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Latest from YouGov not good for Sunak – politicalbetting.com

SystemSystem Posts: 12,161
edited October 2023 in General
Latest from YouGov not good for Sunak – politicalbetting.com

Rishi Sunak gets his lowest score to date on our 'who would make the best PM' questionRishi Sunak: 20% (-5 from 4-5 Oct)Keir Starmer: 32% (-2)Not sure: 43% (+5)https://t.co/SB5X5Uon8i pic.twitter.com/VMH7nlxO9m

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Comments

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,805
    LDs on the slide.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,368
    It gets worse for Rishi - cancelling HS2 won't even give Rishi any tax cuts with which he can try to bribe voters with

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1712761346817740998

    Ed Conway
    @EdConwaySky
    🚨NEW🚨
    On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt
    tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement.
    Weaker growth. Higher gas prices.
    "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.
  • There must be something in Sir Keir's past that can be used to portray him as a friend of Hamas. Rishi needs to unearth this and disseminate it pronto.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.

    People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,408
    Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.

    Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,987
    edited October 2023

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,408
    eek said:

    It gets worse for Rishi - cancelling HS2 won't even give Rishi any tax cuts with which he can try to bribe voters with

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1712761346817740998

    Ed Conway
    @EdConwaySky
    🚨NEW🚨
    On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt
    tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement.
    Weaker growth. Higher gas prices.
    "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.

    Unlucky generals.

    That said, Sunak played a bad hand atrociously: scrap HS2, ban fags and extra maths.

    No creativity or political insight whatsoever.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,523
    Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,486

    eek said:

    It gets worse for Rishi - cancelling HS2 won't even give Rishi any tax cuts with which he can try to bribe voters with

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1712761346817740998

    Ed Conway
    @EdConwaySky
    🚨NEW🚨
    On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt
    tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement.
    Weaker growth. Higher gas prices.
    "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.

    Does the government have any money? Not a sausage. The Chancellor says we have to "prepare for the wurst."
    That’s a banger of a pun.
  • FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 4,411
    edited October 2023

    eek said:

    It gets worse for Rishi - cancelling HS2 won't even give Rishi any tax cuts with which he can try to bribe voters with

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1712761346817740998

    Ed Conway
    @EdConwaySky
    🚨NEW🚨
    On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt
    tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement.
    Weaker growth. Higher gas prices.
    "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.

    Does the government have any money? Not a sausage. The Chancellor says we have to "prepare for the wurst."
    We can expect a lot of salami slicing.
  • eek said:

    It gets worse for Rishi - cancelling HS2 won't even give Rishi any tax cuts with which he can try to bribe voters with

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1712761346817740998

    Ed Conway
    @EdConwaySky
    🚨NEW🚨
    On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt
    tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement.
    Weaker growth. Higher gas prices.
    "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.

    I suspect Hunt is doing the lower-expectations game. He and Rishi will be secretly planning a budget bonanza that will blow Sir Keir out the water.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,138
    eek said:

    It gets worse for Rishi - cancelling HS2 won't even give Rishi any tax cuts with which he can try to bribe voters with

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1712761346817740998

    Ed Conway
    @EdConwaySky
    🚨NEW🚨
    On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt
    tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement.
    Weaker growth. Higher gas prices.
    "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.

    Oooer.

    Glad I took a one year freeze deal on Elec / Gas yesterday at 1% below the current cap.
  • eek said:

    It gets worse for Rishi - cancelling HS2 won't even give Rishi any tax cuts with which he can try to bribe voters with

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1712761346817740998

    Ed Conway
    @EdConwaySky
    🚨NEW🚨
    On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt
    tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement.
    Weaker growth. Higher gas prices.
    "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.

    Does the government have any money? Not a sausage. The Chancellor says we have to "prepare for the wurst."
    But a British Sausage, not an emulsified high-fat offal tube.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859

    Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.

    Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.

    Certainly, it seems most unlikely that Hamas hasn’t anticipated that a ground invasion would be the Israeli response.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,987
    edited October 2023
    The normalisation of this type of crime in busy areas in broad daylight, the guy getting cash out doesn't even react beyond a shrug.

    https://twitter.com/CrimeLdn/status/1712804159873745059

    Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859

    Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.

    This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/12/labour-new-towns-cities-south
  • PJHPJH Posts: 645

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,408
    Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.

    Again.

    Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.

    Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,263

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    What’s more, all this is happening as everyone gets measurably dumber

    IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno

    Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher

    It gets wearisome

    There are a few exceptions - yourself, @Richard_Tyndall, @Richard_Nabavi, @richardDodd, @Martin_Kinsella, @Polruan, @Aberjeffrey, @hunchman, @FormerToryOrange, @gealbhan, @Bromptonaut, @kingbongo, @Edin_Rokz, @HillmanMinx, @YossariansChild, @welshowl, @Ratters, @ukpaul, @Adrian_Harper and the entire moderation team, but everyone else is thick as a brick
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,987
    edited October 2023
    PJH said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
    I am sure our TurboTubbs will attest to this.

    Also, universities are much more proactive in taking into consideration students personal circumstances etc. AFAIK, for every module, the university will provide those running it with list of those who should get extra consideration etc, not just for things like dyslexia but wider ranges of life issues.

    Long gone are the day of student should be happy just to even be talked at by some academic and then told to bugger off and learn the rest / do the assignments.

    They are "service" providers.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,931
    DavidL said:

    LDs on the slide.

    Don’t you mean broken, sleazy LDs on the slide 😆?
  • PJH said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
    The year (1986) I graduated from Cardiff with a Desmond in Geology there were two Firsts and three 2:1s out of a class of 60 or so. And they had to go through a series of vivas to get those awards.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,263
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    MattW said:

    eek said:

    It gets worse for Rishi - cancelling HS2 won't even give Rishi any tax cuts with which he can try to bribe voters with

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1712761346817740998

    Ed Conway
    @EdConwaySky
    🚨NEW🚨
    On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt
    tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement.
    Weaker growth. Higher gas prices.
    "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.

    Oooer.

    Glad I took a one year freeze deal on Elec / Gas yesterday at 1% below the current cap.
    Just checked - best 1yr fix I can get is 0.7% above current cap. Not bothering.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,486
    Leon said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    What’s more, all this is happening as everyone gets measurably dumber

    IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno

    Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher

    It gets wearisome

    There are a few exceptions - yourself, @Richard_Tyndall, @Richard_Nabavi, @richardDodd, @Martin_Kinsella, @Polruan, @Aberjeffrey, @hunchman, @FormerToryOrange, @gealbhan, @Bromptonaut, @kingbongo, @Edin_Rokz, @HillmanMinx, @YossariansChild, @welshowl, @Ratters, @ukpaul, @Adrian_Harper and the entire moderation team, but everyone else is thick as a brick
    You missed LadyG, Eadric and SeanT from that lengthy list of your alter egos.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,549
    "Europe Elects
    @EuropeElects
    Germany, Infratest dimap poll:

    CDU/CSU-EPP: 29% (+1)
    AfD-ID: 23% (+1)
    SPD-S&D: 15% (-1)
    GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (-1)
    FDP-RE: 5% (-1)
    LINKE-LEFT: 4%
    FW-RE: 4% (+1)

    +/- vs. 25-27 September 2023

    Fieldwork: 10-11 October 2023
    Sample size: 1,203"

    https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1712737524924215519
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,931

    Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.

    Again.

    Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.

    Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.

    Bigging up Israel won’t help, if it upsets the Middle East oil producers.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653

    eek said:

    It gets worse for Rishi - cancelling HS2 won't even give Rishi any tax cuts with which he can try to bribe voters with

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1712761346817740998

    Ed Conway
    @EdConwaySky
    🚨NEW🚨
    On the fringes of the IMF meetings in Marrakech, Chancellor @Jeremy_Hunt
    tells me govt is facing a £20-30bn increase in debt payments in next month's Autumn Statement.
    Weaker growth. Higher gas prices.
    "We need to prepare for the worst," he says.

    Does the government have any money? Not a sausage. The Chancellor says we have to "prepare for the wurst."
    We can expect a lot of salami slicing.
    Is there much mortadella-ete off the essential spend?
  • PJH said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
    Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,549

    The normalisation of this type of crime in busy areas in broad daylight, the guy getting cash out doesn't even react beyond a shrug.

    https://twitter.com/CrimeLdn/status/1712804159873745059

    Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.

    The police need to get a grip on this sort of crime.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,987
    edited October 2023

    PJH said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
    Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
    Well we all know its a two bit institution ;-)

    Last thing on universities....one thing I would say now compared to say 30 years ago, I would suggest that in general students are much more career focused and work to achieve the necessary to move onto that future career. Its less a place you go to piss away 3 years of your life, then decide what you might do, and much more just the next stepping stone in the chain.

    The downside is this reinforces that its just about that mindset of get the minimum required grade, and less about the general exposure to interesting and complex ideas and concepts.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,931

    PJH said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
    Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
    Ah, but a first from Oxford is the equivalent of a 2.2 from Cambridge and a third from a Russell Group university.
  • boulay said:

    Leon said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    What’s more, all this is happening as everyone gets measurably dumber

    IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno

    Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher

    It gets wearisome

    There are a few exceptions - yourself, @Richard_Tyndall, @Richard_Nabavi, @richardDodd, @Martin_Kinsella, @Polruan, @Aberjeffrey, @hunchman, @FormerToryOrange, @gealbhan, @Bromptonaut, @kingbongo, @Edin_Rokz, @HillmanMinx, @YossariansChild, @welshowl, @Ratters, @ukpaul, @Adrian_Harper and the entire moderation team, but everyone else is thick as a brick
    You missed LadyG, Eadric and SeanT from that lengthy list of your alter egos.
    Byronic is waving madly, feeling left out.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,067
    Leon said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    What’s more, all this is happening as everyone gets measurably dumber

    IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno

    Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher

    Says the bloke who has problems with the concept of 'majority' and 'most'.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,908
    edited October 2023
    Sunak now doing clearly worse than Boris was when he resigned on the best PM poll v Starmer, albeit Sunak still polling better than Truss when she resigned. Notably both Sunak and Starmer now polling below their parties, neither it seems are net assets for their party as Blair or Boris or Cameron were

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,987
    edited October 2023
    Andy_JS said:

    The normalisation of this type of crime in busy areas in broad daylight, the guy getting cash out doesn't even react beyond a shrug.

    https://twitter.com/CrimeLdn/status/1712804159873745059

    Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.

    The police need to get a grip on this sort of crime.
    Problem is courts are backed up, prison are full....what's the worst that is going to happen even if the police do investigate...

    The individual who threaten Aled Jones and his kid with a machete, who threatened to cut off his arm and robbed him of his Rolex in broad daylight didn't even get prison time.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,908
    edited October 2023
    Andy_JS said:

    "Europe Elects
    @EuropeElects
    Germany, Infratest dimap poll:

    CDU/CSU-EPP: 29% (+1)
    AfD-ID: 23% (+1)
    SPD-S&D: 15% (-1)
    GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (-1)
    FDP-RE: 5% (-1)
    LINKE-LEFT: 4%
    FW-RE: 4% (+1)

    +/- vs. 25-27 September 2023

    Fieldwork: 10-11 October 2023
    Sample size: 1,203"

    https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1712737524924215519

    Looks like centre right v nationalist hard right in Germany as the 2 main parties, even the governing SPD and Greens combined now below the opposition Union
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,549
    "MP Lisa Cameron defected to Tories in 'tantrum', says SNP president"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-67098960
  • IanB2 said:

    Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.

    Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.

    Certainly, it seems most unlikely that Hamas hasn’t anticipated that a ground invasion would be the Israeli response.
    I suspect that Hamas have bitten off more than they could chew here. I believe their intention was to inflict enough of an atrocity to absolutely kill off dead any Israel/Saudi peace talks, but while expecting America and the west to restrain Israel from going into a full on attack in response.

    Far from those who say that Hamas want a full war, I suspect that Hamas wanted to be terrorists, to terrorise Israel and keep peace from occurring but losing their grip on Gaza was not the intention.

    Cycles of attack and retaliation aren't ending the hostilities, action needs to be taken break the cycle.

    That either means reaching an accommodation with Hamas and agreeing peace with them, or destroying them, there is no realistic middle ground. Since reaching an accommodation with Hamas is impossible, once you eliminate the impossible, whatever is left, no matter how nauseating, is what has to happen.

    Hopefully as many civilian deaths as possible can be avoided, but Hamas have to be destroyed.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,355

    Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.

    People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'

    They still lead Labour by 46-25 among over-65s.

    One of the things about this is that it must cut across families in a way that voting intention divides by race, social background, etc, would do much less often. Be careful with the Turkey carving knife at Christmas everyone!
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860
    On topic, SKSFPE
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,908
    Final polls before tomorrow's referendum in Australia on a Voice for Aborigines to the Australian Parliament have No ahead by 20%, 7%, 18% and 13% including DKs

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_Australian_Indigenous_Voice_referendum

  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,138
    edited October 2023
    IanB2 said:

    Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.

    This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/12/labour-new-towns-cities-south
    I read that this morning; imo it is vacuous. Simon Jenkins doesn't really do content.

  • eekeek Posts: 28,368

    Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.

    And that's already gone - see my post earlier - interest rates are going to make any tax cuts impossible...
  • It seems from the poll that Sunak is now performing in this series as bad or worse than Boris ever did?

    Unsurprising really, Sunak has all the integrity of Boris but without his charm.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,372
    Andy_JS said:

    "MP Lisa Cameron defected to Tories in 'tantrum', says SNP president"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-67098960

    Not a sexist comment at all, oh no.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,355

    Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.

    Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.

    The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,067
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,347

    PJH said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
    Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
    It’s a bit like the Royal Naval College automatically passing cadets from Gulf States, after they failed a minor royal, who was executed on his return home.
  • Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.

    Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.

    The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
    With there still be a Gaza City at the end of next week?

    If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.

    Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.

    Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.

    image
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,067
    MattW said:

    IanB2 said:

    Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.

    This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/12/labour-new-towns-cities-south
    I read that this morning; imo it is vacuous. Simon Jenkins doesn't really do content.

    A few of the points made, if taken in isolation, aren't ridiculous.
    The false dichotomy, between 'levelling up' and building new towns, renders it utterly worthless as commentary.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,984
    Nigelb said:
    LLG 62% vs RefCon 32%, almost unchanged from last time. This shows what I suspected might happen - Labour conference bounce at the expense of the Lib Dems - good news for Labour in Mid Beds potentially.

    Whatever house effects YouGov have, they seem to be giving Labour some of the highest scores of any of the pollsters in recent months, and the Tories some of the lowest.
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860

    Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.

    People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'

    I daresay a coaltion of your FiL types, ex-Kippers confused by Reclorm/Refaim UK, straightforward ABL types, a handful of sad but loyal centrists and, I suspect, pensioners who will get a bung in the spring budget.

    Farage has the potential to bring that Tory seat count down to the low hundreds if he had the will and resources to stand against them across England and Wales. Suspect he prefers the entrist option though.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,549

    Andy_JS said:

    The normalisation of this type of crime in busy areas in broad daylight, the guy getting cash out doesn't even react beyond a shrug.

    https://twitter.com/CrimeLdn/status/1712804159873745059

    Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.

    The police need to get a grip on this sort of crime.
    Problem is courts are backed up, prison are full....what's the worst that is going to happen even if the police do investigate...

    The individual who threaten Aled Jones and his kid with a machete, who threatened to cut off his arm and robbed him of his Rolex in broad daylight didn't even get prison time.
    The police station in my nearest town closed down recently. That means there's a town with 35,000 people and no police station. Luckily it's a very law-abiding place, but you wonder how long it'll be before criminals from other areas realise they could probably commit crimes there without much chance of being apprehended.
  • It seems from the poll that Sunak is now performing in this series as bad or worse than Boris ever did?

    Unsurprising really, Sunak has all the integrity of Boris but without his charm.

    And that's probably a good thing for the national conversation.

    If you muct have a sewer, much better that it smells like a sewer, as Claud Cockburn put it. Then there's no confusion about whether to drink from it or not.

    The curious thing is that it wasn't Rishi's original image. Yes, he was a bit vain ("RISHI SUNAK'S Eat Out To Help Out" and all that) and absurdly rich. But I think we generally thought he had considerably more integrity than Big Dog and a firmer grip on reality than the Truss. Both of those look increasingly shlonky.

    Is the whole blooming barrel rotten? And if so, what next for the Apple Conservative Party?
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,931
    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MP Lisa Cameron defected to Tories in 'tantrum', says SNP president"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-67098960

    Not a sexist comment at all, oh no.
    The SNP are experts on tantrums. They have one every time someone supports womens’ rights or criticises their little green helpers.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,908
    edited October 2023

    Andy_JS said:

    The normalisation of this type of crime in busy areas in broad daylight, the guy getting cash out doesn't even react beyond a shrug.

    https://twitter.com/CrimeLdn/status/1712804159873745059

    Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.

    The police need to get a grip on this sort of crime.
    Problem is courts are backed up, prison are full....what's the worst that is going to happen even if the police do investigate...

    The individual who threaten Aled Jones and his kid with a machete, who threatened to cut off his arm and robbed him of his Rolex in broad daylight didn't even get prison time.
    He did, 24 months detention

    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/aled-jones-daytona-rolex-teenager-detention-order-sentence-chiswick-b1111138.html
  • Ghedebrav said:

    Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.

    People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'

    I daresay a coaltion of your FiL types, ex-Kippers confused by Reclorm/Refaim UK, straightforward ABL types, a handful of sad but loyal centrists and, I suspect, pensioners who will get a bung in the spring budget.

    Farage has the potential to bring that Tory seat count down to the low hundreds if he had the will and resources to stand against them across England and Wales. Suspect he prefers the entrist option though.
    The party of which he is the honourary president have already said they will stand in every seat in England, Wales and Scotland.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,908

    It seems from the poll that Sunak is now performing in this series as bad or worse than Boris ever did?

    Unsurprising really, Sunak has all the integrity of Boris but without his charm.

    Sunak is now polling clearly worse than Boris did when he resigned, albeit still better than Truss was when she resigned
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,067
    I'm not sure what lesson to draw from this, other than the prospect of future miseries.

    (BBC)
    ...In the Palestinian refugee camp of Burj al-Shemali, in southern Lebanon, people are preparing for one this afternoon. The camp is run by various Palestinian factions, including Islamic Jihad.

    I've come here to meet the mother of one of the militants from that group, who crossed into Israel on Monday and was killed by the Israel Defense Forces. This was one of several incidents involving Israel and militants from Lebanon that have occurred along the border since Hamas attacked Israel on Saturday.

    Azab Mousa, 45, said she was “proud” of her son, 22-year-old Hamza, and that she had “encouraged him” to go ahead with the attack. “He told me what he was going to do... I stood by his side and made sure he wasn’t going to give up,” she said.

    “If I had 10 sons, I’d send them all to do the same, because we need to reclaim our land.”

    The family arrived in Lebanon from Syria in 2011, after the start of the civil war there, and have never been to the place they call Palestine.

    Hamza’s brother, 20-year-old Mohammed, said he was not affiliated with any group but that he was willing to do something like what his brother had done. “Every man here is proud of him.”...
  • eek said:

    Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.

    And that's already gone - see my post earlier - interest rates are going to make any tax cuts impossible...
    I tend to agree there won't be a bonanza, but the Budget could well be a chance to offer jam tomorrow. It'd be politically preferable for Sunak/Hunt to offer immediate gratification but, to the extent current economic conditions preclude it without a Truss-style market meltdown, the alternative is to set plans for 2025-8... which will only be delivered if you keep Sunak in Number 10 etc. Again, the sales approach would be "long term decisions for a brighter future" (just not a brighter now as it's too tricky).
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860

    Ghedebrav said:

    Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.

    People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'

    I daresay a coaltion of your FiL types, ex-Kippers confused by Reclorm/Refaim UK, straightforward ABL types, a handful of sad but loyal centrists and, I suspect, pensioners who will get a bung in the spring budget.

    Farage has the potential to bring that Tory seat count down to the low hundreds if he had the will and resources to stand against them across England and Wales. Suspect he prefers the entrist option though.
    The party of which he is the honourary president have already said they will stand in every seat in England, Wales and Scotland.
    They'd need *him* though. Tice is a charisma black hole.
  • Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.

    Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.

    The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
    With there still be a Gaza City at the end of next week?

    If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.

    Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.

    Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.

    image
    Without getting back into the earlier arguments I would pick you up on one thing. The Allies in WW2 thought that if they bombed Cassino flat there would be no where for the German paras to shelter. In fact it had exactly the opposite effect and made it easier for them to defend. Given the extent of the tunnel networks under Gaza I would suspect that bombing the city to rubble would improve rather than damage the defensive capabilities.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,067
    The headline in a conservative publication.

    Republicans rudderless as Speaker mess consumes House
    https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4253701-republicans-rudderless-speaker-mess-house/
  • Sean_F said:

    PJH said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
    Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
    It’s a bit like the Royal Naval College automatically passing cadets from Gulf States, after they failed a minor royal, who was executed on his return home.
    My father once had a minor royal (not Gulf State) turfed out of Dartmouth for drug dealing. Maggie Thatcher tried to tell Dad not to do it, but he ignored her.
  • HYUFD said:

    Andy_JS said:

    The normalisation of this type of crime in busy areas in broad daylight, the guy getting cash out doesn't even react beyond a shrug.

    https://twitter.com/CrimeLdn/status/1712804159873745059

    Starmer has a tough job ahead of him to try and turn this around.

    The police need to get a grip on this sort of crime.
    Problem is courts are backed up, prison are full....what's the worst that is going to happen even if the police do investigate...

    The individual who threaten Aled Jones and his kid with a machete, who threatened to cut off his arm and robbed him of his Rolex in broad daylight didn't even get prison time.
    He did, 24 months detention

    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/aled-jones-daytona-rolex-teenager-detention-order-sentence-chiswick-b1111138.html
    My apologises...I misremembered, I thought it was suspended sentence.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,908
    MattW said:

    IanB2 said:

    Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.

    This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/12/labour-new-towns-cities-south
    I read that this morning; imo it is vacuous. Simon Jenkins doesn't really do content.

    It is a sound article, focus development in and around cities across the country (as Gove is shifting towards and Starmer is partly looking at) not on new towns in the rural South
  • SirNorfolkPassmoreSirNorfolkPassmore Posts: 7,149
    edited October 2023
    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MP Lisa Cameron defected to Tories in 'tantrum', says SNP president"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-67098960

    Not a sexist comment at all, oh no.
    It's rather rude, and definitely not a sensible way to handle it where the MP alleges bullying (as it suggests she probably was bullied by SNP colleagues).

    But is it actually sexist? Accusing someone of a "tantrum" is fairly commonly directed at both male and female politicians who are thought to be behaving childishly - it's a very common insult directed at Trump, for instance.

    Accusing a women of being "hysterical" would be sexist due to the word origin and typical use. But a "tantrum"... not sure it is as such.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,070
    MattW said:

    IanB2 said:

    Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.

    This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/12/labour-new-towns-cities-south
    I read that this morning; imo it is vacuous. Simon Jenkins doesn't really do content.

    I haven't read the link and so cannot speak to its content. But Simon Jenkins was the trigger for my slow-motion falling out from the Grauniad. In the Noughties/early Tens, he wrote an article dismissing new houses because it spoilt his view from the motorway. I said many rude words at that. Silly person.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248

    PJH said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    Interesting. In my year (at what is now one of the Russell Group) in the late 80s there were just 3 1sts out of about 110, and about 30 2:1s.
    Oxford has 95 per cent firsts and upper seconds.
    It was said, during WWI, that in the German Armies commanded by the Crown Prince, only suicides could escape being awarded the Iron Cross Second Class.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,818
    edited October 2023

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MP Lisa Cameron defected to Tories in 'tantrum', says SNP president"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-67098960

    Not a sexist comment at all, oh no.
    It's rather rude, and definitely not a sensible way to handle it where the MP alleges bullying (as it suggests she probably was bullied by SNP colleagues).

    But is it actually sexist? Accusing someone of a "tantrum" is fairly commonly directed at both male and female politicians who are thought to be behaving childishly - it's a very common insult directed at Trump, for instance.

    Accusing a women of being "hysterical" would be sexist due to the word origin and typical use. But a "tantrum"... not sure it is as such.
    Tantrum has clear connotations of childishness, being infantile, and therefore ungendered, I'd have thought. Chambers: sudden fit of childish, uncontrolled bad temper or rage.

    Edit: same overtones as throwing one's teddy [out of the pram].
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,355
    edited October 2023

    Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.

    People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'

    They still lead Labour by 46-25 among over-65s.

    One of the things about this is that it must cut across families in a way that voting intention divides by race, social background, etc, would do much less often. Be careful with the Turkey carving knife at Christmas everyone!
    Among under-65s Labour lead the Tories by 54-17.

    I think there's a real chance that the oldie vote for the Tories is in part a vote for the incumbent government, and so this gap might reduce if Labour win the election and don't tax the oldies or turn down the pension tap.

    Unless the Tories work out how to attract the votes of youngsters, this could lead them to being even more unpopular in opposition, for a while.
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860
    HYUFD said:

    MattW said:

    IanB2 said:

    Conference bounce, but still - well timed for the by-elections too. Apart from black swans, Rishi only has one shot left in his locker - the spring budget.

    This critique, from the centre-left, of Labour’s latest (indeed almost sole) new idea, is worth five minutes of your time:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/12/labour-new-towns-cities-south
    I read that this morning; imo it is vacuous. Simon Jenkins doesn't really do content.

    It is a sound article, focus development in and around cities across the country (as Gove is shifting towards and Starmer is partly looking at) not on new towns in the rural South
    Struck me as quite sensible too.

    He doesn't mention it (namechecking Leeds, Manchester, Liverpool and Newcastle) but Sheffield is another city that strikes me as absolutely ripe for further development (make your own Threads jokes here, but as a South Yorkshireman and semi-regular visitor to the city still, it has a great location, two big universities, a strong cultural tradition and plenty of this new 'greyfield' stuff I've been hearing about.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,413

    Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.

    Again.

    Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.

    Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.

    Start fracking.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,704
    edited October 2023
    V. interesting piece on an invasion in Gaza and what it would mean with discussion of the laws of war:


    "As the war continues and as the destruction mounts, you will hear a number of voices condemn Israel for a disproportionate response, but many of these critics fundamentally misunderstand what proportionality means in the law of war."

    "Proportionality does not require the Israel Defense Forces to respond with the same degree of force or take the same proportion of casualties as Hamas. In addition, as the manual states, “the proportionality standard does not require that no incidental harm results from attacks.”"

    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/12/opinion/israel-hamas-isis-gaza.html
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Nigelb said:
    Er... that's the one in the thread header, is it not?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,368

    Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.

    Again.

    Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.

    Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.

    Start fracking.
    Has the Geology of the UK changed overnight?

    Fracking simply doesn't make sense in the UK....
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    edited October 2023
    Leon said:

    Possibly taking people with 2:2s is not exactly hiring the best and the brightest. Given the work undertaken, cryptography, I would have hoped / thought, that a 1st would be required. That is still only filtering for the top 1/3 of graduates.

    That's bollocks.

    A first often indicates the hardest working, the best prepared, or the best (financially) supported , not necessarily the most brilliant.
    I once briefly had a boss who was probably the best paid and most sought-after tax lawyer in the City, who had got a 2:2 at a red brick university. By his own account, he spent too much time tinkering with cars, and was also pretty mediocre at a lot of law... but happened to be a genius in one rather niche area of it.

    That's not at all uncommon, I suspect. A lot of people with 2.2s aren't anything like that, of course... but, anecdotally, I have a hunch that there are more geniuses with 2.2s than with 2.1s. I have a 2.1 myself, and it is the degree of the perfectly competent plodder.
    University has radically changed since your day.

    The grade inflation since introduction of fees over the past 20 years driven by "the market" and also some concern from universities over being sued for bad grades disadvantaging future careers (they have had to fight court cases in the recent past), means that you really have to work hard not to get a 2:1 if you aren't a moron.

    A first used to be this rare thing, a 2:1 or a 2:2 quite the norm, and the 3rd for those who weren't really achieving.

    Its flipped now, over 75% of graduates get a 2:1 or above because most graduate scheme of any note require it.

    Because of all this there has been serious talk of moving to either just percentages or having a "higher" sort of 1st+ award for those achieving an average over 80%+, not the 70% for a 1st, in the same way A-Level has A*.
    What’s more, all this is happening as everyone gets measurably dumber

    IQs down, SATS down, we are tipping into the moronic inferno

    Even on here, a pretty bright forum, I have to talk slowly and with simple words so people understand. Like I’m a kindergarten teacher

    It gets wearisome

    There are a few exceptions - yourself, @Richard_Tyndall, @Richard_Nabavi, @richardDodd, @Martin_Kinsella, @Polruan, @Aberjeffrey, @hunchman, @FormerToryOrange, @gealbhan, @Bromptonaut, @kingbongo, @Edin_Rokz, @HillmanMinx, @YossariansChild, @welshowl, @Ratters, @ukpaul, @Adrian_Harper and the entire moderation team, but everyone else is thick as a brick
    In bold - the only aspect of your post that we all agree with.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,413
    eek said:

    Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.

    Again.

    Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.

    Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.

    Start fracking.
    Has the Geology of the UK changed overnight?

    Fracking simply doesn't make sense in the UK....
    The companies that want to spend their own money fracking when they're currently banned from doing so must know less about it than you then I suppose.
  • Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.

    Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.

    The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
    With there still be a Gaza City at the end of next week?

    If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.

    Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.

    Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.

    image
    Without getting back into the earlier arguments I would pick you up on one thing. The Allies in WW2 thought that if they bombed Cassino flat there would be no where for the German paras to shelter. In fact it had exactly the opposite effect and made it easier for them to defend. Given the extent of the tunnel networks under Gaza I would suspect that bombing the city to rubble would improve rather than damage the defensive capabilities.
    Maybe, maybe not. Though its worth noting that the Battle of Monte Cassino and World War II in general both ended up being Allied victories.

    Which is what is needed here, a clear cut Israeli victory.

    Whether it makes Gaza easier or tougher for Hamas to defend if it is levelled or not, is operationally something the IDF and Israel needs to worry about.

    If destroying it is proportionate to the military objective, then it is a legitimate target though.

    The very actions of Hamas, in both their brutality and their using human shields, means there is little alternative.

    For those who say don't do this, what is the realistic alternative that will successfully result in the complete destruction of Hamas and prevent further atrocities?

    If you don't have an alternative, then this is a proportionate attack if it occurs, because it is necessary to achieve the military objective at a time of war.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,372

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MP Lisa Cameron defected to Tories in 'tantrum', says SNP president"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-67098960

    Not a sexist comment at all, oh no.
    It's rather rude, and definitely not a sensible way to handle it where the MP alleges bullying (as it suggests she probably was bullied by SNP colleagues).

    But is it actually sexist? Accusing someone of a "tantrum" is fairly commonly directed at both male and female politicians who are thought to be behaving childishly - it's a very common insult directed at Trump, for instance.

    Accusing a women of being "hysterical" would be sexist due to the word origin and typical use. But a "tantrum"... not sure it is as such.
    Maybe it’s regional, it’s just one of those terms, like hissy fit, which seems to be applied more to women than men in my experience.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,908
    'Lloyds Bank Offers 30,000 Staff Paid BUPA Counselling if Triggered By Conservative Party Conference Trans Rhetoric “Fuelling Hate”
    https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712807316221743227?s=20
    https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712808597300654555?s=20
  • V. interesting piece on an invasion in Gaza and what it would mean with discussion of the laws of war:


    "As the war continues and as the destruction mounts, you will hear a number of voices condemn Israel for a disproportionate response, but many of these critics fundamentally misunderstand what proportionality means in the law of war."

    "Proportionality does not require the Israel Defense Forces to respond with the same degree of force or take the same proportion of casualties as Hamas. In addition, as the manual states, “the proportionality standard does not require that no incidental harm results from attacks.”"

    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/12/opinion/israel-hamas-isis-gaza.html

    Precisely my point I have been making.

    Proportionality is about what is necessary to achieve your objectives.

    So start with what your objective is, and work backwards essentially.

    Objective: Destroy Hamas.

    What is necessary to do that?

    Is there an alternative that would result in fewer civilian casualties without resulting in dramatically more Israeli casualties?

    If there is no alternative, then the Israeli response is both proportionate and lawful.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,307
    Responded to @maxh on previous thread, if he (or anyone else) is interested.

    Completely off topic, parts of Glasgow are really very attractive. There is a wonderful Continental feel to much of the architecture. The flat I am staying in reminds me very much of the flat I grew up in in Italy. It is - at such a time - very comforting.

    And the weather is lovely. And the conference I'm attending very inspiring.

  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    HYUFD said:

    'Lloyds Bank Offers 30,000 Staff Paid BUPA Counselling if Triggered By Conservative Party Conference Trans Rhetoric “Fuelling Hate”
    https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712807316221743227?s=20
    https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712808597300654555?s=20

    Haha, that's brilliant! It illustrates just how deeply the Nasty Party's reputation has permeated society.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    edited October 2023

    eek said:

    Linking the two: risk is the situation in the Middle-East drags or for months or escalates, creating another energy catastrophe and drives up gas and oil prices.

    Again.

    Very difficult for the UK Government. And us.

    Other than diplomacy and minor military assets not much we can do.

    Start fracking.
    Has the Geology of the UK changed overnight?

    Fracking simply doesn't make sense in the UK....
    The companies that want to spend their own money fracking when they're currently banned from doing so must know less about it than you then I suppose.
    They probably know that can leave HMG to (literally) pick up the pieces for any damage caused to buildings.
  • Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "MP Lisa Cameron defected to Tories in 'tantrum', says SNP president"

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-67098960

    Not a sexist comment at all, oh no.
    It's rather rude, and definitely not a sensible way to handle it where the MP alleges bullying (as it suggests she probably was bullied by SNP colleagues).

    But is it actually sexist? Accusing someone of a "tantrum" is fairly commonly directed at both male and female politicians who are thought to be behaving childishly - it's a very common insult directed at Trump, for instance.

    Accusing a women of being "hysterical" would be sexist due to the word origin and typical use. But a "tantrum"... not sure it is as such.
    Maybe it’s regional, it’s just one of those terms, like hissy fit, which seems to be applied more to women than men in my experience.
    The term "hissy fit" itself derives from the word "hysteria", which was a medical condition only diagnosed in women as it was believed to relate to problems with the uterus (hystera being the Greek word). So I entirely see how that would be a sexist term typically (albeit not always) applied to women.

    You might be right that "tantrum" is more usually directed at women, and one could potentially do an analysis of newspaper articles etc - though that may be skewed by Trump, who was very frequently accused of throwing tantrums. My hunch is you're not correct due to the word origin, but you could be.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,908
    edited October 2023

    HYUFD said:

    'Lloyds Bank Offers 30,000 Staff Paid BUPA Counselling if Triggered By Conservative Party Conference Trans Rhetoric “Fuelling Hate”
    https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712807316221743227?s=20
    https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712808597300654555?s=20

    Haha, that's brilliant! It illustrates just how deeply the Nasty Party's reputation has permeated society.
    Or how far Wokeism has now infiltrated our big corporate firms not just the public sector, whatever you thought of Sunak or Braverman's remarks and even if you disagreed with them as too anti trans not sure why it needs paid counselling
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,572
    edited October 2023
    Cyclefree said:

    Responded to @maxh on previous thread, if he (or anyone else) is interested.

    Completely off topic, parts of Glasgow are really very attractive. There is a wonderful Continental feel to much of the architecture. The flat I am staying in reminds me very much of the flat I grew up in in Italy. It is - at such a time - very comforting.

    And the weather is lovely. And the conference I'm attending very inspiring.

    Until recently, my previous experiences of Glasgow had been conferences in modern halls; changing trains at stations, and the very centre. Then I spent a couple of days walking around it (e.g. along the canal, and down from Milngavie), and found parts of it were surprisingly pleasant. Even as pleasant as Edinburgh in places. And yes, that is high praise from me. :)

    Edit: But Glasgow could make more of its canal, as it does its riverfront.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    edited October 2023

    Frankly, I'm astonished that the Tories still get 24%.

    People like my 91 yo father-in-law, I guess - 'voted Conservative all my life and I'm not going to change now'

    They still lead Labour by 46-25 among over-65s.

    One of the things about this is that it must cut across families in a way that voting intention divides by race, social background, etc, would do much less often. Be careful with the Turkey carving knife at Christmas everyone!
    My FiL is frankly quite embarrassed by the Tories, he's just using the 'none of the others would be any better' excuse, but generally he doesn't want to talk about it. He's certainly not going to argue with anyone about politics atm. Stark contrast to the 2019 election.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,953
    edited October 2023
    Would be a dilemma for the Humza haters, go with why is this jumped councillor sticking his nose in or why isn’t he straining every sinew to fix the Middle East? A queasy mixture of both I’d guess.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,802

    Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.

    Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.

    The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
    With there still be a Gaza City at the end of next week?

    If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.

    Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.

    Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.

    image
    Why is India in green on that map?! India has enough of it's own problems with militant Islamists, why take any more?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,908
    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    'Lloyds Bank Offers 30,000 Staff Paid BUPA Counselling if Triggered By Conservative Party Conference Trans Rhetoric “Fuelling Hate”
    https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712807316221743227?s=20
    https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712808597300654555?s=20

    I think over the past week, we've seen what "hate" really means.

    It doesn't mean "someone said something I mildly disagree with."
    Have Jewish staff triggered by Hamas atrocities also been offered paid counselling one might ask?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,347
    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    'Lloyds Bank Offers 30,000 Staff Paid BUPA Counselling if Triggered By Conservative Party Conference Trans Rhetoric “Fuelling Hate”
    https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712807316221743227?s=20
    https://x.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1712808597300654555?s=20

    I think over the past week, we've seen what "hate" really means.

    It doesn't mean "someone said something I mildly disagree with."
    Have Jewish staff triggered by Hamas atrocities also been offered paid counselling one might ask?
    I think that question probably answers itself.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,818
    edited October 2023
    Cyclefree said:

    Responded to @maxh on previous thread, if he (or anyone else) is interested.

    Completely off topic, parts of Glasgow are really very attractive. There is a wonderful Continental feel to much of the architecture. The flat I am staying in reminds me very much of the flat I grew up in in Italy. It is - at such a time - very comforting.

    And the weather is lovely. And the conference I'm attending very inspiring.

    Kelvingrove Park is the UNiversity quartier - walk south through the riverside* park at lunchtime perhaps, uni with the art gallery is on the right, and you end up with the city Kelvingrove Art Gallery and Museum, free entry (not sure about the Mary Quant exhib which I have not seen). Byres Road is good for studenty/hipster cafes but I always liked haggis in the greenhousey restaurant at the ag&m.

    DYOR re opening, times etc.

    *Kelvin not Clyde
    https://www.glasgowlife.org.uk/museums/venues/kelvingrove-art-gallery-and-museum
  • MaxPB said:

    Ground invasions of urban areas are rarely pretty.

    Israel probably wants to go through the whole strip like a knife through butter, but they may take a lot of military casualties doing it.

    The order to civilians to evacuate the north of Gaza suggests that they are going to take a pretty indiscriminate approach in an attempt to minimise their own casualties. It would not be surprising to see every building in Northern Gaza levelled, though whether that does the Israelis any good is yet to be seen.
    With there still be a Gaza City at the end of next week?

    If the buildings are eliminated while civilians are evacuated, then Hamas can't hide there anymore.

    Hopefully civilians can find safe haven away from the conflict.

    Safe haven for Palestinians should be offered by any of the countries in green on this map, but one suspects their support for Palestine extends as far as trying to piss off or kill Jews, not to actually offering a haven for Palestinians away from a conflict zone.

    image
    Why is India in green on that map?! India has enough of it's own problems with militant Islamists, why take any more?
    I didn't make the map, that's the map @Sunil_Prasannan has kept sharing of countries that have recognised Palestine as a state. India is on that list, the UK is not.

    Though I imagine to be fair the current Indian government going all over again the current Indian government would probably be wiser and not have made that decision. I don't know, but I'm guessing it was a predecessor government that made the decision?
This discussion has been closed.