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Impeaching Joe Biden – politicalbetting.com

Betfair have this market on whether the Joe Biden will be impeached before the election. What I like about this bet is that the terms are very clear
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Edit: This is, of course, why all dates should be in ISO format. 2024-11-05. Easy-peasy.
Remember, Remember
Gunpowder, treason and plot…
Very apt unless Trump is jailed or tossed so isn’t running.
However, one thing on which all the various Republican factions should be able to agree, is an impeachment of the president, so long as someone can find the correct form of words. In which case, the 6 is value. (Assuming the UK date format in the rules).
Here’s the thing. Trump (as an example) gets taken to court because he breaks the law, not because he is alt right…
This builds on previous statements from him he would only defend NATO nations spending at least 2% of their gdp on defence
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2024/02/11/donald-trump-russia-nato-allies/
Can you get odds on that? Him keeling over? He looks so b ok ok I won’t go there
Why is that?
You could argue, of course, that this is not necessarily a bad thing and that NATO is well past its sell by date. But it would be the end.
Sometime ago I met some “penal reformers” who wanted to replace “criminal” with LCC. Because criminal is pejorative, apparently.
There must be more interesting bets tho, coz if you think about it, whatever happens in 2024 something mad is gonna happen
1. The Americans reelect Biden, a man who is now clearly demented and can’t tell Egypt from Arkansas
2. The Americans reelect Donald trump, ffs
3. The Americans elect Kamala hahahaha no give over
4. The Americans elect someone else? Who? How??
Looking at it that way, which option is the LEAST ridiculous, I am drawn to the idea of Kamala Harris
To be impeached, you need to have committed a crime related to the office you hold.
Biden hasn’t even been accused of one.
They tried to impeach the Secretary of Homeland Security because reasons and several of their own reps rebelled on the grounds that actually, impeachment is a process not a political game.
They may also have learned from the Dem mistake about impeaching Trump prematurely. If they hadn’t gone for the first they would have had a slam dunk case even that cowardly cretin McConnell couldn’t have ducked on the second.
Maybe, "Person With Temporary Legal Difficulties" would be better?
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/feb/11/scuttling-his-flagship-green-policy-sir-keir-starmer-has-imperilled-his-credibility
Is something afoot? I get the feeling there are elements within Labour that have decided the bland, cautious, managerial approach will get them chucked out of office after one term anyway. So therefore what's the point? Will Sir Keir be replaced with someone with vision and vim, with eye towards the future?
Looking at you, Ireland, Austria and Slovenia
If European countries start buying more American weapons, then Trump will be all in favour of keeping NATO alive. He’s a zero-sum type of guy.
Think Habitual Criminal.
He owes everything he has retained this millennium, either directly or indirectly (via Deutsche Bank and others) to the Russian state.
Austria spends just 0.77% of GDP on defence, and its right in the firing line if Putin comes marching through Eastern Europe
Ireland is an unspeakable leech, of course. 0.23% and relying on the Brits who they constantly abuse
You can’t blame The Donald for being a bit irritable
Regarding Biden, I think that his own Cabinet need to have a good look at the 25th amendment. The report last week is really sad to read, he’s clearly not all there any more and needs to stand down. Many of us will have dealt with family members in similar situations.
Since the media refuses to report on it, let me share what happens at a typical Trump speech:
1. He comes out to the playing of the “January 6 Anthem” song which he recorded with some of the most dangerous J6 rioters in jail.
2. He brags how his song with the J6 rioters gets more downloads than Taylor Swift (it does not)
3. He spends a few minutes talking about passing cognitive exams, and how the audience would not pass the exam, but because he is really smart (he is not) he is able to ace the exam.
4. He praises Viktor Orban, the leader of Hungary, who Trump says is the most respected leader in Europe (he is not).
5. He praises President Xi and says he is very strong and rules over 1 billion people with an iron fist and Hollywood couldn’t find an actor as tough as President Xi.
6. He praises Putin and says people say it’s a bad thing he gets along with Putin but he thinks it’s a good thing.
7. He makes weird noises reenacting lifting weights with a trans woman and he says “mommy I can’t do it. Mommy. Ughhh, uhh, mommy help me.”
8. He says he doesn’t like seeing President Biden at the beach and says he has a better body than Biden (he does not)
9. He talks about his hatred of windmills and his hatred of electric cars. He says he would rather be electrocuted than eaten by sharks however.
10. He praises the J6 insurrectionists and calls them hostages.
11. He whines about his court cases, attacks prosecutors, judges, and witnesses, and then praises “the great Alphonse Capone” and brags he was indicted more than Capone.
12. He quotes Hitler and says immigrants are poisoning the blood of our country.
13. He says he wants to be a dictator on day 1.
14. He plays QAnon music, audience members often make QAnon sign with their hands, and he talks about how America is a failing nation.
15. He does a weird dance and leaves.
https://twitter.com/meiselasb/status/1756162844431937593
For date time parsing Lower case mm is minutes, upper case mm is months.
But I get the sense that is where we are going. And I’m sure - as I’ve said before - that Poland is gonna end up with nukes
While there's no doubt that the USA has spent treasure I'm not sure what blood it has spent defending Europe in recent decades.
On the other hand there's been a fair bit of European treasure and blood spent in supporting the USA in its wars.
Including over 600 British lives in Afghanistan and Iraq.
0.77%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_in_Europe_by_military_expenditures
How many European countries have got actively and expensively involved in American wars? Britain. Er, occasionally Germany or France. Ummm, anyone else? The Dutch with their brilliant peacekeeping in Bosnia? That wasn’t even an American war yet we relied on them
The UK should cease defending Ireland until they start paying for it
Biden hasn't reached that level yet.
But who knows next week or next month or in six months.
Until Xi Jinping turned up in the city, and all of a sudden the tent cities disappeared overnight.
https://www.ocregister.com/2023/11/20/it-shouldnt-take-the-arrival-of-xi-jinping-to-clear-the-streets-of-san-francisco/
But yes, if eu/nato countries refuse to pay for their own defence he will leave them to the mercy of Putin. And why shouldn’t he? Do we have an eternal right to American protection without paying for it? How would you feel about this as an American taxpayer with 2 weeks holiday a year and no welfare state, protecting wealthy Irish and Austrians retiring at 60?
Switzerland being the epitome of the tax dodging neutralist parasite.
As to involvement in American wars:
https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2009/sep/21/afghanistan-troop-numbers-nato-data
How much use any of those contingents were I don't know.
There is nothing that forces America to protect Ireland. It does so because it believes it is in its interest as they have a shared ideology. But if America changes its ideology then its no longer shared...
https://gist.github.com/timvisee/fcda9bbdff88d45cc9061606b4b923ca#file-falsehoods-programming-time-list-md
You could conquer Ireland in 7 minutes. They have one armoured car with a special blow up shamrock shaped penis mascot
https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1756164250827948384
Matt is not, yet, a convicted felon.
And it makes sense. No one can threaten America in America, and if America loses interest in policing the world - as they seem to be, and who can blame them - where the fuck is China in the Red Sea? - then the rest of us will have to pony up
America will lose status but perhaps they don’t care
Lisa Nandy has been campaigning in the constituency all morning.
More:
https://x.com/realbenbloch/status/1756672697176633645?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
https://x.com/richardmarcj/status/1756630445955957248?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
And if they don’t get a bit punchy
Edit - he also got the day of the week wrong, although to be fair other Presidential nominees have done that including JFK.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2024/02/11/joe-biden-age-legitimate-issue-says-hillary-clinton/
Hilary is 76
They may or may not both be senile, Trump is definitely mad, neither has good name recall.
And the Swiss are fanatical about them. They’ve probably got a specially silently, specially vicious anti-tank weapon for that.
I mean, you've got three candidates two of whom have made stupid remarks about Israel/the Jews and one of whom is an actual more or less card-carrying Nazi.
A basket of turds* would be far superior.
*Not necessarily the case for what autocorrect tried to make that, which was 'a basket of Truss.'
As I said this does feel like a co-ordinated elite Democrat attempt to dislodge Biden
First the NYT, now Hillary
https://www.swansea.ac.uk/law/
I despise hypocrisy.
Except when it's me doing it, of course.
They will need to reincorporate Harry at this rate
Respect to him for even getting out of bed, in that case
GSTK
From this morning
Fab women's q&a session with Labour's @lisanandy, MP and Rochdale's brilliant candidate @CllrAzharAli
It was great to hear Labour's plans for Govt and how places like Rochdale, forgotten by the fictitious Tory levelling up,will be prioritised for growth.
#GeneralElectionNow
https://x.com/bev_place/status/1756668858188902663?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
Though perhaps you could replace Father Jack as Governor General?
The fighting must stop now. We need a sustainable ceasefire.
https://twitter.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1756673953970507804?t=sqq1zyR87fAU45fDjrfZcA&s=19
Does this mean that Starmer now has to demand his own resignation?