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  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    AndyJS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    Another mistake by the chattering classes: they said Malcolm Fraser would be more popular with Australian voters than Tony Abbott. Turns out not to be the case.

    Turnbull, surely.
    Yep.
    So the centre right has won? Good. A nice friendly government Britain can do trade deals with.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Scott_P said:
    Smirking Nemesis : another great band name.
  • steve_garnersteve_garner Posts: 1,019
    Left of centre newspaper criticises Tory politicians over EU. Scott P dutifully quotes. What's your point Scott?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    I'm going to nail my colours to the mast here. I don't think the UK should leave the EU. I think it would be a disaster for our economy and it would lead to a decade of economic and political uncertainty at a time when the tectonic plates of global success are moving.

    Economic success is the vital underpinning of every happy nation. The wellbeing we all crave goes hand in hand with economic success.

    Andrea Leadsom MP (per the Mail on Sunday)
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    John_M said:

    Smirking Nemesis : another great band name.

    Like
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Oh my goodness Andrea....

    Telegraph Headline: "Andrea Leadsom I can be the new Margaret Thatcher"

    Yes, of course, it's brilliant. That'll bring the country together in short order. Everybody loved Maggie.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Mr_Eugenides: “The Remainstream Media” https://t.co/VX7KpAtz2q

    Disappointed nobody here came up with that one first frankly
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    Scott_P said:

    I'm going to nail my colours to the mast here. I don't think the UK should leave the EU. I think it would be a disaster for our economy and it would lead to a decade of economic and political uncertainty at a time when the tectonic plates of global success are moving.

    Economic success is the vital underpinning of every happy nation. The wellbeing we all crave goes hand in hand with economic success.

    Andrea Leadsom MP (per the Mail on Sunday)

    So the question we have to ask is, did she back Leave to further her political career prospects? Or have the events of the last three years, culminating in Cameron's deal, resulted her in saying "you know what? We'd be better off out."
  • NormNorm Posts: 1,251
    Scott_P said:

    I'm going to nail my colours to the mast here. I don't think the UK should leave the EU. I think it would be a disaster for our economy and it would lead to a decade of economic and political uncertainty at a time when the tectonic plates of global success are moving.

    Economic success is the vital underpinning of every happy nation. The wellbeing we all crave goes hand in hand with economic success.

    Andrea Leadsom MP (per the Mail on Sunday)

    Well I am sure she will have a chance to talk about this on tomorrow's Marr.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,414
    John_M said:

    Oh my goodness Andrea....

    Telegraph Headline: "Andrea Leadsom I can be the new Margaret Thatcher"

    Yes, of course, it's brilliant. That'll bring the country together in short order. Everybody loved Maggie.

    Maggie won three elections on the trot :)
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    'Boris was blown up by a political psychopath but it was Mrs Gove who detonated the bomb': RACHEL JOHNSON'S lacerating verdict on her brother's betrayal

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3671749/RACHEL-JOHNSON-Mrs-Gove-detonated-bomb-blew-Boris.html
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    I assume Leadsom's line will be "I am expert. I was wrong last time..."
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    PClipp said:

    Blueberry said:

    SeanT said:

    Blueberry said:

    saddened said:


    Regardless of his skills, in the 24 hour rolling news era, he is too reminiscent of Harry Enfield's Tory boy, he will be eviscerated by the press. Every TV appearance will see a loss in support.

    May has been Home Secretary for a long time, and yet I (someone who's interested in politics) can't think of anything she's ever said. Nothing. Not a memorable sentence. She's hidden behind Cameron and the European courts on immigration/deportations. She's let him/them take the flack for 'tens of thousands' and the failed border policy. Bizarrely, the only other thing I know about her is that she likes 'kitten heals". Do me a favour. She's fucking useless.
    Tories need to be brave. Now is the time to elect a "benign dictator" kind of person - someone who knows which way to go and can see further than others. Not some 'management consultant'. Four years is enough for Gove to show he's getting us into promising waters.
    Gove is so unelectable we risk a Corbyn Labour government. No. Just no.
    Leadsom maybe, just maybe. But she is on record as saying there will be no Brexit recession. Hmm. I take your point on May, but she's the best of a bad lot. Competence and dullness will be required, now. She can delegate as necessary.
    Gove can defeat the public sector/Blob/BBC - he's clever and articulate enough to do it - and to show the blue collars and the working class that he's doing it. The middle class kids will scream and shout, but if Gove can nail immigration too - just fking do something about it, actually make the numbers come down, and take the shit for it - there are 10m+ in that.
    Gove never does anything really - except annoy people. What has he achieved? Nothing.
    We are in a long drought of politicians who have achieved anything.

    Although, I suppose Blair achieved the blackening of the name of the West throughout the Arab world and a few hundred thousand deaths.
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    John_M said:

    Oh my goodness Andrea....

    Telegraph Headline: "Andrea Leadsom I can be the new Margaret Thatcher"

    Yes, of course, it's brilliant. That'll bring the country together in short order. Everybody loved Maggie.

    The whole of Scotland will be telling Nicola to stuff her Independence as they are desperate for a new Maggie.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,344
    Scott_P said:

    I'm going to nail my colours to the mast here. I don't think the UK should leave the EU. I think it would be a disaster for our economy and it would lead to a decade of economic and political uncertainty at a time when the tectonic plates of global success are moving.

    Economic success is the vital underpinning of every happy nation. The wellbeing we all crave goes hand in hand with economic success.

    Andrea Leadsom MP (per the Mail on Sunday)

    Oh wow. That's killer. She's done.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Leadsom's quotes are also in the SUN
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    So, penalties?
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    As a supporter and user of the NHS, I would like Leadsom to be the new PM. That way the NHS will get £350m extra per week.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    Scott_P said:

    I'm going to nail my colours to the mast here. I don't think the UK should leave the EU. I think it would be a disaster for our economy and it would lead to a decade of economic and political uncertainty at a time when the tectonic plates of global success are moving.

    Economic success is the vital underpinning of every happy nation. The wellbeing we all crave goes hand in hand with economic success.

    Andrea Leadsom MP (per the Mail on Sunday)

    If Labour had a decent leader and Leadsom became PM, they'd be quoting that line at her at every PMQs between now and 2020, especially if the economy goes mammary glands up
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Scott_P said:

    Leadsom's quotes are also in the SUN

    A few years ago the vast majority of the public were against Brexit.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    SeanT said:

    Sandpit said:

    MTimT said:

    SeanT said:
    We haven't actually heard what she actually said.

    She was working on drafts for EU reform since 2010. Perhaps when she said that she thought they had a chance then, like me, changed her mind when Cameron got back with his piece of paper?
    Why would removing the wool from one's eyes finish off one's leadership aspirations?

    If we are to preclude anyone as leader of our nation who has actually learnt something within, say, the last 5 years that led them to change their minds, then we are virtually saying we want a leader who is a know-nothing bigot.

    I want our leadership to be constantly learning from a changing environment, and adapting to new realities as they arise. Adaptation means taking new positions if the old ones are no longer appropriate.
    One can understand why so many exceptionally talented people no longer think of politics as a worthwhile vocation, given the media environment where everything one has ever said or done is turned upside down and taken out of context on the front pages.

    It can only get worse as the next generation have been documenting their every thought and action online in public since they were teenagers. Raucous university dinner parties won't be written about in books in 20 years' time, there will be videos online of our future leaders, for us all to watch.
    Tho, in the age of Sexting, and revenge porn, we will surely all adapt. Oh look, there's the PM in bed with three boys and a Bactrian camel, oh look, here's the would-be Chancellor snorting ketamine off a robot's penis, yawn yawn, who hasn't done this.

    Kids today grow up with this stuff. I've dated a few Millennials recently who think nothing of sending sexy photos - very explicit - after a couple of emails. It's what they do. So in the future no one will care, as we will all be the same.
    It will be interesting to see the reaction to this sort of stuff from the electorate, most of whom are much older and didn't grow up sending pics of their genetalia to near-strangers in their youth. I think the electorate will care, and the traditional media certainly will - look at how often the story of the PM and the pig still provides material for comedians on TV!

    We won't have long to wait though, in 2020 we can expect to see people standing for Parliament who were born in the '90s, the first generation to have social media at university.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    John_M said:

    Oh my goodness Andrea....

    Telegraph Headline: "Andrea Leadsom I can be the new Margaret Thatcher"

    Yes, of course, it's brilliant. That'll bring the country together in short order. Everybody loved Maggie.

    Tory MPs and membership do. That is this summers selectorate.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    AndyJS said:

    Sandpit said:

    So the Mail are doing to Leadsom and Gove what the DT tried to do to May?

    So much for a clean and positive campaign, that had so much promise after some great speeches in the week. Do the members (and the general public) really want to see this briefing and counter briefing, hatchet jobs on opponents by friendly hacks, or would they rather laugh at Labour for that kind of behaviour?

    I'd love to know why the Mail hate Leadsom so much. Hopefully she won't take any notice of it.
    I've no idea if this is true, but it might be interesting to dig into Invesco's views on non-voting shares.

    There were a couple of big houses that were actively trying to demolish these (with some success) about the time she was there (running Corporate Governance).

    I wonder if she had a run in with Rothermere at the time (his family controls DMGT through a variety of non-voting instruments)
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    nunu said:

    AndyJS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    Another mistake by the chattering classes: they said Malcolm Fraser would be more popular with Australian voters than Tony Abbott. Turns out not to be the case.

    Turnbull, surely.
    Yep.
    So the centre right has won? Good. A nice friendly government Britain can do trade deals with.
    They haven't won. Looks like a deadlocked situation.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    I can't find the original quote on t'Internet but I'm sure the MoS has done their homework.

    It therefore gives me great pleasure to announce that the 2016 Hostage to Fortune Challenge Trophy goes to - a big hand folks - Andrea Leadsom, ex-candidate.
  • BlueberryBlueberry Posts: 408
    PClipp said:

    Blueberry said:

    SeanT said:

    Blueberry said:

    saddened said:


    Regardless of his skills, in the 24 hour rolling news era, he is too reminiscent of Harry Enfield's Tory boy, he will be eviscerated by the press. Every TV appearance will see a loss in support.

    May has been Home Secretary for a long time, and yet I (someone who's interested in politics) can't think of anything she's ever said. Nothing. Not a memorable sentence. She's hidden behind Cameron and the European courts on immigration/deportations. She's let him/them take the flack for 'tens of thousands' and the failed border policy. Bizarrely, the only other thing I know about her is that she likes 'kitten heals". Do me a favour. She's fucking useless.
    Tories need to be brave. Now is the time to elect a "benign dictator" kind of person - someone who knows which way to go and can see further than others. Not some 'management consultant'. Four years is enough for Gove to show he's getting us into promising waters.
    Gove is so unelectable we risk a Corbyn Labour government. No. Just no.
    Leadsom maybe, just maybe. But she is on record as saying there will be no Brexit recession. Hmm. I take your point on May, but she's the best of a bad lot. Competence and dullness will be required, now. She can delegate as necessary.
    Gove can defeat the public sector/Blob/BBC - he's clever and articulate enough to do it - and to show the blue collars and the working class that he's doing it. The middle class kids will scream and shout, but if Gove can nail immigration too - just fking do something about it, actually make the numbers come down, and take the shit for it - there are 10m+ in that.
    Gove never does anything really - except annoy people. What has he achieved? Nothing.
    Who is actually going to bring immigration down? They will get absolutely slaughtered in media even though they have a mandate to do it. They'll usurp Farage as British pantomime villain in chief. Anyone fancy that job? I reckon Gove would do it and would have the grace to give language/argument to working classes. Theresa May? She's had ample opportunity, but has failed - doesn't have it in her - it's not really what she wants to do.
  • asjohnstoneasjohnstone Posts: 1,276
    SeanT said:

    Scott_P said:

    I'm going to nail my colours to the mast here. I don't think the UK should leave the EU. I think it would be a disaster for our economy and it would lead to a decade of economic and political uncertainty at a time when the tectonic plates of global success are moving.

    Economic success is the vital underpinning of every happy nation. The wellbeing we all crave goes hand in hand with economic success.

    Andrea Leadsom MP (per the Mail on Sunday)

    Eek. That is quite a difficult quote to row back from. It's not like saying "it might be tough for a couple of years".
    It doesn't matter, the people have made their choice, the question is no longer about if to leave the EU, but how the process is managed.

    People need to move on from the Remain / Leave camps. Choice is made and must be carried out.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    rcs1000 said:

    tlg86 said:

    Yeah but the shoppers have never been more sovereign

    https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/749346225158324224

    Great news. We need to stop spending money we don't have on tat.
    While that's true, the last time our savings rate moved up sharply was 1989-1992, which was pretty horrible for a lot of people.
    So what's your solution?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    John_M said:



    Are we going to end up living with <<that sexy person we like>> in a Californian penthouse gargling Champagne for breakfast

    Mine's a beach house, and champagne's over-rated, but otherwise I'd doing ok :)
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    It doesn't matter, the people have made their choice, the question is no longer about if to leave the EU, but how the process is managed.

    Exactly

    And the choice is between May who will make it work, or Leadsom who says it will be a decade of economic chaos BRILLIANT !!
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Freggles said:
    I read the article. It was completely uninteresting - no argument or evidence. A pure hatchet job. I can see why the Telegraph spiked it.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,414

    Scott_P said:

    I'm going to nail my colours to the mast here. I don't think the UK should leave the EU. I think it would be a disaster for our economy and it would lead to a decade of economic and political uncertainty at a time when the tectonic plates of global success are moving.

    Economic success is the vital underpinning of every happy nation. The wellbeing we all crave goes hand in hand with economic success.

    Andrea Leadsom MP (per the Mail on Sunday)

    If Labour had a decent leader and Leadsom became PM, they'd be quoting that line at her at every PMQs between now and 2020, especially if the economy goes mammary glands up
    If ;)
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Blueberry said:

    PClipp said:

    Blueberry said:

    SeanT said:

    Blueberry said:

    saddened said:


    Regardless of his skills, in the 24 hour rolling news era, he is too reminiscent of Harry Enfield's Tory boy, he will be eviscerated by the press. Every TV appearance will see a loss in support.

    May has been Home Secretary for a long time, and yet I (someone who's interested in politics) can't think of anything she's ever said. Nothing. Not a memorable sentence. She's hidden behind Cameron and the European courts on immigration/deportations. She's let him/them take the flack for 'tens of thousands' and the failed border policy. Bizarrely, the only other thing I know about her is that she likes 'kitten heals". Do me a favour. She's fucking useless.
    Tories need to be brave. Now is the time to elect a "benign dictator" kind of person - someone who knows which way to go and can see further than others. Not some 'management consultant'. Four years is enough for Gove to show he's getting us into promising waters.
    Gove is so unelectable we risk a Corbyn Labour government. No. Just no.
    Leadsom maybe, just maybe. But she is on record as saying there will be no Brexit recession. Hmm. I take your point on May, but she's the best of a bad lot. Competence and dullness will be required, now. She can delegate as necessary.
    Gove can defeat the public sector/Blob/BBC - he's clever and articulate enough to do it - and to show the blue collars and the working class that he's doing it. The middle class kids will scream and shout, but if Gove can nail immigration too - just fking do something about it, actually make the numbers come down, and take the shit for it - there are 10m+ in that.
    Gove never does anything really - except annoy people. What has he achieved? Nothing.
    Who is actually going to bring immigration down? They will get absolutely slaughtered in media even though they have a mandate to do it. They'll usurp Farage as British pantomime villain in chief. Anyone fancy that job? I reckon Gove would do it and would have the grace to give language/argument to working classes. Theresa May? She's had ample opportunity, but has failed - doesn't have it in her - it's not really what she wants to do.
    Not to mention any actual success in reducing immigration would cripple the economy, On top of the Brexit hit, it would be doubling down on economic ruin.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    Ozil, what a joke.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936
    Never thought I'd say this, but I feel for Germany here.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,414
    Are you England in disguise? :lol:
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    rcs1000 said:

    tlg86 said:

    Yeah but the shoppers have never been more sovereign

    https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/749346225158324224

    Great news. We need to stop spending money we don't have on tat.
    While that's true, the last time our savings rate moved up sharply was 1989-1992, which was pretty horrible for a lot of people.
    So what's your solution?
    It's not directly comparable, in my view. In 1989, inflation was 5.2% and the base rate was 15% (briefly). In '92 inflation was 4.3% and the base rate ranged from 10% down to 7%.

    I've actually triggered myself, remembering my mortgage payments back then *huffs into paper bag*.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Charles said:

    John_M said:



    Are we going to end up living with <<that sexy person we like>> in a Californian penthouse gargling Champagne for breakfast

    Mine's a beach house, and champagne's over-rated, but otherwise I'd doing ok :)
    Most unseemly to brag, Charles. I'll confess to the sin of envy.
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    So the truth is that Germany are not very good at penalties.

    They only looked good because they were taking them against England!
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Lowlander said:

    So the truth is that Germany are not very good at penalties.

    They only looked good because they were taking them against England!

    Italy penalties not up to much either!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    This is what would happen if England took on England in a penalty shoot out
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936
    Sudden death?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312
    Blimey, one of the worst shoot-outs I've ever seen.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,856
    I have never seen such awful penalty taking - so many not even hitting the target!
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    John_M said:

    Charles said:

    John_M said:



    Are we going to end up living with <<that sexy person we like>> in a Californian penthouse gargling Champagne for breakfast

    Mine's a beach house, and champagne's over-rated, but otherwise I'd doing ok :)
    Most unseemly to brag, Charles. I'll confess to the sin of envy.
    Did I mention that my wife retired from modelling shortly before we met?
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    omg why can't they do this when we play them...
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,414
    edited July 2016
    Are you England in disguise? :lol::lol::lol:
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    Charles said:

    John_M said:

    Charles said:

    John_M said:



    Are we going to end up living with <<that sexy person we like>> in a Californian penthouse gargling Champagne for breakfast

    Mine's a beach house, and champagne's over-rated, but otherwise I'd doing ok :)
    Most unseemly to brag, Charles. I'll confess to the sin of envy.
    Did I mention that my wife retired from modelling shortly before we met?
    lol. Git :).
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    True stat

    more German players have missed shootout penalties in the last five minutes than the previous 40 years
  • May might go for EEA but a points system for non-EU immigration (fewer muzzies more Indain doctors, etc) and a serious crackdown on EU benefits whilst allowing them legally to come (but they'll do so in far fewer numbers). We'll have left and the numbers will fall.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936
    Charles said:

    John_M said:

    Charles said:

    John_M said:



    Are we going to end up living with <<that sexy person we like>> in a Californian penthouse gargling Champagne for breakfast

    Mine's a beach house, and champagne's over-rated, but otherwise I'd doing ok :)
    Most unseemly to brag, Charles. I'll confess to the sin of envy.
    Did I mention that my wife retired from modelling shortly before we met?
    Oh, has yours retired?
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,301
    Some of the penalty takers might do better in rugby union.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    Charles said:

    Freggles said:
    I read the article. It was completely uninteresting - no argument or evidence. A pure hatchet job. I can see why the Telegraph spiked it.
    I guess it was only on the website rather than the print edition, can well imagine the Editor's reaction when it was brought to his attention! For all the dumbing down that's happened at the Telegraph, they still would like to have some evidence to back up a story on a candidate for Prime Minister!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,414
    GERMANY!!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,936
    Germany deserved that.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    John_M said:

    Charles said:

    John_M said:



    Are we going to end up living with <<that sexy person we like>> in a Californian penthouse gargling Champagne for breakfast

    Mine's a beach house, and champagne's over-rated, but otherwise I'd doing ok :)
    Most unseemly to brag, Charles. I'll confess to the sin of envy.
    Did I mention that my wife retired from modelling shortly before we met?
    Oh, has yours retired?
    touche

    (Her last - pro bono - job was as official mascot for USS Nimitz...)
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,297
    Germans again!
  • LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    edited July 2016
    Checking the stats.

    Germany haven't missed a penalty between 1982 and 2016 in UEFA or FIFA championships. They've been in shootouts four times óver that period, taking 20 penalties.

    15 of those 20 penalties were against England.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    MaxPB said:

    Scott_P said:

    I'm going to nail my colours to the mast here. I don't think the UK should leave the EU. I think it would be a disaster for our economy and it would lead to a decade of economic and political uncertainty at a time when the tectonic plates of global success are moving.

    Economic success is the vital underpinning of every happy nation. The wellbeing we all crave goes hand in hand with economic success.

    Andrea Leadsom MP (per the Mail on Sunday)

    Oh wow. That's killer. She's done.
    Mensch defence is a politician can change their mind so non story...

    So weak...
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Patrick said:

    May might go for EEA but a points system for non-EU immigration (fewer muzzies more Indain doctors, etc) and a serious crackdown on EU benefits whilst allowing them legally to come (but they'll do so in far fewer numbers). We'll have left and the numbers will fall.

    All that could have done before too !
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Lowlander said:

    So the truth is that Germany are not very good at penalties.

    They only looked good because they were taking them against England!

    I guess well never know how they look taking them against Scotland.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,928
    So it turns out that Leadsom used the Brexit referendum even more cynically than May? She's the one for me in that case. ;)
  • PaulyPauly Posts: 897
    "I didn't change my view... the EU changed." - If I was Andrea I'd go with this line.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Patrick said:

    May might go for EEA but a points system for non-EU immigration (fewer muzzies more Indain doctors, etc) and a serious crackdown on EU benefits whilst allowing them legally to come (but they'll do so in far fewer numbers). We'll have left and the numbers will fall.

    Of the 531 000 non-EU visas last year only 96 000 were for Tier 1 and 2 highly skilled migrants. Table 3: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/migrationstatisticsquarterlyreport/may2016#immigration-to-the-uk

    May was pretty pisspoor at reducing the immigration that she could control.

  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Blimey... you also hear Charlie falconer resigning in it as well... tipping point.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Patrick said:

    May might go for EEA but a points system for non-EU immigration (fewer muzzies more Indain doctors, etc) and a serious crackdown on EU benefits whilst allowing them legally to come (but they'll do so in far fewer numbers). We'll have left and the numbers will fall.

    Don't we already have a points-based system for non-EU immigration?
  • BlueberryBlueberry Posts: 408


    Gove never does anything really - except annoy people. What has he achieved? Nothing.

    Who is actually going to bring immigration down? They will get absolutely slaughtered in media even though they have a mandate to do it. They'll usurp Farage as British pantomime villain in chief. Anyone fancy that job? I reckon Gove would do it and would have the grace to give language/argument to working classes. Theresa May? She's had ample opportunity, but has failed - doesn't have it in her - it's not really what she wants to do.

    Not to mention any actual success in reducing immigration would cripple the economy, On top of the Brexit hit, it would be doubling down on economic ruin.

    Re 'economic ruin' there are 10m+ utility curves out there that value immigration coming down higher than some notional increase in GDP per head. Put another way, lots of people don't give a toss about the national economy - they want to see unambiguous evidence that we are controlling our borders. "Official government figures" don't cut it. They want to go into a cafe and get served by an English person.

    I suppose May, if she wins, will do the least she can to get away with still getting a majority 2020 over the SNP/Lab coalition horror show. Same as last time. However, if I were UKIP, I'd refresh and put Suzanne Evans in charge and start campaigning in the North....
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    SeanT said:

    Et voila. Mother Theresa's solution

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07/02/theresa-may-cutting-eu-migration-will-have-to-wait/


    She's evidently going to move to EEA, Single Market and maintained Free Movement, and hope that the economic slowdown takes immigration off the table, until she can sort something on Benefits etc

    This suits me. It's what I want, right now. But can she sell it?

    I doubt that will cut it I'm afraid.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Coral: All the English-based Germans & Italians who took penalties missed. No surprises there then. #GER #ITA
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    SeanT said:

    Et voila. Mother Theresa's solution

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07/02/theresa-may-cutting-eu-migration-will-have-to-wait/


    She's evidently going to move to EEA, Single Market and maintained Free Movement, and hope that the economic slowdown takes immigration off the table, until she can sort something on Benefits etc

    This suits me. It's what I want, right now. But can she sell it?

    Wasn't that something we already have now ? She can say these because we have about 5% swing from Leave to Remain now and she can get away with it.

    Pity we will have to suffer a recession in the meantime.
  • PaulyPauly Posts: 897
    Well I'm going to have to vote for May now, albeit reluctantly. I started as a solid eurosceptic going to vote for the most right-wing brexiteer. Now that they're all tainted I've got no choice.
    Fox's mess at defence, Gove the giant-killer and now Andrea the turncoat.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    tlg86 said:

    Ozil, what a joke.

    Overrated.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024

    Patrick said:

    May might go for EEA but a points system for non-EU immigration (fewer muzzies more Indain doctors, etc) and a serious crackdown on EU benefits whilst allowing them legally to come (but they'll do so in far fewer numbers). We'll have left and the numbers will fall.

    Of the 531 000 non-EU visas last year only 96 000 were for Tier 1 and 2 highly skilled migrants. Table 3: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/migrationstatisticsquarterlyreport/may2016#immigration-to-the-uk

    May was pretty pisspoor at reducing the immigration that she could control.

    When May comes under scrutiny she will fall apart, remember the only opposition she has had so far is Yevette who lost badly to Corbyn.......
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,170
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Et voila. Mother Theresa's solution

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07/02/theresa-may-cutting-eu-migration-will-have-to-wait/


    She's evidently going to move to EEA, Single Market and maintained Free Movement, and hope that the economic slowdown takes immigration off the table, until she can sort something on Benefits etc

    This suits me. It's what I want, right now. But can she sell it?

    I doubt that will cut it I'm afraid.
    I think it will. She'll find a fudge, And the economic fearfulness re total Brexit will see her over the line.

    We shall see.
    Civil war in the tory party ?
  • No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 4,714
    Pauly said:

    "I didn't change my view... the EU changed." - If I was Andrea I'd go with this line.

    How did that work out for Nick Clegg?
  • SeanT said:

    Patrick said:

    May might go for EEA but a points system for non-EU immigration (fewer muzzies more Indain doctors, etc) and a serious crackdown on EU benefits whilst allowing them legally to come (but they'll do so in far fewer numbers). We'll have left and the numbers will fall.

    Of the 531 000 non-EU visas last year only 96 000 were for Tier 1 and 2 highly skilled migrants. Table 3: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/migrationstatisticsquarterlyreport/may2016#immigration-to-the-uk

    May was pretty pisspoor at reducing the immigration that she could control.

    We need to end virtually all non-EU immigration, apart from Tier 1 and Tier 2. End chain migration apart from very eligible spouses, immediate kids. But, most of all, take bloody students out of the stats, they mislead.

    Agreed. We really can reduce immigration significantly now - the political will is there. Trying to get it past Ozzy and Dave was a non-starter. Trying to not do it now is a non-starter.

    On a different chain of thought - I'm coming round very much to May as PM and Leadsom as Chancellor. This will wipe Osborne off the face of the earth as far as our economy is concerned. I want him gone.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Ugh, it seems my hopes of the Tories being stupid enough to elect Gove are not going to be realised :(

    I fear Theresa May as PM is going to go down quite well with Joe Public. With the mood right now, I think people quite like the idea of a mummy figure in charge, warding off all the monsters while we're tucked up safely in bed.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    It's reassuring to find out that Andrea Leadsom has been so cynical. It's the first thing I've heard about her that gives me comfort.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Pauly said:

    Well I'm going to have to vote for May now, albeit reluctantly. I started as a solid eurosceptic going to vote for the most right-wing brexiteer. Now that they're all tainted I've got no choice.
    Fox's mess at defence, Gove the giant-killer and now Andrea the turncoat.

    Do we know why she turned on the EU ?
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited July 2016
    SeanT said:

    Patrick said:

    May might go for EEA but a points system for non-EU immigration (fewer muzzies more Indain doctors, etc) and a serious crackdown on EU benefits whilst allowing them legally to come (but they'll do so in far fewer numbers). We'll have left and the numbers will fall.

    Of the 531 000 non-EU visas last year only 96 000 were for Tier 1 and 2 highly skilled migrants. Table 3: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/migrationstatisticsquarterlyreport/may2016#immigration-to-the-uk

    May was pretty pisspoor at reducing the immigration that she could control.

    We need to end virtually all non-EU immigration, apart from Tier 1 and Tier 2. End chain migration apart from very eligible spouses, immediate kids. But, most of all, take bloody students out of the stats, they mislead.

    Not true. 5 years post visa, 20% of students are still in the UK. This works out as 40-50 000 per year. Many bring accompanying families. It varies significantly between countries. Basically the poorer the originating country, the more likely to settle permenantly.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    edited July 2016
    Bill Cash threatening judicial review if May becomes leader
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    Blueberry said:




    I suppose May, if she wins, will do the least she can to get away with still getting a majority 2020 over the SNP/Lab coalition horror show. Same as last time. However, if I were UKIP, I'd refresh and put Suzanne Evans in charge and start campaigning in the North....

    If UKIP did that and almost stopped campaigning in the South there would be much sighing of relief in the Tory party.

    And it all but destroys the Labour party.

  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    Pauly said:

    Well I'm going to have to vote for May now, albeit reluctantly. I started as a solid eurosceptic going to vote for the most right-wing brexiteer. Now that they're all tainted I've got no choice.
    Fox's mess at defence, Gove the giant-killer and now Andrea the turncoat.

    Do we know why she turned on the EU ?
    She did continue on to talk about the fundamental need for EU reform and that the EU's mandate in the UK was wafer thin and so on. But that clip, out of context or not, is killer.
  • PaulyPauly Posts: 897

    Pauly said:

    Well I'm going to have to vote for May now, albeit reluctantly. I started as a solid eurosceptic going to vote for the most right-wing brexiteer. Now that they're all tainted I've got no choice.
    Fox's mess at defence, Gove the giant-killer and now Andrea the turncoat.

    Do we know why she turned on the EU ?
    No, and I guess redemption could be found during the inevitable debates - but I'm not optimistic.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Scott_P said:

    Bill Cash threatening judicial review if May becomes leader

    Like I said,Tory civil war.
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    SeanT said:

    Patrick said:

    May might go for EEA but a points system for non-EU immigration (fewer muzzies more Indain doctors, etc) and a serious crackdown on EU benefits whilst allowing them legally to come (but they'll do so in far fewer numbers). We'll have left and the numbers will fall.

    Of the 531 000 non-EU visas last year only 96 000 were for Tier 1 and 2 highly skilled migrants. Table 3: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/migrationstatisticsquarterlyreport/may2016#immigration-to-the-uk

    May was pretty pisspoor at reducing the immigration that she could control.

    We need to end virtually all non-EU immigration, apart from Tier 1 and Tier 2. End chain migration apart from very eligible spouses, immediate kids. But, most of all, take bloody students out of the stats, they mislead.

    I think the first thing we need to do is actually count them in (and record passport numbers and detail) and count them out. The statistics are just statistics.

    May is responsible for not knowing or controlling non EU migration. There is no reason to believe she will do better as PM.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,856
    Scott_P said:

    Bill Cash threatening judicial review if May becomes leader

    What are the grounds?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Scott_P said:

    Bill Cash threatening judicial review if May becomes leader

    Does he mean if she's elected without a membership vote?
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,844
    Scott_P said:

    Bill Cash threatening judicial review if May becomes leader

    No judge would look at it. And Cash knows it.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,297
    Scott_P said:

    Bill Cash threatening judicial review if May becomes leader

    Why?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    kle4 said:

    What are the grounds?

    He wants to vote for someone else...
  • Maybe May should appoint a B'Stard or a Tebbit as Home Sec and give them a firm brief to get the job done. I wonder who that is. And I also want her to give a big role to Hannan.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    SeanT said:

    Patrick said:

    May might go for EEA but a points system for non-EU immigration (fewer muzzies more Indain doctors, etc) and a serious crackdown on EU benefits whilst allowing them legally to come (but they'll do so in far fewer numbers). We'll have left and the numbers will fall.

    Of the 531 000 non-EU visas last year only 96 000 were for Tier 1 and 2 highly skilled migrants. Table 3: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/migrationstatisticsquarterlyreport/may2016#immigration-to-the-uk

    May was pretty pisspoor at reducing the immigration that she could control.

    We need to end virtually all non-EU immigration, apart from Tier 1 and Tier 2. End chain migration apart from very eligible spouses, immediate kids. But, most of all, take bloody students out of the stats, they mislead.

    I think the first thing we need to do is actually count them in (and record passport numbers and detail) and count them out. The statistics are just statistics.

    May is responsible for not knowing or controlling non EU migration. There is no reason to believe she will do better as PM.
    Agree.
This discussion has been closed.