Latest from YouGov not good for Sunak – politicalbetting.com
Rishi Sunak gets his lowest score to date on our 'who would make the best PM' questionRishi Sunak: 20% (-5 from 4-5 Oct)Keir Starmer: 32% (-2)Not sure: 43% (+5)https://t.co/SB5X5Uon8i pic.twitter.com/VMH7nlxO9m
Ed Conway @EdConwaySky 🚨NEW🚨 On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement. Weaker growth. Higher gas prices. "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
There must be something in Sir Keir's past that can be used to portray him as a friend of Hamas. Rishi needs to unearth this and disseminate it pronto.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
Ed Conway @EdConwaySky 🚨NEW🚨 On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement. Weaker growth. Higher gas prices. "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
Does the government have any money? Not a sausage. The Chancellor says we have to "prepare for the wurst."
Ed Conway @EdConwaySky 🚨NEW🚨 On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement. Weaker growth. Higher gas prices. "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
Unlucky generals.
That said, Sunak played a bad hand atrociously: scrap HS2, ban fags and extra maths.
Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.
Ed Conway @EdConwaySky 🚨NEW🚨 On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement. Weaker growth. Higher gas prices. "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
Does the government have any money? Not a sausage. The Chancellor says we have to "prepare for the wurst."
Ed Conway @EdConwaySky 🚨NEW🚨 On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement. Weaker growth. Higher gas prices. "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
Does the government have any money? Not a sausage. The Chancellor says we have to "prepare for the wurst."
Ed Conway @EdConwaySky 🚨NEW🚨 On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement. Weaker growth. Higher gas prices. "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
I suspect Hunt is doing the lower-expectations game. He and Rishi will be secretly planning a budget bonanza that will blow Sir Keir out the water.
Ed Conway @EdConwaySky 🚨NEW🚨 On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement. Weaker growth. Higher gas prices. "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
Oooer.
Glad I took a one year freeze deal on Elec / Gas yesterday at 1% below the current cap.
Ed Conway @EdConwaySky 🚨NEW🚨 On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement. Weaker growth. Higher gas prices. "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
Does the government have any money? Not a sausage. The Chancellor says we have to "prepare for the wurst."
But a British Sausage, not an emulsified high-fat offal tube.
Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.
This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.
Again.
Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.
Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
What’s more, all this is happening as everyone gets measurably dumber
IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno
Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
I am sure our TurboTubbs will attest to this.
Also, universities are much more proactive in taking into consideration students personal circumstances etc. AFAIK, for every module, the university will provide those running it with list of those who should get extra consideration etc, not just for things like dyslexia but wider ranges of life issues.
Long gone are the day of student should be happy just to even be talked at by some academic and then told to bugger off and learn the rest / do the assignments.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
The year (1986) I graduated from Cardiff with a Desmond in Geology there were two Firsts and three 2:1s out of a class of 60 or so. And they had to go through a series of vivas to get those awards.
Ed Conway @EdConwaySky 🚨NEW🚨 On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement. Weaker growth. Higher gas prices. "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
Oooer.
Glad I took a one year freeze deal on Elec / Gas yesterday at 1% below the current cap.
Just checked - best 1yr fix I can get is 0.7% above current cap. Not bothering.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
What’s more, all this is happening as everyone gets measurably dumber
IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno
Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher
Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.
Again.
Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.
Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.
Bigging up Israel won’t help, if it upsets the Middle East oil producers.
Ed Conway @EdConwaySky 🚨NEW🚨 On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement. Weaker growth. Higher gas prices. "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
Does the government have any money? Not a sausage. The Chancellor says we have to "prepare for the wurst."
We can expect a lot of salami slicing.
Is there much mortadella-ete off the essential spend?
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
Well we all know its a two bit institution ;-)
Last thing on universities....one thing I would say now compared to say 30 years ago, I would suggest that in general students are much more career focused and work to achieve the necessary to move onto that future career. Its less a place you go to piss away 3 years of your life, then decide what you might do, and much more just the next stepping stone in the chain.
The downside is this reinforces that its just about that mindset of get the minimum required grade, and less about the general exposure to interesting and complex ideas and concepts.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
Ah, but a first from Oxford is the equivalent of a 2.2 from Cambridge and a third from a Russell Group university.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
What’s more, all this is happening as everyone gets measurably dumber
IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno
Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
What’s more, all this is happening as everyone gets measurably dumber
IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno
Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher
Says the bloke who has problems with the concept of 'majority' and 'most'.
Sunak now doing clearly worse than Boris was when he resigned on the best PM poll v Starmer, albeit Sunak still polling better than Truss when she resigned. Notably both Sunak and Starmer now polling below their parties, neither it seems are net assets for their party as Blair or Boris or Cameron were
Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.
The police need to get a grip on this sort of crime.
Problem is courts are backed up, prison are full....what's the worst that is going to happen even if the police do investigate...
The individual who threaten Aled Jones and his kid with a machete, who threatened to cut off his arm and robbed him of his Rolex in broad daylight didn't even get prison time.
Looks like centre right v nationalist hard right in Germany as the 2 main parties, even the governing SPD and Greens combined now below the opposition Union
Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.
Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.
Certainly, it seems most unlikely that Hamas hasn’t anticipated that a ground invasion would be the Israeli response.
I suspect that Hamas have bitten off more than they could chew here. I believe their intention was to inflict enough of an atrocity to absolutely kill off dead any Israel/Saudi peace talks, but while expecting America and the west to restrain Israel from going into a full on attack in response.
Far from those who say that Hamas want a full war, I suspect that Hamas wanted to be terrorists, to terrorise Israel and keep peace from occurring but losing their grip on Gaza was not the intention.
Cycles of attack and retaliation aren't ending the hostilities, action needs to be taken break the cycle.
That either means reaching an accommodation with Hamas and agreeing peace with them, or destroying them, there is no realistic middle ground. Since reaching an accommodation with Hamas is impossible, once you eliminate the impossible, whatever is left, no matter how nauseating, is what has to happen.
Hopefully as many civilian deaths as possible can be avoided, but Hamas have to be destroyed.
Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.
People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'
They still lead Labour by 46-25 among over-65s.
One of the things about this is that it must cut across families in a way that voting intention divides by race, social background, etc, would do much less often. Be careful with the Turkey carving knife at Christmas everyone!
Final polls before tomorrow's referendum in Australia on a Voice for Aborigines to the Australian Parliament have No ahead by 20%, 7%, 18% and 13% including DKs
Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.
This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:
Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.
And that's already gone - see my post earlier - interest rates are going to make any tax cuts impossible...
Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.
Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.
The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
It’s a bit like the Royal Naval College automatically passing cadets from Gulf States, after they failed a minor royal, who was executed on his return home.
Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.
Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.
The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
With there still be a Gaza City at the end of next week?
If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.
Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.
Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.
Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.
This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:
I read that this morning; imo it is vacuous. Simon Jenkins doesn't really do content.
A few of the points made, if taken in isolation, aren't ridiculous. The false dichotomy, between 'levelling up' and building new towns, renders it utterly worthless as commentary.
LLG 62% vs RefCon 32%, almost unchanged from last time. This shows what I suspected might happen - Labour conference bounce at the expense of the Lib Dems - good news for Labour in Mid Beds potentially.
Whatever house effects YouGov have, they seem to be giving Labour some of the highest scores of any of the pollsters in recent months, and the Tories some of the lowest.
Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.
People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'
I daresay a coaltion of your FiL types, ex-Kippers confused by Reclorm/Refaim UK, straightforward ABL types, a handful of sad but loyal centrists and, I suspect, pensioners who will get a bung in the spring budget.
Farage has the potential to bring that Tory seat count down to the low hundreds if he had the will and resources to stand against them across England and Wales. Suspect he prefers the entrist option though.
Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.
The police need to get a grip on this sort of crime.
Problem is courts are backed up, prison are full....what's the worst that is going to happen even if the police do investigate...
The individual who threaten Aled Jones and his kid with a machete, who threatened to cut off his arm and robbed him of his Rolex in broad daylight didn't even get prison time.
The police station in my nearest town closed down recently. That means there's a town with 35,000 people and no police station. Luckily it's a very law-abiding place, but you wonder how long it'll be before criminals from other areas realise they could probably commit crimes there without much chance of being apprehended.
It seems from the poll that Sunak is now performing in this series as bad or worse than Boris ever did?
Unsurprising really, Sunak has all the integrity of Boris but without his charm.
And that's probably a good thing for the national conversation.
If you muct have a sewer, much better that it smells like a sewer, as Claud Cockburn put it. Then there's no confusion about whether to drink from it or not.
The curious thing is that it wasn't Rishi's original image. Yes, he was a bit vain ("RISHI SUNAK'S Eat Out To Help Out" and all that) and absurdly rich. But I think we generally thought he had considerably more integrity than Big Dog and a firmer grip on reality than the Truss. Both of those look increasingly shlonky.
Is the whole blooming barrel rotten? And if so, what next for the Apple Conservative Party?
Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.
The police need to get a grip on this sort of crime.
Problem is courts are backed up, prison are full....what's the worst that is going to happen even if the police do investigate...
The individual who threaten Aled Jones and his kid with a machete, who threatened to cut off his arm and robbed him of his Rolex in broad daylight didn't even get prison time.
Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.
People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'
I daresay a coaltion of your FiL types, ex-Kippers confused by Reclorm/Refaim UK, straightforward ABL types, a handful of sad but loyal centrists and, I suspect, pensioners who will get a bung in the spring budget.
Farage has the potential to bring that Tory seat count down to the low hundreds if he had the will and resources to stand against them across England and Wales. Suspect he prefers the entrist option though.
The party of which he is the honourary president have already said they will stand in every seat in England, Wales and Scotland.
I'm not sure what lesson to draw from this, other than the prospect of future miseries.
(BBC) ...In the Palestinian refugee camp of Burj al-Shemali, in southern Lebanon, people are preparing for one this afternoon. The camp is run by various Palestinian factions, including Islamic Jihad.
I've come here to meet the mother of one of the militants from that group, who crossed into Israel on Monday and was killed by the Israel Defense Forces. This was one of several incidents involving Israel and militants from Lebanon that have occurred along the border since Hamas attacked Israel on Saturday.
Azab Mousa, 45, said she was “proud” of her son, 22-year-old Hamza, and that she had “encouraged him” to go ahead with the attack. “He told me what he was going to do... I stood by his side and made sure he wasn’t going to give up,” she said.
“If I had 10 sons, I’d send them all to do the same, because we need to reclaim our land.”
The family arrived in Lebanon from Syria in 2011, after the start of the civil war there, and have never been to the place they call Palestine.
Hamza’s brother, 20-year-old Mohammed, said he was not affiliated with any group but that he was willing to do something like what his brother had done. “Every man here is proud of him.”...
Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.
And that's already gone - see my post earlier - interest rates are going to make any tax cuts impossible...
I tend to agree there won't be a bonanza, but the Budget could well be a chance to offer jam tomorrow. It'd be politically preferable for Sunak/Hunt to offer immediate gratification but, to the extent current economic conditions preclude it without a Truss-style market meltdown, the alternative is to set plans for 2025-8... which will only be delivered if you keep Sunak in Number 10 etc. Again, the sales approach would be "long term decisions for a brighter future" (just not a brighter now as it's too tricky).
Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.
People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'
I daresay a coaltion of your FiL types, ex-Kippers confused by Reclorm/Refaim UK, straightforward ABL types, a handful of sad but loyal centrists and, I suspect, pensioners who will get a bung in the spring budget.
Farage has the potential to bring that Tory seat count down to the low hundreds if he had the will and resources to stand against them across England and Wales. Suspect he prefers the entrist option though.
The party of which he is the honourary president have already said they will stand in every seat in England, Wales and Scotland.
They'd need *him* though. Tice is a charisma black hole.
Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.
Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.
The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
With there still be a Gaza City at the end of next week?
If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.
Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.
Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.
Without getting back into the earlier arguments I would pick you up on one thing. The Allies in WW2 thought that if they bombed Cassino flat there would be no where for the German paras to shelter. In fact it had exactly the opposite effect and made it easier for them to defend. Given the extent of the tunnel networks under Gaza I would suspect that bombing the city to rubble would improve rather than damage the defensive capabilities.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
It’s a bit like the Royal Naval College automatically passing cadets from Gulf States, after they failed a minor royal, who was executed on his return home.
My father once had a minor royal (not Gulf State) turfed out of Dartmouth for drug dealing. Maggie Thatcher tried to tell Dad not to do it, but he ignored her.
Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.
The police need to get a grip on this sort of crime.
Problem is courts are backed up, prison are full....what's the worst that is going to happen even if the police do investigate...
The individual who threaten Aled Jones and his kid with a machete, who threatened to cut off his arm and robbed him of his Rolex in broad daylight didn't even get prison time.
Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.
This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:
I read that this morning; imo it is vacuous. Simon Jenkins doesn't really do content.
It is a sound article, focus development in and around cities across the country (as Gove is shifting towards and Starmer is partly looking at) not on new towns in the rural South
It's rather rude, and definitely not a sensible way to handle it where the MP alleges bullying (as it suggests she probably was bullied by SNP colleagues).
But is it actually sexist? Accusing someone of a "tantrum" is fairly commonly directed at both male and female politicians who are thought to be behaving childishly - it's a very common insult directed at Trump, for instance.
Accusing a women of being "hysterical" would be sexist due to the word origin and typical use. But a "tantrum"... not sure it is as such.
Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.
This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:
I read that this morning; imo it is vacuous. Simon Jenkins doesn't really do content.
I haven't read the link and so cannot speak to its content. But Simon Jenkins was the trigger for my slow-motion falling out from the Grauniad. In the Noughties/early Tens, he wrote an article dismissing new houses because it spoilt his view from the motorway. I said many rude words at that. Silly person.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
It was said, during WWI, that in the German Armies commanded by the Crown Prince, only suicides could escape being awarded the Iron Cross Second Class.
It's rather rude, and definitely not a sensible way to handle it where the MP alleges bullying (as it suggests she probably was bullied by SNP colleagues).
But is it actually sexist? Accusing someone of a "tantrum" is fairly commonly directed at both male and female politicians who are thought to be behaving childishly - it's a very common insult directed at Trump, for instance.
Accusing a women of being "hysterical" would be sexist due to the word origin and typical use. But a "tantrum"... not sure it is as such.
Tantrum has clear connotations of childishness, being infantile, and therefore ungendered, I'd have thought. Chambers: sudden fit of childish, uncontrolled bad temper or rage.
Edit: same overtones as throwing one's teddy [out of the pram].
Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.
People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'
They still lead Labour by 46-25 among over-65s.
One of the things about this is that it must cut across families in a way that voting intention divides by race, social background, etc, would do much less often. Be careful with the Turkey carving knife at Christmas everyone!
Among under-65s Labour lead the Tories by 54-17.
I think there's a real chance that the oldie vote for the Tories is in part a vote for the incumbent government, and so this gap might reduce if Labour win the election and don't tax the oldies or turn down the pension tap.
Unless the Tories work out how to attract the votes of youngsters, this could lead them to being even more unpopular in opposition, for a while.
Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.
This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:
I read that this morning; imo it is vacuous. Simon Jenkins doesn't really do content.
It is a sound article, focus development in and around cities across the country (as Gove is shifting towards and Starmer is partly looking at) not on new towns in the rural South
Struck me as quite sensible too.
He doesn't mention it (namechecking Leeds, Manchester, Liverpool and Newcastle) but Sheffield is another city that strikes me as absolutely ripe for further development (make your own Threads jokes here, but as a South Yorkshireman and semi-regular visitor to the city still, it has a great location, two big universities, a strong cultural tradition and plenty of this new 'greyfield' stuff I've been hearing about.
Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.
Again.
Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.
Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.
V. interesting piece on an invasion in Gaza and what it would mean with discussion of the laws of war:
"As the war continues and as the destruction mounts, you will hear a number of voices condemn Israel for a disproportionate response, but many of these critics fundamentally misunderstand what proportionality means in the law of war."
"Proportionality does not require the Israel Defense Forces to respond with the same degree of force or take the same proportion of casualties as Hamas. In addition, as the manual states, “the proportionality standard does not require that no incidental harm results from attacks.”"
Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.
Again.
Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.
Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.
Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.
That's bollocks.
A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.
That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
University has radically changed since your day.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
What’s more, all this is happening as everyone gets measurably dumber
IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno
Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher
Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.
Again.
Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.
Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.
Start fracking.
Has the Geology of the UK changed overnight?
Fracking simply doesn't make sense in the UK....
The companies that want to spend their own money fracking when they're currently banned from doing so must know less about it than you then I suppose.
Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.
Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.
The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
With there still be a Gaza City at the end of next week?
If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.
Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.
Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.
Without getting back into the earlier arguments I would pick you up on one thing. The Allies in WW2 thought that if they bombed Cassino flat there would be no where for the German paras to shelter. In fact it had exactly the opposite effect and made it easier for them to defend. Given the extent of the tunnel networks under Gaza I would suspect that bombing the city to rubble would improve rather than damage the defensive capabilities.
Maybe, maybe not. Though its worth noting that the Battle of Monte Cassino and World War II in general both ended up being Allied victories.
Which is what is needed here, a clear cut Israeli victory.
Whether it makes Gaza easier or tougher for Hamas to defend if it is levelled or not, is operationally something the IDF and Israel needs to worry about.
If destroying it is proportionate to the military objective, then it is a legitimate target though.
The very actions of Hamas, in both their brutality and their using human shields, means there is little alternative.
For those who say don't do this, what is the realistic alternative that will successfully result in the complete destruction of Hamas and prevent further atrocities?
If you don't have an alternative, then this is a proportionate attack if it occurs, because it is necessary to achieve the military objective at a time of war.
It's rather rude, and definitely not a sensible way to handle it where the MP alleges bullying (as it suggests she probably was bullied by SNP colleagues).
But is it actually sexist? Accusing someone of a "tantrum" is fairly commonly directed at both male and female politicians who are thought to be behaving childishly - it's a very common insult directed at Trump, for instance.
Accusing a women of being "hysterical" would be sexist due to the word origin and typical use. But a "tantrum"... not sure it is as such.
Maybe it’s regional, it’s just one of those terms, like hissy fit, which seems to be applied more to women than men in my experience.
V. interesting piece on an invasion in Gaza and what it would mean with discussion of the laws of war:
"As the war continues and as the destruction mounts, you will hear a number of voices condemn Israel for a disproportionate response, but many of these critics fundamentally misunderstand what proportionality means in the law of war."
"Proportionality does not require the Israel Defense Forces to respond with the same degree of force or take the same proportion of casualties as Hamas. In addition, as the manual states, “the proportionality standard does not require that no incidental harm results from attacks.”"
Responded to @maxh on previous thread, if he (or anyone else) is interested.
Completely off topic, parts of Glasgow are really very attractive. There is a wonderful Continental feel to much of the architecture. The flat I am staying in reminds me very much of the flat I grew up in in Italy. It is - at such a time - very comforting.
And the weather is lovely. And the conference I'm attending very inspiring.
Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.
Again.
Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.
Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.
Start fracking.
Has the Geology of the UK changed overnight?
Fracking simply doesn't make sense in the UK....
The companies that want to spend their own money fracking when they're currently banned from doing so must know less about it than you then I suppose.
They probably know that can leave HMG to (literally) pick up the pieces for any damage caused to buildings.
It's rather rude, and definitely not a sensible way to handle it where the MP alleges bullying (as it suggests she probably was bullied by SNP colleagues).
But is it actually sexist? Accusing someone of a "tantrum" is fairly commonly directed at both male and female politicians who are thought to be behaving childishly - it's a very common insult directed at Trump, for instance.
Accusing a women of being "hysterical" would be sexist due to the word origin and typical use. But a "tantrum"... not sure it is as such.
Maybe it’s regional, it’s just one of those terms, like hissy fit, which seems to be applied more to women than men in my experience.
The term "hissy fit" itself derives from the word "hysteria", which was a medical condition only diagnosed in women as it was believed to relate to problems with the uterus (hystera being the Greek word). So I entirely see how that would be a sexist term typically (albeit not always) applied to women.
You might be right that "tantrum" is more usually directed at women, and one could potentially do an analysis of newspaper articles etc - though that may be skewed by Trump, who was very frequently accused of throwing tantrums. My hunch is you're not correct due to the word origin, but you could be.
Haha, that's brilliant! It illustrates just how deeply the Nasty Party's reputation has permeated society.
Or how far Wokeism has now infiltrated our big corporate firms not just the public sector, whatever you thought of Sunak or Braverman's remarks and even if you disagreed with them as too anti trans not sure why it needs paid counselling
Responded to @maxh on previous thread, if he (or anyone else) is interested.
Completely off topic, parts of Glasgow are really very attractive. There is a wonderful Continental feel to much of the architecture. The flat I am staying in reminds me very much of the flat I grew up in in Italy. It is - at such a time - very comforting.
And the weather is lovely. And the conference I'm attending very inspiring.
Until recently, my previous experiences of Glasgow had been conferences in modern halls; changing trains at stations, and the very centre. Then I spent a couple of days walking around it (e.g. along the canal, and down from Milngavie), and found parts of it were surprisingly pleasant. Even as pleasant as Edinburgh in places. And yes, that is high praise from me.
Edit: But Glasgow could make more of its canal, as it does its riverfront.
Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.
People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'
They still lead Labour by 46-25 among over-65s.
One of the things about this is that it must cut across families in a way that voting intention divides by race, social background, etc, would do much less often. Be careful with the Turkey carving knife at Christmas everyone!
My FiL is frankly quite embarrassed by the Tories, he's just using the 'none of the others would be any better' excuse, but generally he doesn't want to talk about it. He's certainly not going to argue with anyone about politics atm. Stark contrast to the 2019 election.
Would be a dilemma for the Humza haters, go with why is this jumped councillor sticking his nose in or why isn’t he straining every sinew to fix the Middle East? A queasy mixture of both I’d guess.
Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.
Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.
The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
With there still be a Gaza City at the end of next week?
If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.
Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.
Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.
Why is India in green on that map?! India has enough of it's own problems with militant Islamists, why take any more?
Responded to @maxh on previous thread, if he (or anyone else) is interested.
Completely off topic, parts of Glasgow are really very attractive. There is a wonderful Continental feel to much of the architecture. The flat I am staying in reminds me very much of the flat I grew up in in Italy. It is - at such a time - very comforting.
And the weather is lovely. And the conference I'm attending very inspiring.
Kelvingrove Park is the UNiversity quartier - walk south through the riverside* park at lunchtime perhaps, uni with the art gallery is on the right, and you end up with the city Kelvingrove Art Gallery and Museum, free entry (not sure about the Mary Quant exhib which I have not seen). Byres Road is good for studenty/hipster cafes but I always liked haggis in the greenhousey restaurant at the ag&m.
Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.
Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.
The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
With there still be a Gaza City at the end of next week?
If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.
Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.
Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.
Why is India in green on that map?! India has enough of it's own problems with militant Islamists, why take any more?
I didn't make the map, that's the map @Sunil_Prasannan has kept sharing of countries that have recognised Palestine as a state. India is on that list, the UK is not.
Though I imagine to be fair the current Indian government going all over again the current Indian government would probably be wiser and not have made that decision. I don't know, but I'm guessing it was a predecessor government that made the decision?
Comments
https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1712761346817740998
Ed Conway
@EdConwaySky
🚨NEW🚨
On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt
tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement.
Weaker growth. Higher gas prices.
"We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'
Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.
The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.
A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.
Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.
Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
That said, Sunak played a bad hand atrociously: scrap HS2, ban fags and extra maths.
No creativity or political insight whatsoever.
Glad I took a one year freeze deal on Elec / Gas yesterday at 1% below the current cap.
https://twitter.com/CrimeLdn/status/1712804159873745059
Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/12/labour-new-towns-cities-south
Again.
Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.
Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.
IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno
Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher
It gets wearisome
There are a few exceptions - yourself, @Richard_Tyndall, @Richard_Nabavi, @richardDodd, @Martin_Kinsella, @Polruan, @Aberjeffrey, @hunchman, @FormerToryOrange, @gealbhan, @Bromptonaut, @kingbongo, @Edin_Rokz, @HillmanMinx, @YossariansChild, @welshowl, @Ratters, @ukpaul, @Adrian_Harper and the entire moderation team, but everyone else is thick as a brick
Also, universities are much more proactive in taking into consideration students personal circumstances etc. AFAIK, for every module, the university will provide those running it with list of those who should get extra consideration etc, not just for things like dyslexia but wider ranges of life issues.
Long gone are the day of student should be happy just to even be talked at by some academic and then told to bugger off and learn the rest / do the assignments.
They are "service" providers.
@EuropeElects
Germany, Infratest dimap poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 29% (+1)
AfD-ID: 23% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 15% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (-1)
FDP-RE: 5% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
FW-RE: 4% (+1)
+/- vs. 25-27 September 2023
Fieldwork: 10-11 October 2023
Sample size: 1,203"
https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1712737524924215519
Last thing on universities....one thing I would say now compared to say 30 years ago, I would suggest that in general students are much more career focused and work to achieve the necessary to move onto that future career. Its less a place you go to piss away 3 years of your life, then decide what you might do, and much more just the next stepping stone in the chain.
The downside is this reinforces that its just about that mindset of get the minimum required grade, and less about the general exposure to interesting and complex ideas and concepts.
The individual who threaten Aled Jones and his kid with a machete, who threatened to cut off his arm and robbed him of his Rolex in broad daylight didn't even get prison time.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-67098960
Far from those who say that Hamas want a full war, I suspect that Hamas wanted to be terrorists, to terrorise Israel and keep peace from occurring but losing their grip on Gaza was not the intention.
Cycles of attack and retaliation aren't ending the hostilities, action needs to be taken break the cycle.
That either means reaching an accommodation with Hamas and agreeing peace with them, or destroying them, there is no realistic middle ground. Since reaching an accommodation with Hamas is impossible, once you eliminate the impossible, whatever is left, no matter how nauseating, is what has to happen.
Hopefully as many civilian deaths as possible can be avoided, but Hamas have to be destroyed.
One of the things about this is that it must cut across families in a way that voting intention divides by race, social background, etc, would do much less often. Be careful with the Turkey carving knife at Christmas everyone!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_Australian_Indigenous_Voice_referendum
Unsurprising really, Sunak has all the integrity of Boris but without his charm.
Voting Intention: Con 24%, Lab 47% (11-12 Oct 2023)
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/47592-voting-intention-con-24-lab-47-11-12-oct-2023
If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.
Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.
Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.
The false dichotomy, between 'levelling up' and building new towns, renders it utterly worthless as commentary.
Whatever house effects YouGov have, they seem to be giving Labour some of the highest scores of any of the pollsters in recent months, and the Tories some of the lowest.
Farage has the potential to bring that Tory seat count down to the low hundreds if he had the will and resources to stand against them across England and Wales. Suspect he prefers the entrist option though.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-12627115/Cristiano-Ronaldo-sentenced-99-lashes-ADULTERY-reports-Iran-claim-photo-painter.html
If you muct have a sewer, much better that it smells like a sewer, as Claud Cockburn put it. Then there's no confusion about whether to drink from it or not.
The curious thing is that it wasn't Rishi's original image. Yes, he was a bit vain ("RISHI SUNAK'S Eat Out To Help Out" and all that) and absurdly rich. But I think we generally thought he had considerably more integrity than Big Dog and a firmer grip on reality than the Truss. Both of those look increasingly shlonky.
Is the whole blooming barrel rotten? And if so, what next for the Apple Conservative Party?
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/aled-jones-daytona-rolex-teenager-detention-order-sentence-chiswick-b1111138.html
(BBC)
...In the Palestinian refugee camp of Burj al-Shemali, in southern Lebanon, people are preparing for one this afternoon. The camp is run by various Palestinian factions, including Islamic Jihad.
I've come here to meet the mother of one of the militants from that group, who crossed into Israel on Monday and was killed by the Israel Defense Forces. This was one of several incidents involving Israel and militants from Lebanon that have occurred along the border since Hamas attacked Israel on Saturday.
Azab Mousa, 45, said she was “proud” of her son, 22-year-old Hamza, and that she had “encouraged him” to go ahead with the attack. “He told me what he was going to do... I stood by his side and made sure he wasn’t going to give up,” she said.
“If I had 10 sons, I’d send them all to do the same, because we need to reclaim our land.”
The family arrived in Lebanon from Syria in 2011, after the start of the civil war there, and have never been to the place they call Palestine.
Hamza’s brother, 20-year-old Mohammed, said he was not affiliated with any group but that he was willing to do something like what his brother had done. “Every man here is proud of him.”...
Republicans rudderless as Speaker mess consumes House
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4253701-republicans-rudderless-speaker-mess-house/
But is it actually sexist? Accusing someone of a "tantrum" is fairly commonly directed at both male and female politicians who are thought to be behaving childishly - it's a very common insult directed at Trump, for instance.
Accusing a women of being "hysterical" would be sexist due to the word origin and typical use. But a "tantrum"... not sure it is as such.
Edit: same overtones as throwing one's teddy [out of the pram].
I think there's a real chance that the oldie vote for the Tories is in part a vote for the incumbent government, and so this gap might reduce if Labour win the election and don't tax the oldies or turn down the pension tap.
Unless the Tories work out how to attract the votes of youngsters, this could lead them to being even more unpopular in opposition, for a while.
He doesn't mention it (namechecking Leeds, Manchester, Liverpool and Newcastle) but Sheffield is another city that strikes me as absolutely ripe for further development (make your own Threads jokes here, but as a South Yorkshireman and semi-regular visitor to the city still, it has a great location, two big universities, a strong cultural tradition and plenty of this new 'greyfield' stuff I've been hearing about.
"As the war continues and as the destruction mounts, you will hear a number of voices condemn Israel for a disproportionate response, but many of these critics fundamentally misunderstand what proportionality means in the law of war."
"Proportionality does not require the Israel Defense Forces to respond with the same degree of force or take the same proportion of casualties as Hamas. In addition, as the manual states, “the proportionality standard does not require that no incidental harm results from attacks.”"
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/12/opinion/israel-hamas-isis-gaza.html
Fracking simply doesn't make sense in the UK....
Which is what is needed here, a clear cut Israeli victory.
Whether it makes Gaza easier or tougher for Hamas to defend if it is levelled or not, is operationally something the IDF and Israel needs to worry about.
If destroying it is proportionate to the military objective, then it is a legitimate target though.
The very actions of Hamas, in both their brutality and their using human shields, means there is little alternative.
For those who say don't do this, what is the realistic alternative that will successfully result in the complete destruction of Hamas and prevent further atrocities?
If you don't have an alternative, then this is a proportionate attack if it occurs, because it is necessary to achieve the military objective at a time of war.
https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712807316221743227?s=20
https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712808597300654555?s=20
Proportionality is about what is necessary to achieve your objectives.
So start with what your objective is, and work backwards essentially.
Objective: Destroy Hamas.
What is necessary to do that?
Is there an alternative that would result in fewer civilian casualties without resulting in dramatically more Israeli casualties?
If there is no alternative, then the Israeli response is both proportionate and lawful.
Completely off topic, parts of Glasgow are really very attractive. There is a wonderful Continental feel to much of the architecture. The flat I am staying in reminds me very much of the flat I grew up in in Italy. It is - at such a time - very comforting.
And the weather is lovely. And the conference I'm attending very inspiring.
You might be right that "tantrum" is more usually directed at women, and one could potentially do an analysis of newspaper articles etc - though that may be skewed by Trump, who was very frequently accused of throwing tantrums. My hunch is you're not correct due to the word origin, but you could be.
Edit: But Glasgow could make more of its canal, as it does its riverfront.
It doesn't mean "someone said something I mildly disagree with."
DYOR re opening, times etc.
*Kelvin not Clyde
https://www.glasgowlife.org.uk/museums/venues/kelvingrove-art-gallery-and-museum
Though I imagine to be fair the current Indian government going all over again the current Indian government would probably be wiser and not have made that decision. I don't know, but I'm guessing it was a predecessor government that made the decision?