Categories
Should we start describing Kamala as the favourite for the White House Race? – politicalbetting.com
Should we start describing Kamala as the favourite for the White House Race? – politicalbetting.com
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Watch the EC numbers like a hawk. Both for swing states and the possibility of states becoming swing states. The later is quite unlikely at the moment, but worth checking.
https://x.com/jjabbott/status/1820808291083026854?t=rI9nU3w5xLR0dWUgH2SgkQ&s=19
TLDR he’s like Ed Davey if Ed Davey had been in the Territorial Army
It's like saying Aston Villa have a great record of seven wins in the FA Cup, they should be one of the favourites this season!*
*Spoiler, the last win was 1957.
The Minnesota governor, a former high school teacher and National Guard member, brings to the ticket Midwestern appeal and a plain-spoken way of talking about Donald Trump.
FFS. Don't encourage Musk!
https://x.com/Tim_Walz/status/1819737187832709552?t=nrTAox_icT3Ir77qTyLMZQ&s=19
Still think he is an out of touch liberal @HYUFD?
EDIT: Ninja'd
Walz is also an old style labor union leftist Democrat not a centrist who could win independents in a key swing state like Shapiro.
Harris likely gets a bounce post convention but in the end I think Trump wins by about the same margin Bush defeated Kerry by in 2004
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college
4.5 on pubs is great value.
https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2004/oct/22/kerry-hunts-for-birds-votes/
In US politics, you can be quite a way from the hard left and be a Union Man. Joe Six Pack is a Union Man.
Kamala Harris
@KamalaHarris
I am proud to announce that I've asked @Tim_Walz
to be my running mate.
As a governor, a coach, a teacher, and a veteran, he's delivered for working families like his.
It's great to have him on the team.
Now let’s get to work. Join us:
https://x.com/KamalaHarris/status/1820828396298879294
But it's now a proper contest again.
Walz is a permitting reform champion:
Last year, Minnesota passed a law mandating 100% clean electricity by 2040.
But due to red tape, they were projected to miss the target by decades.
So they passed permitting reform, which will cut overall project approval time by 50%.
https://x.com/AlecStapp/status/1820819272727232658
Can anyone explain how the sorting works? It clearly isn't on Golds, or China would be first... but it clearly isn't on total medal count, or the UK would be ahead of Australia.
It is quite captivating, although it would be much enhanced by a sharkpool at the foot of the wall.
Speaking of names, the Kamala/Walz ticket now has two names with unclear pronunciations. From that video, Walz is pronounced Walls, like ice cream and sausages.
“Britons tend to think that Keir Starmer is handling the riots badly
Well: 31%
Badly: 49%”
yougov.co.uk/politics/artic…
https://x.com/yougov/status/1820830612829208905?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
This is quite a big one to fail
A few more like that and I could become a vegetarian.
It's been in place for 15-20 years. There was a day in ~2008 iirc where they blocked Wikipedia by mistake.
It won't be 100% - nothing ever is, but it will be 98%+, surmountable by some internet tricks and established routes used by privacy activists.
So I think it is based on Gold but it may be a timing issue.
The criteria is to avoid the USA's self-regard balloon going pop.
As it stands, Harris polls slightly ahead on simple votes.
The more I think of the Walz choice, the better it looks. The teacher/union stuff shores up the left - which gets the activists/get out the vote people onboard (a lot of the Democrat party volunteers/low level people are on the Left). Plus he can reach out to Independents - long term National Guard, family man, ran his state well.
EDIT: and, of course, as a Governor, no problems over a Senate seat.
Tragically, @DavidL (among others) can probably confirm that images of utter horror are widespread.
However isn’t it a political truism that perceptions are crucially formed in the first 100 days of office? And after that they become hard to shift
Starmer has been given a seriously tough test on his second month of office. I don’t envy him. However he came in with baggage that is entirely his own fault - taking the knee AFTER the BLM riots
The British public believe he is making a hash of this major crisis. Pompous but ineffective, hypocritical and bloviating?
He may find this perception hangs around
That said there are exceptions to the rule. Thatcher was massively unpopular at first but became more popular over time
"After returning, Walz took a job teaching and coaching in Alliance, Nebraska, where he met his wife, Gwen Whipple, a fellow teacher.[11] He and Gwen married in 1994, and moved two years later to Mankato in Minnesota, his wife's home state,[11] where he worked as a geography teacher and coach at Mankato West High School.[10] He coached the football team to its first state championship in 1999."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tim_Walz
And, then there is this: "Walz was ranked the 7th-most bipartisan House member during the 114th Congress (and the most bipartisan member from Minnesota) in the Bipartisan Index created by The Lugar Center and the McCourt School of Public Policy, which ranks members of Congress by measuring how often their bills attract co-sponsors from the opposite party and how often they co-sponsor bills by members of the opposite party."
Only 30% say Cameron has done a good job, against 44% who say the opposite, a net negative score of -14. For Johnson, the figures are 28% good job and 38% bad, a negative of -10 points. By contrast, 45% think that the acting commissioner of the Metropolitan police, Tim Godwin, has done well against 27% who say the opposite – a positive score of 18.
Another online poll, conducted this week by YouGov, found similar levels of support for the police response over that of politicians
https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2011/aug/12/riot-poll-public-back-police
The biggest question would be - why not Telegram and all the others hosting similar (or worse) content?
The initial reaction to the 2011 riots was spectacularly feeble, I certainly remember that
Appears coming out of the gate, that IF Kamala Harris is gonna need help anywhere in general, it's gonna be the Midwest. KH + TW is likely to aid her, to a limited degree anyway. IN ADDITION to national considerations.
And now, a musical interlude for your listening pleasure . . .
Minnesota Waltz - Nod Landstrich And His Polka Waltz Orchestra 1950
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XiL-j3bDnvo
America is top based on medal count because that's how they ID the table.
We are under Australia because that's how we ID the table.
Starmer may be a dork but he is a lucky dork. The right is grievously divided. He won’t lose his poll lead
Tory councillor resigns over anti-Muslim remarks as 400 arrested for riots
The Conservatives have now suspended Susan Scott.
https://x.com/REWearmouth/status/1820839276130496803
Getting reports on my local Facebook of a proposed demo in a town nearby and lots of hospitality businesses not opening as a consequence. Disgraceful. Especially on a gorgeous day like today. People damaging businesses in their own community. Shocking.
Neither part of the "liberal elitist" tag is going to stick.
Early signs are that the Trump campaign is already flailing around, trying to find an effective attack.
https://www.businessinsider.com/tim-walz-kamala-harris-israel-gaza-pro-palestinian-protests-2024-8
Any details on this? And any mea culpa from the Beeb?
Was it Lee Anderson who came up with it? Damn the man!
Mind you, Starmer could just rock up and say "$40 billion, cash"