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Upending assumptions – politicalbetting.com

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  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    rcs1000 said:

    biggles said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Carnyx said:

    isam said:

    HYUFD said:

    '2,086 people who were verified by CCHQ as being Conservative party members in 2022 answered a survey that was carried out across the UK from the 29th to 31st January 2024.
    The survey, almost three times bigger than the Conservative Home poll carried out each month which shows the most popular members of the Cabinet, has highlighted huge discontent in parts of the party as well as identifying who the Conservative Members want as leader.

    When members were asked if they would vote Conservative with the following people as leader, Boris Johnson came top with 85.37 percent followed by Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg on 69.51 percent and Suella Braverman on 65.38 percent. . Only 23.63% of members said they will vote Conservative at the next General Election if Rishi Sunak remains as leader.'

    This looks like the type of voter who has gone from Tory to Reform rather than the median Tory member however

    https://conservativepost.co.uk/conservative-party-members-are-on-strike-and-57-wont-vote-tory-with-rishi-as-leader/

    If the Conservative Party were to change leader now, which of the following would you support being Prime Minister to lead us into the next General Election? (Members were asked to choose their top 3). They received the following number of votes:

    Boris Johnson - 1419
    Suella Braverman - 891
    Jacob Rees-Mogg - 721
    Penny Mordaunt - 520
    Kemi Badenoch - 518
    Liz Truss - 301
    Priti Patel - 286
    Robert Jenrick - 220
    David Cameron - 100
    James Cleverly - 75
    What’s that bloke everyone on here says Tory voters don’t like more than any other candidate
    doing a distance in front?
    Er, party members. Not voters in a GE.
    Er, but most polls of 2019 Tory voters have him miles in front too

    But people who are definitely not voting Conservative anyway prefer other Tories to him
    It's the non-Tory voters the Conservatives need to attract.
    You couldn’t be more wrong. It is the 2019 Tories they need, and it’s only them they could possibly get
    Yup. Folk who were ok with Brexit, and mostly knew what Boris was like but voted for him anyway. Not people who think like most on this site. In fact, the very people whose views most on this site (including me by the way) often have a blind spot for.
    Oh, I have no doubt that Boris would do a great job of pulling back most of the Reform vote.

    But I think that's still some way away from a winning total on its own. For a start, he won't have the benefit of facing Corbyn. And there's no Brexit "get it done" factor.

    And people in the developed world are hurting from higher prices, higher interest rates, and wages that have lagged. Blame for that - perhaps unfairly - is going to be laid at the Conservatives door.

    Boris probably ensures that the Conservative vote does not fall below 31-32%. But at the same time, he'll probably do wonders to anti-Conservative tactical voting. He'd save his party 15 to 30 seats, but I don't see him as capable of stopping a Starmer victory.
    Two awkward echoes of Corbyn- indeed the pining for Boris on the right has a lot of similarities to those who wish Jez would return on the left.

    First is that, yes, they both enthused a lot of love, including from people who aren't normally supporters of their parties. But they also put off both centrists and centrist-curious members of their parties. Both Boris and Jeremy provoked people into actively voting against them, which is usually quite an achievement.

    The 2019 triumph on the right happened because the Conservatives managed to unite Boris loyalists with Boris haters who hated Corbyn even more. Once the second group started to drift off, the Conservatives were in trouble. (And the Conservative poll rating has been falling fairly steadily since spring 2020, albeit with a hefty vaccine bump in the first half of 2021.)

    Second, and much more important, is that the fans of both Boris and Jeremy point to their triumphs, but they were in the past. Corbyn pulled off a remarkable result (albeit losing) in 2017 and Johnson did in 2019. But subsequent events made them less popular. Jez never recovered from his apparent equivocation over the Salisbury poisonings or the growing accusations of being at least antisemitism-adjacent. Boris's image was never going to recover from the triple of the Partygate lies, the Paterson scandal and Pinchergate.

    In both cases, they made the flaw we all suspected about them (that Corbyn is a dim reflexive supporter of unsavoury leftism, that Johnson doesn't tell the truth except by accident) impossible to avoid.

    Yes, the Conservatives have paid a price for ditching Johnson. But that cheque was written the day they elevated him. The only question was when the devil or the electorate would cash it in.
    Well it wasn’t the electorate

    Listen, I am tiring of speaking to the PB brick wall about this now, so maybe I’ll stop. But when you have someone who has defied the odds to win the Mayoralty, the referendum, then a landslide I think it is foolish to get rid, especially when there’s no real candidate to take over. The people who voted for him, when polled, still say they prefer him to any other Tory, he wipes the floor with his rival in the charisma stakes and would obviously win over more of the public in a campaign. If people refuse, or don’t want, to believe it, that’s their choice, let’s leave it there
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513

    ...

    Andy_JS said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    I can't think of any reason why the selection of leader should return to parliamentarians, other than that parliamentarians think they're more important than everyone else.
    Quite. It's a remarkable phrase in its pungent reek of entitlement, and complete lack of self-awareness.
    This is the Conservative party you’re talking about.
    Of course they’re entitled. Just like all those members who think it’s democratic for them regularly to choose new PMs without a general election.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,586

    ...

    Andy_JS said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    I can't think of any reason why the selection of leader should return to parliamentarians, other than that parliamentarians think they're more important than everyone else.
    Quite. It's a remarkable phrase in its pungent reek of entitlement, and complete lack of self-awareness.
    It's called parliamentary democracy. If you don't like it campaign for a change to our constitution.
    Where is it written into the stone tablets of parliamentary democracy that a party leader must be elected solely by its MPs? I think a far better system would be for MPs to elect a shortlist of 3 or more to send to members. Most of the more questionable leadership choices have been caused by better candidates being held back from the membership round.
    When did the country ever vote for Liz Truss to be PM?

    If the MPs select their leader at least the PM would be selected by those elected by the people. As it is PM Truss was chosen by 150,000 unelected and unrepresentative people.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513
    Swalwell: And all we've heard for years is noun, verb, border. So you get your border deal. Led by the second most conservative in the senate, and you're walking away from it. You're walking away from it because Trump
    https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1754973208866910230
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,477

    ...

    Andy_JS said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    I can't think of any reason why the selection of leader should return to parliamentarians, other than that parliamentarians think they're more important than everyone else.
    Quite. It's a remarkable phrase in its pungent reek of entitlement, and complete lack of self-awareness.
    It's called parliamentary democracy. If you don't like it campaign for a change to our constitution.
    Where is it written into the stone tablets of parliamentary democracy that a party leader must be elected solely by its MPs? I think a far better system would be for MPs to elect a shortlist of 3 or more to send to members. Most of the more questionable leadership choices have been caused by better candidates being held back from the membership round.
    When did the country ever vote for THE TRUSS to be PM?

    If the MPs select their leader at least the PM would be selected by those elected by the people. As it is

    T

    R

    U

    S

    S

    was chosen by 150,000 unelected and unrepresentative people.
    Wisdom in the darkness.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,480
    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    biggles said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Carnyx said:

    isam said:

    HYUFD said:

    '2,086 people who were verified by CCHQ as being Conservative party members in 2022 answered a survey that was carried out across the UK from the 29th to 31st January 2024.
    The survey, almost three times bigger than the Conservative Home poll carried out each month which shows the most popular members of the Cabinet, has highlighted huge discontent in parts of the party as well as identifying who the Conservative Members want as leader.

    When members were asked if they would vote Conservative with the following people as leader, Boris Johnson came top with 85.37 percent followed by Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg on 69.51 percent and Suella Braverman on 65.38 percent. . Only 23.63% of members said they will vote Conservative at the next General Election if Rishi Sunak remains as leader.'

    This looks like the type of voter who has gone from Tory to Reform rather than the median Tory member however

    https://conservativepost.co.uk/conservative-party-members-are-on-strike-and-57-wont-vote-tory-with-rishi-as-leader/

    If the Conservative Party were to change leader now, which of the following would you support being Prime Minister to lead us into the next General Election? (Members were asked to choose their top 3). They received the following number of votes:

    Boris Johnson - 1419
    Suella Braverman - 891
    Jacob Rees-Mogg - 721
    Penny Mordaunt - 520
    Kemi Badenoch - 518
    Liz Truss - 301
    Priti Patel - 286
    Robert Jenrick - 220
    David Cameron - 100
    James Cleverly - 75
    What’s that bloke everyone on here says Tory voters don’t like more than any other candidate
    doing a distance in front?
    Er, party members. Not voters in a GE.
    Er, but most polls of 2019 Tory voters have him miles in front too

    But people who are definitely not voting Conservative anyway prefer other Tories to him
    It's the non-Tory voters the Conservatives need to attract.
    You couldn’t be more wrong. It is the 2019 Tories they need, and it’s only them they could possibly get
    Yup. Folk who were ok with Brexit, and mostly knew what Boris was like but voted for him anyway. Not people who think like most on this site. In fact, the very people whose views most on this site (including me by the way) often have a blind spot for.
    Oh, I have no doubt that Boris would do a great job of pulling back most of the Reform vote.

    But I think that's still some way away from a winning total on its own. For a start, he won't have the benefit of facing Corbyn. And there's no Brexit "get it done" factor.

    And people in the developed world are hurting from higher prices, higher interest rates, and wages that have lagged. Blame for that - perhaps unfairly - is going to be laid at the Conservatives door.

    Boris probably ensures that the Conservative vote does not fall below 31-32%. But at the same time, he'll probably do wonders to anti-Conservative tactical voting. He'd save his party 15 to 30 seats, but I don't see him as capable of stopping a Starmer victory.
    Two awkward echoes of Corbyn- indeed the pining for Boris on the right has a lot of similarities to those who wish Jez would return on the left.

    First is that, yes, they both enthused a lot of love, including from people who aren't normally supporters of their parties. But they also put off both centrists and centrist-curious members of their parties. Both Boris and Jeremy provoked people into actively voting against them, which is usually quite an achievement.

    The 2019 triumph on the right happened because the Conservatives managed to unite Boris loyalists with Boris haters who hated Corbyn even more. Once the second group started to drift off, the Conservatives were in trouble. (And the Conservative poll rating has been falling fairly steadily since spring 2020, albeit with a hefty vaccine bump in the first half of 2021.)

    Second, and much more important, is that the fans of both Boris and Jeremy point to their triumphs, but they were in the past. Corbyn pulled off a remarkable result (albeit losing) in 2017 and Johnson did in 2019. But subsequent events made them less popular. Jez never recovered from his apparent equivocation over the Salisbury poisonings or the growing accusations of being at least antisemitism-adjacent. Boris's image was never going to recover from the triple of the Partygate lies, the Paterson scandal and Pinchergate.

    In both cases, they made the flaw we all suspected about them (that Corbyn is a dim reflexive supporter of unsavoury leftism, that Johnson doesn't tell the truth except by accident) impossible to avoid.

    Yes, the Conservatives have paid a price for ditching Johnson. But that cheque was written the day they elevated him. The only question was when the devil or the electorate would cash it in.
    Well it wasn’t the electorate

    Listen, I am tiring of speaking to the PB brick wall about this now, so maybe I’ll stop. But when you have someone who has defied the odds to win the Mayoralty, the referendum, then a landslide I think it is foolish to get rid, especially when there’s no real candidate to take over. The people who voted for him, when polled, still say they prefer him to any other Tory, he wipes the floor with his rival in the charisma stakes and would obviously win over more of the public in a campaign. If people refuse, or don’t want, to believe it, that’s their choice, let’s leave it there
    Boris resigned. He wasn't forced out by anyone but himself.

    He could have fought and won in Uxbridge but was too frit.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208
    algarkirk said:

    FF43 said:

    kamski said:

    Here's the actual poll:

    https://www.spiegel.de/panorama/gesellschaft/monarchie-acht-prozent-der-deutschen-wuenschen-sich-einen-koenig-a-d4e93300-dd5c-4e9e-a2fd-31b50b6aaa76

    »In einigen europäischen Ländern – wie etwa in Großbritannien – gibt es eine parlamentarische Monarchie, wobei der König oder die Königin – ähnlich wie der Bundespräsident bei uns – keine politische Macht mehr hat, sondern als Staatsoberhaupt nur noch repräsentative Aufgaben wahrnimmt. Fänden Sie es gut, wenn es auch in Deutschland statt des Bundespräsidenten noch einen König oder eine Königin gäbe oder fänden Sie das nicht gut?«

    Translated:
    "In some European countries - such as the UK - there is a parliamentary monarchy, where the king or queen - similar to the federal president in Germany - no longer has any political power, but only fulfils representative tasks as head of state. Would you be in favour of a king or queen instead of a federal president in Germany, or would you be against that?"

    In favour 8%
    Against 89%

    People vote for the status quo everywhere but in monarchies this is somewhat mitigated by monarchy being an inherent nonsense ("It kind of works, so we'll stick with it")
    Looked at in a particular pragmatic way, all dignified, as opposed to efficient, bits of the state are inherent nonsense. In that light, monarchy is no worse than all the others.

    Dignified bits of the state have wide ramifications. One of them would be having buildings like the HoP and Westminster Hall, rather than a conference centre in Barking or Hull, rented by the day, to meet in.
    That's somewhat glosses over the intellectual issue with the monarchy, which is the absence of any requirement for the head of state to be competent or even sane. I do realise you can still end up with someone like Trump in a republic but at least he went through some sort of selection process.

    My theory is that societies with less sophisticated governance tolerated the occasional imbecile as monarch, which was a disaster each time it happened, because in the round it was better than constant succession wars. In principle we're better than that now.
  • HarperHarper Posts: 197
    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    biggles said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Carnyx said:

    isam said:

    HYUFD said:

    '2,086 people who were verified by CCHQ as being Conservative party members in 2022 answered a survey that was carried out across the UK from the 29th to 31st January 2024.
    The survey, almost three times bigger than the Conservative Home poll carried out each month which shows the most popular members of the Cabinet, has highlighted huge discontent in parts of the party as well as identifying who the Conservative Members want as leader.

    When members were asked if they would vote Conservative with the following people as leader, Boris Johnson came top with 85.37 percent followed by Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg on 69.51 percent and Suella Braverman on 65.38 percent. . Only 23.63% of members said they will vote Conservative at the next General Election if Rishi Sunak remains as leader.'

    This looks like the type of voter who has gone from Tory to Reform rather than the median Tory member however

    https://conservativepost.co.uk/conservative-party-members-are-on-strike-and-57-wont-vote-tory-with-rishi-as-leader/

    If the Conservative Party were to change leader now, which of the following would you support being Prime Minister to lead us into the next General Election? (Members were asked to choose their top 3). They received the following number of votes:

    Boris Johnson - 1419
    Suella Braverman - 891
    Jacob Rees-Mogg - 721
    Penny Mordaunt - 520
    Kemi Badenoch - 518
    Liz Truss - 301
    Priti Patel - 286
    Robert Jenrick - 220
    David Cameron - 100
    James Cleverly - 75
    What’s that bloke everyone on here says Tory voters don’t like more than any other candidate
    doing a distance in front?
    Er, party members. Not voters in a GE.
    Er, but most polls of 2019 Tory voters have him miles in front too

    But people who are definitely not voting Conservative anyway prefer other Tories to him
    It's the non-Tory voters the Conservatives need to attract.
    You couldn’t be more wrong. It is the 2019 Tories they need, and it’s only them they could possibly get
    Yup. Folk who were ok with Brexit, and mostly knew what Boris was like but voted for him anyway. Not people who think like most on this site. In fact, the very people whose views most on this site (including me by the way) often have a blind spot for.
    Oh, I have no doubt that Boris would do a great job of pulling back most of the Reform vote.

    But I think that's still some way away from a winning total on its own. For a start, he won't have the benefit of facing Corbyn. And there's no Brexit "get it done" factor.

    And people in the developed world are hurting from higher prices, higher interest rates, and wages that have lagged. Blame for that - perhaps unfairly - is going to be laid at the Conservatives door.

    Boris probably ensures that the Conservative vote does not fall below 31-32%. But at the same time, he'll probably do wonders to anti-Conservative tactical voting. He'd save his party 15 to 30 seats, but I don't see him as capable of stopping a Starmer victory.
    Two awkward echoes of Corbyn- indeed the pining for Boris on the right has a lot of similarities to those who wish Jez would return on the left.

    First is that, yes, they both enthused a lot of love, including from people who aren't normally supporters of their parties. But they also put off both centrists and centrist-curious members of their parties. Both Boris and Jeremy provoked people into actively voting against them, which is usually quite an achievement.

    The 2019 triumph on the right happened because the Conservatives managed to unite Boris loyalists with Boris haters who hated Corbyn even more. Once the second group started to drift off, the Conservatives were in trouble. (And the Conservative poll rating has been falling fairly steadily since spring 2020, albeit with a hefty vaccine bump in the first half of 2021.)

    Second, and much more important, is that the fans of both Boris and Jeremy point to their triumphs, but they were in the past. Corbyn pulled off a remarkable result (albeit losing) in 2017 and Johnson did in 2019. But subsequent events made them less popular. Jez never recovered from his apparent equivocation over the Salisbury poisonings or the growing accusations of being at least antisemitism-adjacent. Boris's image was never going to recover from the triple of the Partygate lies, the Paterson scandal and Pinchergate.

    In both cases, they made the flaw we all suspected about them (that Corbyn is a dim reflexive supporter of unsavoury leftism, that Johnson doesn't tell the truth except by accident) impossible to avoid.

    Yes, the Conservatives have paid a price for ditching Johnson. But that cheque was written the day they elevated him. The only question was when the devil or the electorate would cash it in.
    Well it wasn’t the electorate

    Listen, I am tiring of speaking to the PB brick wall about this now, so maybe I’ll stop. But when you have someone who has defied the odds to win the Mayoralty, the referendum, then a landslide I think it is foolish to get rid, especially when there’s no real candidate to take over. The people who voted for him, when polled, still say they prefer him to any other Tory, he wipes the floor with his rival in the charisma stakes and would obviously win over more of the public in a campaign. If people refuse, or don’t want, to believe it, that’s their choice, let’s leave it there
    I suppose if you describe bumbling incompetence and the odd joke as charisma yes.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,477
    Here’s a question.

    Is Boris or The Truss the better PM?

    I know the answer.

    Do you?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513
    Interesting to hear @TuckerCarlson claim that “no western journalist has bothered to interview” Putin since the invasion of Ukraine. We’ve lodged several requests with the Kremlin in the last 18 months. Always a ‘no’ for us.
    https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1754993410535026753

    Tucker demonstrates, yet again, that he’s a propagandist not a journalist.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,401
    Time and time again the tory position is that lawyers are to blame for X or Y.

    This is the party which claims to care most about the rule of law.

    Lawyers represent their clients and the court decides, is my - probably ridiculous - understanding.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited February 6
    Harper said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    biggles said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Carnyx said:

    isam said:

    HYUFD said:

    '2,086 people who were verified by CCHQ as being Conservative party members in 2022 answered a survey that was carried out across the UK from the 29th to 31st January 2024.
    The survey, almost three times bigger than the Conservative Home poll carried out each month which shows the most popular members of the Cabinet, has highlighted huge discontent in parts of the party as well as identifying who the Conservative Members want as leader.

    When members were asked if they would vote Conservative with the following people as leader, Boris Johnson came top with 85.37 percent followed by Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg on 69.51 percent and Suella Braverman on 65.38 percent. . Only 23.63% of members said they will vote Conservative at the next General Election if Rishi Sunak remains as leader.'

    This looks like the type of voter who has gone from Tory to Reform rather than the median Tory member however

    https://conservativepost.co.uk/conservative-party-members-are-on-strike-and-57-wont-vote-tory-with-rishi-as-leader/

    If the Conservative Party were to change leader now, which of the following would you support being Prime Minister to lead us into the next General Election? (Members were asked to choose their top 3). They received the following number of votes:

    Boris Johnson - 1419
    Suella Braverman - 891
    Jacob Rees-Mogg - 721
    Penny Mordaunt - 520
    Kemi Badenoch - 518
    Liz Truss - 301
    Priti Patel - 286
    Robert Jenrick - 220
    David Cameron - 100
    James Cleverly - 75
    What’s that bloke everyone on here says Tory voters don’t like more than any other candidate
    doing a distance in front?
    Er, party members. Not voters in a GE.
    Er, but most polls of 2019 Tory voters have him miles in front too

    But people who are definitely not voting Conservative anyway prefer other Tories to him
    It's the non-Tory voters the Conservatives need to attract.
    You couldn’t be more wrong. It is the 2019 Tories they need, and it’s only them they could possibly get
    Yup. Folk who were ok with Brexit, and mostly knew what Boris was like but voted for him anyway. Not people who think like most on this site. In fact, the very people whose views most on this site (including me by the way) often have a blind spot for.
    Oh, I have no doubt that Boris would do a great job of pulling back most of the Reform vote.

    But I think that's still some way away from a winning total on its own. For a start, he won't have the benefit of facing Corbyn. And there's no Brexit "get it done" factor.

    And people in the developed world are hurting from higher prices, higher interest rates, and wages that have lagged. Blame for that - perhaps unfairly - is going to be laid at the Conservatives door.

    Boris probably ensures that the Conservative vote does not fall below 31-32%. But at the same time, he'll probably do wonders to anti-Conservative tactical voting. He'd save his party 15 to 30 seats, but I don't see him as capable of stopping a Starmer victory.
    Two awkward echoes of Corbyn- indeed the pining for Boris on the right has a lot of similarities to those who wish Jez would return on the left.

    First is that, yes, they both enthused a lot of love, including from people who aren't normally supporters of their parties. But they also put off both centrists and centrist-curious members of their parties. Both Boris and Jeremy provoked people into actively voting against them, which is usually quite an achievement.

    The 2019 triumph on the right happened because the Conservatives managed to unite Boris loyalists with Boris haters who hated Corbyn even more. Once the second group started to drift off, the Conservatives were in trouble. (And the Conservative poll rating has been falling fairly steadily since spring 2020, albeit with a hefty vaccine bump in the first half of 2021.)

    Second, and much more important, is that the fans of both Boris and Jeremy point to their triumphs, but they were in the past. Corbyn pulled off a remarkable result (albeit losing) in 2017 and Johnson did in 2019. But subsequent events made them less popular. Jez never recovered from his apparent equivocation over the Salisbury poisonings or the growing accusations of being at least antisemitism-adjacent. Boris's image was never going to recover from the triple of the Partygate lies, the Paterson scandal and Pinchergate.

    In both cases, they made the flaw we all suspected about them (that Corbyn is a dim reflexive supporter of unsavoury leftism, that Johnson doesn't tell the truth except by accident) impossible to avoid.

    Yes, the Conservatives have paid a price for ditching Johnson. But that cheque was written the day they elevated him. The only question was when the devil or the electorate would cash it in.
    Well it wasn’t the electorate

    Listen, I am tiring of speaking to the PB brick wall about this now, so maybe I’ll stop. But when you have someone who has defied the odds to win the Mayoralty, the referendum, then a landslide I think it is foolish to get rid, especially when there’s no real candidate to take over. The people who voted for him, when polled, still say they prefer him to any other Tory, he wipes the floor with his rival in the charisma stakes and would obviously win over more of the public in a campaign. If people refuse, or don’t want, to believe it, that’s their choice, let’s leave it there
    I suppose if you describe bumbling incompetence and the odd joke as charisma yes.
    That’s just your bias, I’m using the polling, not my opinion

    IPSOS MORI poll on ‘who has the most personality’ and Boris beat Sir Keir by at least 30 points, whereas Sunak & Sir Keir are neck and neck
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,707

    ...

    Andy_JS said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    I can't think of any reason why the selection of leader should return to parliamentarians, other than that parliamentarians think they're more important than everyone else.
    Quite. It's a remarkable phrase in its pungent reek of entitlement, and complete lack of self-awareness.
    It's called parliamentary democracy. If you don't like it campaign for a change to our constitution.
    Where is it written into the stone tablets of parliamentary democracy that a party leader must be elected solely by its MPs? I think a far better system would be for MPs to elect a shortlist of 3 or more to send to members. Most of the more questionable leadership choices have been caused by better candidates being held back from the membership round.
    When did the country ever vote for Liz Truss to be PM?

    If the MPs select their leader at least the PM would be selected by those elected by the people. As it is PM Truss was chosen by 150,000 unelected and unrepresentative people.
    Though to be fair - getting 150,001 votes would have sealed her place in history and/or Trivial Pursuit.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,586

    ...

    Andy_JS said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    I can't think of any reason why the selection of leader should return to parliamentarians, other than that parliamentarians think they're more important than everyone else.
    Quite. It's a remarkable phrase in its pungent reek of entitlement, and complete lack of self-awareness.
    It's called parliamentary democracy. If you don't like it campaign for a change to our constitution.
    Where is it written into the stone tablets of parliamentary democracy that a party leader must be elected solely by its MPs? I think a far better system would be for MPs to elect a shortlist of 3 or more to send to members. Most of the more questionable leadership choices have been caused by better candidates being held back from the membership round.
    When did the country ever vote for THE TRUSS to be PM?

    If the MPs select their leader at least the PM would be selected by those elected by the people. As it is

    T

    R

    U

    S

    S

    was chosen by 150,000 unelected and unrepresentative people.
    Wisdom in the darkness.
    I have no idea what you are on about.
  • HarperHarper Posts: 197
    isam said:

    Harper said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    biggles said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Carnyx said:

    isam said:

    HYUFD said:

    '2,086 people who were verified by CCHQ as being Conservative party members in 2022 answered a survey that was carried out across the UK from the 29th to 31st January 2024.
    The survey, almost three times bigger than the Conservative Home poll carried out each month which shows the most popular members of the Cabinet, has highlighted huge discontent in parts of the party as well as identifying who the Conservative Members want as leader.

    When members were asked if they would vote Conservative with the following people as leader, Boris Johnson came top with 85.37 percent followed by Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg on 69.51 percent and Suella Braverman on 65.38 percent. . Only 23.63% of members said they will vote Conservative at the next General Election if Rishi Sunak remains as leader.'

    This looks like the type of voter who has gone from Tory to Reform rather than the median Tory member however

    https://conservativepost.co.uk/conservative-party-members-are-on-strike-and-57-wont-vote-tory-with-rishi-as-leader/

    If the Conservative Party were to change leader now, which of the following would you support being Prime Minister to lead us into the next General Election? (Members were asked to choose their top 3). They received the following number of votes:

    Boris Johnson - 1419
    Suella Braverman - 891
    Jacob Rees-Mogg - 721
    Penny Mordaunt - 520
    Kemi Badenoch - 518
    Liz Truss - 301
    Priti Patel - 286
    Robert Jenrick - 220
    David Cameron - 100
    James Cleverly - 75
    What’s that bloke everyone on here says Tory voters don’t like more than any other candidate
    doing a distance in front?
    Er, party members. Not voters in a GE.
    Er, but most polls of 2019 Tory voters have him miles in front too

    But people who are definitely not voting Conservative anyway prefer other Tories to him
    It's the non-Tory voters the Conservatives need to attract.
    You couldn’t be more wrong. It is the 2019 Tories they need, and it’s only them they could possibly get
    Yup. Folk who were ok with Brexit, and mostly knew what Boris was like but voted for him anyway. Not people who think like most on this site. In fact, the very people whose views most on this site (including me by the way) often have a blind spot for.
    Oh, I have no doubt that Boris would do a great job of pulling back most of the Reform vote.

    But I think that's still some way away from a winning total on its own. For a start, he won't have the benefit of facing Corbyn. And there's no Brexit "get it done" factor.

    And people in the developed world are hurting from higher prices, higher interest rates, and wages that have lagged. Blame for that - perhaps unfairly - is going to be laid at the Conservatives door.

    Boris probably ensures that the Conservative vote does not fall below 31-32%. But at the same time, he'll probably do wonders to anti-Conservative tactical voting. He'd save his party 15 to 30 seats, but I don't see him as capable of stopping a Starmer victory.
    Two awkward echoes of Corbyn- indeed the pining for Boris on the right has a lot of similarities to those who wish Jez would return on the left.

    First is that, yes, they both enthused a lot of love, including from people who aren't normally supporters of their parties. But they also put off both centrists and centrist-curious members of their parties. Both Boris and Jeremy provoked people into actively voting against them, which is usually quite an achievement.

    The 2019 triumph on the right happened because the Conservatives managed to unite Boris loyalists with Boris haters who hated Corbyn even more. Once the second group started to drift off, the Conservatives were in trouble. (And the Conservative poll rating has been falling fairly steadily since spring 2020, albeit with a hefty vaccine bump in the first half of 2021.)

    Second, and much more important, is that the fans of both Boris and Jeremy point to their triumphs, but they were in the past. Corbyn pulled off a remarkable result (albeit losing) in 2017 and Johnson did in 2019. But subsequent events made them less popular. Jez never recovered from his apparent equivocation over the Salisbury poisonings or the growing accusations of being at least antisemitism-adjacent. Boris's image was never going to recover from the triple of the Partygate lies, the Paterson scandal and Pinchergate.

    In both cases, they made the flaw we all suspected about them (that Corbyn is a dim reflexive supporter of unsavoury leftism, that Johnson doesn't tell the truth except by accident) impossible to avoid.

    Yes, the Conservatives have paid a price for ditching Johnson. But that cheque was written the day they elevated him. The only question was when the devil or the electorate would cash it in.
    Well it wasn’t the electorate

    Listen, I am tiring of speaking to the PB brick wall about this now, so maybe I’ll stop. But when you have someone who has defied the odds to win the Mayoralty, the referendum, then a landslide I think it is foolish to get rid, especially when there’s no real candidate to take over. The people who voted for him, when polled, still say they prefer him to any other Tory, he wipes the floor with his rival in the charisma stakes and would obviously win over more of the public in a campaign. If people refuse, or don’t want, to believe it, that’s their choice, let’s leave it there
    I suppose if you describe bumbling incompetence and the odd joke as charisma yes.
    That’s just your bias, I’m using the polling, not my opinion

    IPSOS MORI poll on ‘who has the most personality’ and Boris beat Sir Keir by at least 30 points, whereas Sunak & Sir Keir are neck and neck
    Personality doesnt neccesarily mean votes.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,707

    Here’s a question.

    Is Boris or The Truss the better PM?

    I know the answer.

    Do you?

    You'd need to give us your definition of 'better', I think.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,208

    Here’s a question.

    Is Boris or The Truss the better PM?

    I know the answer.

    Do you?

    Dishonest or deluded? Which is better do you think?
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,317

    DougSeal said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    Yes, quite right, how dare these upstarts disturb our door-knockers and leaflet-deliverers with all this talk of 'democracy' and 'low taxes' and a 'small state', it's disgusting. Bad enough we have to pretend we like these people during jumble sales and fetes, without them being encouraged to think they can actually set the party's agenda!
    No. The issue with today’s launch was the complete absence of new ideas. Recycled woke bashing, which is in itself recycled “political correctness gone mad” and the tired “silent majority/shy Tory” tripe resurrected after 30 years. It was transparently an attempt to curry favour for opposition leadership roles, preaching to the converted, rather than a serious attempt to win a general election.
    Conservatism needs a credo that aims to supplant and replace the woke/pc ideology, rather than just complain about the negative externalities of those things. If your opponents are changing things, and you're complaining about it, you're losing. But that does not in any way invalidate the arguments against woke/pc, which are as valid now as they ever were.
    People think that the 'woke' are still in the ascendency, Britain has a 'progressive majority' and that the tories need to go to the 'centre' by embracing Starmerism. It is all essentially wishful thinking and goes against the experience of other comparable countries in Europe.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,231
    Nigelb said:

    Interesting to hear @TuckerCarlson claim that “no western journalist has bothered to interview” Putin since the invasion of Ukraine. We’ve lodged several requests with the Kremlin in the last 18 months. Always a ‘no’ for us.
    https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1754993410535026753

    Tucker demonstrates, yet again, that he’s a propagandist not a journalist.

    I thought we disapproved of his outrageous decision to interview Putin - now it appears the BBC have made repeated requests to interview Putin as well? Can someone do a memo; it's all very confusing.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,477
    edited February 6
    FF43 said:

    Here’s a question.

    Is Boris or The Truss the better PM?

    I know the answer.

    Do you?

    Dishonest or deluded? Which is better do you think?
    How about divine?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,477
    Truss or Boris?

    Boris or Truss?

    Who is the GOAT?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,480

    Nigelb said:

    Interesting to hear @TuckerCarlson claim that “no western journalist has bothered to interview” Putin since the invasion of Ukraine. We’ve lodged several requests with the Kremlin in the last 18 months. Always a ‘no’ for us.
    https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1754993410535026753

    Tucker demonstrates, yet again, that he’s a propagandist not a journalist.

    I thought we disapproved of his outrageous decision to interview Putin - now it appears the BBC have made repeated requests to interview Putin as well? Can someone do a memo; it's all very confusing.
    It all depends on what is asked at the interview.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,586
    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513
    Nigelb said:

    Interesting to hear @TuckerCarlson claim that “no western journalist has bothered to interview” Putin since the invasion of Ukraine. We’ve lodged several requests with the Kremlin in the last 18 months. Always a ‘no’ for us.
    https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1754993410535026753

    Tucker demonstrates, yet again, that he’s a propagandist not a journalist.

    Quite something to complain about how not enough American journalists are reporting on the Russian side of Putin's invasion of Ukraine when two of them – Evan Gershkovich and Alsu Kurmasheva – are *in jail right now* for doing just that
    https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1754945619871838374
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,401
    Nigelb said:

    Interesting to hear @TuckerCarlson claim that “no western journalist has bothered to interview” Putin since the invasion of Ukraine. We’ve lodged several requests with the Kremlin in the last 18 months. Always a ‘no’ for us.
    https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1754993410535026753

    Tucker demonstrates, yet again, that he’s a propagandist not a journalist.

    Last time SteveR was near Putin iirc was in some kind of stage managed hour or three of Q&As with Putin and a load of journos and despite having his hand up the entire time - he was not called to ask a question.

  • HarperHarper Posts: 197
    darkage said:

    DougSeal said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    Yes, quite right, how dare these upstarts disturb our door-knockers and leaflet-deliverers with all this talk of 'democracy' and 'low taxes' and a 'small state', it's disgusting. Bad enough we have to pretend we like these people during jumble sales and fetes, without them being encouraged to think they can actually set the party's agenda!
    No. The issue with today’s launch was the complete absence of new ideas. Recycled woke bashing, which is in itself recycled “political correctness gone mad” and the tired “silent majority/shy Tory” tripe resurrected after 30 years. It was transparently an attempt to curry favour for opposition leadership roles, preaching to the converted, rather than a serious attempt to win a general election.
    Conservatism needs a credo that aims to supplant and replace the woke/pc ideology, rather than just complain about the negative externalities of those things. If your opponents are changing things, and you're complaining about it, you're losing. But that does not in any way invalidate the arguments against woke/pc, which are as valid now as they ever were.
    People think that the 'woke' are still in the ascendency, Britain has a 'progressive majority' and that the tories need to go to the 'centre' by embracing Starmerism. It is all essentially wishful thinking and goes against the experience of other comparable countries in Europe.
    Can anyone actually define starmerism.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    I would hope that converting to christianity gives you no extra brownie points when seeking asylum because that is equal bollocks
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,586
    darkage said:

    DougSeal said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    Yes, quite right, how dare these upstarts disturb our door-knockers and leaflet-deliverers with all this talk of 'democracy' and 'low taxes' and a 'small state', it's disgusting. Bad enough we have to pretend we like these people during jumble sales and fetes, without them being encouraged to think they can actually set the party's agenda!
    No. The issue with today’s launch was the complete absence of new ideas. Recycled woke bashing, which is in itself recycled “political correctness gone mad” and the tired “silent majority/shy Tory” tripe resurrected after 30 years. It was transparently an attempt to curry favour for opposition leadership roles, preaching to the converted, rather than a serious attempt to win a general election.
    Conservatism needs a credo that aims to supplant and replace the woke/pc ideology, rather than just complain about the negative externalities of those things. If your opponents are changing things, and you're complaining about it, you're losing. But that does not in any way invalidate the arguments against woke/pc, which are as valid now as they ever were.
    People think that the 'woke' are still in the ascendency, Britain has a 'progressive majority' and that the tories need to go to the 'centre' by embracing Starmerism. It is all essentially wishful thinking and goes against the experience of other comparable countries in Europe.
    I have no idea who 'the woke' are. I suspect the concept of a group of 'woke' people being in the ascendancy is a figment of right-wingers' fevered imaginations.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,320
    Foxy said:

    Nigelb said:

    Interesting to hear @TuckerCarlson claim that “no western journalist has bothered to interview” Putin since the invasion of Ukraine. We’ve lodged several requests with the Kremlin in the last 18 months. Always a ‘no’ for us.
    https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1754993410535026753

    Tucker demonstrates, yet again, that he’s a propagandist not a journalist.

    I thought we disapproved of his outrageous decision to interview Putin - now it appears the BBC have made repeated requests to interview Putin as well? Can someone do a memo; it's all very confusing.
    It all depends on what is asked at the interview.
    It's an interview, not a Select Committee. Even a very soft interview will be revealing, if only of what Putin wants people to think at the moment.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,707
    Harper said:

    darkage said:

    DougSeal said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    Yes, quite right, how dare these upstarts disturb our door-knockers and leaflet-deliverers with all this talk of 'democracy' and 'low taxes' and a 'small state', it's disgusting. Bad enough we have to pretend we like these people during jumble sales and fetes, without them being encouraged to think they can actually set the party's agenda!
    No. The issue with today’s launch was the complete absence of new ideas. Recycled woke bashing, which is in itself recycled “political correctness gone mad” and the tired “silent majority/shy Tory” tripe resurrected after 30 years. It was transparently an attempt to curry favour for opposition leadership roles, preaching to the converted, rather than a serious attempt to win a general election.
    Conservatism needs a credo that aims to supplant and replace the woke/pc ideology, rather than just complain about the negative externalities of those things. If your opponents are changing things, and you're complaining about it, you're losing. But that does not in any way invalidate the arguments against woke/pc, which are as valid now as they ever were.
    People think that the 'woke' are still in the ascendency, Britain has a 'progressive majority' and that the tories need to go to the 'centre' by embracing Starmerism. It is all essentially wishful thinking and goes against the experience of other comparable countries in Europe.
    Can anyone actually define starmerism.
    It's a bit like a BA pilot who's had a covid vaccine.
  • HarperHarper Posts: 197

    darkage said:

    DougSeal said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    Yes, quite right, how dare these upstarts disturb our door-knockers and leaflet-deliverers with all this talk of 'democracy' and 'low taxes' and a 'small state', it's disgusting. Bad enough we have to pretend we like these people during jumble sales and fetes, without them being encouraged to think they can actually set the party's agenda!
    No. The issue with today’s launch was the complete absence of new ideas. Recycled woke bashing, which is in itself recycled “political correctness gone mad” and the tired “silent majority/shy Tory” tripe resurrected after 30 years. It was transparently an attempt to curry favour for opposition leadership roles, preaching to the converted, rather than a serious attempt to win a general election.
    Conservatism needs a credo that aims to supplant and replace the woke/pc ideology, rather than just complain about the negative externalities of those things. If your opponents are changing things, and you're complaining about it, you're losing. But that does not in any way invalidate the arguments against woke/pc, which are as valid now as they ever were.
    People think that the 'woke' are still in the ascendency, Britain has a 'progressive majority' and that the tories need to go to the 'centre' by embracing Starmerism. It is all essentially wishful thinking and goes against the experience of other comparable countries in Europe.
    I have no idea who 'the woke' are. I suspect the concept of a group of 'woke' people being in the ascendancy is a figment of right-wingers' fevered imaginations.
    Maybe look in the mirror.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,586
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    I would hope that converting to christianity gives you no extra brownie points when seeking asylum because that is equal bollocks
    Asylum seekers thinking it might gain extra brownie points ≠ extra brownie points actually gained.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,401

    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513

    Nigelb said:

    Interesting to hear @TuckerCarlson claim that “no western journalist has bothered to interview” Putin since the invasion of Ukraine. We’ve lodged several requests with the Kremlin in the last 18 months. Always a ‘no’ for us.
    https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1754993410535026753

    Tucker demonstrates, yet again, that he’s a propagandist not a journalist.

    I thought we disapproved of his outrageous decision to interview Putin - now it appears the BBC have made repeated requests to interview Putin as well? Can someone do a memo; it's all very confusing.
    No, we disapprove of his shilling for Putin.

    It’s really not complicated.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,477
    edited February 6
    I note that nobody has answered my question.

    Who is the greater PM - Boris or The Truss?

    Telling, very telling.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,707

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    Is he condemning most of protestant England who gave zero sh*ts beyond "same old tosh, different frock"? Is he woke? Or... something? I feel we should be told.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,477


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    Let’s just do it next week and have done with it.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,794

    ...

    Andy_JS said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    I can't think of any reason why the selection of leader should return to parliamentarians, other than that parliamentarians think they're more important than everyone else.
    Quite. It's a remarkable phrase in its pungent reek of entitlement, and complete lack of self-awareness.
    It's called parliamentary democracy. If you don't like it campaign for a change to our constitution.
    Where is it written into the stone tablets of parliamentary democracy that a party leader must be elected solely by its MPs? I think a far better system would be for MPs to elect a shortlist of 3 or more to send to members. Most of the more questionable leadership choices have been caused by better candidates being held back from the membership round.
    I think the leader should be voted for by the people standing for election in the next GE. They have skin in the game.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Harper said:

    isam said:

    Harper said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    biggles said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Carnyx said:

    isam said:

    HYUFD said:

    '2,086 people who were verified by CCHQ as being Conservative party members in 2022 answered a survey that was carried out across the UK from the 29th to 31st January 2024.
    The survey, almost three times bigger than the Conservative Home poll carried out each month which shows the most popular members of the Cabinet, has highlighted huge discontent in parts of the party as well as identifying who the Conservative Members want as leader.

    When members were asked if they would vote Conservative with the following people as leader, Boris Johnson came top with 85.37 percent followed by Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg on 69.51 percent and Suella Braverman on 65.38 percent. . Only 23.63% of members said they will vote Conservative at the next General Election if Rishi Sunak remains as leader.'

    This looks like the type of voter who has gone from Tory to Reform rather than the median Tory member however

    https://conservativepost.co.uk/conservative-party-members-are-on-strike-and-57-wont-vote-tory-with-rishi-as-leader/

    If the Conservative Party were to change leader now, which of the following would you support being Prime Minister to lead us into the next General Election? (Members were asked to choose their top 3). They received the following number of votes:

    Boris Johnson - 1419
    Suella Braverman - 891
    Jacob Rees-Mogg - 721
    Penny Mordaunt - 520
    Kemi Badenoch - 518
    Liz Truss - 301
    Priti Patel - 286
    Robert Jenrick - 220
    David Cameron - 100
    James Cleverly - 75
    What’s that bloke everyone on here says Tory voters don’t like more than any other candidate
    doing a distance in front?
    Er, party members. Not voters in a GE.
    Er, but most polls of 2019 Tory voters have him miles in front too

    But people who are definitely not voting Conservative anyway prefer other Tories to him
    It's the non-Tory voters the Conservatives need to attract.
    You couldn’t be more wrong. It is the 2019 Tories they need, and it’s only them they could possibly get
    Yup. Folk who were ok with Brexit, and mostly knew what Boris was like but voted for him anyway. Not people who think like most on this site. In fact, the very people whose views most on this site (including me by the way) often have a blind spot for.
    Oh, I have no doubt that Boris would do a great job of pulling back most of the Reform vote.

    But I think that's still some way away from a winning total on its own. For a start, he won't have the benefit of facing Corbyn. And there's no Brexit "get it done" factor.

    And people in the developed world are hurting from higher prices, higher interest rates, and wages that have lagged. Blame for that - perhaps unfairly - is going to be laid at the Conservatives door.

    Boris probably ensures that the Conservative vote does not fall below 31-32%. But at the same time, he'll probably do wonders to anti-Conservative tactical voting. He'd save his party 15 to 30 seats, but I don't see him as capable of stopping a Starmer victory.
    Two awkward echoes of Corbyn- indeed the pining for Boris on the right has a lot of similarities to those who wish Jez would return on the left.

    First is that, yes, they both enthused a lot of love, including from people who aren't normally supporters of their parties. But they also put off both centrists and centrist-curious members of their parties. Both Boris and Jeremy provoked people into actively voting against them, which is usually quite an achievement.

    The 2019 triumph on the right happened because the Conservatives managed to unite Boris loyalists with Boris haters who hated Corbyn even more. Once the second group started to drift off, the Conservatives were in trouble. (And the Conservative poll rating has been falling fairly steadily since spring 2020, albeit with a hefty vaccine bump in the first half of 2021.)

    Second, and much more important, is that the fans of both Boris and Jeremy point to their triumphs, but they were in the past. Corbyn pulled off a remarkable result (albeit losing) in 2017 and Johnson did in 2019. But subsequent events made them less popular. Jez never recovered from his apparent equivocation over the Salisbury poisonings or the growing accusations of being at least antisemitism-adjacent. Boris's image was never going to recover from the triple of the Partygate lies, the Paterson scandal and Pinchergate.

    In both cases, they made the flaw we all suspected about them (that Corbyn is a dim reflexive supporter of unsavoury leftism, that Johnson doesn't tell the truth except by accident) impossible to avoid.

    Yes, the Conservatives have paid a price for ditching Johnson. But that cheque was written the day they elevated him. The only question was when the devil or the electorate would cash it in.
    Well it wasn’t the electorate

    Listen, I am tiring of speaking to the PB brick wall about this now, so maybe I’ll stop. But when you have someone who has defied the odds to win the Mayoralty, the referendum, then a landslide I think it is foolish to get rid, especially when there’s no real candidate to take over. The people who voted for him, when polled, still say they prefer him to any other Tory, he wipes the floor with his rival in the charisma stakes and would obviously win over more of the public in a campaign. If people refuse, or don’t want, to believe it, that’s their choice, let’s leave it there
    I suppose if you describe bumbling incompetence and the odd joke as charisma yes.
    That’s just your bias, I’m using the polling, not my opinion

    IPSOS MORI poll on ‘who has the most personality’ and Boris beat Sir Keir by at least 30 points, whereas Sunak & Sir Keir are neck and neck
    Personality doesnt neccesarily mean votes.
    It has in almost every GE for the last forty odd years

    https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2020/06/06/the-case-for-making-personality-ratings-a-good-electoral-indicator/

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,926
    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Interesting to hear @TuckerCarlson claim that “no western journalist has bothered to interview” Putin since the invasion of Ukraine. We’ve lodged several requests with the Kremlin in the last 18 months. Always a ‘no’ for us.
    https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1754993410535026753

    Tucker demonstrates, yet again, that he’s a propagandist not a journalist.

    Quite something to complain about how not enough American journalists are reporting on the Russian side of Putin's invasion of Ukraine when two of them – Evan Gershkovich and Alsu Kurmasheva – are *in jail right now* for doing just that
    https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1754945619871838374
    Presumably Tucker pressed him on that point, right @williamglenn
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,586


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    Sounds like bollocks to me. 'Massive global insecurity' would surely work in Sunak's favour?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    I would hope that converting to christianity gives you no extra brownie points when seeking asylum because that is equal bollocks
    Asylum seekers thinking it might gain extra brownie points ≠ extra brownie points actually gained.
    Asylum seekers generally have lawyers advising them, I am pretty sure they will be telling their clients get a cat/wife so you can claim family ahead of converting to christianity
  • MJWMJW Posts: 1,723
    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    biggles said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Carnyx said:

    isam said:

    HYUFD said:

    '2,086 people who were verified by CCHQ as being Conservative party members in 2022 answered a survey that was carried out across the UK from the 29th to 31st January 2024.
    The survey, almost three times bigger than the Conservative Home poll carried out each month which shows the most popular members of the Cabinet, has highlighted huge discontent in parts of the party as well as identifying who the Conservative Members want as leader.

    When members were asked if they would vote Conservative with the following people as leader, Boris Johnson came top with 85.37 percent followed by Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg on 69.51 percent and Suella Braverman on 65.38 percent. . Only 23.63% of members said they will vote Conservative at the next General Election if Rishi Sunak remains as leader.'

    This looks like the type of voter who has gone from Tory to Reform rather than the median Tory member however

    https://conservativepost.co.uk/conservative-party-members-are-on-strike-and-57-wont-vote-tory-with-rishi-as-leader/

    If the Conservative Party were to change leader now, which of the following would you support being Prime Minister to lead us into the next General Election? (Members were asked to choose their top 3). They received the following number of votes:

    Boris Johnson - 1419
    Suella Braverman - 891
    Jacob Rees-Mogg - 721
    Penny Mordaunt - 520
    Kemi Badenoch - 518
    Liz Truss - 301
    Priti Patel - 286
    Robert Jenrick - 220
    David Cameron - 100
    James Cleverly - 75
    What’s that bloke everyone on here says Tory voters don’t like more than any other candidate
    doing a distance in front?
    Er, party members. Not voters in a GE.
    Er, but most polls of 2019 Tory voters have him miles in front too

    But people who are definitely not voting Conservative anyway prefer other Tories to him
    It's the non-Tory voters the Conservatives need to attract.
    You couldn’t be more wrong. It is the 2019 Tories they need, and it’s only them they could possibly get
    Yup. Folk who were ok with Brexit, and mostly knew what Boris was like but voted for him anyway. Not people who think like most on this site. In fact, the very people whose views most on this site (including me by the way) often have a blind spot for.
    Oh, I have no doubt that Boris would do a great job of pulling back most of the Reform vote.

    But I think that's still some way away from a winning total on its own. For a start, he won't have the benefit of facing Corbyn. And there's no Brexit "get it done" factor.

    And people in the developed world are hurting from higher prices, higher interest rates, and wages that have lagged. Blame for that - perhaps unfairly - is going to be laid at the Conservatives door.

    Boris probably ensures that the Conservative vote does not fall below 31-32%. But at the same time, he'll probably do wonders to anti-Conservative tactical voting. He'd save his party 15 to 30 seats, but I don't see him as capable of stopping a Starmer victory.
    Two awkward echoes of Corbyn- indeed the pining for Boris on the right has a lot of similarities to those who wish Jez would return on the left.

    First is that, yes, they both enthused a lot of love, including from people who aren't normally supporters of their parties. But they also put off both centrists and centrist-curious members of their parties. Both Boris and Jeremy provoked people into actively voting against them, which is usually quite an achievement.

    The 2019 triumph on the right happened because the Conservatives managed to unite Boris loyalists with Boris haters who hated Corbyn even more. Once the second group started to drift off, the Conservatives were in trouble. (And the Conservative poll rating has been falling fairly steadily since spring 2020, albeit with a hefty vaccine bump in the first half of 2021.)

    Second, and much more important, is that the fans of both Boris and Jeremy point to their triumphs, but they were in the past. Corbyn pulled off a remarkable result (albeit losing) in 2017 and Johnson did in 2019. But subsequent events made them less popular. Jez never recovered from his apparent equivocation over the Salisbury poisonings or the growing accusations of being at least antisemitism-adjacent. Boris's image was never going to recover from the triple of the Partygate lies, the Paterson scandal and Pinchergate.

    In both cases, they made the flaw we all suspected about them (that Corbyn is a dim reflexive supporter of unsavoury leftism, that Johnson doesn't tell the truth except by accident) impossible to avoid.

    Yes, the Conservatives have paid a price for ditching Johnson. But that cheque was written the day they elevated him. The only question was when the devil or the electorate would cash it in.
    Well it wasn’t the electorate

    Listen, I am tiring of speaking to the PB brick wall about this now, so maybe I’ll stop. But when you have someone who has defied the odds to win the Mayoralty, the referendum, then a landslide I think it is foolish to get rid, especially when there’s no real candidate to take over. The people who voted for him, when polled, still say they prefer him to any other Tory, he wipes the floor with his rival in the charisma stakes and would obviously win over more of the public in a campaign. If people refuse, or don’t want, to believe it, that’s their choice, let’s leave it there
    Despite Boris's ratings taking a big hit post partygate - though he was never as popular as fans would suggest, just always more so than deeply flawed opponents, both in London and the UK, It wasn't the perception of unpopularity that led Tory MPs to abandon Boris. It was the fact he got caught telling huge fibs - not just to the public, but to them - so many times, they lost trust and had had enough.

    Ultimately, there was only so many times ministers could do media rounds in which they had to sacrifice their credibility for a PM they know is happy to throw them under the bus and make them look ridiculous before they snapped.

    Now bringing him back despite knowing what he is would be a very sorry admission about the state of the Tory Party and Tory MPs - that they are so rubbish their best chance is someone they abandoned for being a huckster - that they won't do it.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,707

    I note that nobody has answered my question.

    Who is the greater PM - Boris or The Truss?

    Telling, very telling.

    Telling, tiring. It's a tricky balance.

    Which is the greatest stain on my shoe? I'm not sure I've ever given it a lot of thought.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,926
    Harper said:

    DougSeal said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    Yes, quite right, how dare these upstarts disturb our door-knockers and leaflet-deliverers with all this talk of 'democracy' and 'low taxes' and a 'small state', it's disgusting. Bad enough we have to pretend we like these people during jumble sales and fetes, without them being encouraged to think they can actually set the party's agenda!
    No. The issue with today’s launch was the complete absence of new ideas. Recycled woke bashing, which is in itself recycled “political correctness gone mad” and the tired “silent majority/shy Tory” tripe resurrected after 30 years. It was transparently an attempt to curry favour for opposition leadership roles, preaching to the converted, rather than a serious attempt to win a general election.
    Conservatism needs a credo that aims to supplant and replace the woke/pc ideology, rather than just complain about the negative externalities of those things. If your opponents are changing things, and you're complaining about it, you're losing. But that does not in any way invalidate the arguments against woke/pc, which are as valid now as they ever were.
    Difficultvto do when vompanies receive investment depending on how woke they are. The power of the likes of blackrock.
    Good to know that we don't need to listen to you on subjects related to corporate finance.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,069

    Truss or Boris?

    Boris or Truss?

    Who is the GOAT?

    Can we have an actual goat as Conservative leader? Everything will get a bit chewed and smelly, but that's relatively minor harm.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,794
    Nigelb said:

    New threat for Starmer...


    The Communist ☭
    @revcommunists

    We are launching a Revolutionary Communist Party – a party that can represent the revolutionary aspirations of workers and youth in Britain. The ruling class and their state are fighting back, as we would expect. To fight back, we need a fighting fund!

    https://twitter.com/revcommunists/status/1754558003955503267

    Bloody capitalists.
    Shouldn't they be seizing control of the centres of power in the name of the proletariat? Not setting up a savings account.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,586
    Harper said:

    darkage said:

    DougSeal said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    Yes, quite right, how dare these upstarts disturb our door-knockers and leaflet-deliverers with all this talk of 'democracy' and 'low taxes' and a 'small state', it's disgusting. Bad enough we have to pretend we like these people during jumble sales and fetes, without them being encouraged to think they can actually set the party's agenda!
    No. The issue with today’s launch was the complete absence of new ideas. Recycled woke bashing, which is in itself recycled “political correctness gone mad” and the tired “silent majority/shy Tory” tripe resurrected after 30 years. It was transparently an attempt to curry favour for opposition leadership roles, preaching to the converted, rather than a serious attempt to win a general election.
    Conservatism needs a credo that aims to supplant and replace the woke/pc ideology, rather than just complain about the negative externalities of those things. If your opponents are changing things, and you're complaining about it, you're losing. But that does not in any way invalidate the arguments against woke/pc, which are as valid now as they ever were.
    People think that the 'woke' are still in the ascendency, Britain has a 'progressive majority' and that the tories need to go to the 'centre' by embracing Starmerism. It is all essentially wishful thinking and goes against the experience of other comparable countries in Europe.
    I have no idea who 'the woke' are. I suspect the concept of a group of 'woke' people being in the ascendancy is a figment of right-wingers' fevered imaginations.
    Maybe look in the mirror.
    Ah yes, always a pleasure.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513
    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Interesting to hear @TuckerCarlson claim that “no western journalist has bothered to interview” Putin since the invasion of Ukraine. We’ve lodged several requests with the Kremlin in the last 18 months. Always a ‘no’ for us.
    https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1754993410535026753

    Tucker demonstrates, yet again, that he’s a propagandist not a journalist.

    Quite something to complain about how not enough American journalists are reporting on the Russian side of Putin's invasion of Ukraine when two of them – Evan Gershkovich and Alsu Kurmasheva – are *in jail right now* for doing just that
    https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1754945619871838374
    Presumably Tucker pressed him on that point, right @williamglenn
    It’s not even as though someone’s going to be able to sue his employer for several hundred million this time around.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,707


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    Sounds like bollocks to me. 'Massive global insecurity' would surely work in Sunak's favour?
    Or... "Rishi has no idea what to do. October? November? Miveoweberly?"
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,586

    Truss or Boris?

    Boris or Truss?

    Who is the GOAT?

    Can we have an actual goat as Conservative leader? Everything will get a bit chewed and smelly, but that's relatively minor harm.
    Trust you to butt in.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,069


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    From last time this was discussed, aren't there hefty logistical problems with all the Thursdays in October?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,477
    ohnotnow said:

    I note that nobody has answered my question.

    Who is the greater PM - Boris or The Truss?

    Telling, very telling.

    Telling, tiring. It's a tricky balance.

    Which is the greatest stain on my shoe? I'm not sure I've ever given it a lot of thought.
    Alex Johnson vs Mary Truss.

    Cast your votes.
  • MJWMJW Posts: 1,723


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    Sounds like bollocks to me. 'Massive global insecurity' would surely work in Sunak's favour?
    Not when half your MPs and the two most recent ex-PMs support the Ronseal-daubed cause of the global insecurity.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,794
    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
  • HarperHarper Posts: 197
    rcs1000 said:

    Harper said:

    DougSeal said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    Yes, quite right, how dare these upstarts disturb our door-knockers and leaflet-deliverers with all this talk of 'democracy' and 'low taxes' and a 'small state', it's disgusting. Bad enough we have to pretend we like these people during jumble sales and fetes, without them being encouraged to think they can actually set the party's agenda!
    No. The issue with today’s launch was the complete absence of new ideas. Recycled woke bashing, which is in itself recycled “political correctness gone mad” and the tired “silent majority/shy Tory” tripe resurrected after 30 years. It was transparently an attempt to curry favour for opposition leadership roles, preaching to the converted, rather than a serious attempt to win a general election.
    Conservatism needs a credo that aims to supplant and replace the woke/pc ideology, rather than just complain about the negative externalities of those things. If your opponents are changing things, and you're complaining about it, you're losing. But that does not in any way invalidate the arguments against woke/pc, which are as valid now as they ever were.
    Difficultvto do when vompanies receive investment depending on how woke they are. The power of the likes of blackrock.
    Good to know that we don't need to listen to you on subjects related to corporate finance.
    You cant deny Blackrock has a lot of power.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848

    Truss or Boris?

    Boris or Truss?

    Who is the GOAT?

    Can we have an actual goat as Conservative leader? Everything will get a bit chewed and smelly, but that's relatively minor harm.
    Trust you to butt in.
    You can also curry a goat when no longer convenient
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,586
    ohnotnow said:


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    Sounds like bollocks to me. 'Massive global insecurity' would surely work in Sunak's favour?
    Or... "Rishi has no idea what to do. October? November? Miveoweberly?"
    Actually fair point. November is clearly the best choice for Sunak - so he's not going to choose November.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,480

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    My church has supported asylum seekers for years, mostly with practical issues like clothes, translators, legal advice etc. I don't think we have made a single convert, but that isn't why we do our asylum work.

  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,171


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    October as opposed to November? Massive news from Harry Cole.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,794
    ...
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    Foxy said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    My church has supported asylum seekers for years, mostly with practical issues like clothes, translators, legal advice etc. I don't think we have made a single convert, but that isn't why we do our asylum work.

    Which shouldnt be the point and kudos to your church.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,200
    Popular Conservatism . How many incarnations of this cesspit party must we be subjected to .

  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,707
    Andy_JS said:


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    October as opposed to November? Massive news from Harry Cole.
    The BBC "LIVE BREAKING" from now until the 12th of Nevermber will keep at least 40 people employed at 100k a year though.

    Look on the bright side.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,707
    viewcode said:

    ...

    Have you just leaked the new Labour manifesto? This is the biggest scoop in PB history.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    ohnotnow said:

    viewcode said:

    ...

    Have you just leaked the new Labour manifesto? This is the biggest scoop in PB history.
    Can't be the starmer manifest ... is far to much information
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,586
    Pagan2 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
    Careful, you'll have the Wokefinder General after you.

    Seriously though, I think you make a fair point. Could the Right to Reside be made conditional on signing up to a set of principles, including the equality laws? Seems like a good idea to me.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,578

    Truss or Boris?

    Boris or Truss?

    Who is the GOAT?

    Can we have an actual goat as Conservative leader? Everything will get a bit chewed and smelly, but that's relatively minor harm.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D-SEM9cyfRg&t=21s
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,707
    Foxy said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    My church has supported asylum seekers for years, mostly with practical issues like clothes, translators, legal advice etc. I don't think we have made a single convert, but that isn't why we do our asylum work.

    Have you signed any of them up for a Spectator subscription though? I think that is the main point of contention.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848

    Pagan2 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
    Careful, you'll have the Wokefinder General after you.

    Seriously though, I think you make a fair point. Could the Right to Reside be made conditional on signing up to a set of principles, including the equality laws? Seems like a good idea to me.
    I would agree with that certainly. I lived in slough for 30 odd years and some of what I saw in the immigrant community was deeply disturbing. Not most of them but there were certainly those that brought attitudes from the old country that I would deem not worthy of people living in this country and sadly there is also a similar number of native born britons that have been here generations with the same sort of attitudes
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,317
    Harper said:

    darkage said:

    DougSeal said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    Yes, quite right, how dare these upstarts disturb our door-knockers and leaflet-deliverers with all this talk of 'democracy' and 'low taxes' and a 'small state', it's disgusting. Bad enough we have to pretend we like these people during jumble sales and fetes, without them being encouraged to think they can actually set the party's agenda!
    No. The issue with today’s launch was the complete absence of new ideas. Recycled woke bashing, which is in itself recycled “political correctness gone mad” and the tired “silent majority/shy Tory” tripe resurrected after 30 years. It was transparently an attempt to curry favour for opposition leadership roles, preaching to the converted, rather than a serious attempt to win a general election.
    Conservatism needs a credo that aims to supplant and replace the woke/pc ideology, rather than just complain about the negative externalities of those things. If your opponents are changing things, and you're complaining about it, you're losing. But that does not in any way invalidate the arguments against woke/pc, which are as valid now as they ever were.
    People think that the 'woke' are still in the ascendency, Britain has a 'progressive majority' and that the tories need to go to the 'centre' by embracing Starmerism. It is all essentially wishful thinking and goes against the experience of other comparable countries in Europe.
    I have no idea who 'the woke' are. I suspect the concept of a group of 'woke' people being in the ascendancy is a figment of right-wingers' fevered imaginations.
    Maybe look in the mirror.
    This is amusing because actually my point was that the 'woke' are not in the ascendency, it is a delusion.

    Going 'woke' on the part of the tories as part of 'modernisation' would be catastrophic and existential, they would probably lose large swathes of voters to Reform, as they already are doing.

  • HarperHarper Posts: 197
    Foxy said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    My church has supported asylum seekers for years, mostly with practical issues like clothes, translators, legal advice etc. I don't think we have made a single convert, but that isn't why we do our asylum work.

    Oh so you are part of the shadowy forces undermining the govt immigration policy.
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,327
    TSE you are a bit late to the party, I mentioned this issue as a key motivation tool for the Democrats a number of weeks ago...or at least I think I did....

    It does, however, illustrate a point about what is happening the US. The Democrats have been watching Trump kind of hoping someone else, i.e. the courts, will do the job for them. They are only now waking up to the fact that they need to a run an actual campaign.
  • HarperHarper Posts: 197
    darkage said:

    Harper said:

    darkage said:

    DougSeal said:

    DougSeal said:


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-rishi-sunak-general-election-keir-starmer-12593360?postid=7191818#liveblog-body

    Shortly after Liz Truss and co took to the stage to launch the new Popular Conservatism - or "PopCon" - movement, pitching itself as an anti-woke, anti-green, anti-elite, anti-immigration voice of the voter, my phone buzzed with a message from a very disgruntled MP.

    "What everyone is privately thinking is that the rules must change on selection of the party leader," said the former minister. "But no-one will initiate, so our party drifts to the right.

    "The selection of leader must return to parliamentarians, so that these subtribes won't schmooze our base with their populist message."

    In the hall in Westminster, where Ms Truss led the PopCon rally, other MPs such as Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg professed their loyalty to the ex-PM, insisting this was about the battle for ideas and taking power back from elites - in this case Davos man or Supreme Court judges - and giving it back to the people.

    But for many of his colleagues, these groups are only serving to push away some of their most centrist voters, making the party look more divided and leaving Rishi Sunak looking weak.

    And it won't have gone unnoticed with many of you that there is a certain irony that the most unpopular prime minister of modern times, Ms Truss, is now reinventing herself as the leader of the Popular Conservatives after bombing with the vast majority of the voters in her time as leader, according to polls

    Yes, quite right, how dare these upstarts disturb our door-knockers and leaflet-deliverers with all this talk of 'democracy' and 'low taxes' and a 'small state', it's disgusting. Bad enough we have to pretend we like these people during jumble sales and fetes, without them being encouraged to think they can actually set the party's agenda!
    No. The issue with today’s launch was the complete absence of new ideas. Recycled woke bashing, which is in itself recycled “political correctness gone mad” and the tired “silent majority/shy Tory” tripe resurrected after 30 years. It was transparently an attempt to curry favour for opposition leadership roles, preaching to the converted, rather than a serious attempt to win a general election.
    Conservatism needs a credo that aims to supplant and replace the woke/pc ideology, rather than just complain about the negative externalities of those things. If your opponents are changing things, and you're complaining about it, you're losing. But that does not in any way invalidate the arguments against woke/pc, which are as valid now as they ever were.
    People think that the 'woke' are still in the ascendency, Britain has a 'progressive majority' and that the tories need to go to the 'centre' by embracing Starmerism. It is all essentially wishful thinking and goes against the experience of other comparable countries in Europe.
    I have no idea who 'the woke' are. I suspect the concept of a group of 'woke' people being in the ascendancy is a figment of right-wingers' fevered imaginations.
    Maybe look in the mirror.
    This is amusing because actually my point was that the 'woke' are not in the ascendency, it is a delusion.

    Going 'woke' on the part of the tories as part of 'modernisation' would be catastrophic and existential, they would probably lose large swathes of voters to Reform, as they already are doing.

    Oh i agree with that.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,058
    I'm going to file a lawsuit against Truss for her fronting the launch of a popular conservatism group. My irony meter is broken beyond repair.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,848
    Harper said:

    Foxy said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    My church has supported asylum seekers for years, mostly with practical issues like clothes, translators, legal advice etc. I don't think we have made a single convert, but that isn't why we do our asylum work.

    Oh so you are part of the shadowy forces undermining the govt immigration policy.
    Hmm I often disagree with foxy but you are making me think you are a jeremy hunt and live under a bridge
  • HarperHarper Posts: 197
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
    Careful, you'll have the Wokefinder General after you.

    Seriously though, I think you make a fair point. Could the Right to Reside be made conditional on signing up to a set of principles, including the equality laws? Seems like a good idea to me.
    I would agree with that certainly. I lived in slough for 30 odd years and some of what I saw in the immigrant community was deeply disturbing. Not most of them but there were certainly those that brought attitudes from the old country that I would deem not worthy of people living in this country and sadly there is also a similar number of native born britons that have been here generations with the same sort of attitudes
    Quality of immigrants is higher in some parts of the country than others. Many of the indian immigrants who reside in west london can be wuite impressive, pakistani muslims in rochdale less so.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,480

    Pagan2 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
    Careful, you'll have the Wokefinder General after you.

    Seriously though, I think you make a fair point. Could the Right to Reside be made conditional on signing up to a set of principles, including the equality laws? Seems like a good idea to me.
    In principle I would be happy with that.

    There is the problem that attitudes to these things change over time. In England in the mid Sixties believing that Homosexuality should be a criminal offence, and that rape did not exist as a crime in marriage were mainstream opinions here.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513
    Yokes said:

    TSE you are a bit late to the party, I mentioned this issue as a key motivation tool for the Democrats a number of weeks ago...or at least I think I did....

    It does, however, illustrate a point about what is happening the US. The Democrats have been watching Trump kind of hoping someone else, i.e. the courts, will do the job for them. They are only now waking up to the fact that they need to a run an actual campaign.

    Really ?

    I think it's rather that Trump's court battles are what's getting reported.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,058
    Ratters said:

    I'm going to file a lawsuit against Truss for her fronting the launch of a popular conservatism group. My irony meter is broken beyond repair.

    Upcoming splinter groups to be announced soon include:
    - 'Exciting' social democrats by Keir Starmer
    - 'Honest' Etonians by Boris Johnson
    - 'Naughty' one nation conservatives by Theresa May
    - 'Tall' Tories by Rishi.....
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513
    Ratters said:

    Ratters said:

    I'm going to file a lawsuit against Truss for her fronting the launch of a popular conservatism group. My irony meter is broken beyond repair.

    Upcoming splinter groups to be announced soon include:
    - 'Exciting' social democrats by Keir Starmer
    - 'Honest' Etonians by Boris Johnson
    - 'Naughty' one nation conservatives by Theresa May
    - 'Tall' Tories by Rishi.....
    And 'Liberal Democrats'...
  • HarperHarper Posts: 197
    Foxy said:

    Pagan2 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
    Careful, you'll have the Wokefinder General after you.

    Seriously though, I think you make a fair point. Could the Right to Reside be made conditional on signing up to a set of principles, including the equality laws? Seems like a good idea to me.
    In principle I would be happy with that.

    There is the problem that attitudes to these things change over time. In England in the mid Sixties believing that Homosexuality should be a criminal offence, and that rape did not exist as a crime in marriage were mainstream opinions here.
    Those beliefs on homosexuality are still common amongst much of our immigrant population.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,480
    Harper said:

    Foxy said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    My church has supported asylum seekers for years, mostly with practical issues like clothes, translators, legal advice etc. I don't think we have made a single convert, but that isn't why we do our asylum work.

    Oh so you are part of the shadowy forces undermining the govt immigration policy.
    No, we are careful to work within the law. I am a Trustee so aware of our legal responsibilities.

  • ohnotnow said:


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    Sounds like bollocks to me. 'Massive global insecurity' would surely work in Sunak's favour?
    Or... "Rishi has no idea what to do. October? November? Miveoweberly?"
    Actually fair point. November is clearly the best choice for Sunak - so he's not going to choose November.
    October is clearly a better choice if you want a good election result than November.

    Why would you go a week after the clocks go back, rather than a week before the clocks go back?

    People are more miserable after the clocks change. Its suddenly much darker, greyer, people feel the seasonal change - what kind of lunatic incumbent would choose to voluntarily go to the polls, while behind, after the clock change?

    So Sunak might choose it.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513
    Rishi Sunak accused of personally holding up deal to end doctors’ strikes
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/feb/06/rishi-sunak-accused-of-personally-holding-up-deal-to-end-doctors-strikes

    No idea how true that is, but it does seem to chime with his deft political touch.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,314
    Harper said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
    Careful, you'll have the Wokefinder General after you.

    Seriously though, I think you make a fair point. Could the Right to Reside be made conditional on signing up to a set of principles, including the equality laws? Seems like a good idea to me.
    I would agree with that certainly. I lived in slough for 30 odd years and some of what I saw in the immigrant community was deeply disturbing. Not most of them but there were certainly those that brought attitudes from the old country that I would deem not worthy of people living in this country and sadly there is also a similar number of native born britons that have been here generations with the same sort of attitudes
    Quality of immigrants is higher in some parts of the country than others. Many of the indian immigrants who reside in west london can be wuite impressive, pakistani muslims in rochdale less so.
    Oh dear. Based on extensive research, I assume?
    I think I can see where this is heading.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,638

    ohnotnow said:


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    Sounds like bollocks to me. 'Massive global insecurity' would surely work in Sunak's favour?
    Or... "Rishi has no idea what to do. October? November? Miveoweberly?"
    Actually fair point. November is clearly the best choice for Sunak - so he's not going to choose November.
    October is clearly a better choice if you want a good election result than November.

    Why would you go a week after the clocks go back, rather than a week before the clocks go back?

    People are more miserable after the clocks change. Its suddenly much darker, greyer, people feel the seasonal change - what kind of lunatic incumbent would choose to voluntarily go to the polls, while behind, after the clock change?

    So Sunak might choose it.
    2 May 👍
  • HarperHarper Posts: 197

    Harper said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
    Careful, you'll have the Wokefinder General after you.

    Seriously though, I think you make a fair point. Could the Right to Reside be made conditional on signing up to a set of principles, including the equality laws? Seems like a good idea to me.
    I would agree with that certainly. I lived in slough for 30 odd years and some of what I saw in the immigrant community was deeply disturbing. Not most of them but there were certainly those that brought attitudes from the old country that I would deem not worthy of people living in this country and sadly there is also a similar number of native born britons that have been here generations with the same sort of attitudes
    Quality of immigrants is higher in some parts of the country than others. Many of the indian immigrants who reside in west london can be wuite impressive, pakistani muslims in rochdale less so.
    Oh dear. Based on extensive research, I assume?
    I think I can see where this is heading.
    Observation and experience my dear
    Observation and experience.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,231
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    I would hope that converting to christianity gives you no extra brownie points when seeking asylum because that is equal bollocks
    It gives you extra points if your country of origin persecutes Christians. It's much like pretending to be gay but with less Kylie and more Shine Jesus Shine.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,480
    Harper said:

    Foxy said:

    Pagan2 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
    Careful, you'll have the Wokefinder General after you.

    Seriously though, I think you make a fair point. Could the Right to Reside be made conditional on signing up to a set of principles, including the equality laws? Seems like a good idea to me.
    In principle I would be happy with that.

    There is the problem that attitudes to these things change over time. In England in the mid Sixties believing that Homosexuality should be a criminal offence, and that rape did not exist as a crime in marriage were mainstream opinions here.
    Those beliefs on homosexuality are still common amongst much of our immigrant population.
    Indeed so, though far from universally held.

    Part of being a liberal society is that people can take illiberal views. The key issue is that they obey the law, so do not break the laws on equalities etc.

  • Harper said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
    Careful, you'll have the Wokefinder General after you.

    Seriously though, I think you make a fair point. Could the Right to Reside be made conditional on signing up to a set of principles, including the equality laws? Seems like a good idea to me.
    I would agree with that certainly. I lived in slough for 30 odd years and some of what I saw in the immigrant community was deeply disturbing. Not most of them but there were certainly those that brought attitudes from the old country that I would deem not worthy of people living in this country and sadly there is also a similar number of native born britons that have been here generations with the same sort of attitudes
    Quality of immigrants is higher in some parts of the country than others. Many of the indian immigrants who reside in west london can be wuite impressive, pakistani muslims in rochdale less so.
    Oh dear. Based on extensive research, I assume?
    I think I can see where this is heading.
    I'm sure there's a ton of evidence.

    Though I'm equally sure that many of the white people in Rochdale aren't quite impressive in their literacy either.

    Not to be a grammar Nazi, but possibly including our new friend who doesn't know to capitalise proper nouns.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,480


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    From last time this was discussed, aren't there hefty logistical problems with all the Thursdays in October?
    Perhaps no longer if the King's illness alters his plans.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,480

    ohnotnow said:


    Harry Cole
    @MrHarryCole
    EXC: November election is off — Sunak eyeing October amid fears over massive global insecurity after US elections.

    Sounds like bollocks to me. 'Massive global insecurity' would surely work in Sunak's favour?
    Or... "Rishi has no idea what to do. October? November? Miveoweberly?"
    Actually fair point. November is clearly the best choice for Sunak - so he's not going to choose November.
    October is clearly a better choice if you want a good election result than November.

    Why would you go a week after the clocks go back, rather than a week before the clocks go back?

    People are more miserable after the clocks change. Its suddenly much darker, greyer, people feel the seasonal change - what kind of lunatic incumbent would choose to voluntarily go to the polls, while behind, after the clock change?

    So Sunak might choose it.
    2 May 👍
    You think he can last that long?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,513
    LOL

    Marjorie Taylor Greene and Mike Johnson's resolution to impeach Alejandro Mayorkas has FAILED, 214-216
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,477
    Foxy said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    My church has supported asylum seekers for years, mostly with practical issues like clothes, translators, legal advice etc. I don't think we have made a single convert, but that isn't why we do our asylum work.

    What church is this?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,586
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    I think Andy is suggesting, probably correctly, that these were conversions of convenience.
    I would hope that converting to christianity gives you no extra brownie points when seeking asylum because that is equal bollocks
    It does.

    In a number of countries, apostasy from Islam carries the death penalty. In more, persecution and murderous violence.

    So if you convert, you have a cast iron reason not to be sent back.
  • HarperHarper Posts: 197
    Foxy said:

    Harper said:

    Foxy said:

    Pagan2 said:

    viewcode said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    "In 2016 the Rt Rev Pete Wilcox, then dean of the cathedral, said it had converted 200 asylum seekers in four years. Yet he couldn’t think of a single example where somebody who had already gained British citizenship converted from Islam to Christianity"."

    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1754985317482840137

    Wow sorry what the hell has this to do with anything? You think people who live here should have to convert, never heard so much bollocks in my life
    Username checks out
    I don't believe I have ever claimed to be a christian, but thats not the point. We shouldn't care about peoples faith as long as they are willing to adjust their attitudes to values such as female equality, tolerance of those that are homosexuals and just generally thinking all people are equal
    Careful, you'll have the Wokefinder General after you.

    Seriously though, I think you make a fair point. Could the Right to Reside be made conditional on signing up to a set of principles, including the equality laws? Seems like a good idea to me.
    In principle I would be happy with that.

    There is the problem that attitudes to these things change over time. In England in the mid Sixties believing that Homosexuality should be a criminal offence, and that rape did not exist as a crime in marriage were mainstream opinions here.
    Those beliefs on homosexuality are still common amongst much of our immigrant population.
    Indeed so, though far from universally held.

    Part of being a liberal society is that people can take illiberal views. The key issue is that they obey the law, so do not break the laws on equalities etc.

    Yes but those people will still likely discriminate against gays in things like employment.
This discussion has been closed.