LAB moves to an even stronger favourite to win overall majority – politicalbetting.com
LAB moves to an even stronger favourite to win overall majority – politicalbetting.com
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LAB moves to an even stronger favourite to win overall majority – politicalbetting.com
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Second. Unlike the Tories...
The optics, as they say, are not good.
Edit in 2010 he made the second most net gains by a LOTO since WWII.
https://twitter.com/CharlieRose1/status/1723690282904932423
One aside on this reshuffle and particularly on the Braverman/Cleverly/Cameron moves.
Does this tell us something about the possible timing of the next election? I would have thought that having signalled such a large apparent move in tone and direction, Sunak would want the maximum amount of time possible to sell it to the public whilst not appearing to leave it to the last minute.
So although I don't think it will make much difference to the eventual outcome, personally I am thinking this starts to solidify the chances of an autumn 2024 election, or at least drastically reduces the chances of a spring 2024 election.
Thoughts?
"Today’s decision on HS2 is the wrong one. It will help to fuel the views of those who argue that we can no longer think or act for the long-term as a country; that we are heading in the wrong direction.
HS2 was about investing for the long-term, bringing the country together, ensuring a more balanced economy and delivering the Northern Powerhouse. We achieved historic, cross-party support, with extensive buy-in from city and local authority leaders across the Midlands and North of England. Today’s announcement throws away fifteen years of cross-party consensus, sustained over six administrations, and will make it much harder to build consensus for any future long-term projects.
All across the world, we see transformative, long-term infrastructure projects completed or underway. They show countries on the rise, building for future generations, thinking big and getting things done.
I regret this decision and in years to come I suspect many will look back at today’s announcement and wonder how this once-in-a-generation opportunity was lost."
It's not often that the CON number of MPs begins with a 2 however, not since 1974. Since then CON has managed a number beginning with 3 8 times and er 1 3 times!
I know Carol Vorderman's tactical voting campaign has the Tories worried but I doubt would be that decisive...
They can sup with very long spoons.
But which one's the Devil?
He's a party to adultery.
One thing is for certain, all that talk about Big Dom is pulling the strings behind the scenes has to have been total BS. No way Cameron, who hates Big Dom with a passion, would go anywhere a return to frontline politics if he thought Big Dom was in his bat cave strategizing how to get Sunak to nuke the whole civil service and replace it with Elon Musk's LLM.
Question I have is: will Cameron now be a big part of the campaign team in the next GE?
You are assuming (see my earlier post) that the reshuffle has stopped.
Cameron is an election winner, will not say crazy stuff like Braverman and will bring back some moderate tory votes from lib dems.
Ouch....
But yes, Cameron was generally a much more effective campaigner in the period before the campaign proper started than during it - his strategic campaigning was generally on the mark; his tactical campaigning much less so.
Indeed knowing the way these Eton types think, the whole thing is probably the continuing game of oneupmanship between the two of them, to which all of us and our country are entirely incidental
It's as if they think we all want to live in Miss Marples' retirement flat in Dorking, or a polio institution.
All I want is just *one* like that with real rocker switches - but nothing anywhere.
Or hunted with a helicopter.
4% will be annoyed; 2% pleased
Looks like degrees arent cutting the mustard
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/11/13/surge-graduates-stuck-jobs-not-needing-degree/
Enjoy the ride.
Its more UK productivity / growth in businesses have been shit since 2008 downturn.
By his own terms, he was the most calamitous Prime Minister since Chamberlain. That is not “strategically on the mark”
It’s like saying Hitler was a pretty good German leader because of his pro-motorist agenda
I find the pursuit of money for money's sake bizarre.
https://twitter.com/TSEofPB/status/1724042555522744741
It is too early to prophesy their demise. In particular, I fear what happens after the GE. But if Sunak does clear house then perhaps it’s the best thing he can do with the time remaining to him.
I’d withdraw the whip from the most egregiously dog-whistle-y types, to be frank. Suella can’t be leader if she’s not in the party.
* it is they are paying 9% every tax on money over £20 odd k, which isn't great for saving, investing etc.
Sunak has sacked Rachel Maclean as Minister of State at Levelling Up but is getting some major blowback from Cabinet level supporters.
https://twitter.com/MrHarryCole/status/1724040289210315236
(((Dan Hodges)))
@DPJHodges
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33m
Another weird thing from Sunak's perceptive. Cameron was PM for six years, and a fixture in the public consciousness for the best part of a decade. Most people had never seen Rishi till Covid. I think subconsciously people will see Cameron talking and think "he's Prime Minister".
Domestic (US&Canada) gross for first weekend
-  The Marvels: $47,000,000
 -  Avengers:Endgame: $357,115,007
 
At a guess, given the international numbers and a slightly better decay curve than you'd expect, it'll probably make its net budget back so they'll be able to claim a nominal success. But that ignores the cost of promotion etc so it'll probably end up losing what, 100-200million? In pre-Covid times they'd have made up the loss with another film, but still-low post-Covid attendance and superhero fatigue in general and MCU fatigue in particular makes it bad news for Marvel. Everything has been postponed to 2015 (except for Deadpool 3) while they work out what, if anything, they can do to fix this.https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avengers-Endgame-(2019)#tab=box-office
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Marvels-The-(2023)#tab=box-office
Great to have you back @David_Cameron we need as many steady hands on deck as possible in support of the work and vision of @RishiSunak
https://x.com/Simon4NDorset/status/1724018871781212405?s=20
Detroying her beautiful wickedness.
Someone who has paid off their loans will be taxed again when the 30 years or so for students who cant are up and the future taxpayer has to cough up for the loan write offs.
Soon enough for them still to be pushing the (barely credible, but still) change message. Leave it later than that and they'll be expected to actually do something.
Other rolling stock contracts are available.
Pity if so. It’d be lovely to see the back of some more.
Similar announcements from Hitachi and other manufacturers will be appearing in short order...
It's going to be a big challenge.
To cover cost of promotion, distribution, etc etc etc, I believe rough rule of thumb is they spend cost of movie again on advertising / promotion etc, and with all revenue deals, you basically need 3-4x the headline cost of production to get your money back on these mega blockbusters.
There are plenty of pre-WW2 examples too. In the first half of the 20th century, MacDonald served in Baldwin's third term, while Baldwin himself served in MacDonald's second (though that's a special case given the coalition nature and that Baldwin's Tories contained an overwhelming majority of the MPs). Lloyd George returned to a united Liberal Party under Asquith's leadership in 1923, which obviously didn't form a government but came much closer to doing so than is now remembered, while Balfour served in several subsequent governments.
I always wonder how much he is on at GB News.
I don't disagree though that there is something very sad about the Galloways, Hancocks, Farages, etc of this world going on these shows. Hancock midlife crisis is particularly vomit inducing. Its one thing getting caught having an affair with a university friend, you lose your job, disappear off the public stage and that the end of that...but instead he is on all these reality shows, doing cringe TikToks etc.
Still, it happened to blue collar manufacturing workers with the advent of autmation and mechanisation in industry and is still happening to do.
They will get over it and find something productive to do.