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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » One thing about tonight’s for sure – my chapter on by-elect

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  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549
    MikeL said:

    corporeal said:

    MikeL said:

    corporeal said:

    MikeL said:

    Ninoinoz said:

    MikeL said:

    Andrew Neil asks about the TV debates.

    I reckon they are now off.

    Not so fast.

    The Euro ones between Farage and Clegg took place without Miliband or Cameron.

    The GE2015 ones can take place without Cameron.
    They were outside the campaign period.

    During the campaign period other rules apply.
    The rules only require that they be offered a place, if they turn it down the debates can still go ahead.
    But in practice that won't happen.

    BBC is not going to give up 90 mins of prime-time BBC1 for a debate in which the PM doesn't feature.
    Think long term. The media want these events to become part of the normal election campaign. If they let them lapse now then it's bang to the wrangling and possibly never happening again.

    They empty chair him to show their teeth once and they can lock it in long term.
    See licence fee point - apologies - I added that after initial post.

    The BBC is completely dependent on whoever is PM in 2016.

    You think they'll do a favour for Cameron in the GE campaign?

    And it's not just the BBC after all.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    AndyJS said:

    More defections awaited after this result...

    Aye, but will UKIP get a poll bounce >20% ?
  • manofkent2014manofkent2014 Posts: 1,543
    edited October 2014
    Tim_B said:

    Dan Hannan and Carswell are friends I believe. What has Hannan said about Carswell?

    Reckless is also a friend too. Hannan has repeated that he is not defecting and why he is not defecting and that he thinks they are wrong but he respects their actions.......

    http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danielhannan/100284469/douglas-carswell-will-win-big-with-implications-for-both-conservatives-and-ukip/
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    Pulpstar said:

    Diane James hasn't read the manual on expectations management !

    I don't think it works like that anymore Mr Pulpstar...
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    AndyJS said:

    More defections awaited after this result...

    SHITE

  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    corporeal said:

    MikeL said:

    corporeal said:

    MikeL said:

    corporeal said:

    MikeL said:

    Ninoinoz said:

    MikeL said:

    Andrew Neil asks about the TV debates.

    I reckon they are now off.

    Not so fast.

    The Euro ones between Farage and Clegg took place without Miliband or Cameron.

    The GE2015 ones can take place without Cameron.
    They were outside the campaign period.

    During the campaign period other rules apply.
    The rules only require that they be offered a place, if they turn it down the debates can still go ahead.
    But in practice that won't happen.

    BBC is not going to give up 90 mins of prime-time BBC1 for a debate in which the PM doesn't feature.
    Think long term. The media want these events to become part of the normal election campaign. If they let them lapse now then it's bang to the wrangling and possibly never happening again.

    They empty chair him to show their teeth once and they can lock it in long term.
    See licence fee point - apologies - I added that after initial post.

    The BBC is completely dependent on whoever is PM in 2016.

    You think they'll do a favour for Cameron in the GE campaign?

    And it's not just the BBC after all.
    STV and Sky have form on this - Bbc don't

  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    Sixty seats !

    I'm backing UKIP to the hilt. But nope.

    10 at the most.
  • old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    edited October 2014
    Dignified speech by Mr Carswell. Sounded like a potential leader of UKIP.
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    Sell at 10 Lol
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Electoral Calculus (Clacton)

    UKIP 606
    Lab 21
    LD 3
    Con 0
    Nats 2
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380

    Dignified speech by Mr Carswell. Sounded like a potential leader of UKIP.

    Get Ms Swann a seat - there's your leader

  • I didn't think spin could get much worse han Labour's during the last months of the Brown Prime Ministership but I was wrong. This mindless moronic hollow god awful Tory spin is beyond belief....
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    JBriskin said:

    Sell at 10 Lol

    Clacton, Rochester, Boston, Thurrock, Thanet South, Basildon & SE Thurrock, G Yarmouth, G Grimsby, Rotherham, Thanet North perhaps.
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    RodCrosby said:

    Electoral Calculus (Clacton)

    UKIP 606
    Lab 21
    LD 3
    Con 0
    Nats 2

    Damn you Crosby!!!! I doubt I could even find Baxter on Google.

  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    Pulpstar said:

    JBriskin said:

    Sell at 10 Lol

    Clacton, Rochester, Boston, Thurrock, Thanet South, Basildon & SE Thurrock, G Yarmouth, G Grimsby, Rotherham, Thanet North perhaps.
    Thanks - I can't write that down...

  • Dignified speech by Mr Carswell. Sounded like a potential leader of UKIP.

    He'll have to get in line. Nigel Farage has just been reappointed leader unopposed until 2018
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    I think John Baron will be someone to keep an eye on.
  • Who is this idiot Tory on the BBC trying to deny what Shapps, Hague, Johnson, Clarke etc said
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    edited October 2014

    Who is this idiot Tory on the BBC trying to deny what Shapps, Hague, Johnson, Clarke etc said

    They're both muppets. (Labour & Tory chap)...

    Very unimpressed by the pair of them - Douglas the star of the evening.
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380

    Who is this idiot Tory on the BBC trying to deny what Shapps, Hague, Johnson, Clarke etc said

    That'll be me - JBriskin - 1527

  • Nigel Farage:

    "We are ripping lumps out of the old Labour vote in the north of England. The truth of what has happened in the North today is that if you are anywhere north of Birmingham , if you vote Conservative you get Labour.

    http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danielhannan/100284469/douglas-carswell-will-win-big-with-implications-for-both-conservatives-and-ukip/
  • JBriskin said:

    Who is this idiot Tory on the BBC trying to deny what Shapps, Hague, Johnson, Clarke etc said

    That'll be me - JBriskin - 1527

    Isn't it past your bedtime yet?
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    Night all.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Amazing that UKIP were just 618 votes away from achieving the double - something that has never occurred before in British politics.
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380

    Nigel Farage:

    "We are ripping lumps out of the old Labour vote in the north of England. The truth of what has happened in the North today is that if you are anywhere north of Birmingham , if you vote Conservative you get Labour.

    http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danielhannan/100284469/douglas-carswell-will-win-big-with-implications-for-both-conservatives-and-ukip/

    Carswell was South

  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    I'm past the age of consent Mr Kent,

    Didn't stop me fucking (sex) a circa 20-year old - who - we have to choose for her own reasons - chose to wear a bunny onsie
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    New thread
This discussion has been closed.