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Not long now before we are all focussed on Iowa – politicalbetting.com
Not long now before we are all focussed on Iowa – politicalbetting.com
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Not long now before we are all focussed on Iowa – politicalbetting.com
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Script and recording here:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/articles/20Ys9fljfcBM6Cp71mKt3hG/air-conditioning-and-changes-in-society-9-july-1999
(Edit: link corrected)
Date = January 15, 2024
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Iowa_Republican_presidential_caucuses
procedure for 2020 IA GOP precinct caucuses (methinks same for 2024) as per wiki:
Precinct caucuses were held on the evening of Monday, February 3, 2020, in order to directly allocate delegates to the Iowa Republican county conventions. Only registered Iowan Republicans were allowed to participate. These delegates were proportionally allocated to each candidate based on the statewide vote.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iowa_Democratic_presidential_caucuses
"tentatively scheduled to be held in March 2024"
Under Trump, there will be announcements of the acceleration of loads of new military systems for the wonderful brave men and women who serve, and creating or protecting tens of thousands of jobs in the MIC who fund the Republican Party. There might be a footnote somewhere about the systems they replace being sold to the UK (or other NATO allies) for $1.
My criticism of Biden through this conflict, has been his constant championing of large dollar numbers on all the military aid packages to Ukraine. Which allows his political opponents to say that the money is better spent elsewhere, forgetting that the money was actually spent decades ago. No other country does this.
Aus 1.72
Draw 4.7
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/cricket/test-matches/england-v-australia-betting-32503518
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2024-dropout-draft/
It would look bad if the "frontrunner" against Trump drops out first, but considering his lacklustre fundraising and his recent Nazi propaganda problem, I wouldn't be surprised if he does. He won't want to wait to be beaten in Florida (where Trump is currently beating him in polls by 20%) and if he continues spending at his current rate he'll burn through all his cash before a single vote is cast in the primary:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/15/us/politics/desantis-pence-trump-fundraising.html
The GOP primary is Trump's - he will win it short of death. Even imprisonment will not stop him.
Have you and Sandpit forgotten what Trump was impeached for the first time ?
The only time that party affiliation is important in terms of voting is in the case of a political party caucus or a primary election.
In those cases, voters must be registered with the political party whose caucus or primary they wish to participate in. Voters have the right to change their affiliation and then participate in the caucus or primary election on the day those events are being held. (Ex. Someone who is registered as a Republican may participate in the Democratic primary election by changing his or her political affiliation to Democratic on the day the primary election is held and vice versa.)
Somewhat selfishly, I am focused on my Betfair Democratic nomination position.
Presidency could pay out anytime in 2025.
The amount of inconvenience to my life? Zero.
Which Trump is now trying to do, yet again.
If a business is trying to avoid card transactions nowadays its probably because they're seeking to evade (not avoid) HMRC rather than avoid bank charges.
Trump is not to be trusted on Ukraine. That should be a deal breaker for all of us who aren't Putinists.
So what's up with that?
It wasn't thus in 1775 but really sort of ever since then...
Whatever you think of Hunter Biden, fucking the Ukrainians over for personal political ends is pretty scummy behaviour.
AP (via Seattle Times) - RFK Jr. says he’s not anti-vaccine. His record shows the opposite. It’s one of many inconsistencies
. . . The contradictions between what Kennedy says and his track record were nowhere more apparent than when he testified before a congressional committee this month at the invitation of Republican members.
Anti-vaccine activists, some who work for Kennedy’s nonprofit group Children’s Health Defense, sat in the rows behind him, watching as he insisted “I have never been anti-vaxx. I have never told the public to avoid vaccination.” . . .
Instead, since the mid-2010s we've followed a policy of facilitating the US without actually offering stuff they want. We've allowed deployment of a US wing on one of the carriers (the "conference centre" model), but when we tried to deploy a carrier alongside them in the Pacific they weren't really interested and we couldn't get it done. We can't even do servile correctly.
The US Marines sold off all their tanks and upgraded their Wasp-class carriers. We could have bought all their Abrams and bought a couple of Wasp-class and converted them to "Lightning carriers", retaining an amphibious capability we lost when we sold Ocean (and arguably back to selling off stuff
like the thingslike the Fearless). We're an island (ok, archipelago). Anything we fight with must be airlifted or shipped, and landed under fire. We (punches wall) can't do that at the moment.(slams door)
Receiving payment in cash is a pretty good way of avoiding running it through the accounts, and the explanation that the cost of handling cash is less than that of handling card transactions is questionable these days.
@EssexPR
Piers Corbyn is bonkers, but he’s bloody right here.
The mission creep to move away from cash will impact so many old, vulnerable and cash businesses, at a time when banks are shutting branches and cancelling accounts for opinions that they don’t like."
https://twitter.com/EssexPR/status/1685952120158097408
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4127166-donald-trump-urges-pause-on-ukraine-aid-amid-biden-probe/
Mitch Mcconnell should be in a home
What they are doing to Diane Feinstein borders on cruelty
Biden should be spending more time with his grandchildren
Trump should be happily ignored
About the only positive has been Pelosi put out to grass.
Cash absolutely is associated with dodgy practices, because that's the last major reason people want to use cash. And most fraud, by far, is associated with cash - especially including tax evasion and not putting sales through the books so you don't have to pay VAT etc.
Cash is more expensive for businesses to handle than cards, so why do you think businesses are trying to avoid card transactions? Its because of 20% VAT on sales that can't be evaded when you pay tax. Plus you can't pay people cash in hand with electronic transactions either so have to pay Employers National Insurance too.
Saying don't associate cash with dodgy practices is just denialism. Cash is associated with dodgy practices, that's a simple fact.
By DJT!
What would you suggest they do instead?
Southampton Scouts have just taken a whole minivan fall of camping stuff to Switzerland without a problem (it's a national event that Southampton were invited to, various others including Twin A tagged along)...
Its also why I never go out only with my Amex. If at a new business I'll ask if they accept them, and if they say no (most of the time) I'll pay with my other card instead.
But for VISA and Mastercard their card handling charges nowadays are cheaper than cash handling charges.
"Trump should be happily ignored"??????
This is hardly a recent event.
The cost is a fictional cost to spread lies on Twitter that are swallowed up eagerly by the likes of Scott and northern_monkey.
Yes, their drugs strategy commander had something of a drugs problem himself.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12356811/Scotland-Yard-commander-wrote-Mets-anti-drugs-strategy-took-LSD-magic-mushrooms-duty-smoked-cannabis-breakfast-tribunal-hears.html
What RCS was simply pointing out is that she's the one who has decided not to step down, whereas her party wants her to do so.
I don't understand what you mean by "do it faster". She could resign with immediate effect now (by which I don't mean the Nadine Dorries version of "immediate effect"). Could you explain as your point makes little sense?
Realpolitik like those who said at the start of last year's new invasion "there's no point sending arms to Ukraine, Kiev will fall within days anyway"?
Or Realpolitik like those who said "Ukrainian lives will be lost in this war, they should settle with Russia"?
Or Realpolitik like those who said "its not possible for Ukraine to liberate land like Kharkiv or Kherson from Russia" so don't send arms to Ukraine?
Or Realpolitik like those who say "Russia has nukes, we should anger them".
Or Realpolitik like those who still say "its not possible for Ukraine to liberate Crimea or other lands back to its own borders, so settle with Russia in a stalemate"?
Excuse me, but I have no faith in Realpolitik, I want to see Ukraine supported despite the claims of those engaging in Realpolitik, not because of it. I thought you did too?
What is Sunak's strategy?
At this point in the GE19 cycle the intelligent people of which I was not one, were calling a landslide for Johnson and there was no way back for Corbyn. Yet these same people seem reluctant to say the same now, why is this? What am I missing.
Trump 74 million votes
I am pretty certain Labour will win an overall majority, but swingback goes to the Government not the Opposition so its not certain. That's what you're missing. Totally cackhanded 2017 being about the only ever exception to the rule.
Oh and at this point in the GE19 cycle nobody was calling anything for Johnson, since at this point in the GE19 cycle the Tories were still led by Theresa May. Its over a year before the next General Election so the comparable point in this cycle would be 2018 and nobody was calling anything certain then - it was only once the General Election was called that people became pretty sure that a Tory majority was certain - the polls were incredibly volatile before then with Jeremy Corbyn's Labour being in the lead at one stage in 2019 before Boris became Prime Minster.
Aus 4.1
Draw 5.2
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/cricket/test-matches/england-v-australia-betting-32503518
Which I do not feel Trump would do - and Trump has said as much himself and I believe him.
Ali - what a legend! And what a catch from Bairstow that was!
It simply highlights the problems of going with a 85 year old candidate, 5 years ago.
Yes, that's what's dodgy. Legitimate businesses pay 20% VAT and bank charges on cash for commercial transactions exceed card transaction charges.
But any old collapse will do...
Remember we were discussing that Mr Pugh of Oxford who doesn't like LTNs despite - apparently - asking for one outside his cafe to increase business? He seems to be complaining that one of his businesses has closed because of LTNs (and covid). Looks like the very same cafe.
https://www.google.com/maps/@51.7490701,-1.2415262,3a,51.3y,152.56h,92.9t/data=!3m6!1e1!3m4!1skGxcN5l91iLN1UZUmb4w8A!2e0!7i16384!8i8192?entry=ttu
The Military Industrial Complex can see the US rearming because its a dangerous world with Russia having successfully taken more land off Ukraine and China being dangerous too etc - without the need to actually have to liberate Ukraine's land.
Look at the way that Conservative thinkers are over the Uxbridge result like a seagull over a plate of chips. It wasn't that good a result, and any lessons almost certainly aren't for wider export beyond a belt 5 miles inside and outside the M25, but it feels soooo gooooood...
Meanwhile:
Three quarters of people in Britain say that it is becoming a worse place to live, a poll revealed on Monday amid long NHS waiting lists, rising taxes, strikes and high inflation deepening the cost-of-living crisis.
The Ipsos survey for the Standard made grisly reading for the Tories, with Rishi Sunak getting his lowest satisfaction score as Prime Minister.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/cost-living-gas-electricity-food-prices-inflation-latest-mortgages-poll-ipsos-b1097718.html
England!
Realpolitik means doing as little as you think you can get away with, which is not what Biden is doing.