Categories
2 months after Rishi collapsed the CON leader market is static – politicalbetting.com
2 months after Rishi collapsed the CON leader market is static – politicalbetting.com
One thing that really boosts Johnson in his can’t position is that there is no obvious person there to replace him as we see from the betting chart above. This of course all changed with the massive decline of the Sunak in March and since then no one has really emerged to perhaps take his place.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
I quite like it
Based on @HYUFD whose knowledge of the Conservative membership has to be respected, Ben Wallace looks the call.
Would love to see some polling on how many people have even heard of him!
JohnO and myself had lunch yesterday, we reckon Wallace, Truss is too much of a joke, Hunt will make the final two and lose.
Not sure what happens if Truss and Hunt make the final two.
Surprise next Chancellor/PM/Tory Leader, Steve Barclay.
What did we expect from a united reject
But what if Ukrainians frustrated by the official route try the quicker route believing it’s okay they Ukrainians? Can you rule out they will end up in Rwanda? I think that’s where the government didn’t.
I'm already on Barclay at 16.5 for next chancellor with Smarkets.
At the moment they've scored the same number of goals but City have conceded 3 fewer.
“The evidence hasn't changed one jot in two years: the same city where bat viruses are researched is the same city where the virus emerged. It is massive circumstantial evidence, that makes it by far the most likely source of the virus. But it doesn't preclude the small chance that it is entirely zoonotic.”
+++
This is not true. Loads more evidence has emerged - the alteration of the Furin Cleavage Site, the fact Daszak put in a bid to do precisely this virological engineering, the endless redacted emails showing that everyone in UK/US initially ASSUMED it came from the lab (then weirdly and inexplicably changed their minds overnight), and so on, and so forth
Is this all just “circumstantial”? I guess maybe. But if you are waiting for “hard” evidence: ie a video of something tampering with a bat virus then - Ooops! - spilling it near the market, that’s not gonna happen
Otherwise I agree. We can now say it very likely came from the lab. We cannot say this absolutely, however - and probably never will be able to do that
In any case it would be a pleasant change to have a PM who wasn't crazed with getting power for its own sake. Haven't had one of those in a while.
I listened to a heart-breaking story on r5L earlier about the dad of a child with hepatitis, who gave part of his liver for his three year old daughter. I'm hoping this does not become a bigger story:
https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/05/450-cases-11-dead-worldwide-in-growing-child-hepatitis-mystery/
"It is perfectly obvious that the government is confused about what it stands for. This is because it is confused about who it stands for.
The prime minister and the chancellor believe in different fiscal policies, the government believes in low taxes but is raising taxes, the party believes in free trade but is presiding over vast increases in trade barriers for Britain. It is a free-market party that has fallen out with the leadership of big business. It is a Conservative Party but isn’t sure how seriously it takes the rule of law. Or treaties. Or standards in public life."
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/0d62e7f8-d078-11ec-84ba-2054de44b21e?shareToken=cfb37b7a29183f3fe783ec72bb348f78
https://twitter.com/kyledcheney/status/1524464920523378689
I didn't know Robert cared about Burnley.
I have a few Evertonian friends and I know how important the club is to them.
I think Everton getting relegated would be a genuinely existential crisis for them given their finances.
My own club nearly went into administration which would have led to a fire sale and relegation and I don't want that to happen any one.
If forced to choose between the guys I’d go for Hunt. OK he was a Remainer, whatever. He’s clever, measured and articulate, and doesn’t make me want to drip LSD into my eyes to keep me awake
One is illogical nonsense formulated centuries ago by idiots and defended solely by lunatics, and the other was the idea of Anselm of Canterbury.
Shocker.
Bat soup though.
"Undocumented people who travel from Ukraine to the UK via Ireland could be considered for removal to Rwanda, a senior Home Office official has told MPs.
During the same select committee hearing, a minister refused to say under repeated questioning whether Ukrainians who arrive in the UK across the Channel by boat could also be sent to the central African country."
What are the views of @Carnyx and @CD13 ?
Anyway, he said that when he pulled the P45 prank on Tezzie May, in order to gain access to the Tory conference he had to...
....buy a ticket in his own name.
Hunt is unfairly branded as a Remainer/One Nation stooge but I think he's far more sophisticated than that.
#StarmerMustGo
We don't have to pay anything out on relegation.
We could put the stadium on hold.
We will continue to sell 30k season tickets.
We have players who will command serious transfer fees. Pickford, Gray, Gordon, Richarlison.
We have a farcically bloated squad. So all four could go along with everyone out of contract, and we'd still have a large squad.
Our youth and U23s are competitive.
Burnley don't have most of those advantages.
Sheffield United had exactly the same experience with their dynamic centre backs formation.
[SSI - my own theory is that Pickett was Harney's protege AND both were rash hotheads NOT noted for brainpower]
Is that the same George Pickett who led the doomed charge at Gettysburg?
However, elevating Hunt would also be a pretty clear "we screwed up in summer 2019" message. And I don't see much sign of the Conservative Party being ready to admit that yet.
The interesting question is why had Truss benefited so little from Sunak's implosion. In theory, she's the biggest beast left who is not obviously utterly unsuitable. And yet...
We haven't been since Ken Bates bought us for a tin of spam and gutted what was left
Trump demanded to know if China had developed a “hurricane gun” and whether using it would constitute an act of war, according to unnamed former officials who spoke to Rolling Stone.
“It was almost too stupid for words,” one source told the magazine. “I did not get the sense he was joking at all.”
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/donald-trump-asked-if-china-was-firing-hurricanes-at-us-aides-claim-m5bp3pjjh
1 Kevin de Bruyne.
That’s it.
The club's gone to the dogs since he took over. No planning and totally lost our identity. Money pissed up the wall.
You knew what you'd get when we were penniless under Moyes. No one liked playing us. We'd overachieve with players from the Championship, League One, America, China and Sligo Rovers.
Unnamed former officials in my bedroom say I am a legendary lover by the way. True.
He needs to perform in a non farmers league.
The SNP is to lead Angus Council after reaching agreement for support with two independent councillors, marking an end to a scandal-ridden Tory dominated administration.
https://www.thenational.scot/news/20131782.angus-council-snp-forms-administration-backing-independents/
Oddly, and entirely, in that they insist on doing the stupidest things imaginable.
The next Tory leader is long overdue.
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-00584-8#ref-CR3
But I lost interest after that as I had to deal with more urgent matters.
People are sensitive to racism (rightly), so putting it in Western terms absolves then of that.