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The next chapter of the Scottish play? – politicalbetting.com

The Telegraph are reporting that
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I don’t know the history in Scotland but the Met Police used to instruct solicitors and attorneys (there were such things in England back then) in private practice to draw up indictments. They took the work in house eventually before it was spun out again to the CPS in the 80s. So the work itself, down here anyway, is not historically civil service work.
Well he hasn't had to reassure voters that their kids won't be sent to prison, that much is true.
In Scotland sub judice rules kick in at the point of arrest and before charges. if any.
In E&W generally sub judice kicks in after the defendant is charged.
Could that see seats such as Ayr and Aberdeen South come into play for the Tories? Or will they leak so many votes to Labour that it's irrelevant?
Justice delayed is justice denied. The process should continue as normal, irrespective of any election.
Let’s take stock…
Late on Saturday night on a bank holiday weekend, our PM announced a policy which is so obviously a combo of “superficially appealing but utterly mad” that there is a whole episode of our nation’s best loved political satire in which the Minister proposes exactly this policy and the civil servant has to manoeuvre him out of it because it is utterly mad.
That episode also featured a satire of polling that so accurately skewers the concept of leading questions that many academics (including me) have used it in our methods lectures.
It turns out that the think tank promoting the utterly mad policy, and now taking credit for it, asked leading questions that look almost exactly the same as the Yes Minister ones, in order to demonstrate the public loved it.
Never in a million years would I have imagined that the opening weekend of a do or die campaign from supposedly the most formidable election winning machine in the Western world would be “Do a Yes Minister episode but for real this time.”
https://x.com/robfordmancs/status/1794859316354121816
You can arrest your serial killer but hold off charging him till after polling day
Ironic that sks got his first big break by turning charging decision announcements into showbiz. Always despised him for that
It’s bank holiday Monday but no let up on the election campaign trail
🚨Keir Starmer makes pitch on trust & security with first big speech this am
🔈Rishi Sunak will get a grilling from journos on national service plan
🚌 Lib Dem’s launching battle bus
#nothinghaschanged
https://x.com/roddyqc/status/1643537760521781253
But, it is yet another demonstration of the adverse consequences of such incredibly prolonged investigations. Sooner or later you will bump into an election.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65871857
The latest research suggests even the pyramids didn't require compulsory volunteering.
Two candidates from the same party, one with a "British" name, the other with a South Asian name. Contrast the number of votes for each candidate. It does work both ways - in some wards the Muslim candidates outpoll their colleagues.
https://x.com/YesPMQuoter/status/1794560983379177615
https://x.com/peterkyle/status/1794860437898752252
https://x.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1794826633276428690
https://x.com/MrTomGray/status/1794847315162984537
Although from the location looks like they stayed out of the centre….
No. That doesn't work because you'd have to release him. You can't keep someone in custody indefinitely without charging them. In England, if the police keep an individual in custody for longer than 24 hours, the general rule is that the person cannot be detained at the police station for over 24 hours prior to being charged. However, if no charging decision has been made within 24 hours, the police can extend the period of detention up to 36 hours. They can apply to hold you for up to 36 or 96 hours if you’re suspected of murder.
After that they need to shit or get off the pot.
HM Advocate v Caledonian Newspapers Ltd 1995 SLT 926: "publishers and responsible editors must not only try to avoid committing contempt of court, they must succeed in doing so."
The consequences of strict liability.
Although he was expelled from the SNP last year...
Could just be him and the Telegraph making some dung motile.
Betfair has Lib Dems at 27% chance of 25 seats or less.
SNP at 93% chance of 30 seats or less.
Restarting this will not enchant school leavers.
I also remember that girls were not conscripted, I assume that, if implemented now, they would be.
The whole proposal, while unlikely to happen, must surely lose the Tories votes, at least to the extent that it is taken seriously as a possibility. But then they must know this.
Nicola, and other SNP politicians, have already been hiding behind an ongoing police investigation for more than 2 years.
Which would have precisely the opposite effect of what he intended...
https://smarkets.com/event/43273345/politics/uk/next-uk-general-election/2024/07/04/21-00/liberal-democrats-vs-snp
https://youtu.be/8mtp2-PEH20
So, what's next?
I don't know, but it doesn't sound too conservative.
https://twitter.com/TimesRadio/status/1794997416355041791
Been there, done that.
If that makes sense.
A national volunteer force will solve crimes. Murders will be handled by Belgian refugees, minor peers or elderly spinsters. On rare occasions they may also be solved by bookish young ladies who become much hotter when they take their glasses off, assisted by dashing young men. Other crimes, such as smuggling, piracy and the kidnap of foreign princesses will be handled by teams of four children, assisted by a dog.
https://thecritic.co.uk/desperate-policies-for-desperate-people/
We really shouldn’t be giving them ideas….
“People in Derry, West Belfast and across the North have a very different experience of the British Army than people in Leicester - the idea that you can force kids here to sign up for a year is total nonsense.”
@ColumEastwood
https://x.com/SDLPlive/status/1795000248743362665
Tories on 93% chance.
Perhaps there is room for a Blackadder inspired cunning plan? Photo op of Sunak with his keks on his head and a pencil up each nostril.
“We will fine you if you refuse to force your kids into the army. Vote Tory”.
Former SNP spindoctor attacks 'grotesque' police probe
The SNP's former spin doctor has said he is willing to bet that the police investigation into the party's finances will not result in any charges.
Murray Foote, who quit in March amid a row over membership figures, speculated the probe could be "wild goose chase" and branded it a "grotesque spectacle".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-65481090
That caught my eye in particular after I'd read this (which I've pointed out before, but is interesting if you haven't.)
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/article/2024/may/25/last-boy-to-be-beaten-at-eton
I asked ChatGPT to suggest four completely mad ideas the UK’s Conservative Party could include in their manifesto.
I fully expect to see at least one of these announced before the week is out.
https://x.com/sharonodea/status/1794754014686711816
Which will probably be far more damaging to the Tories in the long round than a really heavy defeat now that would force them to confront their stupidity and unpopularity.
*TSE of course might be up for this if the rugby has not gone as he wishes.
Looking at my smarket account I see some time ago I placed £50 at 2/1 on Corbyn winning a seat. Could come good.
Labour source: “Parents can get fines in the thousands of pounds and 3 months custodial sentence if their kid doesn’t go to school. This is absolute chaos.”
(Rishi - royalty fees to the business account please.)
I thought I'd seen a 2-way market at one of the books but it is not there now.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/27/india-elections-pm-narendra-modi-claims-he-has-been-chosen-by-god
“I am convinced that ‘Parmatma’ (God) sent me for a purpose. Once the purpose is achieved, my work will be one done. This is why I have completely dedicated myself to God."
“When my mother was alive, I used to believe that I was born biologically. After she passed away, upon reflecting on all my experiences, I was convinced that God had sent me.”
It is only in this context that this mad as a box of frogs idea of National Service has been launched and allowed to dominate the first weekend of the campaign. We may see another bonkers announcement next week on the basis that if you think it is time for a change you vote Tory. Labour are actually struggling to get heard on their agenda.
Will this work? Of course not, but that is not the idea. The idea is to save a few dozen Tory seats.
Only bit I can see prohibiting Rwanda flights: "However, it is customary for Ministers to observe
discretion in initiating any new action of a continuing or long term character." Perhaps I am hallucinating about this (not than anyone wants to try, obviously)
Cake inflation is currently running at 24.7%.