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Holidays can be cancelled of course – politicalbetting.com
Holidays can be cancelled of course – politicalbetting.com
The argument for a May election is presumably that things will get even worse for the Tories over the summer?Calling an election amid funding scandals, public service failure and a weak economy, with a divided party and no plan for the future seems otherwise sub-optimal.
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Like Leeanderthal's place at the next Ashfield election.
'You bet!'
Just in case.
The newly expanded Champions League will have a tennis-style seeding system instead of a draw for the knock-out stages, and now involve a hybrid digital-manual draw for the “Swiss system” group stage.
An idea to even have a “US draft” style pick for knock-outs - where clubs would get to pick potential knock-out opponents depending on their table finish - was even discussed by Uefa, as a number of possibilities were raised.
Although the Champions League draw has become one of the showpiece events of the competition, Uefa modelling showed that a straight draw for who plays who in the opening stage would take up to four hours. It will instead by a hybrid system, with some of it digital and the rest manual, overseen by firms such as Ernst and Young. The exact process is still being discussed.
https://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/champions-league-uefa-draw-draft-2024-b2511342.html
Footage of one of the D-30 turbofan engines falling off the plane.
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1767563826189185278
https://thehill.com/video-clips/4525998-special-counsel-robert-hur-testifies-biden-docs-report-watch-live/
Hur tells his first lie: Biden never failed to return documents.
The entire point about this investigation is that he RETURNED DOCUMENTS when he found them.
https://twitter.com/emptywheel/status/1767561451974053965
1997: Dissolution - 17th March, Easter - 30th March
2015: Dissolution - 30th March, Easter - 5th April
Dawn Justice
Phil Rostance
The only Tory Councillors at present.
So if an engine its fan smashed up (for example), the vibration breaks the bolts holding the engine on, before the wing gets damaged.
IIRC, Boeing actually changed away from this philosophy in 1993, after El Al Flight 1862
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1767565011059105846
But when stumbled over the last, I wee’d myself a little bit.
Things did only get better, though!
Having Was a minimum of 17 working days before (from memory)
But yeah, it ran the perfect race. Apart from landing after the last.
I still think 14 Nov, despite the risk of the US election throwing the final week or so into a bit of turmoil. That said, I can see the appeal to Sunak of calling it in early Sept, so that MPs and other parties get pretty much zero chance to use Westminster to set an agenda, and so go for something like Oct 17.
🚨The strange tale of British luxury cars & Russian sanctions🚨
🧵A thread on some v striking charts which raise some disturbing questions abt the car industry.
Let's start at the start.
Wealthy Russians love high-end British cars.
Don't just take it from me. Take it from her 👇
https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1767506597553799546
But practice earlier was to prorogue parliament some time before the formal dissolution, which I'm sure will have been what happened in 1997. I suspect the 17 March date referred to was actually a prorogation.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unexpected_hanging_paradox
Be the bigger man.
Don't let events and the plotters decide his future.
Go.
And go now.
However, that - along with the opportunities that conference brings to set the agenda - is why I've thought for over a year that Sunak will use his speech at conference to launch the election: which points to 14 Nov as polling day.
Consequently I expect a December 12th election -exactly five years since the previous election - but it would have to be announced in the closing days of the US Presidential election campaign.
We were staying at the Hotel Hassler, on top of the Spanish Steps
It was also the night Clinton won his election, and both of us were into politics (two journalists), so we kept CNN on the TV as we went at it, which provided a weird punctuation to events
"And Clinton's taken Virginia!"
Slap
"We're hearing good things about Carolina"
Moan
Etc
So I see no reason why this election should not ADD to @TheScreamingEagles' romantic getaway
That would have been tighter if a handicap? Maybe not.
Would Lossie have beaten Stateman in this one?
Let’s see what Lossie can do in her challenge.
Agree @TSE
The media would love it but whilst there’s any chance at all of the tories improving their chances they will hold off. Not until January, which would be suicidal, but between September and December.
People are more miserable in Nov than Oct after the clock change, always are, and haven't yet got Christmas cheer. Only January is more miserable than November.
So why as an incumbent government would you want to call the polls for when people are more miserable as a whole? It makes no sense at all.
If you're gaining extra months that's one thing, but for only a few week difference it seems counterproductive.
After all why should the Azerbaijanis not have their Bentleys ?
Has to win these races to go there.
Is this a good way to prevent an election?
Given that the choices are jail the executives or fine the companies significant sums of money what should be done?
CPC: 46% (+12)
LPC: 25% (-8)
NDP: 15% (-3)
BQ: 6% (-2)
GPC: 4% (+2)
PPC: 2% (-3)
Others: 2%
Mainstreet Research / March 9, 2024 / n=1274 / MOE 2.7% / IVR
(% Change With 2021 Federal Election)
Constitution Hill reminded me that that is one of the places due to be pedestrianised.
https://www.faena.com/aleph/umberto-eco-a-practical-list-for-identifying-fascists
Russia scores 14/14. Not Neo-, not Quasi-, but actual fascism.
There are a few that hit a lot closer to home.
I think we should remember this when we think about how we deal with Russia. Unless Putin is stopped, he will not stop. We need to understand this and to prepare for it.
See John Deere tractors.
Many Tory MPs will be of the view that things are likely to get worse into the Autumn as the "running scared" narrative grows, and it may well be true that the best time to go for the Tory Party is now - they won't win, but may get a bit of credit for the surprise move, and limit the losses.
But Sunak doesn't face the same calculation. For him, the difference between May and November is six extra months as PM. He'll probably lose either way, and he's never going to get to be PM again. So it makes little difference how heavy his party's defeat is. Also, whilst November would probably produce a worse result, there is an outside chance of some event intervening between now and then. It's very unlikely, and any surprise could be a bad surprise just as much as it could be a good surprise. But it's more likely to happen over the course of eight months than it is over less than two.
If there was one moment so far that will make Biden and his team cringe, it may be the one served up by Representative Pramila Jayapal, when she claimed Hur had exonerated Biden. His retort — "I did not exonerate him" — will be used repeatedly by Republicans and Trump. That’s not helpful to Biden.
SSI - Pramilla Jayapal is my congresswoman. Her basic problem: she is WAY less smart than she thinks she is.
People like @NickPalmer , who think the war is our fault and trot out the same old excuses for Russia's excesses, should perhaps contemplate where their 'thinking' leads us.
Sunak will also be aware that if he leads his party to a crushing defeat in May, no-one will ever be able to prove that he still took the 'right' decision, in limiting losses as there's no counterfactual poll; just a massive set of real-world losses. By contrast, if he can pick things up a bit over the summer, that'll be provable against genuine opinion polls (and election results) in May.
Least turnout likely, and cuts the availability of people to be campaigning as they'll have Christmas instead.
And it happens automatically by default if no choice is made.
2) repeal the laws against parties bribing the electorate with free alcohol.
#MakeBritishElectionsGreatAgain
Swalwell put together his own supercut of Trump shorting out time after time after time -- and it's perhaps even more brutal than Nadler's
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1767583353564209426
Also, what a bunch of loser hypocrites.
Republicans are now mad that the DOJ released the transcript of Hur's interview with Biden. So much for transparency!
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1767585076072628559
They were entirely happy for Hur to release a five hundred page semi-hit piece on Biden, and are now upset that it can be fact checked against the actual transcripts of the interviews with Biden.
For what it’s worth, I think he’ll bottle it.
The guy is weak.
Okay, I see your point.