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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Team Corbyn shouldn’t assume that he’ll get “three quidder
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Team Corbyn shouldn’t assume that he’ll get “three quidders” vote like last time
I’m hearing that plans are afoot by those who want Corbyn out to replicate his very successful campaign a year ago to win the “three quid” vote. These were those who were able to take part in the leadership election by registering as party supporters by paying £3.
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"If You strike me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine."
The Chakrabarti Inquiry into anti-Semitism in the Labour Party will be published tomorrow.
I don't know if they're removed it, or (more likely) if my Google Fu skills are just lacking today.
The Tory contest is to end before Tory Conference.
Labour Conference happens before Tory Conference.
So it theoretically could be possible that both contests end at the same time.
Pretty pivotal moment.
The South Koreans, New Zealanders and Australians have all been talking about bi-lateral deals also.
AFP: EU 27 agree 'no single market a la carte' for UK: Tusk
I fully expect that in a vote of EEA vs WTO, the EEA side would win by 60/40. Whoever has the balls to call the vote will win a huge mandate to keep us in the single market. The EU will be happy with that and the government won't have to deal with all the screams about "betrayal".
Gordon Brown to @SkyNews: "I don't think J Corbyn's going to stay, he's going to go.He knows parliamentary party have no faith in him."
"A CANZUK union would be a very significant geopolitical player, with a combined GDP of about three quarters of that of China, the fourth largest economic area in the world. It would have the largest land area of any union. It would have the third largest defence expenditure. It would be a very significant geopolitical player. "
http://reaction.life/so-what-next/
If EU(WTO) comes with free trade with US, Canada, Australia etc on the side versus Full EU but no free trade with the anglosphere - who wins?
I've paddled about on the EU's trade website ( http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2006/december/tradoc_118238.pdf).
Interesting tidbit (which illustrates how ponderous trade talks can be). The draft FTA with Singapore was completed in October 2014. It was submitted to the ECJ in July 2015. It's not yet been ratified.
For the partisan crowd, it's genuinely not a dig at the EU. It should serve as a cautionary warning to all of us that trade agreements aren't necessarily swiftly hammered out over a pint on the back of a fag packet.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/25/meet-10-britons-who-voted-to-leave-the-eu
Similarly wealthy nations, single language, a heavily shared history.
If we'd announced that the UK would have zero tariffs or restrictions on EU exports to the UK even if we don't reach an agreement then that would be equivalent to what the EU have said. We have what the EU wants, the EU has what we want, neither are prepared to give the milk away for free currently so negotiations will happen. The final deal will not be either parties starting deal.
Corbyn - "Fraternal thanks Tom .. any ideas?"
Watson - "Something modern, rousing, familiar and with a sense of Labour Party history"
Corbyn - "We agree on something !!"
Watson - "Great .. How about 'Things Can Only Get Better' ...."
Corbyn - " *~>"<(^:>}"*
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/09/08/should-labour-move-swiftly-to-depose-corbyn/
Edit: mind you, it would probably have got equally messy back then
On the Conservative leadership: today is the only day for nominations, right?
Corbyn going nowhere, Eagle would be deselected by her own constituency if she stood, and be demolished by Corbyn in a ballot anyhow - "the lesser of two Eagles", as the Corbynites briefed this morning...
Oceania.
The UK can be an air hub. An Airstrip One if you will.
Is there a Tory PM who would sign up to that?
The Leavers have so miscalculated the strength of the UK's hand it is unbelievable.
Good luck Boris :-D
In the Middle East, any deal agreed is simply the starting point of the next negotiation. We should learn from the Israelis and the Arabs. Get what we can from Europe now and renegotiate later. Or, leave completely now without a deal, and wait until they are ready to do the best mutual deal, rather than requiring an element of punishing us.
Germany, Netherlands, France, Belgium, Eire, Italy and Spain.
They are (the order varies, except Germany is usually #1) all top ten exporters to the UK. We are mutually important to each other.
I think Boris knows exactly how weak it is. That's why he wanted to lose. His poker face was on display on Friday. Ashen.
However, there is a big BUT. We have not left the EU. Article 50 has not been invoked yet.
We will accept free movement and keep our current single market status or we will fully leave and put up full immigration restrictions on EU migrants. Those are the two available options, anything else would be sub-optimal in one way or another.