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How BoJo can still go on hurting the Tories – politicalbetting.com

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  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,906

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    I used to drive my PhD supervisor mad when discussing potential algorithms in which I would informally state "well I think that would be exponentially harder".....as short hand for its going to be bloody computationally expensive so not an option...when of course there is Big O notation when talking about the cost of an algorithm. So many pencils leads snapped by force of being pressed into the pad after being triggered by my misuse of exponentially.
    Oh that's another one. 'Increasing exponentially' has a very specific meaning; it doesn't mean 'increasing a lot'. I'm not sure 'exponentially harder' means anything. I think the vaguely-mathematical term you are after here is 'orders of magnitude harder'.
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,012
    kjh said:

    Miklosvar said:

    kjh said:

    Miklosvar said:

    kjh said:

    Miklosvar said:

    kjh said:

    Miklosvar said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    Is it good or bad that I, as a former Cons member and Cameroonite Tory had to google Steve Barclay?

    Meanwhile if we're talking about Steves I still think that Baker could be the right one to be party leader. V sensible bloke, disagree with him 100% on Brexit but he seems to be smart enough to be pragmatic now that we're here.

    I've bet accordingly.

    He’s a Cambridge educated lawyer, misunderestimate him at your own risk.

    Suella Braverman is also a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    The next Tory leadership election could herald a golden age for the Tory party and the country if Braverman and Barclay make it to the final two.
    He's a Cambridge educated historian, who then trained as a lawyer.

    So Suella it is.
    Portillo was also a Cambridge educated historian, Ken Clarke and Michael Howard Cambridge educated lawyers too.

    Cambridge educated politicians tend to do law or history at university (Shadow Health Secretary Wes Streeting was history too on the Labour side from Cambridge), whereas Oxford politicians Tory or Labour or LD are almost all PPE
    Shame most of them don't do useful stuff like Engineering, Physics, Mathematics which require logical thinking.

    Ducks as historians and lawyers here react.
    Why? If they wanted to be engineers or physicists or mathematicians or accountants or work in industry those might be more relevant but law and history are more relevant for lawmaking and government policy. Albeit Thatcher did Chemistry of course but then did a law course as well after
    Well my comment was just to get a reaction, and just to add to the wind up, is it possible that the reason they did not do, say Physics or Maths was because they lacked the ability to do it (that is my experience). I doubt most people did their specific degrees because they wanted a career in it (with the exception of vocations eg medical degrees). They did them because of a talent in that area or an interest.
    Bit of a fail as a wind up, is it not? you must think to some extent about history and the law, by virtue of being on here, and if you have thought about them and concluded that they can be practised without the exercise of logical thinking you are not going to win any awards for general intellectual prowess.
    Well maybe you have proved the point as you have made an illogical assumption. I said Engineers, Physics and Mathematics require logical thinking. I did not say (all or any) Historians and Lawyers lack logical thinking as can be proved by the posts from many on here. However you would be correct in assuming that I believe given two samples of both I would be inclined to assume the group of scientist would be more logical/intelligent, although I would also assume that sample would have a greater selection of oddballs in them as well (as per @HYUFD assumption which I do agree with).

    Anyway after that ridiculous generalisation by me the other obvious flaw in your reply was how your reply started with 'Bit of a fail as a wind up, is it not?' by the fact that you actually replied.
    You are really bad at this, aren't you? The posts went

    Someone: Cambridge educated politicians tend to do law or history at university (Shadow Health Secretary Wes Streeting was history too on the Labour side from Cambridge), whereas Oxford politicians Tory or Labour or LD are almost all PPE

    You: Shame most of them don't do useful stuff like Engineering, Physics, Mathematics which require logical thinking.

    That can only mean that you think PPE/law/history do nt require logical thinking. There is no other way of interpreting it. It means that, or it is pointless.

    So we have established that logical parsing of your own output is beyond you.
    Maybe you should debate with someone who hasn't done a degree in Logic?
    Hahaha.

    So, explain how your post does not imply that PPE/law/history do not require logical thinking.
    Got to go. House clearance to sort. Come back to me in a few hours.
    Hahaha.
    Have you got a screwloose or something? I have just arrived at my deceased father's house waiting for a house clearance quote. When I said I would get back to you I meant it. Some of us have other things to do than post here. Honestly.
    Sorry for your loss.

    One tip if the quote is 'you pay them' - speak to a general auction house as they'll often clear for free and then give you the proceeds of the sale of stuff...
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 64,184
    DougSeal said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    “Refute” is a bugbear of mine. It isn’t a synonym of “deny”.

    Though curiously 'rebut', which can be so used, has much the same etymological roots, except via French, rather than directly from Latin.

    I use deny to mean deny, refute in its correct sense of destroying an argument, and rebut to mean 'deny with reasons'. FWIW.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,857

    Westie said:

    Interesting...

    "The investigation of the criminal case against Yevgeny Prigozhin, founder of the Wagner Private Military Company, accused of organizing an armed mutiny, has not been closed, a source in the Russian Prosecutor General's Office confirmed to TASS:"

    https://twitter.com/tassagency_en/status/1673259839538044932

    Still leaves me scratching my head wondering what Prigozhin was playing at.

    The only thing I can muster is that he either got cold feet right at the last moment and desperately tried to find a way of exiting the situation, or that he was expecting things to snowball in the Kremlin to such a degree that he would have had figures in the government coming out in support, hence essentially being welcomed into Moscow by the time he arrived.

    Jimmy Rushton
    @JimmySecUK
    Wagner still armed, Putin's authority publicly undermined, Shoigu absent, Prigozhin still being investigated for "armed rebellion" by the FSB, whilst numerous high profile Russian figures call for his execution.

    There's no way this situation holds.

    https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1673266782570774529
    There's been no way it could have held for very long ever since Prigozhin started publishing videos with soldiers' dead bodies and saying you f*ckers in Moscow behind your mahogany desks are sh*tting all over us and we're not going to take it any more. (I said this at the time.)

    The reason why it was all "Deal, deal, peace, peace, he's going to Belarus, and all the charges have been dropped" plus "whisper whisper Shoigu and Gerasimov have been sacked" was to cool tempers among commanders below Prigozhin in Wagner and the Wagner lower ranks. If Shoigu and Gerasimov really had been sacked, the aim of the rebellion would have been achieved. The feeling in Wagner would have been OK, fine, let's allow Putin to save some face, let the media report that we didn't get to Moscow, and anyhow we deserve a rest for a month or so in Belarus, and (for some) hey, what's so bad about regularisation anyway so long as it isn't under that f*cker Shoigu.

    Then he leaves Rostov, his forces have probably been defanged in some way that hasn't been reported, and after one or two days, which is where we are now, it's hell no, of course the charges haven't been dropped.

    Morale. Fronts collapse when it goes.

    Many regular soldiers surely aren't too keen on Wagner, given that when he's been shooting his mouth off Prigozhin hasn't only railed against Shoigu and the military staff but he's also sneered at regular soldiers, calling them a bunch of 18 year olds, etc. (Some of them are 18, but it's the way he said it.)

    So Putin has to tread a careful path, and at the moment he seems to be doing it skilfully. Which just goes to show - don't f*ck with the FSB.
    Thanks Vlad for that update.

    Putin looks weak, incredibly weak, and has allowed others to gain prominence in resolving this rather than doing so himself.

    He's now looking more like a latter-day Yeltsin than the master manipulator he's tried to be this past quarter century.
    Well, quite. If Putin was in such a strong place it would never have been allowed to get to the position it did on Saturday
    I think we can all agree that it would be better if Putin was in a strong place.

    Perhaps a sealed lead casket under a kiloton of concrete?
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,775
    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    I used to drive my PhD supervisor mad when discussing potential algorithms in which I would informally state "well I think that would be exponentially harder".....as short hand for its going to be bloody computationally expensive so not an option...when of course there is Big O notation when talking about the cost of an algorithm. So many pencils leads snapped by force of being pressed into the pad after being triggered by my misuse of exponentially.
    Oh that's another one. 'Increasing exponentially' has a very specific meaning; it doesn't mean 'increasing a lot'. I'm not sure 'exponentially harder' means anything. I think the vaguely-mathematical term you are after here is 'orders of magnitude harder'.
    As I said, the conversation given its academic nature should have been framed in terms of what cost in Big O, but this was my "tick" when brain storming ideas. In the end, I used to do semi-deliberately where I would say exxp, then use something more accurate, just to see if it got a reaction.

    As we saw during COVID, people struggled with the idea of exponential growth.....
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,906

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    'Parse' is one I've recently noticed. It originally had a very technical meaning concerning grammatical analysis, but I've seen it increasing used as a mere synonym of 'understand / make sense of'. I wonder if people have heard about computers 'parsing' sentences (again a specifically technical process) and misconstrued what actually being said.
    Can I also add 'quantum' to the list of misused terms? And also 'quantum leap'?
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 64,184
    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    A nice argument.

    Terrific, even.

    Literally.
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,487

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    'Parse' is one I've recently noticed. It originally had a very technical meaning concerning grammatical analysis, but I've seen it increasing used as a mere synonym of 'understand / make sense of'. I wonder if people have heard about computers 'parsing' sentences (again a specifically technical process) and misconstrued what actually being said.
    I think this has leaked into usage from the US, where legalese slips more into to regular speech than here - though in my experience it goes a little further than just 'understand'; more 'I've analysed this and extracted its true meaning and implication(s)'. It is quite a useful word in that sense, though obviously not if we don't have a shared understanding of the meaning.

    Occasionally fashions for words come from an identifiable source, for example 'swingeing' in the early 2010s around cuts/austerity.

    My least favourite recent word-meme has been the use of '[x party] do not recognise this', a weaselly non-denial denial.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 64,184
    Ukrainian troops have liberated Rivnopil in southern Donetsk Oblast, Dep Def Min Maliar reports
    https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1673283218366242817
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,481
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jun/26/hmrc-fined-184000-low-earners-for-not-filing-return-despite-no-tax-owing

    'HM Revenue and Customs handed out fines to 184,000 people paid less than £12,500 a year – the level under which people were then not subject to income tax – in the 2020-21 financial year (the latest for which full figures are available) for failing to complete a self-assessment tax form on time.

    Many of these people, already in severe financial difficulties, misunderstood the initial fine and were then subjected to further fines and interest. Some people were left facing fines of thousands of pounds, which would take them many years to pay.'

    I suppose they have to make up for all those IHT allowances to well-off Tory voters. But really? Almost 20K people?

    The law is the law whatever you earn, if they failed to submit their self-assessment tax form by the deadline then they would be fined, as would anyone who failed to do so
    If only they were as assidious with the billions missing annually from the rich gits.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 49,061
    Ghedebrav said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    'Parse' is one I've recently noticed. It originally had a very technical meaning concerning grammatical analysis, but I've seen it increasing used as a mere synonym of 'understand / make sense of'. I wonder if people have heard about computers 'parsing' sentences (again a specifically technical process) and misconstrued what actually being said.
    I think this has leaked into usage from the US, where legalese slips more into to regular speech than here - though in my experience it goes a little further than just 'understand'; more 'I've analysed this and extracted its true meaning and implication(s)'. It is quite a useful word in that sense, though obviously not if we don't have a shared understanding of the meaning.

    Occasionally fashions for words come from an identifiable source, for example 'swingeing' in the early 2010s around cuts/austerity.

    My least favourite recent word-meme has been the use of '[x party] do not recognise this', a weaselly non-denial denial.
    Tony Blair initiated a fashion for politicians to refuse to resile from their beliefs but it seems to have died out now.
  • Options
    malcolmg said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jun/26/hmrc-fined-184000-low-earners-for-not-filing-return-despite-no-tax-owing

    'HM Revenue and Customs handed out fines to 184,000 people paid less than £12,500 a year – the level under which people were then not subject to income tax – in the 2020-21 financial year (the latest for which full figures are available) for failing to complete a self-assessment tax form on time.

    Many of these people, already in severe financial difficulties, misunderstood the initial fine and were then subjected to further fines and interest. Some people were left facing fines of thousands of pounds, which would take them many years to pay.'

    I suppose they have to make up for all those IHT allowances to well-off Tory voters. But really? Almost 20K people?

    The law is the law whatever you earn, if they failed to submit their self-assessment tax form by the deadline then they would be fined, as would anyone who failed to do so
    If only they were as assidious with the billions missing annually from the rich gits.
    Put Nicola Sturgeon on the case.

    She is the expert when it comes to missing billions.
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,666
    HYUFD said:

    Yet on the latest Yougov more 2019 Conservative voters now back Reform UK, 16%, than even the 15% who now back Labour.

    So if the Tories try and reject Johnson further they will just see further leakage to Farage and Tice's party
    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2023/06/24/voting-intention-con-22-lab-47-20-21-jun-2023

    That’s one interpretation of the polling, but do you have evidence for it? Maybe these are voters who want right-wing politics, but are put off the Tories because of Johnson. To coax them back, you’d need a louder repudiation of Boris.

    Maybe this is nothing to do with Boris. Maybe these are voters concerned about stopping the small boats, who are observing that the Government’s approach so far has completely failed to stop the small boats.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,149
    Some incredible posts here this morning.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,032
    malcolmg said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jun/26/hmrc-fined-184000-low-earners-for-not-filing-return-despite-no-tax-owing

    'HM Revenue and Customs handed out fines to 184,000 people paid less than £12,500 a year – the level under which people were then not subject to income tax – in the 2020-21 financial year (the latest for which full figures are available) for failing to complete a self-assessment tax form on time.

    Many of these people, already in severe financial difficulties, misunderstood the initial fine and were then subjected to further fines and interest. Some people were left facing fines of thousands of pounds, which would take them many years to pay.'

    I suppose they have to make up for all those IHT allowances to well-off Tory voters. But really? Almost 20K people?

    The law is the law whatever you earn, if they failed to submit their self-assessment tax form by the deadline then they would be fined, as would anyone who failed to do so
    If only they were as assidious with the billions missing annually from the rich gits.
    https://www.cps.gov.uk/cps/news/company-director-jailed-defrauding-taxpayer-more-ps2-million
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 59,286
    viewcode said:

    Interesting...

    "The investigation of the criminal case against Yevgeny Prigozhin, founder of the Wagner Private Military Company, accused of organizing an armed mutiny, has not been closed, a source in the Russian Prosecutor General's Office confirmed to TASS:"

    https://twitter.com/tassagency_en/status/1673259839538044932

    Still leaves me scratching my head wondering what Prigozhin was playing at.

    The only thing I can muster is that he either got cold feet right at the last moment and desperately tried to find a way of exiting the situation, or that he was expecting things to snowball in the Kremlin to such a degree that he would have had figures in the government coming out in support, hence essentially being welcomed into Moscow by the time he arrived.

    Jimmy Rushton
    @JimmySecUK
    Wagner still armed, Putin's authority publicly undermined, Shoigu absent, Prigozhin still being investigated for "armed rebellion" by the FSB, whilst numerous high profile Russian figures call for his execution.

    There's no way this situation holds.

    https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1673266782570774529
    You mean the Russian government deployed lies to achieve a goal and, when that goal was achieved, carried on as if they'd never been spoken? I'm shocked, shocked I tell you.
    Will Prigozhin be shocked though?

    This story has a way to run it seems.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,032

    HYUFD said:

    Yet on the latest Yougov more 2019 Conservative voters now back Reform UK, 16%, than even the 15% who now back Labour.

    So if the Tories try and reject Johnson further they will just see further leakage to Farage and Tice's party
    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2023/06/24/voting-intention-con-22-lab-47-20-21-jun-2023

    That’s one interpretation of the polling, but do you have evidence for it? Maybe these are voters who want right-wing politics, but are put off the Tories because of Johnson. To coax them back, you’d need a louder repudiation of Boris.

    Maybe this is nothing to do with Boris. Maybe these are voters concerned about stopping the small boats, who are observing that the Government’s approach so far has completely failed to stop the small boats.
    As all of them voted for Boris in 2019 but aren't voting for the Tories again under Sunak I doubt your first para is correct.

    Your second I agree on, Sunak needs to stop the boats with Braverman to win lots of them back
  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    Yet on the latest Yougov more 2019 Conservative voters now back Reform UK, 16%, than even the 15% who now back Labour.

    So if the Tories try and reject Johnson further they will just see further leakage to Farage and Tice's party
    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2023/06/24/voting-intention-con-22-lab-47-20-21-jun-2023

    That’s one interpretation of the polling, but do you have evidence for it? Maybe these are voters who want right-wing politics, but are put off the Tories because of Johnson. To coax them back, you’d need a louder repudiation of Boris.

    Maybe this is nothing to do with Boris. Maybe these are voters concerned about stopping the small boats, who are observing that the Government’s approach so far has completely failed to stop the small boats.
    Maybe they're just the fruitcakes, nuts and loons who would say a weird meaningless party like that in the middle of the term anyway, even if some of them might then vote for a mainstream party at General Elections.

    For more on this subject, see also: Greens.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,683

    malcolmg said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jun/26/hmrc-fined-184000-low-earners-for-not-filing-return-despite-no-tax-owing

    'HM Revenue and Customs handed out fines to 184,000 people paid less than £12,500 a year – the level under which people were then not subject to income tax – in the 2020-21 financial year (the latest for which full figures are available) for failing to complete a self-assessment tax form on time.

    Many of these people, already in severe financial difficulties, misunderstood the initial fine and were then subjected to further fines and interest. Some people were left facing fines of thousands of pounds, which would take them many years to pay.'

    I suppose they have to make up for all those IHT allowances to well-off Tory voters. But really? Almost 20K people?

    The law is the law whatever you earn, if they failed to submit their self-assessment tax form by the deadline then they would be fined, as would anyone who failed to do so
    If only they were as assidious with the billions missing annually from the rich gits.
    Put Nicola Sturgeon on the case.

    She is the expert when it comes to missing billions.
    Missing billions?

    I suspect that you're an expert on saying something is much larger than it actually is.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    .

    Interesting...

    "The investigation of the criminal case against Yevgeny Prigozhin, founder of the Wagner Private Military Company, accused of organizing an armed mutiny, has not been closed, a source in the Russian Prosecutor General's Office confirmed to TASS:"

    https://twitter.com/tassagency_en/status/1673259839538044932

    Still leaves me scratching my head wondering what Prigozhin was playing at.

    The only thing I can muster is that he either got cold feet right at the last moment and desperately tried to find a way of exiting the situation, or that he was expecting things to snowball in the Kremlin to such a degree that he would have had figures in the government coming out in support, hence essentially being welcomed into Moscow by the time he arrived.

    Jimmy Rushton
    @JimmySecUK
    Wagner still armed, Putin's authority publicly undermined, Shoigu absent, Prigozhin still being investigated for "armed rebellion" by the FSB, whilst numerous high profile Russian figures call for his execution.

    There's no way this situation holds.

    https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1673266782570774529
    It is interesting that Putin didn’t make a statement on Saturday evening. It surely wouldn’t have harmed to make a “unity has prevailed, we go forward stronger than ever, God Bless The Motherland” kind of speech, given his rather desperate snarly rant at the start of the mutiny.

    So what does it mean that he didn’t? Perhaps it’s nothing and it’s just that he didn’t want to look like he was eating humble pie or drawing more attention to the issue. But is there a possible scenario where he is no longer in control of events, and was ordered not to by someone? Most people do theorise he is not in the Kremlin right now.

    A quiet coup could be going on under our noses.
    Putin’s absence since Saturday morning, does give the impression that something is still very much ongoing behind the scenes. If he had put the rebellious orcs back in their place, he’d have been singing and dancing about it.
  • Options
    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 16,133
    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.


    "perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish."

    Is that a quote from Themistocles?
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,857
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,032
    kjh said:

    Miklosvar said:

    kjh said:

    Miklosvar said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    Is it good or bad that I, as a former Cons member and Cameroonite Tory had to google Steve Barclay?

    Meanwhile if we're talking about Steves I still think that Baker could be the right one to be party leader. V sensible bloke, disagree with him 100% on Brexit but he seems to be smart enough to be pragmatic now that we're here.

    I've bet accordingly.

    He’s a Cambridge educated lawyer, misunderestimate him at your own risk.

    Suella Braverman is also a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    The next Tory leadership election could herald a golden age for the Tory party and the country if Braverman and Barclay make it to the final two.
    He's a Cambridge educated historian, who then trained as a lawyer.

    So Suella it is.
    Portillo was also a Cambridge educated historian, Ken Clarke and Michael Howard Cambridge educated lawyers too.

    Cambridge educated politicians tend to do law or history at university (Shadow Health Secretary Wes Streeting was history too on the Labour side from Cambridge), whereas Oxford politicians Tory or Labour or LD are almost all PPE
    Shame most of them don't do useful stuff like Engineering, Physics, Mathematics which require logical thinking.

    Ducks as historians and lawyers here react.
    Why? If they wanted to be engineers or physicists or mathematicians or accountants or work in industry those might be more relevant but law and history are more relevant for lawmaking and government policy. Albeit Thatcher did Chemistry of course but then did a law course as well after
    Well my comment was just to get a reaction, and just to add to the wind up, is it possible that the reason they did not do, say Physics or Maths was because they lacked the ability to do it (that is my experience). I doubt most people did their specific degrees because they wanted a career in it (with the exception of vocations eg medical degrees). They did them because of a talent in that area or an interest.
    Bit of a fail as a wind up, is it not? you must think to some extent about history and the law, by virtue of being on here, and if you have thought about them and concluded that they can be practised without the exercise of logical thinking you are not going to win any awards for general intellectual prowess.
    Well maybe you have proved the point as you have made an illogical assumption. I said Engineers, Physics and Mathematics require logical thinking. I did not say (all or any) Historians and Lawyers lack logical thinking as can be proved by the posts from many on here. However you would be correct in assuming that I believe given two samples of both I would be inclined to assume the group of scientist would be more logical/intelligent, although I would also assume that sample would have a greater selection of oddballs in them as well (as per @HYUFD assumption which I do agree with).

    Anyway after that ridiculous generalisation by me the other obvious flaw in your reply was how your reply started with 'Bit of a fail as a wind up, is it not?' by the fact that you actually replied.
    You are really bad at this, aren't you? The posts went

    Someone: Cambridge educated politicians tend to do law or history at university (Shadow Health Secretary Wes Streeting was history too on the Labour side from Cambridge), whereas Oxford politicians Tory or Labour or LD are almost all PPE

    You: Shame most of them don't do useful stuff like Engineering, Physics, Mathematics which require logical thinking.

    That can only mean that you think PPE/law/history do nt require logical thinking. There is no other way of interpreting it. It means that, or it is pointless.

    So we have established that logical parsing of your own output is beyond you.
    Maybe you should debate with someone who hasn't done a degree in Logic?
    'Philosophy
    Please click on the link below to find general guidance on the course and logic exercises to complete and return.

    Preparatory reading for Philosophy (PPE, PML)
    https://www.balliol.ox.ac.uk/admissions/undergraduate-admissions/philosophy-politics-and-economics-reading-list'
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,775
    Pulpstar said:

    Some incredible posts here this morning.

    Literally.
  • Options
    GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,487

    HYUFD said:

    Yet on the latest Yougov more 2019 Conservative voters now back Reform UK, 16%, than even the 15% who now back Labour.

    So if the Tories try and reject Johnson further they will just see further leakage to Farage and Tice's party
    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2023/06/24/voting-intention-con-22-lab-47-20-21-jun-2023

    That’s one interpretation of the polling, but do you have evidence for it? Maybe these are voters who want right-wing politics, but are put off the Tories because of Johnson. To coax them back, you’d need a louder repudiation of Boris.

    Maybe this is nothing to do with Boris. Maybe these are voters concerned about stopping the small boats, who are observing that the Government’s approach so far has completely failed to stop the small boats.
    As we approach the halfway point of the year, maybe we need a thread header on how Dishy's getting on with his Five Pledges?

    Is he actually on track to achieve any of them*? Indeed, for four of the five, the evidence is showing the numbers moving in the opposite direction. Only in the one he really doesn't have actual control over - halving inflation - are the figures moving in a vaguely positively direction, albeit too slowly.


    *Obviously not, but still worth asking as it illustrates his shaky politics.
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,666

    Nigelb said:

    Germany commits to station a armored brigade of 4.000 personnel in Lithuania.

    For this Lithuania offers to begin construction of garrisons in 3 cities starting as early as 2025. These are to include training grounds, barracks and sustainment facilities.

    https://twitter.com/Jeff21461/status/1673278487845650432

    Just as well they prepare for any surprises.
    Reportedly their intelligence services heard about Prigozhin's move some time after PB.

    Perhaps as well there was a delay. If I recall correctly some PBers by Saturday afternoon were calling for NATO to go in bawsdeep supporting Ukraine while Putin was distracted, and in any case Vlad was going to be hanging from a lamp post by Sunday.
    Leondamus predicted Putin would be gone by Tuesday. At that moment, Putin was safe.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,600
    Cookie said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    'Parse' is one I've recently noticed. It originally had a very technical meaning concerning grammatical analysis, but I've seen it increasing used as a mere synonym of 'understand / make sense of'. I wonder if people have heard about computers 'parsing' sentences (again a specifically technical process) and misconstrued what actually being said.
    Can I also add 'quantum' to the list of misused terms? And also 'quantum leap'?
    To the point. Dirac-t, even 😀
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,600
    Pulpstar said:

    Some incredible posts here this morning.

    Yes. And yes.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 49,061
    edited June 2023
    Lavrov's giving a press conference at the moment and it's just the usual stuff about how terribly the West has behaved.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    edited June 2023

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    The joke being that the EV shift gives the US a chance at restructuring the world car production system in its favour.

    It will probably be deleterious to legacy us car makers, though. And definitely for the car dealers. Who seem a very Trumpet group - wacko Republicans are definitely their thing.
    Car dealers are huge political donors, often intergenerational businesses, who are very wealthy and connected in their locality, always sponsoring community events and local minor-league sports teams.

    IIRC, car dealer is the most common occupation for those earning more than $1m a year in the US.

    Franchised car dealers in the US, really don’t want EVs.
    https://youtube.com/watch?v=vvozRyADahk
  • Options
    FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,073
    Cookie said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    'Parse' is one I've recently noticed. It originally had a very technical meaning concerning grammatical analysis, but I've seen it increasing used as a mere synonym of 'understand / make sense of'. I wonder if people have heard about computers 'parsing' sentences (again a specifically technical process) and misconstrued what actually being said.
    Can I also add 'quantum' to the list of misused terms? And also 'quantum leap'?
    It wouldn't be a big jump.
  • Options
    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 25,312

    boulay said:

    ydoethur said:

    It’s really boring on here this morning. No Russian trolls to wind up in their own logical ineptitude.

    What if they were never Russian trolls but actually Chinese trolls stirring it up? Try to cause arguments and criticise the west but also make the Russians look stupid.
    An awful lot of Chinese students in the UK. We have a few doing self funded PhDs. Would not amaze if some were working on the side for the state...
    A Chinese colleague at work tells me that it is quite common to have at least one Chinese student in a year at uni, in the U.K., working for the Chinese government. Keeping an eye on their fellow classmates etc.

    Some are quite open about it - warning off their fellow students from getting involved in anything “anti-Chinese”.
    At least one of 'our' PhD students from China is so poor its either a brilliant act or she is just terrible. Possibly the worst first year viva I've ever done...
    Careful; since you have as good as doxxed yourself in the past, it might be possible to narrow down your student to exactly one person.
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,666
    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761

    Lavrov's giving a press conference at the moment and it's just the usual stuff about how terrible the West has behaved.

    Meanwhile, the Ukranian defenders are liberating more towns in the Donbass.

    I’m not counting chickens when all I can see is eggs, but…
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,931
    viewcode said:

    Cookie said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    'Parse' is one I've recently noticed. It originally had a very technical meaning concerning grammatical analysis, but I've seen it increasing used as a mere synonym of 'understand / make sense of'. I wonder if people have heard about computers 'parsing' sentences (again a specifically technical process) and misconstrued what actually being said.
    Can I also add 'quantum' to the list of misused terms? And also 'quantum leap'?
    To the point. Dirac-t, even 😀
    Or, rather, blunt as a hit on the head with a planck?
  • Options
    DougSealDougSeal Posts: 11,828

    malcolmg said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jun/26/hmrc-fined-184000-low-earners-for-not-filing-return-despite-no-tax-owing

    'HM Revenue and Customs handed out fines to 184,000 people paid less than £12,500 a year – the level under which people were then not subject to income tax – in the 2020-21 financial year (the latest for which full figures are available) for failing to complete a self-assessment tax form on time.

    Many of these people, already in severe financial difficulties, misunderstood the initial fine and were then subjected to further fines and interest. Some people were left facing fines of thousands of pounds, which would take them many years to pay.'

    I suppose they have to make up for all those IHT allowances to well-off Tory voters. But really? Almost 20K people?

    The law is the law whatever you earn, if they failed to submit their self-assessment tax form by the deadline then they would be fined, as would anyone who failed to do so
    If only they were as assidious with the billions missing annually from the rich gits.
    Put Nicola Sturgeon on the case.

    She is the expert when it comes to missing billions.
    Missing billions?

    I suspect that you're an expert on saying something is much larger than it actually is.
    It was a fucking nice campervan to be fair.
  • Options
    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 25,312

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    Is it good or bad that I, as a former Cons member and Cameroonite Tory had to google Steve Barclay?

    Meanwhile if we're talking about Steves I still think that Baker could be the right one to be party leader. V sensible bloke, disagree with him 100% on Brexit but he seems to be smart enough to be pragmatic now that we're here.

    I've bet accordingly.

    He’s a Cambridge educated lawyer, misunderestimate him at your own risk.

    Suella Braverman is also a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    The next Tory leadership election could herald a golden age for the Tory party and the country if Braverman and Barclay make it to the final two.
    He's a Cambridge educated historian, who then trained as a lawyer.

    So Suella it is.
    Portillo was also a Cambridge educated historian, Ken Clarke and Michael Howard Cambridge educated lawyers too.

    Cambridge educated politicians tend to do law or history at university (Shadow Health Secretary Wes Streeting was history too on the Labour side from Cambridge), whereas Oxford politicians Tory or Labour or LD are almost all PPE
    Shame most of them don't do useful stuff like Engineering, Physics, Mathematics which require logical thinking.

    Ducks as historians and lawyers here react.
    Why? If they wanted to be engineers or physicists or mathematicians or accountants or work in industry those might be more relevant but law and history are more relevant for lawmaking and government policy. Albeit Thatcher did Chemistry of course but then did a law course as well after
    Well my comment was just to get a reaction, and just to add to the wind up, is it possible that the reason they did not do, say Physics or Maths was because they lacked the ability to do it (that is my experience). I doubt most people did their specific degrees because they wanted a career in it (with the exception of vocations eg medical degrees). They did them because of a talent in that area or an interest.
    At A-Levels I studied Maths, Further Maths, Physics, and History.

    I thought about doing a degree in Maths, Physics, or History.

    Up to the age of 16 I thought I'd end up being a doctor.
    Trouble is, an awful lot of people who thought they'd end up being doctors do end up being doctors, and then taking several years off or going part-time because they hate being doctors.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,857

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Millennials don't seem to get irked by it. Perhaps when they leave school and get jobs their attitudes will change though.
  • Options
    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,875
    Sandpit said:

    .

    Interesting...

    "The investigation of the criminal case against Yevgeny Prigozhin, founder of the Wagner Private Military Company, accused of organizing an armed mutiny, has not been closed, a source in the Russian Prosecutor General's Office confirmed to TASS:"

    https://twitter.com/tassagency_en/status/1673259839538044932

    Still leaves me scratching my head wondering what Prigozhin was playing at.

    The only thing I can muster is that he either got cold feet right at the last moment and desperately tried to find a way of exiting the situation, or that he was expecting things to snowball in the Kremlin to such a degree that he would have had figures in the government coming out in support, hence essentially being welcomed into Moscow by the time he arrived.

    Jimmy Rushton
    @JimmySecUK
    Wagner still armed, Putin's authority publicly undermined, Shoigu absent, Prigozhin still being investigated for "armed rebellion" by the FSB, whilst numerous high profile Russian figures call for his execution.

    There's no way this situation holds.

    https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1673266782570774529
    It is interesting that Putin didn’t make a statement on Saturday evening. It surely wouldn’t have harmed to make a “unity has prevailed, we go forward stronger than ever, God Bless The Motherland” kind of speech, given his rather desperate snarly rant at the start of the mutiny.

    So what does it mean that he didn’t? Perhaps it’s nothing and it’s just that he didn’t want to look like he was eating humble pie or drawing more attention to the issue. But is there a possible scenario where he is no longer in control of events, and was ordered not to by someone? Most people do theorise he is not in the Kremlin right now.

    A quiet coup could be going on under our noses.
    Putin’s absence since Saturday morning, does give the impression that something is still very much ongoing behind the scenes. If he had put the rebellious orcs back in their place, he’d have been singing and dancing about it.
    Apparently he has now surfaced in a video message to Young Engineers or some such. Of course, no idea when that was recorded, or where.
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,906

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,835
    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Millennials don't seem to get irked by it. Perhaps when they leave school and get jobs their attitudes will change though.
    Most (all, depending on exact definitions) millenials should be of working age by now.

    Sick fact, innit?
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,931

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    Is it good or bad that I, as a former Cons member and Cameroonite Tory had to google Steve Barclay?

    Meanwhile if we're talking about Steves I still think that Baker could be the right one to be party leader. V sensible bloke, disagree with him 100% on Brexit but he seems to be smart enough to be pragmatic now that we're here.

    I've bet accordingly.

    He’s a Cambridge educated lawyer, misunderestimate him at your own risk.

    Suella Braverman is also a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    The next Tory leadership election could herald a golden age for the Tory party and the country if Braverman and Barclay make it to the final two.
    He's a Cambridge educated historian, who then trained as a lawyer.

    So Suella it is.
    Portillo was also a Cambridge educated historian, Ken Clarke and Michael Howard Cambridge educated lawyers too.

    Cambridge educated politicians tend to do law or history at university (Shadow Health Secretary Wes Streeting was history too on the Labour side from Cambridge), whereas Oxford politicians Tory or Labour or LD are almost all PPE
    Shame most of them don't do useful stuff like Engineering, Physics, Mathematics which require logical thinking.

    Ducks as historians and lawyers here react.
    Why? If they wanted to be engineers or physicists or mathematicians or accountants or work in industry those might be more relevant but law and history are more relevant for lawmaking and government policy. Albeit Thatcher did Chemistry of course but then did a law course as well after
    Well my comment was just to get a reaction, and just to add to the wind up, is it possible that the reason they did not do, say Physics or Maths was because they lacked the ability to do it (that is my experience). I doubt most people did their specific degrees because they wanted a career in it (with the exception of vocations eg medical degrees). They did them because of a talent in that area or an interest.
    At A-Levels I studied Maths, Further Maths, Physics, and History.

    I thought about doing a degree in Maths, Physics, or History.

    Up to the age of 16 I thought I'd end up being a doctor.
    Trouble is, an awful lot of people who thought they'd end up being doctors do end up being doctors, and then taking several years off or going part-time because they hate being doctors.
    In my experience some folk ended up being put under pressure by their parents to be doctors, hence taking Physics, Chemistry, Biology for A level whatever thir own wishes were. One of my fellow classmates was in that position - escaped, though, to become a watch officer in the UK nuclear deterrent subs. Much more congenial.

    (I'm not suggesting that was actually so in TSE's case.)
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,666
    .
    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Millennials don't seem to get irked by it. Perhaps when they leave school and get jobs their attitudes will change though.
    Every generation is irked by this as they get older.
  • Options
    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 25,312

    How careless of Hikvision....

    The tech flaw that lets hackers control surveillance cameras
    https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-65975446

    Bit of a piss poor story by the BBC to be honest though....we deliberately got a camera with 6 year old firmware and put it on a network with no protection, so we could hack. Its a bit like saying I got a 6 year old unpatched version of Windows XP running no firewall or antivirus / antimalware and a security professional found that it was dead easy to get into.

    Yes but the internet of things (or the internet of cameras) is full of unpatched devices.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,832
    Motorway service station right now. Absolutely in my element.
  • Options
    .
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
    Pretty much the English language, yes.

    If it hadn't evolved, we'd still be speaking Latin.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    Is it good or bad that I, as a former Cons member and Cameroonite Tory had to google Steve Barclay?

    Meanwhile if we're talking about Steves I still think that Baker could be the right one to be party leader. V sensible bloke, disagree with him 100% on Brexit but he seems to be smart enough to be pragmatic now that we're here.

    I've bet accordingly.

    He’s a Cambridge educated lawyer, misunderestimate him at your own risk.

    Suella Braverman is also a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    The next Tory leadership election could herald a golden age for the Tory party and the country if Braverman and Barclay make it to the final two.
    He's a Cambridge educated historian, who then trained as a lawyer.

    So Suella it is.
    Portillo was also a Cambridge educated historian, Ken Clarke and Michael Howard Cambridge educated lawyers too.

    Cambridge educated politicians tend to do law or history at university (Shadow Health Secretary Wes Streeting was history too on the Labour side from Cambridge), whereas Oxford politicians Tory or Labour or LD are almost all PPE
    Shame most of them don't do useful stuff like Engineering, Physics, Mathematics which require logical thinking.

    Ducks as historians and lawyers here react.
    Why? If they wanted to be engineers or physicists or mathematicians or accountants or work in industry those might be more relevant but law and history are more relevant for lawmaking and government policy. Albeit Thatcher did Chemistry of course but then did a law course as well after
    Well my comment was just to get a reaction, and just to add to the wind up, is it possible that the reason they did not do, say Physics or Maths was because they lacked the ability to do it (that is my experience). I doubt most people did their specific degrees because they wanted a career in it (with the exception of vocations eg medical degrees). They did them because of a talent in that area or an interest.
    At A-Levels I studied Maths, Further Maths, Physics, and History.

    I thought about doing a degree in Maths, Physics, or History.

    Up to the age of 16 I thought I'd end up being a doctor.
    Trouble is, an awful lot of people who thought they'd end up being doctors do end up being doctors, and then taking several years off or going part-time because they hate being doctors.
    Or because they start families in their late 20s. IIRC, women are around 60% of new doctors, they’re more likely to marry within their own profession (or marry up) and form households that can survive on one salary for several years. Not an easy problem to solve.
  • Options
    darkagedarkage Posts: 4,905

    darkage said:

    FPT

    darkage said:

    rcs1000 said:

    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    eek said:

    rcs1000 said:

    pigeon said:

    Taz said:

    Heathener said:

    Morning.

    The mean Labour lead from the last six national opinion polls is exactly 20%

    The mean Conservative vote share is 26%

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election

    The Tories won’t do themselves any favours overruling independent pay bodies on public sector pay.

    We are just likely to see more and more strikes and disruption and not just from the likes of the RMT who are politically motivated.
    They're in a complete bind. They'll trot out the wage-price spiral excuse to justify bearing down on public sector pay, but the plain fact is that they're struggling to find politically acceptable cuts to fund extra spending in this area, borrowing is enormous and becoming ever more expensive, and so they're left with either digging their heels in and offering workers peanuts, or raising taxes on their core supporters to pay for more generous rises. There's no violin small enough.
    The reality we are reaching the end game for the Blairite/Thatcher-lite model

    It used to be chunky public spending and low taxes with the difference funded by clever balance sheet tricks (PFI/securitisation) or straight up borrowing. Wages were kept down by relaxed views on immigration

    Cost of borrowing is going up and the markets are twitchy after all that QE

    Asset price bubbles have driven a reasonable standard of living beyond the reach of many

    Effectively unlimited immigration has resulted in underinvestment in business (low wages partly due to immigration and partly due to tax credits) drove down returns (cost saving) on investment and increased the strain on public services (governments didn’t invest in capacity).

    The electorate has been trained to believe the government will always bail them out

    We need a grown up conversation. Either taxes have to go up massively or public services need to be completely rethought.

    But neither politicians or the electorate are ready to have that conversation.

    While much of this is true, it is also the case that other countries have had similar situations to us, and have managed to avoid excessively expensive housing or stagnant business investment.

    They therefore cannot be the whole story.
    It's almost as if our planning system might be different to theirs.

    The largest cost in household budgets is Housing. Not food, not gas, not electricity or anything else it is housing.

    A very large proportion of the cost of housing is the cost of land.

    And the cost of land with planning permission is inflated over land without.

    Resolve one and others follow.
    Build new towns (or refurbish old ones) in the frozen north and left-behind regions. It solves the housing problem, levelling up and rebalancing the economy away from an overheated London in one fell swoop.
    Not really

    There are areas in the run down north with plenty of empty housing, just look at the photo at the top of this article....

    https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/news-opinion/britain-broken-every-direction-know-27184397
    Yes, hence the new town model, even if based on refurbishment, to include attracting new jobs. Rather than dumping grounds for borderline mentally ill drug addicts and thieves.
    Why on earth would any company set up in a newly created new town that no doubt has awful connections to anywhere with any sort of existing economy ?
    Government subsidies, tax concessions, northern powerhouse rail? Britain has built new towns before; there's nothing new.
    NPR won't land until 2045 onwards and will connect Warrington, Manchester and Marsden, no new stops planned, just linking existing populations.

    So you want to create new towns, with no links to existing economies and hope that lower taxes will attract businesses there ?
    Our London based media's obsession over trains is part of the problem. Over 90% of the UK travels via Road, not Rail, especially in the North.

    If you want new towns then new motorway junctions, or better yet new motorways with new junctions is the way to do it quickly. Rail can catch up afterwards.

    Not just in the North, in the South away from London it's very possible too. Eg build a new motorway linking Oxford to Cambridge, extended to Bristol and Norwich perhaps, and with a junction approximately every 5 miles. New towns could spring up along that route, and not in or linked to London.
    Sorry but new roads don’t solve problems - and it’s probably worth watching c4 to,or row to see Ben Elton comparing rail around London and the rest of the UK.
    That sort of timid, self defeating attitude is part of the problem. Of course new roads do solve problems.

    I live in a fast growing new town (they do still exist, just not enough of them). We have thousands of homes being built, all of which are getting snapped up. New shops, businesses, industry opening too.

    And what is the key new transport infrastructure underpinning this? One new motorway junction, with one new A road.

    There's talk we might get a train station in a few years time, I'm not holding my breath, but the new motorway junction? People who get about by road are happy with that. And outside London it's roads, not rail, that truly matters. Of course London is different but WE ARE NOT LONDON.
    The problem here is that what you are now making is an argument for planning, which you claim to reject. The reason why everything is working in your development is more likely than not because decades of work went in to the new trunk roads and motorway junctions, negotiated by the Council with Highways England and the government, as well as the co-siting of commercial development and community infrastructure, and finding ways to fund all this, including through Section 106 contributions by developers. That is what planning is and the value that it adds. If you get rid of planning then none of that happens, houses get built but you can't get anywhere, there are crap roads, no shops, infrastructure etc.

    You could say ok, why not just zone the land through the plan making process and then have a design code rather than having to go through the pain and delay of needing planning permission. You could well do that and some countries do. The main problem is it makes it harder to go through the first stage of the process (the plan making stage) because you need to be absolutely sure that everything is solved before you can confidently rely on a design code for the purposes of delivery.

    A design code is just a delivery mechanism not an alternative to having a planning system. Looking at your example of Japan, my guess is just that they are better at planning because the state is more assertive and organised at building infrastructure. I'd guess the falling prices are more to do with historic deflation than falling demand. But I've never studied the Japanese system in detail so don't feel able to authoritively comment on it.

    In summary the problem is not that a planning system exists in the first place, but because the one we have isn't working very well.
    Sorry that's not remotely an argument for planning, you could not be more wrong. There isn't time for decades of work as our population levels weren't the same decades ago, and if decades of work are going into it then no wonder everything is so broken as the facts decades ago are not the facts today.

    If everything is planned then I'm curious where the new railway station, new schools, new GPs and everything else are. None of them exist. I still am registered at my old GP in my old town, I've not transferred my kids schooling either, and drive across the river to a different town for those.

    Organic development works better. If houses are built, but no schools etc then people will vote for what they need. Unsurprisingly at the local elections the local Lib Dem (who got elected) was not campaigning on NIMBYism, but supporting new GPs to built and new schools to be built. Because that's what the new residents need and its not all there yet. Supermarkets have opened etc because businesses like Aldi and ASDA will open branches where their customers are. Thousands of people move into an area, they'll be in like a shot to get a shot at those customers.

    The state is bloody useless at planning. Design transportation, sure, then let it organically grow in what's zoned there.
    Ok, so you don't think there should be planning, with the exception of road building. There should be no state provision for day to day needs etc - shops, healthcare etc, because this will follow where people choose to build houses because politicians will be elected to make it happen. There would be no public realm, or town centres, just housing and roads, and supermarkets.

    This all sounds like a total disaster to me.



    No. I think there should be healthcare, and schools etc but it should evolve depending upon what the voters need.

    Not spend decades planning what was needed decades ago, but is totally obsolete decades later as the facts have changed so much all your plans were based on faulty assumptions.

    The latter is a proven disaster today.
    @BartholomewRoberts would welcome your thoughts on this

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/here-s-what-s-missing-everything-no-schools-and-no-services-but-houses-keep-going-up-20221012-p5bp7o.html


    " The public primary was the size of a country school and now has 19 demountables. The closest shops were 20 minutes away; if she forgot milk, it was a 40-minute round trip, often in traffic. Trains came hourly, even at the peak. Narrow roads were choked. The hospital repeatedly promised for nearby Rouse Hill didn’t exist, and still doesn’t. Meanwhile, the population grows exponentially."... “They knew we were coming. Where did they think we were going to shop? Where did they think our children would go to school? It comes down to better planning. Stop rushing to get people into these houses.”...

    But people moving into those areas say it takes more than a bunch of rapidly constructed houses to create a community. “So here’s what’s missing,” said Angela Van Dyke of the Riverstone Neighbourhood Centre and Community Aid Service. “Everything. Public education. Public transport. Good urban design. Livability.”... Michelle Rowland, the Labor federal member for the north-west seat of Greenway (and also the communications minister), said the problem was due to a long-term failure of different levels of government to coordinate. “Developers, basically, in a lot of aspects, they do have free rein,” she said. “The incentive of the developer is to maximise land use to maximise profit. Which is why you have a lot of residents complaining [about] what normally they’d call overdevelopment, but a lot of it is to do with a lack of trees, a lack of environmental controls, houses are close together, streets are narrow.”


    Presumably he'd say that given the people exist, that is better to have houses and no schools, than to have neither houses nor schools.
    @rcs1000

    There is something in that argument , but I don't think that is what he is saying. I think he sees the idea of town planning as being socially destructive and a massive cost with no benefits. The usual libertarian thing. But the contradiction is, that when you go and look at the libertarian societies they hold up as examples they tend to actually be quite well planned, ie Singapore and the USA, there is always an active state authority doing the zoning, brokering the economic development etc. I am pretty sure Japan will come in to this category as well.
    It kind of is what I'm saying actually, yes.

    As far as zoning etc is concerned, I'm perfectly fine with that. Pick your agricultural, natural and residential zones etc and the let the Council get out of the way of development within residential zones, even if natural/agricultural zones can't be developed. Which incidentally can work with 'green belt' desires, since you don't zone the green belt residential then.

    Now of course personally I'd prefer the residential zones to be bigger than they are now, but that's a semi-separate debate.

    Beyond that though, I am saying since we have a shortage of 3 million homes today, and we don't have 3 million homes with planning permission let alone under construction, then JFDI applies. Just frigging do it.

    Get the homes built. Better to not be homeless.

    Once the homes are built, of course better ideally to have commerce, schools etc - but in the mean time better to have a home than no home.

    And of course since this is the UK, not Australia or Canada, even if there's no school [yet] within your area there will be schools not very far away. This isn't rural Alberta or Western Australia where your nearest town is 400 km away.

    As I said, my kids go to a different school, in a different town, than the one where I live. There is a small primary and secondary school where I live, which kind of used to be a village but is now a new town [the overwhelming majority of houses in this town did not exist in 2010], but they are small and I like my kids school so we're not transferring them. My kids still have places in the school over the river and I drive them there. Oh and if I didn't drive, there are school buses that come down our road to collect kids to take them to where my kids go to school. I'm guessing we're far from unique in crossing the river to get to school, and there's an option via dedicated school buses for those who don't drive.
    OK then. Your planning reform is to have residential 'zones' with planning permission granted for 3 million plus new houses. You now seem to be accepting that there is a heavy sacrifice (over and beyond what was identified in the example in linked to above) in terms of infrastructure provision, placemaking etc, but consider it is all necessary to deal with the over-riding housing need. You believe that it can and will all be worked out in some way afterwards.

    I think this would be a disaster. It bakes in dependency on the car and the need for continuous expensive upgrades to roads and bridges for generations.

    I also think that the JFDI direction will not actually deliver much more housing. Because as I have pointed out before, the housebuilding industry deliver about 100-150 k houses a year and nothing more and all the signs are that they would continue to do this under any new policy.

    There would be some SME/self building going on but the industry is small and it is not going to be at any significant scale. It won't seriously come on stream until capacity in the construction industry is massively increased. And on these projects, someone else still has to build and fund the roads, the streetlights, the drains etc.

    Prices may fall because of oversupply but they would quickly hit a level where new housebuilding becomes uneconomic in many areas because of build cost inflation. So my best guess is that you would quickly end up with lots of empty plots and a recession.

    If you look through the post war history of housebuilding it is very clear that the only time the government delivers 300,000 houses a year is when it builds half of them itself.

    Sorry but you've got your own assumptions then have worked backwards from there.

    Firstly there's no need for it all to be dependent on the car, in fact the opposite is possible too. If existing residential zones become denser and build up then that can lead to public transport becoming more efficient, not less. Not that I have any objection to the motor vehicle, but I think my proposal if implemented would see places like London seeing building up happening and I wouldn't expect those to be all homes relying upon cars.

    Secondly all the evidence from around the planet is that without planning being an insurmountable obstacle is that SME/self-building should happen at a very significant scale. In almost every country with my proposed system, SME/self-builds happen at orders of magnitude more than here.

    As far as funding the roads etc is concerned that needs to happen either way, planning or no planning. That's what the tax system is for. We pay our taxes, we need roads and transportation. Politicians need to do their job. If you want to put a tax on new houses that goes to a pot to pay towards new roads, then I have no philosophical objection to that, but we pay our taxes either way.

    As far as prices are concerned, too much of the price of new homes currently is planning itself. If that ceases to be the case, then prices can fall without hurting development. If land becomes cheaper, but taxed more [two prongs to this] then land-banking would never happen and people are encouraged to get on with it rather than to dawdle.

    Finally its very clear in the history of housebuilding around the planet, that when competition is allowed to flourish and demand is high then people can and do get on with it. The city of Tokyo alone [population 14 million] has consistently delivered more new homes than the entirety of England combined. As a former cheese loving Prime Minister might have said: That. Is. A. Disgrace.

    Saying that our current system isn't working, so therefore reform is pointless, rather misses the point don't you think?
    Ok. So you are now going to insist that the houses are built more densely to avoid the problem of 'suburban sprawl'.
    How is public transport going to work efficiently - Do the authorities put in the transit routes before the zoning or afterwards?
    At what point would the authorities consider something like walkways, cycle paths etc? At the point when the land is zoned, or afterwards?
    Regarding your comments about much of the cost of new housing being 'planning', this is true to a point, but what about other factors such as 'desirability of location'? Would you agree that the cost of land for housing (and reflected in sale prices) is also influenced by this? For instance, in that article I linked to above, the houses in the suburbs of Sydney were not cheap - the defective planning had not reduced the desirability of the location.


    I would agree that the system isn't working that well and needs to be reformed, but that is an altogether different idea from 'getting rid of planning'.

    FWIW your ideas are very similar to what the government (via policy exchange) actually proposed in January 2020.

    https://policyexchange.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Rethinking-the-Planning-System-for-the-21st-Century.pdf

    The government then developed this set of reforms off the back of it in a white paper, which I thought were actually pretty good.

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/958420/MHCLG-Planning-Consultation.pdf

    Unfortunately this work basically went nowhere. The only legacy of it is a set of perplexing reforms to the use classes order, making it difficult for Council's to control changes of use.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,931
    edited June 2023

    .

    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Millennials don't seem to get irked by it. Perhaps when they leave school and get jobs their attitudes will change though.
    Every generation is irked by this as they get older.
    Sure. But some of us spot the hopeless ambiguities and avoid those words in our writing. Others never accept them [edit] but continue to use the words. Particularly if it means they can cause offence or fight some sort of perceived battle in some sort of perceived woke war.
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,835
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
    'Trump' used to mean beat/win. Now it means loser.
  • Options
    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,387
    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,906
    Selebian said:

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
    'Trump' used to mean beat/win. Now it means loser.
    Or 'fart'.
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,906

    .

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
    Pretty much the English language, yes.

    If it hadn't evolved, we'd still be speaking Latin.
    No we wouldn't - we never spoke Latin!

    To be clear, I don't mind us adding to our language. But I don't see how it benefits anyone when words change their meanings.
    We might be using words differently to how our ancestors used them. But that doesn't mean the process of them changing their meanings was positive.
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,931

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    Still used, even if 'serious context' is stretching it in this particular case:

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12193279/Thrice-married-electrician-convicted-bigamy-wife-learned-Holiday-Inn-wedding.html
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,666
    .
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
    No-one’s managed to stop words changing meaning before. I think that’s reason to give up, or at least to ask people why they think they will have more luck trying to stop this happening today.

    Words changing meaning often means new words are created. “Nephew” used to have a more generic meaning and became more specific, which is useful. Likewise, “meat” used to mean any food and became more specific. English has such a large vocabulary today because words changed meaning.
  • Options
    FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,073

    How careless of Hikvision....

    The tech flaw that lets hackers control surveillance cameras
    https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-65975446

    Bit of a piss poor story by the BBC to be honest though....we deliberately got a camera with 6 year old firmware and put it on a network with no protection, so we could hack. Its a bit like saying I got a 6 year old unpatched version of Windows XP running no firewall or antivirus / antimalware and a security professional found that it was dead easy to get into.

    Yes but the internet of things (or the internet of cameras) is full of unpatched devices.
    The Chinese tat cameras I have all attempt to phone home regardless of device settings.

    Obviously I block them from internet access and only allow inward viewing via my own VPN but you do wonder what is being done with all that data.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 77,775
    edited June 2023

    How careless of Hikvision....

    The tech flaw that lets hackers control surveillance cameras
    https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-65975446

    Bit of a piss poor story by the BBC to be honest though....we deliberately got a camera with 6 year old firmware and put it on a network with no protection, so we could hack. Its a bit like saying I got a 6 year old unpatched version of Windows XP running no firewall or antivirus / antimalware and a security professional found that it was dead easy to get into.

    Yes but the internet of things (or the internet of cameras) is full of unpatched devices.
    Sure. But the angle of the story is Hikvision can't be trusted. On this specific issue, they released a firmware patch for this 6 years ago, then BBC set up an artificial scenario to show it can be hacked using the exploit released prior to that patch. As I said, its a bit like saying well an old version of Windows can be hacked because I didn't patch it nor put it behind a firewall. That doesn't then make Microsoft look like a US state actor or a company we should worry about.

    Now if they had revealed there was still a backdoor into the camera despite the patch or the show they are transmitting your video to them, now that would be a story. And of course the wider story about should we be trusting the like of Hikvision for cameras all over the country, now that is definitely worthy of discussion.

    But on this specific story, its piss poor. General IoT marketed products are unsafe isn't the angle they are going for (which is certainly yet another story worthy of discussion, because they are and authorities really not caught on yet.
  • Options
    BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 19,312
    edited June 2023
    .
    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    FPT

    darkage said:

    rcs1000 said:

    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    eek said:

    rcs1000 said:

    pigeon said:

    Taz said:

    Heathener said:

    Morning.

    The mean Labour lead from the last six national opinion polls is exactly 20%

    The mean Conservative vote share is 26%

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election

    The Tories won’t do themselves any favours overruling independent pay bodies on public sector pay.

    We are just likely to see more and more strikes and disruption and not just from the likes of the RMT who are politically motivated.
    They're in a complete bind. They'll trot out the wage-price spiral excuse to justify bearing down on public sector pay, but the plain fact is that they're struggling to find politically acceptable cuts to fund extra spending in this area, borrowing is enormous and becoming ever more expensive, and so they're left with either digging their heels in and offering workers peanuts, or raising taxes on their core supporters to pay for more generous rises. There's no violin small enough.
    The reality we are reaching the end game for the Blairite/Thatcher-lite model

    It used to be chunky public spending and low taxes with the difference funded by clever balance sheet tricks (PFI/securitisation) or straight up borrowing. Wages were kept down by relaxed views on immigration

    Cost of borrowing is going up and the markets are twitchy after all that QE

    Asset price bubbles have driven a reasonable standard of living beyond the reach of many

    Effectively unlimited immigration has resulted in underinvestment in business (low wages partly due to immigration and partly due to tax credits) drove down returns (cost saving) on investment and increased the strain on public services (governments didn’t invest in capacity).

    The electorate has been trained to believe the government will always bail them out

    We need a grown up conversation. Either taxes have to go up massively or public services need to be completely rethought.

    But neither politicians or the electorate are ready to have that conversation.

    While much of this is true, it is also the case that other countries have had similar situations to us, and have managed to avoid excessively expensive housing or stagnant business investment.

    They therefore cannot be the whole story.
    It's almost as if our planning system might be different to theirs.

    The largest cost in household budgets is Housing. Not food, not gas, not electricity or anything else it is housing.

    A very large proportion of the cost of housing is the cost of land.

    And the cost of land with planning permission is inflated over land without.

    Resolve one and others follow.
    Build new towns (or refurbish old ones) in the frozen north and left-behind regions. It solves the housing problem, levelling up and rebalancing the economy away from an overheated London in one fell swoop.
    Not really

    There are areas in the run down north with plenty of empty housing, just look at the photo at the top of this article....

    https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/news-opinion/britain-broken-every-direction-know-27184397
    Yes, hence the new town model, even if based on refurbishment, to include attracting new jobs. Rather than dumping grounds for borderline mentally ill drug addicts and thieves.
    Why on earth would any company set up in a newly created new town that no doubt has awful connections to anywhere with any sort of existing economy ?
    Government subsidies, tax concessions, northern powerhouse rail? Britain has built new towns before; there's nothing new.
    NPR won't land until 2045 onwards and will connect Warrington, Manchester and Marsden, no new stops planned, just linking existing populations.

    So you want to create new towns, with no links to existing economies and hope that lower taxes will attract businesses there ?
    Our London based media's obsession over trains is part of the problem. Over 90% of the UK travels via Road, not Rail, especially in the North.

    If you want new towns then new motorway junctions, or better yet new motorways with new junctions is the way to do it quickly. Rail can catch up afterwards.

    Not just in the North, in the South away from London it's very possible too. Eg build a new motorway linking Oxford to Cambridge, extended to Bristol and Norwich perhaps, and with a junction approximately every 5 miles. New towns could spring up along that route, and not in or linked to London.
    Sorry but new roads don’t solve problems - and it’s probably worth watching c4 to,or row to see Ben Elton comparing rail around London and the rest of the UK.
    That sort of timid, self defeating attitude is part of the problem. Of course new roads do solve problems.

    I live in a fast growing new town (they do still exist, just not enough of them). We have thousands of homes being built, all of which are getting snapped up. New shops, businesses, industry opening too.

    And what is the key new transport infrastructure underpinning this? One new motorway junction, with one new A road.

    There's talk we might get a train station in a few years time, I'm not holding my breath, but the new motorway junction? People who get about by road are happy with that. And outside London it's roads, not rail, that truly matters. Of course London is different but WE ARE NOT LONDON.
    The problem here is that what you are now making is an argument for planning, which you claim to reject. The reason why everything is working in your development is more likely than not because decades of work went in to the new trunk roads and motorway junctions, negotiated by the Council with Highways England and the government, as well as the co-siting of commercial development and community infrastructure, and finding ways to fund all this, including through Section 106 contributions by developers. That is what planning is and the value that it adds. If you get rid of planning then none of that happens, houses get built but you can't get anywhere, there are crap roads, no shops, infrastructure etc.

    You could say ok, why not just zone the land through the plan making process and then have a design code rather than having to go through the pain and delay of needing planning permission. You could well do that and some countries do. The main problem is it makes it harder to go through the first stage of the process (the plan making stage) because you need to be absolutely sure that everything is solved before you can confidently rely on a design code for the purposes of delivery.

    A design code is just a delivery mechanism not an alternative to having a planning system. Looking at your example of Japan, my guess is just that they are better at planning because the state is more assertive and organised at building infrastructure. I'd guess the falling prices are more to do with historic deflation than falling demand. But I've never studied the Japanese system in detail so don't feel able to authoritively comment on it.

    In summary the problem is not that a planning system exists in the first place, but because the one we have isn't working very well.
    Sorry that's not remotely an argument for planning, you could not be more wrong. There isn't time for decades of work as our population levels weren't the same decades ago, and if decades of work are going into it then no wonder everything is so broken as the facts decades ago are not the facts today.

    If everything is planned then I'm curious where the new railway station, new schools, new GPs and everything else are. None of them exist. I still am registered at my old GP in my old town, I've not transferred my kids schooling either, and drive across the river to a different town for those.

    Organic development works better. If houses are built, but no schools etc then people will vote for what they need. Unsurprisingly at the local elections the local Lib Dem (who got elected) was not campaigning on NIMBYism, but supporting new GPs to built and new schools to be built. Because that's what the new residents need and its not all there yet. Supermarkets have opened etc because businesses like Aldi and ASDA will open branches where their customers are. Thousands of people move into an area, they'll be in like a shot to get a shot at those customers.

    The state is bloody useless at planning. Design transportation, sure, then let it organically grow in what's zoned there.
    Ok, so you don't think there should be planning, with the exception of road building. There should be no state provision for day to day needs etc - shops, healthcare etc, because this will follow where people choose to build houses because politicians will be elected to make it happen. There would be no public realm, or town centres, just housing and roads, and supermarkets.

    This all sounds like a total disaster to me.



    No. I think there should be healthcare, and schools etc but it should evolve depending upon what the voters need.

    Not spend decades planning what was needed decades ago, but is totally obsolete decades later as the facts have changed so much all your plans were based on faulty assumptions.

    The latter is a proven disaster today.
    @BartholomewRoberts would welcome your thoughts on this

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/here-s-what-s-missing-everything-no-schools-and-no-services-but-houses-keep-going-up-20221012-p5bp7o.html


    " The public primary was the size of a country school and now has 19 demountables. The closest shops were 20 minutes away; if she forgot milk, it was a 40-minute round trip, often in traffic. Trains came hourly, even at the peak. Narrow roads were choked. The hospital repeatedly promised for nearby Rouse Hill didn’t exist, and still doesn’t. Meanwhile, the population grows exponentially."... “They knew we were coming. Where did they think we were going to shop? Where did they think our children would go to school? It comes down to better planning. Stop rushing to get people into these houses.”...

    But people moving into those areas say it takes more than a bunch of rapidly constructed houses to create a community. “So here’s what’s missing,” said Angela Van Dyke of the Riverstone Neighbourhood Centre and Community Aid Service. “Everything. Public education. Public transport. Good urban design. Livability.”... Michelle Rowland, the Labor federal member for the north-west seat of Greenway (and also the communications minister), said the problem was due to a long-term failure of different levels of government to coordinate. “Developers, basically, in a lot of aspects, they do have free rein,” she said. “The incentive of the developer is to maximise land use to maximise profit. Which is why you have a lot of residents complaining [about] what normally they’d call overdevelopment, but a lot of it is to do with a lack of trees, a lack of environmental controls, houses are close together, streets are narrow.”


    Presumably he'd say that given the people exist, that is better to have houses and no schools, than to have neither houses nor schools.
    @rcs1000

    There is something in that argument , but I don't think that is what he is saying. I think he sees the idea of town planning as being socially destructive and a massive cost with no benefits. The usual libertarian thing. But the contradiction is, that when you go and look at the libertarian societies they hold up as examples they tend to actually be quite well planned, ie Singapore and the USA, there is always an active state authority doing the zoning, brokering the economic development etc. I am pretty sure Japan will come in to this category as well.
    It kind of is what I'm saying actually, yes.

    As far as zoning etc is concerned, I'm perfectly fine with that. Pick your agricultural, natural and residential zones etc and the let the Council get out of the way of development within residential zones, even if natural/agricultural zones can't be developed. Which incidentally can work with 'green belt' desires, since you don't zone the green belt residential then.

    Now of course personally I'd prefer the residential zones to be bigger than they are now, but that's a semi-separate debate.

    Beyond that though, I am saying since we have a shortage of 3 million homes today, and we don't have 3 million homes with planning permission let alone under construction, then JFDI applies. Just frigging do it.

    Get the homes built. Better to not be homeless.

    Once the homes are built, of course better ideally to have commerce, schools etc - but in the mean time better to have a home than no home.

    And of course since this is the UK, not Australia or Canada, even if there's no school [yet] within your area there will be schools not very far away. This isn't rural Alberta or Western Australia where your nearest town is 400 km away.

    As I said, my kids go to a different school, in a different town, than the one where I live. There is a small primary and secondary school where I live, which kind of used to be a village but is now a new town [the overwhelming majority of houses in this town did not exist in 2010], but they are small and I like my kids school so we're not transferring them. My kids still have places in the school over the river and I drive them there. Oh and if I didn't drive, there are school buses that come down our road to collect kids to take them to where my kids go to school. I'm guessing we're far from unique in crossing the river to get to school, and there's an option via dedicated school buses for those who don't drive.
    OK then. Your planning reform is to have residential 'zones' with planning permission granted for 3 million plus new houses. You now seem to be accepting that there is a heavy sacrifice (over and beyond what was identified in the example in linked to above) in terms of infrastructure provision, placemaking etc, but consider it is all necessary to deal with the over-riding housing need. You believe that it can and will all be worked out in some way afterwards.

    I think this would be a disaster. It bakes in dependency on the car and the need for continuous expensive upgrades to roads and bridges for generations.
    I also think that the JFDI direction will not actually deliver much more housing. Because as I have pointed out before, the housebuilding industry deliver about 100-150 k houses a year and nothing more and all the signs are that they would continue to do this under any new policy.

    There would be some SME/self building going on but the industry is small and it is not going to be at any significant scale. It won't seriously come on stream until capacity in the construction industry is massively increased. And on these projects, someone else still has to build and fund the roads, the streetlights, the drains etc.

    Prices may fall because of oversupply but they would quickly hit a level where new housebuilding becomes uneconomic in many areas because of build cost inflation. So my best guess is that you would quickly end up with lots of empty plots and a recession.

    If you look through the post war history of housebuilding it is very clear that the only time the government delivers 300,000 houses a year is when it builds half of them itself.

    Sorry but you've got your own assumptions then have worked backwards from there.

    Firstly there's no need for it all to be dependent on the car, in fact the opposite is possible too. If existing residential zones become denser and build up then that can lead to public transport becoming more efficient, not less. Not that I have any objection to the motor vehicle, but I think my proposal if implemented would see places like London seeing building up happening and I wouldn't expect those to be all homes relying upon cars.

    Secondly all the evidence from around the planet is that without planning being an insurmountable obstacle is that SME/self-building should happen at a very significant scale. In almost every country with my proposed system, SME/self-builds happen at orders of magnitude more than here.

    As far as funding the roads etc is concerned that needs to happen either way, planning or no planning. That's what the tax system is for. We pay our taxes, we need roads and transportation. Politicians need to do their job. If you want to put a tax on new houses that goes to a pot to pay towards new roads, then I have no philosophical objection to that, but we pay our taxes either way.

    As far as prices are concerned, too much of the price of new homes currently is planning itself. If that ceases to be the case, then prices can fall without hurting development. If land becomes cheaper, but taxed more [two prongs to this] then land-banking would never happen and people are encouraged to get on with it rather than to dawdle.

    Finally its very clear in the history of housebuilding around the planet, that when competition is allowed to flourish and demand is high then people can and do get on with it. The city of Tokyo alone [population 14 million] has consistently delivered more new homes than the entirety of England combined. As a former cheese loving Prime Minister might have said: That. Is. A. Disgrace.

    Saying that our current system isn't working, so therefore reform is pointless, rather misses the point don't you think?
    Ok. So you are now going to insist that the houses are built more densely to avoid the problem of 'suburban sprawl'.
    How is public transport going to work efficiently - Do the authorities put in the transit routes before the zoning or afterwards?
    At what point would the authorities consider something like walkways, cycle paths etc? At the point when the land is zoned, or afterwards?
    Regarding your comments about much of the cost of new housing being 'planning', this is true to a point, but what about other factors such as 'desirability of location'? Would you agree that the cost of land for housing (and reflected in sale prices) is also influenced by this? For instance, in that article I linked to above, the houses in the suburbs of Sydney were not cheap - the defective planning had not reduced the desirability of the location.


    I would agree that the system isn't working that well and needs to be reformed, but that is an altogether different idea from 'getting rid of planning'.

    FWIW your ideas are very similar to what the government (via policy exchange) actually proposed in January 2020.

    https://policyexchange.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Rethinking-the-Planning-System-for-the-21st-Century.pdf

    The government then developed this set of reforms off the back of it in a white paper, which I thought were actually pretty good.

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/958420/MHCLG-Planning-Consultation.pdf

    Unfortunately this work basically went nowhere. The only legacy of it is a set of perplexing reforms to the use classes order, making it difficult for Council's to control changes of use.
    No, I'm not going to "insist" that houses are built more densely. What part of it is it that you're struggling to understand, I don't think anyone should insist upon anything, myself included.

    Let the owner of the land decide.

    Where land is valuable in its own right, rather than because of planning, eg in cities then building up will probably happen not because you or I want it, but because that's the most effective use of land so people will choose to do it.

    Transit routes, along with schooling and other public services should evolve over time, you might have an initial idea but it shouldn't ever be ossified. People change and adapt what they use. An area that is bought out by young people may end up becoming embraced by old people - sometimes the same ex-young people who never moved.

    We need to evolve over time, not plan something based on the needs of decades ago.

    Yes the 2020 reforms were a good idea, didn't go as far as I'd like but a big step in the right direction, its a shame they were dropped.
  • Options
    SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,835
    Carnyx said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    Is it good or bad that I, as a former Cons member and Cameroonite Tory had to google Steve Barclay?

    Meanwhile if we're talking about Steves I still think that Baker could be the right one to be party leader. V sensible bloke, disagree with him 100% on Brexit but he seems to be smart enough to be pragmatic now that we're here.

    I've bet accordingly.

    He’s a Cambridge educated lawyer, misunderestimate him at your own risk.

    Suella Braverman is also a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    The next Tory leadership election could herald a golden age for the Tory party and the country if Braverman and Barclay make it to the final two.
    He's a Cambridge educated historian, who then trained as a lawyer.

    So Suella it is.
    Portillo was also a Cambridge educated historian, Ken Clarke and Michael Howard Cambridge educated lawyers too.

    Cambridge educated politicians tend to do law or history at university (Shadow Health Secretary Wes Streeting was history too on the Labour side from Cambridge), whereas Oxford politicians Tory or Labour or LD are almost all PPE
    Shame most of them don't do useful stuff like Engineering, Physics, Mathematics which require logical thinking.

    Ducks as historians and lawyers here react.
    Why? If they wanted to be engineers or physicists or mathematicians or accountants or work in industry those might be more relevant but law and history are more relevant for lawmaking and government policy. Albeit Thatcher did Chemistry of course but then did a law course as well after
    Well my comment was just to get a reaction, and just to add to the wind up, is it possible that the reason they did not do, say Physics or Maths was because they lacked the ability to do it (that is my experience). I doubt most people did their specific degrees because they wanted a career in it (with the exception of vocations eg medical degrees). They did them because of a talent in that area or an interest.
    At A-Levels I studied Maths, Further Maths, Physics, and History.

    I thought about doing a degree in Maths, Physics, or History.

    Up to the age of 16 I thought I'd end up being a doctor.
    Trouble is, an awful lot of people who thought they'd end up being doctors do end up being doctors, and then taking several years off or going part-time because they hate being doctors.
    In my experience some folk ended up being put under pressure by their parents to be doctors, hence taking Physics, Chemistry, Biology for A level whatever thir own wishes were. One of my fellow classmates was in that position - escaped, though, to become a watch officer in the UK nuclear deterrent subs. Much more congenial.

    (I'm not suggesting that was actually so in TSE's case.)
    No... Might be unfair, but I struggle to see TSE as a watch officer in a UK nuclear deterrent sub. :wink:
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,859
    Sandpit said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    The joke being that the EV shift gives the US a chance at restructuring the world car production system in its favour.

    It will probably be deleterious to legacy us car makers, though. And definitely for the car dealers. Who seem a very Trumpet group - wacko Republicans are definitely their thing.
    Car dealers are huge political donors, often intergenerational businesses, who are very wealthy and connected in their locality, always sponsoring community events and local minor-league sports teams.

    IIRC, car dealer is the most common occupation for those earning more than $1m a year in the US.

    Franchised car dealers in the US, really don’t want EVs.
    https://youtube.com/watch?v=vvozRyADahk
    THe problem for the Franchised dealers is that few people like them and GM / Ford have spent the last 20 years trying to bypass them..
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,931
    Selebian said:

    Carnyx said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    Is it good or bad that I, as a former Cons member and Cameroonite Tory had to google Steve Barclay?

    Meanwhile if we're talking about Steves I still think that Baker could be the right one to be party leader. V sensible bloke, disagree with him 100% on Brexit but he seems to be smart enough to be pragmatic now that we're here.

    I've bet accordingly.

    He’s a Cambridge educated lawyer, misunderestimate him at your own risk.

    Suella Braverman is also a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    The next Tory leadership election could herald a golden age for the Tory party and the country if Braverman and Barclay make it to the final two.
    He's a Cambridge educated historian, who then trained as a lawyer.

    So Suella it is.
    Portillo was also a Cambridge educated historian, Ken Clarke and Michael Howard Cambridge educated lawyers too.

    Cambridge educated politicians tend to do law or history at university (Shadow Health Secretary Wes Streeting was history too on the Labour side from Cambridge), whereas Oxford politicians Tory or Labour or LD are almost all PPE
    Shame most of them don't do useful stuff like Engineering, Physics, Mathematics which require logical thinking.

    Ducks as historians and lawyers here react.
    Why? If they wanted to be engineers or physicists or mathematicians or accountants or work in industry those might be more relevant but law and history are more relevant for lawmaking and government policy. Albeit Thatcher did Chemistry of course but then did a law course as well after
    Well my comment was just to get a reaction, and just to add to the wind up, is it possible that the reason they did not do, say Physics or Maths was because they lacked the ability to do it (that is my experience). I doubt most people did their specific degrees because they wanted a career in it (with the exception of vocations eg medical degrees). They did them because of a talent in that area or an interest.
    At A-Levels I studied Maths, Further Maths, Physics, and History.

    I thought about doing a degree in Maths, Physics, or History.

    Up to the age of 16 I thought I'd end up being a doctor.
    Trouble is, an awful lot of people who thought they'd end up being doctors do end up being doctors, and then taking several years off or going part-time because they hate being doctors.
    In my experience some folk ended up being put under pressure by their parents to be doctors, hence taking Physics, Chemistry, Biology for A level whatever thir own wishes were. One of my fellow classmates was in that position - escaped, though, to become a watch officer in the UK nuclear deterrent subs. Much more congenial.

    (I'm not suggesting that was actually so in TSE's case.)
    No... Might be unfair, but I struggle to see TSE as a watch officer in a UK nuclear deterrent sub. :wink:
    The uniform footwear is a bit of a problem, I realise.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 28,262
    Not sure whether it was worth making a special trip to Trent Bridge today. Disappointing from England.
  • Options
    .
    Cookie said:

    .

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
    Pretty much the English language, yes.

    If it hadn't evolved, we'd still be speaking Latin.
    No we wouldn't - we never spoke Latin!

    To be clear, I don't mind us adding to our language. But I don't see how it benefits anyone when words change their meanings.
    We might be using words differently to how our ancestors used them. But that doesn't mean the process of them changing their meanings was positive.
    I think its incredibly useful to see how words change their meanings.

    Words meanings evolve because the new meaning has more use than the old one, so the new usage supersedes the old one.

    Evolution is a good thing.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761
    .
    eek said:

    Sandpit said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    The joke being that the EV shift gives the US a chance at restructuring the world car production system in its favour.

    It will probably be deleterious to legacy us car makers, though. And definitely for the car dealers. Who seem a very Trumpet group - wacko Republicans are definitely their thing.
    Car dealers are huge political donors, often intergenerational businesses, who are very wealthy and connected in their locality, always sponsoring community events and local minor-league sports teams.

    IIRC, car dealer is the most common occupation for those earning more than $1m a year in the US.

    Franchised car dealers in the US, really don’t want EVs.
    https://youtube.com/watch?v=vvozRyADahk
    THe problem for the Franchised dealers is that few people like them and GM / Ford have spent the last 20 years trying to bypass them..
    Oh indeed. They’re mostly terrible middlemen, inserting themselves into a transaction against the wishes of both the supplier and customer. In the last couple of years they’ve been particularly egregious, adding huge markups to cars as supplies ran dry.

    But they have the ear of state legislators, and can write their own protectionist Bills.
  • Options
    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 25,312

    How careless of Hikvision....

    The tech flaw that lets hackers control surveillance cameras
    https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-65975446

    Bit of a piss poor story by the BBC to be honest though....we deliberately got a camera with 6 year old firmware and put it on a network with no protection, so we could hack. Its a bit like saying I got a 6 year old unpatched version of Windows XP running no firewall or antivirus / antimalware and a security professional found that it was dead easy to get into.

    Yes but the internet of things (or the internet of cameras) is full of unpatched devices.
    Sure. But the angle of the story is Hikvision can't be trusted. On this specific issue, they released a firmware patch for this 6 years ago, then BBC set up an artificial scenario to show it can be hacked using the exploit released prior to that patch. As I said, its a bit like saying well an old version of Windows can be hacked because I didn't patch it nor put it behind a firewall.

    Now if they had revealed there was still a backdoor into the camera despite the patch, now that would be a story. And of course the wider story about should we be trusting the like of Hikvision for cameras all over the country, now that is definitely worthy of discussion.

    But on this specific story, its piss poor. General IoT marketed products are unsafe isn't the angle they are going for (which is certainly yet another story worthy of discussion).
    Yes, but my point was that it is not useful to issue firmware patches to devices already deployed by people who would not know a firmware patch from a hole in a firewall. It is good that new devices are secure when they leave the factory but there is an awful lot of deployed kit out there whose only saving grace is that not even President Xi cares what you get up to in Acacia Avenue.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,859
    UK's National Cancer Research Institute is to close down after more than 20 years over concerns about its funding. I am told this infrastructure is vital to cancer clinical trials across UK.

    Not because it doesn't have important work to do but because no-one in Government wants to pay for it.

    https://twitter.com/ShaunLintern/status/1673311499467595777
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,600
    "...Elves are wonderful. They provoke wonder.
    Elves are marvellous. They cause marvels.
    Elves are fantastic. They create fantasies.
    Elves are glamorous. They project glamour.
    Elves are enchanting. They weave enchantment.
    Elves are terrific. They beget terror.
    The thing about words is that meanings can twist just like a snake...
    Nobody said elves were nice.
    Elves are bad...."


    Terry Pratchett, "Lords and Ladies", 1992
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 28,262
    edited June 2023
    tlg86 said:

    tlg86 said:

    https://twitter.com/ascorbic/status/1673262602141462528

    Helicopters collecting people from Glastonbury this morning

    Well they wouldn't want to mix with the plebs on public transport......

    Just look at this shit show,

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12233419/Volunteers-work-great-Glastonbury-clean-sea-rubbish-left-behind.html

    A few years back, I went to a Rock festival in Germany with 100k+ people and it was nothing like this at the end.
    A cheap way to go to Glastonbury is as a volunteer doing things like rubbish collections.
    How about the people who attended Glastonbury being the ones to clear up their own rubbish?

    Just a thought. 🤔
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761

    How careless of Hikvision....

    The tech flaw that lets hackers control surveillance cameras
    https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-65975446

    Bit of a piss poor story by the BBC to be honest though....we deliberately got a camera with 6 year old firmware and put it on a network with no protection, so we could hack. Its a bit like saying I got a 6 year old unpatched version of Windows XP running no firewall or antivirus / antimalware and a security professional found that it was dead easy to get into.

    Yes but the internet of things (or the internet of cameras) is full of unpatched devices.
    Sure. But the angle of the story is Hikvision can't be trusted. On this specific issue, they released a firmware patch for this 6 years ago, then BBC set up an artificial scenario to show it can be hacked using the exploit released prior to that patch. As I said, its a bit like saying well an old version of Windows can be hacked because I didn't patch it nor put it behind a firewall.

    Now if they had revealed there was still a backdoor into the camera despite the patch, now that would be a story. And of course the wider story about should we be trusting the like of Hikvision for cameras all over the country, now that is definitely worthy of discussion.

    But on this specific story, its piss poor. General IoT marketed products are unsafe isn't the angle they are going for (which is certainly yet another story worthy of discussion).
    Yes, but my point was that it is not useful to issue firmware patches to devices already deployed by people who would not know a firmware patch from a hole in a firewall. It is good that new devices are secure when they leave the factory but there is an awful lot of deployed kit out there whose only saving grace is that not even President Xi cares what you get up to in Acacia Avenue.
    That’s why everyone with a big house or a small business, needs to have a local independent technology consultant ;)
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,906

    .

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
    No-one’s managed to stop words changing meaning before. I think that’s reason to give up, or at least to ask people why they think they will have more luck trying to stop this happening today.

    Words changing meaning often means new words are created. “Nephew” used to have a more generic meaning and became more specific, which is useful. Likewise, “meat” used to mean any food and became more specific. English has such a large vocabulary today because words changed meaning.
    Just because words have changed meanings before doesn't mean we should give up! A world where we words mean whatever the speaker chooses to mean is a world where we comunicate poorly.
    I have no objection to new words. But I object to losing words. As I said before, if literally doesn't literally mean literally, what word can we use? If disinterested comes to mean indifferent, we have two words which mean indifferent and none which mean disinterested. Surely we can agree this is an inefficient use of language?
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,906
    kinabalu said:

    Motorway service station right now. Absolutely in my element.

    Go on, which one?
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    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,402

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,481

    malcolmg said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jun/26/hmrc-fined-184000-low-earners-for-not-filing-return-despite-no-tax-owing

    'HM Revenue and Customs handed out fines to 184,000 people paid less than £12,500 a year – the level under which people were then not subject to income tax – in the 2020-21 financial year (the latest for which full figures are available) for failing to complete a self-assessment tax form on time.

    Many of these people, already in severe financial difficulties, misunderstood the initial fine and were then subjected to further fines and interest. Some people were left facing fines of thousands of pounds, which would take them many years to pay.'

    I suppose they have to make up for all those IHT allowances to well-off Tory voters. But really? Almost 20K people?

    The law is the law whatever you earn, if they failed to submit their self-assessment tax form by the deadline then they would be fined, as would anyone who failed to do so
    If only they were as assidious with the billions missing annually from the rich gits.
    Put Nicola Sturgeon on the case.

    She is the expert when it comes to missing billions.
    Bellend comment from a prize bellend
    A few real examples of real billions missing, need a week to put them all in ..........
    Tories slammed for losing around £15bn of taxpayer cash to Covid fraud
    UK lost up to £16bn due to fraud and error in Covid loans schemes
    £21bn of public money lost in fraud since COVID pandemic began and most will never be recovered
  • Options
    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 15,236
    eek said:

    UK's National Cancer Research Institute is to close down after more than 20 years over concerns about its funding. I am told this infrastructure is vital to cancer clinical trials across UK.

    Not because it doesn't have important work to do but because no-one in Government wants to pay for it.

    https://twitter.com/ShaunLintern/status/1673311499467595777

    That sound you can hear is the crackle as the government chucks another bit of furniture on the fire.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 49,061

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    Thankfully Ann Lee failed to kill off 'twice'.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbkInTnNQ28
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    sladeslade Posts: 1,960
    Carnyx said:

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    Still used, even if 'serious context' is stretching it in this particular case:

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12193279/Thrice-married-electrician-convicted-bigamy-wife-learned-Holiday-Inn-wedding.html
    Huddersfield Town have recently unveiled a mural at their training ground called 'Thrice Champions'.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,761

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    Thankfully Ann Lee failed to kill off 'twice'.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbkInTnNQ28
    Now that’s an obscure ‘90s music reference, that hasn’t come up for several years!
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,906

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    I rather like 'thrice'. I'm not averse to using it, though I might demur from using it in a document I'm writing for work.
    But I hate the Americanism 'threepeat'.

    That's not because it wouldn't be useful to have a word meaning 'do somthing three times'. It just feels linguistically wrong. It would only work if the word for repeat was 'twopeat'.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,600
    Selebian said:

    No... Might be unfair, but I struggle to see TSE as a watch officer in a UK nuclear deterrent sub. :wink:

    Well it does require ridiculous headwear, so the role matches the shoes

    (for all those who don't know, British naval sub commanders had earphones with their rank displayed as coloured cubes. It looks like somebody stuck part of a Rubik's Cube on top of their head)
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,931
    Cookie said:

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    I rather like 'thrice'. I'm not averse to using it, though I might demur from using it in a document I'm writing for work.
    But I hate the Americanism 'threepeat'.

    That's not because it wouldn't be useful to have a word meaning 'do somthing three times'. It just feels linguistically wrong. It would only work if the word for repeat was 'twopeat'.
    How odd; 'triplicate' is already in the dictionary, and it is a noun, adjective and verb.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 64,184

    malcolmg said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/2023/jun/26/hmrc-fined-184000-low-earners-for-not-filing-return-despite-no-tax-owing

    'HM Revenue and Customs handed out fines to 184,000 people paid less than £12,500 a year – the level under which people were then not subject to income tax – in the 2020-21 financial year (the latest for which full figures are available) for failing to complete a self-assessment tax form on time.

    Many of these people, already in severe financial difficulties, misunderstood the initial fine and were then subjected to further fines and interest. Some people were left facing fines of thousands of pounds, which would take them many years to pay.'

    I suppose they have to make up for all those IHT allowances to well-off Tory voters. But really? Almost 20K people?

    The law is the law whatever you earn, if they failed to submit their self-assessment tax form by the deadline then they would be fined, as would anyone who failed to do so
    If only they were as assidious with the billions missing annually from the rich gits.
    Put Nicola Sturgeon on the case.

    She is the expert when it comes to missing billions.
    Missing billions?

    I suspect that you're an expert on saying something is much larger than it actually is.
    There are indeed. Though not necessarily where your interlocutors seem to think.
    https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm5803/cmselect/cmpubacc/1055/report.html
    Seventh Annual Report of the Chair of the Committee of Public Accounts
    1. Foreword
    Welcome to my 7th annual report as Chair of the Committee of Public Accounts (the Committee).

    This report covers the period that the country opened up after two years of lockdowns.

    We have continued to monitor the money spent on Covid-19 although with increasing frustration that much of the money lost through fraud is unlikely to be recovered...
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,666
    Cookie said:

    .

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
    No-one’s managed to stop words changing meaning before. I think that’s reason to give up, or at least to ask people why they think they will have more luck trying to stop this happening today.

    Words changing meaning often means new words are created. “Nephew” used to have a more generic meaning and became more specific, which is useful. Likewise, “meat” used to mean any food and became more specific. English has such a large vocabulary today because words changed meaning.
    Just because words have changed meanings before doesn't mean we should give up! A world where we words mean whatever the speaker chooses to mean is a world where we comunicate poorly.
    I have no objection to new words. But I object to losing words. As I said before, if literally doesn't literally mean literally, what word can we use? If disinterested comes to mean indifferent, we have two words which mean indifferent and none which mean disinterested. Surely we can agree this is an inefficient use of language?
    Languages are not designed things that can maximise efficiency (with maybe a couple of constructed language exceptions). They live and they change. (That does not mean words can mean whatever the speaker chooses to mean: that’s a weird straw man argument of no relevance here.)

    Maybe it’s a good thing that languages evolve, maybe it’s a bad thing, but I see little point in being King Cnut on the beach.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,549

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.


    "perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish."

    Is that a quote from Themistocles?
    Yes, but Themistocles was sarcastically quoting some fool from 2k years earlier.
  • Options
    darkagedarkage Posts: 4,905

    .

    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    FPT

    darkage said:

    rcs1000 said:

    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    darkage said:

    eek said:

    rcs1000 said:

    pigeon said:

    Taz said:

    Heathener said:

    Morning.

    The mean Labour lead from the last six national opinion polls is exactly 20%

    The mean Conservative vote share is 26%

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election

    The Tories won’t do themselves any favours overruling independent pay bodies on public sector pay.

    We are just likely to see more and more strikes and disruption and not just from the likes of the RMT who are politically motivated.
    They're in a complete bind. They'll trot out the wage-price spiral excuse to justify bearing down on public sector pay, but the plain fact is that they're struggling to find politically acceptable cuts to fund extra spending in this area, borrowing is enormous and becoming ever more expensive, and so they're left with either digging their heels in and offering workers peanuts, or raising taxes on their core supporters to pay for more generous rises. There's no violin small enough.
    The reality we are reaching the end game for the Blairite/Thatcher-lite model

    It used to be chunky public spending and low taxes with the difference funded by clever balance sheet tricks (PFI/securitisation) or straight up borrowing. Wages were kept down by relaxed views on immigration

    Cost of borrowing is going up and the markets are twitchy after all that QE

    Asset price bubbles have driven a reasonable standard of living beyond the reach of many

    Effectively unlimited immigration has resulted in underinvestment in business (low wages partly due to immigration and partly due to tax credits) drove down returns (cost saving) on investment and increased the strain on public services (governments didn’t invest in capacity).

    The electorate has been trained to believe the government will always bail them out

    We need a grown up conversation. Either taxes have to go up massively or public services need to be completely rethought.

    But neither politicians or the electorate are ready to have that conversation.

    While much of this is true, it is also the case that other countries have had similar situations to us, and have managed to avoid excessively expensive housing or stagnant business investment.

    They therefore cannot be the whole story.
    It's almost as if our planning system might be different to theirs.

    The largest cost in household budgets is Housing. Not food, not gas, not electricity or anything else it is housing.

    A very large proportion of the cost of housing is the cost of land.

    And the cost of land with planning permission is inflated over land without.

    Resolve one and others follow.
    Build new towns (or refurbish old ones) in the frozen north and left-behind regions. It solves the housing problem, levelling up and rebalancing the economy away from an overheated London in one fell swoop.
    Not really

    There are areas in the run down north with plenty of empty housing, just look at the photo at the top of this article....

    https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/news-opinion/britain-broken-every-direction-know-27184397
    Yes, hence the new town model, even if based on refurbishment, to include attracting new jobs. Rather than dumping grounds for borderline mentally ill drug addicts and thieves.
    Why on earth would any company set up in a newly created new town that no doubt has awful connections to anywhere with any sort of existing economy ?
    Government subsidies, tax concessions, northern powerhouse rail? Britain has built new towns before; there's nothing new.
    NPR won't land until 2045 onwards and will connect Warrington, Manchester and Marsden, no new stops planned, just linking existing populations.

    So you want to create new towns, with no links to existing economies and hope that lower taxes will attract businesses there ?
    Our London based media's obsession over trains is part of the problem. Over 90% of the UK travels via Road, not Rail, especially in the North.

    If you want new towns then new motorway junctions, or better yet new motorways with new junctions is the way to do it quickly. Rail can catch up afterwards.

    Not just in the North, in the South away from London it's very possible too. Eg build a new motorway linking Oxford to Cambridge, extended to Bristol and Norwich perhaps, and with a junction approximately every 5 miles. New towns could spring up along that route, and not in or linked to London.
    Sorry but new roads don’t solve problems - and it’s probably worth watching c4 to,or row to see Ben Elton comparing rail around London and the rest of the UK.
    That sort of timid, self defeating attitude is part of the problem. Of course new roads do solve problems.

    I live in a fast growing new town (they do still exist, just not enough of them). We have thousands of homes being built, all of which are getting snapped up. New shops, businesses, industry opening too.

    And what is the key new transport infrastructure underpinning this? One new motorway junction, with one new A road.

    There's talk we might get a train station in a few years time, I'm not holding my breath, but the new motorway junction? People who get about by road are happy with that. And outside London it's roads, not rail, that truly matters. Of course London is different but WE ARE NOT LONDON.
    The problem here is that what you are now making is an argument for planning, which you claim to reject. The reason why everything is working in your development is more likely than not because decades of work went in to the new trunk roads and motorway junctions, negotiated by the Council with Highways England and the government, as well as the co-siting of commercial development and community infrastructure, and finding ways to fund all this, including through Section 106 contributions by developers. That is what planning is and the value that it adds. If you get rid of planning then none of that happens, houses get built but you can't get anywhere, there are crap roads, no shops, infrastructure etc.

    You could say ok, why not just zone the land through the plan making process and then have a design code rather than having to go through the pain and delay of needing planning permission. You could well do that and some countries do. The main problem is it makes it harder to go through the first stage of the process (the plan making stage) because you need to be absolutely sure that everything is solved before you can confidently rely on a design code for the purposes of delivery.

    A design code is just a delivery mechanism not an alternative to having a planning system. Looking at your example of Japan, my guess is just that they are better at planning because the state is more assertive and organised at building infrastructure. I'd guess the falling prices are more to do with historic deflation than falling demand. But I've never studied the Japanese system in detail so don't feel able to authoritively comment on it.

    In summary the problem is not that a planning system exists in the first place, but because the one we have isn't working very well.
    Sorry that's not remotely an argument for planning, you could not be more wrong. There isn't time for decades of work as our population levels weren't the same decades ago, and if decades of work are going into it then no wonder everything is so broken as the facts decades ago are not the facts today.

    If everything is planned then I'm curious where the new railway station, new schools, new GPs and everything else are. None of them exist. I still am registered at my old GP in my old town, I've not transferred my kids schooling either, and drive across the river to a different town for those.

    Organic development works better. If houses are built, but no schools etc then people will vote for what they need. Unsurprisingly at the local elections the local Lib Dem (who got elected) was not campaigning on NIMBYism, but supporting new GPs to built and new schools to be built. Because that's what the new residents need and its not all there yet. Supermarkets have opened etc because businesses like Aldi and ASDA will open branches where their customers are. Thousands of people move into an area, they'll be in like a shot to get a shot at those customers.

    The state is bloody useless at planning. Design transportation, sure, then let it organically grow in what's zoned there.
    Ok, so you don't think there should be planning, with the exception of road building. There should be no state provision for day to day needs etc - shops, healthcare etc, because this will follow where people choose to build houses because politicians will be elected to make it happen. There would be no public realm, or town centres, just housing and roads, and supermarkets.

    This all sounds like a total disaster to me.



    No. I think there should be healthcare, and schools etc but it should evolve depending upon what the voters need.

    Not spend decades planning what was needed decades ago, but is totally obsolete decades later as the facts have changed so much all your plans were based on faulty assumptions.

    The latter is a proven disaster today.
    @BartholomewRoberts would welcome your thoughts on this

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/here-s-what-s-missing-everything-no-schools-and-no-services-but-houses-keep-going-up-20221012-p5bp7o.html


    " The public primary was the size of a country school and now has 19 demountables. The closest shops were 20 minutes away; if she forgot milk, it was a 40-minute round trip, often in traffic. Trains came hourly, even at the peak. Narrow roads were choked. The hospital repeatedly promised for nearby Rouse Hill didn’t exist, and still doesn’t. Meanwhile, the population grows exponentially."... “They knew we were coming. Where did they think we were going to shop? Where did they think our children would go to school? It comes down to better planning. Stop rushing to get people into these houses.”...

    But people moving into those areas say it takes more than a bunch of rapidly constructed houses to create a community. “So here’s what’s missing,” said Angela Van Dyke of the Riverstone Neighbourhood Centre and Community Aid Service. “Everything. Public education. Public transport. Good urban design. Livability.”... Michelle Rowland, the Labor federal member for the north-west seat of Greenway (and also the communications minister), said the problem was due to a long-term failure of different levels of government to coordinate. “Developers, basically, in a lot of aspects, they do have free rein,” she said. “The incentive of the developer is to maximise land use to maximise profit. Which is why you have a lot of residents complaining [about] what normally they’d call overdevelopment, but a lot of it is to do with a lack of trees, a lack of environmental controls, houses are close together, streets are narrow.”


    Presumably he'd say that given the people exist, that is better to have houses and no schools, than to have neither houses nor schools.
    @rcs1000

    There is something in that argument , but I don't think that is what he is saying. I think he sees the idea of town planning as being socially destructive and a massive cost with no benefits. The usual libertarian thing. But the contradiction is, that when you go and look at the libertarian societies they hold up as examples they tend to actually be quite well planned, ie Singapore and the USA, there is always an active state authority doing the zoning, brokering the economic development etc. I am pretty sure Japan will come in to this category as well.
    It kind of is what I'm saying actually, yes.

    As far as zoning etc is concerned, I'm perfectly fine with that. Pick your agricultural, natural and residential zones etc and the let the Council get out of the way of development within residential zones, even if natural/agricultural zones can't be developed. Which incidentally can work with 'green belt' desires, since you don't zone the green belt residential then.

    Now of course personally I'd prefer the residential zones to be bigger than they are now, but that's a semi-separate debate.

    Beyond that though, I am saying since we have a shortage of 3 million homes today, and we don't have 3 million homes with planning permission let alone under construction, then JFDI applies. Just frigging do it.

    Get the homes built. Better to not be homeless.

    Once the homes are built, of course better ideally to have commerce, schools etc - but in the mean time better to have a home than no home.

    And of course since this is the UK, not Australia or Canada, even if there's no school [yet] within your area there will be schools not very far away. This isn't rural Alberta or Western Australia where your nearest town is 400 km away.

    As I said, my kids go to a different school, in a different town, than the one where I live. There is a small primary and secondary school where I live, which kind of used to be a village but is now a new town [the overwhelming majority of houses in this town did not exist in 2010], but they are small and I like my kids school so we're not transferring them. My kids still have places in the school over the river and I drive them there. Oh and if I didn't drive, there are school buses that come down our road to collect kids to take them to where my kids go to school. I'm guessing we're far from unique in crossing the river to get to school, and there's an option via dedicated school buses for those who don't drive.
    OK then. Your planning reform is to have residential 'zones' with planning permission granted for 3 million plus new houses. You now seem to be accepting that there is a heavy sacrifice (over and beyond what was identified in the example in linked to above) in terms of infrastructure provision, placemaking etc, but consider it is all necessary to deal with the over-riding housing need. You believe that it can and will all be worked out in some way afterwards.

    I think this would be a disaster. It bakes in dependency on the car and the need for continuous expensive upgrades to roads and bridges for generations.
    I also think that the JFDI direction will not actually deliver much more housing. Because as I have pointed out before, the housebuilding industry deliver about 100-150 k houses a year and nothing more and all the signs are that they would continue to do this under any new policy.

    There would be some SME/self building going on but the industry is small and it is not going to be at any significant scale. It won't seriously come on stream until capacity in the construction industry is massively increased. And on these projects, someone else still has to build and fund the roads, the streetlights, the drains etc.

    Prices may fall because of oversupply but they would quickly hit a level where new housebuilding becomes uneconomic in many areas because of build cost inflation. So my best guess is that you would quickly end up with lots of empty plots and a recession.

    If you look through the post war history of housebuilding it is very clear that the only time the government delivers 300,000 houses a year is when it builds half of them itself.

    Sorry but you've got your own assumptions then have worked backwards from there.

    Firstly there's no need for it all to be dependent on the car, in fact the opposite is possible too. If existing residential zones become denser and build up then that can lead to public transport becoming more efficient, not less. Not that I have any objection to the motor vehicle, but I think my proposal if implemented would see places like London seeing building up happening and I wouldn't expect those to be all homes relying upon cars.

    Secondly all the evidence from around the planet is that without planning being an insurmountable obstacle is that SME/self-building should happen at a very significant scale. In almost every country with my proposed system, SME/self-builds happen at orders of magnitude more than here.

    As far as funding the roads etc is concerned that needs to happen either way, planning or no planning. That's what the tax system is for. We pay our taxes, we need roads and transportation. Politicians need to do their job. If you want to put a tax on new houses that goes to a pot to pay towards new roads, then I have no philosophical objection to that, but we pay our taxes either way.

    As far as prices are concerned, too much of the price of new homes currently is planning itself. If that ceases to be the case, then prices can fall without hurting development. If land becomes cheaper, but taxed more [two prongs to this] then land-banking would never happen and people are encouraged to get on with it rather than to dawdle.

    Finally its very clear in the history of housebuilding around the planet, that when competition is allowed to flourish and demand is high then people can and do get on with it. The city of Tokyo alone [population 14 million] has consistently delivered more new homes than the entirety of England combined. As a former cheese loving Prime Minister might have said: That. Is. A. Disgrace.

    Saying that our current system isn't working, so therefore reform is pointless, rather misses the point don't you think?
    Ok. So you are now going to insist that the houses are built more densely to avoid the problem of 'suburban sprawl'.
    How is public transport going to work efficiently - Do the authorities put in the transit routes before the zoning or afterwards?
    At what point would the authorities consider something like walkways, cycle paths etc? At the point when the land is zoned, or afterwards?
    Regarding your comments about much of the cost of new housing being 'planning', this is true to a point, but what about other factors such as 'desirability of location'? Would you agree that the cost of land for housing (and reflected in sale prices) is also influenced by this? For instance, in that article I linked to above, the houses in the suburbs of Sydney were not cheap - the defective planning had not reduced the desirability of the location.


    I would agree that the system isn't working that well and needs to be reformed, but that is an altogether different idea from 'getting rid of planning'.

    FWIW your ideas are very similar to what the government (via policy exchange) actually proposed in January 2020.

    https://policyexchange.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Rethinking-the-Planning-System-for-the-21st-Century.pdf

    The government then developed this set of reforms off the back of it in a white paper, which I thought were actually pretty good.

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/958420/MHCLG-Planning-Consultation.pdf

    Unfortunately this work basically went nowhere. The only legacy of it is a set of perplexing reforms to the use classes order, making it difficult for Council's to control changes of use.
    No, I'm not going to "insist" that houses are built more densely. What part of it is it that you're struggling to understand, I don't think anyone should insist upon anything, myself included.

    Let the owner of the land decide.

    Where land is valuable in its own right, rather than because of planning, eg in cities then building up will probably happen not because you or I want it, but because that's the most effective use of land so people will choose to do it.

    Transit routes, along with schooling and other public services should evolve over time, you might have an initial idea but it shouldn't ever be ossified. People change and adapt what they use. An area that is bought out by young people may end up becoming embraced by old people - sometimes the same ex-young people who never moved.

    We need to evolve over time, not plan something based on the needs of decades ago.

    Yes the 2020 reforms were a good idea, didn't go as far as I'd like but a big step in the right direction, its a shame they were dropped.
    In the end I think you probably want a different system of planning, not the abolition of planning.

    My criticism however is that you are presenting a superficially easy answer ("scrap planning") to a complicated question.

  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 64,184

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.


    "perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish."

    Is that a quote from Themistocles?
    LOL.
    I should have made clear I meant that particular piece of gibberish.
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    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,402
    Cookie said:

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    I rather like 'thrice'. I'm not averse to using it, though I might demur from using it in a document I'm writing for work.
    But I hate the Americanism 'threepeat'.

    That's not because it wouldn't be useful to have a word meaning 'do somthing three times'. It just feels linguistically wrong. It would only work if the word for repeat was 'twopeat'.
    Eugh threepeat is not something I have heard before. Thanks for putting that monstrosity in my mind.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,481
    Cookie said:

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    I rather like 'thrice'. I'm not averse to using it, though I might demur from using it in a document I'm writing for work.
    But I hate the Americanism 'threepeat'.

    That's not because it wouldn't be useful to have a word meaning 'do somthing three times'. It just feels linguistically wrong. It would only work if the word for repeat was 'twopeat'.
    Don't hear fortnight so much these days either
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 64,184

    Lavrov's giving a press conference at the moment and it's just the usual stuff about how terribly the West has behaved.

    TBF, Progozhin was more or less west of Russia when he kicked off.
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    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,402
    On the subject of linguistic monstrosities, the one I can't stand is "yourself" when people mean "you". It really grates for reasons I can't really explain.
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,666
    malcolmg said:

    Cookie said:

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    I rather like 'thrice'. I'm not averse to using it, though I might demur from using it in a document I'm writing for work.
    But I hate the Americanism 'threepeat'.

    That's not because it wouldn't be useful to have a word meaning 'do somthing three times'. It just feels linguistically wrong. It would only work if the word for repeat was 'twopeat'.
    Don't hear fortnight so much these days either
    The Americans don’t use it, but it’s still going strong on this side of the Atlantic.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,600
    Cookie said:

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    I rather like 'thrice'. I'm not averse to using it, though I might demur from using it in a document I'm writing for work.
    But I hate the Americanism 'threepeat'.

    That's not because it wouldn't be useful to have a word meaning 'do somthing three times'. It just feels linguistically wrong. It would only work if the word for repeat was 'twopeat'.
    Threequel (sequel to a sequel)
    Legacy sequel (one done decades after the original, eg Blade Runner 2049)
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    CookieCookie Posts: 11,906
    Carnyx said:

    Cookie said:

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    I rather like 'thrice'. I'm not averse to using it, though I might demur from using it in a document I'm writing for work.
    But I hate the Americanism 'threepeat'.

    That's not because it wouldn't be useful to have a word meaning 'do somthing three times'. It just feels linguistically wrong. It would only work if the word for repeat was 'twopeat'.
    How odd; 'triplicate' is already in the dictionary, and it is a noun, adjective and verb.
    I've never heard it used as a verb (presumably to rhyme with 'replicate')? I like that immensely.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 49,061

    Cookie said:

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    I rather like 'thrice'. I'm not averse to using it, though I might demur from using it in a document I'm writing for work.
    But I hate the Americanism 'threepeat'.

    That's not because it wouldn't be useful to have a word meaning 'do somthing three times'. It just feels linguistically wrong. It would only work if the word for repeat was 'twopeat'.
    Eugh threepeat is not something I have heard before. Thanks for putting that monstrosity in my mind.
    You need to listen to more US sports commentary for similar gems like 'winningest'.
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    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,931
    Cookie said:

    Carnyx said:

    Cookie said:

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    I rather like 'thrice'. I'm not averse to using it, though I might demur from using it in a document I'm writing for work.
    But I hate the Americanism 'threepeat'.

    That's not because it wouldn't be useful to have a word meaning 'do somthing three times'. It just feels linguistically wrong. It would only work if the word for repeat was 'twopeat'.
    How odd; 'triplicate' is already in the dictionary, and it is a noun, adjective and verb.
    I've never heard it used as a verb (presumably to rhyme with 'replicate')? I like that immensely.
    'Duplicate', I think, must be the more direct analogy - though 'replicate' is obviously a more general form, all from the same root.
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    CookieCookie Posts: 11,906
    malcolmg said:

    Cookie said:

    While we're at it, I've also been a bit puzzled by the disappearance of 'thrice'. It's a perfectly useful word, but no one would ever now think of using it in a serious context. Why did it die off and when?

    I blame Lionel Ritchie.
    I rather like 'thrice'. I'm not averse to using it, though I might demur from using it in a document I'm writing for work.
    But I hate the Americanism 'threepeat'.

    That's not because it wouldn't be useful to have a word meaning 'do somthing three times'. It just feels linguistically wrong. It would only work if the word for repeat was 'twopeat'.
    Don't hear fortnight so much these days either
    It was only a few years ago I found out fortnight was in any way endangered, and that Americans find our use of it quaint.
    Did you know that as well as fortnight (a contraction of 'fourteen night', of course) there was once a term 'sennight' as a perfectly cromulent synonym for 'week'?
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    ClippPClippP Posts: 1,781
    Cookie said:

    .

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
    Pretty much the English language, yes.

    If it hadn't evolved, we'd still be speaking Latin.
    No we wouldn't - we never spoke Latin!

    To be clear, I don't mind us adding to our language. But I don't see how it benefits anyone when words change their meanings.
    We might be using words differently to how our ancestors used them. But that doesn't mean the process of them changing their meanings was positive.
    Of course some of our ancestors did speak Latin. What else were they going to speak when they came here as part of the Roman army?
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 64,184
    .
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Ghedebrav said:

    ..

    kinabalu said:

    Carnyx said:

    glw said:

    Nigelb said:

    Trump takes aim at EV industry during speech to Michigan Republicans
    https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/4067252-trump-takes-aim-at-ev-industry-during-speech-to-michigan-republicans/

    Absurd Luddism - but this is perhaps the last electoral cycle someone might get away with such gibberish.

    What new word did little Donald learn today?
    He doesn't know what decimate means. He thinks it means cutting 50% or whatever other numbers he has in his mind.
    Decimate is either one of the words in the English language that is most widely misused, or its usage has strayed so far from its original meaning that the latter is no longer relevant. I tend to go with the second statement.
    Yes, lots of examples of that, although right now, under pressure, all eyes on me, I can't think of a single one.
    Literally is literally no 1 on the misuse front.
    The misuse of literally is out of control, especially among millenials. If you walk past a large group of people in their twenties or thirties you will almost certainly hear at least one of them say "literally" while you pass. It's not just misused though, it is also inserted into conversation when it is not technically wrong, but is redundant. It's become a verbal tic for a lot of people, and generally marks out its user as basic.
    Like....literally... like....like....literally......
    I think it is widely understood as an intensifier rather than literally having its literal meaning now. Fusty types like me still use it 'properly', and find amusement in people like Jamie Redknapp saying 'he's literally been on fire this season'; 'he's literally turned his opponent inside out' etc. but I have accepted that usage has changed and we have to move on.

    I still pronounce 'harassment' to rhyme with 'embarrassment' too (without, fnarr, the hard 'ass') too.
    The reason for the rear-guard action here (though I will defend the meaning of pretty much all words) is that when used as an intsensifier, it's use is not just different to but the exact opposite of it's literal meaning. And if 'literally' no longer means 'literally', which word should I use when I mean 'literally'?
    “Awesome” (something that is so terrifying it produces awe) used to mean something was bad, while “awful” meant something was good (something awe-inspiring and worthy of respect). Likewise, “terrific” was something bad, as in something terrifying.

    To “flirt” used to mean a give someone a sharp blow or to sneer at them. “Cute” used to mean quick-witted. “Nice” used to mean ignorant.

    Words change their meaning, and every generation is irked by this.
    Nice also used to mean 'neat/tidy'.

    But the fact that words have changed in the past doesn't mean we should give up now. Can you think of an example of a word changing where you think the English speaking world was better off as a result?
    Can you think of an example where the older generation managed to persuade the younger that their habitual usage of a word was incorrect, and get them to change ?
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    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 28,262

    On the subject of linguistic monstrosities, the one I can't stand is "yourself" when people mean "you". It really grates for reasons I can't really explain.

    Is it the same with "oneself"?
This discussion has been closed.