would make a great clip in a film but i'm not a fan of this sort of amateur psychoanalysis


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JN9tde-x2nw

    Thanks for the video. Always a pleasure to see the Sophia Loren like beauty of the First Lady. Pure class.
    I was thinking more Humbert Humbert and Lolita
    Tbe #freemelania tag has some interesting stuff, but when even the Daily MIl picks up on it:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4164486/Trump-president-history-not-wait-wife.html
    There's no doubt he's a charmless philistine but If that wasn't obvious to her before they were married then I doubt she needs our sympathy.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,829
    Blue_rog said:

    I've just read one of the lead articles in the Sunday Times. If true, I wonder if Trump's aides realise the depth of feeling the British people have for the Royal family. If he behaves as reported, I could see an incredible backlash almost immediately

    For those that don't have access to ST, what's the story about?
  • Options
    Blue_rog said:

    I've just read one of the lead articles in the Sunday Times. If true, I wonder if Trump's aides realise the depth of feeling the British people have for the Royal family. If he behaves as reported, I could see an incredible backlash almost immediately

    Trump does not want to be greeted by Prince Charles, but by William and Kate.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3464039/Donald-Trump-claimed-Princess-Diana-crazy-said-slept-without-hesitation-supermodel-beauty.html

    https://www.joe.co.uk/news/unsettling-tweet-donald-trump-kate-middleton-resurfaced/109918

    And all so that we can export more high quality cheese to the US.

  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    I did answer the question. 'Why would anyone trigger article 50'? 'Because David Cameron held a referendum'. Question and answer.

    That wasn't the question asked. Want another go?
    Yes it was, in more words.

    Question: "Why on earth would anyone sane trigger Article 50 in the midst of this emerging global diplomatic motorway pile up?"

    Answer: "Anyone sane would trigger Article 50 in the midst of this emerging global diplomatic motorway pile up because David Cameron thought it would be a good idea to put our EU membership to the public".
  • Options
    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    malcolmg said:

    Arguably Trump won't care that his ban has been (temporarily) overturned. It just all feeds into his narrative...

    He has achieved his goal, met his campaign promise only to be thwarted by those liberal lefties, win win for him.
    The ban hasn't been overturned has it? Just the subsequent deportations. So anyone not in the country still can't come, and anyone already there is stuck in limbo.
    Trump's (temporary) ban is clumsy, messy and possibly counterproductive. But there's a lot of liberal overreaction. Carter banned all Iranians, I think. And Shia? Obama banned Iraqis. And of course Obama has been bombing and droning Muslims for eight years. A drone on your head is a LOT messier than a 90 day wait for a visa.

    Yet I don't recall Le tout Manhattan marching on the White House when Obama hit the drone button time and again.
    I think that's fair. I also wonder if he knew it was likely unconstitutional in parts (i.e. those people issued valid US visas), and he wanted it to get struck down by the Supreme Court, so he could turn to his base and say "fucking elitesories, and think "whoahhh... that's a bit much".

    The thing that may come back to haunt him on this, of course, is that the countries terrorists who have attacked the US come from are:

    Saudi Arabia (2,369 US citizens killed)
    UAE (314)
    Egypt (162)
    Lebanon (159)

    While the number of terrorist attacks carried out by Iranians (0), Yemeni (0), Sudan (0) and Libya (0).

    It looks awfully like the US ban is more about business interests than preventing actual terrorists from going to the US.

    (On the other hand, in Toulouse they must be high-fiving. That $17bn order for Boeing planes is surely soon going to be going to Airbus instead.)
    Wow. I just read this. Read it.

    It this is true, it looks like a lot of the hysteria against Trump isn't just overdone, it's based on lies. Alternativly on the list because of Obama’s policy?"

    That's fairly incredible.
    The Terrorist Travel Prevention Act is an act of Congress, not an executive order. So he's being quite misleading too.
    Nonetheless it puts to bed that bollocks about Trump's business interests determining the list.

    Trump has taken Obama's list, and Obama's policy. And amped it up to 11

    Yep, because it suits his business interests.

  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @GuardianAnushka: Jeremy Corbyn says "slightly odd" Trump has been invited so quickly to state visit and thinks it'll be kicked into "long grass" #peston

    @GuardianAnushka: Corbyn: "I'm not happy with him coming here until the ban is lifted"
  • Options
    DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    British prime minister helps legitimise Donald Trump's presidency of the US by rushing to the US, saying Britain and the US are going to lead the world again (sic), and holding his hand for the cameras - in one of the most vomit-inducing shows put on by a British official in recent decades.

    The VERY NEXT DAY, Trump issues an order banning entry to the US by people from a list of countries that he doesn't do business with and by refugees from everywhere. Condemnation ensues. Even those who said sweet fanny-adams when the US and Britain blew Arab children to bits in Iraq started expressing opposition when scientists and film-makers and medics who live in the US and who in some cases have worked for its armed forces start getting detained because they hold passports from the targeted countries.

    Where does that leave Number Ten's propagandists?

    Theresa "NEVILLE CHAMBERLAIN" May should be out on her ear. Editorialists should compare the HAND-HOLD with the famous PIECE OF PAPER.

    US citizen Boris Johnson, Britain's foreign minister (well where the hell is he?) is keeping his trap mostly shut. He should resign too, but maybe the loony thinks he can seize Number 10? It wouldn't surprise me.

    Now guess what? The story is being put out that that handshake - that emetic public act saying "Britain Loves Trump" that May and her advisers were guilty of on Thursday - was in fact NOTHING OF THE KIND. Apparently it only happened because Trump is TERRIFIED of steps and staircases. What an absolute load of crap.

    We all know Trump is mentally ill. "This is big stuff" said the brat with the psycho problems as he signed the banning order. Like Mussolini, he is strongly against shaking hands. But there is no known record of him being phobic about steps. He has in the past avoided handshakes where thumbs-up or open-handed gestures can be done for the cameras instead. But in meetings with leaders of other countries, and sometimes on the stage, handshakes cannot at present be dispensed with. So he grins and bears it, and waits until he's off-camera before he scrubs his hands with alcohol. Loonies sometimes can grin and bear things.

    Steps? Well they aren't considered part of protocol. If he'd wanted to avoid walking down steps with the Tory leader, he could have done.

    The staircase-phobia story is lies.

    Lies to shore up Theresa May's position.





  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    Jobabob said:

    Jobabob said:

    On topic, I'm with Mr Eagles on this one: in fact I would be amazed if there were another national (as opposed to local) referendum in the U.K. in my lifetime.

    There will be no more UK wide referendums - the one good consequence of the Brexit vote. We are a representative democracy, and the EU referendum should never been allowed to happen.
    And saying that will KILL Labour's remaining vote.

    "You're too stupid to vote". Keep shouting it from the rooftops...

    (BTW - A Clough back at the City Ground? Looks likely.....)
    I would love to see Nigel come to us. I just fear for him having to deal with the arch knob that is Fawaz. I would be much happier if he arrived with a more stable chairman in charge!
    There is that! Plus he'll never live up to his dad. No-one could (partly because Brian Clough was only half of that magical partnership - Peter Taylor had an extraordinary knowledge of players and how they could fit into the team).
  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    GIN1138 said:

    Blue_rog said:

    I've just read one of the lead articles in the Sunday Times. If true, I wonder if Trump's aides realise the depth of feeling the British people have for the Royal family. If he behaves as reported, I could see an incredible backlash almost immediately

    For those that don't have access to ST, what's the story about?
    It's an article reporting that Trump doesn't want to meet the next king as he doesn't agree with him about global warming and may get upset. He would prefer a nice cup of tea with his eldest son and wife
  • Options
    SeanT said:

    Panelbase/The Sunday Times Scottish polling

    Yes to Independence 46% (-1)

    No to Independence 54% (+1)

    Changes since September 2016

    More interesting is the percentage of Scots who want a new indyref before Brexit is done: 27%.

    That's down from 43% in June 2016

    That's the BIG change. Scots, very sensibly, don't want any more turmoil right now - and they want to see how Brexit turns out before deciding whether to stay or go.

    Sturgeon would be mad to call an indyref on those figures, pre Brexit. And indeed she won't. But she wants to keep threatening one, so that Theresa says No, so Nicola can say Look we wuz robbed, without having to back down or lose, calamitously, a 2nd vote.
    Cue PB Brexityoons telling Theresa the Appeaser to bring it on.
    Not.
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,989
    Blue_rog said:

    How does the BBC justify giving so much air time to the leader of a party that has single digit MPs and less than 10% support in the country?

    Nuttall on the box?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SkyNewsBreak: German Chancellor Merkel: it is "not justified to put people from specific background or faith under general suspicion" to combat terrorism
  • Options
    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Dromedary said:

    British prime minister helps legitimise Donald Trump's presidency of the US by rushing to the US, saying Britain and the US are going to lead the world again (sic), and holding his hand for the cameras - in one of the most vomit-inducing shows put on by a British official in recent decades.

    The VERY NEXT DAY, Trump issues an order banning entry to the US by people from a list of countries that he doesn't do business with and by refugees from everywhere. Condemnation ensues. Even those who said sweet fanny-adams when the US and Britain blew Arab children to bits in Iraq started expressing opposition when scientists and film-makers and medics who live in the US and who in some cases have worked for its armed forces start getting detained because they hold passports from the targeted countries.

    Where does that leave Number Ten's propagandists?

    Theresa "NEVILLE CHAMBERLAIN" May should be out on her ear. Editorialists should compare the HAND-HOLD with the famous PIECE OF PAPER.

    US citizen Boris Johnson, Britain's foreign minister (well where the hell is he?) is keeping his trap mostly shut. He should resign too, but maybe the loony thinks he can seize Number 10? It wouldn't surprise me.

    Now guess what? The story is being put out that that handshake - that emetic public act saying "Britain Loves Trump" that May and her advisers were guilty of on Thursday - was in fact NOTHING OF THE KIND. Apparently it only happened because Trump is TERRIFIED of steps and staircases. What an absolute load of crap.

    We all know Trump is mentally ill. "This is big stuff" said the brat with the psycho problems as he signed the banning order. Like Mussolini, he is strongly against shaking hands. But there is no known record of him being phobic about steps. He has in the past avoided handshakes where thumbs-up or open-handed gestures can be done for the cameras instead. But in meetings with leaders of other countries, and sometimes on the stage, handshakes cannot at present be dispensed with. So he grins and bears it, and waits until he's off-camera before he scrubs his hands with alcohol. Loonies sometimes can grin and bear things.

    Steps? Well they aren't considered part of protocol. If he'd wanted to avoid walking down steps with the Tory leader, he could have done.

    The staircase-phobia story is lies.

    Lies to shore up Theresa May's position.





    AAAhh. so this is what "alternative facts" reads as.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @DPJHodges: Stop all the clocks. Jeremy Corbyn says Trump shouldn't come on state visit until Muslim ban is lifted. And Jeremy Corbyn is right.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190

    An interesting fact: President Obama issued fewer executive orders than any two-term US president since the 1890s.

    I don't know a huge amount about US politics, but it seems to me he should have issued a few more if he wanted to get a bit more done (closing Guantanamo Bay etc.)
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,014

    Jobabob said:

    Jobabob said:

    On topic, I'm with Mr Eagles on this one: in fact I would be amazed if there were another national (as opposed to local) referendum in the U.K. in my lifetime.

    There will be no more UK wide referendums - the one good consequence of the Brexit vote. We are a representative democracy, and the EU referendum should never been allowed to happen.
    And saying that will KILL Labour's remaining vote.

    "You're too stupid to vote". Keep shouting it from the rooftops...

    (BTW - A Clough back at the City Ground? Looks likely.....)
    I would love to see Nigel come to us. I just fear for him having to deal with the arch knob that is Fawaz. I would be much happier if he arrived with a more stable chairman in charge!
    There is that! Plus he'll never live up to his dad. No-one could (partly because Brian Clough was only half of that magical partnership - Peter Taylor had an extraordinary knowledge of players and how they could fit into the team).
    Very, very difficult for a son to take over from his father in a job where ability is important. I’m sure others will put me right, but IIRC English kings tended to alternate ..... competent, incompetent.
  • Options
    Dromedary said:

    British prime minister helps legitimise Donald Trump's presidency of the US by rushing to the US, saying Britain and the US are going to lead the world again (sic), and holding his hand for the cameras - in one of the most vomit-inducing shows put on by a British official in recent decades.

    The VERY NEXT DAY, Trump issues an order banning entry to the US by people from a list of countries that he doesn't do business with and by refugees from everywhere. Condemnation ensues. Even those who said sweet fanny-adams when the US and Britain blew Arab children to bits in Iraq started expressing opposition when scientists and film-makers and medics who live in the US and who in some cases have worked for its armed forces start getting detained because they hold passports from the targeted countries.

    Where does that leave Number Ten's propagandists?

    Theresa "NEVILLE CHAMBERLAIN" May should be out on her ear. Editorialists should compare the HAND-HOLD with the famous PIECE OF PAPER.

    US citizen Boris Johnson, Britain's foreign minister (well where the hell is he?) is keeping his trap mostly shut. He should resign too, but maybe the loony thinks he can seize Number 10? It wouldn't surprise me.

    Now guess what? The story is being put out that that handshake - that emetic public act saying "Britain Loves Trump" that May and her advisers were guilty of on Thursday - was in fact NOTHING OF THE KIND. Apparently it only happened because Trump is TERRIFIED of steps and staircases. What an absolute load of crap.

    We all know Trump is mentally ill. "This is big stuff" said the brat with the psycho problems as he signed the banning order. Like Mussolini, he is strongly against shaking hands. But there is no known record of him being phobic about steps. He has in the past avoided handshakes where thumbs-up or open-handed gestures can be done for the cameras instead. But in meetings with leaders of other countries, and sometimes on the stage, handshakes cannot at present be dispensed with. So he grins and bears it, and waits until he's off-camera before he scrubs his hands with alcohol. Loonies sometimes can grin and bear things.

    Steps? Well they aren't considered part of protocol. If he'd wanted to avoid walking down steps with the Tory leader, he could have done.

    The staircase-phobia story is lies.

    Lies to shore up Theresa May's position.

    Dromedary, I don't know why to conspire to come up with some complicated theory. May has simply been trying to get the most out of a potentially powerful relationship without having to agree with whatever stupid policy Trump comes up next. This is man management, like it would be with the occasional friend, business associate and/or colleague.
  • Options
    PAWPAW Posts: 1,074
    edited January 2017
    I think Donald Trump has done exactly the right thing. There have two or three terrorist attacks in the USA every year, and he has tied the inevitable attacks to come to his opposition. Who appear to value the rights of everybody in the world above american lives.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    Scott_P said:
    That's a very astute article by DH.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    Scott_P said:

    @SkyNewsBreak: German Chancellor Merkel: it is "not justified to put people from specific background or faith under general suspicion" to combat terrorism

    No Angela, keep those five year old Christian children under just the same level of general suspicion as young Muslim guys from war zones who have broken down fences to gain illegal access into Europe. Top plan.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,829
    Blue_rog said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Blue_rog said:

    I've just read one of the lead articles in the Sunday Times. If true, I wonder if Trump's aides realise the depth of feeling the British people have for the Royal family. If he behaves as reported, I could see an incredible backlash almost immediately

    For those that don't have access to ST, what's the story about?
    It's an article reporting that Trump doesn't want to meet the next king as he doesn't agree with him about global warming and may get upset. He would prefer a nice cup of tea with his eldest son and wife
    Oh right. Suspect Prince Philip is the one he should be wary of... And HMQ's "icy" stare.
  • Options
    DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    edited January 2017
    John_M said:

    Yes, I'll repeat what I posted last night. Those who think May should have temporised about visiting our #1 military partner, #1 intelligence partner, #1 bilateral investment partner and #1 export market are fuckwits halfwits.

    "Partner" indeed. That's not a partnership. And Britain exports FAR MORE to the rest of the EU than it does to the US.

    Britain's no.1 (excuse my British usage instead of "#") export market is EU27.

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    tlg86 said:

    An interesting fact: President Obama issued fewer executive orders than any two-term US president since the 1890s.

    I don't know a huge amount about US politics, but it seems to me he should have issued a few more if he wanted to get a bit more done (closing Guantanamo Bay etc.)
    Executive orders are a quite complicated issue within the nature of the federal executive, resting on a complex body of law, culture and political capital.

    It's only with the Article 50 case that we've come close to a similar point in the UK.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Jobabob said:

    Jobabob said:

    On topic, I'm with Mr Eagles on this one: in fact I would be amazed if there were another national (as opposed to local) referendum in the U.K. in my lifetime.

    There will be no more UK wide referendums - the one good consequence of the Brexit vote. We are a representative democracy, and the EU referendum should never been allowed to happen.
    And saying that will KILL Labour's remaining vote.

    "You're too stupid to vote". Keep shouting it from the rooftops...

    (BTW - A Clough back at the City Ground? Looks likely.....)
    I would love to see Nigel come to us. I just fear for him having to deal with the arch knob that is Fawaz. I would be much happier if he arrived with a more stable chairman in charge!
    There is that! Plus he'll never live up to his dad. No-one could (partly because Brian Clough was only half of that magical partnership - Peter Taylor had an extraordinary knowledge of players and how they could fit into the team).
    Very, very difficult for a son to take over from his father in a job where ability is important. I’m sure others will put me right, but IIRC English kings tended to alternate ..... competent, incompetent.
    It's been a pretty good run since William IV, with the swiftly corrected aberration of Edward VIII.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,048

    Scott_P said:

    @SkyNewsBreak: German Chancellor Merkel: it is "not justified to put people from specific background or faith under general suspicion" to combat terrorism

    No Angela, keep those five year old Christian children under just the same level of general suspicion as young Muslim guys from war zones who have broken down fences to gain illegal access into Europe. Top plan.
    How do you automagically tell if a child is Christian, Muslim, Atheist, or any other religion?
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,308

    Blue_rog said:

    How does the BBC justify giving so much air time to the leader of a party that has single digit MPs and less than 10% support in the country?

    Does it give Farron as much time as it gives someone who is not a party leader at all and has failed seven times to be elected to Parliament?

    It was a silly comment by BR in the first place; it is hardly as if the LibDems are over-reported on the BBC, and appearances by LibDems on QT or AQ nowadays are the exception. The BBC, like all journalism, reports issues, not just elections, and on the Brexit issue the LibDems have a distinct (in England at least) perspective.
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    Deary me, PB has become very overwrought.

    Reminiscent of the last week in June when we read here that Corbyn was finished (and likely to be replaced by Angela Eagle), an SDP MkII was going to be formed and the economy was collapsing.

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2016/06/
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,829
    Will Vlad impose a ban on Muslims entering Russia next, just to stir things up even more?
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    Jobabob said:

    Jobabob said:

    On topic, I'm with Mr Eagles on this one: in fact I would be amazed if there were another national (as opposed to local) referendum in the U.K. in my lifetime.

    There will be no more UK wide referendums - the one good consequence of the Brexit vote. We are a representative democracy, and the EU referendum should never been allowed to happen.
    And saying that will KILL Labour's remaining vote.

    "You're too stupid to vote". Keep shouting it from the rooftops...

    (BTW - A Clough back at the City Ground? Looks likely.....)
    I would love to see Nigel come to us. I just fear for him having to deal with the arch knob that is Fawaz. I would be much happier if he arrived with a more stable chairman in charge!
    There is that! Plus he'll never live up to his dad. No-one could (partly because Brian Clough was only half of that magical partnership - Peter Taylor had an extraordinary knowledge of players and how they could fit into the team).
    Very, very difficult for a son to take over from his father in a job where ability is important. I’m sure others will put me right, but IIRC English kings tended to alternate ..... competent, incompetent.
    It's been a pretty good run since William IV, with the swiftly corrected aberration of Edward VIII.
    Sad but interesting fact, since 1830 when William IV ascended to the throne, of those 187 years, 129 years and counting, have been occupied by just two monarchs, both women, whilst the other six monarchs have been men.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    An interesting fact: President Obama issued fewer executive orders than any two-term US president since the 1890s.

    Do you have a source? I'm sure I'd seem somewhere that it was more than all over Presidents added together!
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,829

    Deary me, PB has become very overwrought.

    Reminiscent of the last week in June when we read here that Corbyn was finished (and likely to be replaced by Angela Eagle), an SDP MkII was going to be formed and the economy was collapsing.

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2016/06/

    Fun times weren't they? :smiley:
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Wasn't George W Bush the first US president ever to make a state visit to the UK? So it's really all Blair's fault.
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    Charles said:

    An interesting fact: President Obama issued fewer executive orders than any two-term US president since the 1890s.

    Do you have a source? I'm sure I'd seem somewhere that it was more than all over Presidents added together!
    Stop believing FakeNews

    http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/orders.php
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,989
    Mr. Eagles, not sad, just interesting.

    Another interesting fact is that from 1207-1377 England had just four kings (Henry III, and Edwards I-III). Given the life expectancy at the time it's quite surprising 170 years was covered by just a quartet of them.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,708
    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    alex. said:

    malcolmg said:

    Arguably Trump won't care that his ban has been (temporarily) overturned. It just all feeds into his narrative...

    He has achieved his goal, met his campaign promise only to be thwarted by those liberal lefties, win win for him.
    The ban hasn't been overturned has it? Just the subsequent deportations. So anyone not in the country still can't come, and anyone already there is stuck in limbo.

    Yet I don't recall Le tout Manhattan marching on the White House when Obama hit the drone button time and again.
    The thing that may come back to haunt him on this, of course, is that the countries terrorists who have attacked the US come from are:

    Saudi Arabia (2,369 US citizens killed)
    UAE (314)
    Egypt (162)
    Lebanon (159)

    While the number of terrorist attacks carried out by Iranians (0), Yemeni (0), Sudan (0) and Libya (0).

    It looks awfully like the US ban is more about business interests than preventing actual terrorists from going to the US.

    (On the other hand, in Toulouse they must be high-fiving. That $17bn order for Boeing planes is surely soon going to be going to Airbus instead.)
    Wow. I just read this. Read it.

    It this is true, it looks like a lot of the hysteria against Trump isn't just overdone, it's based on lies. Alternativly on the list because of Obama’s policy?"

    That's fairly incredible.
    The Terrorist Travel Prevention Act is an act of Congress, not an executive order. So he's being quite misleading too.
    Nonetheless it puts to bed that bollocks about Trump's business interests determining the list.

    Trump has taken Obama's list, and Obama's policy. And amped it up to 11
    The bipartisan bill you're talking about referred amended the visa waiver programme, and the list of countries is reviewable:
    https://www.congress.gov/bill/114th-congress/house-bill/158

    To say that enabled Trump's egregious action is more than a bit of a stretch. And it has been discussed in the 'liberal media',who have rowed back on the 'bollocks'.
    The point that Saudis Arabia and the UAE not appearing on this list makes a mockery of its purported intent remains a valid one.
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    Charles said:

    An interesting fact: President Obama issued fewer executive orders than any two-term US president since the 1890s.

    Do you have a source? I'm sure I'd seem somewhere that it was more than all over Presidents added together!

    http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/orders.php

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    Charles said:

    An interesting fact: President Obama issued fewer executive orders than any two-term US president since the 1890s.

    Do you have a source? I'm sure I'd seem somewhere that it was more than all over Presidents added together!
    Stop believing FakeNews

    http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/orders.php

    Ha, ha - snap!

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    Trump boasted about having sex with Prince William's Mum and wanted to see photos of his wife naked. Theresa May offers him a state visit in the hope it will lead to more high-end cheese exports to the US.
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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Dromedary said:

    John_M said:

    Yes, I'll repeat what I posted last night. Those who think May should have temporised about visiting our #1 military partner, #1 intelligence partner, #1 bilateral investment partner and #1 export market are fuckwits halfwits.

    "Partner" indeed. That's not a partnership. And Britain exports FAR MORE to the rest of the EU than it does to the US.

    Britain's no.1 (excuse my British usage instead of "#") export market is EU27.

    I prefer not to treat the EU27 as some monolithic blob - you, of course, are at liberty to do as you please. Our major trading partners are the USA, China, Germany, France, Norway and the Netherlands. We can toss Belgium, Italy and Spain in for good measure. We run a trade surplus with the USA & a tiny surplus with the RoI. The rest are all deficits.
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,341
    edited January 2017
    PAW said:

    I think Donald Trump has done exactly the right thing. There have two or three terrorist attacks in the USA every year, and he has tied the inevitable attacks to come to his opposition. Who appear to value the rights of everybody in the world above american lives.

    Nonsense - there has been significantly less than one Islamic terrorist attack per year in the US since 9/11, which suggests the current system is working fine. Toddlers with guns are a far bigger threat to Americans.

    As others have pointed out, Saudi Arabia is not on the list despite being by far the nation with the most civilian American blood on its hands.
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    Scott_P said:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_lie#Goebbels.27s_use_of_the_expression

    "The essential English leadership secret does not depend on particular intelligence. Rather, it depends on a remarkably stupid thick-headedness. The English follow the principle that when one lies, one should lie big, and stick to it. They keep up their lies, even at the risk of looking ridiculous."

    - Goebbels

    https://twitter.com/MichaelPDeacon/status/747000584226607104/photo/1
    Where's the lie?

    "Let us give the NHS more money."

    Not - "we WILL give the NHS more money". The point was that outside the EU we *could* give the NHS more money (because we won't be paying into EU coffers) and we *should* give that money to the NHS.

    Got it yet? No? Never mind..
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    DromedaryDromedary Posts: 1,194
    GIN1138 said:

    Will Vlad impose a ban on Muslims entering Russia next, just to stir things up even more?

    No. Russian policy towards the Chechens has changed since 1999. Kadyrov has offered to send Chechen troops to Syria. One in seven citizens of the Russian Federation is Muslim.
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    Deary me, PB has become very overwrought.

    Reminiscent of the last week in June when we read here that Corbyn was finished (and likely to be replaced by Angela Eagle), an SDP MkII was going to be formed and the economy was collapsing.

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2016/06/

    I still break out in a cold sweat over the June 27th.

    Scheduled a thread to go up at 5am, climb into bed at 1am, and get an alert that Hillary Benn has been sacked, so have to write a thread in bed, whilst desperately wanting to go to sleep.

    Wake up a few hours later find several other shadow cabinet ministers have resigned, and are still resigning, begin writing another thread, then David Herdson says he's just written another thread on the same topic, so mine ends up on the cutting room floor.

    Start to write another thread and then David drops me another email, saying he's in a rich vein of form, and has got another thread.

    I think on that day, PB published six threads in one day, which I think is a record for a non election day.
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    PAW said:

    I think Donald Trump has done exactly the right thing. There have two or three terrorist attacks in the USA every year, and he has tied the inevitable attacks to come to his opposition. Who appear to value the rights of everybody in the world above american lives.

    When was the last time a Tory MP committed a terrorist attack in the US? Or someone fleeing persecution in Syria, for that matter?

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    Trump is doing what President's do-Working for the people & keeping Americans safe.It may seem extreme to some but we now live in extreme times.Get over it or you'll all have heart attacks sooner than necessary.
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    John_M said:

    Dromedary said:

    John_M said:

    Yes, I'll repeat what I posted last night. Those who think May should have temporised about visiting our #1 military partner, #1 intelligence partner, #1 bilateral investment partner and #1 export market are fuckwits halfwits.

    "Partner" indeed. That's not a partnership. And Britain exports FAR MORE to the rest of the EU than it does to the US.

    Britain's no.1 (excuse my British usage instead of "#") export market is EU27.

    I prefer not to treat the EU27 as some monolithic blob - you, of course, are at liberty to do as you please. Our major trading partners are the USA, China, Germany, France, Norway and the Netherlands. We can toss Belgium, Italy and Spain in for good measure. We run a trade surplus with the USA & a tiny surplus with the RoI. The rest are all deficits.

    Whether you like it or not, the EU is a single market.

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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    Nigelb said:

    The point that Saudis Arabia and the UAE not appearing on this list makes a mockery of its purported intent remains a valid one.

    Yes, had he put those on the list I'd have a lot more respect for it.
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,341
    edited January 2017

    Trump is doing what President's do-Working for the people & keeping Americans safe.It may seem extreme to some but we now live in extreme times.Get over it or you'll all have heart attacks sooner than necessary.

    You could easily have posted the same nonsense in 1938
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    An interesting fact: President Obama issued fewer executive orders than any two-term US president since the 1890s.

    Do you have a source? I'm sure I'd seem somewhere that it was more than all over Presidents added together!

    http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/orders.php

    Ta. I'd say number per year is a better metric ("any two term president") looks like you are defining your way into your argument. I don't like data slicing as a rule.

    Still gives broadly the same answer (based on quick eyeball) - comparable to Bush2 - below most others until McKinley.
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,989
    Just read the BTL comments on the Mail website (!) About half the posters insist Trump's ban doesn't apply to UK passport holders (despite the article explicitly saying it does and providing examples). Another quarter seem to think that's a good thing. Is the problem not Fake News, but simply a large cohort who won't believe anything which disagrees with them? This applies to Left and Right btw.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @SophyRidgeSky: The Polish Deputy Prime Minister tells me financial services jobs are already starting to move from the UK to Poland due to Brexit #ridge
This discussion has been closed.