Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

So now it is down to 8 – politicalbetting.com

16791112

Comments

  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,446
    edited July 2022

    MikeL said:

    HYUFD said:

    MikeL said:

    Surely Sunak and Tugendhat don't have enough votes between them to get Tugendhat to the Final - even if Rishi lent Tom all his surplus votes (which he won't - as he can't cut it too fine and also he'll want to be clearly in the lead).

    They do I would think. I would have thought by the final 4 candidates Sunak + Tugendhat combined would be just over 50% of Tory MPs
    They would need well over 50% as the other two won't split equally and Sunak must retain a clear lead for momentum purposes.

    So it would need to be something like:

    Sunak 30
    Tugendhat 25
    Mordaunt 23
    Truss 22

    And I'm not sure that's realistic. If the right coalesce around Truss she surely gets over 25%.
    And add in the factor, the second it’s clear Truss is in member ballot with Sunak she gets a pile on of support as the certain winner, many will want or maintain access to the greasy pole.
    The impression I get - and I may well be completely misreading this as I am not in the party - is that everyone is fighting to be the second of the two being put forward with Sunak because they know that if they are then chances are they will win. Based on the recent head to heads that were being posted here, Sunak loses against most opposition once the membership get their turn.
    Yes that is what we all now expect Richard. Sunak probably in last two, though the stop Rishi attack may have some cards yet to play, perhaps a key one from Wallace about blocking Ukraine spending - both Truss and Penny favoured to beat Sunak in member ballot, whichever one beats the other into second spot. Though the surveys of membership have been a bit all over the road actually - the one for C4 news actually has Sunak winning, but only by 2%.

    HY has his own calculation that puts Tugendhat into last two thanks to loan of Sunak’s extra vote the rest of us don’t think Rishi could spare.

    Hope that helps 🙂

    The third hustings is in the morning, the 92 group I think, the ballot open 1.30 till 3 today, 30 votes needed to go to the next round and last place eliminated.

    I think all candidates have had to sign to say they won’t withdraw if one of the last two, to confirm a membership vote.

    And that’s me done for today 🥱
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I liked Dad's Army, but wasn't a great fan of It Ain't Half Hot. And Hi-de-Hi was great for the first few seasons, but tailed off badly.
  • Farooq said:

    Foxy said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    Never been a fan myself.

    My grandfather was in the Wigan Home Guard. They were nearly all miners in reserved occupations and hard as nails.
    It's only sad old men who like Dad's Army
    In fairness, it has a really excellent ensemble cast that save a generally rather weak script (a hell of a high garbage to "Don't tell 'em, Pike" ratio).

    Mordaunt's actual criticism was directed, anyway, at It Ain't Half Hot Mum. A show which was, and I think I'm putting it generously here out of respect to all involved, total horse sh1t.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,683
    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Not surprised about Kemi and net zero. She comes across as a very tribal, hyper political politician. Obviously that might appeal to Conservatives in this campaign, but it creates blind spots and is not a great quality for a PM.

    I don't think she's half as formidable as her backers think she is. She'll also undoubtedly be accused of being Gove's puppet.
    The whole thing is bonkers. She is not experienced enough to take over in the middle of an economic crisis the like o which we have not seen in decades and with a war in eastern europe that could drag on for years.

    She is utterly untested at high office and Tories who think she is ready need to go and take a long cold non-alcoholic drink and get a fecking grip.

    LOTO after 2025?

    Yeh. May well be.

    But now. Nope.

    Kemi is the Blue Corbyn.
    You're shitting yourself about Kemi v Keir
    I assure you that I am not. I can see why she appeals to some Tories though, much as Corbyn appealed to some Labourites. But like Corbyn that appeal is narrow and the lack of any leadership experience is a critical weakness.
    Mordaunt is who Starmer and Labour fear most, I reckon. Followed by either Sunak or Tugendhat. After Braverman and Cosplay Thatcher, Badenoch is probably who they most would want to succeed Johnson.
    I think the Labour Party would most want Braverman to win.
    Champagne corks popping in Labour HQ - Braverman, Zahawi

    Pleased - Truss, Hunt

    Neutral - Rishi/Tugendhat

    Nervous - Penny

    WTF is going to happen? - Badenoch
    Yep, that's a good analysis

    Perhaps a bit more WTF and *actual panic* with Badenoch: how on earth would Labour, and the wider Left, deal with a young black female rightwing Tory leader? How? I can't see any attack lines, prima facie
    Badenoch could be an enormous success, or a terrible failure - we simply don't know enough about her yet to be sure. I could see her leading the Conservatives to a 100 seat majority... or their worst result since 2001.

    Yes I agree.
    It's the Hail Mary play.
    She really needs to run a big department. Where she can deal with the practicalities rather than just the theory of slash the State.
    In view of the conversation tonight I would suggest education as a good place to start.
    She might even learn some things.
    Or perhaps not.
    (Wikipedia) … was also a school governor at St Thomas the Apostle College in Southwark, and the Jubilee Primary School.…

    Badenoch is a devout Roman Catholic
    Ms Badenoch was born in Wimbledon and brought up in Nigeria, the 42-year-old describes herself as a 'cultural Christian' and has a range of faith traditions to draw upon.
    https://premierchristian.news/en/news/article/former-faith-minister-catholic-mp-in-running-to-replace-boris-johnson

    Dawkins describes himself as a Cultural Christian
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Christians
    Well either way she will get knocked out before the final round and I am backing Tugendhat who actually is a Roman Catholic
    You're going to convert to Catholicism at this rate!
    If I wasn't Anglican I would be Roman Catholic
    Are you not allowed to be both?
    No, if you are Anglican you are Protestant and also can't take communion therefore in a Roman Catholic church
    Although I'm an atheist, I was baptised, so I'm also nominally CofE. But if I wasn't CofE, and I had to be something, I'd be a Presbyterian. No bishops. And I prefer the aesthetic.
    Having a bit of water dribbled on your head forty years ago doesn't "make" you anything. If you are an atheist, you are an atheist and good on you for it. Baptism doesn't lock you in.
    If you are baptised Roman Catholic, even if you become an atheist the Vatican still count you as Roman Catholic just one who has lost their way
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,683

    HYUFD said:

    MikeL said:

    HYUFD said:

    MikeL said:

    Surely Sunak and Tugendhat don't have enough votes between them to get Tugendhat to the Final - even if Rishi lent Tom all his surplus votes (which he won't - as he can't cut it too fine and also he'll want to be clearly in the lead).

    They do I would think. I would have thought by the final 4 candidates Sunak + Tugendhat combined would be just over 50% of Tory MPs
    They would need well over 50% as the other two won't split equally and Sunak must retain a clear lead for momentum purposes.

    So it would need to be something like:

    Sunak 30
    Tugendhat 25
    Mordaunt 23
    Truss 22

    And I'm not sure that's realistic. If the right coalesce around Truss she surely gets over 25%.
    And add in the factor, the second it’s clear Truss is in member ballot with Sunak she gets a pile on of support as the certain winner, many will want or maintain access to the greasy pole.
    The impression I get - and I may well be completely misreading this as I am not in the party - is that everyone is fighting to be the second of the two being put forward with Sunak because they know that if they are then chances are they will win. Based on the recent head to heads that were being posted here, Sunak loses against most opposition once the membership get their turn.
    Truss, Mordaunt and Badenoch beat Sunak in the ConHome survey today but Sunak still narrowly beat Tugendhat.

    Hence Sir Gavin's cunning plan will be to get a Sunak v Tugendhat final 2

    https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/12/next-tory-leader-run-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
    You really are very amusing but what happens when Tugendhat is eliminated tomorrow
    He won't be
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,446
    Farooq said:

    Foxy said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    Never been a fan myself.

    My grandfather was in the Wigan Home Guard. They were nearly all miners in reserved occupations and hard as nails.
    It's only sad old men who like Dad's Army
    I can’t let that go…

    I don’t agree with you Farooq!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Not surprised about Kemi and net zero. She comes across as a very tribal, hyper political politician. Obviously that might appeal to Conservatives in this campaign, but it creates blind spots and is not a great quality for a PM.

    I don't think she's half as formidable as her backers think she is. She'll also undoubtedly be accused of being Gove's puppet.
    The whole thing is bonkers. She is not experienced enough to take over in the middle of an economic crisis the like o which we have not seen in decades and with a war in eastern europe that could drag on for years.

    She is utterly untested at high office and Tories who think she is ready need to go and take a long cold non-alcoholic drink and get a fecking grip.

    LOTO after 2025?

    Yeh. May well be.

    But now. Nope.

    Kemi is the Blue Corbyn.
    You're shitting yourself about Kemi v Keir
    I assure you that I am not. I can see why she appeals to some Tories though, much as Corbyn appealed to some Labourites. But like Corbyn that appeal is narrow and the lack of any leadership experience is a critical weakness.
    Mordaunt is who Starmer and Labour fear most, I reckon. Followed by either Sunak or Tugendhat. After Braverman and Cosplay Thatcher, Badenoch is probably who they most would want to succeed Johnson.
    I think the Labour Party would most want Braverman to win.
    Champagne corks popping in Labour HQ - Braverman, Zahawi

    Pleased - Truss, Hunt

    Neutral - Rishi/Tugendhat

    Nervous - Penny

    WTF is going to happen? - Badenoch
    Yep, that's a good analysis

    Perhaps a bit more WTF and *actual panic* with Badenoch: how on earth would Labour, and the wider Left, deal with a young black female rightwing Tory leader? How? I can't see any attack lines, prima facie
    Badenoch could be an enormous success, or a terrible failure - we simply don't know enough about her yet to be sure. I could see her leading the Conservatives to a 100 seat majority... or their worst result since 2001.

    Yes I agree.
    It's the Hail Mary play.
    She really needs to run a big department. Where she can deal with the practicalities rather than just the theory of slash the State.
    In view of the conversation tonight I would suggest education as a good place to start.
    She might even learn some things.
    Or perhaps not.
    (Wikipedia) … was also a school governor at St Thomas the Apostle College in Southwark, and the Jubilee Primary School.…

    Badenoch is a devout Roman Catholic
    Ms Badenoch was born in Wimbledon and brought up in Nigeria, the 42-year-old describes herself as a 'cultural Christian' and has a range of faith traditions to draw upon.
    https://premierchristian.news/en/news/article/former-faith-minister-catholic-mp-in-running-to-replace-boris-johnson

    Dawkins describes himself as a Cultural Christian
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Christians
    Well either way she will get knocked out before the final round and I am backing Tugendhat who actually is a Roman Catholic
    You're going to convert to Catholicism at this rate!
    If I wasn't Anglican I would be Roman Catholic
    Are you not allowed to be both?
    No, if you are Anglican you are Protestant and also can't take communion therefore in a Roman Catholic church
    Although I'm an atheist, I was baptised, so I'm also nominally CofE. But if I wasn't CofE, and I had to be something, I'd be a Presbyterian. No bishops. And I prefer the aesthetic.
    Having a bit of water dribbled on your head forty years ago doesn't "make" you anything. If you are an atheist, you are an atheist and good on you for it. Baptism doesn't lock you in.
    Maybe it's time to criminalize apostasy again.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,446
    rcs1000 said:

    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Not surprised about Kemi and net zero. She comes across as a very tribal, hyper political politician. Obviously that might appeal to Conservatives in this campaign, but it creates blind spots and is not a great quality for a PM.

    I don't think she's half as formidable as her backers think she is. She'll also undoubtedly be accused of being Gove's puppet.
    The whole thing is bonkers. She is not experienced enough to take over in the middle of an economic crisis the like o which we have not seen in decades and with a war in eastern europe that could drag on for years.

    She is utterly untested at high office and Tories who think she is ready need to go and take a long cold non-alcoholic drink and get a fecking grip.

    LOTO after 2025?

    Yeh. May well be.

    But now. Nope.

    Kemi is the Blue Corbyn.
    You're shitting yourself about Kemi v Keir
    I assure you that I am not. I can see why she appeals to some Tories though, much as Corbyn appealed to some Labourites. But like Corbyn that appeal is narrow and the lack of any leadership experience is a critical weakness.
    Mordaunt is who Starmer and Labour fear most, I reckon. Followed by either Sunak or Tugendhat. After Braverman and Cosplay Thatcher, Badenoch is probably who they most would want to succeed Johnson.
    I think the Labour Party would most want Braverman to win.
    Champagne corks popping in Labour HQ - Braverman, Zahawi

    Pleased - Truss, Hunt

    Neutral - Rishi/Tugendhat

    Nervous - Penny

    WTF is going to happen? - Badenoch
    Yep, that's a good analysis

    Perhaps a bit more WTF and *actual panic* with Badenoch: how on earth would Labour, and the wider Left, deal with a young black female rightwing Tory leader? How? I can't see any attack lines, prima facie
    Badenoch could be an enormous success, or a terrible failure - we simply don't know enough about her yet to be sure. I could see her leading the Conservatives to a 100 seat majority... or their worst result since 2001.

    Yes I agree.
    It's the Hail Mary play.
    She really needs to run a big department. Where she can deal with the practicalities rather than just the theory of slash the State.
    In view of the conversation tonight I would suggest education as a good place to start.
    She might even learn some things.
    Or perhaps not.
    (Wikipedia) … was also a school governor at St Thomas the Apostle College in Southwark, and the Jubilee Primary School.…

    Badenoch is a devout Roman Catholic
    Ms Badenoch was born in Wimbledon and brought up in Nigeria, the 42-year-old describes herself as a 'cultural Christian' and has a range of faith traditions to draw upon.
    https://premierchristian.news/en/news/article/former-faith-minister-catholic-mp-in-running-to-replace-boris-johnson

    Dawkins describes himself as a Cultural Christian
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Christians
    Well either way she will get knocked out before the final round and I am backing Tugendhat who actually is a Roman Catholic
    You're going to convert to Catholicism at this rate!
    If I wasn't Anglican I would be Roman Catholic
    Are you not allowed to be both?
    No, if you are Anglican you are Protestant and also can't take communion therefore in a Roman Catholic church
    Although I'm an atheist, I was baptised, so I'm also nominally CofE. But if I wasn't CofE, and I had to be something, I'd be a Presbyterian. No bishops. And I prefer the aesthetic.
    Having a bit of water dribbled on your head forty years ago doesn't "make" you anything. If you are an atheist, you are an atheist and good on you for it. Baptism doesn't lock you in.
    Maybe it's time to criminalize apostasy again.
    That’s exactly what I was about to pray for!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,764
    Cookie said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Not surprised about Kemi and net zero. She comes across as a very tribal, hyper political politician. Obviously that might appeal to Conservatives in this campaign, but it creates blind spots and is not a great quality for a PM.

    I don't think she's half as formidable as her backers think she is. She'll also undoubtedly be accused of being Gove's puppet.
    The whole thing is bonkers. She is not experienced enough to take over in the middle of an economic crisis the like o which we have not seen in decades and with a war in eastern europe that could drag on for years.

    She is utterly untested at high office and Tories who think she is ready need to go and take a long cold non-alcoholic drink and get a fecking grip.

    LOTO after 2025?

    Yeh. May well be.

    But now. Nope.

    Kemi is the Blue Corbyn.
    You're shitting yourself about Kemi v Keir
    I assure you that I am not. I can see why she appeals to some Tories though, much as Corbyn appealed to some Labourites. But like Corbyn that appeal is narrow and the lack of any leadership experience is a critical weakness.
    Mordaunt is who Starmer and Labour fear most, I reckon. Followed by either Sunak or Tugendhat. After Braverman and Cosplay Thatcher, Badenoch is probably who they most would want to succeed Johnson.
    I think the Labour Party would most want Braverman to win.
    Champagne corks popping in Labour HQ - Braverman, Zahawi

    Pleased - Truss, Hunt

    Neutral - Rishi/Tugendhat

    Nervous - Penny

    WTF is going to happen? - Badenoch
    Yep, that's a good analysis

    Perhaps a bit more WTF and *actual panic* with Badenoch: how on earth would Labour, and the wider Left, deal with a young black female rightwing Tory leader? How? I can't see any attack lines, prima facie
    Badenoch could be an enormous success, or a terrible failure - we simply don't know enough about her yet to be sure. I could see her leading the Conservatives to a 100 seat majority... or their worst result since 2001.

    Yes I agree.
    It's the Hail Mary play.
    She really needs to run a big department. Where she can deal with the practicalities rather than just the theory of slash the State.
    In view of the conversation tonight I would suggest education as a good place to start.
    She might even learn some things.
    Or perhaps not.
    (Wikipedia) … was also a school governor at St Thomas the Apostle College in Southwark, and the Jubilee Primary School.…

    Badenoch is a devout Roman Catholic
    Ms Badenoch was born in Wimbledon and brought up in Nigeria, the 42-year-old describes herself as a 'cultural Christian' and has a range of faith traditions to draw upon.
    https://premierchristian.news/en/news/article/former-faith-minister-catholic-mp-in-running-to-replace-boris-johnson

    Dawkins describes himself as a Cultural Christian
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Christians
    Well either way she will get knocked out before the final round and I am backing Tugendhat who actually is a Roman Catholic
    You're going to convert to Catholicism at this rate!
    If I wasn't Anglican I would be Roman Catholic
    Are you not allowed to be both?
    No, if you are Anglican you are Protestant and also can't take communion therefore in a Roman Catholic church
    Although I'm an atheist, I was baptised, so I'm also nominally CofE. But if I wasn't CofE, and I had to be something, I'd be a Presbyterian. No bishops. And I prefer the aesthetic.
    NEVER!
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,056
    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I liked Dad's Army, but wasn't a great fan of It Ain't Half Hot. And Hi-de-Hi was great for the first few seasons, but tailed off badly.
    But what do you think about Curry & Chips?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,446
    Farooq said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Not surprised about Kemi and net zero. She comes across as a very tribal, hyper political politician. Obviously that might appeal to Conservatives in this campaign, but it creates blind spots and is not a great quality for a PM.

    I don't think she's half as formidable as her backers think she is. She'll also undoubtedly be accused of being Gove's puppet.
    The whole thing is bonkers. She is not experienced enough to take over in the middle of an economic crisis the like o which we have not seen in decades and with a war in eastern europe that could drag on for years.

    She is utterly untested at high office and Tories who think she is ready need to go and take a long cold non-alcoholic drink and get a fecking grip.

    LOTO after 2025?

    Yeh. May well be.

    But now. Nope.

    Kemi is the Blue Corbyn.
    You're shitting yourself about Kemi v Keir
    I assure you that I am not. I can see why she appeals to some Tories though, much as Corbyn appealed to some Labourites. But like Corbyn that appeal is narrow and the lack of any leadership experience is a critical weakness.
    Mordaunt is who Starmer and Labour fear most, I reckon. Followed by either Sunak or Tugendhat. After Braverman and Cosplay Thatcher, Badenoch is probably who they most would want to succeed Johnson.
    I think the Labour Party would most want Braverman to win.
    Champagne corks popping in Labour HQ - Braverman, Zahawi

    Pleased - Truss, Hunt

    Neutral - Rishi/Tugendhat

    Nervous - Penny

    WTF is going to happen? - Badenoch
    Yep, that's a good analysis

    Perhaps a bit more WTF and *actual panic* with Badenoch: how on earth would Labour, and the wider Left, deal with a young black female rightwing Tory leader? How? I can't see any attack lines, prima facie
    Badenoch could be an enormous success, or a terrible failure - we simply don't know enough about her yet to be sure. I could see her leading the Conservatives to a 100 seat majority... or their worst result since 2001.

    Yes I agree.
    It's the Hail Mary play.
    She really needs to run a big department. Where she can deal with the practicalities rather than just the theory of slash the State.
    In view of the conversation tonight I would suggest education as a good place to start.
    She might even learn some things.
    Or perhaps not.
    (Wikipedia) … was also a school governor at St Thomas the Apostle College in Southwark, and the Jubilee Primary School.…

    Badenoch is a devout Roman Catholic
    Ms Badenoch was born in Wimbledon and brought up in Nigeria, the 42-year-old describes herself as a 'cultural Christian' and has a range of faith traditions to draw upon.
    https://premierchristian.news/en/news/article/former-faith-minister-catholic-mp-in-running-to-replace-boris-johnson

    Dawkins describes himself as a Cultural Christian
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Christians
    Well either way she will get knocked out before the final round and I am backing Tugendhat who actually is a Roman Catholic
    You're going to convert to Catholicism at this rate!
    If I wasn't Anglican I would be Roman Catholic
    Are you not allowed to be both?
    No, if you are Anglican you are Protestant and also can't take communion therefore in a Roman Catholic church
    Although I'm an atheist, I was baptised, so I'm also nominally CofE. But if I wasn't CofE, and I had to be something, I'd be a Presbyterian. No bishops. And I prefer the aesthetic.
    Having a bit of water dribbled on your head forty years ago doesn't "make" you anything. If you are an atheist, you are an atheist and good on you for it. Baptism doesn't lock you in.
    Maybe it's time to criminalize apostasy again.
    The only kind of apostasy that should be illegal is adopting American -ize spellings.
    That in itself is a Farookism.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,764
    Farooq said:

    Foxy said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    Never been a fan myself.

    My grandfather was in the Wigan Home Guard. They were nearly all miners in reserved occupations and hard as nails.
    It's only sad old men who like Dad's Army
    I'm only 46!
  • XtrainXtrain Posts: 341
    I like Penny Mordaunt and It Ain't Half Hot Mum.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,734
    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Not surprised about Kemi and net zero. She comes across as a very tribal, hyper political politician. Obviously that might appeal to Conservatives in this campaign, but it creates blind spots and is not a great quality for a PM.

    I don't think she's half as formidable as her backers think she is. She'll also undoubtedly be accused of being Gove's puppet.
    The whole thing is bonkers. She is not experienced enough to take over in the middle of an economic crisis the like o which we have not seen in decades and with a war in eastern europe that could drag on for years.

    She is utterly untested at high office and Tories who think she is ready need to go and take a long cold non-alcoholic drink and get a fecking grip.

    LOTO after 2025?

    Yeh. May well be.

    But now. Nope.

    Kemi is the Blue Corbyn.
    You're shitting yourself about Kemi v Keir
    I assure you that I am not. I can see why she appeals to some Tories though, much as Corbyn appealed to some Labourites. But like Corbyn that appeal is narrow and the lack of any leadership experience is a critical weakness.
    Mordaunt is who Starmer and Labour fear most, I reckon. Followed by either Sunak or Tugendhat. After Braverman and Cosplay Thatcher, Badenoch is probably who they most would want to succeed Johnson.
    I think the Labour Party would most want Braverman to win.
    Champagne corks popping in Labour HQ - Braverman, Zahawi

    Pleased - Truss, Hunt

    Neutral - Rishi/Tugendhat

    Nervous - Penny

    WTF is going to happen? - Badenoch
    Yep, that's a good analysis

    Perhaps a bit more WTF and *actual panic* with Badenoch: how on earth would Labour, and the wider Left, deal with a young black female rightwing Tory leader? How? I can't see any attack lines, prima facie
    Badenoch could be an enormous success, or a terrible failure - we simply don't know enough about her yet to be sure. I could see her leading the Conservatives to a 100 seat majority... or their worst result since 2001.

    Yes I agree.
    It's the Hail Mary play.
    She really needs to run a big department. Where she can deal with the practicalities rather than just the theory of slash the State.
    In view of the conversation tonight I would suggest education as a good place to start.
    She might even learn some things.
    Or perhaps not.
    (Wikipedia) … was also a school governor at St Thomas the Apostle College in Southwark, and the Jubilee Primary School.…

    Badenoch is a devout Roman Catholic
    Ms Badenoch was born in Wimbledon and brought up in Nigeria, the 42-year-old describes herself as a 'cultural Christian' and has a range of faith traditions to draw upon.
    https://premierchristian.news/en/news/article/former-faith-minister-catholic-mp-in-running-to-replace-boris-johnson

    Dawkins describes himself as a Cultural Christian
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Christians
    Well either way she will get knocked out before the final round and I am backing Tugendhat who actually is a Roman Catholic
    You're going to convert to Catholicism at this rate!
    If I wasn't Anglican I would be Roman Catholic
    Are you not allowed to be both?
    No, if you are Anglican you are Protestant and also can't take communion therefore in a Roman Catholic church
    Although I'm an atheist, I was baptised, so I'm also nominally CofE. But if I wasn't CofE, and I had to be something, I'd be a Presbyterian. No bishops. And I prefer the aesthetic.
    Having a bit of water dribbled on your head forty years ago doesn't "make" you anything. If you are an atheist, you are an atheist and good on you for it. Baptism doesn't lock you in.
    I think they still count me as one of theirs. But they can't make me believe. Not that half of them seem to believe themselves, mind.
  • Farooq said:

    Foxy said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    Never been a fan myself.

    My grandfather was in the Wigan Home Guard. They were nearly all miners in reserved occupations and hard as nails.
    It's only sad old men who like Dad's Army
    I'm only 46!
    "Only" doing a hell of a lot of heavy lifting there, granddad.

    Yours etc,

    Sir Norfolk Passmore
    Aged 45 3/4.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,734
    Farooq said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Not surprised about Kemi and net zero. She comes across as a very tribal, hyper political politician. Obviously that might appeal to Conservatives in this campaign, but it creates blind spots and is not a great quality for a PM.

    I don't think she's half as formidable as her backers think she is. She'll also undoubtedly be accused of being Gove's puppet.
    The whole thing is bonkers. She is not experienced enough to take over in the middle of an economic crisis the like o which we have not seen in decades and with a war in eastern europe that could drag on for years.

    She is utterly untested at high office and Tories who think she is ready need to go and take a long cold non-alcoholic drink and get a fecking grip.

    LOTO after 2025?

    Yeh. May well be.

    But now. Nope.

    Kemi is the Blue Corbyn.
    You're shitting yourself about Kemi v Keir
    I assure you that I am not. I can see why she appeals to some Tories though, much as Corbyn appealed to some Labourites. But like Corbyn that appeal is narrow and the lack of any leadership experience is a critical weakness.
    Mordaunt is who Starmer and Labour fear most, I reckon. Followed by either Sunak or Tugendhat. After Braverman and Cosplay Thatcher, Badenoch is probably who they most would want to succeed Johnson.
    I think the Labour Party would most want Braverman to win.
    Champagne corks popping in Labour HQ - Braverman, Zahawi

    Pleased - Truss, Hunt

    Neutral - Rishi/Tugendhat

    Nervous - Penny

    WTF is going to happen? - Badenoch
    Yep, that's a good analysis

    Perhaps a bit more WTF and *actual panic* with Badenoch: how on earth would Labour, and the wider Left, deal with a young black female rightwing Tory leader? How? I can't see any attack lines, prima facie
    Badenoch could be an enormous success, or a terrible failure - we simply don't know enough about her yet to be sure. I could see her leading the Conservatives to a 100 seat majority... or their worst result since 2001.

    Yes I agree.
    It's the Hail Mary play.
    She really needs to run a big department. Where she can deal with the practicalities rather than just the theory of slash the State.
    In view of the conversation tonight I would suggest education as a good place to start.
    She might even learn some things.
    Or perhaps not.
    (Wikipedia) … was also a school governor at St Thomas the Apostle College in Southwark, and the Jubilee Primary School.…

    Badenoch is a devout Roman Catholic
    Ms Badenoch was born in Wimbledon and brought up in Nigeria, the 42-year-old describes herself as a 'cultural Christian' and has a range of faith traditions to draw upon.
    https://premierchristian.news/en/news/article/former-faith-minister-catholic-mp-in-running-to-replace-boris-johnson

    Dawkins describes himself as a Cultural Christian
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Christians
    Well either way she will get knocked out before the final round and I am backing Tugendhat who actually is a Roman Catholic
    You're going to convert to Catholicism at this rate!
    If I wasn't Anglican I would be Roman Catholic
    Are you not allowed to be both?
    No, if you are Anglican you are Protestant and also can't take communion therefore in a Roman Catholic church
    Although I'm an atheist, I was baptised, so I'm also nominally CofE. But if I wasn't CofE, and I had to be something, I'd be a Presbyterian. No bishops. And I prefer the aesthetic.
    Having a bit of water dribbled on your head forty years ago doesn't "make" you anything. If you are an atheist, you are an atheist and good on you for it. Baptism doesn't lock you in.
    Maybe it's time to criminalize apostasy again.
    The only kind of apostasy that should be illegal is adopting American -ize spellings.
    The only kind of apostasy that should be illegal is dissing classic sitcoms :angry:
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,734

    Farooq said:

    Foxy said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    Never been a fan myself.

    My grandfather was in the Wigan Home Guard. They were nearly all miners in reserved occupations and hard as nails.
    It's only sad old men who like Dad's Army
    I'm only 46!
    "Only" doing a hell of a lot of heavy lifting there, granddad.

    Yours etc,

    Sir Norfolk Passmore
    Aged 45 3/4.
    By the way Norfolk, did I notice you slip a Half Man Half Biscuit reference in yesterday? Or was that pure coincidence?
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,734
    Anyway, if Mordaunt is genuinely dissing Dad's Army, that's her done for. Sell Mordaunt.
    You can dance on the head of a pin over trans matters. It's not edifying but its what we've come to expect from politicians. But if you're trying to cancel Dad's Army I suggest it will go down very badly.

    Why do politicians feel the need to do this?
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,295

    Cookie said:

    Anyway, if Mordaunt is genuinely dissing Dad's Army, that's her done for. Sell Mordaunt.
    You can dance on the head of a pin over trans matters. It's not edifying but its what we've come to expect from politicians. But if you're trying to cancel Dad's Army I suggest it will go down very badly.

    Why do politicians feel the need to do this?

    She urgently needs to clarify her stance on Up Pompeii.
    Ah, so you’re a member of the “Common Sense Group”.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,492
    Two tweets from a serving member of the UK cabinet.

    "Nadine Dorries
    @NadineDorries
    You have to ask the question, ‘why is Cummings so fervently backing, Sunak?’
    The answer must surely be, bcse he thinks he can control him and he wants to be back at the heart of government. That’s quite a terrifying thought."

    "Nadine Dorries
    @NadineDorries
    This is dirty tricks/a stitch up/dark arts. Take your pick. Team Rishi want the candidate they know they can definitely beat in the final two and that is
    @Jeremy_Hunt
    Quote Tweet
    (((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    · 6h
    One rival camp tells me Gavin Willamson (who is on Team Rishi) has organised syphoning off of some votes to let Jeremy Hunt get over the threshold."

    https://twitter.com/NadineDorries/status/1546254618044366849
    https://twitter.com/NadineDorries/status/1546904679191281666
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,295
    Andy_JS said:

    Dan Hodges may be onto something here. I won't post the whole thread.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1546953684214497284

    "(((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    In a contest in which honesty and integrity are so pivotal, I don't see how Penny M's attempt to rewrite her position on this in such a nakedly opportunistic way is survivable."

    Bizarrely, I agree with Hodges.
    Penny’s whole attraction is that she represents a clean break from Boris, but if she’s just going to bullshit then we may as well have an experienced bullshitter like Liz Truss.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,295
    Nadine is right.

    Cummings is backing Rishi, and although they are not working together, they are likely linked by third parties.

    And Rishi (and his numbers guy, Gavin Williamson) does seem keen to help Tugendhat or Hunt along. I suspect he fears Truss the most, followed by Mordaunt.

    Given Gove’s involvement, it’s entirely possible Badenoch is also some kind of Manchurian candidate for Sunak.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Andy_JS said:

    Two tweets from a serving member of the UK cabinet.

    "Nadine Dorries
    @NadineDorries
    You have to ask the question, ‘why is Cummings so fervently backing, Sunak?’
    The answer must surely be, bcse he thinks he can control him and he wants to be back at the heart of government. That’s quite a terrifying thought."

    "Nadine Dorries
    @NadineDorries
    This is dirty tricks/a stitch up/dark arts. Take your pick. Team Rishi want the candidate they know they can definitely beat in the final two and that is
    @Jeremy_Hunt
    Quote Tweet
    (((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    · 6h
    One rival camp tells me Gavin Willamson (who is on Team Rishi) has organised syphoning off of some votes to let Jeremy Hunt get over the threshold."

    https://twitter.com/NadineDorries/status/1546254618044366849
    https://twitter.com/NadineDorries/status/1546904679191281666

    Better she spends her time pumping out this bilge, than engaging in actual governating.
  • TresTres Posts: 2,691
    Cookie said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Not surprised about Kemi and net zero. She comes across as a very tribal, hyper political politician. Obviously that might appeal to Conservatives in this campaign, but it creates blind spots and is not a great quality for a PM.

    I don't think she's half as formidable as her backers think she is. She'll also undoubtedly be accused of being Gove's puppet.
    The whole thing is bonkers. She is not experienced enough to take over in the middle of an economic crisis the like o which we have not seen in decades and with a war in eastern europe that could drag on for years.

    She is utterly untested at high office and Tories who think she is ready need to go and take a long cold non-alcoholic drink and get a fecking grip.

    LOTO after 2025?

    Yeh. May well be.

    But now. Nope.

    Kemi is the Blue Corbyn.
    You're shitting yourself about Kemi v Keir
    I assure you that I am not. I can see why she appeals to some Tories though, much as Corbyn appealed to some Labourites. But like Corbyn that appeal is narrow and the lack of any leadership experience is a critical weakness.
    Mordaunt is who Starmer and Labour fear most, I reckon. Followed by either Sunak or Tugendhat. After Braverman and Cosplay Thatcher, Badenoch is probably who they most would want to succeed Johnson.
    I think the Labour Party would most want Braverman to win.
    Champagne corks popping in Labour HQ - Braverman, Zahawi

    Pleased - Truss, Hunt

    Neutral - Rishi/Tugendhat

    Nervous - Penny

    WTF is going to happen? - Badenoch
    Yep, that's a good analysis

    Perhaps a bit more WTF and *actual panic* with Badenoch: how on earth would Labour, and the wider Left, deal with a young black female rightwing Tory leader? How? I can't see any attack lines, prima facie
    Badenoch could be an enormous success, or a terrible failure - we simply don't know enough about her yet to be sure. I could see her leading the Conservatives to a 100 seat majority... or their worst result since 2001.

    Yes I agree.
    It's the Hail Mary play.
    She really needs to run a big department. Where she can deal with the practicalities rather than just the theory of slash the State.
    In view of the conversation tonight I would suggest education as a good place to start.
    She might even learn some things.
    Or perhaps not.
    (Wikipedia) … was also a school governor at St Thomas the Apostle College in Southwark, and the Jubilee Primary School.…

    Badenoch is a devout Roman Catholic
    Ms Badenoch was born in Wimbledon and brought up in Nigeria, the 42-year-old describes herself as a 'cultural Christian' and has a range of faith traditions to draw upon.
    https://premierchristian.news/en/news/article/former-faith-minister-catholic-mp-in-running-to-replace-boris-johnson

    Dawkins describes himself as a Cultural Christian
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Christians
    Well either way she will get knocked out before the final round and I am backing Tugendhat who actually is a Roman Catholic
    You're going to convert to Catholicism at this rate!
    If I wasn't Anglican I would be Roman Catholic
    Are you not allowed to be both?
    No, if you are Anglican you are Protestant and also can't take communion therefore in a Roman Catholic church
    Although I'm an atheist, I was baptised, so I'm also nominally CofE. But if I wasn't CofE, and I had to be something, I'd be a Presbyterian. No bishops. And I prefer the aesthetic.
    Having grown up as a Scottish atheist who occasionally got hauled into the local church I remember being appalled at all the English cathedrals seemingly stuffed full up of gaudy shite.
  • NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 732
    .

    Cookie said:

    Anyway, if Mordaunt is genuinely dissing Dad's Army, that's her done for. Sell Mordaunt.
    You can dance on the head of a pin over trans matters. It's not edifying but its what we've come to expect from politicians. But if you're trying to cancel Dad's Army I suggest it will go down very badly.

    Why do politicians feel the need to do this?

    She urgently needs to clarify her stance on Up Pompeii.
    This discussion is heading in ever-decreasing circles.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,734
    NeilVW said:

    .

    Cookie said:

    Anyway, if Mordaunt is genuinely dissing Dad's Army, that's her done for. Sell Mordaunt.
    You can dance on the head of a pin over trans matters. It's not edifying but its what we've come to expect from politicians. But if you're trying to cancel Dad's Army I suggest it will go down very badly.

    Why do politicians feel the need to do this?

    She urgently needs to clarify her stance on Up Pompeii.
    This discussion is heading in ever-decreasing circles.
    Come on, Farooq. And indeed Mordaunt. I dare you to diss Ever Decreasing Circles. I double dare you.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,492
    "Robert Peston
    @Peston

    This is not a judgement about policy content, but as pure performance and for coherence of argument,
    @KemiBadenoch was impressive today, possibly the best performance by any candidate so far."

    https://twitter.com/Peston/status/1546934097603428352
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    1968: Rivers of Blood

    2022: Oceans of Woke
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,492
    Missed this from a couple of days ago.

    "A newly-appointed minister has repeated claims made against Labour's Angela Rayner that she "opened her legs" to distract Boris Johnson in the Commons. A newspaper article in April quoted Tory MPs who said the deputy leader tried to put Mr Johnson off."

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-62113335
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,322
    Andy_JS said:

    Missed this from a couple of days ago.

    "A newly-appointed minister has repeated claims made against Labour's Angela Rayner that she "opened her legs" to distract Boris Johnson in the Commons. A newspaper article in April quoted Tory MPs who said the deputy leader tried to put Mr Johnson off."

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-62113335

    Ah the ginger growler again.

    And Lia Nici's and your point being exactly?
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,056

    1968: Rivers of Blood

    2022: Oceans of Woke

    You Racist Cracker!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,492
    edited July 2022
    Nadine Dorries' Trump-like behaviour on Twitter is pretty offputting. British politics would be better off without her contributions IMO. I hope she isn't included in the new government.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,734
    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    NeilVW said:

    .

    Cookie said:

    Anyway, if Mordaunt is genuinely dissing Dad's Army, that's her done for. Sell Mordaunt.
    You can dance on the head of a pin over trans matters. It's not edifying but its what we've come to expect from politicians. But if you're trying to cancel Dad's Army I suggest it will go down very badly.

    Why do politicians feel the need to do this?

    She urgently needs to clarify her stance on Up Pompeii.
    This discussion is heading in ever-decreasing circles.
    Come on, Farooq. And indeed Mordaunt. I dare you to diss Ever Decreasing Circles. I double dare you.
    Never seen it
    Classic 80s but often overlooked 80s sitcom. A little more cerebral than some. Not wildly hilarious; enjoyable mostly for the sheer precision Richard Briers puts into his character.
    In all seriousness, sorry if I appear to be getting belligerent! Misplaced attempt at humour and certainly not aimed at you. If we can't disagree about sitcoms, what can we disagree about?
    But I do think Mordaunt's run ends here.
  • Cookie said:

    Farooq said:

    Foxy said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    Never been a fan myself.

    My grandfather was in the Wigan Home Guard. They were nearly all miners in reserved occupations and hard as nails.
    It's only sad old men who like Dad's Army
    I'm only 46!
    "Only" doing a hell of a lot of heavy lifting there, granddad.

    Yours etc,

    Sir Norfolk Passmore
    Aged 45 3/4.
    By the way Norfolk, did I notice you slip a Half Man Half Biscuit reference in yesterday? Or was that pure coincidence?
    There is no such thing as a coincidence.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,842
    Dorries is heading right to the back benches. She will play no further part in government under any of the final 8. She might think she has a deal with Truss. She will be wrong.

    Mogg might survive a little longer. But probably not.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,541
    Was going to post about the Rise & Fall of Reginald Perrin, but am pre-empted by Wikipedia informing me that Leonard Rossiter had a five year extramarital affair with Radio 4’s Sue McGregor in the early 80s. Didn’t think he had it in him. Or her. Good Lord.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,762
    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    darkage said:

    I just had a look at Linkedin. People are venting their fury about Braverman and Badenoch. How can it be possible that they are opposed to net zero! How can they even be allowed to be candidates! ... There was similar fury about the supreme court overturning Roe v Wade. People were going around building "firewalls" around themselves, cancelling their professional contacts who, however cautiously, expressed a different view.

    Linkedin used to be where you could find some sanity. Now it is just no different really to facebook. Social media has just made everyone mad. It is all tribal mob rule. Meaningful debate is completely dead.

    I cannot imagine discussing politics on LinkedIn. Unless, I worked in politics.
    LinkedIn in 2022 unfortunately has absolutely nothing to do with work, and almost all posts are virtue signalling politics, or karma farming "i suffered from depression or a disability or whatever but look at me now smiling having beaten adversity to become a low level drone in sector 7G, etc".

    It is the most depressing place on earth, and surely evidence that 99% of humans are actually NPCs.
    I've used it fairly well to keep in contact with some people I used to work with, which has the potential to help me get work in the future.

    I just can't imagine using it in any other way. Why would I want to put off people who might offer me a job by getting into an argument with them about politics?
    Honestly, it beats me.

    The annoying thing about LinkedIn is, as far as I know, it promotes popular posts around the network and you can't tune it to only show you posts from people you know.

    There was a post I saw on there the other day from a woman who was proudly announcing she was adding "sex worker" to her linkedin job history because sex work was real work, and it was about time blah blah, yadda yadda.

    And all I could think was, crikey, I'm not sure I'd employ someone who put "hooker" on their CV. But her post was teeming with likes and bravery and you-go-girls.

    The funny thing is, I personally don't have a problem if that was her job for ten years or more, a job's a job. But there is such a thing as a time and a place, such a thing as over sharing...
    Linkedin — pretty sure I only see stuff from connections, although that includes things they have commented on or liked. Can't see where that is set though.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,650

    Nadine is right.

    Cummings is backing Rishi, and although they are not working together, they are likely linked by third parties.

    And Rishi (and his numbers guy, Gavin Williamson) does seem keen to help Tugendhat or Hunt along. I suspect he fears Truss the most, followed by Mordaunt.

    Given Gove’s involvement, it’s entirely possible Badenoch is also some kind of Manchurian candidate for Sunak.

    It's much more likely that Gove was dumped for Sunak, who accepted Cummings's control over economic policy as the cost of the Chancellor job. Course, things did not work out as planned by the superforecaster. Badenoch does not seem to be an empty vessel for median voter PR like Johnson / Sunak.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,762

    Betfair next pm prices:-

    2.94 Rishi Sunak 34%
    3.25 Penny Mordaunt 30%
    4.7 Liz Truss 21%
    13.5 Kemi Badenoch 7%
    17.5 Tom Tugendhat 5%
    80 Jeremy Hunt
    90 Suella Braverman
    100 Nadhim Zahawi
    210 Dominic Raab

    Almost equal at the top, and Tom Tugendhat is going for a walk as the market settles back to a three-horse race.

    3 Rishi Sunak 33%
    3.05 Penny Mordaunt 32%
    4.7 Liz Truss 21%
    15.5 Kemi Badenoch 6%
    26 Tom Tugendhat
    48 Jeremy Hunt
    70 Suella Braverman
    80 Nadhim Zahawi
    200 Sajid Javid
    250 Dominic Raab
    Money for new favourite Penny Mordaunt (h-t MikeL) and Jeremy Hunt!

    2.88 Penny Mordaunt 34%
    3 Rishi Sunak 33%
    5.2 Liz Truss 19%
    15 Kemi Badenoch 6%
    32 Tom Tugendhat
    36 Jeremy Hunt
    70 Suella Braverman
    110 Nadhim Zahawi
    280 Dominic Raab
    Oddly, Penny Mordaunt is favourite on Betfair to be next Prime Minister but Rishi Sunak is favourite in their market for next Conservative leader.

    Next PM
    2.82 Penny Mordaunt 35%
    3 Rishi Sunak 33%
    5.4 Liz Truss 18%
    15 Kemi Badenoch 6%
    30 Tom Tugendhat
    42 Jeremy Hunt
    110 Nadhim Zahawi
    110 Suella Braverman
    270 Dominic Raab

    Next leader of the Conservative Party
    2.94 Rishi Sunak 34%
    2.96 Penny Mordaunt 33%
    5.1 Liz Truss 19%
    15 Kemi Badenoch 6%
    32 Tom Tugendhat
    44 Jeremy Hunt
    95 Suella Braverman
    120 Nadhim Zahawi
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,734
    edited July 2022
    carnforth said:

    Was going to post about the Rise & Fall of Reginald Perrin, but am pre-empted by Wikipedia informing me that Leonard Rossiter had a five year extramarital affair with Radio 4’s Sue McGregor in the early 80s. Didn’t think he had it in him. Or her. Good Lord.

    This is quite a good starting point for constructing your own list, though it only goes up to 2004 (so omits the IT crowd).
    https://mubi.com/lists/britain-s-best-sitcom-the-bbc-s-top-100
    Only major omission I can see from that list is Chance in a Million.

    Though I think it is considering 'The Likely Lads' and 'Whatever Happened to the Likely Lads' as one sitcom; it should really be two. WHTTLL is a classic and a fascinating glance of the social changes of 70s Britain.

    I was very pleased to see I Didn't Know You Cared on there - also a fascinating glance at etc etc.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,842
    Farooq said:

    Cookie said:

    NeilVW said:

    .

    Cookie said:

    Anyway, if Mordaunt is genuinely dissing Dad's Army, that's her done for. Sell Mordaunt.
    You can dance on the head of a pin over trans matters. It's not edifying but its what we've come to expect from politicians. But if you're trying to cancel Dad's Army I suggest it will go down very badly.

    Why do politicians feel the need to do this?

    She urgently needs to clarify her stance on Up Pompeii.
    This discussion is heading in ever-decreasing circles.
    Come on, Farooq. And indeed Mordaunt. I dare you to diss Ever Decreasing Circles. I double dare you.
    Never seen it
    It is being repeated on BBC4 at the moment. Check iPlayer
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,492
    "Who is Jeremy Hunt? Meet the 'moderate' who wants to bring back fox hunting"

    https://www.thenational.scot/news/20270406.jeremy-hunt-meet-moderate-wants-bring-back-fox-hunting/
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,295
    Cookie said:

    carnforth said:

    Was going to post about the Rise & Fall of Reginald Perrin, but am pre-empted by Wikipedia informing me that Leonard Rossiter had a five year extramarital affair with Radio 4’s Sue McGregor in the early 80s. Didn’t think he had it in him. Or her. Good Lord.

    This is quite a good starting point for constructing your own list, though it only goes up to 2004 (so omits the IT crowd).
    https://mubi.com/lists/britain-s-best-sitcom-the-bbc-s-top-100
    Only major omission I can see from that list is Chance in a Million.

    Though I think it is considering 'The Likely Lads' and 'Whatever Happened to the Likely Lads' as one sitcom; it should really be two. WHTTLL is a classic and a fascinating glance of the social changes of 70s Britain.

    I was very pleased to see I Didn't Know You Cared on there - also a fascinating glance at etc etc.
    That list is a bit odd. Vicar of Dibley at #3?
    I don’t think so. I also never thought Only Fools and Horses was as good as apparently we’re supposed to think.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,492
    "Henry Mance
    @henrymance

    One Tory MP’s view of the leadership contest: “A circular firing squad composed of people without any weapons training.”"

    https://twitter.com/henrymance/status/1546770401451204608
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    I’ve cut my exposure to Badenoch in half.

    I’m not sure she’s particularly great value at current odds.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,762
    Polling Station 7 minute rundown of the candidates. Spoiler: they all tip Penny Mordaunt.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZUGaO9EPnZE
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,492
    edited July 2022
    "Boris Johnson has not ruled out attempting to make a comeback should his successor’s government collapse, according to allies."

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/boris-johnson-has-not-ruled-out-making-comeback-vtrjqwczf
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,484

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I ❤️ Dads Army it is the most perfect sitcom ever.
    Father Ted says hello.......
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    Cookie said:

    carnforth said:

    Was going to post about the Rise & Fall of Reginald Perrin, but am pre-empted by Wikipedia informing me that Leonard Rossiter had a five year extramarital affair with Radio 4’s Sue McGregor in the early 80s. Didn’t think he had it in him. Or her. Good Lord.

    This is quite a good starting point for constructing your own list, though it only goes up to 2004 (so omits the IT crowd).
    https://mubi.com/lists/britain-s-best-sitcom-the-bbc-s-top-100
    Only major omission I can see from that list is Chance in a Million.

    Though I think it is considering 'The Likely Lads' and 'Whatever Happened to the Likely Lads' as one sitcom; it should really be two. WHTTLL is a classic and a fascinating glance of the social changes of 70s Britain.

    I was very pleased to see I Didn't Know You Cared on there - also a fascinating glance at etc etc.
    As it doesn't contain either Auf Wiedersein Pet or A Very Peculiar Practice, it is (to say the least) incomplete.

    And why is the Vicar of Dibley so high up? That should be waaaaaaaaayyyy down the list.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    edited July 2022

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I ❤️ Dads Army it is the most perfect sitcom ever.
    Father Ted says hello.......
    The top five (in no particular order), surely, are:

    Blackadder
    Fawltey Towers
    Father Ted
    Dad's Army
    Yes Minister
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    Father Ted also contains the single best Radiohead gag:

    https://youtu.be/5-ManI1H9vA
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,484
    Andy_JS said:

    "Boris Johnson has not ruled out attempting to make a comeback should his successor’s government collapse, according to allies."

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/boris-johnson-has-not-ruled-out-making-comeback-vtrjqwczf

    Except the Ted Heath Tribute Act on the backbenches doesn't earn him more than a basic MPs salary.....
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,475
    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I ❤️ Dads Army it is the most perfect sitcom ever.
    Father Ted says hello.......
    The top five (in no particular order), surely, are:

    Blackadder
    Fawltey Towers
    Father Ted
    Dad's Army
    Yes Minister
    It's odd how all those all revolve around middle-class or upper-class people. Blackadder: kings and nobles. Fawlty Towers: a small businessman. Father Ted: priests. Dad's Army: led by a bank manager with shopkeepers and others. Yes Minister: politicians.

    I'd put a thoroughly working-class but hilarious one on the list: Two Pints of Lager. If only because a friend used to refer to Mrs J and myself as Gaz and Donna... ;)
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I ❤️ Dads Army it is the most perfect sitcom ever.
    Father Ted says hello.......
    The top five (in no particular order), surely, are:

    Blackadder
    Fawltey Towers
    Father Ted
    Dad's Army
    Yes Minister
    It's odd how all those all revolve around middle-class or upper-class people. Blackadder: kings and nobles. Fawlty Towers: a small businessman. Father Ted: priests. Dad's Army: led by a bank manager with shopkeepers and others. Yes Minister: politicians.

    I'd put a thoroughly working-class but hilarious one on the list: Two Pints of Lager. If only because a friend used to refer to Mrs J and myself as Gaz and Donna... ;)
    If you look at the top 10 on "Britain's Best Sitcoms" list, you have:

    7 Upper and Middle Class:
    Black Adder, Vicar of Dibley, Dad's Army, Fawlty Towers, Yes Minister, The Good Life and One Foot in the Grave

    and

    3 Working Class:
    Only Fools and Horses, Porridge, Open All Hours

    Although you could argue that Only Fools and Horses was about people wanting to be middle and upper class, that Porridge is the non working (what with them being incarcerated) class, and Open All Hours was about a shop owner - i.e. a member of the petty bourgeoisie.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,606
    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I ❤️ Dads Army it is the most perfect sitcom ever.
    Father Ted says hello.......
    The top five (in no particular order), surely, are:

    Blackadder
    Fawltey Towers
    Father Ted
    Dad's Army
    Yes Minister
    Father Ted
    Blackadder
    Red Dwarf
    Peep Show
    The Conservative Party
    The Detectorists
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,291
    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I pointed this out the other day.

    That's a good article.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    Jonathan said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I ❤️ Dads Army it is the most perfect sitcom ever.
    Father Ted says hello.......
    The top five (in no particular order), surely, are:

    Blackadder
    Fawltey Towers
    Father Ted
    Dad's Army
    Yes Minister
    Father Ted
    Blackadder
    Red Dwarf
    Peep Show
    The Conservative Party
    The Detectorists
    I couldn't decide whether to make number five Yes Minister or Red Dwarf, but went with the former because I still watch it today.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,291

    kyf_100 said:

    kyf_100 said:

    darkage said:

    I just had a look at Linkedin. People are venting their fury about Braverman and Badenoch. How can it be possible that they are opposed to net zero! How can they even be allowed to be candidates! ... There was similar fury about the supreme court overturning Roe v Wade. People were going around building "firewalls" around themselves, cancelling their professional contacts who, however cautiously, expressed a different view.

    Linkedin used to be where you could find some sanity. Now it is just no different really to facebook. Social media has just made everyone mad. It is all tribal mob rule. Meaningful debate is completely dead.

    I cannot imagine discussing politics on LinkedIn. Unless, I worked in politics.
    LinkedIn in 2022 unfortunately has absolutely nothing to do with work, and almost all posts are virtue signalling politics, or karma farming "i suffered from depression or a disability or whatever but look at me now smiling having beaten adversity to become a low level drone in sector 7G, etc".

    It is the most depressing place on earth, and surely evidence that 99% of humans are actually NPCs.
    I've used it fairly well to keep in contact with some people I used to work with, which has the potential to help me get work in the future.

    I just can't imagine using it in any other way. Why would I want to put off people who might offer me a job by getting into an argument with them about politics?
    Honestly, it beats me.

    The annoying thing about LinkedIn is, as far as I know, it promotes popular posts around the network and you can't tune it to only show you posts from people you know.

    There was a post I saw on there the other day from a woman who was proudly announcing she was adding "sex worker" to her linkedin job history because sex work was real work, and it was about time blah blah, yadda yadda.

    And all I could think was, crikey, I'm not sure I'd employ someone who put "hooker" on their CV. But her post was teeming with likes and bravery and you-go-girls.

    The funny thing is, I personally don't have a problem if that was her job for ten years or more, a job's a job. But there is such a thing as a time and a place, such a thing as over sharing...
    Linkedin — pretty sure I only see stuff from connections, although that includes things they have commented on or liked. Can't see where that is set though.
    LinkedIn is about showing off. And because everyone else is doing it you feel you have to do the same to maintain your "profile", so it feeds on itself.

    Like all social media it suffers from the narcissism of the "like" button - people count and compare total likes, and who liked it and didn't like it, and develop fandoms & grievances accordingly.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I pointed this out the other day.

    That's a good article.
    I read Ms Morduant's book. Well, more like I skimmed it, but still, I reckon that's more than most. And IIRC, the only show she actually calls out by name is It Ain't Half Hot Mum*, so the article is a little misleading.

    * Which, I would note, I was not allowed to watch as a child because my parents decided it had racist stereotypes. Watching it later, I discovered it was simply bleh: it's nowhere near as funny as Dad's Army or early seasons of Hi-de-Hi.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,291
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I ❤️ Dads Army it is the most perfect sitcom ever.
    Father Ted says hello.......
    The top five (in no particular order), surely, are:

    Blackadder
    Fawltey Towers
    Father Ted
    Dad's Army
    Yes Minister
    It's odd how all those all revolve around middle-class or upper-class people. Blackadder: kings and nobles. Fawlty Towers: a small businessman. Father Ted: priests. Dad's Army: led by a bank manager with shopkeepers and others. Yes Minister: politicians.

    I'd put a thoroughly working-class but hilarious one on the list: Two Pints of Lager. If only because a friend used to refer to Mrs J and myself as Gaz and Donna... ;)
    If you look at the top 10 on "Britain's Best Sitcoms" list, you have:

    7 Upper and Middle Class:
    Black Adder, Vicar of Dibley, Dad's Army, Fawlty Towers, Yes Minister, The Good Life and One Foot in the Grave

    and

    3 Working Class:
    Only Fools and Horses, Porridge, Open All Hours

    Although you could argue that Only Fools and Horses was about people wanting to be middle and upper class, that Porridge is the non working (what with them being incarcerated) class, and Open All Hours was about a shop owner - i.e. a member of the petty bourgeoisie.
    What makes that so British is that everyone knows exactly what you're talking about and that's absolutely right.

    Keeping Up Appearances does it all - somebody basically working class who's married up and changed her accent and now puts on an OTT show.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,484
    Russia going scorched earth on Ukraine....

    https://twitter.com/StratcomCentre/status/1546894656306380806
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    I’ve cashed out the other half of my Badenoch bet. I may come to regret it, but right now I don’t think there’s any value at all in her current odds.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,291
    rcs1000 said:

    Cookie said:

    carnforth said:

    Was going to post about the Rise & Fall of Reginald Perrin, but am pre-empted by Wikipedia informing me that Leonard Rossiter had a five year extramarital affair with Radio 4’s Sue McGregor in the early 80s. Didn’t think he had it in him. Or her. Good Lord.

    This is quite a good starting point for constructing your own list, though it only goes up to 2004 (so omits the IT crowd).
    https://mubi.com/lists/britain-s-best-sitcom-the-bbc-s-top-100
    Only major omission I can see from that list is Chance in a Million.

    Though I think it is considering 'The Likely Lads' and 'Whatever Happened to the Likely Lads' as one sitcom; it should really be two. WHTTLL is a classic and a fascinating glance of the social changes of 70s Britain.

    I was very pleased to see I Didn't Know You Cared on there - also a fascinating glance at etc etc.
    As it doesn't contain either Auf Wiedersein Pet or A Very Peculiar Practice, it is (to say the least) incomplete.

    And why is the Vicar of Dibley so high up? That should be waaaaaaaaayyyy down the list.
    Vicar of Dibley is shite.

    Red Dwarf, The Office and Alan Partridge need to be in there, IMHO.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,475
    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I pointed this out the other day.

    That's a good article.
    I read Ms Morduant's book. Well, more like I skimmed it, but still, I reckon that's more than most. And IIRC, the only show she actually calls out by name is It Ain't Half Hot Mum*, so the article is a little misleading.

    * Which, I would note, I was not allowed to watch as a child because my parents decided it had racist stereotypes. Watching it later, I discovered it was simply bleh: it's nowhere near as funny as Dad's Army or early seasons of Hi-de-Hi.
    Although SM Williams has given the Internet a very strong meme:
    "Oh dear, how sad, never mind."

    https://tenor.com/view/oh-dear-how-sad-never-mind-battery-sergeant-major-williams-gif-11845032

    From memory, I found "It ain't half hot mum" to be rather unfunny as a child, although like many sitcoms it did have its memorable moments. But I think that was because I found it hard to relate to the situation in the sitcom, rather than any incipient wokeness in me.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039
    edited July 2022
    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,291
    rcs1000 said:

    Father Ted also contains the single best Radiohead gag:

    https://youtu.be/5-ManI1H9vA

    That sums up perfectly why I don't listen to Radiohead!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,291
    It's very dated now but to be fair Men Behaving Badly was quite funny in the 1990s.

    It was very laddish though, and of it's time. Wouldn't fly now.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,933
    There is now video of the hallway during the Texas mass shooting.

    https://twitter.com/chron/status/1546981730355142657
    Within three minutes of Ramos' arrival, eight officers are seen in the halls outside the classroom where the attack is taking place.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,475

    rcs1000 said:

    Cookie said:

    carnforth said:

    Was going to post about the Rise & Fall of Reginald Perrin, but am pre-empted by Wikipedia informing me that Leonard Rossiter had a five year extramarital affair with Radio 4’s Sue McGregor in the early 80s. Didn’t think he had it in him. Or her. Good Lord.

    This is quite a good starting point for constructing your own list, though it only goes up to 2004 (so omits the IT crowd).
    https://mubi.com/lists/britain-s-best-sitcom-the-bbc-s-top-100
    Only major omission I can see from that list is Chance in a Million.

    Though I think it is considering 'The Likely Lads' and 'Whatever Happened to the Likely Lads' as one sitcom; it should really be two. WHTTLL is a classic and a fascinating glance of the social changes of 70s Britain.

    I was very pleased to see I Didn't Know You Cared on there - also a fascinating glance at etc etc.
    As it doesn't contain either Auf Wiedersein Pet or A Very Peculiar Practice, it is (to say the least) incomplete.

    And why is the Vicar of Dibley so high up? That should be waaaaaaaaayyyy down the list.
    Vicar of Dibley is shite.

    Red Dwarf, The Office and Alan Partridge need to be in there, IMHO.
    My favourite two sitcoms, ones I can watch time and time again:

    'Spaced' and 'Two pints of Lager'.

    Both genius pieces of work, although the latter declines after the fourth or fifth series. I'd also love to see the rumoured revisiting of it, with the characters older and not much wiser...
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,606
    rcs1000 said:

    Jonathan said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I ❤️ Dads Army it is the most perfect sitcom ever.
    Father Ted says hello.......
    The top five (in no particular order), surely, are:

    Blackadder
    Fawltey Towers
    Father Ted
    Dad's Army
    Yes Minister
    Father Ted
    Blackadder
    Red Dwarf
    Peep Show
    The Conservative Party
    The Detectorists
    I couldn't decide whether to make number five Yes Minister or Red Dwarf, but went with the former because I still watch it today.
    Reggie Perrin season 1,2 just missed the list, speaks to my repressed commuter soul. The Detectorists is pure joy, representing England at its best.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,752
    Good morning, everyone.

    Just to clarify today's vote: everyone with fewer than 30 votes gets eliminated, and the person with fewest votes is out even if they have more than that threshold, right?
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,389
    Cummings has made some weird pro Russia comments lately.
    Perhaps the Ukrainians are right to be worried about Boris Johnson being forced out.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,933
    Nigelb said:

    There is now video of the hallway during the Texas mass shooting.

    https://twitter.com/chron/status/1546981730355142657
    Within three minutes of Ramos' arrival, eight officers are seen in the halls outside the classroom where the attack is taking place.

    … Uvalde residents react after the mayor and a city council member called journalists "chickenshit" for releasing security camera footage from Robb Elementary…
    … The mayor of Uvalde says he can't comment on whether the police acted properly because "I haven't seen the video yet" and then proceeds to praise the courage of one of the officers based on ... what he saw in the video

    https://twitter.com/Mike_Hixenbaugh/status/1547003518170677256

    This isn’t going away as national news.
    There is a slim chance it might shift the politics on guns, and policing.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039
    darkage said:

    Cummings has made some weird pro Russia comments lately.
    Perhaps the Ukrainians are right to be worried about Boris Johnson being forced out.

    He likes to see himself as a hyper-realist

    He’s saying the Ukrainian war cannot be “won”. And let’s face it he’s right, if we define “winning” as pushing Russia back to the pre-war borders - let alone retaking Crimea

    This does not mean we appease Putin tho. Is he saying that? If he is, he’s wrong. The only choice - and it’s a grim choice - is to do what we’re doing. Grind Russia down. Limit its ambitions. Cut it out of the system


  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,291
    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I pointed this out the other day.

    That's a good article.
    I read Ms Morduant's book. Well, more like I skimmed it, but still, I reckon that's more than most. And IIRC, the only show she actually calls out by name is It Ain't Half Hot Mum*, so the article is a little misleading.

    * Which, I would note, I was not allowed to watch as a child because my parents decided it had racist stereotypes. Watching it later, I discovered it was simply bleh: it's nowhere near as funny as Dad's Army or early seasons of Hi-de-Hi.
    The article does call out It Ain't Half Hot Mum, though: "Hilariously Mordaunt describes It Ain’t Half Hot Mum as “a full-house bingo card of… casual racism, homophobia, white privilege, colonialism, transphobia, bullying, misogyny and sexual harassment”.

    And her book ends there. There's no nuance or caveats. David Croft and Jimmy Perry were comedy geniuses - not bigots who wanted us all to laugh at minorities.

    I think the article's conclusion is right: it's common amongst trendy politicians desperate to "display their progressive credentials — making a confident pronouncement of hate or love about some cultural artefact in the mistaken belief it will make you look hip. David Cameron’s toe-curling profession of love of The Smiths, Gordon Brown’s for the Arctic Monkeys, or Jeremy Corbyn pretending to watch Eastenders."

    To be, the most serious failing is it shows Mordaunt hasn't thought deeply about this- she just accepts the orthodox shibboleths.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    Leon said:

    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers

    My children (12 and 14) find Blackadder II and Fawlty Towers to be very funny. (My 12 year son's favourite movie is The Life of Brian.)

    But they would find The Good Life or Ever Decreasing Circles or From the Manor Born utterly tedious.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,291

    rcs1000 said:

    Cookie said:

    carnforth said:

    Was going to post about the Rise & Fall of Reginald Perrin, but am pre-empted by Wikipedia informing me that Leonard Rossiter had a five year extramarital affair with Radio 4’s Sue McGregor in the early 80s. Didn’t think he had it in him. Or her. Good Lord.

    This is quite a good starting point for constructing your own list, though it only goes up to 2004 (so omits the IT crowd).
    https://mubi.com/lists/britain-s-best-sitcom-the-bbc-s-top-100
    Only major omission I can see from that list is Chance in a Million.

    Though I think it is considering 'The Likely Lads' and 'Whatever Happened to the Likely Lads' as one sitcom; it should really be two. WHTTLL is a classic and a fascinating glance of the social changes of 70s Britain.

    I was very pleased to see I Didn't Know You Cared on there - also a fascinating glance at etc etc.
    As it doesn't contain either Auf Wiedersein Pet or A Very Peculiar Practice, it is (to say the least) incomplete.

    And why is the Vicar of Dibley so high up? That should be waaaaaaaaayyyy down the list.
    Vicar of Dibley is shite.

    Red Dwarf, The Office and Alan Partridge need to be in there, IMHO.
    My favourite two sitcoms, ones I can watch time and time again:

    'Spaced' and 'Two pints of Lager'.

    Both genius pieces of work, although the latter declines after the fourth or fifth series. I'd also love to see the rumoured revisiting of it, with the characters older and not much wiser...
    I agree Two pints of Lager is better than it's given credit for.

    Assessments of it are probably held back by snobbery, to be fair.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,933
    Large dump in Luhansk goes up.
    https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1546991699246858242

    First time Ukraine has hit anything there, I think.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers

    My children (12 and 14) find Blackadder II and Fawlty Towers to be very funny. (My 12 year son's favourite movie is The Life of Brian.)

    But they would find The Good Life or Ever Decreasing Circles or From the Manor Born utterly tedious.
    My daughter thought The Death of Stalin was brilliant, so maybe she'd like Yes Minister.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,291
    ping said:

    I’ve cashed out the other half of my Badenoch bet. I may come to regret it, but right now I don’t think there’s any value at all in her current odds.

    I've laid her down so she's equal to Penny.

    I bought her cheaply so I'm not going to kill my whole position for the sake of £30 quid extra, particularly since I don't know what will happen next.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers

    My children (12 and 14) find Blackadder II and Fawlty Towers to be very funny. (My 12 year son's favourite movie is The Life of Brian.)

    But they would find The Good Life or Ever Decreasing Circles or From the Manor Born utterly tedious.
    They have exceptional taste! Those are the only sitcoms that have lasted. The rest are faded dross, perhaps funny to the weak minded at the time
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,291
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers

    My children (12 and 14) find Blackadder II and Fawlty Towers to be very funny. (My 12 year son's favourite movie is The Life of Brian.)

    But they would find The Good Life or Ever Decreasing Circles or From the Manor Born utterly tedious.
    Last of the Summer Wine seemed to be extremely popular for decades for reasons I couldn't quite fathom.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    Leon said:

    darkage said:

    Cummings has made some weird pro Russia comments lately.
    Perhaps the Ukrainians are right to be worried about Boris Johnson being forced out.

    He likes to see himself as a hyper-realist

    He’s saying the Ukrainian war cannot be “won”. And let’s face it he’s right, if we define “winning” as pushing Russia back to the pre-war borders - let alone retaking Crimea

    This does not mean we appease Putin tho. Is he saying that? If he is, he’s wrong. The only choice - and it’s a grim choice - is to do what we’re doing. Grind Russia down. Limit its ambitions. Cut it out of the system


    I think Cummings is wrong.

    Military adventures - like the Russians in Afghanistan - quite often lead to regime change.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers

    My children (12 and 14) find Blackadder II and Fawlty Towers to be very funny. (My 12 year son's favourite movie is The Life of Brian.)

    But they would find The Good Life or Ever Decreasing Circles or From the Manor Born utterly tedious.
    Last of the Summer Wine seemed to be extremely popular for decades for reasons I couldn't quite fathom.
    It wasn't very funny.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers

    My children (12 and 14) find Blackadder II and Fawlty Towers to be very funny. (My 12 year son's favourite movie is The Life of Brian.)

    But they would find The Good Life or Ever Decreasing Circles or From the Manor Born utterly tedious.
    They have exceptional taste! Those are the only sitcoms that have lasted. The rest are faded dross, perhaps funny to the weak minded at the time
    One of my children (who shall remain nameless) actually wet themselves during a Fawlty Towers episode.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,475

    rcs1000 said:

    Cookie said:

    carnforth said:

    Was going to post about the Rise & Fall of Reginald Perrin, but am pre-empted by Wikipedia informing me that Leonard Rossiter had a five year extramarital affair with Radio 4’s Sue McGregor in the early 80s. Didn’t think he had it in him. Or her. Good Lord.

    This is quite a good starting point for constructing your own list, though it only goes up to 2004 (so omits the IT crowd).
    https://mubi.com/lists/britain-s-best-sitcom-the-bbc-s-top-100
    Only major omission I can see from that list is Chance in a Million.

    Though I think it is considering 'The Likely Lads' and 'Whatever Happened to the Likely Lads' as one sitcom; it should really be two. WHTTLL is a classic and a fascinating glance of the social changes of 70s Britain.

    I was very pleased to see I Didn't Know You Cared on there - also a fascinating glance at etc etc.
    As it doesn't contain either Auf Wiedersein Pet or A Very Peculiar Practice, it is (to say the least) incomplete.

    And why is the Vicar of Dibley so high up? That should be waaaaaaaaayyyy down the list.
    Vicar of Dibley is shite.

    Red Dwarf, The Office and Alan Partridge need to be in there, IMHO.
    My favourite two sitcoms, ones I can watch time and time again:

    'Spaced' and 'Two pints of Lager'.

    Both genius pieces of work, although the latter declines after the fourth or fifth series. I'd also love to see the rumoured revisiting of it, with the characters older and not much wiser...
    I agree Two pints of Lager is better than it's given credit for.

    Assessments of it are probably held back by snobbery, to be fair.
    Two pints was created by a young woman whilst she was at secondary school in the same area the show was set in. As a consequence it feels genuine, as if she had experienced some of the comedy she was writing.

    Compare with many of the other shows mentioned, written by old hands in the industry. Croft and Perry, for instance.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers

    My children (12 and 14) find Blackadder II and Fawlty Towers to be very funny. (My 12 year son's favourite movie is The Life of Brian.)

    But they would find The Good Life or Ever Decreasing Circles or From the Manor Born utterly tedious.
    Last of the Summer Wine seemed to be extremely popular for decades for reasons I couldn't quite fathom.
    Familiarity. Complete escapism

    It never challenged you or broke taboos. It was never unexpectedly clever or - heaven forbid - biting. It was the same characters doing the same thing again and again. That can be pleasing, certainly consoling. For half an hour it was basically unfunny but predictably, likeably whimsical, a harmless world to inhabit

    For people with shit lives that’s no small thing. I wonder if many video games play the same role now

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,572
    Leon said:

    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers

    All filmed drama or comedy is really about two times. The time it was set, and the time it was made. That is why it often ages so poorly.

    So Dad's Army is an early Seventies look at WW2 Britain, by people who largely remembered it, hence its gentle nostalgia and comedy focus on issues of social class. It just didn't mean much to a primary school age me. I preferred the silliness of the Goodies, which has aged even worse.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    darkage said:

    Cummings has made some weird pro Russia comments lately.
    Perhaps the Ukrainians are right to be worried about Boris Johnson being forced out.

    He likes to see himself as a hyper-realist

    He’s saying the Ukrainian war cannot be “won”. And let’s face it he’s right, if we define “winning” as pushing Russia back to the pre-war borders - let alone retaking Crimea

    This does not mean we appease Putin tho. Is he saying that? If he is, he’s wrong. The only choice - and it’s a grim choice - is to do what we’re doing. Grind Russia down. Limit its ambitions. Cut it out of the system


    I think Cummings is wrong.

    Military adventures - like the Russians in Afghanistan - quite often lead to regime change.
    This isn’t quite Afghanistan tho. Ukraine was “part” of Russia for centuries and many speak Russian

    I expect Russia to squat on the eastern bits for a long time
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038
    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    darkage said:

    Cummings has made some weird pro Russia comments lately.
    Perhaps the Ukrainians are right to be worried about Boris Johnson being forced out.

    He likes to see himself as a hyper-realist

    He’s saying the Ukrainian war cannot be “won”. And let’s face it he’s right, if we define “winning” as pushing Russia back to the pre-war borders - let alone retaking Crimea

    This does not mean we appease Putin tho. Is he saying that? If he is, he’s wrong. The only choice - and it’s a grim choice - is to do what we’re doing. Grind Russia down. Limit its ambitions. Cut it out of the system


    I think Cummings is wrong.

    Military adventures - like the Russians in Afghanistan - quite often lead to regime change.
    This isn’t quite Afghanistan tho. Ukraine was “part” of Russia for centuries and many speak Russian

    I expect Russia to squat on the eastern bits for a long time
    Even the ones who speak Russian now hate the Russians.

    Don't forget that Zelensky is a native Russian speaker.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039
    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers

    All filmed drama or comedy is really about two times. The time it was set, and the time it was made. That is why it often ages so poorly.

    So Dad's Army is an early Seventies look at WW2 Britain, by people who largely remembered it, hence its gentle nostalgia and comedy focus on issues of social class. It just didn't mean much to a primary school age me. I preferred the silliness of the Goodies, which has aged even worse.
    The more interesting question is why some comedy DOESN’T date

    It’s rare but it happens. Wodehouse is a prime example. He can make you laugh out loud with the written word - itself impressive - and he can do it with words written 90 years ago. Wow

    And he’s writing about a world completely vanished, too

    It’s something to do with supremely intelligent use of words, and verbal timing
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,194

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Comedy dates. That’s my takeaway from this. It dates faster than milk on a hot sunny doorstep

    Father Ted is maybe an exception. Blackadder (in part). Bits of Fawlty Towers

    My children (12 and 14) find Blackadder II and Fawlty Towers to be very funny. (My 12 year son's favourite movie is The Life of Brian.)

    But they would find The Good Life or Ever Decreasing Circles or From the Manor Born utterly tedious.
    Last of the Summer Wine seemed to be extremely popular for decades for reasons I couldn't quite fathom.
    It was/is slow and gentle. Which becomes very appealing sometimes.

    The lack of pace is what strikes me about old TV comedy. In something like Not Going Out, you are never more than about four seconds from a laugh line. In The Good Life, there are acres of screentime where nothing funny happens. Or The Two Ronnies. Hilarious moments, but the bits between really drag.

    (I've seen the suggestion that that's why Jeeves and Wooster still works. The voice of Bertie is amusing enough that even the dull routine business can be made funny.)

    Back to It 'Aint Half Hot Mum, some of the gags aren't as funny now as they seemed at the time. And that is a bit of a negative mark. Compare the evolution of Klinger in M*A*S*H and the lack thereof of Gloria in IAHHM.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,039
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    darkage said:

    Cummings has made some weird pro Russia comments lately.
    Perhaps the Ukrainians are right to be worried about Boris Johnson being forced out.

    He likes to see himself as a hyper-realist

    He’s saying the Ukrainian war cannot be “won”. And let’s face it he’s right, if we define “winning” as pushing Russia back to the pre-war borders - let alone retaking Crimea

    This does not mean we appease Putin tho. Is he saying that? If he is, he’s wrong. The only choice - and it’s a grim choice - is to do what we’re doing. Grind Russia down. Limit its ambitions. Cut it out of the system


    I think Cummings is wrong.

    Military adventures - like the Russians in Afghanistan - quite often lead to regime change.
    This isn’t quite Afghanistan tho. Ukraine was “part” of Russia for centuries and many speak Russian

    I expect Russia to squat on the eastern bits for a long time
    Even the ones who speak Russian now hate the Russians.

    Don't forget that Zelensky is a native Russian speaker.
    Sure. But I just don’t see a mechanism that pushes Russia out of Donbas etc

    And if Putin falls - unlikely at the moment - he will probably be replaced by another Russian nationalist. Not a westernised liberal happy to cede territory
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,848

    ping said:

    I’ve cashed out the other half of my Badenoch bet. I may come to regret it, but right now I don’t think there’s any value at all in her current odds.

    I've laid her down so she's equal to Penny.

    I bought her cheaply so I'm not going to kill my whole position for the sake of £30 quid extra, particularly since I don't know what will happen next.
    If you knew what will happen next, it would be easier, for sure.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,572

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    This sounds trivial but maybe it isn't.

    https://unherd.com/thepost/why-does-penny-mordaunt-hate-dads-army/

    "Why does Penny Mordaunt hate Dad’s Army?
    This is no laughing matter for the leadership contender"

    I pointed this out the other day.

    That's a good article.
    I read Ms Morduant's book. Well, more like I skimmed it, but still, I reckon that's more than most. And IIRC, the only show she actually calls out by name is It Ain't Half Hot Mum*, so the article is a little misleading.

    * Which, I would note, I was not allowed to watch as a child because my parents decided it had racist stereotypes. Watching it later, I discovered it was simply bleh: it's nowhere near as funny as Dad's Army or early seasons of Hi-de-Hi.
    The article does call out It Ain't Half Hot Mum, though: "Hilariously Mordaunt describes It Ain’t Half Hot Mum as “a full-house bingo card of… casual racism, homophobia, white privilege, colonialism, transphobia, bullying, misogyny and sexual harassment”.

    And her book ends there. There's no nuance or caveats. David Croft and Jimmy Perry were comedy geniuses - not bigots who wanted us all to laugh at minorities.

    I think the article's conclusion is right: it's common amongst trendy politicians desperate to "display their progressive credentials — making a confident pronouncement of hate or love about some cultural artefact in the mistaken belief it will make you look hip. David Cameron’s toe-curling profession of love of The Smiths, Gordon Brown’s for the Arctic Monkeys, or Jeremy Corbyn pretending to watch Eastenders."

    To be, the most serious failing is it shows Mordaunt hasn't thought deeply about this- she just accepts the orthodox shibboleths.
    I think the opposite, that she has thought deeply about LBGT issues, perhaps not least because her twin brother is gay. She was Equalities Minister too for some time under May.

    Her interview with Pink News in which she says "Trans-women are women" is here. She is really just trying to find a way forward on some difficult issues. In particular to take the bureaucracy away from the GRC process.

    https://www.pinknews.co.uk/2018/07/02/penny-mordaunt-interview-gender-recognition-act/comments/
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,752
    Less than a week ago (7 July) Badenoch was 131 to be next PM.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Andy_JS said:

    Dan Hodges may be onto something here. I won't post the whole thread.

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1546953684214497284

    "(((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    In a contest in which honesty and integrity are so pivotal, I don't see how Penny M's attempt to rewrite her position on this in such a nakedly opportunistic way is survivable."

    Gender Critical Feminists are unpersuaded too:

    https://twitter.com/fairplaywomen/status/1546975857453010945
This discussion has been closed.