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Can the LDs become the third party once again? – politicalbetting.com

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  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,383
    Sandpit said:

    Not if Labour win seats like Mid Bedfordshire.

    That said, there’s nothing I’d personally like more than an SNP implosion. I don’t like those who wish to break up the country, and have many family and friends in Scotland.

    Luckily it is nothing to do with you
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,382
    kjh said:

    Miklosvar said:

    algarkirk said:

    Sandpit said:

    A really important (and long) piece, outside the paywall, about press freedom from Fraser Nelson.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/02/fraser-nelson-jeremy-clarkson-ipso-press-regulator-ruling/

    No matter one’s opinions about the characters involved in the recent IPSO decision, do we respect freedom of the press, or do we regulate the media by loud activist groups?

    I was very critical of the political media, and their bosses, during the pandemic, and continue to think that politics is debased, and good people don’t stand for election, because of the media environment - but also that freedom of the press is a mark of a democratic western society, and if powerful people can force opinions and jokes to be silenced there’s a big problem.

    I am unconvinced by the regulator, the Sun and Fraser. What Fraser is actually saying is that the police and no-one else should be the regulator of opinion under hate crime law. This isn't going to happen as he well knows.

    Read literally Clarkson's words may be properly read as incitement to a criminal offence - assault.

    Suppose some writer in a paper had said, instead of the parading naked stuff, that "It would be a good idea, though illegal, for X (a major public figure) to be raped, strangled and murdered, and in my opinion it would be excellent if some public spirited person carried this out '.

    This too is the expression of opinion. Are we sure that this should be entirely unregulated except through the criminal courts?
    Aiui Clarkson's defence and/or mitigation was that the words complained of were not incitement to assault but a reference to a scene in Game of Thrones.
    But I never understood that. Most bad things have happened in fiction. When I said the victim needed a good shanking I was merely alluding to the play Julius Caesar, yr honner.
    It is quite common to use phrases that are clearly not incitement to violence, although the words individually might appear to be so. How many have used the phrase 'will be the first against the wall' or 'should be shot'. We don't mean it literally and nobody takes it so. Most of us can tell the difference between hate and colourful use of the language.
    Alan Hansen saying that Argentina defender "should be shot" for some terrible defending a few days after Andrés Escobar was actually shot, was quite funny.
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,760

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    It's not just PMQs (as the header notes, two questions a week against one every blue moon) but also invitations to Question Time and invitations to comment on news and current events generally.

    Quite right; the exclusion of the LibDems from such programmes has been scandalous, especially when looks at the time given to the Faragists and similar potential demagogues.

    And Good Morning to one and all.
    Agreed. It's not been fair on the LDs, and reflects very badly on the primitive procedures of the HoC.
    I suppose the problem is, there are eleven recognised parties in the House of Commons: Tories, Labour, SNP, DUP, Sinn Fein (sort of) Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru, SDLP, Alliance, Greens and Reclaim (sort of).

    If each of them had two questions for the leader, plus six for Labour less 2 for SF that's 22 questions. That's a lot to cram in and get backbenchers in too.

    Even if you said they must have at least five MPs, that still leaves 12 to get in. Not much room for more.

    So the line has to be drawn somewhere. It may be unfair on the Lib Dems but ultimately you could make a case it was their own fault they collapsed so much (they were not actually forced to support the disastrous Browne report).
    I don't think anyone was suggesting that every party should get 2 questions, but the fourth party could get, say, a question every other week. That would address the issue without making PMQs unwieldy.
    How about allocating questions on the basis of seat (or even vote!) share? With a lower number for the party of government We could call it proportional questionisation.

    Mind you, that would have left the LDs with ~1 question between GEs, recently! :open_mouth:
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,898
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,383
    Nigelb said:

    .

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    You’d think he’d have spent at least £15. Difficult to buy a decent bottle of English wine for under about £15.
    He's a non drinker, remember.
    Usual cheapskate Tory, bought subsidised WM bottle and probably put on expenses to boot.
  • Options
    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,804

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    You’d think he’d have spent at least £15. Difficult to buy a decent bottle of English wine for under about £15.
    I don't think I've ever bought a bottle of wine costing more than £15.
  • Options
    MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Selebian said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    It's not just PMQs (as the header notes, two questions a week against one every blue moon) but also invitations to Question Time and invitations to comment on news and current events generally.

    Quite right; the exclusion of the LibDems from such programmes has been scandalous, especially when looks at the time given to the Faragists and similar potential demagogues.

    And Good Morning to one and all.
    Agreed. It's not been fair on the LDs, and reflects very badly on the primitive procedures of the HoC.
    I suppose the problem is, there are eleven recognised parties in the House of Commons: Tories, Labour, SNP, DUP, Sinn Fein (sort of) Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru, SDLP, Alliance, Greens and Reclaim (sort of).

    If each of them had two questions for the leader, plus six for Labour less 2 for SF that's 22 questions. That's a lot to cram in and get backbenchers in too.

    Even if you said they must have at least five MPs, that still leaves 12 to get in. Not much room for more.

    So the line has to be drawn somewhere. It may be unfair on the Lib Dems but ultimately you could make a case it was their own fault they collapsed so much (they were not actually forced to support the disastrous Browne report).
    I don't think anyone was suggesting that every party should get 2 questions, but the fourth party could get, say, a question every other week. That would address the issue without making PMQs unwieldy.
    How about allocating questions on the basis of seat (or even vote!) share? With a lower number for the party of government We could call it proportional questionisation.

    Mind you, that would have left the LDs with ~1 question between GEs, recently! :open_mouth:
    Or, bring back twice weekly PMQ.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,770

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,759
    Sandpit said:

    A really important (and long) piece, outside the paywall, about press freedom from Fraser Nelson.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/02/fraser-nelson-jeremy-clarkson-ipso-press-regulator-ruling/

    No matter one’s opinions about the characters involved in the recent IPSO decision, do we respect freedom of the press, or do we regulate the media by loud activist groups?

    I was very critical of the political media, and their bosses, during the pandemic, and continue to think that politics is debased, and good people don’t stand for election, because of the media environment - but also that freedom of the press is a mark of a democratic western society, and if powerful people can force opinions and jokes to be silenced there’s a big problem.

    I wonder if the article had been about Farage being paraded naked and dung thrown at him because of Brexit, if the response would have been the same. I somehow doubt it. This is not about sexism, its about the selectiveness of the social media outrage. Equal under the law and all that.

    I'm sure Megan would have been offended by it. Tough. I get offended by stuff too. Tough.
  • Options
    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 15,042
    It's all Yerp, isn't it?

    And imagine the knock-on effects of leaving the ECHR (no NI agreement, no Windsor agreement, USA coming down on us like a tonne of bricks...)
    Yes, the UK has the sovereign freedom to leave, but it's hard to imagine circumstances where it's a good idea.
  • Options
    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,804
    edited July 2023
    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    You know the vast majority of people drinking wine in this country will be drinking bottles costing around £5-10 and nothing like £15?
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,760
    Fishing said:

    Selebian said:

    BBC on some France riots misinformation:
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66081671

    Features Leon's sniper among the rioters, who was apparently very well prepared, having taken up position over a year ago!

    At least those riots vindicate one of Remain's projections.

    We may still be waiting for international irrelevance or five million unemployed, but Brexit has indeed been followed by violence in the streets, social disorder, civil breakdown and national division.

    (Admittedly in France, not here, but let's not get hung up on details).
    Exhibit A: Cardiff riots
    Exhibit B: Orkney buggering off to rejoin the EU take up another semi-detached position

    :wink:
  • Options
    MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Very ugly

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/stop-rioting-nahel-merzouks-grandmother-tells-france-80vcxtzll

    Fundraising for the family of a French police officer who shot dead a teenager has attracted more than €860,000 (£739,000), far more than a similar campaign for the victim’s relatives.

    The fund, set up by Jean Messiha, an independent right-wing populist, has been inundated with donations, and a separate fund set up by the policeman’s colleagues, has raised more than €50,000. This compares with about €150,000 (£128,000) sent to the family of Nahel Merzouk, who was shot dead in his car at point-blank range on Tuesday in a killing that prompted six nights of rioting.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,770
    edited July 2023

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
  • Options
    BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 19,030
    edited July 2023
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,376
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    It was more like swapping a five pound note for a fifty pound note, as the school’s tombola fund benefitted from all the non-wining tickets being sold.
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,834
    edited July 2023

    A

    kjh said:

    Miklosvar said:

    algarkirk said:

    Sandpit said:

    A really important (and long) piece, outside the paywall, about press freedom from Fraser Nelson.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/02/fraser-nelson-jeremy-clarkson-ipso-press-regulator-ruling/

    No matter one’s opinions about the characters involved in the recent IPSO decision, do we respect freedom of the press, or do we regulate the media by loud activist groups?

    I was very critical of the political media, and their bosses, during the pandemic, and continue to think that politics is debased, and good people don’t stand for election, because of the media environment - but also that freedom of the press is a mark of a democratic western society, and if powerful people can force opinions and jokes to be silenced there’s a big problem.

    I am unconvinced by the regulator, the Sun and Fraser. What Fraser is actually saying is that the police and no-one else should be the regulator of opinion under hate crime law. This isn't going to happen as he well knows.

    Read literally Clarkson's words may be properly read as incitement to a criminal offence - assault.

    Suppose some writer in a paper had said, instead of the parading naked stuff, that "It would be a good idea, though illegal, for X (a major public figure) to be raped, strangled and murdered, and in my opinion it would be excellent if some public spirited person carried this out '.

    This too is the expression of opinion. Are we sure that this should be entirely unregulated except through the criminal courts?
    Aiui Clarkson's defence and/or mitigation was that the words complained of were not incitement to assault but a reference to a scene in Game of Thrones.
    But I never understood that. Most bad things have happened in fiction. When I said the victim needed a good shanking I was merely alluding to the play Julius Caesar, yr honner.
    It is quite common to use phrases that are clearly not incitement to violence, although the words individually might appear to be so. How many have used the phrase 'will be the first against the wall' or 'should be shot'. We don't mean it literally and nobody takes it so. Most of us can tell the difference between hate and colourful use of the language.
    It’s a question of both the language and the target.

    There are groups who are already being targeted for violence. Public figures are one of those groups. Advocating violence against such groups has a different context and implied meaning.
    I agree. All these things depend on context. For instance I thought Clarkson (of whom I am a fan) was over the top, but then I had never seen Game of Thrones (difficult as that is to believe) so the context was lost on me. Once I knew I saw it in a different light.

    And there are numerous different contexts that can apply, but generally we are all able to appreciate the difference between something being funny, in bad taste, hateful or likely to incite violence.

    As @BartholomewRoberts points out we have the law and juries to decide. There might also be other sanctions from say an employer if you bring them into disrepute by what you say.
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,760

    Sandpit said:

    A really important (and long) piece, outside the paywall, about press freedom from Fraser Nelson.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/02/fraser-nelson-jeremy-clarkson-ipso-press-regulator-ruling/

    No matter one’s opinions about the characters involved in the recent IPSO decision, do we respect freedom of the press, or do we regulate the media by loud activist groups?

    I was very critical of the political media, and their bosses, during the pandemic, and continue to think that politics is debased, and good people don’t stand for election, because of the media environment - but also that freedom of the press is a mark of a democratic western society, and if powerful people can force opinions and jokes to be silenced there’s a big problem.

    I wonder if the article had been about Farage being paraded naked and dung thrown at him because of Brexit, if the response would have been the same. I somehow doubt it. This is not about sexism, its about the selectiveness of the social media outrage. Equal under the law and all that.

    I'm sure Megan would have been offended by it. Tough. I get offended by stuff too. Tough.
    The concept of Farage being paraded naked is even more troubling to me! :open_mouth:
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,770

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
  • Options
    MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Sandpit said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    It was more like swapping a five pound note for a fifty pound note, as the school’s tombola fund benefitted from all the non-wining tickets being sold.
    Non-wining is excellent.
  • Options
    TheValiantTheValiant Posts: 1,767
    Of course, as a good Lib Dem myself, excepting the 2015 GE, the Lib Dems were never NOT the third party.

    Their vote share has been third every time except GE2015.

    The failures of FPTP.........
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,760
    edited July 2023

    Of course, as a good Lib Dem myself, excepting the 2015 GE, the Lib Dems were never NOT the third party.

    Their vote share has been third every time except GE2015.

    The failures of FPTP.........

    "The failures of FPTP". Harsh, but fair (on the Lib Dems)

    ETA: Always third on vote share, too? Or would that have been UKIP in 2015, say?
    E2TA: Ah yes, definitely UKIP in 2015. 12.6% v 7.9%
    E3TA: And, of course, this point was made in the very post I'm replying to, d'oh! :blush:
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,759
    Miklosvar said:

    Selebian said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    It's not just PMQs (as the header notes, two questions a week against one every blue moon) but also invitations to Question Time and invitations to comment on news and current events generally.

    Quite right; the exclusion of the LibDems from such programmes has been scandalous, especially when looks at the time given to the Faragists and similar potential demagogues.

    And Good Morning to one and all.
    Agreed. It's not been fair on the LDs, and reflects very badly on the primitive procedures of the HoC.
    I suppose the problem is, there are eleven recognised parties in the House of Commons: Tories, Labour, SNP, DUP, Sinn Fein (sort of) Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru, SDLP, Alliance, Greens and Reclaim (sort of).

    If each of them had two questions for the leader, plus six for Labour less 2 for SF that's 22 questions. That's a lot to cram in and get backbenchers in too.

    Even if you said they must have at least five MPs, that still leaves 12 to get in. Not much room for more.

    So the line has to be drawn somewhere. It may be unfair on the Lib Dems but ultimately you could make a case it was their own fault they collapsed so much (they were not actually forced to support the disastrous Browne report).
    I don't think anyone was suggesting that every party should get 2 questions, but the fourth party could get, say, a question every other week. That would address the issue without making PMQs unwieldy.
    How about allocating questions on the basis of seat (or even vote!) share? With a lower number for the party of government We could call it proportional questionisation.

    Mind you, that would have left the LDs with ~1 question between GEs, recently! :open_mouth:
    Or, bring back twice weekly PMQ.
    Wasn't that two times 15 mins vs the current one times 30 mins though?
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,834
    tlg86 said:

    kjh said:

    Miklosvar said:

    algarkirk said:

    Sandpit said:

    A really important (and long) piece, outside the paywall, about press freedom from Fraser Nelson.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/02/fraser-nelson-jeremy-clarkson-ipso-press-regulator-ruling/

    No matter one’s opinions about the characters involved in the recent IPSO decision, do we respect freedom of the press, or do we regulate the media by loud activist groups?

    I was very critical of the political media, and their bosses, during the pandemic, and continue to think that politics is debased, and good people don’t stand for election, because of the media environment - but also that freedom of the press is a mark of a democratic western society, and if powerful people can force opinions and jokes to be silenced there’s a big problem.

    I am unconvinced by the regulator, the Sun and Fraser. What Fraser is actually saying is that the police and no-one else should be the regulator of opinion under hate crime law. This isn't going to happen as he well knows.

    Read literally Clarkson's words may be properly read as incitement to a criminal offence - assault.

    Suppose some writer in a paper had said, instead of the parading naked stuff, that "It would be a good idea, though illegal, for X (a major public figure) to be raped, strangled and murdered, and in my opinion it would be excellent if some public spirited person carried this out '.

    This too is the expression of opinion. Are we sure that this should be entirely unregulated except through the criminal courts?
    Aiui Clarkson's defence and/or mitigation was that the words complained of were not incitement to assault but a reference to a scene in Game of Thrones.
    But I never understood that. Most bad things have happened in fiction. When I said the victim needed a good shanking I was merely alluding to the play Julius Caesar, yr honner.
    It is quite common to use phrases that are clearly not incitement to violence, although the words individually might appear to be so. How many have used the phrase 'will be the first against the wall' or 'should be shot'. We don't mean it literally and nobody takes it so. Most of us can tell the difference between hate and colourful use of the language.
    Alan Hansen saying that Argentina defender "should be shot" for some terrible defending a few days after Andrés Escobar was actually shot, was quite funny.
    Yes maybe a bit tactless! Foot and mouth comes to mind.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,810
    Discovery of up to 25 Mesolithic pits in Bedfordshire astounds archaeologists
    Linmere site has more monumental pits in a single area than anywhere else in England and Wales
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2023/jul/03/discovery-25-mesolithic-pits-bedfordshire-astounds-archaeologists
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,612
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,759
    Selebian said:

    Sandpit said:

    A really important (and long) piece, outside the paywall, about press freedom from Fraser Nelson.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/02/fraser-nelson-jeremy-clarkson-ipso-press-regulator-ruling/

    No matter one’s opinions about the characters involved in the recent IPSO decision, do we respect freedom of the press, or do we regulate the media by loud activist groups?

    I was very critical of the political media, and their bosses, during the pandemic, and continue to think that politics is debased, and good people don’t stand for election, because of the media environment - but also that freedom of the press is a mark of a democratic western society, and if powerful people can force opinions and jokes to be silenced there’s a big problem.

    I wonder if the article had been about Farage being paraded naked and dung thrown at him because of Brexit, if the response would have been the same. I somehow doubt it. This is not about sexism, its about the selectiveness of the social media outrage. Equal under the law and all that.

    I'm sure Megan would have been offended by it. Tough. I get offended by stuff too. Tough.
    The concept of Farage being paraded naked is even more troubling to me! :open_mouth:
    No-one is suggesting you have to watch, unless you've been very naughty... B)
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,786
    edited July 2023
    viewcode said:
    The answer is right so it must be genuine.

    Anyway, Anderson, Gullis and Cates want "foreigners" to go home. Even those working in healthcare, care homes and fruit picking.

    These "New Conservatives", growth coalition patriots are absolute stars!
  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,943
    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    There is bound to be a scholarly article on the economics of this. FWIW:

    1) A tombola run on traditional lines gets people to donate prizes for gambling. Both donors and (losing) gamblers are providing funds for the school. For canny punters quite often there is a disproportionate advantage in favour of the punter (William Hills are not organising this) who can on average get more than he spends. Schools should of course limit this to maximise their take. But their take and profit is guaranteed by the donations being free. The bottle donor is often not donating as much as they imagine, but will still feel good.

    2) In a permanent recycling tombola the bottles (presumably being rubbish ones) are tokens without value; they function only as an excuse to ask people to donate money without doing so openly. The gamblers (PBers will avoid these events) are giving money for no return, except the limited excitement of winning a valueless token. The donors are giving nothing of value and are not entitled to feel good.

    The first sort of tombola adds slightly to the excitements of dull provincial life - the sort I live. The question of which old lady will win the gin is one of the big issues of the Christmas bazaar.The second sort should be confined to the pages of the Economist and the recyclers should feel abject shame.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,770
    edited July 2023
    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
    No it isn't. If there is increased activity then velocity of money might be expected to increase but if you and I handed each other £5 20 times every hour for the same bottle of wine that would do nothing for GDP.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,696
    Nigelb said:

    Discovery of up to 25 Mesolithic pits in Bedfordshire astounds archaeologists
    Linmere site has more monumental pits in a single area than anywhere else in England and Wales
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2023/jul/03/discovery-25-mesolithic-pits-bedfordshire-astounds-archaeologists

    I always suspected it was the pits.
  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,943

    Miklosvar said:

    Selebian said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    It's not just PMQs (as the header notes, two questions a week against one every blue moon) but also invitations to Question Time and invitations to comment on news and current events generally.

    Quite right; the exclusion of the LibDems from such programmes has been scandalous, especially when looks at the time given to the Faragists and similar potential demagogues.

    And Good Morning to one and all.
    Agreed. It's not been fair on the LDs, and reflects very badly on the primitive procedures of the HoC.
    I suppose the problem is, there are eleven recognised parties in the House of Commons: Tories, Labour, SNP, DUP, Sinn Fein (sort of) Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru, SDLP, Alliance, Greens and Reclaim (sort of).

    If each of them had two questions for the leader, plus six for Labour less 2 for SF that's 22 questions. That's a lot to cram in and get backbenchers in too.

    Even if you said they must have at least five MPs, that still leaves 12 to get in. Not much room for more.

    So the line has to be drawn somewhere. It may be unfair on the Lib Dems but ultimately you could make a case it was their own fault they collapsed so much (they were not actually forced to support the disastrous Browne report).
    I don't think anyone was suggesting that every party should get 2 questions, but the fourth party could get, say, a question every other week. That would address the issue without making PMQs unwieldy.
    How about allocating questions on the basis of seat (or even vote!) share? With a lower number for the party of government We could call it proportional questionisation.

    Mind you, that would have left the LDs with ~1 question between GEs, recently! :open_mouth:
    Or, bring back twice weekly PMQ.
    Wasn't that two times 15 mins vs the current one times 30 mins though?
    Who follows PMQs? Wonks know to avoid it as waste of time, except when PM is on the ropes - about once a year. Normal people have other things to do.
  • Options
    MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Nigelb said:

    Discovery of up to 25 Mesolithic pits in Bedfordshire astounds archaeologists
    Linmere site has more monumental pits in a single area than anywhere else in England and Wales
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2023/jul/03/discovery-25-mesolithic-pits-bedfordshire-astounds-archaeologists

    I try to feel proud of our island heritage, but thinking a large pit makes a decent monument is a bit primitive even for 10,000 BC, is it not? A bit off the Gobekli Tepe pace.

    Proto-Keynesians, no doubt. Location checks out.
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,898
    Selebian said:

    Sandpit said:

    A really important (and long) piece, outside the paywall, about press freedom from Fraser Nelson.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/02/fraser-nelson-jeremy-clarkson-ipso-press-regulator-ruling/

    No matter one’s opinions about the characters involved in the recent IPSO decision, do we respect freedom of the press, or do we regulate the media by loud activist groups?

    I was very critical of the political media, and their bosses, during the pandemic, and continue to think that politics is debased, and good people don’t stand for election, because of the media environment - but also that freedom of the press is a mark of a democratic western society, and if powerful people can force opinions and jokes to be silenced there’s a big problem.

    I wonder if the article had been about Farage being paraded naked and dung thrown at him because of Brexit, if the response would have been the same. I somehow doubt it. This is not about sexism, its about the selectiveness of the social media outrage. Equal under the law and all that.

    I'm sure Megan would have been offended by it. Tough. I get offended by stuff too. Tough.
    The concept of Farage being paraded naked is even more troubling to me! :open_mouth:
    Chucking the excrement at him would make it all worthwhile though.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,759
    algarkirk said:

    Miklosvar said:

    Selebian said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    It's not just PMQs (as the header notes, two questions a week against one every blue moon) but also invitations to Question Time and invitations to comment on news and current events generally.

    Quite right; the exclusion of the LibDems from such programmes has been scandalous, especially when looks at the time given to the Faragists and similar potential demagogues.

    And Good Morning to one and all.
    Agreed. It's not been fair on the LDs, and reflects very badly on the primitive procedures of the HoC.
    I suppose the problem is, there are eleven recognised parties in the House of Commons: Tories, Labour, SNP, DUP, Sinn Fein (sort of) Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru, SDLP, Alliance, Greens and Reclaim (sort of).

    If each of them had two questions for the leader, plus six for Labour less 2 for SF that's 22 questions. That's a lot to cram in and get backbenchers in too.

    Even if you said they must have at least five MPs, that still leaves 12 to get in. Not much room for more.

    So the line has to be drawn somewhere. It may be unfair on the Lib Dems but ultimately you could make a case it was their own fault they collapsed so much (they were not actually forced to support the disastrous Browne report).
    I don't think anyone was suggesting that every party should get 2 questions, but the fourth party could get, say, a question every other week. That would address the issue without making PMQs unwieldy.
    How about allocating questions on the basis of seat (or even vote!) share? With a lower number for the party of government We could call it proportional questionisation.

    Mind you, that would have left the LDs with ~1 question between GEs, recently! :open_mouth:
    Or, bring back twice weekly PMQ.
    Wasn't that two times 15 mins vs the current one times 30 mins though?
    Who follows PMQs? Wonks know to avoid it as waste of time, except when PM is on the ropes - about once a year. Normal people have other things to do.
    PMQ's for the opposition (and probably the PM) is mainly about getting that one clip on the headline news.
    Most normal people don't engage, just as they don't apply to go on Question Time.
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,275
    algarkirk said:

    Miklosvar said:

    Selebian said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    It's not just PMQs (as the header notes, two questions a week against one every blue moon) but also invitations to Question Time and invitations to comment on news and current events generally.

    Quite right; the exclusion of the LibDems from such programmes has been scandalous, especially when looks at the time given to the Faragists and similar potential demagogues.

    And Good Morning to one and all.
    Agreed. It's not been fair on the LDs, and reflects very badly on the primitive procedures of the HoC.
    I suppose the problem is, there are eleven recognised parties in the House of Commons: Tories, Labour, SNP, DUP, Sinn Fein (sort of) Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru, SDLP, Alliance, Greens and Reclaim (sort of).

    If each of them had two questions for the leader, plus six for Labour less 2 for SF that's 22 questions. That's a lot to cram in and get backbenchers in too.

    Even if you said they must have at least five MPs, that still leaves 12 to get in. Not much room for more.

    So the line has to be drawn somewhere. It may be unfair on the Lib Dems but ultimately you could make a case it was their own fault they collapsed so much (they were not actually forced to support the disastrous Browne report).
    I don't think anyone was suggesting that every party should get 2 questions, but the fourth party could get, say, a question every other week. That would address the issue without making PMQs unwieldy.
    How about allocating questions on the basis of seat (or even vote!) share? With a lower number for the party of government We could call it proportional questionisation.

    Mind you, that would have left the LDs with ~1 question between GEs, recently! :open_mouth:
    Or, bring back twice weekly PMQ.
    Wasn't that two times 15 mins vs the current one times 30 mins though?
    Who follows PMQs? Wonks know to avoid it as waste of time, except when PM is on the ropes - about once a year. Normal people have other things to do.
    True, but it's also the one bit of parliamentary business that tends to cut through into reality-land, because it's the most widely reported on.

    It's kind of shame really, as it's the least representative session of parliament, and essentially entirely performative.
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,275
    I assume nobody is using cash for these school tombolas?!
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,808
    algarkirk said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    There is bound to be a scholarly article on the economics of this. FWIW:

    1) A tombola run on traditional lines gets people to donate prizes for gambling. Both donors and (losing) gamblers are providing funds for the school. For canny punters quite often there is a disproportionate advantage in favour of the punter (William Hills are not organising this) who can on average get more than he spends. Schools should of course limit this to maximise their take. But their take and profit is guaranteed by the donations being free. The bottle donor is often not donating as much as they imagine, but will still feel good.

    2) In a permanent recycling tombola the bottles (presumably being rubbish ones) are tokens without value; they function only as an excuse to ask people to donate money without doing so openly. The gamblers (PBers will avoid these events) are giving money for no return, except the limited excitement of winning a valueless token. The donors are giving nothing of value and are not entitled to feel good.

    The first sort of tombola adds slightly to the excitements of dull provincial life - the sort I live. The question of which old lady will win the gin is one of the big issues of the Christmas bazaar.The second sort should be confined to the pages of the Economist and the recyclers should feel abject shame.
    It's quite fun to have some recycling though. A booby prize adds to the hilarity of the whole event.

    There is also a fair bit of once-around-the-block recycling. The spiced rum which we got from the Christmas Fair was never going to get drunk in this house and got regifted. But that's not to say no-one will drink it.

    Basically you are paying the school a reasonably set amount (£3 or so) to enter a game of 'buy a random drink and get given a random drink'. The £3 shouldn't be seen as part of the economics of winning or not but as the money you pay for the amusement of the whole process (like putting a pound into a pinball machine). 'Winning' here is getting a better drink than the one you donated, but you can enjoy the process without winning. Like stumping a batsman who thinks the over has finished, winning by donating nothing is quite legitimate but not really in the spirit of the game.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,680
    edited July 2023
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,808
    Ghedebrav said:

    I assume nobody is using cash for these school tombolas?!

    8 year olds tend not to be awash with non-cash options!
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,898
    viewcode said:
    Indeed. Such a poll would also no doubt find a plurality amongst that demographic in favour of summary execution for immigrants, chemical castration for gay people (what HY would call "homosexuals") and possibly flogging for shop lifting and the return of the poorhouse.

    It would be like asking a Labour equivalent website whether they believe in nationalisation of everything.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,680

    viewcode said:
    Indeed. Such a poll would also no doubt find a plurality amongst that demographic in favour of summary execution for immigrants, chemical castration for gay people (what HY would call "homosexuals") and possibly flogging for shop lifting and the return of the poorhouse.

    It would be like asking a Labour equivalent website whether they believe in nationalisation of everything.
    Most Corbyn 2019 voters probably would back the nationalisation of nearly everything
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,898
    HYUFD said:
    It would be interesting to know what percentage of these deep thinkers thinks that the ECHR is something to do with the EU. I suspect it is high.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,612
    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
    No it isn't. If there is increased activity then velocity of money might be expected to increase but if you and I handed each other £5 20 times every hour for the same bottle of wine that would do nothing for GDP.
    That would be the case if the prizes where monetary - but the money goes from the parent to the school and then from the school to a book shop, from the shop to the wholesaler.....
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,275
    Barnesian said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sandpit said:

    Not if Labour win seats like Mid Bedfordshire.

    That said, there’s nothing I’d personally like more than an SNP implosion. I don’t like those who wish to break up the country, and have many family and friends in Scotland.

    Mid Bedfordshire is not even in the top 100 LD target seats
    I think Labour and the Lib Dems will split the anti-Tory vote and the Tories will retain this seat. A value bet at 3.5 on Betfair.
    Is that for a by-election, or at GE?
  • Options

    HYUFD said:
    It would be interesting to know what percentage of these deep thinkers thinks that the ECHR is something to do with the EU. I suspect it is high.
    Indeed, its nothing to do with the EU. The EU has much higher standards of democracy and human rights than the Council of Europe.

    Instead it had Vladimir Putin's Russia as a full and unsanctioned member as recently as January last year, despite Russia's total lack of a free press, free society, free democracy or any kind of reasonable Human Rights.

    I wouldn't vote to leave the ECHR probably as doing so is more hassle than its worth, but as far as a guarantor of Human Rights is concerned its an abject failure.
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,275
    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    I assume nobody is using cash for these school tombolas?!

    8 year olds tend not to be awash with non-cash options!
    Tell that to some of the posters on here...

    Used quite a bit of cash myself over the last week or so. Kid's school trip pocket money and for rides and stall at a local festival, among other things.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,759
    Any odds on some twunks from Just Stop Oil trying to orange centre court? Anyone know what kind of paint they use and if its oil based?
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,587
    Carnyx said:

    It's not just PMQs (as the header notes, two questions a week against one every blue moon) but also invitations to Question Time and invitations to comment on news and current events generally.

    Quite right; the exclusion of the LibDems from such programmes has been scandalous, especially when looks at the time given to the Faragists and similar potential demagogues.

    And Good Morning to one and all.
    Agreed. It's not been fair on the LDs, and reflects very badly on the primitive procedures of the HoC.
    ..and the BBC.
  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 16,075

    Any odds on some twunks from Just Stop Oil trying to orange centre court? Anyone know what kind of paint they use and if its oil based?

    They've been using powder so far. This means they get a nice photo, but don't actually cause any damage they can be prosecuted for.
  • Options
    BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 19,030
    edited July 2023
    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
    No it isn't. If there is increased activity then velocity of money might be expected to increase but if you and I handed each other £5 20 times every hour for the same bottle of wine that would do nothing for GDP.
    You don't seem to be grasping the whole concept.

    I and all other parents donate a prize to the school in the build-up to the fare. This was done twice in recent weeks where the school had a casual clothes Friday and asked for a donation to the fare as the 'fee' for the casual clothes each time.

    I and other parents then pay money to the school to take part in the tombola where as a class the parents win back the prizes they just donated, but shuffled around essentially.

    This ends with the parents having swapped around bottles basically, while the school ends up with money without paying out anything.

    The school can then spend its money as it sees fit. Which presumably is not bottles of wine.

    The school spending the money it received from the tombola absolutely does do something for GDP.

    If you and I hand the school £5 20 times for the same bottle of wine, then it ends up with the wine remaining with one of us where it started and the school £100 up. And that £100 being spent on supplies for the school does do something for GDP.

    If the 2 of us are swapping the same bottle of wine ad nauseum then we are not handing the £5 to each other each time, we're handing it to the school each time.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,810
    Sandpit said:

    A really important (and long) piece, outside the paywall, about press freedom from Fraser Nelson.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/02/fraser-nelson-jeremy-clarkson-ipso-press-regulator-ruling/

    No matter one’s opinions about the characters involved in the recent IPSO decision, do we respect freedom of the press, or do we regulate the media by loud activist groups?

    I was very critical of the political media, and their bosses, during the pandemic, and continue to think that politics is debased, and good people don’t stand for election, because of the media environment - but also that freedom of the press is a mark of a democratic western society, and if powerful people can force opinions and jokes to be silenced there’s a big problem.

    Another important point being lost in all of this is that IPSO is "a self-regulator paid for by its member publishers though the Regulatory Funding Company".

    "We" are not regulating the media in this case - they are effectively doing so themselves (note the FT and Guardian aren't even members).
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,804
    Venus Williams to play on centre court today at the age of 43.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,810
    A good fisking of the IRS "whistleblowers" in the Hunter Biden affair.
    https://www.emptywheel.net/2023/07/03/on-bill-barr-and-sex-workers-whistleblower-x-called-hunter-bidens-baby-momma-a-prostitute/

    Their credibility is not great.
  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 16,075
    Selebian said:

    Of course, as a good Lib Dem myself, excepting the 2015 GE, the Lib Dems were never NOT the third party.

    Their vote share has been third every time except GE2015.

    The failures of FPTP.........

    "The failures of FPTP". Harsh, but fair (on the Lib Dems)

    ETA: Always third on vote share, too? Or would that have been UKIP in 2015, say?
    E2TA: Ah yes, definitely UKIP in 2015. 12.6% v 7.9%
    E3TA: And, of course, this point was made in the very post I'm replying to, d'oh! :blush:
    This post is an exemplar of a lot of science, but reproducibility is important.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,587
    Carnyx said:

    Cicero said:

    even in 2015, when the Liberal Democrats fell to 8 seats and the SNP got 50 seats, the Lib Dems polled more than twice the vote that the SNP did. The party never stopped being the third party in the country.

    Doesn't count, any more than surplus votes in a Red Labour seat do. FPTP and numbers of MPs is where it's at, whether we like it or not.
    And the LDs seem very antipathetic towards the only other sizeable party interested in changing this form of representation.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,086
    HYUFD said:
    And 44% of 2019 Tory voters is approximately seven million people - slightly over 10% of the UK's population.
  • Options
    Andy_JS said:

    Venus Williams to play on centre court today at the age of 43.

    If any 2 of Crawley, Pope, Root and Brook could have just reached 43 we'd have won the second Test.
  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,943
    Cookie said:

    algarkirk said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    There is bound to be a scholarly article on the economics of this. FWIW:

    1) A tombola run on traditional lines gets people to donate prizes for gambling. Both donors and (losing) gamblers are providing funds for the school. For canny punters quite often there is a disproportionate advantage in favour of the punter (William Hills are not organising this) who can on average get more than he spends. Schools should of course limit this to maximise their take. But their take and profit is guaranteed by the donations being free. The bottle donor is often not donating as much as they imagine, but will still feel good.

    2) In a permanent recycling tombola the bottles (presumably being rubbish ones) are tokens without value; they function only as an excuse to ask people to donate money without doing so openly. The gamblers (PBers will avoid these events) are giving money for no return, except the limited excitement of winning a valueless token. The donors are giving nothing of value and are not entitled to feel good.

    The first sort of tombola adds slightly to the excitements of dull provincial life - the sort I live. The question of which old lady will win the gin is one of the big issues of the Christmas bazaar.The second sort should be confined to the pages of the Economist and the recyclers should feel abject shame.
    It's quite fun to have some recycling though. A booby prize adds to the hilarity of the whole event.

    There is also a fair bit of once-around-the-block recycling. The spiced rum which we got from the Christmas Fair was never going to get drunk in this house and got regifted. But that's not to say no-one will drink it.

    Basically you are paying the school a reasonably set amount (£3 or so) to enter a game of 'buy a random drink and get given a random drink'. The £3 shouldn't be seen as part of the economics of winning or not but as the money you pay for the amusement of the whole process (like putting a pound into a pinball machine). 'Winning' here is getting a better drink than the one you donated, but you can enjoy the process without winning. Like stumping a batsman who thinks the over has finished, winning by donating nothing is quite legitimate but not really in the spirit of the game.
    Yes. Spot on. Like other people I support various charities and good causes, mostly in dull tax effective ways.

    But once or twice a year I support one of these, to which I might give £x in the usual way, by going to their event with a pocket fill of notes and coins amounting to £x. This gets spent on: Junk; tombolas (often net profit making, see above); raffles; woolly hats; jam and cakes; the children's name the bear/spot the treasure game; the book stall (an average one is better searching than any WH Smiths); nameless blue liquid masquerading as a drink.

    Does some good. Is therapy for the anguished soul. You meet an array of eccentrics. Cash continues as king. Recommended.
  • Options
    FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,166
    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    At least it wasn’t Buckfast!

    An American wine connoisseur made the mistake of reviewing buckfast… Here’s their tasting notes:

    Buckfast Tonic Wine (No Vintage)

    Screw cap, took it off about 30 minutes before to bring in some air. Apparently made by monks in England. Decided to try while cooking dinner. Poured into a glass, first glance has a very inky almost brownish color that you see in older wines. Very syrupy, liquid clings to the side of the glass when swirled. Almost 15% ABV.

    Stuck my nose in and was hit with something I’ve never experienced before. Barnyardy funk (in a bad way) almost like a dead animal in a bird’s nest. A mix of flat Coca Cola and caramel with a whiff of gun metal.

    On the palate, overwhelming sweetness and sugar. Cherry Cola mixed with Benadryl. Unlike anything I’ve tasted. I’m not sure what this liquid is but it is not wine, I’m actually not sure what it is but it tastes like something a doctor would prescribe. A chemical concoction of the highest degree. Can only compare it to a Four Loko.

    Managed to make it through a couple small glasses but not much more. Has absolutely ruined the evening drinking-wise for me as I tried to drink a nice Bordeaux after but the iron-like metallic sweet aftertaste I just couldn’t get out of my mouth even after a few glasses of water. I don’t drink a lot of coffee regularly so I also have mild heart palpitations from the caffeine after just drinking a bit of this and feel a slight migraine.

    An ungodly concoction made by seemingly godly men. I believe the Vatican needs to send an exorcist over to Buckfast Abbey as the devil’s works are cleary present there. After tasting this “wine,” the way I feel can only be described as akin to being under a bridge on one’s knees orally pleasing a vagrant while simultaneously drinking liquified meth through a dirty rag.

    I’ve drank a lot of wines in my life and will never forget this one.
  • Options
    algarkirk said:

    Cookie said:

    algarkirk said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    There is bound to be a scholarly article on the economics of this. FWIW:

    1) A tombola run on traditional lines gets people to donate prizes for gambling. Both donors and (losing) gamblers are providing funds for the school. For canny punters quite often there is a disproportionate advantage in favour of the punter (William Hills are not organising this) who can on average get more than he spends. Schools should of course limit this to maximise their take. But their take and profit is guaranteed by the donations being free. The bottle donor is often not donating as much as they imagine, but will still feel good.

    2) In a permanent recycling tombola the bottles (presumably being rubbish ones) are tokens without value; they function only as an excuse to ask people to donate money without doing so openly. The gamblers (PBers will avoid these events) are giving money for no return, except the limited excitement of winning a valueless token. The donors are giving nothing of value and are not entitled to feel good.

    The first sort of tombola adds slightly to the excitements of dull provincial life - the sort I live. The question of which old lady will win the gin is one of the big issues of the Christmas bazaar.The second sort should be confined to the pages of the Economist and the recyclers should feel abject shame.
    It's quite fun to have some recycling though. A booby prize adds to the hilarity of the whole event.

    There is also a fair bit of once-around-the-block recycling. The spiced rum which we got from the Christmas Fair was never going to get drunk in this house and got regifted. But that's not to say no-one will drink it.

    Basically you are paying the school a reasonably set amount (£3 or so) to enter a game of 'buy a random drink and get given a random drink'. The £3 shouldn't be seen as part of the economics of winning or not but as the money you pay for the amusement of the whole process (like putting a pound into a pinball machine). 'Winning' here is getting a better drink than the one you donated, but you can enjoy the process without winning. Like stumping a batsman who thinks the over has finished, winning by donating nothing is quite legitimate but not really in the spirit of the game.
    Yes. Spot on. Like other people I support various charities and good causes, mostly in dull tax effective ways.

    But once or twice a year I support one of these, to which I might give £x in the usual way, by going to their event with a pocket fill of notes and coins amounting to £x. This gets spent on: Junk; tombolas (often net profit making, see above); raffles; woolly hats; jam and cakes; the children's name the bear/spot the treasure game; the book stall (an average one is better searching than any WH Smiths); nameless blue liquid masquerading as a drink.

    Does some good. Is therapy for the anguished soul. You meet an array of eccentrics. Cash continues as king. Recommended.
    Even better, you can now pay contactless with just a tap of your phone and no need to mess around with cash. 👍
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,770

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
    No it isn't. If there is increased activity then velocity of money might be expected to increase but if you and I handed each other £5 20 times every hour for the same bottle of wine that would do nothing for GDP.
    You don't seem to be grasping the whole concept.

    I and all other parents donate a prize to the school in the build-up to the fare. This was done twice in recent weeks where the school had a casual clothes Friday and asked for a donation to the fare as the 'fee' for the casual clothes each time.

    I and other parents then pay money to the school to take part in the tombola where as a class the parents win back the prizes they just donated, but shuffled around essentially.

    This ends with the parents having swapped around bottles basically, while the school ends up with money without paying out anything.

    The school can then spend its money as it sees fit. Which presumably is not bottles of wine.

    The school spending the money it received from the tombola absolutely does do something for GDP.

    If you and I hand the school £5 20 times for the same bottle of wine, then it ends up with the wine remaining with one of us where it started and the school £100 up. And that £100 being spent on supplies for the school does do something for GDP.

    If the 2 of us are swapping the same bottle of wine ad nauseum then we are not handing the £5 to each other each time, we're handing it to the school each time.
    We can forget the wine as it is an existing asset. Buying or selling it has no effect on GDP. So you are in effect handing the school £5. So the school has +£5 and you have -£5. C is unaffected.
  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,943

    algarkirk said:

    Cookie said:

    algarkirk said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    There is bound to be a scholarly article on the economics of this. FWIW:

    1) A tombola run on traditional lines gets people to donate prizes for gambling. Both donors and (losing) gamblers are providing funds for the school. For canny punters quite often there is a disproportionate advantage in favour of the punter (William Hills are not organising this) who can on average get more than he spends. Schools should of course limit this to maximise their take. But their take and profit is guaranteed by the donations being free. The bottle donor is often not donating as much as they imagine, but will still feel good.

    2) In a permanent recycling tombola the bottles (presumably being rubbish ones) are tokens without value; they function only as an excuse to ask people to donate money without doing so openly. The gamblers (PBers will avoid these events) are giving money for no return, except the limited excitement of winning a valueless token. The donors are giving nothing of value and are not entitled to feel good.

    The first sort of tombola adds slightly to the excitements of dull provincial life - the sort I live. The question of which old lady will win the gin is one of the big issues of the Christmas bazaar.The second sort should be confined to the pages of the Economist and the recyclers should feel abject shame.
    It's quite fun to have some recycling though. A booby prize adds to the hilarity of the whole event.

    There is also a fair bit of once-around-the-block recycling. The spiced rum which we got from the Christmas Fair was never going to get drunk in this house and got regifted. But that's not to say no-one will drink it.

    Basically you are paying the school a reasonably set amount (£3 or so) to enter a game of 'buy a random drink and get given a random drink'. The £3 shouldn't be seen as part of the economics of winning or not but as the money you pay for the amusement of the whole process (like putting a pound into a pinball machine). 'Winning' here is getting a better drink than the one you donated, but you can enjoy the process without winning. Like stumping a batsman who thinks the over has finished, winning by donating nothing is quite legitimate but not really in the spirit of the game.
    Yes. Spot on. Like other people I support various charities and good causes, mostly in dull tax effective ways.

    But once or twice a year I support one of these, to which I might give £x in the usual way, by going to their event with a pocket fill of notes and coins amounting to £x. This gets spent on: Junk; tombolas (often net profit making, see above); raffles; woolly hats; jam and cakes; the children's name the bear/spot the treasure game; the book stall (an average one is better searching than any WH Smiths); nameless blue liquid masquerading as a drink.

    Does some good. Is therapy for the anguished soul. You meet an array of eccentrics. Cash continues as king. Recommended.
    Even better, you can now pay contactless with just a tap of your phone and no need to mess around with cash. 👍
    Good luck with that one. Don't go to a fete etc in large chunks of northern England.
  • Options
    AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,004
    BREAKING: Partygate investigator Sue Gray broke civil service rules “as a result of the undeclared contact” between her and the Labour Party, according to a Whitehall investigation.
    https://twitter.com/TalkTV/status/1675807612070252545
  • Options
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
    No it isn't. If there is increased activity then velocity of money might be expected to increase but if you and I handed each other £5 20 times every hour for the same bottle of wine that would do nothing for GDP.
    You don't seem to be grasping the whole concept.

    I and all other parents donate a prize to the school in the build-up to the fare. This was done twice in recent weeks where the school had a casual clothes Friday and asked for a donation to the fare as the 'fee' for the casual clothes each time.

    I and other parents then pay money to the school to take part in the tombola where as a class the parents win back the prizes they just donated, but shuffled around essentially.

    This ends with the parents having swapped around bottles basically, while the school ends up with money without paying out anything.

    The school can then spend its money as it sees fit. Which presumably is not bottles of wine.

    The school spending the money it received from the tombola absolutely does do something for GDP.

    If you and I hand the school £5 20 times for the same bottle of wine, then it ends up with the wine remaining with one of us where it started and the school £100 up. And that £100 being spent on supplies for the school does do something for GDP.

    If the 2 of us are swapping the same bottle of wine ad nauseum then we are not handing the £5 to each other each time, we're handing it to the school each time.
    We can forget the wine as it is an existing asset. Buying or selling it has no effect on GDP. So you are in effect handing the school £5. So the school has +£5 and you have -£5. C is unaffected.
    Which brings us full circle to what I said at the start.

    The school won't save the money, they will spend it, and as they do, C goes up, so GDP goes up.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,385

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Just caught the clip of Bairstow being run out and it's funnier than I imagined. They way the keeper threw at the stumps straight away, knowing ginge would wander off. The crowd booing because they're thick as shit. The blank confusion on Bairstow's face.

    They pulled his trousers down and spanked his arse in broad daylight. Amazing.

    That's disappointing from you - didn't have you down as a sporting anglo-phobe.
    I'm not always. I loved England's win in 2005.
    But I was always rooting for this Australia over this England, and today's shenanigans really tickled me.
    Odd.
    How so? I don't have to stay loyal to a team. In 2005 I liked Flintoff and Pietersen. I also liked Warne and Lee. I didn't like Vaughan or Ponting. On balance I found England much more pleasing that time around. But this time around I like Australia much better.
    If England play Hungary in the football I'll support England. If they play Italy, I'll support Italy.
    England's just another country which I like and dislike depending on who's on the field. It's how most people feel about most countries other than their own, I think.
    Hmm. Okay. You have a strange way about sporting loyalties - i.e. yours are entirely ad hoc. I'm not going to condemn it if that is your bag, but 'unusual' is not the word.
    Yes, sport, insofar as it's worth anything, is a celebration of physical and psychological creativity and prowess. You can enjoy it and be impressed by it without chaining yourself to a particular team. I have instinctive preferences like everyone else but they aren't in control. If I like what I see from a sportsperson, I will want them to do well. And Australian cricket has a tendency of producing the kinds of characters that make for highly entertaining sport. So I "lean" Australia. But back in 2005, I couldn't help thinking I liked Freddie Flintoff way more than Ricky fucking Ponting.

    And before anybody accuses me of being a glory hunter, it's not like that. In football I despise the big teams like City, Man U, Liverpool. They are all moneybags bastards who suck the soul out of the game. Give me a Brighton or a Brentford instead. Or even an Aberdeen.
  • Options
    algarkirk said:

    algarkirk said:

    Cookie said:

    algarkirk said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    There is bound to be a scholarly article on the economics of this. FWIW:

    1) A tombola run on traditional lines gets people to donate prizes for gambling. Both donors and (losing) gamblers are providing funds for the school. For canny punters quite often there is a disproportionate advantage in favour of the punter (William Hills are not organising this) who can on average get more than he spends. Schools should of course limit this to maximise their take. But their take and profit is guaranteed by the donations being free. The bottle donor is often not donating as much as they imagine, but will still feel good.

    2) In a permanent recycling tombola the bottles (presumably being rubbish ones) are tokens without value; they function only as an excuse to ask people to donate money without doing so openly. The gamblers (PBers will avoid these events) are giving money for no return, except the limited excitement of winning a valueless token. The donors are giving nothing of value and are not entitled to feel good.

    The first sort of tombola adds slightly to the excitements of dull provincial life - the sort I live. The question of which old lady will win the gin is one of the big issues of the Christmas bazaar.The second sort should be confined to the pages of the Economist and the recyclers should feel abject shame.
    It's quite fun to have some recycling though. A booby prize adds to the hilarity of the whole event.

    There is also a fair bit of once-around-the-block recycling. The spiced rum which we got from the Christmas Fair was never going to get drunk in this house and got regifted. But that's not to say no-one will drink it.

    Basically you are paying the school a reasonably set amount (£3 or so) to enter a game of 'buy a random drink and get given a random drink'. The £3 shouldn't be seen as part of the economics of winning or not but as the money you pay for the amusement of the whole process (like putting a pound into a pinball machine). 'Winning' here is getting a better drink than the one you donated, but you can enjoy the process without winning. Like stumping a batsman who thinks the over has finished, winning by donating nothing is quite legitimate but not really in the spirit of the game.
    Yes. Spot on. Like other people I support various charities and good causes, mostly in dull tax effective ways.

    But once or twice a year I support one of these, to which I might give £x in the usual way, by going to their event with a pocket fill of notes and coins amounting to £x. This gets spent on: Junk; tombolas (often net profit making, see above); raffles; woolly hats; jam and cakes; the children's name the bear/spot the treasure game; the book stall (an average one is better searching than any WH Smiths); nameless blue liquid masquerading as a drink.

    Does some good. Is therapy for the anguished soul. You meet an array of eccentrics. Cash continues as king. Recommended.
    Even better, you can now pay contactless with just a tap of your phone and no need to mess around with cash. 👍
    Good luck with that one. Don't go to a fete etc in large chunks of northern England.
    I do live in the North you know? 🤷‍♂️

    The school has had tiny contactless terminals for use for years now.

    Heck, when I took my kids to see Santa last Christmas which was put on by a local charity, they had a contactless terminal next to the collection tin too.
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,762

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    At least it wasn’t Buckfast!

    An American wine connoisseur made the mistake of reviewing buckfast… Here’s their tasting notes:

    Buckfast Tonic Wine (No Vintage)

    Screw cap, took it off about 30 minutes before to bring in some air. Apparently made by monks in England. Decided to try while cooking dinner. Poured into a glass, first glance has a very inky almost brownish color that you see in older wines. Very syrupy, liquid clings to the side of the glass when swirled. Almost 15% ABV.

    Stuck my nose in and was hit with something I’ve never experienced before. Barnyardy funk (in a bad way) almost like a dead animal in a bird’s nest. A mix of flat Coca Cola and caramel with a whiff of gun metal.

    On the palate, overwhelming sweetness and sugar. Cherry Cola mixed with Benadryl. Unlike anything I’ve tasted. I’m not sure what this liquid is but it is not wine, I’m actually not sure what it is but it tastes like something a doctor would prescribe. A chemical concoction of the highest degree. Can only compare it to a Four Loko.

    Managed to make it through a couple small glasses but not much more. Has absolutely ruined the evening drinking-wise for me as I tried to drink a nice Bordeaux after but the iron-like metallic sweet aftertaste I just couldn’t get out of my mouth even after a few glasses of water. I don’t drink a lot of coffee regularly so I also have mild heart palpitations from the caffeine after just drinking a bit of this and feel a slight migraine.

    An ungodly concoction made by seemingly godly men. I believe the Vatican needs to send an exorcist over to Buckfast Abbey as the devil’s works are cleary present there. After tasting this “wine,” the way I feel can only be described as akin to being under a bridge on one’s knees orally pleasing a vagrant while simultaneously drinking liquified meth through a dirty rag.

    I’ve drank a lot of wines in my life and will never forget this one.
    Buckfast Powersmash is one of those drinks so awful that it's good. Was in the tattier of the village shops when a guy was in buying a few bottles. And looked like he is a regular drinker of the stuff.

    Was then amazed to see a Buckie trade stand at a food expo a few months back. They were pushing the "made by monks" line really hard and getting "ooh that's interesting" responses from trade buyers. FFS no, you really don't need Buckfast punters in your shop. Its like being a proud seller of Lambrini and McEwan's Export.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 68,118
    Nigelb said:

    Discovery of up to 25 Mesolithic pits in Bedfordshire astounds archaeologists
    Linmere site has more monumental pits in a single area than anywhere else in England and Wales
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2023/jul/03/discovery-25-mesolithic-pits-bedfordshire-astounds-archaeologists

    Stone Age Bedfordshire pits.

    They just can't stop talking about Nadine, can they?
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,385

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    At least it wasn’t Buckfast!

    An American wine connoisseur made the mistake of reviewing buckfast… Here’s their tasting notes:

    Buckfast Tonic Wine (No Vintage)

    Screw cap, took it off about 30 minutes before to bring in some air. Apparently made by monks in England. Decided to try while cooking dinner. Poured into a glass, first glance has a very inky almost brownish color that you see in older wines. Very syrupy, liquid clings to the side of the glass when swirled. Almost 15% ABV.

    Stuck my nose in and was hit with something I’ve never experienced before. Barnyardy funk (in a bad way) almost like a dead animal in a bird’s nest. A mix of flat Coca Cola and caramel with a whiff of gun metal.

    On the palate, overwhelming sweetness and sugar. Cherry Cola mixed with Benadryl. Unlike anything I’ve tasted. I’m not sure what this liquid is but it is not wine, I’m actually not sure what it is but it tastes like something a doctor would prescribe. A chemical concoction of the highest degree. Can only compare it to a Four Loko.

    Managed to make it through a couple small glasses but not much more. Has absolutely ruined the evening drinking-wise for me as I tried to drink a nice Bordeaux after but the iron-like metallic sweet aftertaste I just couldn’t get out of my mouth even after a few glasses of water. I don’t drink a lot of coffee regularly so I also have mild heart palpitations from the caffeine after just drinking a bit of this and feel a slight migraine.

    An ungodly concoction made by seemingly godly men. I believe the Vatican needs to send an exorcist over to Buckfast Abbey as the devil’s works are cleary present there. After tasting this “wine,” the way I feel can only be described as akin to being under a bridge on one’s knees orally pleasing a vagrant while simultaneously drinking liquified meth through a dirty rag.

    I’ve drank a lot of wines in my life and will never forget this one.
    And this is a bad thing because why?
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,810
    Miklosvar said:

    Nigelb said:

    Discovery of up to 25 Mesolithic pits in Bedfordshire astounds archaeologists
    Linmere site has more monumental pits in a single area than anywhere else in England and Wales
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2023/jul/03/discovery-25-mesolithic-pits-bedfordshire-astounds-archaeologists

    I try to feel proud of our island heritage, but thinking a large pit makes a decent monument is a bit primitive even for 10,000 BC, is it not? A bit off the Gobekli Tepe pace.

    Proto-Keynesians, no doubt. Location checks out.
    Bit difficult to develop an advanced civilisation form scratch in glacial or permafrost conditions.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,628
    edited July 2023
    kjh said:

    A

    kjh said:

    Miklosvar said:

    algarkirk said:

    Sandpit said:

    A really important (and long) piece, outside the paywall, about press freedom from Fraser Nelson.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/07/02/fraser-nelson-jeremy-clarkson-ipso-press-regulator-ruling/

    No matter one’s opinions about the characters involved in the recent IPSO decision, do we respect freedom of the press, or do we regulate the media by loud activist groups?

    I was very critical of the political media, and their bosses, during the pandemic, and continue to think that politics is debased, and good people don’t stand for election, because of the media environment - but also that freedom of the press is a mark of a democratic western society, and if powerful people can force opinions and jokes to be silenced there’s a big problem.

    I am unconvinced by the regulator, the Sun and Fraser. What Fraser is actually saying is that the police and no-one else should be the regulator of opinion under hate crime law. This isn't going to happen as he well knows.

    Read literally Clarkson's words may be properly read as incitement to a criminal offence - assault.

    Suppose some writer in a paper had said, instead of the parading naked stuff, that "It would be a good idea, though illegal, for X (a major public figure) to be raped, strangled and murdered, and in my opinion it would be excellent if some public spirited person carried this out '.

    This too is the expression of opinion. Are we sure that this should be entirely unregulated except through the criminal courts?
    Aiui Clarkson's defence and/or mitigation was that the words complained of were not incitement to assault but a reference to a scene in Game of Thrones.
    But I never understood that. Most bad things have happened in fiction. When I said the victim needed a good shanking I was merely alluding to the play Julius Caesar, yr honner.
    It is quite common to use phrases that are clearly not incitement to violence, although the words individually might appear to be so. How many have used the phrase 'will be the first against the wall' or 'should be shot'. We don't mean it literally and nobody takes it so. Most of us can tell the difference between hate and colourful use of the language.
    It’s a question of both the language and the target.

    There are groups who are already being targeted for violence. Public figures are one of those groups. Advocating violence against such groups has a different context and implied meaning.
    I agree. All these things depend on context. For instance I thought Clarkson (of whom I am a fan) was over the top, but then I had never seen Game of Thrones (difficult as that is to believe) so the context was lost on me. Once I knew I saw it in a different light.

    And there are numerous different contexts that can apply, but generally we are all able to appreciate the difference between something being funny, in bad taste, hateful or likely to incite violence.

    As @BartholomewRoberts points out we have the law and juries to decide. There might also be other sanctions from say an employer if you bring them into disrepute by what you say.
    On the other hand, one might wonder, in such cases in general, and not specifically this one, whether the shirt was worn, or tweet posted, etc., with the intent to go something like "Officer? Me provoke hatred? No, the slogan on my tummy '**** the *******ish" is a witty reference to the Papal Bull 'Cum inter nonnullos' of 1323 as any idiot can see. Any reference to beating up the ***** is purely coincidental and the thought had never entered my mind."

    Edit: but that is of course what juries are for, in part.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,770

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
    No it isn't. If there is increased activity then velocity of money might be expected to increase but if you and I handed each other £5 20 times every hour for the same bottle of wine that would do nothing for GDP.
    You don't seem to be grasping the whole concept.

    I and all other parents donate a prize to the school in the build-up to the fare. This was done twice in recent weeks where the school had a casual clothes Friday and asked for a donation to the fare as the 'fee' for the casual clothes each time.

    I and other parents then pay money to the school to take part in the tombola where as a class the parents win back the prizes they just donated, but shuffled around essentially.

    This ends with the parents having swapped around bottles basically, while the school ends up with money without paying out anything.

    The school can then spend its money as it sees fit. Which presumably is not bottles of wine.

    The school spending the money it received from the tombola absolutely does do something for GDP.

    If you and I hand the school £5 20 times for the same bottle of wine, then it ends up with the wine remaining with one of us where it started and the school £100 up. And that £100 being spent on supplies for the school does do something for GDP.

    If the 2 of us are swapping the same bottle of wine ad nauseum then we are not handing the £5 to each other each time, we're handing it to the school each time.
    We can forget the wine as it is an existing asset. Buying or selling it has no effect on GDP. So you are in effect handing the school £5. So the school has +£5 and you have -£5. C is unaffected.
    Which brings us full circle to what I said at the start.

    The school won't save the money, they will spend it, and as they do, C goes up, so GDP goes up.
    You said "Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y."

    Which is irrelevant to our discussion.

    You gave the school £5 but you now can't spend it. If you are talking about consumption vs savings then you should have made that explicit.
  • Options
    MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Nigelb said:

    Miklosvar said:

    Nigelb said:

    Discovery of up to 25 Mesolithic pits in Bedfordshire astounds archaeologists
    Linmere site has more monumental pits in a single area than anywhere else in England and Wales
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2023/jul/03/discovery-25-mesolithic-pits-bedfordshire-astounds-archaeologists

    I try to feel proud of our island heritage, but thinking a large pit makes a decent monument is a bit primitive even for 10,000 BC, is it not? A bit off the Gobekli Tepe pace.

    Proto-Keynesians, no doubt. Location checks out.
    Bit difficult to develop an advanced civilisation form scratch in glacial or permafrost conditions.
    Also, bloody difficult digging pits.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 68,118
    AlistairM said:

    BREAKING: Partygate investigator Sue Gray broke civil service rules “as a result of the undeclared contact” between her and the Labour Party, according to a Whitehall investigation.
    https://twitter.com/TalkTV/status/1675807612070252545

    Boy, Simon Case really is as nasty and vindictive as he's useless isn't he?
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,786
    Sue Gray banged to rights by a Cabinet Office inquiry.

    Gove Boris his job back!
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,587

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    At least it wasn’t Buckfast!

    An American wine connoisseur made the mistake of reviewing buckfast… Here’s their tasting notes:

    Buckfast Tonic Wine (No Vintage)

    Screw cap, took it off about 30 minutes before to bring in some air. Apparently made by monks in England. Decided to try while cooking dinner. Poured into a glass, first glance has a very inky almost brownish color that you see in older wines. Very syrupy, liquid clings to the side of the glass when swirled. Almost 15% ABV.

    Stuck my nose in and was hit with something I’ve never experienced before. Barnyardy funk (in a bad way) almost like a dead animal in a bird’s nest. A mix of flat Coca Cola and caramel with a whiff of gun metal.

    On the palate, overwhelming sweetness and sugar. Cherry Cola mixed with Benadryl. Unlike anything I’ve tasted. I’m not sure what this liquid is but it is not wine, I’m actually not sure what it is but it tastes like something a doctor would prescribe. A chemical concoction of the highest degree. Can only compare it to a Four Loko.

    Managed to make it through a couple small glasses but not much more. Has absolutely ruined the evening drinking-wise for me as I tried to drink a nice Bordeaux after but the iron-like metallic sweet aftertaste I just couldn’t get out of my mouth even after a few glasses of water. I don’t drink a lot of coffee regularly so I also have mild heart palpitations from the caffeine after just drinking a bit of this and feel a slight migraine.

    An ungodly concoction made by seemingly godly men. I believe the Vatican needs to send an exorcist over to Buckfast Abbey as the devil’s works are cleary present there. After tasting this “wine,” the way I feel can only be described as akin to being under a bridge on one’s knees orally pleasing a vagrant while simultaneously drinking liquified meth through a dirty rag.

    I’ve drank a lot of wines in my life and will never forget this one.
    Buckfast Powersmash is one of those drinks so awful that it's good. Was in the tattier of the village shops when a guy was in buying a few bottles. And looked like he is a regular drinker of the stuff.

    Was then amazed to see a Buckie trade stand at a food expo a few months back. They were pushing the "made by monks" line really hard and getting "ooh that's interesting" responses from trade buyers. FFS no, you really don't need Buckfast punters in your shop. Its like being a proud seller of Lambrini and McEwan's Export.
    Amazingly The Whisky Exchange which I’d assumed was an aspirational up-its-own-arse affair sells Buckie on its site.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,386

    Selebian said:

    BBC on some France riots misinformation:
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66081671

    Features Leon's sniper among the rioters, who was apparently very well prepared, having taken up position over a year ago!

    The far right sources that Leon kept sharing were not accurate?

    I am shocked, shocked at this turn of events.
    It's good investigative work by the BBC.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,385

    Any odds on some twunks from Just Stop Oil trying to orange centre court? Anyone know what kind of paint they use and if its oil based?

    The hypocrisy you're looking for wouldn't be there in any case. If your point is that oil is ruining everything, and you used an oil-based product to ruin something, that's a good way of making your point.

    Which isn't to say they'd be doing the right thing, but the palpable desperation of some people to find some superficial hypocrisy ("HE'S GOT AN IPHONE!!!2!!") to avoid engaging in the substance of the issue is... weak.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,106
    ydoethur said:

    AlistairM said:

    BREAKING: Partygate investigator Sue Gray broke civil service rules “as a result of the undeclared contact” between her and the Labour Party, according to a Whitehall investigation.
    https://twitter.com/TalkTV/status/1675807612070252545

    Boy, Simon Case really is as nasty and vindictive as he's useless isn't he?
    Who watches the watchman who watch the watchmen ?
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,628
    Miklosvar said:

    Nigelb said:

    Miklosvar said:

    Nigelb said:

    Discovery of up to 25 Mesolithic pits in Bedfordshire astounds archaeologists
    Linmere site has more monumental pits in a single area than anywhere else in England and Wales
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2023/jul/03/discovery-25-mesolithic-pits-bedfordshire-astounds-archaeologists

    I try to feel proud of our island heritage, but thinking a large pit makes a decent monument is a bit primitive even for 10,000 BC, is it not? A bit off the Gobekli Tepe pace.

    Proto-Keynesians, no doubt. Location checks out.
    Bit difficult to develop an advanced civilisation form scratch in glacial or permafrost conditions.
    Also, bloody difficult digging pits.
    Interestding that in the Neolithic they ended up with not so much pits but monumental shafts. Bloody difficult to excavate today, never mind dig in the first placer with nobbut wood and antler picks. Some in a complex at Dorchester in Dorset IIRC:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maumbury_Rings

    (not thinking of flint mines such as Grime's Graves - presumably different kettle of fish)
  • Options
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
    No it isn't. If there is increased activity then velocity of money might be expected to increase but if you and I handed each other £5 20 times every hour for the same bottle of wine that would do nothing for GDP.
    You don't seem to be grasping the whole concept.

    I and all other parents donate a prize to the school in the build-up to the fare. This was done twice in recent weeks where the school had a casual clothes Friday and asked for a donation to the fare as the 'fee' for the casual clothes each time.

    I and other parents then pay money to the school to take part in the tombola where as a class the parents win back the prizes they just donated, but shuffled around essentially.

    This ends with the parents having swapped around bottles basically, while the school ends up with money without paying out anything.

    The school can then spend its money as it sees fit. Which presumably is not bottles of wine.

    The school spending the money it received from the tombola absolutely does do something for GDP.

    If you and I hand the school £5 20 times for the same bottle of wine, then it ends up with the wine remaining with one of us where it started and the school £100 up. And that £100 being spent on supplies for the school does do something for GDP.

    If the 2 of us are swapping the same bottle of wine ad nauseum then we are not handing the £5 to each other each time, we're handing it to the school each time.
    We can forget the wine as it is an existing asset. Buying or selling it has no effect on GDP. So you are in effect handing the school £5. So the school has +£5 and you have -£5. C is unaffected.
    Which brings us full circle to what I said at the start.

    The school won't save the money, they will spend it, and as they do, C goes up, so GDP goes up.
    You said "Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y."

    Which is irrelevant to our discussion.

    You gave the school £5 but you now can't spend it. If you are talking about consumption vs savings then you should have made that explicit.
    They can spend (C)

    Yes I can't spend it, but that's neither here nor there unless I was going to spend it. They can. That is C, that is velocity of money, that is GDP.

    Yes I may have equally spent it, in which case if I had that would have also been contributing to GDP, but that is neither here nor there.
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,786
    ...
    ydoethur said:

    AlistairM said:

    BREAKING: Partygate investigator Sue Gray broke civil service rules “as a result of the undeclared contact” between her and the Labour Party, according to a Whitehall investigation.
    https://twitter.com/TalkTV/status/1675807612070252545

    Boy, Simon Case really is as nasty and vindictive as he's useless isn't he?
    "Send an email immediately. Call a celebratory party".
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,696

    Sue Gray banged to rights by a Cabinet Office inquiry.

    Gove Boris his job back!

    It would probably be the Tories’ best bet for the election.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,770

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
    No it isn't. If there is increased activity then velocity of money might be expected to increase but if you and I handed each other £5 20 times every hour for the same bottle of wine that would do nothing for GDP.
    You don't seem to be grasping the whole concept.

    I and all other parents donate a prize to the school in the build-up to the fare. This was done twice in recent weeks where the school had a casual clothes Friday and asked for a donation to the fare as the 'fee' for the casual clothes each time.

    I and other parents then pay money to the school to take part in the tombola where as a class the parents win back the prizes they just donated, but shuffled around essentially.

    This ends with the parents having swapped around bottles basically, while the school ends up with money without paying out anything.

    The school can then spend its money as it sees fit. Which presumably is not bottles of wine.

    The school spending the money it received from the tombola absolutely does do something for GDP.

    If you and I hand the school £5 20 times for the same bottle of wine, then it ends up with the wine remaining with one of us where it started and the school £100 up. And that £100 being spent on supplies for the school does do something for GDP.

    If the 2 of us are swapping the same bottle of wine ad nauseum then we are not handing the £5 to each other each time, we're handing it to the school each time.
    We can forget the wine as it is an existing asset. Buying or selling it has no effect on GDP. So you are in effect handing the school £5. So the school has +£5 and you have -£5. C is unaffected.
    Which brings us full circle to what I said at the start.

    The school won't save the money, they will spend it, and as they do, C goes up, so GDP goes up.
    You said "Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y."

    Which is irrelevant to our discussion.

    You gave the school £5 but you now can't spend it. If you are talking about consumption vs savings then you should have made that explicit.
    They can spend (C)

    Yes I can't spend it, but that's neither here nor there unless I was going to spend it. They can. That is C, that is velocity of money, that is GDP.

    Yes I may have equally spent it, in which case if I had that would have also been contributing to GDP, but that is neither here nor there.
    You could have spent it or they could have spent it. But giving a recycled bottle of wine to a school tombola doesn't affect GDP because you both could spend the £5. You are just outsourcing your consumption to the school.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,628

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    At least it wasn’t Buckfast!

    An American wine connoisseur made the mistake of reviewing buckfast… Here’s their tasting notes:

    Buckfast Tonic Wine (No Vintage)

    Screw cap, took it off about 30 minutes before to bring in some air. Apparently made by monks in England. Decided to try while cooking dinner. Poured into a glass, first glance has a very inky almost brownish color that you see in older wines. Very syrupy, liquid clings to the side of the glass when swirled. Almost 15% ABV.

    Stuck my nose in and was hit with something I’ve never experienced before. Barnyardy funk (in a bad way) almost like a dead animal in a bird’s nest. A mix of flat Coca Cola and caramel with a whiff of gun metal.

    On the palate, overwhelming sweetness and sugar. Cherry Cola mixed with Benadryl. Unlike anything I’ve tasted. I’m not sure what this liquid is but it is not wine, I’m actually not sure what it is but it tastes like something a doctor would prescribe. A chemical concoction of the highest degree. Can only compare it to a Four Loko.

    Managed to make it through a couple small glasses but not much more. Has absolutely ruined the evening drinking-wise for me as I tried to drink a nice Bordeaux after but the iron-like metallic sweet aftertaste I just couldn’t get out of my mouth even after a few glasses of water. I don’t drink a lot of coffee regularly so I also have mild heart palpitations from the caffeine after just drinking a bit of this and feel a slight migraine.

    An ungodly concoction made by seemingly godly men. I believe the Vatican needs to send an exorcist over to Buckfast Abbey as the devil’s works are cleary present there. After tasting this “wine,” the way I feel can only be described as akin to being under a bridge on one’s knees orally pleasing a vagrant while simultaneously drinking liquified meth through a dirty rag.

    I’ve drank a lot of wines in my life and will never forget this one.
    Buckfast Powersmash is one of those drinks so awful that it's good. Was in the tattier of the village shops when a guy was in buying a few bottles. And looked like he is a regular drinker of the stuff.

    Was then amazed to see a Buckie trade stand at a food expo a few months back. They were pushing the "made by monks" line really hard and getting "ooh that's interesting" responses from trade buyers. FFS no, you really don't need Buckfast punters in your shop. Its like being a proud seller of Lambrini and McEwan's Export.
    Buckie punters are actually *upmarket* by the standards of your average jaikie on Union Street or the Sautmarket. Before the alcohol pricing controls came in in particular, you could get smashed far more cheaply on other stuff, and I believe the differential is still there even now if not so marked. (Sudden thought: does the origin of Buckie correlate with its sales in Glasgow to different football club supporters? Never heard of such a thing, though.)
  • Options
    FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,166
    Miklosvar said:

    Selebian said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    It's not just PMQs (as the header notes, two questions a week against one every blue moon) but also invitations to Question Time and invitations to comment on news and current events generally.

    Quite right; the exclusion of the LibDems from such programmes has been scandalous, especially when looks at the time given to the Faragists and similar potential demagogues.

    And Good Morning to one and all.
    Agreed. It's not been fair on the LDs, and reflects very badly on the primitive procedures of the HoC.
    I suppose the problem is, there are eleven recognised parties in the House of Commons: Tories, Labour, SNP, DUP, Sinn Fein (sort of) Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru, SDLP, Alliance, Greens and Reclaim (sort of).

    If each of them had two questions for the leader, plus six for Labour less 2 for SF that's 22 questions. That's a lot to cram in and get backbenchers in too.

    Even if you said they must have at least five MPs, that still leaves 12 to get in. Not much room for more.

    So the line has to be drawn somewhere. It may be unfair on the Lib Dems but ultimately you could make a case it was their own fault they collapsed so much (they were not actually forced to support the disastrous Browne report).
    I don't think anyone was suggesting that every party should get 2 questions, but the fourth party could get, say, a question every other week. That would address the issue without making PMQs unwieldy.
    How about allocating questions on the basis of seat (or even vote!) share? With a lower number for the party of government We could call it proportional questionisation.

    Mind you, that would have left the LDs with ~1 question between GEs, recently! :open_mouth:
    Or, bring back twice weekly PMQ.
    The fourth question slot should be alternated weekly between any parties that have gained 5 or more seats. Currently that would be the Lib Dems and the DUP. It would also include Sinn Fein if they attended.
  • Options
    MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 25,786

    Sue Gray banged to rights by a Cabinet Office inquiry.

    Gove Boris his job back!

    It would probably be the Tories’ best bet for the election.
    Are you sure?

    Mordaunt or someone from that neck of the Conservative hinterland would be a better bet.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,628
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
    No it isn't. If there is increased activity then velocity of money might be expected to increase but if you and I handed each other £5 20 times every hour for the same bottle of wine that would do nothing for GDP.
    You don't seem to be grasping the whole concept.

    I and all other parents donate a prize to the school in the build-up to the fare. This was done twice in recent weeks where the school had a casual clothes Friday and asked for a donation to the fare as the 'fee' for the casual clothes each time.

    I and other parents then pay money to the school to take part in the tombola where as a class the parents win back the prizes they just donated, but shuffled around essentially.

    This ends with the parents having swapped around bottles basically, while the school ends up with money without paying out anything.

    The school can then spend its money as it sees fit. Which presumably is not bottles of wine.

    The school spending the money it received from the tombola absolutely does do something for GDP.

    If you and I hand the school £5 20 times for the same bottle of wine, then it ends up with the wine remaining with one of us where it started and the school £100 up. And that £100 being spent on supplies for the school does do something for GDP.

    If the 2 of us are swapping the same bottle of wine ad nauseum then we are not handing the £5 to each other each time, we're handing it to the school each time.
    We can forget the wine as it is an existing asset. Buying or selling it has no effect on GDP. So you are in effect handing the school £5. So the school has +£5 and you have -£5. C is unaffected.
    Which brings us full circle to what I said at the start.

    The school won't save the money, they will spend it, and as they do, C goes up, so GDP goes up.
    You said "Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y."

    Which is irrelevant to our discussion.

    You gave the school £5 but you now can't spend it. If you are talking about consumption vs savings then you should have made that explicit.
    They can spend (C)

    Yes I can't spend it, but that's neither here nor there unless I was going to spend it. They can. That is C, that is velocity of money, that is GDP.

    Yes I may have equally spent it, in which case if I had that would have also been contributing to GDP, but that is neither here nor there.
    You could have spent it or they could have spent it. But giving a recycled bottle of wine to a school tombola doesn't affect GDP because you both could spend the £5. You are just outsourcing your consumption to the school.
    Hmm, the school loses the Gift Aid of £1.25 which it would get if one gave it the money directly.(But can schools claim gift aid? Depends on the school, presumably.)
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,898

    Sue Gray banged to rights by a Cabinet Office inquiry.

    Gove Boris his job back!

    It would probably be the Tories’ best bet for the election.
    Don't be silly. Johnson has been completely rumbled by the electorate. He is a liar and completely unfit for office. Boris Johnson and his populist apologists are the reason the Conservative Party is where it is. He is the cause of the problem certainly not the solution
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,385

    Selebian said:

    BBC on some France riots misinformation:
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66081671

    Features Leon's sniper among the rioters, who was apparently very well prepared, having taken up position over a year ago!

    The far right sources that Leon kept sharing were not accurate?

    I am shocked, shocked at this turn of events.
    I missed the context of this... was this after Leon was upbraiding me for defending mainstream media for not just rushing to broadcast any old shit someone says on Twitter? And then he got caught out by some misinformation? Delicious, but entirely predictable.

    I do wish people would listen to me a bit more.
  • Options
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    DougSeal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cheap attack from Diane Abbott

    '@HackneyAbbott

    1h
    Our multi-millionaire prime minister Rishi Sunak donates just one £10 bottle of wine to his local school'. After all he signed it too
    https://twitter.com/HackneyAbbott/status/1675761345856262144?s=20

    Almost as cheap as the bottle of wine Sunak donated.
    Our school has a summer fare and Christmas fare where bottles are donated in the build-up and then won at tombolas and I swear the same bottles keep getting recycled. Its highly efficient if you think about it.

    Last summer we won a bottle of mulled wine at the summer fare, I'm guessing whoever donated that had won it the previous Christmas fare as its an odd thing to donate at summer otherwise. We donated it back six months later for the Christmas fare. At Christmas we then won some other bottles, we drank one of those and the others we donated back to the summer fare.

    The school makes its money from a tombola with these bottles. They don't care about the price tag of the bottles, or if its the first of 7th time the same bottle has gone around so long as its in date, they're getting their funds either way each time its done. 🤷‍♂️
    Does nothing for GDP though and surely that is the aim of the school governers.
    Y = C + I + G + (X - M)

    Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y.
    The bottle of wine was part of I in the year of its import. It cannot be counted twice.

    Edit: and if it was a British bottle of wine then it is a second hand good and hence it would be the same as two people swapping a five pound note.
    I is Investment, M is iMports and M is a negative not a positive on the equation.

    That is the point, a second hand bottle of wine doesn't increase M, whereas a newly imported bottle of wine would.

    The money the school raises from the Tombola does boost C when they spend it.

    Hence Y goes up.
    But you were talking about second hand (revolving) bottles of wine.
    Yep - and 1 way of increasing GDP is to increase the velocity of money - i.e. how many times it's spent over a year.
    No it isn't. If there is increased activity then velocity of money might be expected to increase but if you and I handed each other £5 20 times every hour for the same bottle of wine that would do nothing for GDP.
    You don't seem to be grasping the whole concept.

    I and all other parents donate a prize to the school in the build-up to the fare. This was done twice in recent weeks where the school had a casual clothes Friday and asked for a donation to the fare as the 'fee' for the casual clothes each time.

    I and other parents then pay money to the school to take part in the tombola where as a class the parents win back the prizes they just donated, but shuffled around essentially.

    This ends with the parents having swapped around bottles basically, while the school ends up with money without paying out anything.

    The school can then spend its money as it sees fit. Which presumably is not bottles of wine.

    The school spending the money it received from the tombola absolutely does do something for GDP.

    If you and I hand the school £5 20 times for the same bottle of wine, then it ends up with the wine remaining with one of us where it started and the school £100 up. And that £100 being spent on supplies for the school does do something for GDP.

    If the 2 of us are swapping the same bottle of wine ad nauseum then we are not handing the £5 to each other each time, we're handing it to the school each time.
    We can forget the wine as it is an existing asset. Buying or selling it has no effect on GDP. So you are in effect handing the school £5. So the school has +£5 and you have -£5. C is unaffected.
    Which brings us full circle to what I said at the start.

    The school won't save the money, they will spend it, and as they do, C goes up, so GDP goes up.
    You said "Giving them money they can then spend (C) without buying a bottle of imported wine (M) boosts Y."

    Which is irrelevant to our discussion.

    You gave the school £5 but you now can't spend it. If you are talking about consumption vs savings then you should have made that explicit.
    They can spend (C)

    Yes I can't spend it, but that's neither here nor there unless I was going to spend it. They can. That is C, that is velocity of money, that is GDP.

    Yes I may have equally spent it, in which case if I had that would have also been contributing to GDP, but that is neither here nor there.
    You could have spent it or they could have spent it. But giving a recycled bottle of wine to a school tombola doesn't affect GDP because you both could spend the £5. You are just outsourcing your consumption to the school.
    You don't know that I and every other parent who engaged in the tombola will have spent that money.

    We do know that the school will.

    So no, consumption is not unchanged unless every single penny of the school's expenditure is met by a corresponding reduction in consumption by every single parent who took part.
This discussion has been closed.