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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cameron’s finding You Can’t Always Get What EU Want

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    LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    edited June 2016
    Such a remarkable result and despite my expectation that only Leave could win I refused to put any money on it till today. I think I'm up about £2k off less than £400 staked. Let's get another referendum that the establishment refuse to lose as soon as possible.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    A cool 16,000 net votes going Leave's way from Dover.
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,181
    edited June 2016
    Tim_B said:

    Manchester, Brum and parts of London yet to report. Leave now 500k ahead - they'll need every bit of it when the big cities come in.

    Which big cities? Glas, Edin, Liverpool, Sheffield, Manc and half of London have already declared.
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    PlatoSaid said:

    Blimey - its almost 4am, I haven't noticed the last three hours at all!

    At 10pm I was anticipating going to bed by 2am but as the results came in they reversed the pollsters' projections.

    Now I have to make sure I am not dreaming.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,281
    Cardiff Remain 60% Leave 40%
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    GarethoftheVale2GarethoftheVale2 Posts: 2,111
    Broxtowe goes for leave
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    GideonWise said:

    I cannot believe that we are even this close to potentially getting out of this nightmare. It's just marvelous. If we do go onto Leave, this day will be celebrated long into the future.

    51.4% :smiley:
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Broxtowe out
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    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,475
    Broxtowe 55% Leave !!!

    Where was NPXMP when Remain needed him :wink:
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Dover 62.3% leave
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    AndrewSpencerAndrewSpencer Posts: 113
    Tim_B said:

    Manchester, Brum and parts of London yet to report. Leave now 500k ahead - they'll need every bit of it when the big cities come in.

    Manchester's already gone. Places running out for Remain...
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,182
    weejonnie said:

    Pound now at 1.36 to the dollar - probably won't be going to Disneyworld this year.

    Trump can buy St Andrews for 10% less than he could 6 hours ago.

    Good news for us as the US is our biggest market :-)

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    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840
    Tim_B said:

    Manchester, Brum and parts of London yet to report. Leave now 500k ahead - they'll need every bit of it when the big cities come in.

    Eh? Manchester has reported. And Birmingham is looking like being nearly 50:50.
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    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    WE'RE FREE, WE'RE FREE, WE'RE ******* FREE!
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Broxtowe votes leave by 10%
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    LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Pulpstar said:

    The remain victories such as Lewes are tiny outside London - how many London boroughs are left ?

    not enough.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,521
    Broxtowe 54.6% Leave!
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    murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,060
    weejonnie said:

    Pound now at 1.36 to the dollar - probably won't be going to Disneyworld this year.

    Trump can buy St Andrews for 10% less than he could 6 hours ago.

    Is there a floor or will the pound be worthless tomorrow?

    As I said earlier - WE ARE F*CKED!!!'
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Tim_B said:

    Manchester, Brum and parts of London yet to report. Leave now 500k ahead - they'll need every bit of it when the big cities come in.

    Manchester came in 60.4 39.6 Remain - about 31000 votes
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    John_N4John_N4 Posts: 553
    edited June 2016
    Betfair implied probability of Leave is 92%. Unless it all changes round, this will be by far the most I've ever won on a bet. (But it's still a bad result for the country.)

    Truth is that the fucking governments have ignored the messages the British people sent it in EU elections, and now they're getting their comeuppance.

    Nigel Farage - exact quote: "We will have done it without a single bullet being fired".

    Tomorrow people will be BURNING EU FLAGS IN THE STREET, not just in Britain, but across the EU.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 59,414
    hunchman said:

    Birds just starting to tweet outside my window.

    A bright new dawn is it not?!!

    Are we taking bets on when 'buyers remorse' sets in? I give it a couple of months.
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    OUTOUT Posts: 569
    Betfair lol
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 50,079
    Dover LEAVE 62
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    weejonnie said:

    Pound now at 1.36 to the dollar - probably won't be going to Disneyworld this year.

    Trump can buy St Andrews for 10% less than he could 6 hours ago.

    Holidays will cost 10% more. First redundancies in the travel industry ?
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    I tweeted this at 8.27 yesterday morning. I never thought it would happen :grin:

    https://mobile.twitter.com/old_labour/status/745881009351180288
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,281
    Canterbury and Barnsley vote Leave
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    edited June 2016
    GBPUSD 1.35 gone! That opens the way much lower down to $1.25 potentially.

    February 2009 lows GONE!
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    PlatoSaid said:

    Blimey - its almost 4am, I haven't noticed the last three hours at all!

    I "get up" for work in 3 hours - what a night though!
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Any Scottish folk staying up for the full UK result? :)
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,281
    Waltham Forest votes Remain
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    PantherDavePantherDave Posts: 59
    Tim_B said:

    Manchester, Brum and parts of London yet to report. Leave now 500k ahead - they'll need every bit of it when the big cities come in.

    You're right, this is far from over yet
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    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840
    hunchman said:

    GBPUSD 1.35 gone! That opens the way much lower down to $1.25 potentially.

    Looks like we may have to re-balance our economy at long last.

    Shock.

    Horror.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Farage claims victory
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,521
    A new day has dawned, has it not?
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Bristol:

    Remain: 141,027 (62%)
    Leave: 87,418 (38%)
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,281
    edited June 2016
    Preston Leave 53% Remain 47%

    Dartford votes Leave
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    Farage, as ever, declaring victory TOO SOON
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,306
    'Biggest uprising since Peasants Revolt in 1381'
    Our chief political correspondent Christopher Hope puts the referendum into historical context.

    Heh :D
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    ThrakThrak Posts: 494
    Now hit below 1.35. B of E, over to you...
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    CookieCookie Posts: 12,024
    From the BBC: "However former Labour leadership candidate Liz Kendall tweeted: "May I humbly request no 'this is a huge wake-up call' comments. Some of us have been "awake" for a little while." "
    Wasn't Liz Kendall prominent in the 'Remain' campaign?
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    edited June 2016
    surbiton said:

    weejonnie said:

    Pound now at 1.36 to the dollar - probably won't be going to Disneyworld this year.

    Trump can buy St Andrews for 10% less than he could 6 hours ago.

    Holidays will cost 10% more. First redundancies in the travel industry ?
    No - we'll concentrate on holidays at home - boost the UK economy.

    We might also get the tour operators to stop charging exhorbitant prices during school holidays - if they can make a profit at other times then there is no need for them to.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 59,414
    Remain on BF at 16.

    Farage now in full flow.

    I feel sick to the stomach.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018
    surbiton said:

    Southern Tory shires and the Home counties are not going as much Leave as was expected. So who knows ?

    I was worried at first; not seeing any swing to Remain sizeable enough.
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    It's a start. I hope Trump says tomorrow

    "Good result. You get it, folks. When I come back as POTUS, I trust you will have elected a parliament of Grown-Ups. These people don't serve you well..."
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Farage giving an acceptance speech.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,521
    Thrak said:

    Now hit below 1.35. B of E, over to you...

    Interest rate rise please? :)
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Cambridge nearly 74% remain.

    Farage!!!!!!!!!!
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,411
    edited June 2016
    GarethoftheVale2 said:

    Broxtowe goes for leave

    Told you so, sadly. 35K to 29K.
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    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    Just woke up, any news from Mrs Duffy voters?
    :innocent:
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    Where's the best place to look at incoming results?

    The BBC live results on their website dont show the margin in each authority which annoys me.

    A site that showed comparison to par would be magnificent - PB is best I can find for that!
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    SeanT said:

    As a journalistic aside, Matthew Parris is finished, I think

    Used to enjoy reading his articles but recently he's gone off the boil.
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    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840
    SeanT said:

    As a journalistic aside, Matthew Parris is finished, I think

    Good. Don't like him.
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    LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Is this the right song?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yljbcRu3tiU
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    GideonWise said:

    I'd pay quite a bit of money to catch a glimpse of George Osborne's face right now. What a delight that would be.

    I would not want to launder his underwear though.
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    Oh Nigel did you really have to say "without a bullet being fired"?

    Prat.
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    BlueberryBlueberry Posts: 408
    KentRising said:

    Philip_Thompson said:

    surbiton said:

    Slough votes OUT. Hounslow barely IN. Asian voters voting OUT. Why ?

    Why not?

    Why vote for a racist pro-white-European policy?
    I've been saying for the past month, watch out for the Commonwealth vote!!!
    Yup. I canvassed loads of Jamaica leavers in Lambeth.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,759
    John McTernan keeps up his impeccable predictive record.

    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/746174590871822336
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,281
    Bristol Remain 62% Leave 38%
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    GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    TCPoliticalBetting said:

    Just woke up, any news from Mrs Duffy voters?
    :innocent:

    60% voted out I think.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Farage "we'll have done it without a single bullet being fired" - unfortunate turn of phrase.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    MyBurningEars said:

    Where's the best place to look at incoming results?

    The BBC live results on their website dont show the margin in each authority which annoys me.

    A site that showed comparison to par would be magnificent - PB is best I can find for that!

    This is a bit difficult to use:

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-live-results-and-analysis
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    RealBritainRealBritain Posts: 255
    RodCrosby said:

    It's a start. I hope Trump says tomorrow

    "Good result. You get it, folks. When I come back as POTUS, I trust you will have elected a parliament of Grown-Ups. These people don't serve you well..."

    rottenborough said:

    Remain on BF at 16.

    Farage now in full flow.

    I feel sick to the stomach.

    Farage is part of the future of England now, unfortunately. Not of London, but of England.
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Nige: "We did it without a single bullet being fired."

    That would have been the next step, eventually, without this vote...
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    SeanT said:

    As a journalistic aside, Matthew Parris is finished, I think

    He's outed himself as the most appalling snob. I don't even bother to read him anymore = I skip to the comments.
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    anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    Cookie said:

    From the BBC: "However former Labour leadership candidate Liz Kendall tweeted: "May I humbly request no 'this is a huge wake-up call' comments. Some of us have been "awake" for a little while." "
    Wasn't Liz Kendall prominent in the 'Remain' campaign?

    She argued Remain the the Spectator debate. Lost that one too!
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    AndrewSpencerAndrewSpencer Posts: 113
    SeanT said:

    As a journalistic aside, Matthew Parris is finished, I think

    As is the Fink - big Chavez ahead at the Times
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 48,149
    RobD said:

    'Biggest uprising since Peasants Revolt in 1381'
    Our chief political correspondent Christopher Hope puts the referendum into historical context.

    Heh :D

    I don't recall that having a very happy outcome?
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    YellowSubmarineYellowSubmarine Posts: 2,740
    Farage not auditioning for the " National Healer " role here.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 52,080
    Why are Boris and Gove letting Farage be the face of this win? Really strange politics.
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    PantherDavePantherDave Posts: 59
    Farage calls it...and how!!
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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    SeanT said:

    As a journalistic aside, Matthew Parris is finished, I think

    His bubble article is my personal nomination for the Sion Simon award, 2016.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,521
    alex. said:

    Farage "we'll have done it without a single bullet being fired" - unfortunate turn of phrase.

    I hope that wasn't intentional!
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    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    Farage close to tears. A national hero.
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Leave over 10 million votes
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018
    leave on 10 MILLION
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    AndrewSpencerAndrewSpencer Posts: 113
    AndrewSpencer said:

    SeanT said:

    As a journalistic aside, Matthew Parris is finished, I think

    As is the Fink - big Chavez ahead at the Times
    Changes even! Damn auto-correct
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,521
    DavidL said:

    Why are Boris and Gove letting Farage be the face of this win? Really strange politics.

    They are impotent.
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    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,851
    YellowSubmarine said:

    Farage not auditioning for the " National Healer " role here.

    Lol!
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,181
    Gosh, shocking margin for remain in Cardiff.
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    SirBenjaminSirBenjamin Posts: 238
    Why am I feeling the same sort of hypnogogic dread that I felt in 1997?
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,759
    MyBurningEars said:

    Oh Nigel did you really have to say "without a bullet being fired"?

    Prat.

    What a ****.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,306
    OMG Farage is out of a job!
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 48,149
    Pulpstar said:

    The remain victories such as Lewes are tiny outside London - how many London boroughs are left ?

    A few, but they are a mixed bag - I am hearing 75% leave for Havering and narrow remain for Redbridge
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    RealBritainRealBritain Posts: 255
    MonikerDiCanio said:

    Farage close to tears. A national hero.

    A brilliantly skilled demagogue.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2016
    Cardiff:

    Remain: 101,788 (60%)
    Leave: 67,816 (40%)
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    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840
    MonikerDiCanio said:

    Farage close to tears. A national hero.

    Don't like all his political opinions, but do respect him.
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    No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 4,074
    Dadge said:

    What is it with left-wingers shooting themselves in the foot? Trying to get Sanders nominated in the US. Succeeding in making Old King Islington Labour leader in the UK. These are Liberal coups. This weekend might be Labour's last chance before it slides into irrelevance, but is there anyone strong enough left to wrestle Corbyn into submission?

    But this vote has been all about "taking back control" and control is what socialists like Corbyn live for. Rent controls will be one of the first demands, I expect.

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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Justine Greening looking very bitter on the Beeb!
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,281
    edited June 2016
    TCPoliticalBetting said:

    Just woke up, any news from Mrs Duffy voters?
    :innocent:

    Pat the cleaner was voting out in my office.

    I was astounded !

    Complete non voter.
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    MyBurningEars said:

    Oh Nigel did you really have to say "without a bullet being fired"?

    Prat.

    UKIP and Vote Leave didn't fire anything - I expect he's referring to his speech saying that when voting fails you have to resort to bullets - or words to that effect.

    Still - I agree - a bit unfortunate.
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    ThrakThrak Posts: 494
    murali_s said:

    weejonnie said:

    Pound now at 1.36 to the dollar - probably won't be going to Disneyworld this year.

    Trump can buy St Andrews for 10% less than he could 6 hours ago.

    Is there a floor or will the pound be worthless tomorrow?

    As I said earlier - WE ARE F*CKED!!!'
    Doubt it would go below parity.
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Nigel Farage says
    "The dawn is breaking on Independence for the United Kingdom"

    The headline for the morning media.

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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    AndyJS said:

    MyBurningEars said:

    Where's the best place to look at incoming results?

    The BBC live results on their website dont show the margin in each authority which annoys me.

    A site that showed comparison to par would be magnificent - PB is best I can find for that!

    This is a bit difficult to use:

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-live-results-and-analysis
    The Britainelects SS has been excellent.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mI2o0smlVC_TyzhsnweLEayc3tRgtBxIDCotABtUIX0/htmlview?pref=2&pli=1&sle=true#
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    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840
    DavidL said:

    Why are Boris and Gove letting Farage be the face of this win? Really strange politics.

    They are busy forming the next government.
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Thrak said:

    murali_s said:

    weejonnie said:

    Pound now at 1.36 to the dollar - probably won't be going to Disneyworld this year.

    Trump can buy St Andrews for 10% less than he could 6 hours ago.

    Is there a floor or will the pound be worthless tomorrow?

    As I said earlier - WE ARE F*CKED!!!'
    Doubt it would go below parity.
    Euro hasn't reached parity yet.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    AndrewSpencer said:

    SeanT said:

    As a journalistic aside, Matthew Parris is finished, I think

    As is the Fink - big Chavez ahead at the Times
    Fink hasn't been rude - just a rather OTT Cameroon loyalist. Clare Foges is the most pathetic columnist
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    OUTOUT Posts: 569
    Theuniondivvie said:

    John McTernan keeps up his impeccable predictive record.

    https://twitter.com/WingsScotland/status/746174590871822336

    Zoomer?
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Is the Sutton result correct ?
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 59,414
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 1m1 minute ago
    Mansfield, #EUref result:
    Remain: 29.1% (16,417)
    Leave: 70.9% (39,927)

    John Mann territory
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    steve_garnersteve_garner Posts: 1,019
    Sutton votes out!
This discussion has been closed.