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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It would be a mistake for May to become leader & PM without
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It would be a mistake for May to become leader & PM without a membership election
There’s said to be talks taking place amongst “senior Tories” that if May wins convincingly in the first MP ballot on Tuesday then the other contenders should be asked to step aside so that the Home Secretary could start her job immediately. It sounds seductive but it would be a serious mistake.
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http://www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2016/
Its still hardly a ringing endorsement of Remain.
L/NP 73 ALP 66 Others 5 (6 in doubt, 76 needed for a majority)
http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/674489/Home-Secretary-Theresa-May-says-Britain-benefits-Sharia-Law
But I think the bigger reason is the preparation time, printing the ballots and that sort of thing.
There is no single solution to the Brexit, and the issue needs a range of possible answers from candidates not a stitch up.
An entertaining qualifying session, though without the red flag it may have been rather more profitable.
But the other striking thing about it is that you're driving for miles through virtually nothing. You could add more lanes without a lot of serious logistical difficulties. There's very little of the kind of infrastructure you see in genuinely heavily populated areas like extended sections in tunnels or multiple decks stacked on top of each other. The limiting factor for doing this is cost, and that scales great when spread over more users.
The other thing you notice about England if you only drive there once a year, that might get lost to gradualism if you do it all the time, is that the roads are gradually getting better: Bypasses built, single-lane roads getting upgraded to two, etc. So I don't think the process of turning new people into taxes, and taxes into infrastructure, is particularly broken.
Pizza, Indian, Chinese!!
Seriously, my mother has severe manic depression and showed less absurd opinion swings than your posts. Hers happened over about two weeks up and down.
Delivery might be a bigger issue, I can't imagine there's too many overseas members, maybe they can use a courier service for those who want to vote? The cost will be negligible compared to the cost of having a lame duck PM for another month.
I treat ones about May with the same Hmm.
Bearing in mind Hamilton's starts, Hulkenberg or Raikkonen may finish lap 1 leading [unlikely to be Button as the Honda's not great].
TBH, I'm highly sceptical of received PB wisdom re thread headers. They've been largely wrong on the big calls re EU ref, Tories not winning GE 2015 and LDs defying gravity.
I treat ones about May with the same Hmm.
In what parallel universe do you think Crabb will be May's contender? What total wishful thinking nonsense.
If I suggested the final two were Leadsom vs Fox you'd rightly ridicule me.
The suggestion is that it is now basically "mob" run & the mob buy up all the copies so basically the roma.have to sell for them but also genuinely homeless people can't even get supply if the magazine.
In many places it is now organised criminal monopoly that controls big issue supply & means for genuine homeless people this avenue of getting oneself back on two feet isn't available.
These tales that she will never take responsibility for anything that goes wrong, micromanages everything, has failed miserably with controlling immigration and that colleagues, including the PM, dread meeting with her are all rather worrying.
Any reassurances re the above from May supporters?
Primary votes 42% Coalition ALP 35% Greens 10% Others 13%
2PP L/NP 50.7% ALP 49.3%
Hope the stewards put Hulk to the back TBH, a double waved yellow means that cars should slow down and be prepared to stop. A token millisecond lift en route to a personal best lap really shouldn't cut it. Martin Brundle agrees with me
Street parties in Bolsover and Islington .... what's not to like.
Not to mention May appointing a government Hereditary Grand Falconer .... Step forward Charlie ....
It was rather amusing. He ate better than me.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07/02/jeremy-corbyn-urged-to-retire-with-dignity-as-hard-left-recruit/
If it goes to the ballot it will be May v Leadsom, and Leadsom will win.
When you look at May's record, it does not bear scrutiny. And that is without reading Guido's pulled Telegraph article.
Leadsom has less of a record of failure to hold her back. So that is where my book is.
I think Leadsom is destined for the Brexit Ministry in a May premiership. I have a horrible feeling Osborne would move to the Home Office...
“Many British people of different faiths follow religious codes and practices, and benefit a great deal from the guidance they offer.
“A number of women have reportedly been victims of what appear to be discriminatory decisions taken by Sharia councils, and that is a significant concern.
“There is only one rule of law in our country, which provides rights and security for every citizen.
“Professor Siddiqui, supported by a panel with a strong balance of academic, religious and legal expertise, will help us better understand whether and the extent to which Sharia law is being misused or exploited and make recommendations to the Government on how to address this.”
She did keep her head down in the referendum though and that may help her.
What's not to like?
Former Murdoch journalist (with very limited track in UK poiltics) does hatchet job on Gove opponent shocker!
Perhaps the Telegraph saw it for what it was.....
Do you go with the lack of competence you know about or take a chance?
There are other issues with May, as well, which will make her difficult to elect as a PM, for example her husbands role in G4S. Dennis had business interests, but none that could be a government contractor as far as I am aware.
Whatever happens - Gove will go down as the Giant Killer of Tory ambitions.
The real world solution is to stay in the single market, get a fig leaf on free movement and then reform the benefits system so people can't come here and after 90 days claim housing benefits, tax credits and other welfare without having paid into the system. We also need to do that for our own citizens, the work incentive in this country is awful compared to other European countries. Let's fix what we can rather than restrict the markets. Supply side reforms are the answer, not restrictions on the markets, as a Tory or someone on the right I'm amazed you can't see it.
Taking a chance is all well and good when you're in opposition, but this is a one way ticket to the highest political office in the land.
The Gorbachev quote is apposite http://www.goodreads.com/quotes/565258-the-most-puzzling-development-in-politics-during-the-last-decade
“The most puzzling development in politics during the last decade is the apparent determination of Western European leaders to re-create the Soviet Union in Western Europe.”
http://www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2016/
On what planet is Cameron 'installing May'?
How many voters in northern council estates, or come to that middle class homes in the Shires have even heard of EFTA let alone have views for or against us being part of it. The idea that more than a handful of political obsessives would have voted for it if it was on the ballot is bizarre.
If he doesn't get a penalty, it'll be interesting to see how well he can do from 2nd.
How would PM Leadsom cope with a terrorist attack? Or war in the Middle East?
For those reasons, May should be the next PM.
But the Brexiteers also continue to underestimate the financial hit of Brexit. We can't afford to faff about for 3 months.
May should have a mandate. In a GE, on a platform of trying to rescue the economy.
Landslide win.
Remember, the The Shires went LEAVE. A lot of those people who voted for Brexit would be Conservative members who are going to get a vote a vote in this thing.
They thought nothing of voting against Cameron (and thus destroying his career) so they certainly won't have any qualms about voting against Theresa if Andrea is the last Brexiteer standing.
Theresa may have to try and buy her off with an offer for CoE next week...
That should disqualify her from office
No shit
...the person who had overseen breaking of their key GE pledge/lie that the public just voted against
Should the little people have to be asked, the choice will be Remainiac v Remainiac.