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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bunco makes the case for Liz Truss as next CON leader and P
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bunco makes the case for Liz Truss as next CON leader and PM
A couple of months ago I promised OGH that I’d write a piece on why I thought Liz Truss would be the next Prime Minister. With other things to do and three years to 2019, I put it on the back burner but events mean I need to nail my colours to the mast.
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Thanks Dr Fox.
Perhaps we'll consult over a dram or several one day. After all I do seem to have met most of the rest of the British medical profession and their assorted kit in recent years.
British Cheese.
Social media would have a field day.
Opponents would have a field day.
Panel Shows would have a field day.
My guess is, if they do any new EU Referendum polls, there'll be an even healthier lead for Leave, with people saying "it's been done now and I want to feel excited about the possibilities" outweighing the people who said "what have we done".
Top Leave candidates: Johnson, Leadsom, Gove, Leadsom, Patel, Leadsom, Villiers?
I am very disappointed by the result,my children are "Gutted".
My Son is a Civil Engineer with a major construction Co, and there were many projects and tenders on hold, now on a very long hold. Recession beckons.
The country are now horribly divided, the 2 main parties are divided, the Leavers have no clue what to do now. Boris is now faced with what to do, I think he wanted to be a Valiant loser, and then sweep in to number 10.
I used to be a Boris fan, but he has used this referendum for his own ends,regardless of the damage.
OK mark me down as a sad loser,time will tell who was right.
Just for the record,I am a pensioner, I have 2 degrees, I ran my own business with 100 employees, sold out to a multi national and worked everywhere after the sale.
Finally, I do not know where in future I can vote, neither of the 2 main parties inspire.
Forgive me if you have seen it - but the Grauniad website has/had some very interesting correlation scatter diagrams of the vote % (abscissa) against socio-economic factor (class, education, etc.) Mousing over the graph identifies the constituency for each data point. They comment on the Scottish votes being outliers.
As for not all remainers voting yes, true, and I would add that not all Yes voters would vote yes again for an EU membership.
But you will have noted the shift of the Herald and Record newspapers to, apparently, supporting indyref 2 - which is another straw in the wind to my mind.
He'll be let out on Monday alright...
I've been plowing thru the links provided in the below-the-line comments on the previous thread: so many in fact, I've forgotten who posted them. I'm fairly sure @PlatoSaid was one of them, but I can't remember the others, so this will have to be a generic "thank-you". So thank you for the links, guys.
http://www.itv.com/news/2016-06-25/former-conservative-cabinet-minister-lord-mayhew-dies/
It will be hard for him to be PM
Bloody hell not incontinence again.
Article 50 doesn't specify what "notify" means.
If Cameron says at the meeting "we are leaving" that's it.
And if Brexiteers want to challenge that, they need to go the ECJ
Sure, we all want a John Smith figure. Someone who was a good communicator and an obvious PM, and who had great political judgement. But I don't see one, or anyone close, in the current crop of Labour MPs: again, the very fact most of the PLP were enthusiastically backing the Remain campaign precisely shows how bad their political judgement is, because they backed a cause which was toxically unpopular in the Labour heartlands. If they had the political judgement of a John Smith or a 1990s Tony Blair, they would've seen in advance how unpopular the EU was with the voters.
A spokesman for the European Council has issued the following statement clarifying how Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty is triggered - the mechanism to be used by a country withdrawing from the EU.
The notification of Article 50 is a formal act and has to be done by the British government to the European Council. It has to be done in an unequivocal manner with the explicit intent to trigger Article 50.
It could either be a letter to the President of the European Council or an official statement at a meeting of the European Council duly noted in the official records of the meeting. Negotiations of leaving and the future relationship can only begin after such a formal notification.
If it is indeed the intention of the British government to leave the EU, it is therefore in its interest to notify as soon as possible."
"Yes"
Duly noted
I've always rather liked May because she's rather no nonsense and steely, but she's been too political over playing Leave/Remain/Leave. I can't trust her. Shame really - but she did it to herself.
Anyway. Elect Boris and create a schism. Elect not Boris and create a schism. And in the meantime who is in government? Cameron hasn't got the authority to switch the lights on in Number 10. His Chancellor has had to go awol to avoid the hate mob of Tory MPs who want his head. Cameron can't quit early as his deputy is his Chancellor. Another reason why this won't take months.
So, a new leader next month. No authority or control. The party conferences will be used by the new Tory and Labour leaders to set out their respective stalls. Parliament meets on Monday 10th October, passes a motion for an early general election, Boris goes to see Brenda, and we will have a General Election on Thursday 10th November.
Boris v Theresa for the Membership to pick?
And in the current climate, she is again, a Remain supporter. So a non-starter.
The reason is because the London bubble have convinced themselves that loads of people who voted Brexit are now regretting it, and that a new referendum would return a Remain result - whereas, in my experience, what's actually happening is a lot of people who grudgingly voted Remain are getting caught up in the excitement about "getting our country back". Similar to a honeymoon effect after a popular new government, where even a lot of people who backed the losing side want to believe that good change is coming.
The Hun is either at your feet or at your throat. Our government's job is to put that woman in her place.
Ask Gordon Brown
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E9lxApMJWng
On such folk and decisions history is made.
Perhaps Parliament should have a good look at this.
Remainers
Sulking about
Europe
Following your comments yesterday about Lynn Truss' promotion prospects, I backed her for small stakes, firstly at 370 (350/1 net) and subsequently at 430 (407/1 net) with Betfair.
Such is the influence of PB.com that her odds have since collapsed to 65 (61/1 net)
Were she to reach such dizzying heights, the return on my bet would even far exceed the wondrous 250/1 Formula 1 winner identified here by Morris Dancer a few weeks ago.
Fingers crossed.
P.S. I did mention on my earlier post that it was great to see you back on PB.com after an extended absence.
Time will tell if buyers remorse has legs but in the final analysis on this bill of sale no returns are available.
http://tinyurl.com/jfkt97g
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/131215
Until it draws on all its talent and stops fighting the last war or the one before that Labour is doomed.
There's no point having policies if you can't or won't communicate them. That's why Corbyn has to go.
Shocked that turnout for 18-24 was only 36% (or 38%, can't remember the number from the tweet Plato pasted here)