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Could Boris Johnson stand in the Mid Beds by election – politicalbetting.com
Could Boris Johnson stand in the Mid Beds by election – politicalbetting.com
Could Boris stand in Mid Beds?
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"Chiltern hundreds, a year-odd of lecture tours and schmoozing selection committees in proper safe seats."
Now that's what I call political commentary.
Is he going to stand again in Uxbridge? Or, even, Mid Beds? And, could he win?
I can see him running an explicitly anti-Rishi, pro-populist campaign, and - shudder - winning.
By doing so he neatly avoids censure and comes back stronger than ever.
"Johnson told the Times: “It is very sad to be leaving parliament - at least for now - but above all I am bewildered and appalled that I can be forced out, anti-democratically, by a committee chaired and managed, by Harriet Harman, with such egregious bias” "
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If he loses than he's a loser.
If he quits he can say "I would have won if I stood".
Granted. But even with his many backers some will surely be disheartened that he is not even attempting to fight it - his statement studiously ignoring what the actual process entails is implicit admission he was toast (even though I and others would have given him a chance at a win), which itself makes his whails less impactful outside GB news.
He would have to be selected. Sunak would make sure it didn't happen. And he would lose anyway.
So probably 'no'.
When BJ gets a report lambasting his behaviour over a party, he resigns. When JC gets a report accusing the party he ran of being anti-Semitic, he stays on as an MP.
Discuss.
(Runs for cover)
I repeat that Boris had a chance, though clearly he was not confident, if he had followed the process through to its end - that he is jumping ship and pretending he was pushed, is one additional bit of misleading behaviour.
https://twitter.com/mnrrntt/status/1667248205916954634?s=61&t=s0ae0IFncdLS1Dc7J0P_TQ
Lacks the support of MPs. The only way back for him is if the tories are hammered at the next election and they turn to him.
With angry Borisites now free to act out without consequence, dispirited core Tories, 'moderates' without ideas or support, and economical and governmental systems affected by a malaise so deep it makes you understand why people gave Truss a shot, there's no recovery from here.
What bollocks. Neither have any political strategy skills whatsoever.
Wanted Brexit. No idea how to go about it.
Wanted to be PM. No plan for how to achieve any of his advertised goals.
https://twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1667251157339701248
He has torn into the privileges committee and Rishi Sunak and I doubt Sunak is going to endorse him standing again
He should be thankful he is not going to jail... is he?
I assume he felt the point he wanted had already been made - his supporters have long referred to the committee as a kangaroo court - and would not strengthened any further, so no point in belabouring it.
Choosing Trump indictment day is an interesting choice.
The first point is, sans Johnson, Uxbridge & South Ruislip is going to be a tougher seat to hold - not impossible but given current polling, difficult. The Old Bexley & Sidcup by-election in late 2021 saw a 10% swing to Labour - that would be enough to turn Uxbridge & South Ruislip red.
Let's assume with fanfares, Johnson arrives in Flitwick (not quite Caesar entering Rome).
There are two questions - what happens if he wins and what happens if he loses?
Those claiming to be masters of 4-D chess might want to consider each scenario.
There's a place somewhere that has cages full of 'em, available to go on TV to defend Donald Trump ...
Of course, he won’t, as that would involve work. He now gets to double down on lectures/articles/books on why he was right all along.
Seems more likely it's a nod to a future comeback - once Rishi loses big in 2024, and Boris can point to the contrast with his own time.
(and sadly one of them is not yet down either).
Oh.
After all, if Boris isn't an MP, there's nothing to discuss.
Now for Trump... "Lock him up!"
(The Independent candidate, not the musings on Hitler, that is)
IMO it is basically corrupt to the core...
Expect a further plunge in their polling deficit, close to the Liz Truss days.
Chaos.
"A new pro-Boris caucus of Tory MP's, thought to be 100-strong and calling itself "Save Democracy and Save Boris", is threatening a challenge to Rishi Sunak's leadership.
Nadine Dorries, considered a key figure in the new SDSB grouping, is threatening to start a new party if Sunak does not publicly defend her former leader and pinup."
NEW THREAD..
He's not popular with his MPs especially after the fiasco of the last leadership coitus interruptus.
In practical terms this situation will simply assist his re-election bid and it will be likely to do terminal damage to US politics and society.
Boris is also demonstrably a winner compared to Trump.
“I am now being forced out of parliament by a tiny handful of people, with no evidence to back up their assertions, and without the approval even of Conservative party members let alone the wider electorate.”
I hope that the parliamentary party will now close in behind Sunak though this will have a damaging effect on the party
Oh. You're talking about Trump...
Now, let's get back to a proper Conservative party and prepare to beat Labour next year.
Earlier, there was some comment on the way Starmer had purged the Corbynites from the Labour Party - perhaps this will be Sunak's opportunity to purge Johnson and his supporters - in any event, what could party members do? Yes, they could challenge their sitting MP but they have no power (short of de-selection) to compel their MP to write in to challenge Sunak.
In any case, what would it look like to a puzzled electorate - yet another Conservative leadership upheaval?
Yes it will help his re-election bid, he may even win the presidential election, but the indictment is far more convincing than the NY case, which relies on several complex predicates.
I expect he will haemorrhage a lot of support within the party
Both won one election.
It would be fitting if many of them were really gearing up to back him one last time, truly believed in doing so too, and he pulled the rug from under them.