He may well win, and win the College comfortably. However his campaign has been anything but good. Any other GOP candidate perhaps in the vein of Reagan would have won with a landslide.
The award-winning cast of The West Wing reunited to endorse VP Kamala Harris for President in a new ad created in partnership with the Lincoln Project.
NEW: Keir Starmer will declare the small boats crisis a 'national security' threat next week and will launch a new Organised Immigration Crime Intelligence Unit
The Tories need to enter the next election as the clear challengers, which means defeating Reform first.
In what world do the Tories not enter the next election as clear challengers?
I fear that in your hurry to give the Tories what you think of as bad advice you have strayed into an absurdity.
Reform want to surpass the Tories. In 2024 they were only a few percentage points behind. It would take much if Badenoch tanks. And even if she doesn’t with only 120 seats in FPTP it is folly to ignored Reform.
23.7 vs 14.3 is "only a few percentage points"?
And can you remind me of the current makeup of Reform's target seats?
So complacent. The SDP had zero % of the vote in 79 and nearly came second in 83. The Tories are more vulnerable than they have ever been. They lost Horsham and Chichester last time. Yet that is ignored. Weird.
You could try responding to the points you're quoting rather than deflecting. You might find it fun.
Eh? The gap is less than 10%, which is mind blowing. The Reform seats are irrelevant, it’s the seats they denied the Tories (and might continue to deny the Tories) that matter. I would say that the Tories only won 120 seats might bother them strategically.
Was.
At the Tories' lowest ebb.
Sometimes parties lose seats or make no progress in the first election after defeats. 1983, 2015, 2001. Don’t assume that 2024 was the lowest ebb.
It probably will be.
However awful the Tories are Labour are doing their work for them.
NEW: Keir Starmer will declare the small boats crisis a 'national security' threat next week and will launch a new Organised Immigration Crime Intelligence Unit
If Trump loses, who will go next? Will Trump have another go?
DeSantis
I think unless they get absolutely thrashed JD Vance will be the heir apparent. He's a lot smarter than Trump but, quite possibly, even madder.
He would run against DeSantis but DeSantis would be favourite as untainted by Trump and Vance defeat in that scenario.
I think DeSantis kind of disproved the idea of doing politics the way DeSantis does. Basically the thought was: Trump is popular (at least with the GOP base, and then he's a contender with the wider electorate) but he's kind of a loose cannon and a rapist and a thief and has no self-control and his organization is a mess, so let's do Trump policy without Trump the man. We don't like woke things, so here are some *policies* to crack down on woke. But that's not the appeal of Trump. Nobody wants that. The base don't want Trumpist policy particularly, they want a loose cannon flying around the ship crashing into things.
The equivalent on the left was Elizabeth Warren. There was a big constituency for Bernie Sanders, who came over as authentic and uncompromising, and also ran on a lot of left-wing policy. So Elizabeth Warren thought, let's do that but not be Bernie Sanders, and we'll make up for it with *policy*. So she has all this detail about how she's going to regulate the banks and so forth, a kind of technocratic left-populism. But nobody wants that. Some people want sensible relatively moderate government. Other people want to set shit on fire. You can't win on a program of starting sensible fires.
He may well win, and win the College comfortably. However his campaign has been anything but good. Any other GOP candidate perhaps in the vein of Reagan would have won with a landslide.
If the GOP candidate wasn't Trump they would be winning by a landslide, you don't need a Reagan - Dan Quayle would have won this time round...
Amusing how many Labour supporters on Twitter are saying Starmer is going to be happier with Kemi as leader. Most of them must know this isn't true. A few may genuinely believe it.
It's standard practice: you picked the worst choice, laugh out loud etc.
They would have said it with any of the candidates, just with different spins on it.
Labour’s support in Scotland has plunged in the wake of Rachel Reeves’s budget, which voters believe will hit them in their pockets and damage the country, a new poll has found.
Backing for Anas Sarwar’s party has dropped to such an extent that it would be virtually impossible for him to form a Scottish government if the results were replicated at the Holyrood 2026 election.
The poll by Norstat, the first conducted in Scotland since the chancellor unveiled her tax and spending plans, suggested that while voters felt warmly about the budget’s main policies, they felt that they would lose out overall.
The research put support for Labour in Scottish parliamentary constituencies at 23 per cent, a drop of seven points since the last survey in August and the lowest since Nicola Sturgeon quit as first minister last March. Backing for Scottish Labour on the more proportional regional list fell by six points to 22 per cent.
Analysis by Sir John Curtice, the polling expert and professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde, found this would leave Labour with 29 MSPs, an increase of seven on its current level.
The SNP has failed to capitalise on Labour’s woes — remaining unchanged on 33 per cent for constituency votes and increasing backing by only one point to 29 per cent on the regional list — but its projected return of 51 MSPs would almost certainly see John Swinney remain first minister despite losing 13 seats compared with the 2021 election.
The point is almost none of these duties are actually needed.
Suppose Harry hadn't gone off to the US. He would have been performing all kinds of duties - but as he's not here he hasn't - and what effect has it had on the country? None.
Suppose Andrew hadn't been banished. Ditto as above - again none of these duties have happened - again no impact on anyone.
Kate has done almost no duties this year (for entirely understandable reasons) - but again there's been no impact on anyone - other than tabloid editors who've had to find something else to go on their front pages.
The reality is that the whole thing could be scaled back by at least 90% - back to core things like Opening Parliament, Remembrance Day etc. All the rest could be dumped and huge savings made.
I thought Charles was supposed to be slimming it all down? Whatever happened to that?
He’s at least trying to slim it down by losing a big fat friend of Epstein.
Labour’s support in Scotland has plunged in the wake of Rachel Reeves’s budget, which voters believe will hit them in their pockets and damage the country, a new poll has found.
Backing for Anas Sarwar’s party has dropped to such an extent that it would be virtually impossible for him to form a Scottish government if the results were replicated at the Holyrood 2026 election.
The poll by Norstat, the first conducted in Scotland since the chancellor unveiled her tax and spending plans, suggested that while voters felt warmly about the budget’s main policies, they felt that they would lose out overall.
The research put support for Labour in Scottish parliamentary constituencies at 23 per cent, a drop of seven points since the last survey in August and the lowest since Nicola Sturgeon quit as first minister last March. Backing for Scottish Labour on the more proportional regional list fell by six points to 22 per cent.
Analysis by Sir John Curtice, the polling expert and professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde, found this would leave Labour with 29 MSPs, an increase of seven on its current level.
The SNP has failed to capitalise on Labour’s woes — remaining unchanged on 33 per cent for constituency votes and increasing backing by only one point to 29 per cent on the regional list — but its projected return of 51 MSPs would almost certainly see John Swinney remain first minister despite losing 13 seats compared with the 2021 election.
I don't understand the idea the Royal Family should live like the rest of us. That would mean they weren't Royal.
I can understand (although on a pragmatic basis disagree with) republicanism. But not that.
Yes, it really is hard to get worked up about the fact that the King is a landowner and charges rent.
More to the point, he has to. The only income he now gets is the commercial income he is allowed to retain from his estates. It’s instead of a public sector payment. George Osborne’s political choice. (Yes I know this the Duchy and not the Crown Estate, but the same principle).
NEW: Keir Starmer will declare the small boats crisis a 'national security' threat next week and will launch a new Organised Immigration Crime Intelligence Unit
NEW: Keir Starmer will declare the small boats crisis a 'national security' threat next week and will launch a new Organised Immigration Crime Intelligence Unit
Excellent. That will have the people smugglers quaking in their boots.
After the Budget I'm sure he can stretch to giving each member of staff a free wet lettuce, and a feather duster.
It’s so disingenuous. He was constantly talking about the Tories’ failure to deal with the boats during the election campaign. And only now, after more than a hundred days in office, has he decided it’s actually worth doing something about.
NEW: Keir Starmer will declare the small boats crisis a 'national security' threat next week and will launch a new Organised Immigration Crime Intelligence Unit
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
Tennant’s attack was on Badenoch and he wished for a world where she didn’t exist and that she would shut up.
If wishing for a world where Badenoch doesn't exist and that she would shut up is a sin, then there are a lot of sinners, including half of PB.
I don't think that true. I haven't heard a PB poster restate David Tennant's statement, just express understanding of why he made the statement. As a matter of principle I don't call for people to be banned, shunned or sacked*.
@kyf_100 is right that many of us have Trans friends and relations, including my sons flatmate. Sure there are issues of how to resolve the conflicting rights and aspirations, but for most of us it is a matter of freedom and "live and let live".
*my only deviation from this rule is Leicester City football managers.
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
NEW: Keir Starmer will declare the small boats crisis a 'national security' threat next week and will launch a new Organised Immigration Crime Intelligence Unit
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
Tennant’s attack was on Badenoch and he wished for a world where she didn’t exist and that she would shut up.
If wishing for a world where Badenoch doesn't exist and that she would shut up is a sin, then there are a lot of sinners, including half of PB.
I don't think that true. I haven't heard a PB poster restate David Tennant's statement, just express understanding of why he made the statement. As a matter of principle I don't call for people to be banned, shunned or sacked*.
@kyf_100 is right that many of us have Trans friends and relations, including my sons flatmate. Sure there are issues of how to resolve the conflicting rights and aspirations, but for most of us it is a matter of freedom and "live and let live".
*my only deviation from this rule is Leicester City football managers.
As a Coventry fan, permit me some schadenfreude.
And then remind me of the average league position for the last 20 years…
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
I think that a very simplistic (and wrong) description of both anorexia and gender dysphoria.
Labour’s support in Scotland has plunged in the wake of Rachel Reeves’s budget, which voters believe will hit them in their pockets and damage the country, a new poll has found.
Backing for Anas Sarwar’s party has dropped to such an extent that it would be virtually impossible for him to form a Scottish government if the results were replicated at the Holyrood 2026 election.
The poll by Norstat, the first conducted in Scotland since the chancellor unveiled her tax and spending plans, suggested that while voters felt warmly about the budget’s main policies, they felt that they would lose out overall.
The research put support for Labour in Scottish parliamentary constituencies at 23 per cent, a drop of seven points since the last survey in August and the lowest since Nicola Sturgeon quit as first minister last March. Backing for Scottish Labour on the more proportional regional list fell by six points to 22 per cent.
Analysis by Sir John Curtice, the polling expert and professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde, found this would leave Labour with 29 MSPs, an increase of seven on its current level.
The SNP has failed to capitalise on Labour’s woes — remaining unchanged on 33 per cent for constituency votes and increasing backing by only one point to 29 per cent on the regional list — but its projected return of 51 MSPs would almost certainly see John Swinney remain first minister despite losing 13 seats compared with the 2021 election.
It's Scotland, so a real longshot,but one wonders what the upper limits of how well the SCons might do up there are.
I think the lower limits are the ones more likely to be tested. Without the bogey man of independence there is no point in voting SCon. Reform are going to take a massive chunk out of them.
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
I think that a very simplistic (and wrong) description of both anorexia and gender dysphoria.
Why? A delusion is a false belief about an external reality.
NEW: Keir Starmer will declare the small boats crisis a 'national security' threat next week and will launch a new Organised Immigration Crime Intelligence Unit
Excellent. That will have the people smugglers quaking in their boots.
After the Budget I'm sure he can stretch to giving each member of staff a free wet lettuce, and a feather duster.
It’s so disingenuous. He was constantly talking about the Tories’ failure to deal with the boats during the election campaign. And only now, after more than a hundred days in office, has he decided it’s actually worth doing something about.
I believe you could have a fair number of valid criticisms to make of the current Government. However beating them up over failing to get a grip after four months of the small boats is a bit rich when your boys and girls dropped the ball several years ago, and their response was a stupid and very expensive stunt.
NEW: Keir Starmer will declare the small boats crisis a 'national security' threat next week and will launch a new Organised Immigration Crime Intelligence Unit
Excellent. That will have the people smugglers quaking in their boots.
After the Budget I'm sure he can stretch to giving each member of staff a free wet lettuce, and a feather duster.
It’s so disingenuous. He was constantly talking about the Tories’ failure to deal with the boats during the election campaign. And only now, after more than a hundred days in office, has he decided it’s actually worth doing something about.
I believe you could have a fair number of valid criticisms to make of the current Government. However beating them up over failing to get a grip after four months of the small boats is a bit rich when your boys and girls dropped the ball several years ago, and their response was a stupid and very expensive stunt.
I’m not beating them up for failing to get a grip. I’m beating them up for failing to even start the process of getting a grip.
Labour’s support in Scotland has plunged in the wake of Rachel Reeves’s budget, which voters believe will hit them in their pockets and damage the country, a new poll has found.
Backing for Anas Sarwar’s party has dropped to such an extent that it would be virtually impossible for him to form a Scottish government if the results were replicated at the Holyrood 2026 election.
The poll by Norstat, the first conducted in Scotland since the chancellor unveiled her tax and spending plans, suggested that while voters felt warmly about the budget’s main policies, they felt that they would lose out overall.
The research put support for Labour in Scottish parliamentary constituencies at 23 per cent, a drop of seven points since the last survey in August and the lowest since Nicola Sturgeon quit as first minister last March. Backing for Scottish Labour on the more proportional regional list fell by six points to 22 per cent.
Analysis by Sir John Curtice, the polling expert and professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde, found this would leave Labour with 29 MSPs, an increase of seven on its current level.
The SNP has failed to capitalise on Labour’s woes — remaining unchanged on 33 per cent for constituency votes and increasing backing by only one point to 29 per cent on the regional list — but its projected return of 51 MSPs would almost certainly see John Swinney remain first minister despite losing 13 seats compared with the 2021 election.
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
I think that a very simplistic (and wrong) description of both anorexia and gender dysphoria.
Why? A delusion is a false belief about an external reality.
There is more than that to the definition of delusion too. Beliefs that are in keeping with a culture or sub culture (eg religious belief) fall outside the definition of delusion according to DSM IV.
Gender dysphoria or incongruence is caused by the difference between inward gender identification and external body type. Trans people recognise their body is a different gender, indeed that is the source of their discomfort, so by definition they are not delusional.
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
The former is harmless???? - I'm sorry but didn't you read my post earlier that I know people that killed themselves because of the impact it had on their life...
Amusing how many Labour supporters on Twitter are saying Starmer is going to be happier with Kemi as leader. Most of them must know this isn't true. A few may genuinely believe it.
I think Labour would be happier with a traditional Tory rather than a populist Reform clone. It makes governing easier over the next few years. Even more so if Trump wins. It's not entirely zero sum. Badenoch isn't wholly that but more than Jenrick.
Labour’s support in Scotland has plunged in the wake of Rachel Reeves’s budget, which voters believe will hit them in their pockets and damage the country, a new poll has found.
Backing for Anas Sarwar’s party has dropped to such an extent that it would be virtually impossible for him to form a Scottish government if the results were replicated at the Holyrood 2026 election.
The poll by Norstat, the first conducted in Scotland since the chancellor unveiled her tax and spending plans, suggested that while voters felt warmly about the budget’s main policies, they felt that they would lose out overall.
The research put support for Labour in Scottish parliamentary constituencies at 23 per cent, a drop of seven points since the last survey in August and the lowest since Nicola Sturgeon quit as first minister last March. Backing for Scottish Labour on the more proportional regional list fell by six points to 22 per cent.
Analysis by Sir John Curtice, the polling expert and professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde, found this would leave Labour with 29 MSPs, an increase of seven on its current level.
The SNP has failed to capitalise on Labour’s woes — remaining unchanged on 33 per cent for constituency votes and increasing backing by only one point to 29 per cent on the regional list — but its projected return of 51 MSPs would almost certainly see John Swinney remain first minister despite losing 13 seats compared with the 2021 election.
He may well win, and win the College comfortably. However his campaign has been anything but good. Any other GOP candidate perhaps in the vein of Reagan would have won with a landslide.
If the GOP candidate wasn't Trump they would be winning by a landslide, you don't need a Reagan - Dan Quayle would have won this time round...
If the GOP candidate wasn't Trump, the Dems wouldn't have so cavalierly stitched the nomination up for Harris...
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
I think that a very simplistic (and wrong) description of both anorexia and gender dysphoria.
Why? A delusion is a false belief about an external reality.
There is more than that to the definition of delusion too. Beliefs that are in keeping with a culture or sub culture (eg religious belief) fall outside the definition of delusion according to DSM IV.
Gender dysphoria or incongruence is caused by the difference between inward gender identification and external body type. Trans people recognise their body is a different gender, indeed that is the source of their discomfort, so by definition they are not delusional.
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
The former is harmless???? - I'm sorry but didn't you read my post earlier that I know people that killed themselves because of the impact it had on their life...
OK Both delusions are potentially harmful and need support and intervention.
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
I think that a very simplistic (and wrong) description of both anorexia and gender dysphoria.
Why? A delusion is a false belief about an external reality.
There is more than that to the definition of delusion too. Beliefs that are in keeping with a culture or sub culture (eg religious belief) fall outside the definition of delusion according to DSM IV.
Gender dysphoria or incongruence is caused by the difference between inward gender identification and external body type. Trans people recognise their body is a different gender, indeed that is the source of their discomfort, so by definition they are not delusional.
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
I think that a very simplistic (and wrong) description of both anorexia and gender dysphoria.
Why? A delusion is a false belief about an external reality.
There is more than that to the definition of delusion too. Beliefs that are in keeping with a culture or sub culture (eg religious belief) fall outside the definition of delusion according to DSM IV.
Gender dysphoria or incongruence is caused by the difference between inward gender identification and external body type. Trans people recognise their body is a different gender, indeed that is the source of their discomfort, so by definition they are not delusional.
Sounds delusional to me.
In your expert opinion?
I'm no expert!! In my humble opinion. That's how it appears to me. Both conditions are potentially sad and need support. Does anyone disagree with that?
NEW: Keir Starmer will declare the small boats crisis a 'national security' threat next week and will launch a new Organised Immigration Crime Intelligence Unit
Excellent. That will have the people smugglers quaking in their boots.
After the Budget I'm sure he can stretch to giving each member of staff a free wet lettuce, and a feather duster.
It’s so disingenuous. He was constantly talking about the Tories’ failure to deal with the boats during the election campaign. And only now, after more than a hundred days in office, has he decided it’s actually worth doing something about.
I believe you could have a fair number of valid criticisms to make of the current Government. However beating them up over failing to get a grip after four months of the small boats is a bit rich when your boys and girls dropped the ball several years ago, and their response was a stupid and very expensive stunt.
I’m not beating them up for failing to get a grip. I’m beating them up for failing to even start the process of getting a grip.
No sign of any new thinking about how to solve this problem either.
Labour’s support in Scotland has plunged in the wake of Rachel Reeves’s budget, which voters believe will hit them in their pockets and damage the country, a new poll has found.
Backing for Anas Sarwar’s party has dropped to such an extent that it would be virtually impossible for him to form a Scottish government if the results were replicated at the Holyrood 2026 election.
The poll by Norstat, the first conducted in Scotland since the chancellor unveiled her tax and spending plans, suggested that while voters felt warmly about the budget’s main policies, they felt that they would lose out overall.
The research put support for Labour in Scottish parliamentary constituencies at 23 per cent, a drop of seven points since the last survey in August and the lowest since Nicola Sturgeon quit as first minister last March. Backing for Scottish Labour on the more proportional regional list fell by six points to 22 per cent.
Analysis by Sir John Curtice, the polling expert and professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde, found this would leave Labour with 29 MSPs, an increase of seven on its current level.
The SNP has failed to capitalise on Labour’s woes — remaining unchanged on 33 per cent for constituency votes and increasing backing by only one point to 29 per cent on the regional list — but its projected return of 51 MSPs would almost certainly see John Swinney remain first minister despite losing 13 seats compared with the 2021 election.
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
I think that a very simplistic (and wrong) description of both anorexia and gender dysphoria.
Why? A delusion is a false belief about an external reality.
There is more than that to the definition of delusion too. Beliefs that are in keeping with a culture or sub culture (eg religious belief) fall outside the definition of delusion according to DSM IV.
Gender dysphoria or incongruence is caused by the difference between inward gender identification and external body type. Trans people recognise their body is a different gender, indeed that is the source of their discomfort, so by definition they are not delusional.
Sounds delusional to me.
In your expert opinion?
I'm no expert!! In my humble opinion. That's how it appears to me. Both conditions are potentially sad and need support. Does anyone disagree with that?
Labour’s support in Scotland has plunged in the wake of Rachel Reeves’s budget, which voters believe will hit them in their pockets and damage the country, a new poll has found.
Backing for Anas Sarwar’s party has dropped to such an extent that it would be virtually impossible for him to form a Scottish government if the results were replicated at the Holyrood 2026 election.
The poll by Norstat, the first conducted in Scotland since the chancellor unveiled her tax and spending plans, suggested that while voters felt warmly about the budget’s main policies, they felt that they would lose out overall.
The research put support for Labour in Scottish parliamentary constituencies at 23 per cent, a drop of seven points since the last survey in August and the lowest since Nicola Sturgeon quit as first minister last March. Backing for Scottish Labour on the more proportional regional list fell by six points to 22 per cent.
Analysis by Sir John Curtice, the polling expert and professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde, found this would leave Labour with 29 MSPs, an increase of seven on its current level.
The SNP has failed to capitalise on Labour’s woes — remaining unchanged on 33 per cent for constituency votes and increasing backing by only one point to 29 per cent on the regional list — but its projected return of 51 MSPs would almost certainly see John Swinney remain first minister despite losing 13 seats compared with the 2021 election.
NEW: Keir Starmer will declare the small boats crisis a 'national security' threat next week and will launch a new Organised Immigration Crime Intelligence Unit
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
A man thinking he is a woman and a thin person thinking they are fat are clearly both delusions. They are similar in that respect.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
I think that a very simplistic (and wrong) description of both anorexia and gender dysphoria.
Why? A delusion is a false belief about an external reality.
There is more than that to the definition of delusion too. Beliefs that are in keeping with a culture or sub culture (eg religious belief) fall outside the definition of delusion according to DSM IV.
Gender dysphoria or incongruence is caused by the difference between inward gender identification and external body type. Trans people recognise their body is a different gender, indeed that is the source of their discomfort, so by definition they are not delusional.
Sounds delusional to me.
In your expert opinion?
I'm no expert!! In my humble opinion. That's how it appears to me. Both conditions are potentially sad and need support. Does anyone disagree with that?
Depends what you mean by "support".
Listen to them. Offer empathy. Respect them. Don't challenge them. But I'm not an expert in this area. Others will be more experienced.
Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.
Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.
Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
I don't believe Harris will win Iowa - although the Des Moines Register has a pretty good polling record. But I do believe the poll is evidence that Harris is outperforming with white voters in the Midwest, and inversely, is doing worse with black and Hispanic voters.
May be, like Tennant, you “just wish [her] to shut up”?
Or dream of a world where you wake up and she “ doesn’t exist”?
(Snip)
The problem is that many anti-trans people don't want trans people to exist, deny they exist, and/or want to make it impossible for them to transition at any age.
Hence calling transmen "confused lesbians", or transwomen "men in skirts", and the attempts to stop trans people from using womens toilets.
That is definitely not Rowling's position. On her blog: "Again and again I’ve been told to ‘just meet some trans people.’ I have: in addition to a few younger people, who were all adorable, I happen to know a self-described transsexual woman who’s older than I am and wonderful. Although she’s open about her past as a gay man, I’ve always found it hard to think of her as anything other than a woman, and I believe (and certainly hope) she’s completely happy to have transitioned. Being older, though, she went through a long and rigorous process of evaluation, psychotherapy and staged transformation. The current explosion of trans activism is urging a removal of almost all the robust systems through which candidates for sex reassignment were once required to pass. A man who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones may now secure himself a Gender Recognition Certificate and be a woman in the sight of the law." That's the issue. The vast majority of people are not anti-trans. They are supportive or just not interested. The problem lies with the very small minority of trans activists who are trying to coerce the rest of us to not only accept self identification (fair enough) but use the law to enforce the right of Self ID trans to have access to women's spaces.
I'm supportive of animal rights but not animal rights activists. I'm supportive of protection of the environment and action on climate change, but not of the extreme activists. The activists do more harm than good to their cause. Including trans activists. And yes I know about the suffragettes. I don't think the extremists helped their cause.
She also routinely misgenders people. If she meant what she said above, she wouldn't. It strikes me as being like a racist who knows and likes one black person, and therefore thinks it excuses racism towards others. "Of course I'm not racist; an old friend of mine is black."
I'm unsure that "The vast majority of people are not anti-trans." It'd be interesting to see figures on that.
Even the tweet mocking David Tennant today is a low blow.
One of Tennant's children is, IIRC, trans / gender non-conforming.
To use an analogy people on here might understand, Leon didn't just get the banhammer for casual racism, it was because he offended to the core people whose partners and children are non-white, by implying their loved ones had less value than 'white babies'. And that felt like a visceral, personal attack.
To some of us, trans people aren't just strange concepts that only exist in theory, they are our friends, family and loved ones. And when people make comments that seek to erase their existence, as Rowling frequently does, e.g. with the casual misgendering, it wounds to the very core.
Rowling's transphobia is out there in the open for all to see.
I don't want to get involved in a long, drawn out debate on the trans issue. But I do want to stand up for, and speak up for, the people I love.
David Tennant wasn't some rich lefty engaging in virtue signalling. He was a father standing up for his child's right to exist.
Nobody should be made to feel less valid as a human being because of the colour of their skin, their sexuality, or their gender identity. Rowling, sadly, has a great deal of form with the latter.
But, his remark about Kemi Badenoch was disgraceful. He doesn’t get a pass.
I don't think his quote that his "...life would be easier if she didn't exist" is disgraceful. Although my life is £74 better than it was this morning thanks to her existence, so there's that.
There is a propensity for celebrities to have a trans child. Of course, no such thing as a trans child, just a parent proxying their transhaussen.
So you mean like Elon Musk's sprog?
Exactly like that. Coming as trans should be celebrated like coming out as anorexic.
Oh fuck off, then fuck off some more, until you disappear into the horizon.
I have mentioned a friend of mine and her kid is trans.
I've known them since they were 9 and now 32 and they've never been happier than in the last 7 years since they felt comfortable in as identifying as trans.
If they were anorexic, would you collude with them and encourage them in them identifying as fat ?
If you genuinely think being trans is analogous to being anorexic then there's no point in having a discussion with you.
There are many different types of people who go under the umbrella category of 'trans'. I suspect you are talking at cross purposes because you have a different types in mind.
There is an umbrella although there are plenty of people who seem to hate the entire spectrum. They complain on the one hand about people 'mutilating' themselves with surgery or pills and also complain about people identifying as Trans when they have no intention of changing their bodies to look like the other sex.
Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
I don't believe Harris will win Iowa - although the Des Moines Register has a pretty good polling record. But I do believe the poll is evidence that Harris is outperforming with white voters in the Midwest, and inversely, is doing worse with black and Hispanic voters.
12/1 for Harris in Iowa with Ladbrokes. I've had a nibble.
This just links me to what seems like a live stream?
Yes, he said it in the moment before I posted. You can hear it if you rewind a few minutes.
A few minutes from now, or when you posted it? Relative to the current stream or the start of it? I feel like this is an IQ test future generations and myself are doomed to fail.
This just links me to what seems like a live stream?
Yes, he said it in the moment before I posted. You can hear it if you rewind a few minutes.
A few minutes from now, or when you posted it? Relative to the current stream or the start of it? I feel like this is an IQ test future generations and myself are doomed to fail.
The safest thing is to rewind to the beginning so you don't miss a moment's entertainment.
Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.
Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
I don't believe Harris will win Iowa - although the Des Moines Register has a pretty good polling record. But I do believe the poll is evidence that Harris is outperforming with white voters in the Midwest, and inversely, is doing worse with black and Hispanic voters.
Indeed, the election looks more like 2000 or 2004 now.
Then Gore won Iowa and Gore and Kerry won Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and won more white Midwestern voters than Hillary in particular but Bush made inroads with Blacks and Hispanics especially and twice won Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Florida and North Carolina.
Though Bush also won Virginia and Colorado twice and New Mexico and New Hampshire once and if Trump lost Iowa and the bluewall states he would need to win almost all the states Bush won including at least one or two of the former 4 which are states that rejected him in 2016 and 2020
Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.
Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.
This just links me to what seems like a live stream?
Yes, he said it in the moment before I posted. You can hear it if you rewind a few minutes.
A few minutes from now, or when you posted it? Relative to the current stream or the start of it? I feel like this is an IQ test future generations and myself are doomed to fail.
The safest thing is to rewind to the beginning so you don't miss a moment's entertainment.
I have some hot coal-dust and vinegar to rub in my eyes beforehand.
Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
I don't believe Harris will win Iowa - although the Des Moines Register has a pretty good polling record. But I do believe the poll is evidence that Harris is outperforming with white voters in the Midwest, and inversely, is doing worse with black and Hispanic voters.
The Sun Belt is going to be bloodbath for Kam - Trump will sweep the lot for 269, so even with Penn and Mich and whisky, Kam is short.
Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.
Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
I don't believe Harris will win Iowa - although the Des Moines Register has a pretty good polling record. But I do believe the poll is evidence that Harris is outperforming with white voters in the Midwest, and inversely, is doing worse with black and Hispanic voters.
Indeed, the election looks more like 2000 or 2004 now.
Then Gore won Iowa and Gore and Kerry won Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania but Bush made inroads with Blacks and Hispanics especially and twice won Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Florida and North Carolina.
Though Bush also won Virginia and Colorado twice and New Mexico and New Hampshire once and if Trump lost Iowa and the bluewall states he would need to win almost all the states Bush won including at least one of the former 3 which are states that rejected him in 2016 and 2020
Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.
Interestingly she never mentions Trump in that ad . It’s a very positive ad overall which will be a world away from the likely hateful divisive Trump one .
Note that in addition to rise in share of (officially) Nonpartisan voters in the great Silver State, the number of 3rd-party voters has been cut in half since 2020.
Further note that rapid, massive changes in population demographics AND party affiliation have been the norm for Nevada since WWI. Thus making forecasts based on previous POTUS is at best a crapshoot . . . at worst prospecting for fools gold.
If Trump loses, who will go next? Will Trump have another go?
DeSantis and Haley would be frontrunners if he loses, Vance if he wins as incumbent VP
Haley is the Tugendhat of the Republicans.
Indeed, DeSantis the Badenoch and Vance the Jenrick and Trump a hybrid of Boris and Farage and Harris a hybrid of Diane Abbott and Rayner and Starmer a less senile Biden
Interestingly she never mentions Trump in that ad . It’s a very positive ad overall which will be a world away from the likely hateful divisive Trump one .
Her campaign is for the ages. Pitch perfect throughout.
Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
I don't believe Harris will win Iowa - although the Des Moines Register has a pretty good polling record. But I do believe the poll is evidence that Harris is outperforming with white voters in the Midwest, and inversely, is doing worse with black and Hispanic voters.
The Sun Belt is going to be bloodbath for Kam - Trump will sweep the lot for 269, so even with Penn and Mich and whisky, Kam is short.
If Trump loses, who will go next? Will Trump have another go?
DeSantis and Haley would be frontrunners if he loses, Vance if he wins as incumbent VP
Haley is the Tugendhat of the Republicans.
Indeed, DeSantis the Badenoch and Vance the Jenrick and Trump a hybrid of Boris and Farage and Harris a hybrid of Diane Abbott and Rayner and Starmer a less senile Biden
Comments
"Kamala Harris will protect your right to disagree with her"
https://x.com/rtraister/status/1852829731239936446
[
@kateferguson4
]
https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1852813065714049042
However awful the Tories are Labour are doing their work for them.
The equivalent on the left was Elizabeth Warren. There was a big constituency for Bernie Sanders, who came over as authentic and uncompromising, and also ran on a lot of left-wing policy. So Elizabeth Warren thought, let's do that but not be Bernie Sanders, and we'll make up for it with *policy*. So she has all this detail about how she's going to regulate the banks and so forth, a kind of technocratic left-populism. But nobody wants that. Some people want sensible relatively moderate government. Other people want to set shit on fire. You can't win on a program of starting sensible fires.
They would have said it with any of the candidates, just with different spins on it.
After the Budget I'm sure he can stretch to giving each member of staff a free wet lettuce, and a feather duster.
@kyf_100 is right that many of us have Trans friends and relations, including my sons flatmate. Sure there are issues of how to resolve the conflicting rights and aspirations, but for most of us it is a matter of freedom and "live and let live".
*my only deviation from this rule is Leicester City football managers.
But the former is harmless and the latter can kill you and needs intervention.
He's totally out of his depth. Unlike the migrants as they stream onto our beaches.
And then remind me of the average league position for the last 20 years…
Gordon BROWN
Tony BLAIR
Gender dysphoria or incongruence is caused by the difference between inward gender identification and external body type. Trans people recognise their body is a different gender, indeed that is the source of their discomfort, so by definition they are not delusional.
NBC news
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JEyfrrAEFfU
2024
https://archive.is/wl3zb
2020
https://web.archive.org/web/20201108011733/https://independentvoterproject.org/map
Example: Nevada
2020
Population: 3,080,156
Registered Voters: 1,827,386 (59.33% of pop.)
Democratic Party: 698,044 (38.20%)
Republican Party: 587,198 (32.13%)
Third Party/Other: 118,233 (6.47%)
Unaffiliated: 423,911 (23.20%)
2024
Total Registered Voters: 2,338,582
Democrats: 737,184 (31.51%)
Republicans: 678,328 (29.00%)
Third Party/Other: 59,712 (2.55%)
Unaffiliated: 863,358 (36.94%)
Note that since 2020, over 500,000 people have registered but the number of unaffiliated has increased dramatically.
McGlashan explains Scotland's true place in world history.
I wish modern Scottish TV was still brave enough to do this kind of thing.
https://order-order.com/2024/10/31/reeves-trashes-the-gilt-market-rates-spike-higher-today-than-after-the-truss-budget/
@kkondik
·
5m
holy smokes --- Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
General election poll - Iowa
🔴 Trump 54% (+8)
🔵 Harris 45%
Emerson #B - 800 LV - 11/2
The Gold Standard in Iowa polling
Selzer has just released this !
Harris 47
Trump 44
But I'm not an expert in this area. Others will be more experienced.
Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/
@jaselzer
Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how https://desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/ via
@DMRegister
https://x.com/jaselzer/status/1852849040070734157
The poll is still a massive shock but the history of Selzer reaches mythical proportions in that area .
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-iowa-poll-trump-53-harris-43/
Republicans against Trump
@RpsAgainstTrump
·
6m
Selzer is one of the most accurate pollsters in the country. Trump is TOAST.
Iowa was never Alabama.
It's the Coach Walz effect perhaps.
Emerson: Trump +1
Selzer/Des Moines Register: Trump +7
Final result: Trump +8.2
Harris should invest in Iowa and get some ads out in the final days of the campaign .
Someone’s going to look pretty bloody stupid next week.
We just don’t know who yet.
Then Gore won Iowa and Gore and Kerry won Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and won more white Midwestern voters than Hillary in particular but Bush made inroads with Blacks and Hispanics especially and twice won Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Florida and North Carolina.
Though Bush also won Virginia and Colorado twice and New Mexico and New Hampshire once and if Trump lost Iowa and the bluewall states he would need to win almost all the states Bush won including at least one or two of the former 4 which are states that rejected him in 2016 and 2020
It's worth its weight just to think of Trump's panic and fear. The orange jump suit and thin gruel just got a lot closer...
The moment Trump snicks a Rusty, game over.
https://youtu.be/U6bv6jYEVAs?feature=shared
But this is a weird election to poll.
It’s either a Harris landslide… or not.
I’m not going to think about crowing until the results are in.
But yes, in the meantime, watching GOP panic will be fun.
https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters/voter-registration-statistics
Note that in addition to rise in share of (officially) Nonpartisan voters in the great Silver State, the number of 3rd-party voters has been cut in half since 2020.
Further note that rapid, massive changes in population demographics AND party affiliation have been the norm for Nevada since WWI. Thus making forecasts based on previous POTUS is at best a crapshoot . . . at worst prospecting for fools gold.
2022 Senate: R+12 (R+12)
2020 President: R+7 (R+8)
2020 Senate: R+4 (R+7)
2018 Governor: D+2 (R+3)
2016 President: R+7 (R+9)
2014 Senate: R+7 (R+8)
2012 President: D+5 (D+6)
https://x.com/MattKleinOnline/status/1852849716788084910