@JoeWatts_: @DanHannanMEP says if it's a very tight win for #Leave there will have to be a middle way found between #Remain and full #Brexit
Hmm. If Hannan has said that I don't think he's just being nice to Remainers. He must either think Leave will win comfortably (and he wants to sound statesmanlike in the meantime) or he thinks it will be very close either way and wants to put pressure on Remain to make an equivalent commitment.
Or he has always been in favour of full freedom of movement and is using "controlled migration" as a cloak to disguise what he really thinks and gain the votes of antiimmigrationists. See also BoJo (and come to think of it, Gove?)
You beat me to it! It's obvious that the euro-sceptic Tories have a plan, and it involves moving the Kippers on to the anti-immigration fringe. It's straight out of the New Labour playbook, and it is Gove, of course, who refers to Blair as 'the Master'.
And before anyone complains, I know Europe doesn't equal the EU, but take it up with the band Europe, they should have named themselves The European Union, not just plain Europe.
And before anyone complains, I know Europe doesn't equal the EU, but take it up with the band Europe, they should have named themselves The European Union, not just plain Europe.
Hannan won't be speaking off his own bat. I wonder if Boris, Gove, Cameron and Osborne are already in talks - once Leave has won we'll all agree on EU-membership Lite so Dave can save face and economic turmoil won't blight Boris's first term. They're cunning old buggers these Tories!
Hannan won't be speaking off his own bat. I wonder if Boris, Gove, Cameron and Osborne are already in talks - once Leave has won we'll all agree on EU-membership Lite so Dave can save face and economic turmoil won't blight Boris's first term. They're cunning old buggers these Tories!
There is literally no way for Dave to save face.
He has lost whether we Remain or Leave. He ceased to be useful when his personal poll ratings plumbed new depths.
No it won't, all he got them to agree to was to let the UK prorate the benefit according to the cost of living in the country the kid is living in. Bureaucratic nightmare or what, it would have to be calculated for each country where someone is sending benefit to a child, and constantly updated, not only that in some of the countries we would have to pay more rather than less.
Ah, that's right, it will probably cost more to implement than it will save.
@JoeWatts_: @DanHannanMEP says if it's a very tight win for #Leave there will have to be a middle way found between #Remain and full #Brexit
I don't get what the margin of victory has to do with it. At the end of the day we are voting on whether or not to remain in the EU. What leave actually looks like is up to our elected politicians.
If the voters don't like what they do between now and the next election then they can kick them out.
And before anyone complains, I know Europe doesn't equal the EU, but take it up with the band Europe, they should have named themselves The European Union, not just plain Europe.
How about "The Single Market"?
Interestingly, a facebook acquaintance was yesterday encouraging people to come up with Brexit-themed songs. The one which immediately sprang to mind was 'The Final Countdown', which I didn't submit because, on reflection, it didn't appear particularly relevant, and then I couldn't work out why I'd thought of it. Only now you point out who wrote the song do I realise what my brain was doing.
And before anyone complains, I know Europe doesn't equal the EU, but take it up with the band Europe, they should have named themselves The European Union, not just plain Europe.
How about "The Single Market"?
'Ever Closer Union' would be a great name for a band.
And before anyone complains, I know Europe doesn't equal the EU, but take it up with the band Europe, they should have named themselves The European Union, not just plain Europe.
How about "The Single Market"?
'Ever Closer Union' would be a great name for a band.
And before anyone complains, I know Europe doesn't equal the EU, but take it up with the band Europe, they should have named themselves The European Union, not just plain Europe.
How about "The Single Market"?
'Ever Closer Union' would be a great name for a band.
And before anyone complains, I know Europe doesn't equal the EU, but take it up with the band Europe, they should have named themselves The European Union, not just plain Europe.
How about "The Single Market"?
'Ever Closer Union' would be a great name for a band.
EU wants to shut down freedom of speech and religion from the Internet. Another reason to leave
Microsoft facebook and twitter are not internet providers they are site provifers just like OGH is with this site.
Removing things that the authorities dont like within 24 hours is as futile as trying to stop people posting about superinjunctions on those sites.
It will just go viral and be reposted and retweeted and published on sites like Guidos with serveds outside the EU who dont give a 4X what EU censors think
Hannan won't be speaking off his own bat. I wonder if Boris, Gove, Cameron and Osborne are already in talks - once Leave has won we'll all agree on EU-membership Lite so Dave can save face and economic turmoil won't blight Boris's first term. They're cunning old buggers these Tories!
There is literally no way for Dave to save face.
He has lost whether we Remain or Leave. He ceased to be useful when his personal poll ratings plumbed new depths.
Well, Dave's reputation wasn't really my point. More interesting is that tonight we've got the most vocable Tory eurosceptics on the planet explicitly talking about fudge and compromise with Remain should Leave win. There's some skulduggery afoot!
Hannan won't be speaking off his own bat. I wonder if Boris, Gove, Cameron and Osborne are already in talks - once Leave has won we'll all agree on EU-membership Lite so Dave can save face and economic turmoil won't blight Boris's first term. They're cunning old buggers these Tories!
There is literally no way for Dave to save face.
He has lost whether we Remain or Leave. He ceased to be useful when his personal poll ratings plumbed new depths.
Weirdly, Cameron does have an escape route, and Gove's given it to him!
IF LEAVE wins AND Cameron executes Article 50 almost immediately AND Cameron goes to the commons and gets a HOC vote that Cameron's government will lead the negotiations to exit EU and take UK into EEA AND makes that vote a confidence motion AND he wins...
...then he's won! A brand new mandate, a legitimate position ("..It's the next best thing..."), he royally f***s Gove, and gets a thirteenth regeneration. OK, not that last bit...
Hannan won't be speaking off his own bat. I wonder if Boris, Gove, Cameron and Osborne are already in talks - once Leave has won we'll all agree on EU-membership Lite so Dave can save face and economic turmoil won't blight Boris's first term. They're cunning old buggers these Tories!
There is literally no way for Dave to save face.
He has lost whether we Remain or Leave. He ceased to be useful when his personal poll ratings plumbed new depths.
Weirdly, Cameron does have an escape route, and Gove's given it to him!
IF LEAVE wins AND Cameron executes Article 50 almost immediately AND Cameron goes to the commons and gets a HOC vote that Cameron's government will lead the negotiations to exit EU and take UK into EEA AND makes that vote a confidence motion AND he wins...
...then he's won! A brand new mandate, a legitimate position ("..It's the next best thing..."), he royally f***s Gove, and gets a thirteenth regeneration. OK, not that last bit...
Would hate to be Graham Brady's postman in that unlikely event...
Re Hannan, surely the first question is whether he will repudiate this statement that is attributed to him. I would have expected him to do so by now though. But maybe he's stuck in a tunnel.
Hannan won't be speaking off his own bat. I wonder if Boris, Gove, Cameron and Osborne are already in talks - once Leave has won we'll all agree on EU-membership Lite so Dave can save face and economic turmoil won't blight Boris's first term. They're cunning old buggers these Tories!
There is literally no way for Dave to save face.
He has lost whether we Remain or Leave. He ceased to be useful when his personal poll ratings plumbed new depths.
Well, Dave's reputation wasn't really my point. More interesting is that tonight we've got the most vocable Tory eurosceptics on the planet explicitly talking about fudge and compromise with Remain should Leave win. There's some skulduggery afoot!
Trying to get my head around Hannan's bizarre intervention.
Clearly he is the thinking man's eurosceptic so one would be foolish to give some credence to his views.
Message seems to be Vote Leave get Remain. Could be effective.
Well, IIRC, @NickPalmer was saying on here recently that in countries where referendums are used a lot, a very close result does bring concessions to the losing side, which seems fairly sensible. Maybe Mr Hannan is thinking along those lines.
Obviously, the main point (Remain/Leave) can't be conceded, but if the country is really evenly split, it is silly to say (as the EU undoubtedly will if its Remain) that it means a 100% endorsement of the winning side.
Trying to get my head around Hannan's bizarre intervention.
Clearly he is the thinking man's eurosceptic so one would be foolish to give some credence to his views.
Message seems to be Vote Leave get Remain. Could be effective.
My guess is that they've identified uncertainty as a massive Leave weak-spot, so are now going to push 'nothing much'll change folks', 'back to the negotiating table', 'it'll all come out in the wash'. In two years' time we'll all be here discussing the merit's of PM Boris's 'deal'.
Trying to get my head around Hannan's bizarre intervention.
Clearly he is the thinking man's eurosceptic so one would be foolish to give some credence to his views.
Message seems to be Vote Leave get Remain. Could be effective.
My guess is that they've identified uncertainty as a massive Leave weak-spot, so are now going to push 'nothing much'll change folks', 'back to the negotiating table', 'it'll all come out in the wash'. In two years' time we'll all be here discussing the merit's of PM Boris's 'deal'.
Which makes you wonder if Astors intervention was part of it, which makes you wonder about the conspiracy theory that Dave is a secret leaver...
Hannan won't be speaking off his own bat. I wonder if Boris, Gove, Cameron and Osborne are already in talks - once Leave has won we'll all agree on EU-membership Lite so Dave can save face and economic turmoil won't blight Boris's first term. They're cunning old buggers these Tories!
There is literally no way for Dave to save face.
He has lost whether we Remain or Leave. He ceased to be useful when his personal poll ratings plumbed new depths.
Well, Dave's reputation wasn't really my point. More interesting is that tonight we've got the most vocable Tory eurosceptics on the planet explicitly talking about fudge and compromise with Remain should Leave win. There's some skulduggery afoot!
If it's 50/50 and mine is the casting vote, some fudge would be required.
If it's 55/45 less so and so on and so forth.
What we are seeing though, is the whites of their eyes.
FPT @ viewcode/wanderer "Eh? Both sides have the same capabilities. They would both be the British Government after the vote.
If what he means is that a 51/49 Leave win should mean EEA then he can reasonably argue that a 51/49 Remain win should too and press Cameron to sign up to that.
To understand Hannan's response you must understand what he wants. I know many here admire Hannan (I don't), and if memory serves I think some have met him (Casino Royale?) so in deference to their feelings I won't bang on. If you want to find out why I think Hannan said what he said, see below."
Hannan wants EFTA. He doesn't have a problem with free movement of workers and supports taking higher numbers of refugees and immigrants in general.
However, he concedes that immigration would have broader support if we had sovereign control over numbers and terms.
if memory serves I think some have met him (Casino Royale?) so in deference to their feelings I won't bang on. If you want to find out why I think Hannan said what he said, see below.
We have a bad case of split personality posting going on here...
if memory serves I think some have met him (Casino Royale?) so in deference to their feelings I won't bang on. If you want to find out why I think Hannan said what he said, see below.
We have a bad case of split personality posting going on here...
Eh? Both sides have the same capabilities. They would both be the British Government after the vote.
If what he means is that a 51/49 Leave win should mean EEA then he can reasonably argue that a 51/49 Remain win should too and press Cameron to sign up to that.
To understand Hannan's response you must understand what he wants. I know many here admire Hannan (I don't), and if memory serves I think some have met him (Casino Royale?) so in deference to their feelings I won't bang on. If you want to find out why I think Hannan said what he said, see below.
Hannan wants EFTA. He doesn't have a problem with free movement of workers and supports taking higher numbers of refugees and immigrants in general.
However, he concedes that immigration would have broader support if we had sovereign control over numbers and terms.
I know, because he told me.
Why did you name yourself in your own post when speculating about posters who've possibly met Dan Hannan? Bit odd. Hope there's no multiple-identity thing going on here and you used the wrong login!
FPT @ viewcode/wanderer "Eh? Both sides have the same capabilities. They would both be the British Government after the vote.
If what he means is that a 51/49 Leave win should mean EEA then he can reasonably argue that a 51/49 Remain win should too and press Cameron to sign up to that.
To understand Hannan's response you must understand what he wants. I know many here admire Hannan (I don't), and if memory serves I think some have met him (Casino Royale?) so in deference to their feelings I won't bang on. If you want to find out why I think Hannan said what he said, see below."
Hannan wants EFTA. He doesn't have a problem with free movement of workers and supports taking higher numbers of refugees and immigrants in general.
However, he concedes that immigration would have broader support if we had sovereign control over numbers and terms.
I know, because he told me.
I haven't met Hannan but my view of him is that, although he is "merely" an MEP, he is a major figure on the Leave side. So I am applying the Metternich "What did he mean by that?" to him.
But I realise it's possible that he's just saying what's in his head.
FPT @ viewcode/wanderer "Eh? Both sides have the same capabilities. They would both be the British Government after the vote.
If what he means is that a 51/49 Leave win should mean EEA then he can reasonably argue that a 51/49 Remain win should too and press Cameron to sign up to that.
To understand Hannan's response you must understand what he wants.
Could it be the following:
- His assumption was that Remain would win - He wanted to make the result as close as possible and use it to argue that the status quo wouldn't wash and push for EEA - It's started to look like Leave could actually win outright which would throw a spanner in the works of this plan - He's back-peddling
if memory serves I think some have met him (Casino Royale?) so in deference to their feelings I won't bang on. If you want to find out why I think Hannan said what he said, see below.
We have a bad case of split personality posting going on here...
No one craves another multiple screen names controversy.
Trump is toast walking. I said it long ago. Even when RodCrosby (disappeared) insisted otherwise.
In view of how western countries like UK are revolting against theiir elites in the ballot box at the moment Im not sure that this will have any more effect than Lord Heseltine saying he is voting remain.
if memory serves I think some have met him (Casino Royale?) so in deference to their feelings I won't bang on. If you want to find out why I think Hannan said what he said, see below.
We have a bad case of split personality posting going on here...
No one craves another multiple screen names controversy.
The Last Boy Scout would be turning in his tent.
Was it ever determined if Tim and compouter were the same person?
Just in case people are wondering what is happening in America - Trump continues to get the worst possible options on his Trump University scam court case, keep it in the news cycle and get a swathe of Republicans who have endorsed him to openly call his statements racist.
Just in case you are wondering why his price is drifting.
My reading of the latest YouGov polling is different to that.
In response to the question "Thinking about the current debate over Britain’s membership of the European Union and the referendum, how much do you trust the statements and claims made by the following people?", the "Don't Knows" broke as follows: - Cameron: Trust 15 Do Not Trust 60 - Farage: Trust 14, Do Not Trust 56 If we're splitting hairs, they are very marginally less likely to trust Cameron than Farage. That doesn't suggest to me that Cameron is going to be any more persuasive.
The more telling statistic is this: only 36% of undecideds are certain to vote. So in practice most won't (unless you believe that overall turnout will be well above 67%, the % of the overall YouGov sample who declared themselves certain to vote). I think that shifts in opinion amongst those already declared for one camp or the other are more important. (i.e. people shifting from Leave or Remain to undecided).
How much respect does the public have for pharmaceuticals, I wonder? More or less than bankers?
I believe one of the big bangs Remain will deploy in the next 15 days, will be the NHS staff, and the medical industry will be coming out for Remain, very heavily.
Eh? Both sides have the same capabilities. They would both be the British Government after the vote.
If what he means is that a 51/49 Leave win should mean EEA then he can reasonably argue that a 51/49 Remain win should too and press Cameron to sign up to that.
To understand Hannan's response you must understand what he wants. I know many here admire Hannan (I don't), and if memory serves I think some have met him (Casino Royale?) so in deference to their feelings I won't bang on. If you want to find out why I think Hannan said what he said, see below.
Hannan wants EFTA. He doesn't have a problem with free movement of workers and supports taking higher numbers of refugees and immigrants in general.
However, he concedes that immigration would have broader support if we had sovereign control over numbers and terms.
I know, because he told me.
Why did you name yourself in your own post when speculating about posters who've possibly met Dan Hannan? Bit odd. Hope there's no multiple-identity thing going on here and you used the wrong login!
He didn't. It was Viewcode who mentioned him. And one thing you can be sure of is he isn't Casino given he is on the other side of the argument. I think you are having nesting issues.
Farage playing a solid game so far. His aim must be to Not Fuck Up. Wield a straight bat. Defend the wicket. Geoff Boycott on a summer afternoon at Lords scoring one run an hour.
Comments
EU wants to shut down freedom of speech and religion from the Internet. Another reason to leave
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/06/rattled-cameron-holds-press-conference-to-try-to-change-eu-referendum-debate/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter
He has lost whether we Remain or Leave. He ceased to be useful when his personal poll ratings plumbed new depths.
If the voters don't like what they do between now and the next election then they can kick them out.
Unilever CEO talks about the tariffs on ice-cream. This is DESPERATE.
Someone tell him that there are no tarrifs on goods across Europe between Iceland and Yugoslavia.....
"Ever Decreasing Liberty"
Removing things that the authorities dont like within 24 hours is as futile as trying to stop people posting about superinjunctions on those sites.
It will just go viral and be reposted and retweeted and published on sites like Guidos with serveds outside the EU who dont give a 4X what EU censors think
Oh, wait....
Clearly he is the thinking man's eurosceptic so one would be foolish to give some credence to his views.
Message seems to be Vote Leave get Remain. Could be effective.
IF LEAVE wins
AND Cameron executes Article 50 almost immediately
AND Cameron goes to the commons and gets a HOC vote that Cameron's government will lead the negotiations to exit EU and take UK into EEA
AND makes that vote a confidence motion
AND he wins...
...then he's won! A brand new mandate, a legitimate position ("..It's the next best thing..."), he royally f***s Gove, and gets a thirteenth regeneration. OK, not that last bit...
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/media/2016/06/how-important-are-tv-debates-deciding-eu-referendum
Hmm.
What is going on?
Obviously, the main point (Remain/Leave) can't be conceded, but if the country is really evenly split, it is silly to say (as the EU undoubtedly will if its Remain) that it means a 100% endorsement of the winning side.
(Crikey hasn't the world changed)
It stands to reason that a transitional plan would be part of that, in my view.
Can you think of a country that wasn't?
If it's 55/45 less so and so on and so forth.
What we are seeing though, is the whites of their eyes.
Fun, no?
If what he means is that a 51/49 Leave win should mean EEA then he can reasonably argue that a 51/49 Remain win should too and press Cameron to sign up to that.
To understand Hannan's response you must understand what he wants. I know many here admire Hannan (I don't), and if memory serves I think some have met him (Casino Royale?) so in deference to their feelings I won't bang on. If you want to find out why I think Hannan said what he said, see below."
Hannan wants EFTA. He doesn't have a problem with free movement of workers and supports taking higher numbers of refugees and immigrants in general.
However, he concedes that immigration would have broader support if we had sovereign control over numbers and terms.
I know, because he told me.
Welcome back!
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/740269903945469952
http://fortune.com/2016/06/06/stanford-swimmer-assault/
Anyone fancy a PB fantasy football league for the Euros?
If so, what is the best site?
But I realise it's possible that he's just saying what's in his head.
- His assumption was that Remain would win
- He wanted to make the result as close as possible and use it to argue that the status quo wouldn't wash and push for EEA
- It's started to look like Leave could actually win outright which would throw a spanner in the works of this plan
- He's back-peddling
The Last Boy Scout would be turning in his tent.
I said I was probably going to leave and I probably am. I waste too much time here really.
Trouble is, will anyone listen to his answers?
And I think quite a few questioners in the audience just want to attack him.
Just in case you are wondering why his price is drifting.
In response to the question "Thinking about the current debate over Britain’s membership of the European Union and the referendum, how much do you trust the statements and claims made by the following people?", the "Don't Knows" broke as follows:
- Cameron: Trust 15 Do Not Trust 60
- Farage: Trust 14, Do Not Trust 56
If we're splitting hairs, they are very marginally less likely to trust Cameron than Farage. That doesn't suggest to me that Cameron is going to be any more persuasive.
The more telling statistic is this: only 36% of undecideds are certain to vote. So in practice most won't (unless you believe that overall turnout will be well above 67%, the % of the overall YouGov sample who declared themselves certain to vote). I think that shifts in opinion amongst those already declared for one camp or the other are more important. (i.e. people shifting from Leave or Remain to undecided).
Ugh!
In 1.38
Out 3.6