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Some more election stats – politicalbetting.com
Some more election stats – politicalbetting.com
I know we all knew this was coming, but it’s still remarkable to see how deep into very, very safe Conservative seats Labour (and Lib Dems and Reform) made gains.Plotted here against Blair’s 1997 landslide for scale.Just an extraordinarily motivated anti-Tory vote ?? pic.twitter.com/VpsXdLARNe
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Edit: And First like Labour in over 400 seats.
>Ed Miliband at DESNZ. Prepare for climate chaos.
California Burning, as we type.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/cllyzngqp0go
Morgan McSweeney has run possibly the most efficient Labour campaign in terms of seats, ever.
It shows that Corbyn's strategy in 2017 and 2019 was fundamentally flawed. They didn't need to win millions more voters, they needed to win more voters in the right seats. And McSweeney has managed that perfectly.
With this approach he's been able to allow the Lib Dems to take the Tories away in their target seats with further efficiency and ease.
So I take my hat off to him, this has been an incredible campaign.
The BBC cuts from the construction of an actual Labour Cabinet to watch Nigel Farage shouting at hecklers. The BBC has, sadly, had a terrible election.
The problem with the last 14 years of Tories is that they promised to do all these things then did the opposite, time and again
All they need is a credible leader with conviction and principles, who will avow the above and tell us how she’s going to plausibly do it. They don’t need a Nazi, they just need credibility. Then the Tory abstainers and softer Reformers will return. And they win in 2028
One user is saying they need to go anti-woke and other are saying they need to appeal to people in the South where these woke culture wars go down like a cup of cold sick.
Ideally they should find a fresh face. Someone from the ranks, untainted by the last years of calamity. I’ve no idea if there is such a person
But I predict they will likely follow your foolish advice and elect Hunt or Tugendhat. And from that point, Farage will start to destroy them
Opinium conducted an On The Day poll with @itn for Channel 4 to explain the results of the #GE24 .
Find out what 4,500 UK adults said on polling day about the parties, leaders, and their vote. 👇
https://x.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1809247043535470946
"NO FEELS SEAT GIVEN LAST NIGHT'S RESULTS"
In order to form a government you have to be elected.
https://x.com/michaelgove/status/1809248714436825474
Con 13.97m > 6.81m
Lab 10.27m > 9.69m
LD 3.70m > 3.50m
Its that Con number that killed them. Major dropped 4.5m in 1997. Sunak just dropped 7.1m...
That’s the right live news call. Obviously later on the actual package will be a condensed version of the Cabinet being formed and Farage will come much later.
Wonder how long before she's Lady Truss of Whiplash in the County of Whatevershire?
Or better yet . . ."Arise, Dame Dingleberry!"
And while the Lib Dem and Reform seat figures look silly, they do capture something meaningful. Few people really mind the Lib Dems, lots of people really don't like Reform.
And the problem for the next Conservative leader is that they really need to win voters currently to their left and their right. That's going to need a plan a cunning as a fox with a PhD in Cunning from Cunning College Cambridge, and that course has been axed because of university funding problems.
Their website was also down all night long, and they also limit punters to pennies.
Shit.
Competence, sleaze, behaviour and the cost of living crisis amount to most of the Conservative defeat, and failure on immigration on top.
They then give themselves a chance to come through the middle as a the united and sensible voice.
He will need to allow a lot of "digging in" time.
The Boris coalition was built on the back of unrealistic policies - namely low taxes and high spending. It fell apart when Rishi tried to introduce reality of, you know, having to pay for that high spending.
We need a leader who tells the truth to voters, we have run out of money and we've got to live within our means so the government is going to have to do less.
But I don’t think Hunt is the man. He’s too spineless and lame and too tarnished
UKIP down to less than 7k votes, how much longer can this fringe group survive?
I think you do understand that you need to win back voters like me. But I am not convinced your candidates for leadership do.
The protests are more about the protesters than the target and they need to just stop and stop making Farage an outsider - he needs to be made mainstream so he’s just like all the others.
More significant parties + more tactical voting + less loyal demographic = more volatile seats + more marginal seats
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wvSnllyBc4c
It's simple: build houses.
“In January, I began hearing similar stories from Democratic officials, activists, and donors who came away from interactions with Joe Biden disturbed by what they had seen. For @NYMag, I
wrote about the conspiracy of silence to protect the president:
https://x.com/olivianuzzi/status/1808924240529535352?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
HE HAS TO QUIT
The feelgood factor throughout the nation would be immense.
And, of course, Starmer would be, yet again, a lucky general.
“Those who encountered the president in social settings sometimes left their interactions disturbed. Longtime friends of the Biden family, who spoke to me on the condition of anonymity, were shocked to find that the president did not remember their names. At a White House event last year, a guest recalled, with horror, realizing that the president would not be able to stay for the reception because, it was clear, he would not be able to make it through the reception. The guest wasn’t sure they could vote for Biden, since the guest was now open to an idea that they had previously dismissed as right-wing propaganda: The president may not really be the acting president after all.”
I could just about see Biden continuing as President in such a fashion until inauguration of the next President, but I do not understand how anyone could think it right for him to run on the basis that he will serve all the way to January 2029. The Democrats are now taking US voters for fools.
It isn't to say that there are not more Tory votes to be squeeezed, but most of the remaining Tory voters would more likely break for the Libdems and the rest are selfish rich Tossers who only care about stopping the state stealing their silver spoons.
Who was it who kept claiming/ramping she was in jeopardy of losing her seat?
She ended up with 47.5% of the vote in Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley, compared with Reform 29.1% and Conservative 15.0%.
Meaning YC got more votes that Ref + Con combined = 44.1%
Get rid of him ASAFP
There was always going to be a Susan Hall moment
Tbf, there were a number of weird broadcaster errors during the night. Bits of Suffolk going to the Greens and so on
https://election.news.sky.com/elections/general-election-2024
Ending it at Lichfield so you have six tracks (two HS2 and four Trent Valley) feeding into a two track bottleneck through Shugborough Tunnel between Colwich and Stafford is madness.
And importantly phase 2a from Lichfield to Crewe already has parliamentary approval.
https://x.com/GMB/status/1809114873894228261