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The Archbishop’s attack on the small boats plan makes several front pages – politicalbetting.com
The Archbishop’s attack on the small boats plan makes several front pages – politicalbetting.com
The big question over the Archbichop’s attack on Sunak’s small boats clampdown is whether it impacts public opinion and is likely to encourage other opponents of to step up their opposition.
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Sunak's problem is that he can't deliver.
This is an elephant trap for Labour
The failure isn't the fault of the Archbishop of Canterbury. Or woke leftie lawyers. Or judges. It's that the policy is written in crayon, they have nowhere to intern migrants who arrive, no means to legally deport them and nowhere to deport them to. Apart from that it's golden...
What's the Archbishop's alternative?
31 “When the Son of Man comes in his glory, and all the angels with him, he will sit on his glorious throne. 32 All the nations will be gathered before him, and he will separate the people one from another as a shepherd separates the sheep from the goats. 33 He will put the sheep on his right and the goats on his left.
34 “Then the King will say to those on his right, ‘Come, you who are blessed by my Father; take your inheritance, the kingdom prepared for you since the creation of the world. 35 For I was hungry and you gave me something to eat, I was thirsty and you gave me something to drink, I was a stranger and you invited me in, 36 I needed clothes and you clothed me, I was sick and you looked after me, I was in prison and you came to visit me.’
37 “Then the righteous will answer him, ‘Lord, when did we see you hungry and feed you, or thirsty and give you something to drink? 38 When did we see you a stranger and invite you in, or needing clothes and clothe you? 39 When did we see you sick or in prison and go to visit you?’
40 “The King will reply, ‘Truly I tell you, whatever you did for one of the least of these brothers and sisters of mine, you did for me.’
I'd also add that France is not a nuclear wasteland or realm at war.
If Labour want to adopt that angle it would help the Conservatives come the election.
Which Braverman has admitted we’re breaking?
The Archbishop did go beyond that, of course, but he in practice said nothing Cameron didn’t.
The irony of the Rwanda scheme and this extension of it is that it amounts to people smuggling, which is what the law is meant to discourage!
Come the GE I doubt this kind of thing will really impact on voting much though.
Events like today's interest rate rise, whilst small in itself, are the vote losers. The pinch is being felt by everyone except a few, who seem to be represented on here I note! And one or two who have mocked my flask filling from a kettle might like to hear that my entire monthly utility bill is now £45. Frugality pays.
Allow legal migration routes. No need for boat if you can fly or ferry.
Heavy investment in Home Office staff and systems - process refugee claims in weeks instead of years.
Heavy investment in the legal system - have the courts able to swiftly process deportations where required.
Persecute traffickers - cross border criminal investigation to nick the traffickers and their equipment.
Tell the truth - how much cash asylum seekers get (£0), how many we take Vs France or anywhere else (few) etc
Treat people humanely. We have had a flood of Afghans coming via boats. They worked for us, we abandoned them, we don't offer any legal route to get here.
Incidentally Labour have proposed so much of that, yet Tories insist they have no plan. Because apparently only the Tory crayon plan is a plan. Except as it can't even be implemented that truly isn't a plan.
But hey, "what's the alternative?"
It would be risky but Starmer could usefully point to the utter disaster of Brexit and the loss of key employees in the entertainment industry (where it is disastrous), the NHS (not much better), and food supplies (ditto).
We NEED workers!!!! And you're not going to get a 55 yr old white collar worker out of early retirement to go and pull up potatoes in a muddy Lincolnshire field on a freezing February morning.
But, it requires Macron's cooperation and is probably politically difficult with Le Pen breathing down his neck.
People - actual conscious humane thinking people - wonder why we're so angry that the Afghans we abandoned are coming here via boats when there is no legal route to do so.
The tragedy of the recent political period has been the weaponisation of cruelty and ignorance. Happily, as last week showed, that spell is being lifted. For most.
If something makes things a situation worse there's always an alternative of not doing it.
By the way I don't think even the authors of the law expect it to work. Its only purpose is political.expediency.
It won't attract any more votes to them. The problem for the Conservatives is that it hugely depresses their core vote.
It is a sensational anachronism that we have the House of Lords at all, never mind having the state bishop getting to speak and legislate. Bonkers in 2023.
But legislate he will - he is going to submit amendments! The "Conservative Party at Prayer" denouncing the party as wholly immortal.
We had fuck business. I guess this is fuck God. But as long as we keep the gollywog fans on board it's all good, yes?
I think it should be by year end, I think. I then expect something dramatically Tory on tax (maybe abolishing inheritance tax entirely?) to shift the dial. Houses have been hit and houses is where they need to recover.
It's a good move. It will rally votes of those in their 40s and 50s and Labour/the Left more broadly will go absolutely ape-shit over it, particularly when Paul Johnson in the IFS goes all green pen over it to validate that.
In the UK we make non white people our Prime Ministers/First Ministers/Mayors, in France they beat them.
If Sunak were smart he’d say it was because of Brexit Britain that immigrants want to come here instead of the EU.
Anyhoo, disestablishment now.
But how a Buddhist could put forward any of Braverman’s policies is beyond me. She seems to have got the whole notion of ahimsa not just wrong but backwards.
Customer last
Bureaucracy first
Non, what was the question?
Active mockery then fear at proposed solutions which do not require the army of pen pushers they employ
The new trading model I am building for them will bypass the fuckers for pretty much everything. Including sourcing product from alternative teams elsewhere in Europe who are not actively trying to scuttle our efforts.
We're better than that.
One tries to live a decent, Christian life, but following the bible to the letter is not possible.
Sorry to go all domestic on here but it kind-of really matters to those of us doing the weekly shop.
I believe that the headline inflation rate may drop off but largely because last year's energy price leap and fuel will come out of the annual figure. It's the grocery increases that I can't quite believe.
https://www.carlotti-g.it/?lang=en&gad=1&gclid=CjwKCAjwge2iBhBBEiwAfXDBR-MCJQeWoWL_c_TXvhSQIGcx3J2mIhhFc__sR1HLRRLK10BXwVcG5xoCLvwQAvD_BwE
Unless you really need to see people sweating in fields for next to no money?
My British clients affected by change tend either to be commercially minded and helpful, or champion whingers. The Brits are very good at whingeing. What they never actually achieve is meaningfully obstructing change. They moan loudly but then just roll over. Some of the Europeans are much better that obstructing projects.
I also build new trading models for companies, maybe we do a similar job.
So why did Braverman's team put that out? Because going after Golliwogs was upsetting their voters. In saying "pro-Gollywog voters" I am merely reporting what the actual Conservative Party actually thinks and does.
I don't like the fact they are racist any more than you do. But the racists vote Tory and the racist Braverman is perfectly happy to pander to them.
We also need waiters and waitresses: many of them. Robots at table may be cute at PingPong Southbank but don't quite fulfil the brief.
And we're yet to get an automatom to fulfil triage, take your blood, or stick a finger up your backside ... although one or two insalubrious venues might beg to differ.
We need workers, in the fields, waiting at tables, and nursing our sick.
It’s a failure whether you come at it from a liberal or anti-immigration standpoint. Like Brexit it can quite easily be attacked now from both right and left.
It does make life difficult for us too. Getting any cost increases agreed is hard, even now that there have been many. But you can go from still making a reasonable profit to a loss in just a few months...
It's one of many reasons why I know the Conservatives will lose the next election, because I witnessed exactly the same phenomenon in the run up to 1997.
It also incidentally happened in the run up to Brexit when I made a lot of money correctly predicting the result. I was working at the time in the kind of run-down area that the Metropolitan elite had forgotten about. They were out of touch with the pulse of the people who would ultimately decide their fate.
You have lost touch with the mood of the people.
Bye bye tories.
We take Russian prisoners of war off the Ukrainians. They owe us after all.
Under Geneva etc, the tankers can be made to work. You are supposed to pay them, but stuff gets forgotten…
We can house them in sheds on the farms the way the Romans did.
Thoughts?
Automation provides the increase in wealth that supports better jobs. Grubbing up potatoes is 18th cent stuff.
The agricultural revolution is what enabled us to have an NHS in the first place.
The National Institute of Economic and Social Research, one of the country’s oldest independent think tanks, expects the current double-digit rate of inflation to fall to 5.4 per cent by the end of the year, falling short of the government’s aim to halve the headline rate of consumer price growth this year. The think tank’s forecast is also above the 3.9 per cent inflation rate the Bank expected for the end of the year in its last projections made in February.
The institute said inflation would only fall to the Bank’s 2 per cent target in the third quarter of 2025. That makes it more pessimistic than the Bank and the Office for Budget Responsibility, who think price growth will fall rapidly in the coming months.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/forecast-of-two-year-wait-before-bank-s-target-is-met-0fmvnw6jw
The Rwanda nonsense is a particularly stupid, expensive and immoral soundbite. It is not an answer, it just throws red meat to bigots. If that is the driver for government policy over practically, I guess it works.
Anyway we can't afford such expensive trifles
as Rwanda when we have a £245,000 legal bill to pay for a national treasure's defence against his Partygate travails.
#Progress
TPE to be brought under government control.
https://news.sky.com/story/transpennine-express-to-be-brought-under-government-control-due-to-continuous-cancellations-12878174
Edit - But more socialism from this so called Tory government.
They are delivering so much of Michael Foot's 1983 manifesto.
The remaining problem, and this isn't a partisan issue either, is it bakes in high prices for both food and fuel compared with people's stagnating incomes and compared with before. Combined with already high mortgages and rents all the basics are now less affordable and we're feeling a lot poorer.
They have no lineage. What they do have is tainted by scandal.
And a solid lineage is key.
If Rhun ap Iorwerth stands I will be very surprised indeed if he doesn't win.
There are two possible endpoints for the Rwanda caper. Either it will turn out to be legally impossible to deport people, or the Rwanda centre will fill up in about a week and the Rwandans (who aren't fools) will say they don't have space for any more just now.
Incidentally, the bit about the Home Secretary having a legal duty to deport people after 28 days... What happens if she fails in that duty?
That is not a happy ship. And it won't really be about the money.
Unforgivable on a betting site. I hope you continue to be ignored.
Alicia Kearns, foreign affairs select committee chair, launches blistering attack on former prime minister
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/may/11/liz-trusss-taiwan-visit-called-instagram-diplomacy-alicia-kearns-foreign-affairs-select-committee-chair
Truss's rebuttal - that she's going at the invitation of the Taiwanese - is (unlike most of her political history) not unreasonable.
There was a review which led to delays.
As a frequent TPE user, I know how to solve this.
Personally I think job satisfaction and recognition is a core component of happy staff and that's born out in low sick days. Pay is a hygiene factor.
Get a grip.
Yes, the unions have been striking a lot. But when they are not the service is worse. Which is the DfT...
A few years back I could reliably board the 7am service at Piccadilly then step off at Euston at 9. No longer.
Racist pub? Police going after the guy for racist Facebook posts.
Braverman's team briefing the press? Self evident as reported as such by the press.
Braverman being racist? She fingered all Pakistani men.
Similarly, the idea that safe legal routes will somehow put the unsafe illegal routes out of business is really a fantasy and simply deflection from the problem.
I am no fan of the Rwanda scheme. It is immoral, expensive and ultimately unworkable. But the arguments that there is an obvious and more humane alternative are even more spurious than the arguments for the scheme itself and that's saying something.
Towbacks in the Med would come under French command.
Price, house or wage ?
The first is pretty much out of the government's control, the second governments like and the third is the one the government is trying to reduce.