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Starmer moving back in the next PM betting – politicalbetting.com
Starmer moving back in the next PM betting – politicalbetting.com
This really about whether there will be a change of Prime Minister ahead of the next general election which of course is due to take place in 2024. The greater it seems likely that there will be no change at the top in the Tory Party the greater the chances punters will see of Starmer being the next PM
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SKS would buck a trend if he became PM, but I wouldn't count him out given the current trend (even 2 years out).
Johnson quits in a hissy fit when Sue Gray drops and he is challenged.
He refuses to stay during a leadership election (goes full FU)
Tories require a caretaker whilst they sort and needs to be a non runner, loyal to country, party and service prepared to do the job for 2 months and then leave.
Stop forward Theresa May, the next PM
Apols if already suggested whilst I was absent from site till last week.
Starmer's appeal, "I'll make Britain boring again", shouldn't be a winner in normal times.
But these aren't normal times, and aren't likely to get normal soon. Calm and decency to apply the pain a bit more fairly might be enough.
We could also add: May, Heath, Callaghan, Douglas-Home and Chamberlain from the past 100 years.
@BenKentish
Iain Duncan Smith sticks the boot into Rishi Sunak. Asked by
@AndrewMarr9
about the Chancellor’s claims that IT systems won’t let him ⬆️ benefits, IDS: “It’s not true. I don’t believe a word of it…This is what officials pass you when they think they don’t want to do something.”
https://twitter.com/BenKentish/status/1526978347607244806
====
Actually, I think Sunak was mainly referring to legacy welfare systems, but perhaps IDS is still correct about officials.
🫣
A proper 'hand on the tiller' caretaker
My bet would be William hague, but he doesn't seem to be in BF's list
Was really impressed with potential stabee. When the girlfriend got between them and gave him the space to get up, he could have done some serious damage. He was eight inches taller, about six stone heavier, twice as fit and 100 times more sober.
But he didn't. Just kept repeating. "It wasn't me. I didn't do that. You've got the wrong blerk mate. Go home before you regret it."
Even as stabby bloke threatened him, his family and his mates.
Not sure I could have been that cool in the circumstances.
Hissy BJ = the most hilarious replacement ever.
Princess Anne visited Ely Cathedral in Cambridgeshire earlier to unveil the 13m (43ft) table created from a black oak, found buried and preserved in a field in Norfolk, in 2012.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cambridgeshire-61487686
edit
Maybe everyone was a bit dull then though.
Football is a lot like British weather. Most of the time it is poor, but you live in hope of an unexpected glorious day.
Eg “I hear that Dick Pasty, of Mebyon Kernow, is about to be Sunacked by Star E Gazeypie, for putting the cream on his scone FIRST”
Vanilla is the default and somewhat boring choice, not the exotic or interesting one - but more people go for vanilla.
They exhibit a different level of skill
And UCL is equivalently superior to UEL
Lets see how he does at penalties.
Bozza just creeps past TMay in the Prime Ministerial Longevity stakes.
On flouncing out, May gets appointed as caretaker (who else is there?)... for just long enough to overtake the Bozzmeister again.
I should book in the restiching my split sides surgery now.
That's why swingers use it as a term.
"SSH! There are vanillas in the midst."
There are very very many things about BoJo that make him unsuitable. But when it comes to the gathering and deployment of raw human power, the man is a genius. Some sort of political savant, if you like.
The problem is the centralisation of power he has initiated will be very difficult to remove - I'd like to think the next non-Conservative Government would make pledges to restore the power of parliament and weaken the Executive but I'm not optimistic and when opposition Conservatives complain about the centralisation of power the response will simply be it's a situation you created.
That's how it often is with democracy - easy to knock bricks out of the wall, hard to put them back.
They are a superb and terrible invention
I met Callaghan long after he was PM, and he certainly had a twinkle in his eye, even in his dotage. A very charming man.
EDIT - Oz now leading McCormick by +1,700 votes out of 1.3m counted so far
People have been complaining about the centralisation of power (and pledging to reverse it but not doing so) for as long as I've been following politics.
We should be pointing out the terrible food position to them at every opportunity. How can chaos in Egypt and perhaps elsewhere in the middle east be in their interest.
Not a genius, a leech. . Not much more to it.
Chapeau.
Will be interesting to see to what extent Oz plays along. Particularly if the as-yet uncounted votes break for McCormick. Who was leading last night UNTIL the election-day vote started coming in. And most of the still uncounted was cast via the mail BEFORE primary day also.
Another story is UK and EU turning tankers away that want to dock, as that side of things maxed out too.
In the short term, it strengthens him against minor attacks. Becuase he has no real friends, he doesn't have to let loyalty hold him back from doing what it takes to cement his position.
In the longer term, it means that his fall from grace will be spectacular. Because when the balance of pro and anti flips, there won't be much of a Praetorian Guard to protect him.
Most premierships are made from sheet metal- they get increasingly dented as time goes on. Johnson's is made of glass- many things bounce off it, but at some unpredictable point it will shatter and leave dangerous shards everywhere.
The unknown is when this will happen. And it could still be 10 days or 10 years.