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Bad news for people laying a 2022 general election? – politicalbetting.com
Bad news for people laying a 2022 general election? – politicalbetting.com
**Nadhim Zahawi** is in the delegation of cabinet ministers about to tell the prime minister to go, I'm told
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He started leading a minority Government, fought an election and won a whopping majority then threw it all away in a fit of pique, decimating (and worse) the Parliamentary Tory Party.
After all how could any Tory Candidate stand with Boris as leader...
When are Durham Police going to chuck a grenade into the mix?
I want Zahawi to quit tonight. Less than 24 hours in office makes him immortal.
Sadly I don't think we're going to have that chance yet. Speaking as a soft leftie I mean.
35 on the counter
Nurse has woken up JackW from his afternoon nap....
Boris requesting and HMQ approving an early election would end up with the Tories worse than decimated and probably a 1997 style Labour landslide.
It ain't happening. But would almost be funny if it did.
Quite the reverse with Boris.
@bendavis_86
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21h
I would write to my MP, but he’s Chris Pincher and I don’t want him knowing where I live.
Well. Yes.
Noa Hoffman
@hoffman_noa
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6m
Hearing the 1922 rules have now officially been changed
Which seems rather impossible today! 🤣
For unreliable, uninformed sources are allegedly perhaps reporting, that RUDY GIULIANI is winging his way eastward across the Atlantic - in the "Spirit of Mar-a-Lardo" - to give BJBJ the benefit of his sage counsel.
What would be an equivalent UK venue to equal the PR impact of "Four Seasons"?
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/jan/03/four-seasons-total-landscaping-lighthearted-lesson-business
But he's not surviving today either way.
The 1922 are about to organize a VONC he will lose and the Cabinet are about to withdraw support.
If he goes to the Palace in these circumstances he is virtually no longer PM and she will stall somehow.
More un-PC: Brown-Darling are well respected elsewhere for dealing with the GFC, and also were dealing with legacy plus, well, a GFC, that poisoned their contemporary reputations. No ambitious politician will praise them but historians might.
Even more un-PC: A Suez-type event was the inevitable wake-up call that an Edwardian unilateral attitude to foreign relations was unsustainable. It wasn't the cause of decline, and even merely perceptually, losing the East to Japan was the root cause of perceptions of weakness.
What will the next 24 bring?
"Boris and Nadine: it’ll be like the end of Antony and Cleopatra."
Don't worry about cleaning up, as new PM - regardless of party - will be sending in a HazMat team to deal with the lingering stench.
We do have a wacky constitution
Boris will NOT quit before September.
And probably isn't the worst plan for the Tory party as the next few years are going to be brutal for the party in power.
Incredible
@camillahmturner
BREAKING: Michelle Donelan, the newly appointed Education Secretary, is part of the delegation of Cabinet ministers who have gone to Downing Street to tell the PM the game is up
https://twitter.com/camillahmturner/status/1544711794899419136
Qoute me on it.
Of course if the '22 were clever they could kill this one straight away by changing the rules to say that, in the event of a dissolution, the removal of a Leader of the party can be decided by those who were sitting Conservative MPs at the time of dissolution.
Right decision or not, it is their confidence that informs the choice.
Nunu3: "Boris will NOT quit before September."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lascelles_Principles
But if I tries it he will finally have confirmed he is British Trump.
https://twitter.com/michaelsavage/status/1544714013426196488
Could be close
@michaelsavage
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2m
In hindsight, the fact Johnson turned up to the liaison committee tells us a lot about his state of mind. He genuinely thought he could style this out.
I heard they are short.
@DPJHodges
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7m
He can’t. The Queen wouldn’t let him.
The more spectacularly chaotic and bizarre he makes his departure, the more publishers will clamour to buy his tell-all autobiography - and the more they will pay
This week will make the perfect ending - to volume one
2) if a general election would be "detrimental to the national economy", and
3) if the Sovereign could "rely on finding another prime minister who could govern for a reasonable period with a working majority in the House of Commons".
point 2 is supposedly irrelevant now but surely points 1 and 3 hold - it would just require the Tory Party to hold a coronation rather than an election...
Anyway by time Johnson's car makes its way through traffic to Windsor he will no longer command the House and she can see him to accept his resignation.