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Now I am become Death, the destroyer of political parties – politicalbetting.com

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  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Andy_JS said:

    Are there any other parties to the right of centre apart from PP and Vox?

    JUNTS, CC, UPN. about 9 seats.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,504
    A
    Pagan2 said:

    Then it is obviously a long time since you rented

    This is what happens in reality.

    Something happens, mortgage rate increase...wealth tax whatever...

    Most renters get a knock on the door within a week or two your rent is going up because of whatever reason. My rent is now 700 a year dearer....however so is anywhere else I can rent because they all want to make that money back.

    My alternative when they all raised rent is to do what? Rent at the new price or become homeless
    Yes.

    The reason that your rent isn’t £700 more is because some other landlord won’t put their prices up that much. If the costs of most landlords go up, then a £700 price rise becomes possible.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    The only ones they seem to be adding in on the TV are UPN (Navarre) and the Canarian Coalition.

    I'm thinking the Congreso will be "well hung" if it all comes down to Junts who won't support either Sanchez or Feijoo for PM?
    Canarian in the salt mine?
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    The only ones they seem to be adding in on the TV are UPN (Navarre) and the Canarian Coalition.

    I'm thinking the Congreso will be "well hung" if it all comes down to Junts who won't support either Sanchez or Feijoo for PM?
    PP+VOX up to 168 now, as predicted. Nunez Feijoo strong favourite after that past wobble.

  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Centre right coalition now up to 170. Centre left 154 without nationalists. Squeaky bum time for Sanchez!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,333

    The only ones they seem to be adding in on the TV are UPN (Navarre) and the Canarian Coalition.

    I'm thinking the Congreso will be "well hung" if it all comes down to Junts who won't support either Sanchez or Feijoo for PM?
    They would for a Catalan independence referendum neither will grant, hence grand Coalition.
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,538

    Seattle boasts a baseball stadium with a retractable roof.

    Is this option NOT feasible/viable/possible for cricket in the UK?

    Granted cricket pitch is larger than baseball field (at least according to 10-sec of googling).

    By complete contrast I've sat on the bleachers at Fenway Park for a post-season game in late October that went to 11 innings. Summer game? You must be joking.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    Pagan2 said:

    Depends what I spend it on, most of my free cash expenditure is not taxed
    With respect, it doesn't sound like you are going to need to avoid WT any time soon.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Edinburgh - Dundee
    York - Hull
    Toledo - Cincinnati
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100

    "modest downward pressure on property values"

    The last time that happened it was a disaster for hundreds of thousands who found themselves in negative equity, unable to sell and unable to afford their mortgages.

    I shouldsay I am quite in favour of a hefty drop in house price values but for any Government causing it by taxation it would be electoral suicide.
    Fair comment but are you not one of those who'd like to see a shift away from taxing income towards taxing wealth?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,970
    Lviv right now is a unique, remarkable and quintessential travel experience which will likely never be repeated in a century. Get here if you can

    Is it voyeuristic? Yes, probably. But they also want the travelers and they want the money and they want to feel embraced by the world. Not abandoned

    Do it! You won’t regret it. Unless you die in a missile attack 🤷‍♂️
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Business as usual update from greece:

    Weather - latest: New evacuations on Corfu in at least 18 areas; flights to get Britons out planned on Rhodes.

    https://news.sky.com/story/weather-global-heatwaves-latest-uk-us-greece-italy-live-updates-12920226

    That's Corfu, or Kerkyra to you, but a different island from Rhodes either way.

    So commonplace that I don't know why I bother to mention it.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,333
    TimS said:

    Perhaps not so surprising. The patrician inland capital city, with the liberal coastal metropolis being its counterpart:

    Madrid - Barcelona
    Riyadh - Jeddah
    Ankara - Istanbul/Izmir
    Canberra - Melbourne/Sydney
    Brasilia - Rio
    Beijing - Shanghai
    Bonn - Hamburg (before reunification)
    Canberra strong Labor
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,787
    Guys quick question. In Spain, when a government cannot be formed, doesn't the existing PM stay on? I thin that happened once in Spain in the 21st century.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,910
    HYUFD said:

    They would for a Catalan independence referendum neither will grant, hence grand Coalition.
    You're obsessed
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    PP pulling ahead according to NYT, with 135 v 123 with 85% of vote counted

    Certainly less white/blank space on their map of results by commune.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497

    With respect, it doesn't sound like you are going to need to avoid WT any time soon.
    No probably not, I am never going to be rich but then I don't feel the need. I just want to have enough to live and mostly have that currently. I do have a lot of friends fretting with every new tax how they are going to make the money last however. I think personally its a blind spot on PB because I would guess most here have an income approaching 6 figures if not over. There are a few that aren't like Morris Dancer but on the whole the forum is probably the top 10% of earners
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,787

    You're obsessed
    Whilst it is true that HYUFD's trip on any idea can serve perfectly as a vice, he does have a point.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    By complete contrast I've sat on the bleachers at Fenway Park for a post-season game in late October that went to 11 innings. Summer game? You must be joking.
    Hope you wore your long-johns! Maybe two pair?
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    PP pulling ahead according to NYT, with 135 v 123 with 85% of vote counted

    Certainly less white/blank space on their map of results by commune.

    Now 136 v 122!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,333

    PP pulling ahead according to NYT, with 135 v 123 with 85% of vote counted

    Certainly less white/blank space on their map of results by commune.

    PP now ahead on popular vote too, 32.33% to PSOE's 32.16%
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    felix said:

    Now 136 v 122!
    with 88% counted
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    with 88% counted
    They cannot get to 176 but at this rate neither can Sanchez.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,108
    Pagan2 said:

    No probably not, I am never going to be rich but then I don't feel the need. I just want to have enough to live and mostly have that currently. I do have a lot of friends fretting with every new tax how they are going to make the money last however. I think personally its a blind spot on PB because I would guess most here have an income approaching 6 figures if not over. There are a few that aren't like Morris Dancer but on the whole the forum is probably the top 10% of earners
    They need not fret about a wealth tax that would have a high threshold before there was anything to pay.

    (My income is certainly not approaching 6 figures.)
  • DoubleCarpetDoubleCarpet Posts: 928
    Ok so TV has left bloc 172, right bloc 170, looks like only Junts and CC not being added to blocs.

    Can someone remind me of the investiture vote rules for Spanish PM?

    Is it absolute majority needed on 1st vote but then simple majority will suffice?

    Thanks
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    If reading map correctly, appears Catalonia is where there is the closest battle on the ground, seeing as how just about everywhere else, the winning party locally has substantial margin over rivals.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,288

    This is an odd word soup that bears absolutely no relation to the events of the period. Perhaps save it for when they ask you to write a liberty-taking adaptation for stage and screen.
    As a rebuttal, your snarky version of “I think you’re wrong” needs a bit of work.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    felix said:

    JUNTS, CC, UPN. about 9 seats.
    Aren’t Junts Catalan Nationalists . Surely there’s no way they’ll go anywhere near PP or Vox .
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    Pagan2 said:

    Wow storing that one....BenPointer says "stuff has already been well thought through and applied with tried and tested methods for areas like the benefits system, social care and IHT. Is it 100% perfect? No. is it workable in practice? Yes."
    Store away. You're welcome.

    As an example for UC:

    "H1602 The value of capital which a person has in the UK, is its current market or surrender value less
    1. 10% of the value if there are costs of sale and
    2. the amount of any encumbrances secured on the capital.

    Example
    Louise owns a holiday home in Cornwall valued at £125,000. She has a mortgage on the property of £100500. The costs of sale (10% of the value) would be £12,500. This leaves the amount of capital to be taken into account as £12,000."


    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1163111/admh1.pdf

  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Not sure PP+Vox is going to get above the 169 they currently have. Really bending the efficiency curve here.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,927
    Another Spanish election in a few months' time?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,504
    A

    Fair comment but are you not one of those who'd like to see a shift away from taxing income towards taxing wealth?
    The sane approach is to increase housebuilding in various areas to reduce price increases to below inflation/increase in incomes.

    This would mean no negative equity and no sudden loss of value. But would let the air out of the U.K. housing bubble in a steady, restrained manner.

    This only requires a sensible, coordinated approach to the housing market from central and local government over a period lasting decades.

    Excuse me, a diamond formation of flying pigs just flew overhead…
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,927
    nico679 said:

    Aren’t Junts Catalan Nationalists . Surely there’s no way they’ll go anywhere near PP or Vox .
    But would they support a left-wing coalition?
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Andy_JS said:

    Another Spanish election in a few months' time?

    Let me close out my position on this one first, then I can tell you
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497

    Store away. You're welcome.

    As an example for UC:

    "H1602 The value of capital which a person has in the UK, is its current market or surrender value less
    1. 10% of the value if there are costs of sale and
    2. the amount of any encumbrances secured on the capital.

    Example
    Louise owns a holiday home in Cornwall valued at £125,000. She has a mortgage on the property of £100500. The costs of sale (10% of the value) would be £12,500. This leaves the amount of capital to be taken into account as £12,000."


    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1163111/admh1.pdf

    Sorry if louise owns a holiday home in cornwall why the fuck are taxpayers giving her anything in benefits?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,927
    edited July 2023

    Ok so TV has left bloc 172, right bloc 170, looks like only Junts and CC not being added to blocs.

    Can someone remind me of the investiture vote rules for Spanish PM?

    Is it absolute majority needed on 1st vote but then simple majority will suffice?

    Thanks

    Correct.

    https://academic.oup.com/book/5201/chapter-abstract/147859525
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    Vox are down 19 seats since 2019 . Hardly a ringing endorsement for the media bigging up Spain’s alleged move to the hard right !
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    Ok so TV has left bloc 172, right bloc 170, looks like only Junts and CC not being added to blocs.

    Can someone remind me of the investiture vote rules for Spanish PM?

    Is it absolute majority needed on 1st vote but then simple majority will suffice?

    Thanks

    Correct.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    Andy_JS said:

    But would they support a left-wing coalition?
    I think the view is they won’t support anyone ! Can’t see where PP and Vox find a party to get to 176 .
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    nico679 said:

    Vox are down 19 seats since 2019 . Hardly a ringing endorsement for the media bigging up Spain’s alleged move to the hard right !

    The media it seems to me get these things wrong most of the time.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    nico679 said:

    I think the view is they won’t support anyone ! Can’t see where PP and Vox find a party to get to 176 .
    On the second vote?

    No absolute majority on the first vote, then some abstentions?
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,196

    You need to read my post again properly - I was just giving a simple example to show that taking out an interest only mortgage is not going to help anyone avoid a WT.

    Of course a WT would be assessed on an individual's total assets: cash, shares, bonds, property, etc.

    Fortunately the rules for assessing assets are already largely in place as anyone trying to claim UC or Pension Credit will know.
    You still havene't addressed the point that the only workable way for your plan is to tax the whole property value rather than the but the owner has paid off. And that opens up vast complexities and lots of obvious ways to avoid paying entirely

    Your plans just won't work.
  • DoubleCarpetDoubleCarpet Posts: 928
    felix said:

    Correct.
    Thanks Felix.

    So IF the current bloc numbers hold, and Junts abstain, wouldn't Sanchez be reconfirmed as PM?

    Or are we expecting that a) the seat totals will change b) Junts will support Feijoo? c) not all the smaller parties in the left bloc total would support Sanchez?
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277

    Thanks Felix.

    So IF the current bloc numbers hold, and Junts abstain, wouldn't Sanchez be reconfirmed as PM?

    Or are we expecting that a) the seat totals will change b) Junts will support Feijoo? c) not all the smaller parties in the left bloc total would support Sanchez?
    Junts supporting Feijoo would be like turkeys voting for Christmas. Don’t they loathe him .
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497

    You still havene't addressed the point that the only workable way for your plan is to tax the whole property value rather than the but the owner has paid off. And that opens up vast complexities and lots of obvious ways to avoid paying entirely

    Your plans just won't work.
    It also encourages people to keep their wealth off books which is easy enough. For example I know a place to get gold in the form of sovereigns/krugerrands....no paperwork so no traceability
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,227
    edited July 2023
    ...
    Nigelb said:

    As a rebuttal, your snarky version of “I think you’re wrong” needs a bit of work.
    -When was Truss short of an answer as to how her policies would create growth? She was clear and consistent that she wanted to cut taxes to stimulate taxable economic activity. Pretty standard textbook economics, rather than some sort of arcane mystery.

    -Even opponents of Truss have stated that she was strong at PMQs, having a tendency to actually answer the questions, which her successor has abandoned.

    -When did she ever say 'it worked for Thatcher'?

    Apart from that his retelling was great.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    Pagan2 said:

    Sorry if louise owns a holiday home in cornwall why the fuck are taxpayers giving her anything in benefits?
    Simple answer: she won't be keeping that holiday home in Cornwall if she can't work. UC is certainly not going to pay for it.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497

    Simple answer: she won't be keeping that holiday home in Cornwall if she can't work. UC is certainly not going to pay for it.
    You miss the point, someone with a holiday home shouldn't be getting uc at all. Not that it won't pay for it
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    NYT, with 94% counted:


    PP
    7,491,275 32.67% = 136 seats
    PSOE
    7,321,972 31.93 = 122
    Vox
    2,841,890 12.39 = 33
    Sumar
    2,811,160 12.26 = 31
    ERC
    442,468 1.92 = 7
    Junts
    376,000 1.63 = 7
    Bildu
    330,211 1.44 = 6
    PNV
    274,247 1.19 = 5
    BNG
    141,296 0.61 = 1
    CC
    96,784 0.42 = 1
    UPN
    49,614 0.21 = 1
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,927
    edited July 2023
    This looks very much like another election to me. Unless it's a grand coalition.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100

    You still havene't addressed the point that the only workable way for your plan is to tax the whole property value rather than the but the owner has paid off. And that opens up vast complexities and lots of obvious ways to avoid paying entirely

    Your plans just won't work.
    Eh?!

    What is hard about subtracting the mortgage outstanding from the property value? As I have said repeatedly this is already done in a consistent way, in at least three separate instances of the benefits/social care/taxation system.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,079
    nico679 said:

    I think the view is they won’t support anyone ! Can’t see where PP and Vox find a party to get to 176 .
    Similar problem to the one facing the Conservatives in 2024/5. If anything, even more so.

    Vox are so toxic that PP+Vox have to get over the line by themselves. Finding allies is going to be too hard.

    PSOE+Sumar have issues galore and look set to end up behind. But they have a chance of finding allies.

    Even still. Blimey. Didn't expect this.

    Buenas noches noches, as they used to say on Puppet News.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Appears that some of the Vox vote has come back home to PP?

    Perhaps positive portent for CUP in next UK GE? Though likely (IMHO at least) NOT as positive as for PP tonight.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    edited July 2023
    El Pais suggesting that postal votes haven't been counted yet?


    Or maybe they are only now being counted?

    EDIT: The Local disagrees. Brilliant.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    Pagan2 said:

    You miss the point, someone with a holiday home shouldn't be getting uc at all. Not that it won't pay for it
    I don't disagree with you. But I don't make the rules.

    You have however, moved your attention away from the original point. Which is that real estate assets are considered net of any mortgage on them. Thus your £1m house with a £900k mortgage would only be valued as an asset of £100k for WT purposes.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Personally blame La Passonaria for numbers today out of Madrid.

    "No Pasaran"?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,216

    Personally blame La Passonaria for numbers today out of Madrid.

    "No Pasaran"?

    No Prasannan!
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,153
    Andy_JS said:

    What can be done?
    Spend half a billion building a roof. But cricket doesn't generate enough revenue to justify that, and you'd have to build them on all the test grounds.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,927
    Leon said:

    Do everything. Back up days. Minimum overs. Move or cancel tea and lunch ffs. Start at 9am on dry days. Anything

    Test cricket teeters on the brink of oblivion. Millions of people have invested emotionally in this series only to have it absolutely ruined by two days of typically shite Mancunian weather, like it is beyond the wit of man to work around such things

    Many of those people will now shrug and think Fuck it, what a waste of time, at least with white ball you get a result

    And thus the last bastion of Test cricket crumbles away
    The tragedy is that if they'd played 30 minutes longer on each of the first 3 days the match probably would have been completed.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,986
    Pithy.


  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    Pagan2 said:

    It also encourages people to keep their wealth off books which is easy enough. For example I know a place to get gold in the form of sovereigns/krugerrands....no paperwork so no traceability
    ...and illegal if you don't declare it for example in the case of IHT.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,927
    nico679 said:

    Vox are down 19 seats since 2019 . Hardly a ringing endorsement for the media bigging up Spain’s alleged move to the hard right !

    The media were slightly stupid in that regard because the opinion polls the whole time have been showing Vox making no progress on the previous election.
  • DoubleCarpetDoubleCarpet Posts: 928
    Andy_JS said:

    This looks very much like another election to me. Unless it's a grand coalition.

    If it's a GC, I'll buy everyone who's predicted it up to now a drink at the next PB drinks :)
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497

    ...and illegal if you don't declare it for example in the case of IHT.
    erm you make that sound like anyone should care. You are unlikely to be caught and even if you are you can comfort yourself by saying I am no worse than a politician.

    The law is a farce for normal people, it doesn't protect us anymore so why should we pay attention to it. If my house gets burgled it won't be investigated, no one will be caught and no one in power will care about that.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,927
    Central Madrid:

    PP 41%
    PSOE 28%
    SUMAR 17%
    VOX 12%

    83% counted

    https://elpais.com/espana/elecciones/generales/congreso/12/28/79/
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    edited July 2023
    Pagan2 said:

    erm you make that sound like anyone should care. You are unlikely to be caught and even if you are you can comfort yourself by saying I am no worse than a politician.

    The law is a farce for normal people, it doesn't protect us anymore so why should we pay attention to it. If my house gets burgled it won't be investigated, no one will be caught and no one in power will care about that.
    Well, you can always try tax fraud of course. I don't think it will end well though.

    What I don't get is why a normal person like yourself would be against a wealth tax that would target the, er, wealthy.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,787

    Appears that some of the Vox vote has come back home to PP?

    Perhaps positive portent for CUP in next UK GE? Though likely (IMHO at least) NOT as positive as for PP tonight.

    I can never get over your use of CUP for the Conservative and Unionist Party. I keep having this image of a groin protector for cricket. Whilst it is credible to describe it as a mechanism for keeping pricks safe, it is a bit strained... 😀
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497

    Well, you can always try tax fraud of course. I don't think it will end well though.
    Tax fraud is about the only thing ever investigated these days, lay up you spare wealth in dodgy gold, cocaine etc and you wont be caught because the state no longer cares
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    If the current NYT figures are close to the final results, the Spanish polling looks to have been consistently awry:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Spanish_general_election#Opinion_polls
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    viewcode said:

    I can never get over your use of CUP for the Conservative and Unionist Party. I keep having this image of a groin protector for cricket. Whilst it is credible to describe it as a mechanism for keeping pricks safe, it is a bit strained... 😀
    Box, shirley?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,010
    Leon said:

    Do everything. Back up days. Minimum overs. Move or cancel tea and lunch ffs. Start at 9am on dry days. Anything

    Test cricket teeters on the brink of oblivion. Millions of people have invested emotionally in this series only to have it absolutely ruined by two days of typically shite Mancunian weather, like it is beyond the wit of man to work around such things

    Many of those people will now shrug and think Fuck it, what a waste of time, at least with white ball you get a result

    And thus the last bastion of Test cricket crumbles away
    White ball can be rained off too.
    A reserve day would probably be a good idea, as would starting half an hour earlier with each day strictly 90 overs less calculated deductions.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,970
    Er, what?


    ‘Alien spaceship ‘could have crash-landed on Mars’
    Scientists say they cannot discount possibility that pointy objects found on the Red Planet are debris from extraterrestrial vehicle‘

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/23/mars-protrusions-alien-spaceship-crash-landing-possibility/
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    viewcode said:

    I can never get over your use of CUP for the Conservative and Unionist Party. I keep having this image of a groin protector for cricket. Whilst it is credible to describe it as a mechanism for keeping pricks safe, it is a bit strained... 😀
    Personally have similar problem with CON - bit tooooooooo close to the bone.

    Hence CUP which also "honors" the "Conservative" Party's undying "commitment" to the "Union".
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    Pagan2 said:

    Tax fraud is about the only thing ever investigated these days, lay up you spare wealth in dodgy gold, cocaine etc and you wont be caught because the state no longer cares
    Well I'm solving that for you: once we have a WT, lay up you spare wealth in dodgy gold, cocaine etc and fail to declare it and you'll be done for tax fraud. :-)
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,927
    Betfair odds, next Spanish PM

    Feijoo 1.76 / 1.83
    Sanchez 1.96 / 2.48

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.215072830
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497
    Leon said:

    Er, what?


    ‘Alien spaceship ‘could have crash-landed on Mars’
    Scientists say they cannot discount possibility that pointy objects found on the Red Planet are debris from extraterrestrial vehicle‘

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/23/mars-protrusions-alien-spaceship-crash-landing-possibility/

    Could doing a lot of heavy lifting there, I suspect they cant discount the possibility of a giant berty basset impacting mars caused the debris either
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,927
    edited July 2023

    If the current NYT figures are close to the final results, the Spanish polling looks to have been consistently awry:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Spanish_general_election#Opinion_polls

    The result is pretty much in line with the most recent opinion polls, the ones conducted in the last 10 days or so. There was a shift from earlier on.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100

    Personally have similar problem with CON - bit tooooooooo close to the bone.

    Hence CUP which also "honors" the "Conservative" Party's undying "commitment" to the "Union".
    How about the Conservative Unionist Nationalist Tory party?
  • DoubleCarpetDoubleCarpet Posts: 928
    And given how close it is, knowing whether/or when postal and overseas votes have/will be counted is potentially quite important.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497

    Well I'm solving that for you: once we have a WT, lay up you spare wealth in dodgy gold, cocaine etc and fail to declare it and you'll be done for tax fraud. :-)
    No I really wont because how would they find it....I take money out of a cashpoint as normal..I have 700 cash left over after spending. There are no records to say I didnt spend it on food and spent it on sovereigns or cocaine and stashed it somewhere. The police are pretty dumb when it comes to looking for shit. I went through heathrow with an ounce of resin. Despite being searched they didnt find it because I had it in my hand clasped in my fist while doing as I was told holding my hands up while they searched me.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    Andy_JS said:

    The result is pretty much in line with the most recent opinion polls, the ones conducted in the last 10 days or so. There was a shift from earlier on.
    Ok but Wiki seems to be showing a PP-PSOE polling lead of 5% to 7% whereas the NYT has 1% lead.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,067
    nico679 said:

    Vox are down 19 seats since 2019 . Hardly a ringing endorsement for the media bigging up Spain’s alleged move to the hard right !

    I assume they'd deny it, but I think they can find it hard to shift from their prepared narratives. This is then covered by something being described as a shock, even if it really wasn't in every acse.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,970
    edited July 2023
    Pulpstar said:

    White ball can be rained off too.
    A reserve day would probably be a good idea, as would starting half an hour earlier with each day strictly 90 overs less calculated deductions.
    Test Cricket deserves to die. The utter contempt shown for the spectators, in person and watching, beggars belief

    Fuck em. Let it die

    This article is bang on

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/cricket/2023/07/23/test-cricket-ashes-spoil-rain-delay-australia-retain/
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,067

    If it's a GC, I'll buy everyone who's predicted it up to now a drink at the next PB drinks :)
    HYUFD is already coming off an Uxbridge triumph, he better not get another one.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    A peculiarity re: way that NYT reports unofficial election results - the % counted will NOT exceed 95%.

    Addition returns will be added to the count, but the % counted will not change . . . until final results are official reported.

    That's what the do re: US elections, and appears to be same tonight for Spanish election.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Question - what do they call "Spanish fly" in Spain? (Asking for a friend!)
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,216
    Leon said:

    Test Cricket deserves to die. The utter contempt shown for the spectators, in person and watching, beggars belief

    Fuck em. Let it die

    This article is bang on

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/cricket/2023/07/23/test-cricket-ashes-spoil-rain-delay-australia-retain/
    Do they call it "Test" Cricket because it "tests" your patience?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,067
    Cricket can tie changing the rules on weather delays to modern concern on climate change, so it is trendy - more extreme weather events etc, must prepare for the 21st century game.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497

    Question - what do they call "Spanish fly" in Spain? (Asking for a friend!)

    Revolting muck?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,824
    edited July 2023

    How about the Conservative Unionist Nationalist Tory party?
    Fully United Conservative Kippers and Unionist Party.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,100
    Pagan2 said:

    No I really wont because how would they find it....I take money out of a cashpoint as normal..I have 700 cash left over after spending. There are no records to say I didnt spend it on food and spent it on sovereigns or cocaine and stashed it somewhere. The police are pretty dumb when it comes to looking for shit. I went through heathrow with an ounce of resin. Despite being searched they didnt find it because I had it in my hand clasped in my fist while doing as I was told holding my hands up while they searched me.
    Fair point. On those values no one is going bother. But we were talking about a WT. Try squirreling away £1m in gold or cocaine. Then think about why are you keeping that wealth, what are you going to do with it?

    Cos the moment you try to use it questions will start to be asked.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,216

    How about the Conservative Unionist Nationalist Tory party?
    Ulster Conservatives and Unionists/New Force
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,067
    Pagan2 said:

    Sorry if louise owns a holiday home in cornwall why the fuck are taxpayers giving her anything in benefits?
    How do peopple always choose poor examples for these things?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,787

    Box, shirley?
    I know nothing about Posh Rounders,, but I have heard the word "cup" to refer to it.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    edited July 2023
    Leon said:

    Er, what?


    ‘Alien spaceship ‘could have crash-landed on Mars’
    Scientists say they cannot discount possibility that pointy objects found on the Red Planet are debris from extraterrestrial vehicle‘

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/23/mars-protrusions-alien-spaceship-crash-landing-possibility/

    On the Red (Ass) Planet, are not Earthlings (also) aliens?

    Perhaps this has escaped ken of Telegraph editors, seeing as how the rag has clearly been taken over by Lizard People from Uranus?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,716
    Musk to rebrand Twitter as X and link it with AI.

    Linda Yaccarino

    @lindayacc
    It’s an exceptionally rare thing – in life or in business – that you get a second chance to make another big impression. Twitter made one massive impression and changed the way we communicate. Now, X will go further, transforming the global town square.

    https://twitter.com/lindayacc/status/1683213798386147329
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497

    Fair point. On those values no one is going bother. But we were talking about a WT. Try squirreling away £1m in gold or cocaine. Then think about why are you keeping that wealth, what are you going to do with it?

    Cos the moment you try to use it questions will start to be asked.
    Also easy enough to turn back into cash with no governement oversight as needed. Your mistake is you are making the assumption I turn 1 million into gold and drugs then turn it back. The truth is you save up bit by bit then release bit by bit not in a giant splurge. Bring in a wealth tax and if I have money I will turn it into assets outside the governements purview. Simply the government is not there to protect me it is the enemy and that is the same for most of the bottom 80%
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,927
    edited July 2023

    A peculiarity re: way that NYT reports unofficial election results - the % counted will NOT exceed 95%.

    Addition returns will be added to the count, but the % counted will not change . . . until final results are official reported.

    That's what the do re: US elections, and appears to be same tonight for Spanish election.

    The Irish and British way of counting elections is better in my opinion. No percentages of the vote reporting, just 100% of the votes counted in each constituency as you go along, and that result is the final result for that constituency.

    (Note: do they also count votes like this in New Zealand? Not sure).
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,497
    kle4 said:

    How do peopple always choose poor examples for these things?
    North london champagne socialists?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,824
    edited July 2023
    Here's a link to El Pais live results page.

    https://elpais.com/espana/elecciones-generales/

    Frankly I'd trust them over the NY Times.
    Currently showing 98% counted. PP/Vox 169.
    With a 1.2 % PV lead for PP.
This discussion has been closed.