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  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,749
    What the Lib Dems REALLY could do with is an "Out" vote on the EU referendum. And UKIP would benefit greatly from an "In" vote...
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,957

    LibDems' performance at Great Britain by-elections during 2010-15 parliament

    https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/550716028293251073

    Er, they're no longer in Government.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,350
    I can see the argument for a temporary leader of Labour and the desire to have a leader that is still relatively new and novel by the next election but I actually think Labour need to decide on someone now.

    If even half of what we have read in the last few days is right then the Labour party under Ed has become so fundamentally dysfunctional that there are years of work to do.

    The electoral machine needs to be reworked almost from scratch learning from what the Tories did this time and also what went wrong in their own campaign.

    Scotland needs to do something radical and possibly independently as a free standing but associated party. SLAB, a traditional bastion of support, is now on life support and needs a leader that Scots are willing to listen to and have some empathy with.

    Labour have got to work out an economic policy that is even vaguely credible and then, even more importantly, accept the implications of that policy in terms of their spending and priorities.

    The absurd back of a fag packet headline grabbing nonsense that we saw under Ed absolutely has to stop.

    The base in local government, which slipped back yet again last week, needs rebuilt to build a base on which seats can be won.

    Above all a sense of purpose is required. Values are all very well but they need to lead to practical results that impact on ordinary peoples' lives. As we have vividly seen this cannot be done in the election campaign. It needs to be done over a period of years.

    I have doubts that 5 years is going to be enough to accomplish all this. Labour certainly don't have 3 years to waste.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Is Tristram Hunt not going to be able to get the nominations? Drifting on betfair - though I have just covered for the first time @ 20
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632
    @Pulpstar
    @logical_song

    Calm down, dears :)
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 53,233


    I think you will find Chukstone will be made of finest Italian marble.

    No, it will be an Apple Watch app with real-time updates on new promises.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,788

    Is Tristram Hunt not going to be able to get the nominations? Drifting on betfair - though I have just covered for the first time @ 20

    There's pretty much only really room for 4 max candidates, so I doubt Hunt will get the 15% of MPs.

    (For there to be 5, we would need 75% of MPs giving a nomination, split evenly, which is unlikely).

    So the runners look like
    Burnham
    Chuka
    Cooper
    Kendell

    and Kendell might not make it either.

  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039

    Is Tristram Hunt not going to be able to get the nominations? Drifting on betfair - though I have just covered for the first time @ 20

    There's pretty much only really room for 4 max candidates, so I doubt Hunt will get the 15% of MPs.

    (For there to be 5, we would need 75% of MPs giving a nomination, split evenly, which is unlikely).

    So the runners look like
    Burnham
    Chuka
    Cooper
    Kendell

    and Kendell might not make it either.

    They managed 5 last time but that was with nominations lent. I'd assume Kendall will be fine if Hunt isn't.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Have any of the Lib Dem leadership candidates produced a dodgy bar chart yet?
  • scotslassscotslass Posts: 912
    "Take us with you, Scotland" say thousands in North of England
    BBC Trending

    Looks like the Westminster old boys network are succeeding in splitting off more than just Scotland! We're with Nicola or want to be.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    We haven't yet had a hard left candidate come forward. Presumably one will at least try.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,749
    Cambridge may well be a yellow peril gain in 2020...
  • Bond_James_BondBond_James_Bond Posts: 1,939
    It really speaks volumes when there are apparently serious suggestions that people like Starmer and Kendall should be candidates. These are people who've basically done naff all worthy of note and in Starmer's case he's been an MP for a week.

    I still think Butcher will get it, only to crash to Kinnockesque defeat come 2020.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    So of the MPs:

    For Lamb:

    Lamb
    Brake
    (Clegg, presumably)

    For Farron:

    Farron
    Mulholland
    Williams


    Can't find any statements from Pugh & Carmichael on a cursory Google.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632
    It's a fair cop! The real reason I posted the LibDem bar chart was purely for entertainment reasons!

    :lol:
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,788

    Is Tristram Hunt not going to be able to get the nominations? Drifting on betfair - though I have just covered for the first time @ 20

    There's pretty much only really room for 4 max candidates, so I doubt Hunt will get the 15% of MPs.

    (For there to be 5, we would need 75% of MPs giving a nomination, split evenly, which is unlikely).

    So the runners look like
    Burnham
    Chuka
    Cooper
    Kendell

    and Kendell might not make it either.

    They managed 5 last time but that was with nominations lent. I'd assume Kendall will be fine if Hunt isn't.
    thats because Abbot was there for pity's sake (and because she was a woman/black etc)...
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,749

    So of the MPs:

    For Lamb:

    Lamb
    Brake
    (Clegg, presumably)

    For Farron:

    Farron
    Mulholland
    Williams


    Can't find any statements from Pugh & Carmichael on a cursory Google.

    I'm not sure Clegg will endorse anyone. Or he won't endorse Lamb if he has any sense. Lamb will be his prefferred candidate but Clegg is utterly toxic now.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited May 2015
    Pulpstar said:

    I'm not sure Clegg will endorse anyone. Or he won't endorse Lamb if he has any sense. Lamb will be his prefferred candidate but Clegg is utterly toxic now.

    Clearly Clegg won't endorse - it's (a) standard for ex-leaders and (b) not necessarily helpful to Lamb. But I was just interested about the party balance of the MPs - if the other two break for Farron it's tough to see how Lamb can lead them. Conversely if they broke for Lamb it would give him a better chance with the membership.

    Probably best to let actual LDs comment on this though...
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited May 2015
    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Kassam gawn !

    Enough of a sacrificial lamb ?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @christopherhope: BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://t.co/8HvGLMfwaY
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860
    antifrank said:



    1) With MPs being much younger nowadays

    Policemen seem to be getting younger these days too.

  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    antifrank said:

    We haven't yet had a hard left candidate come forward. Presumably one will at least try.

    John McDonnell maybe.
  • Is Tristram Hunt not going to be able to get the nominations? Drifting on betfair - though I have just covered for the first time @ 20

    There's pretty much only really room for 4 max candidates, so I doubt Hunt will get the 15% of MPs.

    (For there to be 5, we would need 75% of MPs giving a nomination, split evenly, which is unlikely).

    So the runners look like
    Burnham
    Chuka
    Cooper
    Kendell

    and Kendell might not make it either.

    They managed 5 last time but that was with nominations lent. I'd assume Kendall will be fine if Hunt isn't.
    thats because Abbot was there for pity's sake (and because she was a woman/black etc)...
    Diane Abbot was my first choice when I voted 5 years ago.

  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Farage has to go now surely. His position is untenable.

    Ludicrous mess, had he just sought re-election in the autumn as he'd said in his faux resignation then this wouldn't have been an issue.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,957

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Only heard of him today, on the Daily Politics show. Apparently a US 'Tea Party' person, which fits.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    FPT

    Luckyguy1983 said:
    I think even Isam would agree that Nigel is going to have to give up the leadership. It would seem to be all over bar the shouting.

    Isam said

    I shouldn't think so. If he does he would walk an election contest so there is no point.

    My prediction is they will lose Kassam and the other bod.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,749

    Is Tristram Hunt not going to be able to get the nominations? Drifting on betfair - though I have just covered for the first time @ 20

    There's pretty much only really room for 4 max candidates, so I doubt Hunt will get the 15% of MPs.

    (For there to be 5, we would need 75% of MPs giving a nomination, split evenly, which is unlikely).

    So the runners look like
    Burnham
    Chuka
    Cooper
    Kendell

    and Kendell might not make it either.

    They managed 5 last time but that was with nominations lent. I'd assume Kendall will be fine if Hunt isn't.
    thats because Abbot was there for pity's sake (and because she was a woman/black etc)...
    Diane Abbot was my first choice when I voted 5 years ago.

    I'm not entirely convinced you have the best interests of the Labour party at heart.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Farage has to go now surely. His position is untenable.

    Ludicrous mess, had he just sought re-election in the autumn as he'd said in his faux resignation then this wouldn't have been an issue.
    Dunno - these two chumps have been thrown to the lions to take the heat off.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I can't see how throwing Nigel's CoStaff under the bus solves the actual issue in play - Short money. Nor the bad blood between O'Flynn/Carswell/Wheeler vs Farage & Co.

  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Stunning , bare faced hypocrisy from Yevette Cooper who States on the news that Labour the reason they lost was that they did not get their message across as a result of the nasty Tories frightening people about the SNP. That was a reasonable fear given the statements from the SNP of what they intended to do to Edstone and Labour in general.

    Meanwhile Labour and she herself regularly shouted from the rooftops that there were only X number of days/ hours to save the NHS which was direct attempt to frighten the populace as well as the most vulnerable in our society or as they used to call them before "the old the sick and the needy"
  • kingbongokingbongo Posts: 393
    TGOHF said:

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Farage has to go now surely. His position is untenable.

    Ludicrous mess, had he just sought re-election in the autumn as he'd said in his faux resignation then this wouldn't have been an issue.
    Dunno - these two chumps have been thrown to the lions to take the heat off.
    A knowledge of similar cases should tell Farage etc that this won't be enough and either Farage goes or his detractors do - I would think Farage is incapable of changing and so he'll either have to be booted out causing a split or Carswell 'OFlynn etc will be booted out causing a split - even if Farage resigns he's done that before and driven the party from the back seat so even him stepping down won't change anything
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Moses_ said:

    Stunning , bare faced hypocrisy from Yevette Cooper

    So, you mean she should be favourite?
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited May 2015
    isam said:

    My prediction is they will lose Kassam and the other bod.

    Once all the pawns have been taken the king is very exposed.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    If Ukip want to please people who are tribally attached to the other parties and who would never vote Ukip in a million years, I suppose it might be a good idea to get rid of Farage
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    edited May 2015

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Farage has to go now surely. His position is untenable.

    Ludicrous mess, had he just sought re-election in the autumn as he'd said in his faux resignation then this wouldn't have been an issue.
    I don't know how Farage thought he could credibly go back to being party leader after his 'promise' anyway. It completely undermines the image he's creation for himself as this honest, straight-talking politician, and makes him come across as duplicitous and egotistical. Also seems that there's many within UKIP who don't particularly like him, either....

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Only heard of him today, on the Daily Politics show. Apparently a US 'Tea Party' person, which fits.
    LOL, that's typical from what you'd expect from them.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,024
    scotslass said:

    "Take us with you, Scotland" say thousands in North of England
    BBC Trending

    Looks like the Westminster old boys network are succeeding in splitting off more than just Scotland! We're with Nicola or want to be.

    I don't see that Westminster has anything to do with it in this instance. It's just that some very Labour areas don't like Tories but do like the SNP, who are not Tories. Real shocker there. Nothing cultural or regional about it all, just pure politics, and ignoring all those Tory bits between them and the border of course.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,957

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Farage has to go now surely. His position is untenable.

    Ludicrous mess, had he just sought re-election in the autumn as he'd said in his faux resignation then this wouldn't have been an issue.
    What's the betting he misses Question Time?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    My prediction is they will lose Kassam and the other bod.

    Once all the pawns have been taken the king is very exposed.
    Ooh SeanT has a rival!
  • Pulpstar said:

    Is Tristram Hunt not going to be able to get the nominations? Drifting on betfair - though I have just covered for the first time @ 20

    There's pretty much only really room for 4 max candidates, so I doubt Hunt will get the 15% of MPs.

    (For there to be 5, we would need 75% of MPs giving a nomination, split evenly, which is unlikely).

    So the runners look like
    Burnham
    Chuka
    Cooper
    Kendell

    and Kendell might not make it either.

    They managed 5 last time but that was with nominations lent. I'd assume Kendall will be fine if Hunt isn't.
    thats because Abbot was there for pity's sake (and because she was a woman/black etc)...
    Diane Abbot was my first choice when I voted 5 years ago.

    I'm not entirely convinced you have the best interests of the Labour party at heart.
    *innocent face*

  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    There's not a part of you Isam that thinks that Farage's credibility is at least slightly shot now?

    Isn't the job of the UKIP leader to be able to expand support and not just preach to the converted. I don't think non-Kippers are going to continue to be won over by Farage and even the converted are starting to rebel.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Farage has to go now surely. His position is untenable.

    Ludicrous mess, had he just sought re-election in the autumn as he'd said in his faux resignation then this wouldn't have been an issue.
    What's the betting he misses Question Time?
    If I worked for the BBC QT I would be rounding up a late standby substitute ..
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Been out today - has Nige un-un-resigned yet or is he likely to need to re-resign if he loses a leadership competition?
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    So an MEP suggests his party leader's campaign wasn't run as well as it could have been and the bloke responsible for the campaign gets the push, even those determined to spend their lives discrediting Ukip have to admit this really isn't a big deal.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @DPJHodges: *Breaking*: Raheem Kassam has un-resigned.

    @IsabelHardman: So Raheem Kassam has been sacked by Ukip, but tells @SebastianEPayne he hasn’t been. Plot thickening like custard http://t.co/ugWdf6c7SY
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,624
    edited May 2015
    http://order-order.com/2015/05/14/uber-poach-rachel-whetsone/

    Interesting...very interesting....and old Steve Hilton has taken some roles in the UK in the past few days...

    Kind of like Crosby, the caricatures of Hilton don't quite fit with the individual, when you actually hear him speak freely and openly.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    So an MEP suggests his party leader's campaign wasn't run as well as it could have been and the bloke responsible for the campaign gets the push, even those determined to spend their lives discrediting Ukip have to admit this really isn't a big deal.

    If only the country was run as well as Ukip.

  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Moses_ said:

    Stunning , bare faced hypocrisy from Yevette Cooper who States on the news that Labour the reason they lost was that they did not get their message across as a result of the nasty Tories frightening people about the SNP. That was a reasonable fear given the statements from the SNP of what they intended to do to Edstone and Labour in general.

    Meanwhile Labour and she herself regularly shouted from the rooftops that there were only X number of days/ hours to save the NHS which was direct attempt to frighten the populace as well as the most vulnerable in our society or as they used to call them before "the old the sick and the needy"

    Its rather bizarre logic too. "The mean Tories campaigned against us" is why we lost. Seriously? Even if that were a fair comment, what are you going to do about it?

    In five years time when Labour says "three days to save the NHS" do you think the Tories won't be campaigning?
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    antifrank said:

    We haven't yet had a hard left candidate come forward. Presumably one will at least try.

    They seem to be aware that they don't have the MPs to get a nomination:
    Forget Labour's leadership contest...
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Are we playing the hokey-cokey here?

    This is beyond absurd. I'm increasingly relieved they only have Carswell as an MP right now.
    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: *Breaking*: Raheem Kassam has un-resigned.

    @IsabelHardman: So Raheem Kassam has been sacked by Ukip, but tells @SebastianEPayne he hasn’t been. Plot thickening like custard http://t.co/ugWdf6c7SY

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,624
    edited May 2015
    Are we sure this UKIP spat isn't actually a pilot for a new Telenovela (Latino soap opera)?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    There's not a part of you Isam that thinks that Farage's credibility is at least slightly shot now?

    Isn't the job of the UKIP leader to be able to expand support and not just preach to the converted. I don't think non-Kippers are going to continue to be won over by Farage and even the converted are starting to rebel.

    I am always honest on here and will tell the truth as I see it

    Without Farage I think Ukip would be almost over and done with.. That's why the conservatives were so keen to bt him in Thanet, and why Ukip didn't get any flak post GE until Farages resignation was rejected

    You only need look at the posts on here

    He must stay and I think he will

    If Mourinho said he was quitting Chelsea then stayed id be gutted... I was gutted when he came back in fact as I knew that meant they'd be better

    There's not much more to it than that really

    Ukip supporters love Farage , he is revered by the party and in all likelihood it was resentment of Kasseem and Richardson that fuelled o Flynns remarks

    If you want to stereotype Ukip you could say it was unwillingness to accept newcomers!

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JGForsyth: So, Ukip saying Farage aide Raheem Kassam has gone, but he’s telling @SebastianEPayne that he’s still in a job http://t.co/WmvyAjZjOx

    @GuidoFawkes: "I no longer work for UKIP, but whether I ever work for Nigel again remains to be seen" says @RaheemKassam to Guido.. http://t.co/Wdr7yRmYbC
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Interestingly, today is St Matthias Day. St Matthias was the apostle who replaced Judas.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,927
    TGOHF said:

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Farage has to go now surely. His position is untenable.

    Ludicrous mess, had he just sought re-election in the autumn as he'd said in his faux resignation then this wouldn't have been an issue.
    What's the betting he misses Question Time?
    If I worked for the BBC QT I would be rounding up a late standby substitute ..
    If I was Carswell I would be ensuring I was near enough the venue..
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,451
    Farage's position looks untenable to me. But then I've never really understood how UKIP works.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Absolute amateur hour over at UKIP. This could have been avoided so easily...
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,957
    eek said:

    TGOHF said:

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Farage has to go now surely. His position is untenable.

    Ludicrous mess, had he just sought re-election in the autumn as he'd said in his faux resignation then this wouldn't have been an issue.
    What's the betting he misses Question Time?
    If I worked for the BBC QT I would be rounding up a late standby substitute ..
    If I was Carswell I would be ensuring I was near enough the venue..
    If I worked for Question Time I'd do all that I could to make sure Farage appeared.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    The UK Independence Party has descended into open civil war with one of the party’s biggest donors describing its sole MP Douglas Carswell as “duplicitous”, and attacking its general election campaign chief as “hopeless” and “weak”.

    Arron Banks, who gave £1million to the party last October, attacked a “little clique that is trying to destabilise” Nigel Farage after he reversed a decision this week to resign as leader.

    In our interview, Mr Banks shed more light on the row over whether Ukip should accept more than £3million in public money due to it after it won nearly four million votes in last week’s election.

    16.34 Senior Ukippers twist the knife

    This has just come in from Matthew Holehouse:

    I've been speaking to senior Ukip members, many of whom are convinced Farage has to go.

    His refusal to quit last week was regarded as the final straw, and galvanised years of run-ins with rivals such as Patrick O'Flynn and Godfrey Bloom.

    “He is very deceitful. He is a backstabber," said one. “He falls out with people, treads on them and walks on. This is the last time he does that. I hope he will be gone by the end of the week.”

  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,475

    eek said:

    TGOHF said:

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope

    BREAKING Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage's chief of staff, has left Ukip. the party's leadership has confirmed. More at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605216/Ukip-in-crisis-live.html

    Holy shit....
    Farage has to go now surely. His position is untenable.

    Ludicrous mess, had he just sought re-election in the autumn as he'd said in his faux resignation then this wouldn't have been an issue.
    What's the betting he misses Question Time?
    If I worked for the BBC QT I would be rounding up a late standby substitute ..
    If I was Carswell I would be ensuring I was near enough the venue..
    If I worked for Question Time I'd do all that I could to make sure Farage appeared.
    Perhaps he'll resign again live!
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    TGOHF said:

    So an MEP suggests his party leader's campaign wasn't run as well as it could have been and the bloke responsible for the campaign gets the push, even those determined to spend their lives discrediting Ukip have to admit this really isn't a big deal.

    If only the country was run as well as Ukip.

    See what I mean? If there was another election tomorrow Ukip would get more votes than last week, this is a total non-story, get over yourself

  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    isam said:

    isam said:

    My prediction is they will lose Kassam and the other bod.

    Once all the pawns have been taken the king is very exposed.
    Ooh SeanT has a rival!
    ;)

    Look, I agree with you that Farage has helped get to 4 million supporters. But it looks like he's not the right leader for the party now. Not to mention the referendum issue.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Any betting Farage is Ukip leader at end of week?

    End of month?

    End of year?

    100% book please I'm not an amateur
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Re: By-elections - I wouldn't assume there would even be an anti-govt swing in any early by-elections - it's just as likely that Cameron could increase his majority if the right seat came up. I'd put the LDs as the least likely to benefit from an anti-govt swing too - I think the mood out there is one of indifference. I wouldn't be misled by the membership surge either.

    On another note - I was surprised at some unlikely GE trends - Bishop Auckland in the NE and several Labour seats in N Wales trending blue. Also in the NW - in Barrow and Workington of all places. Hither and thither when you root around you find these changes occurring slowly and steadily. Not so obvious elsewhere except maybe for Labour in parts of London.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,788

    antifrank said:

    We haven't yet had a hard left candidate come forward. Presumably one will at least try.

    They seem to be aware that they don't have the MPs to get a nomination:
    Forget Labour's leadership contest...
    I loved Moonbats article the other day saying labour should morph into some kind of Latin American activist grass-roots movement.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,957
    Chameleon said:

    Absolute amateur hour over at UKIP. This could have been avoided so easily...

    Chameleon said:

    Absolute amateur hour over at UKIP. This could have been avoided so easily...

    I don't know, it's about par for the course:
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3003003/Ukip-axes-MEP-general-election-candidate-financial-allegations.html
    http://www.libdemvoice.org/how-ukip-managed-to-lose-45-of-their-meps-36404.html
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    edited May 2015
    Plato said:

    Are we playing the hokey-cokey here?

    This is beyond absurd. I'm increasingly relieved they only have Carswell as an MP right now.


    The way things are going, will they even have him for much longer?
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Helmer on Nige - Douglas won't agree will he?

    Nigel shouldn’t go. He’s the most substantial and respected figure in the party and he is absolutely the right person to fight the referendum campaign.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    isam said:

    Any betting Farage is Ukip leader at end of week?

    End of month?

    End of year?

    100% book please I'm not an amateur

    If you want a 100% book you make it.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,475
    isam said:

    Any betting Farage is Ukip leader at end of week?

    End of month?

    End of year?

    100% book please I'm not an amateur

    Speaking for myself, I'm not saying I think he will go, I'm saying I think he should go. The two are completely different things. I've been saying it since before the election, and I think the man walks on water.

  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Plato said:

    Are we playing the hokey-cokey here?

    This is beyond absurd. I'm increasingly relieved they only have Carswell as an MP right now.

    Scott_P said:

    @DPJHodges: *Breaking*: Raheem Kassam has un-resigned.

    @IsabelHardman: So Raheem Kassam has been sacked by Ukip, but tells @SebastianEPayne he hasn’t been. Plot thickening like custard http://t.co/ugWdf6c7SY

    Not sure - I'd half like this to have happened with the TPD still having a position rather than be off counting his redundancy money.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    isam said:

    Any betting Farage is Ukip leader at end of week?

    End of month?

    End of year?

    100% book please I'm not an amateur

    @pppolitics: Will Nigel Farage be UKIP Leader on 31st December 2015?
    5/4 Yes
    4/7 No
    http://t.co/MPIAQ2jJOd
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632
    Louise Mensch ‏@LouiseMensch · 39m39 minutes ago
    .@RaheemKassam are you around tomorrow? I would LOVE to hear how you managed this. I'll buy as you're "short money" #Carswell #Ferrets

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    isam said:

    Any betting Farage is Ukip leader at end of week?

    End of month?

    End of year?

    100% book please I'm not an amateur

    Are you more or less confident than you were that Farage would win Thanet ?
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited May 2015
    I recon Farage has to go on question time if he is to remain leader. If he cancels, or ducks it, he's a goner - It's his one chance to reassert authority.

    Anyway, I know nothing of the UKIP dynamics & can only judge farage from afar, but I think he sees UKIP as *his* and will fight to the very last to stop his baby being taken away. His chance to resign with his dignity intact has past - and that was immensely important to Nigel.

    Now his back is against the wall and he'll fight on to the very last.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Creagh to enter Lab leadership race !

    Says Bloomberg Business..
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    isam said:

    My prediction is they will lose Kassam and the other bod.

    Once all the pawns have been taken the king is very exposed.
    Ooh SeanT has a rival!
    ;)

    Look, I agree with you that Farage has helped get to 4 million supporters. But it looks like he's not the right leader for the party now. Not to mention the referendum issue.
    We have to agree to disagree. There is no one close in the party to replace him

    It really is like wenger/Mourinho/fergie/curbs/clough leaving their club

    I know you, and most people on here, aren't Ukip supporters and want them to do badly, so obv hope stands down... And as always on here, people say what they want to happen, then go round the houses justifying it so it sounds logical and unbiased. But the truth is that Farage is Ukips biggest asset
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    This is the real issue for BOOers, not Kippers per se
    Former Ukip deputy leader David Campbell-Bannerman MEP, who left the party to join the Conservatives in 2011, has written a piece for the Telegraph saying Nigel Farage should resign as he risks being the "jester of the Eurosceptic movement".
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    TGOHF said:

    Creagh to enter Lab leadership race !

    Says Bloomberg Business..

    Some 110.0 still available
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    it's good to see the Telegraph has a live blog on the UKIP crisis - comments galore being reported back in from all the key party members, but for a smidgeon of misfortune there could have been 108 UKIP MPs to provide comments on all this.
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited May 2015
    isam said:

    I know you, and most people on here, aren't Ukip supporters and want them to do badly, so obv hope stands down... And as always on here, people say what they want to happen, then go round the houses justifying it so it sounds logical and unbiased. But the truth is that Farage is Ukips biggest asset

    He's an asset in the country, I agree - but you have to be able to manage a party too. And I don't mind if UKIP does well, to be honest - Labour in particular deserve the kick up the arse that they are getting for neglecting their original supporters.

    Mostly I'm interested in the internal politics of it all.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    edited May 2015
    Scott_P said:

    @pppolitics: Will Nigel Farage be UKIP Leader on 31st December 2015?
    5/4 Yes
    4/7 No
    http://t.co/MPIAQ2jJOd


    It probably is 50/50.

    It depends on whether he resigned or unresigned on the day before.


  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,475
    isam said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    My prediction is they will lose Kassam and the other bod.

    Once all the pawns have been taken the king is very exposed.
    Ooh SeanT has a rival!
    ;)

    Look, I agree with you that Farage has helped get to 4 million supporters. But it looks like he's not the right leader for the party now. Not to mention the referendum issue.
    We have to agree to disagree. There is no one close in the party to replace him

    It really is like wenger/Mourinho/fergie/curbs/clough leaving their club

    I know you, and most people on here, aren't Ukip supporters and want them to do badly, so obv hope stands down... And as always on here, people say what they want to happen, then go round the houses justifying it so it sounds logical and unbiased. But the truth is that Farage is Ukips biggest asset
    There was no-one in the Tory Party like Hague, but he became a far bigger asset to them when he stepped down and was rehabilitated. I don't get your point that Farage will somehow vanish into a puff of smoke if he's not leader. He will clearly remain a huge figurehead.

  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    antifrank said:

    We haven't yet had a hard left candidate come forward. Presumably one will at least try.

    They seem to be aware that they don't have the MPs to get a nomination:
    Forget Labour's leadership contest...
    I loved Moonbats article the other day saying labour should morph into some kind of Latin American activist grass-roots movement.
    Well, I think it's more an argument for the Left in general and I think he's right. It's the only way out of the dead-end that Labour are currently in that sees the State doing things as a good thing of itself, and too often as the only option.

    Left-wing politics has always been about doing things collectively. Obviously the State is one way of doing that, but it's not the only way, and a lot of people are rightly distrustful of it.

    Cameron's Big Society was a big missed opportunity for the Left. They could have grabbed hold of that idea and made it their own.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    antifrank said:

    Betting post:

    http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-seats

    shadsy has taken a radically different view of the most seats market from other bookies, with the result that one can back the Conservatives at 8/11 with Ladbrokes and Labour at 2/1 elsewhere.

    Given the size of the swing that Labour require to get most seats, which has been achieved in roughly 1 in 5 elections since the Second World War, shadsy seems to be expecting the Conservatives to screw up royally.

    Right now I'd prefer to back the 8/11 rather than the 2/1. But five years is a long time to wait to collect.

    Isn't that more Shadsy expecting the SNP to screw up royally and the Tories a little bit?
    I'd have thought it is Shadsy saying that in a multiparty FPTP system, larger swings in numbers of seats are more easily attainable than in a two party system
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Oh dear ...

    Christopher Hope ‏@christopherhope 1m1 minute ago Harpenden, England

    NEW Ukip wars: Major donor Arron Banks describes party's single MP Douglas Carswell as "duplicitous".

    My interview: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ukip/11605846/Ukip-in-open-civil-war-as-major-donor-Arron-Banks-describes-its-single-MP-Douglas-Carswell-as-duplicitous.html
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739
    edited May 2015
    Plato said:

    This is the real issue for BOOers, not Kippers per se

    Former Ukip deputy leader David Campbell-Bannerman MEP, who left the party to join the Conservatives in 2011, has written a piece for the Telegraph saying Nigel Farage should resign as he risks being the "jester of the Eurosceptic movement".
    Worth pointing out that he had already left the Tories to join UKIP. Might be worth a punt on how long he will stay with the Tories this time given his supposed commitment to leaving the EU.

    But he is right about Farage.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Mary Creagh is a politician who really understands the key issues which voters worry about:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2529783/Thomas-Tank-Engine-blamed-lack-female-train-drivers-engines-male-says-Labour-minister.html
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,788
    Mary Creagh? Lol.......
  • Bond_James_BondBond_James_Bond Posts: 1,939
    isam said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    My prediction is they will lose Kassam and the other bod.

    Once all the pawns have been taken the king is very exposed.
    Ooh SeanT has a rival!
    ;)

    Look, I agree with you that Farage has helped get to 4 million supporters. But it looks like he's not the right leader for the party now. Not to mention the referendum issue.
    We have to agree to disagree. There is no one close in the party to replace him

    It really is like wenger/Mourinho/fergie/curbs/clough leaving their club

    I know you, and most people on here, aren't Ukip supporters and want them to do badly, so obv hope stands down... And as always on here, people say what they want to happen, then go round the houses justifying it so it sounds logical and unbiased. But the truth is that Farage is Ukips biggest asset
    This is to argue that Blair should still be leading Labour because he was an asset in the past.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    TGOHF said:

    Creagh to enter Lab leadership race !

    Says Bloomberg Business..

    Some 110.0 still available
    @LadPolitics: Into 33/1 with Ladbrokes https://t.co/GFtK7sWuty
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,350
    One thing that is for sure is that any worries Cameron might have had about eurosceptics moving on to UKIP and undermining his majority must be mightily diminished. Yet another reason why McBride is recommending a truly hopeless bet!
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    TGOHF said:

    So an MEP suggests his party leader's campaign wasn't run as well as it could have been and the bloke responsible for the campaign gets the push, even those determined to spend their lives discrediting Ukip have to admit this really isn't a big deal.

    If only the country was run as well as Ukip.

    See what I mean? If there was another election tomorrow Ukip would get more votes than last week, this is a total non-story, get over yourself

    What possible reason do you have to believe that? They'd almost certainly have less.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited May 2015

    isam said:

    I know you, and most people on here, aren't Ukip supporters and want them to do badly, so obv hope stands down... And as always on here, people say what they want to happen, then go round the houses justifying it so it sounds logical and unbiased. But the truth is that Farage is Ukips biggest asset

    He's an asset in the country, I agree - but you have to be able to manage a party too. And I don't mind if UKIP does well, to be honest - Labour in particular deserve the kick up the arse that they are getting for neglecting their original supporters.

    Mostly I'm interested in the internal politics of it all.
    I am no insider but get the feeling that Kassam and Richardson are the ones that are resented and there's no problem between Farage and O'Flynn, Evans, Aker or Woolfe... Anyway they've gone now so hopefully that's sorted

    Carswell seems to be his own man and is obv a bit of a maverick/ star striker that gets a bit more leeway than others ... My only concern w him is that he might really believe 4m people are fixated on gladstonian liberalism etc rather than their pay packet and hometown unless Farage is around to keep his feet on the ground ... That way lies 4%
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739

    Chameleon said:

    Absolute amateur hour over at UKIP. This could have been avoided so easily...

    Chameleon said:

    Absolute amateur hour over at UKIP. This could have been avoided so easily...

    I don't know, it's about par for the course:
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3003003/Ukip-axes-MEP-general-election-candidate-financial-allegations.html
    http://www.libdemvoice.org/how-ukip-managed-to-lose-45-of-their-meps-36404.html
    Shouldn't that last one be How the Lib Dems managed to lose 49 of their MPs?
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Moses_ said:

    Stunning , bare faced hypocrisy from Yevette Cooper who States on the news that Labour the reason they lost was that they did not get their message across as a result of the nasty Tories frightening people about the SNP. That was a reasonable fear given the statements from the SNP of what they intended to do to Edstone and Labour in general.

    Meanwhile Labour and she herself regularly shouted from the rooftops that there were only X number of days/ hours to save the NHS which was direct attempt to frighten the populace as well as the most vulnerable in our society or as they used to call them before "the old the sick and the needy"

    Its rather bizarre logic too. "The mean Tories campaigned against us" is why we lost. Seriously? Even if that were a fair comment, what are you going to do about it?

    In five years time when Labour says "three days to save the NHS" do you think the Tories won't be campaigning?
    It always amazes me when politicians think the reason they lost or that their policies are unpopular is that the messaging failed to get through. Obama still believes that about Obamacare, 5 years on, with 52+% of the public still disapproving despite all the fixes and special deals done to assuage special groups' gripes about the law, and despite Nancy Pelosi's assurance that everyone will love it once they have it.
This discussion has been closed.