If Haley was Republican candidate the fact many swing voters feel the economy is not great in terms of interest rates for example and US unemployment at 4% would likely ensure her victory. As it is though Trump still turns off many Independents some of whom will still therefore vote for Harris.
In 2020 though Trump still won Iowa and Florida even if Biden won Pennsylvania
Certainly a recession or even a stock market correction will not help the Democrats
The return to historically normal interest rates is not going to be comfortable for many people or businesses, and true pretty much across the globe. Since 2008 we have got very used to interest rates so low that borrowing was essentially free. It isn't any more.
If Haley was Republican candidate the fact many swing voters feel the economy is not great in terms of interest rates for example and US unemployment at 4% would likely ensure her victory. As it is though Trump still turns off many Independents some of whom will still therefore vote for Harris.
In 2020 though Trump still won Iowa and Florida even if Biden won Pennsylvania
It would be nice to think that Republicans would ask themselves that question if they lose.
'How, when voters were not happy about the economy and liked our policies better, did we still manage to lose?
Could it have anything to do with putting forward a 78 year old criminal who had lost the previous election and was clearly off his head as our candidate?
If so, should we put somebody sane and middle aged forward next time and see if that makes a difference?'
Former GOP Lt. Of Georgia GeoffDuncanGA on Donald Trump:
“He is a felon thug who walks down the street and throws sucker punches at people like Brian Kemp, like African American journalists, Like John McCain…The Republican party is content sitting across the street watching it happen not calling him out not jumping into that fight saying you are wrong for us ." https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1820129273946009641
Well the Nikkei just closed down 12.4% on the day, Monday is going to be a wild ride on the global markets.
I thought the FTSE a bit toppy earlier in the year so sold a quarter of my SIPP to cash. I did wonder if that was a mistake, but might do quite well. Markets generally over react so could be some bargains to be had.
Former GOP Lt. Of Georgia GeoffDuncanGA on Donald Trump:
“He is a felon thug who walks down the street and throws sucker punches at people like Brian Kemp, like African American journalists, Like John McCain…The Republican party is content sitting across the street watching it happen not calling him out not jumping into that fight saying you are wrong for us ." https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1820129273946009641
Interesting that he's making the same point I did about how far gone the Republicans are and how difficult it will be to pull them back into the mainstream.
Could the man with terrible hair see them go the way of the Whigs?
There should be a German compound noun for that melancholy moment, after a month in the sunny south, when you take off the shorts, and put on your proper strides, for a return to the north
Former GOP Lt. Of Georgia GeoffDuncanGA on Donald Trump:
“He is a felon thug who walks down the street and throws sucker punches at people like Brian Kemp, like African American journalists, Like John McCain…The Republican party is content sitting across the street watching it happen not calling him out not jumping into that fight saying you are wrong for us ." https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1820129273946009641
Interesting that he's making the same point I did about how far gone the Republicans are and how difficult it will be to pull them back into the mainstream.
Could the man with terrible hair see them go the way of the Whigs?
Just over a decade ago the Republicans nominated centrists McCain and Romney but both lost. It was Trump's surprise win in 2016 that ensured his grip on the current Republican party and it would likely take defeat for him and Vance in November and say DeSantis in 2028 for more moderate Republicans to be viable again as nominee for President.
The Whigs didn't disappear, indeed most of the Northern Whigs merged into the Republican Party. At the time it was the Democrats under Andrew Jackson who were more Trump like
There should be a German compound noun for that melancholy moment, after a month in the sunny south, when you take off the shorts, and put on your proper strides, for a return to the north
I suggest: Sonnenurlaubshosenwehmut
I have got Sonnenurlaubshosenwehmut
What could possibly be meloncholy about returning to a land of grey skies, rising taxes and flaming Travel Lodges?
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/at-least-five-interesting-things-68b ...Richard Hanania is a pundit whose work I generally do not like. His typical analysis relies heavily on racial and gender stereotypes, and he gets a lot of stuff wrong. But ever since a major expose thrust him into the limelight last year, Hanania’s takes have at least, occasionally been more measured and reasonable. And I must give credit where credit is due here, because I think that he had a very good take on the recent “White Women for Kamala” and “White Dudes for Harris” events.
Basically, Hanania argues that after a decade of singling White people out for collective castigation, the progressive movement is accepting White people as just another racial interest group worthy of inclusion in the coalition:
One thing right-wingers love is to complain that you can only have affinity groups for blacks and other minorities…Along comes the Kamala campaign and says it’s ok to be white. That is, as long as you’re a good person, which means supporting reproductive freedom, not being “weird,” and voting Democrat. We’re all in this together.
It seems “woke” on the surface, but it’s actually a sign that liberals are moving away from woke...
The US media, and in particular Fox, have been talking the US economy down throughout Biden's period in office and it has clearly distorted perceptions of how the economy is doing. The estimate for GDP growth in Q2 of 2024 is 2.8% on an annualised basis, really not bad at all. Real wages are growing strongly after a fairly prolonged period where they were not (like here), job growth was exceptionally strong until last Friday (hence the panic on the markets) and the stock market was at a record high.
In short, Biden has a fairly excellent record, certainly better than Trump's whose major tax cut was very heavily weighted towards the much better off. The CHIPs and Science Act may well have skirted the edges of what is permissible in terms of state support but it has undoubtedly encouraged US based production. The additional, and way overdue, expenditure on infrastructure has been significant and helped to drive US growth to the top of the G7.
Of course, peoples' perceptions matter when it comes to their choice of who to vote for and a significant proportion of America are being fed alternative facts. Like us, the US is borrowing far too much and has a serious trade deficit (the 2 are, of course, linked in both cases because consumption is being driven by the excess borrowing). Not everything is great. The perception that it would be better under Trump really needs to be challenged.
Former GOP Lt. Of Georgia GeoffDuncanGA on Donald Trump:
“He is a felon thug who walks down the street and throws sucker punches at people like Brian Kemp, like African American journalists, Like John McCain…The Republican party is content sitting across the street watching it happen not calling him out not jumping into that fight saying you are wrong for us ." https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1820129273946009641
Interesting that he's making the same point I did about how far gone the Republicans are and how difficult it will be to pull them back into the mainstream.
Could the man with terrible hair see them go the way of the Whigs?
Trump is a grifting narcissist with no real beliefs, but the party he has created behind him is looking increasingly like a religious movement which is pushing for state integralism.
That's completely antithetical to the US constitutional and political tradition, but it's undeniably a central element of current GOP doctrine. And epitomised by the selection of Vance as VP.
There should be a German compound noun for that melancholy moment, after a month in the sunny south, when you take off the shorts, and put on your proper strides, for a return to the north
I suggest: Sonnenurlaubshosenwehmut
I have got Sonnenurlaubshosenwehmut
What could possibly be meloncholy about returning to a land of grey skies, rising taxes and flaming Travel Lodges?
I know, I don't understand why I'm not aching to get home, in time for the next brutal race riot, before the autumn rains extinguish them. If I'm lucky I might actually see a whole town go up
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
I'm interested to know how all these "middle Americans" believe they will be better off under Mr Trump when aiui he has pledged to reverse the Biden reforms that have removed financial burdens from them - cost of medical treatment for one, but also other things.
An example of believing what they are told most loudly?
On the stock market, has that not increased significantly under Biden?
Good for Trump, perhaps, since Americans are more likely than us to have invested in the stock market and notice they are getting poorer.
The linked article doesn't say markets think the US is headed for recession.
A Fed rate cut is pretty likely this month.
Almost inevitable, it might even by 0.5%. The Fed doesn't like mucking about with interest rates too close to an election because it challenges their neutral stance but the sharp falls in inflation, like here, more than justify the move, they almost demand it.
Former GOP Lt. Of Georgia GeoffDuncanGA on Donald Trump:
“He is a felon thug who walks down the street and throws sucker punches at people like Brian Kemp, like African American journalists, Like John McCain…The Republican party is content sitting across the street watching it happen not calling him out not jumping into that fight saying you are wrong for us ." https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1820129273946009641
Interesting that he's making the same point I did about how far gone the Republicans are and how difficult it will be to pull them back into the mainstream.
Could the man with terrible hair see them go the way of the Whigs?
Just over a decade ago the Republicans nominated centrists McCain and Romney but both lost. It was Trump's surprise win in 2016 that ensured his grip on the current Republican party and it would likely take defeat for him and Vance in November and say DeSantis in 2028 for more moderate Republicans to be viable again as nominee for President.
The Whigs didn't disappear, indeed most of the Northern Whigs merged into the Republican Party. At the time it was the Democrats under Andrew Jackson who were more Trump like
I agree with your first paragraph. Indeed, I've said as much before.
I'm disappointed you missed the awesome and subtle pun in the second paragraph.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
How sad on a morning of bad news. One of the greats.
Cricketers often seem to die young, or maybe that is perception. Certainly there is evidence they are more prone to suicide (I have no idea if this is the case with Graham Thorpe: RIP)
"Statistic’s from David Friths’ (2001) book ‘Silence of the Heart: Cricket Suicides’ indicates cricket players are almost twice as likely as the average male to commit suicide, and furthermore have a higher rate of suicide than participants of any other sports"
The US media, and in particular Fox, have been talking the US economy down throughout Biden's period in office and it has clearly distorted perceptions of how the economy is doing. The estimate for GDP growth in Q2 of 2024 is 2.8% on an annualised basis, really not bad at all. Real wages are growing strongly after a fairly prolonged period where they were not (like here), job growth was exceptionally strong until last Friday (hence the panic on the markets) and the stock market was at a record high.
In short, Biden has a fairly excellent record, certainly better than Trump's whose major tax cut was very heavily weighted towards the much better off. The CHIPs and Science Act may well have skirted the edges of what is permissible in terms of state support but it has undoubtedly encouraged US based production. The additional, and way overdue, expenditure on infrastructure has been significant and helped to drive US growth to the top of the G7.
Of course, peoples' perceptions matter when it comes to their choice of who to vote for and a significant proportion of America are being fed alternative facts. Like us, the US is borrowing far too much and has a serious trade deficit (the 2 are, of course, linked in both cases because consumption is being driven by the excess borrowing). Not everything is great. The perception that it would be better under Trump really needs to be challenged.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
Jeez, how dirty is that water they are doing the triathlon mixed relay?
I've been swimming in a local lake that is, apparently, very clean and safe to swim in (and I trust them on this...). But the water is very cloudy, filled with reeds, and tastes awful.
'Dirty' looking water isn't always unsafe, and 'clean' looking water not always safe. But in the case of the Seine, I think it's neither clean nor safe.
Incidentally, I'm not used to wild swimming, and I find it odd how water temperature can appear to change by a few degrees in a few metres, with no obvious reason.
How sad on a morning of bad news. One of the greats.
Cricketers often seem to die young, or maybe that is perception. Certainly there is evidence they are more prone to suicide (I have no idea if this is the case with Graham Thorpe: RIP)
"Statistic’s from David Friths’ (2001) book ‘Silence of the Heart: Cricket Suicides’ indicates cricket players are almost twice as likely as the average male to commit suicide, and furthermore have a higher rate of suicide than participants of any other sports"
A game so focused on individual performance within a team format must create incredible mental stress. I am not sure there is any sport more brutal from that perspective. Even in baseball you get a few opportunities to bat in one game, for example. In cricket, it's a maximum of two.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
I'm interested to know how all these "middle Americans" believe they will be better off under Mr Trump when aiui he has pledged to reverse the Biden reforms that have removed financial burdens from them - cost of medical treatment for one, but also other things.
An example of believing what they are told most loudly?
On the stock market, has that not increased significantly under Biden?
The Stock market has increased to a record high under Biden. Indeed, the fear is that this is a bubble caused by frankly insane optimism about the earning potential of AI. I am not suggesting for a moment that AI will not be economically significant but the multipliers for many of the tech firms are simply unsustainable.
An (imv) disappointing silver in the swim-bike-run-swim-bike-run-swim-bike-run-swim-bike-run competition.
I fear we are reverting to "plucky brit" status again, settling for silver or bronze. We should have kicked up an unholy fuss about the skeet silver we ended up with. I feel for Amber
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
Mate, I've said it again and I'll say it 100 times, I personally have no problem with the SM or FoM. That is not why I voted Leave
But you are backing a solution that almost all those who are rioting - and the far-right politicians and influencers egging them on - would oppose.
That said, I am with you on Denmark - a high tax, redistributive society with a strong welfare state inside the single market that also, coincidentally or not, is currently home to Europe's most valuable company. What Denmark cannot do, though, is control immigration. Just certain kinds.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
How sad on a morning of bad news. One of the greats.
Cricketers often seem to die young, or maybe that is perception. Certainly there is evidence they are more prone to suicide (I have no idea if this is the case with Graham Thorpe: RIP)
"Statistic’s from David Friths’ (2001) book ‘Silence of the Heart: Cricket Suicides’ indicates cricket players are almost twice as likely as the average male to commit suicide, and furthermore have a higher rate of suicide than participants of any other sports"
A game so focused on individual performance within a team format must create incredible mental stress. I am not sure there is any sport more brutal from that perspective. Even in baseball you get a few opportunities to bat in one game, for example. In cricket, it's a maximum of two.
Perhaps it is that. I've also read an alternative theory. That professional cricket is such a wonderful sport, however stressful, life afterwards becomes unbearably mundane
I can see some sense in that. Cricket is great fun to play if you're good at it (so I am told, I am not)
Plus you get the buzz of personal performance AND the amazing thrill of camaraderie. And all of this happens in elegant little grounds in beautiful sunny weather, and if you are a top player your life is one endless summer as you travel the world seeking the sun. And then suddenly, that ends
Maybe they pay a price for the joys of the truly beautiful game
This will calm down within a week or so without the government doing very much more than backing the police and upholding the rule of law. Excess attention to it will very probably be counterproductive.
How sad on a morning of bad news. One of the greats.
Cricketers often seem to die young, or maybe that is perception. Certainly there is evidence they are more prone to suicide (I have no idea if this is the case with Graham Thorpe: RIP)
"Statistic’s from David Friths’ (2001) book ‘Silence of the Heart: Cricket Suicides’ indicates cricket players are almost twice as likely as the average male to commit suicide, and furthermore have a higher rate of suicide than participants of any other sports"
A game so focused on individual performance within a team format must create incredible mental stress. I am not sure there is any sport more brutal from that perspective. Even in baseball you get a few opportunities to bat in one game, for example. In cricket, it's a maximum of two.
Perhaps it is that. I've also read an alternative theory. That professional cricket is such a wonderful sport, however stressful, life afterwards becomes unbearably mundane
I can see some sense in that. Cricket is great fun to play if you're good at it (so I am told, I am not)
Plus you get the buzz of personal performance AND the amazing thrill of camaraderie. And all of this happens in elegant little grounds in beautiful sunny weather, and if you are a top player your life is one endless summer as you travel the world seeking the sun. And then suddenly, that ends
Maybe they pay a price for the joys of the truly beautiful game
It wasn't that long ago that most cricketers had a winter job, even really good players. Now you just chase the sun all around the world playing T20 for millions.
When did Lawrence Fox move from provocateur to out-and-out fascist loon ? I haven't been following his case, but he seems very prominent in some of fhe most noxious stuff, along with Sunlounger Tommy.
An (imv) disappointing silver in the swim-bike-run-swim-bike-run-swim-bike-run-swim-bike-run competition.
I fear we are reverting to "plucky brit" status again, settling for silver or bronze. We should have kicked up an unholy fuss about the skeet silver we ended up with. I feel for Amber
I don't think any of out four athletes this morning 'settled' for silver; they seemed to give it all 100%. It's just that both Germany and the US were as good. From our perspective, it was a clean race, and no reason to complain. It's just that we were not 'quite' good enough, though the first three to be within a second or two of each other after ninety minutes of racing is quite something.
Oh, and kudos to the French team. Their first rider was taken out by the New Zealand rider, putting them a minute behind. Yet they ended up fourth.
The US media, and in particular Fox, have been talking the US economy down throughout Biden's period in office and it has clearly distorted perceptions of how the economy is doing. The estimate for GDP growth in Q2 of 2024 is 2.8% on an annualised basis, really not bad at all. Real wages are growing strongly after a fairly prolonged period where they were not (like here), job growth was exceptionally strong until last Friday (hence the panic on the markets) and the stock market was at a record high.
In short, Biden has a fairly excellent record, certainly better than Trump's whose major tax cut was very heavily weighted towards the much better off. The CHIPs and Science Act may well have skirted the edges of what is permissible in terms of state support but it has undoubtedly encouraged US based production. The additional, and way overdue, expenditure on infrastructure has been significant and helped to drive US growth to the top of the G7.
Of course, peoples' perceptions matter when it comes to their choice of who to vote for and a significant proportion of America are being fed alternative facts. Like us, the US is borrowing far too much and has a serious trade deficit (the 2 are, of course, linked in both cases because consumption is being driven by the excess borrowing). Not everything is great. The perception that it would be better under Trump really needs to be challenged.
People will believe what they want to believe.
Like you do that rejoining the single market and free movement is a solution to mass migration and integration challenges.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
Mate, I've said it again and I'll say it 100 times, I personally have no problem with the SM or FoM. That is not why I voted Leave
But you are backing a solution that almost all those who are rioting - and the far-right politicians and influencers egging them on - would oppose.
That said, I am with you on Denmark - a high tax, redistributive society with a strong welfare state inside the single market that also, coincidentally or not, is currently home to Europe's most valuable company. What Denmark cannot do, though, is control immigration. Just certain kinds.
But they are ruthless on asylum and they destroy ethnic ghettoes. And they seem to have some of the happiest people on earth and suffer much less ethnic friction than very similar Sweden. We can do a swap, you accept their ghetto and asylum policies and I will accept their tax and welfare policies
If Haley was Republican candidate the fact many swing voters feel the economy is not great in terms of interest rates for example and US unemployment at 4% would likely ensure her victory. As it is though Trump still turns off many Independents some of whom will still therefore vote for Harris.
In 2020 though Trump still won Iowa and Florida even if Biden won Pennsylvania
It would be nice to think that Republicans would ask themselves that question if they lose.
'How, when voters were not happy about the economy and liked our policies better, did we still manage to lose?
Could it have anything to do with putting forward a 78 year old criminal who had lost the previous election and was clearly off his head as our candidate?
If so, should we put somebody sane and middle aged forward next time and see if that makes a difference?'
Unfortunately, they seem too far gone for that.
The real problem is that 40%+ of the American voters are on the MAGA train and like it.
Another term of Donald Fucking Trump is not the end of this.
One reason I liked Biden was that he put forward a plan to reinvest in American manufacturing and infrastructure. Which was, in part, based on the idea of *really* draining the swamp. Getting rid of the ground conditions for the MAGA pitch.
That is the kind of positive, liberal and sensible response to idiot populism that I’ve been talking about.
Admiring there is a problem is not surrendering to populism. Failing to come up with an alternative solution is.
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/at-least-five-interesting-things-68b ...Richard Hanania is a pundit whose work I generally do not like. His typical analysis relies heavily on racial and gender stereotypes, and he gets a lot of stuff wrong. But ever since a major expose thrust him into the limelight last year, Hanania’s takes have at least, occasionally been more measured and reasonable. And I must give credit where credit is due here, because I think that he had a very good take on the recent “White Women for Kamala” and “White Dudes for Harris” events.
Basically, Hanania argues that after a decade of singling White people out for collective castigation, the progressive movement is accepting White people as just another racial interest group worthy of inclusion in the coalition:
One thing right-wingers love is to complain that you can only have affinity groups for blacks and other minorities…Along comes the Kamala campaign and says it’s ok to be white. That is, as long as you’re a good person, which means supporting reproductive freedom, not being “weird,” and voting Democrat. We’re all in this together.
It seems “woke” on the surface, but it’s actually a sign that liberals are moving away from woke...
Bill Clinton did a bit of this in 2016, talking about his pride in his Scots Irish heritage, how that demographic made up the majority of police and firefighters etc. It didn't seem to cut through much but I remember at the time thinking it was a good message to counter Trump's 'American carnage' narrative (which George Bush dubbed 'Weird shit' so Kamala can thank Bush for that!).
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
When did Lawrence Fox move from provocateur to out-and-out fascist loon ? I haven't been following his case, but he seems very prominent in some of fhe most noxious stuff, along with Sunlounger Tommy.
The social media vortex sucks people in to more and more attention seeking. There is definitely an issue with minor celebs who star fades in midlife and they find social media and then become addicted to the ego boosting of attention. That doesn't mean they all go burn the speed cameras etc.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
First, there needs to be immediate action to stop the riots, so whoever is reviewing video footage to identify rioters needs to be working round-the-clock with an eye to next day or even same day arrests, followed by short (days rather than years) prison sentences. Use of social media by anyone likely to have an influence, from politicians to footballers, might also be tried.
Second, in the longer term there needs to be serious action on levelling up, one of the few things Dominic Cummings was right about.
Third, it must be acknowledged it is not just economics. The immediate trigger was the slaughter of three young girls in Southport. This follows a number of similar crimes against children and young women whether by minorities or the great and good. As Foxy notes, old cases are whirring their way through the courts but paradoxically, these headlines can add to the impression the crimes are current.
Good for Trump, perhaps, since Americans are more likely than us to have invested in the stock market and notice they are getting poorer.
The linked article doesn't say markets think the US is headed for recession.
A Fed rate cut is pretty likely this month.
Almost inevitable, it might even by 0.5%. The Fed doesn't like mucking about with interest rates too close to an election because it challenges their neutral stance but the sharp falls in inflation, like here, more than justify the move, they almost demand it.
Not reacting would also count as 'mucking about' with interest rates.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
Mate, I've said it again and I'll say it 100 times, I personally have no problem with the SM or FoM. That is not why I voted Leave
But you are backing a solution that almost all those who are rioting - and the far-right politicians and influencers egging them on - would oppose.
That said, I am with you on Denmark - a high tax, redistributive society with a strong welfare state inside the single market that also, coincidentally or not, is currently home to Europe's most valuable company. What Denmark cannot do, though, is control immigration. Just certain kinds.
But they are ruthless on asylum and they destroy ethnic ghettoes. And they seem to have some of the happiest people on earth and suffer much less ethnic friction than very similar Sweden. We can do a swap, you accept their ghetto and asylum policies and I will accept their tax and welfare policies
Fine by me. And all done within the context of Danish membership of the ECHR.
The US media, and in particular Fox, have been talking the US economy down throughout Biden's period in office and it has clearly distorted perceptions of how the economy is doing. The estimate for GDP growth in Q2 of 2024 is 2.8% on an annualised basis, really not bad at all. Real wages are growing strongly after a fairly prolonged period where they were not (like here), job growth was exceptionally strong until last Friday (hence the panic on the markets) and the stock market was at a record high.
In short, Biden has a fairly excellent record, certainly better than Trump's whose major tax cut was very heavily weighted towards the much better off. The CHIPs and Science Act may well have skirted the edges of what is permissible in terms of state support but it has undoubtedly encouraged US based production. The additional, and way overdue, expenditure on infrastructure has been significant and helped to drive US growth to the top of the G7.
Of course, peoples' perceptions matter when it comes to their choice of who to vote for and a significant proportion of America are being fed alternative facts. Like us, the US is borrowing far too much and has a serious trade deficit (the 2 are, of course, linked in both cases because consumption is being driven by the excess borrowing). Not everything is great. The perception that it would be better under Trump really needs to be challenged.
People will believe what they want to believe.
Like you do that rejoining the single market and free movement is a solution to mass migration and integration challenges.
It would appear to be a demonstrable fact that leaving the single market and free movement did not solve the mass migration and integration challenges.
We took back control of our border. Slashed resources and opened the door with nobody left to actually control it.
The US media, and in particular Fox, have been talking the US economy down throughout Biden's period in office and it has clearly distorted perceptions of how the economy is doing. The estimate for GDP growth in Q2 of 2024 is 2.8% on an annualised basis, really not bad at all. Real wages are growing strongly after a fairly prolonged period where they were not (like here), job growth was exceptionally strong until last Friday (hence the panic on the markets) and the stock market was at a record high.
In short, Biden has a fairly excellent record, certainly better than Trump's whose major tax cut was very heavily weighted towards the much better off. The CHIPs and Science Act may well have skirted the edges of what is permissible in terms of state support but it has undoubtedly encouraged US based production. The additional, and way overdue, expenditure on infrastructure has been significant and helped to drive US growth to the top of the G7.
Of course, peoples' perceptions matter when it comes to their choice of who to vote for and a significant proportion of America are being fed alternative facts. Like us, the US is borrowing far too much and has a serious trade deficit (the 2 are, of course, linked in both cases because consumption is being driven by the excess borrowing). Not everything is great. The perception that it would be better under Trump really needs to be challenged.
People will believe what they want to believe.
Like you do that rejoining the single market and free movement is a solution to mass migration and integration challenges.
But that's just what you want to believe I said. Thank-you for proving my point so perfectly!
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
Mate, I've said it again and I'll say it 100 times, I personally have no problem with the SM or FoM. That is not why I voted Leave
But you are backing a solution that almost all those who are rioting - and the far-right politicians and influencers egging them on - would oppose.
That said, I am with you on Denmark - a high tax, redistributive society with a strong welfare state inside the single market that also, coincidentally or not, is currently home to Europe's most valuable company. What Denmark cannot do, though, is control immigration. Just certain kinds.
But they are ruthless on asylum and they destroy ethnic ghettoes. And they seem to have some of the happiest people on earth and suffer much less ethnic friction than very similar Sweden. We can do a swap, you accept their ghetto and asylum policies and I will accept their tax and welfare policies
Fine by me. And all done within the context of Danish membership of the ECHR.
There we are. Sorted. We've just sorted politics. The whole site can move on to different topics, now
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
If Labour want to sort out many of our social ills and also put 90% of the private sector out of business while at the same time going a long way to solving the teacher recruitment crisis that would certainly be one way to do it.
If parents were guaranteed a class size of no more than 20 in the state sector most of them would have their children out of private schools faster than the DfE can organise a works meeting.
Paul Whitwick, surely? I'll watch that later thanks; his videos are usually good.
Incidentally, yesterday I was talking to a chap (in his late thirties) who lives in a newbuild flat. He wants to have a bike, but there is nowhere to store it aside from in his flat, and he lives on the second floor. Residents have been keeping their bikes in a communal area outside, but the owners have told them that they cannot, and the bikes will have to be removed by the end of next month.
It's fine talking about the need for active travel, but it's pointless if people cannot actually have bikes.
When did Lawrence Fox move from provocateur to out-and-out fascist loon ? I haven't been following his case, but he seems very prominent in some of fhe most noxious stuff, along with Sunlounger Tommy.
He's an actor. He's found an echo chamber that delivers him applause and pays him money. What is not to like?
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
Mate, I've said it again and I'll say it 100 times, I personally have no problem with the SM or FoM. That is not why I voted Leave
But you are backing a solution that almost all those who are rioting - and the far-right politicians and influencers egging them on - would oppose.
That said, I am with you on Denmark - a high tax, redistributive society with a strong welfare state inside the single market that also, coincidentally or not, is currently home to Europe's most valuable company. What Denmark cannot do, though, is control immigration. Just certain kinds.
But they are ruthless on asylum and they destroy ethnic ghettoes. And they seem to have some of the happiest people on earth and suffer much less ethnic friction than very similar Sweden. We can do a swap, you accept their ghetto and asylum policies and I will accept their tax and welfare policies
Strangely the two most racist people I know, and have ever known in real life, are both Danes. Both are otherwise urbane, successful, very well educated but unapologetically racist. I’m no snowflake but some of the content in work related messages is a bit of a shock where they don’t find it remotely inappropriate to use racial epithets and in conversations they are brutally straightforward about anyone who isn’t white.
Not sure this adds anything to whether the Danish solution is the one, I always have thought it probably is, but an observation all the same.
This is why, if the Republican candidate was anyone other than Trump, they would be walking this election.
But Trump is utterly loathed by about 40% of the electorate (and not without good reason), which gives Ms Harris an excellent shot at winning the election.
When did Lawrence Fox move from provocateur to out-and-out fascist loon ? I haven't been following his case, but he seems very prominent in some of fhe most noxious stuff, along with Sunlounger Tommy.
He's an actor. He's found an echo chamber that delivers him applause and pays him money. What is not to like?
If Twitter had any sort of moderation he'd be gone.
His last post I saw yesterday was that "Starmer was supporting the rape of thousands of British girls by immigrant barbarians." He's clearly gone off at the ( very ) deep end.
This is why, if the Republican candidate was anyone other than Trump, they would be walking this election.
But Trump is utterly loathed by about 40% of the electorate (and not without good reason), which gives Ms Harris an excellent shot at winning the election.
The US media, and in particular Fox, have been talking the US economy down throughout Biden's period in office and it has clearly distorted perceptions of how the economy is doing. The estimate for GDP growth in Q2 of 2024 is 2.8% on an annualised basis, really not bad at all. Real wages are growing strongly after a fairly prolonged period where they were not (like here), job growth was exceptionally strong until last Friday (hence the panic on the markets) and the stock market was at a record high.
In short, Biden has a fairly excellent record, certainly better than Trump's whose major tax cut was very heavily weighted towards the much better off. The CHIPs and Science Act may well have skirted the edges of what is permissible in terms of state support but it has undoubtedly encouraged US based production. The additional, and way overdue, expenditure on infrastructure has been significant and helped to drive US growth to the top of the G7.
Of course, peoples' perceptions matter when it comes to their choice of who to vote for and a significant proportion of America are being fed alternative facts. Like us, the US is borrowing far too much and has a serious trade deficit (the 2 are, of course, linked in both cases because consumption is being driven by the excess borrowing). Not everything is great. The perception that it would be better under Trump really needs to be challenged.
People will believe what they want to believe.
Like you do that rejoining the single market and free movement is a solution to mass migration and integration challenges.
But that's just what you want to believe I said. Thank-you for proving my point so perfectly!
You literally said it upthread.
Either you're trolling, or you're just not very bright.
Paul Whitwick, surely? I'll watch that later thanks; his videos are usually good.
Incidentally, yesterday I was talking to a chap (in his late thirties) who lives in a newbuild flat. He wants to have a bike, but there is nowhere to store it aside from in his flat, and he lives on the second floor. Residents have been keeping their bikes in a communal area outside, but the owners have told them that they cannot, and the bikes will have to be removed by the end of next month.
It's fine talking about the need for active travel, but it's pointless if people cannot actually have bikes.
Yes - correct. I have a lifelong habit of swapping bits of names around either by mistake or by taking a slight flier, as has been seen on here occasionally.
When I was 13 I couldn't quite remember who all the Pretenders were so I turned "Perkin Warbeck" into "Marvin Purbeck".
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
If Labour want to sort out many of our social ills and also put 90% of the private sector out of business while at the same time going a long way to solving the teacher recruitment crisis that would certainly be one way to do it.
If parents were guaranteed a class size of no more than 20 in the state sector most of them would have their children out of private schools faster than the DfE can organise a works meeting.
So it would take considerable time then, and millions of emails.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
Mate, I've said it again and I'll say it 100 times, I personally have no problem with the SM or FoM. That is not why I voted Leave
But you are backing a solution that almost all those who are rioting - and the far-right politicians and influencers egging them on - would oppose.
That said, I am with you on Denmark - a high tax, redistributive society with a strong welfare state inside the single market that also, coincidentally or not, is currently home to Europe's most valuable company. What Denmark cannot do, though, is control immigration. Just certain kinds.
But they are ruthless on asylum and they destroy ethnic ghettoes. And they seem to have some of the happiest people on earth and suffer much less ethnic friction than very similar Sweden. We can do a swap, you accept their ghetto and asylum policies and I will accept their tax and welfare policies
A friend is going through the long process to become Danish. Doing a masters in being a Dane, as he puts it.
As an Indian, he sees some interesting reactions. Both from native Danes and other immigrants.
A big driver of the lack of integration of some is the language and the requirements for citizenship. Many immigrants (as he sees it) can’t find the time or money for all the courses/practise
The driver behind the citizenship requirements was protecting Danish language and culture - a long standing issue.
So many immigrants learn to speak English off the TV and internet. Since many, many Danes speak fluent, colloquial English and business is often conducted in English, they can get by without doing more. But as a result, they inevitably form a separate society within the country. Equally they see the Danish speakers chatting to each other - a separate group and one that has all the top jobs. Resentment is inevitable.
The measures @SouthamObserver speaks of are fairly new and contentious. In particular, the politicians who proposed and implemented the attempts to break up “ghettos” in public housing are considered anti-immigrant. Several are quite Faragist.
Aaron Bastani @AaronBastani · 7h This is basically ‘Occupy’ for the far right.
Particularly interesting since that proved incredibly underwhelming in the longer term.
Lord Miles @real_lord_miles · 14h A lot of the British nationalist group chats I'm in are mass organizing British person to refuses to come to work, bringing the economy to a standstill.
I'm interested to know how all these "middle Americans" believe they will be better off under Mr Trump when aiui he has pledged to reverse the Biden reforms that have removed financial burdens from them - cost of medical treatment for one, but also other things.
An example of believing what they are told most loudly?
On the stock market, has that not increased significantly under Biden?
The Stock market has increased to a record high under Biden. Indeed, the fear is that this is a bubble caused by frankly insane optimism about the earning potential of AI. I am not suggesting for a moment that AI will not be economically significant but the multipliers for many of the tech firms are simply unsustainable.
It is not the Dotcom bubble, alot of the froth in this market was due to expectations of growth but these are companies that are already delivering earnings and earnings growth and in some cases paying a dividend. Many of the Dotcom companies had nothing really behind them.
They may have got ahead of themselves, as you say, on the expectation of future growth and the P/E of the S&P 500 has been at a historic high. Once they start to falter in growth then we will see what happens. This earnings season has been less than good so far. It is pointless dipping in and out on a short term basis.. I am in it for the long term. Over the long term the S&P 500 delivers.
When did Lawrence Fox move from provocateur to out-and-out fascist loon ? I haven't been following his case, but he seems very prominent in some of fhe most noxious stuff, along with Sunlounger Tommy.
He's an actor. He's found an echo chamber that delivers him applause and pays him money. What is not to like?
If Twitter had any sort of moderation he'd be gone.
His last post I saw yesterday was that "Starmer was supporting the rape of thousands of British girls by immigrant barbarians." He's clearly gone off at the ( very ) deep end.
PB’s pro-riot squad claim tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands of girls. Fox needs to up his rhetoric to compete.
The two-tier Keir moniker / hashtag is really being pushed on twitter, how much is Russian bots and how much is organic, who knows.
Its why I said yesterday I think he made a small misstep by not addressing the counter "protesters" and saying let the police do their job, we are deploying extra resources, we can't have vigilante groups, if you do, you will also feel the full weight of the law.
The US media, and in particular Fox, have been talking the US economy down throughout Biden's period in office and it has clearly distorted perceptions of how the economy is doing. The estimate for GDP growth in Q2 of 2024 is 2.8% on an annualised basis, really not bad at all. Real wages are growing strongly after a fairly prolonged period where they were not (like here), job growth was exceptionally strong until last Friday (hence the panic on the markets) and the stock market was at a record high.
In short, Biden has a fairly excellent record, certainly better than Trump's whose major tax cut was very heavily weighted towards the much better off. The CHIPs and Science Act may well have skirted the edges of what is permissible in terms of state support but it has undoubtedly encouraged US based production. The additional, and way overdue, expenditure on infrastructure has been significant and helped to drive US growth to the top of the G7.
Of course, peoples' perceptions matter when it comes to their choice of who to vote for and a significant proportion of America are being fed alternative facts. Like us, the US is borrowing far too much and has a serious trade deficit (the 2 are, of course, linked in both cases because consumption is being driven by the excess borrowing). Not everything is great. The perception that it would be better under Trump really needs to be challenged.
People will believe what they want to believe.
Like you do that rejoining the single market and free movement is a solution to mass migration and integration challenges.
It would appear to be a demonstrable fact that leaving the single market and free movement did not solve the mass migration and integration challenges.
We took back control of our border. Slashed resources and opened the door with nobody left to actually control it.
Because the Conservatives opened it up, and then paid the penalty.
Paul Whitwick, surely? I'll watch that later thanks; his videos are usually good.
Incidentally, yesterday I was talking to a chap (in his late thirties) who lives in a newbuild flat. He wants to have a bike, but there is nowhere to store it aside from in his flat, and he lives on the second floor. Residents have been keeping their bikes in a communal area outside, but the owners have told them that they cannot, and the bikes will have to be removed by the end of next month.
It's fine talking about the need for active travel, but it's pointless if people cannot actually have bikes.
Cycle Parking.
Where is it?
If urban, there may be a list for people who want cycle hangars held by the Council.
If it is newbuild flat, there should be a requirement for cycle storage in the Planning Permission, perhaps as a Planning Condition. If that or similar exists, they can all ask the Council to enforce it as long as it is within X years.
My plan B would be a folder or e-folder.
Or if he has a parking space, he could SORN a van he puts there, and store his cycle in it. That's one tactic that is sometimes mentioned in connection with front curtilege parking spaces being Permitted Development, whilst a cycle locker needs Planning Permission.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
If Labour want to sort out many of our social ills and also put 90% of the private sector out of business while at the same time going a long way to solving the teacher recruitment crisis that would certainly be one way to do it.
If parents were guaranteed a class size of no more than 20 in the state sector most of them would have their children out of private schools faster than the DfE can organise a works meeting.
“ ….the DfE can organise a works meeting”
You are claiming that the DfE could organise a piss up in a brewery?
Right
@SiteAdmins It looks certain @ydoethur has been kidnapped by OFSTED and is being held in a cellar somewhere. This is obviously a secret message to alert us.
In the year 1381 there was some disgruntlement, which included the murder of various Flemish people in London as they were deemed to be an economic threat by some of those involved in the short-lived uprising.
Its the Economy Stupid is also the key driver as to why people are rioting. The migrants are the scapegoats. Why do people want the migrants gone? Because they are poor and think the migrants are to blame.
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
Mate, I've said it again and I'll say it 100 times, I personally have no problem with the SM or FoM. That is not why I voted Leave
But you are backing a solution that almost all those who are rioting - and the far-right politicians and influencers egging them on - would oppose.
That said, I am with you on Denmark - a high tax, redistributive society with a strong welfare state inside the single market that also, coincidentally or not, is currently home to Europe's most valuable company. What Denmark cannot do, though, is control immigration. Just certain kinds.
But they are ruthless on asylum and they destroy ethnic ghettoes. And they seem to have some of the happiest people on earth and suffer much less ethnic friction than very similar Sweden. We can do a swap, you accept their ghetto and asylum policies and I will accept their tax and welfare policies
They're probably linked: small countries with high levels of social affinity and control can (and do) do this.
This is why, if the Republican candidate was anyone other than Trump, they would be walking this election.
But Trump is utterly loathed by about 40% of the electorate (and not without good reason), which gives Ms Harris an excellent shot at winning the election.
Still value at 2.26
The market will not be settled before the election on 5th November so it does mean tying money up. Note that Kamala remains 1.01 for the Democratic nomination which should be settled this week, possibly tomorrow.
I'm interested to know how all these "middle Americans" believe they will be better off under Mr Trump when aiui he has pledged to reverse the Biden reforms that have removed financial burdens from them - cost of medical treatment for one, but also other things.
An example of believing what they are told most loudly?
On the stock market, has that not increased significantly under Biden?
The Stock market has increased to a record high under Biden. Indeed, the fear is that this is a bubble caused by frankly insane optimism about the earning potential of AI. I am not suggesting for a moment that AI will not be economically significant but the multipliers for many of the tech firms are simply unsustainable.
It is not the Dotcom bubble, alot of the froth in this market was due to expectations of growth but these are companies that are already delivering earnings and earnings growth and in some cases paying a dividend. Many of the Dotcom companies had nothing really behind them.
They may have got ahead of themselves, as you say, on the expectation of future growth and the P/E of the S&P 500 has been at a historic high. Once they start to falter in growth then we will see what happens. This earnings season has been less than good so far. It is pointless dipping in and out on a short term basis.. I am in it for the long term. Over the long term the S&P 500 delivers.
Many of the new generation of tech companies are, like in the dotcom bubble, hugely leveraged and unprofitable. They were flush with hedge fund money which needs to see a return now that money isn’t free any more.
The S&P 500 is absolutely the gold standard for long term investment, I have half my saving fund it in, with the other half split between the FTSE 100 and various tech and emerging stock markets.
The US media, and in particular Fox, have been talking the US economy down throughout Biden's period in office and it has clearly distorted perceptions of how the economy is doing. The estimate for GDP growth in Q2 of 2024 is 2.8% on an annualised basis, really not bad at all. Real wages are growing strongly after a fairly prolonged period where they were not (like here), job growth was exceptionally strong until last Friday (hence the panic on the markets) and the stock market was at a record high.
In short, Biden has a fairly excellent record, certainly better than Trump's whose major tax cut was very heavily weighted towards the much better off. The CHIPs and Science Act may well have skirted the edges of what is permissible in terms of state support but it has undoubtedly encouraged US based production. The additional, and way overdue, expenditure on infrastructure has been significant and helped to drive US growth to the top of the G7.
Of course, peoples' perceptions matter when it comes to their choice of who to vote for and a significant proportion of America are being fed alternative facts. Like us, the US is borrowing far too much and has a serious trade deficit (the 2 are, of course, linked in both cases because consumption is being driven by the excess borrowing). Not everything is great. The perception that it would be better under Trump really needs to be challenged.
On the flip side, there's an argument that voting for Trump's policy of 10% tariffs on everything and 60% tariffs on Chinese imports would be voting to make yourself worse off, at least in the short term. But that's the kind of nerdy economist argument that plays well on centrist dad podcasts and doesn't really cut through with the wider electorate...
When did Lawrence Fox move from provocateur to out-and-out fascist loon ? I haven't been following his case, but he seems very prominent in some of fhe most noxious stuff, along with Sunlounger Tommy.
He's an actor. He's found an echo chamber that delivers him applause and pays him money. What is not to like?
Comments
ensure her victory. As it is though Trump still turns off many Independents some of whom will still therefore vote for Harris.
In 2020 though Trump still won Iowa and Florida even if Biden won Pennsylvania
The return to historically normal interest rates is not going to be comfortable for many people or businesses, and true pretty much across the globe. Since 2008 we have got very used to interest rates so low that borrowing was essentially free. It isn't any more.
'How, when voters were not happy about the economy and liked our policies better, did we still manage to lose?
Could it have anything to do with putting forward a 78 year old criminal who had lost the previous election and was clearly off his head as our candidate?
If so, should we put somebody sane and middle aged forward next time and see if that makes a difference?'
Unfortunately, they seem too far gone for that.
“He is a felon thug who walks down the street and throws sucker punches at people like Brian Kemp, like African American journalists, Like John McCain…The Republican party is content sitting across the street watching it happen not calling him out not jumping into that fight saying you are wrong for us ."
https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1820129273946009641
Could the man with terrible hair see them go the way of the Whigs?
I suggest: Sonnenurlaubshosenwehmut
I have got Sonnenurlaubshosenwehmut
The Whigs didn't disappear, indeed most of the Northern Whigs merged into the Republican Party. At the time it was the Democrats under Andrew Jackson who were more Trump like
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/at-least-five-interesting-things-68b
...Richard Hanania is a pundit whose work I generally do not like. His typical analysis relies heavily on racial and gender stereotypes, and he gets a lot of stuff wrong. But ever since a major expose thrust him into the limelight last year, Hanania’s takes have at least, occasionally been more measured and reasonable. And I must give credit where credit is due here, because I think that he had a very good take on the recent “White Women for Kamala” and “White Dudes for Harris” events.
Basically, Hanania argues that after a decade of singling White people out for collective castigation, the progressive movement is accepting White people as just another racial interest group worthy of inclusion in the coalition:
One thing right-wingers love is to complain that you can only have affinity groups for blacks and other minorities…Along comes the Kamala campaign and says it’s ok to be white. That is, as long as you’re a good person, which means supporting reproductive freedom, not being “weird,” and voting Democrat. We’re all in this together.
It seems “woke” on the surface, but it’s actually a sign that liberals are moving away from woke...
I don't mean that to disagree with your point, I just think it's bad to amplify wrong information like the comment you were quoting.
In short, Biden has a fairly excellent record, certainly better than Trump's whose major tax cut was very heavily weighted towards the much better off. The CHIPs and Science Act may well have skirted the edges of what is permissible in terms of state support but it has undoubtedly encouraged US based production. The additional, and way overdue, expenditure on infrastructure has been significant and helped to drive US growth to the top of the G7.
Of course, peoples' perceptions matter when it comes to their choice of who to vote for and a significant proportion of America are being fed alternative facts. Like us, the US is borrowing far too much and has a serious trade deficit (the 2 are, of course, linked in both cases because consumption is being driven by the excess borrowing). Not everything is great. The perception that it would be better under Trump really needs to be challenged.
https://x.com/ECB_cricket/status/1820355623503962296
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integralism
That's completely antithetical to the US constitutional and political tradition, but it's undeniably a central element of current GOP doctrine. And epitomised by the selection of Vance as VP.
Sir Andrew Dilnot says another review of care funding will delay finding a solution
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/08/04/charge-pensioners-national-insurance-help-pay-social-care/
I am open to suggestions from our more aggressive right wing commentators as to the specific actions that Cooper and the government should action this morning to stop this.
Specifics. "We shouldn't start here" isn't specific.
I'm interested to know how all these "middle Americans" believe they will be better off under Mr Trump when aiui he has pledged to reverse the Biden reforms that have removed financial burdens from them - cost of medical treatment for one, but also other things.
An example of believing what they are told most loudly?
On the stock market, has that not increased significantly under Biden?
I'm disappointed you missed the awesome and subtle pun in the second paragraph.
It's the cleaned up, washed out, filtered Seine.
The have to have a shower before they get *in* to make sure they don't pollute it.
He had been ill for some time, this is from 2022.
https://www.thepca.co.uk/press-release/pca-statement-graham-thorpe/
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/aug/05/uk-stop-the-boats-policy-raising-risk-of-deadly-crushes-on-dinghies-ngos-say
"Statistic’s from David Friths’ (2001) book ‘Silence of the Heart: Cricket Suicides’
indicates cricket players are almost twice as likely as the average male to commit
suicide, and furthermore have a higher rate of suicide than participants of any other
sports"
https://chesterrep.openrepository.com/bitstream/handle/10034/315057/shaun mcnee.pdf;jsessionid=82F80332405A234CF95B0104362FAF8A?sequence=6
'Dirty' looking water isn't always unsafe, and 'clean' looking water not always safe. But in the case of the Seine, I think it's neither clean nor safe.
Incidentally, I'm not used to wild swimming, and I find it odd how water temperature can appear to change by a few degrees in a few metres, with no obvious reason.
I do hope not.
Let ministers get on with it.
"Why did you jump off the bridge?"
"I loved a Topper Topaz, but it rejected me."
Strange morning.
I feel for Amber
That said, I am with you on Denmark - a high tax, redistributive society with a strong welfare state inside the single market that also, coincidentally or not, is currently home to Europe's most valuable company. What Denmark cannot do, though, is control immigration. Just certain kinds.
More Lego museums.
First country to legalise same-sex unions.
Very high rates of cycling.
No mountains.
I can see some sense in that. Cricket is great fun to play if you're good at it (so I am told, I am not)
Plus you get the buzz of personal performance AND the amazing thrill of camaraderie. And all of this happens in elegant little grounds in beautiful sunny weather, and if you are a top player your life is one endless summer as you travel the world seeking the sun. And then suddenly, that ends
Maybe they pay a price for the joys of the truly beautiful game
When did Lawrence Fox move from provocateur to out-and-out fascist loon ? I haven't been following his case, but he seems very prominent in some of fhe most noxious stuff, along with Sunlounger Tommy.
Oh, and kudos to the French team. Their first rider was taken out by the New Zealand rider, putting them a minute behind. Yet they ended up fourth.
Very interesting video by Hiking Vlogger Paul Painswick, touching on questions of land ownership, transparency and access rights.
Guest appearance by Guy Shrubsole - the ideal name for a hiker.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-HZ8J61zC4M
Another term of Donald Fucking Trump is not the end of this.
One reason I liked Biden was that he put forward a plan to reinvest in American manufacturing and infrastructure. Which was, in part, based on the idea of *really* draining the swamp. Getting rid of the ground conditions for the MAGA pitch.
That is the kind of positive, liberal and sensible response to idiot populism that I’ve been talking about.
Admiring there is a problem is not surrendering to populism. Failing to come up with an alternative solution is.
I like it.
Second, in the longer term there needs to be serious action on levelling up, one of the few things Dominic Cummings was right about.
Third, it must be acknowledged it is not just economics. The immediate trigger was the slaughter of three young girls in Southport. This follows a number of similar crimes against children and young women whether by minorities or the great and good. As Foxy notes, old cases are whirring their way through the courts but paradoxically, these headlines can add to the impression the crimes are current.
We took back control of our border. Slashed resources and opened the door with nobody left to actually control it.
RIP
If parents were guaranteed a class size of no more than 20 in the state sector most of them would have their children out of private schools faster than the DfE can organise a works meeting.
Incidentally, yesterday I was talking to a chap (in his late thirties) who lives in a newbuild flat. He wants to have a bike, but there is nowhere to store it aside from in his flat, and he lives on the second floor. Residents have been keeping their bikes in a communal area outside, but the owners have told them that they cannot, and the bikes will have to be removed by the end of next month.
It's fine talking about the need for active travel, but it's pointless if people cannot actually have bikes.
Not sure this adds anything to whether the Danish solution is the one, I always have thought it probably is, but an observation all the same.
This is why, if the Republican candidate was anyone other than Trump, they would be walking this election.
But Trump is utterly loathed by about 40% of the electorate (and not without good reason), which gives Ms Harris an excellent shot at winning the election.
His last post I saw yesterday was that "Starmer was supporting the rape of thousands of British girls by immigrant barbarians." He's clearly gone off at the ( very ) deep end.
Either you're trolling, or you're just not very bright.
When I was 13 I couldn't quite remember who all the Pretenders were so I turned "Perkin Warbeck" into "Marvin Purbeck".
People need more memorable names !
As an Indian, he sees some interesting reactions. Both from native Danes and other immigrants.
A big driver of the lack of integration of some is the language and the requirements for citizenship. Many immigrants (as he sees it) can’t find the time or money for all the courses/practise
The driver behind the citizenship requirements was protecting Danish language and culture - a long standing issue.
So many immigrants learn to speak English off the TV and internet. Since many, many Danes speak fluent, colloquial English and business is often conducted in English, they can get by without doing more. But as a result, they inevitably form a separate society within the country. Equally they see the Danish speakers chatting to each other - a separate group and one that has all the top jobs. Resentment is inevitable.
The measures @SouthamObserver speaks of are fairly new and contentious. In particular, the politicians who proposed and implemented the attempts to break up “ghettos” in public housing are considered anti-immigrant. Several are quite Faragist.
Aaron Bastani
@AaronBastani
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7h
This is basically ‘Occupy’ for the far right.
Particularly interesting since that proved incredibly underwhelming in the longer term.
Lord Miles
@real_lord_miles
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14h
A lot of the British nationalist group chats I'm in are mass organizing British person to refuses to come to work, bringing the economy to a standstill.
Thoughts?
https://x.com/AaronBastani/status/1820248871781466313
https://x.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1820347660538204565
Two-tier Keir could hurt Starmer if it takes off.
They may have got ahead of themselves, as you say, on the expectation of future growth and the P/E of the S&P 500 has been at a historic high. Once they start to falter in growth then we will see what happens. This earnings season has been less than good so far. It is pointless dipping in and out on a short term basis.. I am in it for the long term. Over the long term the S&P 500 delivers.
Its why I said yesterday I think he made a small misstep by not addressing the counter "protesters" and saying let the police do their job, we are deploying extra resources, we can't have vigilante groups, if you do, you will also feel the full weight of the law.
Where is it?
If urban, there may be a list for people who want cycle hangars held by the Council.
If it is newbuild flat, there should be a requirement for cycle storage in the Planning Permission, perhaps as a Planning Condition. If that or similar exists, they can all ask the Council to enforce it as long as it is within X years.
My plan B would be a folder or e-folder.
Or if he has a parking space, he could SORN a van he puts there, and store his cycle in it. That's one tactic that is sometimes mentioned in connection with front curtilege parking spaces being Permitted Development, whilst a cycle locker needs Planning Permission.
You are claiming that the DfE could organise a piss up in a brewery?
Right
@SiteAdmins It looks certain @ydoethur has been kidnapped by OFSTED and is being held in a cellar somewhere. This is obviously a secret message to alert us.
In the year 1381 there was some disgruntlement, which included the murder of various Flemish people in London as they were deemed to be an economic threat by some of those involved in the short-lived uprising.
I suspect it'd be much harder here.
The S&P 500 is absolutely the gold standard for long term investment, I have half my saving fund it in, with the other half split between the FTSE 100 and various tech and emerging stock markets.
It affected you too.