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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Team Corbyn shouldn’t assume that he’ll get “three quidder

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  • Options
    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Corbyn is surely fucked
  • Options
    YellowSubmarineYellowSubmarine Posts: 2,740
    Leave is a victory from which Boris will never recover.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,953

    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 51 secs51 seconds ago

    Supportive message coming from the unions, and letter from 240 Labour councillors BACKING Corbyn

    Jezza's going nowhere. as we all knew...
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    That misdirected email throws up a lot of interesting questions. Why do Murdoch/Dacre instinctively dislike Boris? What are the specific assurances being sought? Why does the email wander between discussing Michael Gove in the third person and then by the end apparently refer to him in the second person?

    Is it not from Mrs G to a flunky who is attending the meeting ?
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,552

    That misdirected email throws up a lot of interesting questions. Why do Murdoch/Dacre instinctively dislike Boris? What are the specific assurances being sought? Why does the email wander between discussing Michael Gove in the third person and then by the end apparently refer to him in the second person?

    I am sure that SeanT can see the potential in that outline. Brilliant!
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048
    edited June 2016

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.

    On that subject, the comments from Juncker about this are interesting, saying that if you're in you can try to change the terms, but if you're out you're out.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sPCCJ9myP70
    We are out (or will be). Why would we want to change the terms of EU membership when we are not a member?
    If the new government decides that the British interest is best served by trying to negotiate to stay in, they still have that option. Until we're out, we're in.
    Another one trying to reverse a democratic decision?

    Oh and of course you are wrong. Until we are out we are indeed in. Completely. Which means that with exception to actual discussions on Brexit we are fully involved in all decision making as much (or as little) as we were before the vote.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,748

    That misdirected email throws up a lot of interesting questions. Why do Murdoch/Dacre instinctively dislike Boris? What are the specific assurances being sought? Why does the email wander between discussing Michael Gove in the third person and then by the end apparently refer to him in the second person?

    The Murdoch owned Times sacked Boris for making up a quote.

    Rupert never forgets.

    Amusingly, just like Dave, it was Piers Gaveston that got Boris in trouble
  • Options
    DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    Jobabob said:

    Corbyn is surely fucked

    Someone has to do a deal.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    GIN1138 said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Breaking: Gove may not support Boris...

    Oooooooo.....
    Johnson stock dropping faster than FTSE250.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,987
    Jobabob said:

    Corbyn is surely fucked

    Ha, ha. He is going to lead Labour to their next two electoral wipe outs.

  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,193
    John_M said:

    Patrick said:

    Anyone got any ideas for a thriller? I pay folding money

    I've always been fascinated by the possibility of storing the human mind electronically and issues of identity (the sort of 'if you could transplant a brain it would actually be a body transplant not a brain transplant'). They're starting to be able to record some aspects of brain function and memory. Maybe record dreams and replay them inside someone else's brain. Maybe transplant an identity as a form of control or false flag operation. I'm sure there's a thriller where the protagonist thinks he's someone else, maybe finds he is someone else. Obviously there's a bad guy controlling. Something horribly serious at stake. I'd go lite on the gorilla sex and Swedish boilings though.

    I like the Peter Watts' articles about all the wierd and wonderful things our minds can get up to, like Cotard's delusion (patient 'knows' they are dead), blindsight, agnosias of various flavours (hemispherical blindness is wierd). The article about the man with 2% of normal brain tissue who appeared to be fully functional stays with me to this day.

    There has to be a novel somewhere in there :).
    I sometimes wonder if the DNA that sets up the brain in an embryo takes its structure from the parents - which leaves open the possibility of inherited memory from a parent. The synapses when configured start with some previously known structure.

    Now, if the structure is daddy's - and say daddy is a serial killer...
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048
    surbiton said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Breaking: Gove may not support Boris...

    Oooooooo.....
    Johnson stock dropping faster than FTSE250.
    You mean climbing don't you? It is two days of gains.
  • Options
    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869
    Patrick said:

    Anyone got any ideas for a thriller? I pay folding money

    I've always been fascinated by the possibility of storing the human mind electronically and issues of identity (the sort of 'if you could transplant a brain it would actually be a body transplant not a brain transplant'). They're starting to be able to record some aspects of brain function and memory. Maybe record dreams and replay them inside someone else's brain. Maybe transplant an identity as a form of control or false flag operation. I'm sure there's a thriller where the protagonist thinks he's someone else, maybe finds he is someone else. Obviously there's a bad guy controlling. Something horribly serious at stake. I'd go lite on the gorilla sex and Swedish boilings though.

    Read a sci-fi story with that sort of theme as a youngster. Man in a woman's body.

    (Good afternoon, everyone)
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Pong said:

    Gove's wife's private e mail leaked to press showing that Gove may not back Boris unless he receives assurances. Sensational story from Sky

    Gove has a wife?
    Sam Cam's friend.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,987
    DanSmith said:

    Jobabob said:

    Corbyn is surely fucked

    Someone has to do a deal.

    The far left does not do deals. It is totally uncompromising. It has the members onside and so has total power.

  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,466
    surbiton said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Breaking: Gove may not support Boris...

    Oooooooo.....
    Johnson stock dropping faster than FTSE250.
    Press pack hunting Gove and Boris with questions poised - Kay Burley calling Sara Vine 'Lady Macbeth'
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.
    If that is the case, then why Leave ?
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    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Jobabob said:

    Corbyn is surely fucked

    Ha, ha. He is going to lead Labour to their next two electoral wipe outs.

    If he doesn't go, the party will split. It's that simple.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,044
    Sarah Vine's articles on Ed Miliband during the GE were nasty pieces of work.
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    murali_s said:

    Pulpstar said:

    murali_s said:

    Ed has spoken - Corbyn must reign!

    He will reign, don't worry.
    LOL - the worst typo ever!
    Someone's been taking the s.
    Hmm. Do you think offering Corbyn the throne is a way forward? He'd be a powerless figurehead which seems to be his metier.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    SeanT said:

    That misdirected email throws up a lot of interesting questions. Why do Murdoch/Dacre instinctively dislike Boris? What are the specific assurances being sought? Why does the email wander between discussing Michael Gove in the third person and then by the end apparently refer to him in the second person?

    It's a very weird email. No wife emails her husband like that. Surely.

    Something iffy about it
    Yes, but the "your ability" that Murdoch/Dacre trust must surely be that of Michael Gove himself. No one else would fit that bill.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,466
    surbiton said:

    Pong said:

    Gove's wife's private e mail leaked to press showing that Gove may not back Boris unless he receives assurances. Sensational story from Sky

    Gove has a wife?
    Sam Cam's friend.
    Former friend
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,044
    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.
    If that is the case, then why Leave ?
    Rocket boosters for Nigel Farage at the next GE ?
  • Options
    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    SeanT said:

    RobD said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Breaking: Gove may not support Boris...

    :o
    #CurseBorisJohnson is trending on Twitter

    it's just Twitter, but a mood is developing, and it ain't necessarily good for prominent LEAVE campaigners. To put it mildly.
    Oh no, not Twitter!!!
    Twitter (and facebook) only exist for the liberals to get hard talking to each other. It has no real benefit to anyone other than the BBC whatsoever. The net effect of Twitter (and Facebook) is that there is tremendous reinforcement of preconceived prejudices - resulting in an inability to change outlook and severe distrust/ hatred of those who do.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.

    Not so. In fact there are already special arrangements for specific EEA states - Protocol 47 doesn't apply to Liechtenstein, Protocol 15 has special arrangements for Liechtenstein, Protocol 8 has special provisions for Liechtenstein and Iceland, etc etc etc

    http://www.efta.int/legal-texts/eea/protocols-to-the-agreement

    What you don't seem to understand is the Contracting Parties can agree whatever they like. It will need the consent of all signatories, of course. But I've made that point many times anyway - to use the EEA route requires the consent of the UK plus the rEU 27 plus the EEA 3 (plus Switzerland for the EFTA bit). In negotiating that consent, anything can be added or subtracted, in legal terms.
    And Richard N. is wrong yet again.

    The EEA route does not require the agreement of the rest of the EU.

    It does require us to join EFTA which of course requires their agreement. But if we move from the EU to EFTA we are not in breach of the terms of the treaty and as such we remain members of the EEA.

    I know this really annoys you but it is a fact. No signatory can be removed from a treaty without being in breach of the terms. If they are forced out the whole treaty ceases to exist.
  • Options
    wasdwasd Posts: 276
    Patrick said:

    Anyone got any ideas for a thriller? I pay folding money

    I've always been fascinated by the possibility of storing the human mind electronically and issues of identity (the sort of 'if you could transplant a brain it would actually be a body transplant not a brain transplant'). They're starting to be able to record some aspects of brain function and memory. Maybe record dreams and replay them inside someone else's brain. Maybe transplant an identity as a form of control or false flag operation. I'm sure there's a thriller where the protagonist thinks he's someone else, maybe finds he is someone else. Obviously there's a bad guy controlling. Something horribly serious at stake. I'd go lite on the gorilla sex and Swedish boilings though.

    Sounds a little like 'Altered Carbon'?
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    Alistair said:

    RobD said:

    I see the FTSE is back to where it was pre-referendum results. And that had a Remain win priced in.

    FTSE All Share
    23rd June: 3481
    Today: 3413
    Now 3,441
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,953
    edited June 2016
    To be fair I don't think Boris comes out of the email all that badly... I mean essentially it just confirms what we know - That the Tories aren't fond of him (and something new is that Dacre and Murdoch are't keen, which I didn't know)

    Mr and Mrs Gove come across as very insincere and self-serving though.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,587
    surbiton said:

    Pong said:

    Gove's wife's private e mail leaked to press showing that Gove may not back Boris unless he receives assurances. Sensational story from Sky

    Gove has a wife?
    Sam Cam's friend.
    Who has used the famous Italian Job line about only supposed to be blowing the doors off to her husband about our current predicament. Which about sums it up, really.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,987
    Jobabob said:

    Jobabob said:

    Corbyn is surely fucked

    Ha, ha. He is going to lead Labour to their next two electoral wipe outs.

    If he doesn't go, the party will split. It's that simple.

    As if he cares. This is what the far left have been working towards for the last 40 years - ownership of the Labour party.

  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,315
    edited June 2016

    SeanT said:

    That misdirected email throws up a lot of interesting questions. Why do Murdoch/Dacre instinctively dislike Boris? What are the specific assurances being sought? Why does the email wander between discussing Michael Gove in the third person and then by the end apparently refer to him in the second person?

    It's a very weird email. No wife emails her husband like that. Surely.

    Something iffy about it
    Yes, but the "your ability" that Murdoch/Dacre trust must surely be that of Michael Gove himself. No one else would fit that bill.
    No it can't be Gove because in the same sentence she refers to a Johnson/Gove ticket so she must be addressing the email to someone else. Is there a press spokesman or power broker who could fit the bill?
  • Options
    mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    Patrick said:

    Anyone got any ideas for a thriller? I pay folding money

    I've always been fascinated by the possibility of storing the human mind electronically and issues of identity (the sort of 'if you could transplant a brain it would actually be a body transplant not a brain transplant'). They're starting to be able to record some aspects of brain function and memory. Maybe record dreams and replay them inside someone else's brain. Maybe transplant an identity as a form of control or false flag operation. I'm sure there's a thriller where the protagonist thinks he's someone else, maybe finds he is someone else. Obviously there's a bad guy controlling. Something horribly serious at stake. I'd go lite on the gorilla sex and Swedish boilings though.

    You should try reading Charles Stross then.
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    John_M said:

    From the Telegraph:

    He [Rajoy] was echoed by Mr Hollande, the French President, who insisted the EU will make no advance deal with Scotland. He said: "The negotiations will be conducted with the United Kingdom, not with a part of the United Kingdom.”

    Of course. Scotland is seen as a region, just like the Basque region.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,193
    IanB2 said:

    surbiton said:

    Pong said:

    Gove's wife's private e mail leaked to press showing that Gove may not back Boris unless he receives assurances. Sensational story from Sky

    Gove has a wife?
    Sam Cam's friend.
    Who has used the famous Italian Job line about only supposed to be blowing the doors off to her husband about our current predicament. Which about sums it up, really.
    Please...blowing the bloody doors off.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048
    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.
    If that is the case, then why Leave ?
    We have listed the advantages of leaving so many times before that I am not going to bother repeating them for you yet again.
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Jobabob said:

    Jobabob said:

    Corbyn is surely fucked

    Ha, ha. He is going to lead Labour to their next two electoral wipe outs.

    If he doesn't go, the party will split. It's that simple.
    Yep. I don't know why some are so sure he won't be gotten rid of. Corbyn was never going to go easily....
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Surely these "concerns" are widely known?
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    SeanT said:

    That misdirected email throws up a lot of interesting questions. Why do Murdoch/Dacre instinctively dislike Boris? What are the specific assurances being sought? Why does the email wander between discussing Michael Gove in the third person and then by the end apparently refer to him in the second person?

    It's a very weird email. No wife emails her husband like that. Surely.

    Something iffy about it
    Yes, but the "your ability" that Murdoch/Dacre trust must surely be that of Michael Gove himself. No one else would fit that bill.
    No it can't be Gove because in the same sentence she refers to a Johnson/Gove ticket so she must be addressing the email to someone else. Is there a press spokesman or power broker who could fit the bill?
    Murdoch/Dacre are not going to be trusting flunkies. I don't read the reference to a Johnson/Gove ticket in the same way as you; "Johnson/you" would look odd.
  • Options
    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    AnneJGP said:

    Patrick said:

    Anyone got any ideas for a thriller? I pay folding money

    I've always been fascinated by the possibility of storing the human mind electronically and issues of identity (the sort of 'if you could transplant a brain it would actually be a body transplant not a brain transplant'). They're starting to be able to record some aspects of brain function and memory. Maybe record dreams and replay them inside someone else's brain. Maybe transplant an identity as a form of control or false flag operation. I'm sure there's a thriller where the protagonist thinks he's someone else, maybe finds he is someone else. Obviously there's a bad guy controlling. Something horribly serious at stake. I'd go lite on the gorilla sex and Swedish boilings though.

    Read a sci-fi story with that sort of theme as a youngster. Man in a woman's body.

    (Good afternoon, everyone)
    Sadly, its been done many times before. Glasshouse by Charlie Stross, any of Richard Morgan's Kovacs novels, even Heinlein had a go.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    <
    I know this really annoys you but it is a fact. No signatory can be removed from a treaty without being in breach of the terms. If they are forced out the whole treaty ceases to exist.

    Why should it annoy me? I agree. We'll still be signatories, of course. We'll still be a Contracting Party. So what? That won't make us an EFTA state for the purposes of this agreement.

    I''ve no idea why you can't understand the fact the we are signatories IN OUR CAPACITY AS AN EU MEMBER STATE, and the three EFTA states named in the treaty are on the other side of the agreement. Of course, the agreement will now have to be changed whatever happens.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,987
    SeanT said:

    DanSmith said:

    Jobabob said:

    Corbyn is surely fucked

    Someone has to do a deal.

    The far left does not do deals. It is totally uncompromising. It has the members onside and so has total power.

    And Nick Palmer voted for him. And still supports him. Incroyable

    Nick was a communist, wasn't he? Comfortably off, totally unaffected by anything that the Tories might do, this is all just a wonderful game to him. The workers, the workers will rise, and punks and rastas and skins and people of every colour and creed will flock to follow the glorious leader and the bosses will be put in chains and we'll all own the means of production and isn't it all just so terribly exciting.

    Meanwhile in the real world ...

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    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    matt said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    Is this the 4pm Sean T and the more lubricated 9pm will be more relaxed?
    Credit Swiss have not been doing well lately, so please buck up SeanT, I'm tired of your whining. To think that i was offered a job in their Paris office in 1955.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976

    Jobabob said:

    Corbyn is surely fucked

    Ha, ha. He is going to lead Labour to their next two electoral wipe outs.
    You put to little faith in on-line petitions and John McDonnell’s call for ‘Social Uprising’ - Corbyn will win by a landslide.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    edited June 2016

    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 51 secs51 seconds ago

    Supportive message coming from the unions, and letter from 240 Labour councillors BACKING Corbyn

    I have already suggested a new name for the nascent Party. Progressive Democrats incorporating the Lib Dems. Old LD gets 200 nominations, exLab gets 450.

    They automatically become HM Opposition. Win the next election on a manifesto commitment that "we will not invoke Article 50".

    Ironically save the City of London.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,044
    SeanT said:

    It's great that, as the country reels from its mightiest political crisis since the war, Labour, Her Majesty's Opposition, have decided this is the EXACT moment to have a monumental psychosis

    Her Majesty's LOYAL Opposition is nothing of the kind. This self indulgent nonsense is borderline treachery.

    I think that is the way Nick sees it too - check out Eagle's support for Corbyn "running round like a 25 year old" during the campaign and now the way she's turned on him, and now crying. It's shameful and the PLP needs to learn some loyalty.
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    nunu said:

    Surely these "concerns" are widely known?
    I swear Kay Burley has just called Mrs Gove "Lady Macbeth".
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,587
    edited June 2016
    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.
    If that is the case, then why Leave ?
    Because a) we can reject EU directive 152w2/KE/74(i)2 (kettles) if we (oh and of course the other EEA members) want; and b) we will be free to formulate our own kettle specifications, so that although kettle manufacturers, if they want to export to the EU, will have two sets of regulatory requirements to satisfy, one of those will have been written by a bloke wearing Union Jack underpants.
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    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,685
    SeanT said:

    I did a blog about the photos in my new book.

    At least it took my mind off Brexit for half an hour.


    https://blog.whsmith.co.uk/s-k-tremayne-the-photos-in-the-fire-child/

    You should instagram. You'd like it.

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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    Mr. T, another treasure-idea could be when Hastein (I think) raided the Mediterranean in the 9th century. Got lots of treasure but lost 2/3 of his ships [obviously, unlike the other idea, that would likely now be on the seabed].

    Attila was buried in an unknown location, I think with much treasure, likewise Genghis Khan.

    A different idea would be having Edward II survive in secret (something many historians now think happened) and fathered a child, whose descendent could have legitimate claim to be King/Queen of England.

    Really, Mr. Dancer, I am surprised at you. The stories about Edward II surviving and living as a hermit/monk in Italy have been around for decades if not centuries without a shred of evidence to back them up. The idea that many historians support such stories may be correct but only for a given value of historian.
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    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    edited June 2016

    SeanT said:

    That misdirected email throws up a lot of interesting questions. Why do Murdoch/Dacre instinctively dislike Boris? What are the specific assurances being sought? Why does the email wander between discussing Michael Gove in the third person and then by the end apparently refer to him in the second person?

    It's a very weird email. No wife emails her husband like that. Surely.

    Something iffy about it
    Yes, but the "your ability" that Murdoch/Dacre trust must surely be that of Michael Gove himself. No one else would fit that bill.
    No it can't be Gove because in the same sentence she refers to a Johnson/Gove ticket so she must be addressing the email to someone else. Is there a press spokesman or power broker who could fit the bill?
    It's addressed to an advisor/associate of Gove's I think. It talks about him in the 3rd person until the words "One simple message:" when it switches to the 2nd person because it's summarising the advice the addressee should relay to Gove.

    To me, at least, it reads quite naturally.
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024

    nunu said:

    Surely these "concerns" are widely known?
    I swear Kay Burley has just called Mrs Gove "Lady Macbeth".
    Yes she did. She is basically a tabloid jurno, really ahem " wasted" on Sky News.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,315
    edited June 2016

    SeanT said:

    That misdirected email throws up a lot of interesting questions. Why do Murdoch/Dacre instinctively dislike Boris? What are the specific assurances being sought? Why does the email wander between discussing Michael Gove in the third person and then by the end apparently refer to him in the second person?

    It's a very weird email. No wife emails her husband like that. Surely.

    Something iffy about it
    Yes, but the "your ability" that Murdoch/Dacre trust must surely be that of Michael Gove himself. No one else would fit that bill.
    No it can't be Gove because in the same sentence she refers to a Johnson/Gove ticket so she must be addressing the email to someone else. Is there a press spokesman or power broker who could fit the bill?
    Murdoch/Dacre are not going to be trusting flunkies. I don't read the reference to a Johnson/Gove ticket in the same way as you; "Johnson/you" would look odd.
    Yes on re-reading it you're right, and Sky do confirm that it was sent to Gove as well.

    It's very odd to refer to your partner in the third person in a mail addressed to them, but it seems it was a group email so maybe not so strange.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,466

    nunu said:

    Surely these "concerns" are widely known?
    I swear Kay Burley has just called Mrs Gove "Lady Macbeth".
    She has several times since the story broke
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,678
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    They won't be the terms.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.
    If that is the case, then why Leave ?
    We have listed the advantages of leaving so many times before that I am not going to bother repeating them for you yet again.
    One was no free movement of people.
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    MikeK said:

    matt said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    Is this the 4pm Sean T and the more lubricated 9pm will be more relaxed?
    Credit Swiss have not been doing well lately, so please buck up SeanT, I'm tired of your whining. To think that i was offered a job in their Paris office in 1955.
    Someone please get SeanT to see his G.P, pretty sure he has bipolar.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,953
    surbiton said:

    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 51 secs51 seconds ago

    Supportive message coming from the unions, and letter from 240 Labour councillors BACKING Corbyn

    I have already suggested a new name for the nascent Party. Progressive Democrats incorporating the Lib Dems. Old LD gets 200 nominations, exLab gets 450.

    They automatically become HM Opposition. Win the next election on a manifesto commitment that "we will not invoke Article 50".

    Ironically save the City of London.
    Why would a party win the next election by promising not to invoke Article 50 when we've just voted to Brexit?
  • Options
    murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,045
    GIN1138 said:

    surbiton said:

    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 51 secs51 seconds ago

    Supportive message coming from the unions, and letter from 240 Labour councillors BACKING Corbyn

    I have already suggested a new name for the nascent Party. Progressive Democrats incorporating the Lib Dems. Old LD gets 200 nominations, exLab gets 450.

    They automatically become HM Opposition. Win the next election on a manifesto commitment that "we will not invoke Article 50".

    Ironically save the City of London.
    Why would a party win the next election by promising not to invoke Article 50 when we've just voted to Brexit?
    Because of the national interest.
  • Options
    PaulyPauly Posts: 897
    The new party should be called the "Free Movement of Labour Party". At least for once it'd be honest with the electorate.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,587
    edited June 2016
    surbiton said:

    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.
    If that is the case, then why Leave ?
    We have listed the advantages of leaving so many times before that I am not going to bother repeating them for you yet again.
    One was no free movement of people.
    Not for Richard. He is one of the Enlightened Ones that will happily accept the betrayal of the desires of the majority of the Leave voters (foreigners out) because he sees a more elegant solution in some supposed EEA arrangement.

    Although why being vetoed by Norway is a superior state of affairs to being vetoed by France, or outvoted by France and Poland, is anyone's guess.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited June 2016
    SeanT said:

    What do you suggest, as an alternative?

    Starting from here, which is where I wouldn't start from, it's a simple choice. Either we accept the full-on economic hit of not being in the Single Market, which I think will be quite nasty, in return for not having freedom of movement, or we accept the lesser economic hit (arising from the uncertainty pending agreement) of something like the EEA (assuming it's on offer, of course). This is all entirely a political negotiation, Richard T's obsession with the minutiae of the legalities is completely irrelevant.

    I haven't changed my view on the economic risks, so on balance I think the EEA route and shafting Leavers who thought they were voting for an end fo free movement of people is probably the less unpalatable of two extremely unpalatable options, and the government might get away with it given the chaos in Labour and the rather quick buyer's remorse that we are seeing. The politicians will have to find some face-saving way of pretending that both sides have won something from the negotiations.
  • Options
    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited June 2016
    surbiton said:

    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 51 secs51 seconds ago

    Supportive message coming from the unions, and letter from 240 Labour councillors BACKING Corbyn

    I have already suggested a new name for the nascent Party. Progressive Democrats incorporating the Lib Dems. Old LD gets 200 nominations, exLab gets 450.

    They automatically become HM Opposition. Win the next election on a manifesto commitment that "we will not invoke Article 50".

    Ironically save the City of London.
    vs. UKIP's "leave means leave"

    On the electoral map, huge swathes of England and Wales would turn from red to purple.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,044
    Here's what the Labour membership thinks of Angela Eagle.

    https://twitter.com/SocialistVoice/status/748166869799034881

    Lay imo.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,587
    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:

    It's great that, as the country reels from its mightiest political crisis since the war, Labour, Her Majesty's Opposition, have decided this is the EXACT moment to have a monumental psychosis

    Her Majesty's LOYAL Opposition is nothing of the kind. This self indulgent nonsense is borderline treachery.

    I think that is the way Nick sees it too - check out Eagle's support for Corbyn "running round like a 25 year old" during the campaign and now the way she's turned on him, and now crying. It's shameful and the PLP needs to learn some loyalty.
    Loyalty or not, the most damning thing about the PLP is that they were able to go to the trouble of planning and scheduling everyone's resignations hour-by-hour over a two-day period, but never thought it might be a good idea to plan out any sort of policy platform or preferred replacement leader before they pulled (or tried to) the trigger on their current one. And these are the supposed to be the alternative bunch on offer to run the country as and when we get fed up with the numpties already in charge?
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Aunty types through gritted teeth - FTSE 100 closes above pre-Brexit level

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36660133
  • Options
    murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,045
    Not is dollar terms - still well down...
  • Options
    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    murali_s said:

    Not is dollar terms - still well down...
    lol.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,380

    SeanT said:

    DanSmith said:

    Jobabob said:

    Corbyn is surely fucked

    Someone has to do a deal.

    The far left does not do deals. It is totally uncompromising. It has the members onside and so has total power.

    And Nick Palmer voted for him. And still supports him. Incroyable

    Nick was a communist, wasn't he? Comfortably off, totally unaffected by anything that the Tories might do, this is all just a wonderful game to him. The workers, the workers will rise, and punks and rastas and skins and people of every colour and creed will flock to follow the glorious leader and the bosses will be put in chains and we'll all own the means of production and isn't it all just so terribly exciting.

    Meanwhile in the real world ...

    Oh, FFS. You're so obsessed with me that you're dragging in my opinions of 45 years ago? Why don't you simply argue your case without worrying about what some ex-MP thinks?
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    murali_s said:

    Not is dollar terms - still well down...
    What about FTSE250 ? FTSE100 will be OK because overseas earnings are worth more in £'s.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,678
    IanB2 said:

    The FTSE 100 has now recovered all of its post-Referendum fall, the 250 has recovered a good proportion and, whilst still well down, the £/$ has been on the rise since yesterday.

    Since very little of the uncertainty has been resolved my instinct is that these recoveries may be temporary, but the strength of the stock market recovery in particular is both surprising and encouraging.

    Ian, the recoveries are being driven by the fact that little of the fundamentals have changed. The UK will still be in the single market and the only losers from Brexit will be Labour as they struggle to fend off UKIP once people realise leaving isn't going to change free movement.
  • Options
    HHemmeligHHemmelig Posts: 617
    Pong said:

    surbiton said:

    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 51 secs51 seconds ago

    Supportive message coming from the unions, and letter from 240 Labour councillors BACKING Corbyn

    I have already suggested a new name for the nascent Party. Progressive Democrats incorporating the Lib Dems. Old LD gets 200 nominations, exLab gets 450.

    They automatically become HM Opposition. Win the next election on a manifesto commitment that "we will not invoke Article 50".

    Ironically save the City of London.
    vs. UKIP's "leave means leave"

    On the electoral map, huge swathes of England and Wales would turn from red to purple.
    Perhaps so, but we may also see swathes of the Tories' richest constituencies turning from blue to red - eg Labour might lose Barnsley but gain Kensington.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    edited June 2016
    murali_s said:

    Not is dollar terms - still well down...
    Bet you're fun at parties :p
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Pulpstar said:

    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.
    If that is the case, then why Leave ?
    Rocket boosters for Nigel Farage at the next GE ?
    Have I mentioned my 500/1 bet?
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Pong said:

    surbiton said:

    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 51 secs51 seconds ago

    Supportive message coming from the unions, and letter from 240 Labour councillors BACKING Corbyn

    I have already suggested a new name for the nascent Party. Progressive Democrats incorporating the Lib Dems. Old LD gets 200 nominations, exLab gets 450.

    They automatically become HM Opposition. Win the next election on a manifesto commitment that "we will not invoke Article 50".

    Ironically save the City of London.
    vs. UKIP's "leave means leave"

    On the electoral map, huge swathes of England and Wales would turn from red to purple.
    Really ? Even some Tories might vote PD, at least, for this time.
  • Options
    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    edited June 2016
    surbiton said:

    murali_s said:

    Not is dollar terms - still well down...
    What about FTSE250 ? FTSE100 will be OK because overseas earnings are worth more in £'s.
    250 is back to Feb 2016 levels. It's certainly well down on its peak, which was about a year ago.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,587
    MaxPB said:

    IanB2 said:

    The FTSE 100 has now recovered all of its post-Referendum fall, the 250 has recovered a good proportion and, whilst still well down, the £/$ has been on the rise since yesterday.

    Since very little of the uncertainty has been resolved my instinct is that these recoveries may be temporary, but the strength of the stock market recovery in particular is both surprising and encouraging.

    Ian, the recoveries are being driven by the fact that little of the fundamentals have changed. The UK will still be in the single market and the only losers from Brexit will be Labour as they struggle to fend off UKIP once people realise leaving isn't going to change free movement.
    Still, individual component shares are in different positions - the banks and airlines well down, still, whereas pharma and resources fully recovered, or better.
  • Options
    PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138
    edited June 2016
    Pong said:

    surbiton said:


    I have already suggested a new name for the nascent Party. Progressive Democrats incorporating the Lib Dems. Old LD gets 200 nominations, exLab gets 450.
    They automatically become HM Opposition. Win the next election on a manifesto commitment that "we will not invoke Article 50".
    Ironically save the City of London.

    vs. UKIP's "leave means leave"
    On the electoral map, huge swathes of England and Wales would turn from red to purple.
    Cripes,Mr Pong. I mean....

    Do you really think that everybody who voted for Leave is going to vote for UKIP?
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited June 2016
    Perhaps the solution to Labour's problem is to follow what 1970s pop groups do when they split up, where they all claim the name but stick the lead singer's name in front of their own version of it.

    Les McKeown's Bay City Rollers

    Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party...with Dozy Beaky Mick and Titch
  • Options
    anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746

    Gove as CoE with May as leader... very strong team.

    No. We need Leave PM, Leave Foreign Sec, and Leave Chancellor.

  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,044
    Alistair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.
    If that is the case, then why Leave ?
    Rocket boosters for Nigel Farage at the next GE ?
    Have I mentioned my 500/1 bet?
    I'm on that too :)
  • Options
    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited June 2016

    Alistair said:

    RobD said:

    I see the FTSE is back to where it was pre-referendum results. And that had a Remain win priced in.

    FTSE All Share
    23rd June: 3481
    Today: 3413
    Now 3,441
    Re: FTSE All Share 3441 vs 3481 of 23 June. This is a terrible End of Days, anyone seen the plague of locusts? This is a really low budget movie with naff special effects.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,587

    Gove as CoE with May as leader... very strong team.

    No. We need Leave PM, Leave Foreign Sec, and Leave Chancellor.

    How many times? Boris is Remain, May is Leave!
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,315

    Gove as CoE with May as leader... very strong team.

    No. We need Leave PM, Leave Foreign Sec, and Leave Chancellor.
    I think Boris as PM and May as Foreign Secretary would be the only team with the margin for manoeuvre needed to secure the national interest.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Shouldn't the policy of HMG be that we posted the Article 50 letter but it got lost in the post !
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,678
    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.
    If that is the case, then why Leave ?
    Because we wouldn't be in the political union or subject to ECJ jurisdiction.
  • Options
    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    The French president and Spanish prime minister have both said they are opposed to the EU negotiating potential membership for Scotland.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-36656980

  • Options
    anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    IanB2 said:

    The FTSE 100 has now recovered all of its post-Referendum fall, the 250 has recovered a good proportion and, whilst still well down, the £/$ has been on the rise since yesterday.

    I'm sure they'll find something bleak to put on the News.

  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024

    SeanT said:

    DanSmith said:

    Jobabob said:

    Corbyn is surely fucked

    Someone has to do a deal.

    The far left does not do deals. It is totally uncompromising. It has the members onside and so has total power.

    And Nick Palmer voted for him. And still supports him. Incroyable

    Nick was a communist, wasn't he? Comfortably off, totally unaffected by anything that the Tories might do, this is all just a wonderful game to him. The workers, the workers will rise, and punks and rastas and skins and people of every colour and creed will flock to follow the glorious leader and the bosses will be put in chains and we'll all own the means of production and isn't it all just so terribly exciting.

    Meanwhile in the real world ...

    Oh, FFS. You're so obsessed with me that you're dragging in my opinions of 45 years ago? Why don't you simply argue your case without worrying about what some ex-MP thinks?
    ex ex MP. :)
  • Options
    murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,045
    RobD said:

    murali_s said:

    Not is dollar terms - still well down...
    Bet you're fun at parties :p
    I only speak the truth...

    Another one of my nuggets:

    We're not going to invoke Article 50 - ever
    (you heard it here first)
  • Options
    anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746

    Gove as CoE with May as leader... very strong team.

    No. We need Leave PM, Leave Foreign Sec, and Leave Chancellor.
    I think Boris as PM and May as Foreign Secretary would be the only team with the margin for manoeuvre needed to secure the national interest.
    Then we disagree.

  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,315


    The French president and Spanish prime minister have both said they are opposed to the EU negotiating potential membership for Scotland.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-36656980

    It's possible to read into those statements that they're helping buy time for Westminster to take stock and consider the options.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,033
    Mr. Llama, whilst modern history isn't my thing, Ian Mortimer's case in his biography of Edward III (The Perfect King) does seem at least plausible.

    Contemplating re-reading that, actually. Not long since I last gave it a look, but since then I've read biographies of Alfred, William Marshal, Edward I and Roger Mortimer, which may help provide some perspective.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
    Everybody including the media just need to calm down.....

    Oh and would anybody like to buy a bomb shelter? One previous owner, nearly new.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    murali_s said:

    Not is dollar terms - still well down...
    More QE in the offing pushes up asset prices priced in pounds too.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    murali_s said:

    RobD said:

    murali_s said:

    Not is dollar terms - still well down...
    Bet you're fun at parties :p
    I only speak the truth...

    Another one of my nuggets:

    We're not going to invoke Article 50 - ever
    (you heard it here first)
    Actually, I have said that.........
  • Options
    PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138
    GIN1138 said:

    surbiton said:

    Laura Kuenssberg ‏@bbclaurak 51 secs51 seconds ago

    Supportive message coming from the unions, and letter from 240 Labour councillors BACKING Corbyn

    I have already suggested a new name for the nascent Party. Progressive Democrats incorporating the Lib Dems. Old LD gets 200 nominations, exLab gets 450.

    They automatically become HM Opposition. Win the next election on a manifesto commitment that "we will not invoke Article 50".

    Ironically save the City of London.
    Why would a party win the next election by promising not to invoke Article 50 when we've just voted to Brexit?
    Because the Referendum was on the EU as it now is, or as it might become, or as Mr Cameron so brilliantly renegotiated it.

    And some of those who voted for Leave were voting against one of those three, whereas leaving the EU does not necessarily mean breaking away from Europe completely.

    The whole referendum was a total farce. Thank you, Mr Cameron.

    Isn´t it lucky we have a competent Conservative Government?
  • Options
    CopperSulphateCopperSulphate Posts: 1,119
    Alistair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    That Credit Suisse prediction is just horrible.

    We have to accept this is a major fucking mistake. A Tory must man up and say Nah, we're not doing it, and take the electoral hit. Or offer a revote, where voters can choose the three options, FULL LEAVE, EEA, STAY

    The house is catching on fire and we're squabbling in the kitchen about whose turn it is to put out the bins

    It may well be simple. May and Johnson will say EEA. The new Labour leader, if there is one, might be Stay. There may be an election, but, either way, most of the access to the single market will be retained.
    But we can't even accept EEA on the terms threatened by France - loss of passporting.

    There is no question of accepting EEA membership on any particular terms.

    If we take the EEA route it will be on the current terms including freedom of movement, passporting etc. Those terms are defined by treaty and cannot be changed for any member without being changed for all.
    If that is the case, then why Leave ?
    Rocket boosters for Nigel Farage at the next GE ?
    Have I mentioned my 500/1 bet?
    May I enquire as to what your 500 / 1 bet is?
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    What makes all this particularly painful is that, if we are going for something like the EEA route, most of the economic damage could have been avoided altogether by the Leave side making that clear in advance.

    Might not have won the referendum, though.
  • Options
    BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    surbiton said:

    murali_s said:

    RobD said:

    murali_s said:

    Not is dollar terms - still well down...
    Bet you're fun at parties :p
    I only speak the truth...

    Another one of my nuggets:

    We're not going to invoke Article 50 - ever
    (you heard it here first)
    Actually, I have said that.........
    bet you chaps thought we'd vote remain too :)
This discussion has been closed.