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Starmer’s approval rating no change at -2% – politicalbetting.com

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  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629
    mwadams said:

    Jonathan said:

    I worry about BJO, he antipathy to Starmer seems to have grown into a

    Carnyx said:

    Alistair said:

    Cannot find it but someone on here once said as a reply to me that Boomers deserved generous pensions due to their suffering in WW2.

    When it was pointed out that Boomers weren't alive in the war they doubled down and said they deserved the pension due to the mental anguish of maybe and Uncle dying in the war

    You'd need to be about 80 at least today for that to even begin to be possible - born 1942. But where does anyone get a pension or compensation for an event that happened when one was about 3, unless it was the actual loss of a parent?

    BigG has a honourable mention for the V-2 strike near his home in Manchester, but I think he was quite small at the time. Nor has he defended the triple lock in the current circs, either.
    I was in the school playground when, high above us and a bit to the North, the tail light on a 'doodlebug' went out, meaning it was about to crash. We were all rushed into the shelters.

    Does that count?
    JackW is still traumatised by the Napoleonic war. He deserves a few extra shillings.
    I imagine he will never forget those seaforts being constructed in the Solent.
    Bit later. Pam's time.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    As an American I want to apologize for Megan Markle. She doesn't seem to be able to get along with anyone, except her poor husband. And I can't help wondering whether the person who introduced the two wasn't acting on a Russian (or Chinese) suggestion. Yes, that's improbable, but the chances that she would cause problems for the monarchy should have been obviously high.

    (What should Elizabeth and Charles have done? Well, this is hindsight, but I think they should have found a job for Harry in Scotland, and hope that some Scottish lass would be willing to sacrifice for her nation, by taking him on.)

    Speaking of Singapore grip & etc, perhaps fact that The Firm has suffered/facilitated TWO very similar royal family feuds, both centered around alluring but problematic American divas, might just be indicative of that problem is NOT just matter of individuals, but also systemic?

    Actually THREE feuds if you count Charles v Diana, which is of course at the heart of current discombobulation, as well as strongly connected to the first.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330
    edited May 2022
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Whether aliens have interacted with ancient humans or not, and that would be awesome, wild extrapolation about connections and development of ancient cultures based on very open to intepretation images and the like, does not speak to the worthiness of the idea.
    If they are open to interpretation, interpreting them in support of your theory seems apposite.
    Like any theory, one can then look elsewhere to support, or debunk.
    If your belief is ancient contact with aliens, in the absence of time travel interpreting ancient text etc that may support your idea is your only option
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,281
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Taz said:

    HYUFD said:

    Farooq said:

    Leon said:

    kle4 said:

    I think we will find out lots about the immense contribution made by Queen Elizabeth II in the future.

    Like: she was almost singlehandedly responsible for the successful transition from the Empire to the Commonwealth and personally for preserving well over a dozen Commonwealth Realms into the 21st Century. She also gave a huge boost to the projection of British soft power on the European, US and global stage through the respect and admiration she commanded.

    Never let it be said that monarchs are 'just' figureheads.

    Given the number of places that clearly want to be Republics yet are holding off (apparently not presently willing to follow Barbados in this) there must be some personal element involved.

    Many things, people or actions are symbolic - but symbols have power.
    Do we know they want to be republics? Surely if they wanted it that much they would now be republics?

    Anyway, republics are shit and boring. You either have a political and divisive President (France /USA) or one that no-one ever hears about or knows (Ireland/Germany).

    Monarchs are better but there are rules you have to play by. They fall when their egos get the better of them, as ours would have done post WWII during the Attlee administration had Edward VIII not abdicated.
    Looking at the list of realms ruled by Glorious Britain, sorry, voluntary members of the regnal Commonwealth, they are:


    “Antigua and Barbuda, Australia, Bahamas, Belize, Canada, Grenada, Jamaica, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Solomon Islands and Tuvalu.”

    Of those I’d say Oz, Jamaica and Belize are the most likely to go, first. But there is a question mark over all of them. For Oz it’s just an arse-ache - why bother if you are such a successful country, and this is source of stability? - for the other two it’s the opposite. Do you really need the extra INstability?

    I think it's only been me and you on here who've, consistently, argued for the monarchy. Perhaps backed by a handful of others.

    As you rightly said: most pb.com posters are number nerds who are somewhat on the spectrum and simply don't 'get' the powerful emotional reasonance and symbolism of the monarchy, nor why it's so valuable.
    When we're talking about matters of emotional resonance, the people disagreeing with you aren't "not getting it". They just disagree. But to imply that their subjective view is the result of a diagnosable condition is way off. Come on.
    Republicanism is heavily overrepresented on here compared to the population at large.

    That is the reason, together with some misplaced sense of intellectual superiority.
    Have you ever wondered if the support for the monarchy is in fact support QEII and that sad day when she passes on the support for the monarchy will evaporate?
    Even Charles now has a net favourable rating of +27%, William of +67%, almost the same as the Queen's +71%.

    The British monarchy has with the exception of the Protectorate lasted for a 1000 years in England, Scotland and then the UK with monarchs coming and going. The Queen has been a good one but her loss after a long reign will be no different to Victoria's after a long 64 year reign and then the Prince of Wales proved a better than expected monarch as Edward VIIth for his relatively short 9 year reign
    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2021/12/02/public-opinion-prince-charles-improves-latest-roya
    There’s a strong argument when Liz, sadly, moves on that they should skip a generation to help make the monarchy more relevant to diverse, dynamic, modern Britain.

    King William.
    People have been saying that literally for decades, I don't think it is that strong of an argument at this point. A balding 40 year old may be closer to the average person in the country but is not that much more relevant. Especially as part of Will's appeal seems to be he is personally boring, like his grandmother - a steady hand.
    You can't skip a generation in an hereditary monarchy.
    Takes a bit of effort, but people have managed to keep a monarchy young and fresh. We're probably not up for strangling people upon their majority though.
    Ah, yes, I was kinda assuming that wouldn't be appropriate in the modern case.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,095
    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Carnyx said:

    ydoethur said:

    tlg86 said:

    Alistair said:

    Cannot find it but someone on here once said as a reply to me that Boomers deserved generous pensions due to their suffering in WW2.

    When it was pointed out that Boomers weren't alive in the war they doubled down and said they deserved the pension due to the mental anguish of maybe and Uncle dying in the war

    My parents experienced rationing. I know this because they tell me at least once a week.
    Used to have to take my ration book to Scout camp.
    I never knew ration books were allowed to be Scouts!
    Boy Scouts, at the time. PBpedantry.
    Sea Scouts, to be strictly accurate. To be fair there wasn't a lot which was still on ration by then. Chocolate was!
    Was this the rule at camp? - One hand for the ship, and one for yourself!
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,035

    Farooq said:

    Leon said:

    kle4 said:

    I think we will find out lots about the immense contribution made by Queen Elizabeth II in the future.

    Like: she was almost singlehandedly responsible for the successful transition from the Empire to the Commonwealth and personally for preserving well over a dozen Commonwealth Realms into the 21st Century. She also gave a huge boost to the projection of British soft power on the European, US and global stage through the respect and admiration she commanded.

    Never let it be said that monarchs are 'just' figureheads.

    Given the number of places that clearly want to be Republics yet are holding off (apparently not presently willing to follow Barbados in this) there must be some personal element involved.

    Many things, people or actions are symbolic - but symbols have power.
    Do we know they want to be republics? Surely if they wanted it that much they would now be republics?

    Anyway, republics are shit and boring. You either have a political and divisive President (France /USA) or one that no-one ever hears about or knows (Ireland/Germany).

    Monarchs are better but there are rules you have to play by. They fall when their egos get the better of them, as ours would have done post WWII during the Attlee administration had Edward VIII not abdicated.
    Looking at the list of realms ruled by Glorious Britain, sorry, voluntary members of the regnal Commonwealth, they are:


    “Antigua and Barbuda, Australia, Bahamas, Belize, Canada, Grenada, Jamaica, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Solomon Islands and Tuvalu.”

    Of those I’d say Oz, Jamaica and Belize are the most likely to go, first. But there is a question mark over all of them. For Oz it’s just an arse-ache - why bother if you are such a successful country, and this is source of stability? - for the other two it’s the opposite. Do you really need the extra INstability?

    I think it's only been me and you on here who've, consistently, argued for the monarchy. Perhaps backed by a handful of others.

    As you rightly said: most pb.com posters are number nerds who are somewhat on the spectrum and simply don't 'get' the powerful emotional reasonance and symbolism of the monarchy, nor why it's so valuable.
    When we're talking about matters of emotional resonance, the people disagreeing with you aren't "not getting it". They just disagree. But to imply that their subjective view is the result of a diagnosable condition is way off. Come on.
    Republicanism is heavily overrepresented on here compared to the population at large.

    That is the reason, together with some misplaced sense of intellectual superiority.
    You've just ticked off another poster for pomposity and now you're telling me my republicanism is a symptom of my autism?

    Yep.
    You have no fucking idea you arrogant little twit.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330
    edited May 2022

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.


    So many questions about that photo, and also surely they should have a spare title for NI and go as the Mcgillycuddies of Armagh or sinilar?
    You're much more au fait with that kind of thing than me but is that St Kilda?
    Google search throws up

    https://www.shropshirestar.com/news/uk-news/2022/04/29/royal-tours-to-caribbean-should-be-scrapped-unless-they-address-justice/

    Clothing looks more Caribbean than St Kilda
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629
    edited May 2022
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
    But the current state and monarchy have only existed since the departure of the RoI in 1923 (and arguably later, as it was some time before Eire cut all links). Else you could count all the way back to the King of Amesbury or whatever in 5000 BCE.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,775

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330
    edited May 2022
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
    But the current state and monarchy have only existed since the departure of the RoI in 1923 (and arguably later, as it was some time before Eire cut all links). Else you could count all the way back to the King of Amesbury or whatever in 5000 BCE.
    George Vth was head of State of NI before 1923 and after 1923, in fact the UK monarch also continued as head of state of the Irish Free State too until 1948
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,064
    As someone who has grown up in a republic, I can make this point: Constitutional monarchies are often stable democracies. I don't know whether that is a historical accident, though I recall reading, many years ago, that some students of comparative politics thought there were reasons for it, such as making it easier, psychologically, to make reforms, when needed.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,095
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
    That was agreed when NI only had sectarian parties. Now that there is a non sectarian alternative, why should they always be excluded from being FM or DFM?
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,234
    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.


    So many questions about that photo, and also surely they should have a spare title for NI and go as the Mcgillycuddies of Armagh or sinilar?
    You're much more au fait with that kind of thing than me but is that St Kilda?
    Google search throws up

    https://www.shropshirestar.com/news/uk-news/2022/04/29/royal-tours-to-caribbean-should-be-scrapped-unless-they-address-justice/

    Clothing looks more Caribbean than St Kilda
    Very good point. Case closed!
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,641
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
    Don't suppose UUP or TUV could step in for DUP?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629
    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.


    So many questions about that photo, and also surely they should have a spare title for NI and go as the Mcgillycuddies of Armagh or sinilar?
    You're much more au fait with that kind of thing than me but is that St Kilda?
    Google search throws up

    https://www.shropshirestar.com/news/uk-news/2022/04/29/royal-tours-to-caribbean-should-be-scrapped-unless-they-address-justice/

    Clothing looks more Caribbean than St Kilda
    It's amazingly similar - and the weather can also be very Caribbean there. Occasionally. Looked as if they were dressed up to see the Army detachment there in Village Bay on Hirta.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
    That was agreed when NI only had sectarian parties. Now that there is a non sectarian alternative, why should they always be excluded from being FM or DFM?
    Because reasons to do with the right wing always being right, so to speak.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.



    I'm sure Charles can go, being Duke of Edinburgh now.
    Duke of Rothesay.
    That one too, but he'd had that for 70 years, the Edinburgh one is shiny and new, to provide a reason to renew his relationship with the country etc etc.
    Merge the two titles and create a super new Scottish title like the Duke of Glasgae.
    Duke of Harthill, symbolising that magical point where East meets West in the central belt.
    Once worked over in Breich, near Harthill. Mighty grim up there on the moors.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Farooq said:

    Leon said:

    kle4 said:

    I think we will find out lots about the immense contribution made by Queen Elizabeth II in the future.

    Like: she was almost singlehandedly responsible for the successful transition from the Empire to the Commonwealth and personally for preserving well over a dozen Commonwealth Realms into the 21st Century. She also gave a huge boost to the projection of British soft power on the European, US and global stage through the respect and admiration she commanded.

    Never let it be said that monarchs are 'just' figureheads.

    Given the number of places that clearly want to be Republics yet are holding off (apparently not presently willing to follow Barbados in this) there must be some personal element involved.

    Many things, people or actions are symbolic - but symbols have power.
    Do we know they want to be republics? Surely if they wanted it that much they would now be republics?

    Anyway, republics are shit and boring. You either have a political and divisive President (France /USA) or one that no-one ever hears about or knows (Ireland/Germany).

    Monarchs are better but there are rules you have to play by. They fall when their egos get the better of them, as ours would have done post WWII during the Attlee administration had Edward VIII not abdicated.
    Looking at the list of realms ruled by Glorious Britain, sorry, voluntary members of the regnal Commonwealth, they are:


    “Antigua and Barbuda, Australia, Bahamas, Belize, Canada, Grenada, Jamaica, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Solomon Islands and Tuvalu.”

    Of those I’d say Oz, Jamaica and Belize are the most likely to go, first. But there is a question mark over all of them. For Oz it’s just an arse-ache - why bother if you are such a successful country, and this is source of stability? - for the other two it’s the opposite. Do you really need the extra INstability?

    I think it's only been me and you on here who've, consistently, argued for the monarchy. Perhaps backed by a handful of others.

    As you rightly said: most pb.com posters are number nerds who are somewhat on the spectrum and simply don't 'get' the powerful emotional reasonance and symbolism of the monarchy, nor why it's so valuable.
    When we're talking about matters of emotional resonance, the people disagreeing with you aren't "not getting it". They just disagree. But to imply that their subjective view is the result of a diagnosable condition is way off. Come on.
    Republicanism is heavily overrepresented on here compared to the population at large.

    That is the reason, together with some misplaced sense of intellectual superiority.
    You've just ticked off another poster for pomposity and now you're telling me my republicanism is a symptom of my autism?

    Yep.
    You have no fucking idea you arrogant little twit.
    Speaking as someone with diagnosed autism, I'd say you were 100% spot on.

    But please don't judge him on just the one post. For the full picture you need to see the immortal Barbour and labradors, or was it Barbours and labrador, claim. I'll see if I can dig it out.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,679
    Carnyx said:

    mwadams said:

    Jonathan said:

    I worry about BJO, he antipathy to Starmer seems to have grown into a

    Carnyx said:

    Alistair said:

    Cannot find it but someone on here once said as a reply to me that Boomers deserved generous pensions due to their suffering in WW2.

    When it was pointed out that Boomers weren't alive in the war they doubled down and said they deserved the pension due to the mental anguish of maybe and Uncle dying in the war

    You'd need to be about 80 at least today for that to even begin to be possible - born 1942. But where does anyone get a pension or compensation for an event that happened when one was about 3, unless it was the actual loss of a parent?

    BigG has a honourable mention for the V-2 strike near his home in Manchester, but I think he was quite small at the time. Nor has he defended the triple lock in the current circs, either.
    I was in the school playground when, high above us and a bit to the North, the tail light on a 'doodlebug' went out, meaning it was about to crash. We were all rushed into the shelters.

    Does that count?
    JackW is still traumatised by the Napoleonic war. He deserves a few extra shillings.
    I imagine he will never forget those seaforts being constructed in the Solent.
    Bit later. Pam's time.
    Oh, yes. Wrong Napoleon!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
    But the current state and monarchy have only existed since the departure of the RoI in 1923 (and arguably later, as it was some time before Eire cut all links). Else you could count all the way back to the King of Amesbury or whatever in 5000 BCE.
    George Vth was head of State of NI before 1923 and after 1923, in fact the UK monarch also continued as head of state of the Irish Free State too until 1948
    Excellent, that.s very helpful. We can refine the age of the current UK monarchy to 76 years, give or take the odd few months. l do like precision. (And we'll ignore the annexation of Sgeir Rocail.)
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Scott_xP said:

    If you've not not broken the law you've nothing to fear. https://twitter.com/donaeldunready/status/1523758694739357697/photo/1

    In a long day at the Dual Thick Short Planks Congress this deserves at least a mentioned in dispatches

    Bozos for BoJo really do have their collective knickers in a twist and then some.

    And are busily hoisting their flapping, somewhat- soiled undies on their own splintery petards.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
    But the current state and monarchy have only existed since the departure of the RoI in 1923 (and arguably later, as it was some time before Eire cut all links). Else you could count all the way back to the King of Amesbury or whatever in 5000 BCE.
    George Vth was head of State of NI before 1923 and after 1923, in fact the UK monarch also continued as head of state of the Irish Free State too until 1948
    Excellent, that.s very helpful. We can refine the age of the current UK monarchy to 76 years, give or take the odd few months. l do like precision. (And we'll ignore the annexation of Sgeir Rocail.)
    No, as the UK monarch was head of state of NI when it was part of Ireland for centuries before that too
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
    That was agreed when NI only had sectarian parties. Now that there is a non sectarian alternative, why should they always be excluded from being FM or DFM?
    Well for starters as they still fail to come first or second. If they ever do then there might be a case for reconsideration but for now they are 3rd
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    Aren’t all parties represented in the Northern Ireland executive, unless they explicitly wish to go into Opposition?

    It’s an odd sort of arrangement; but it kind of worked until Brexit destabilised everything.

    I happen to think the DUP are in their rights to refuse a NI government to be established.

    1. What other leverage do they have over the Northern Ireland protocol?
    2. Sinn Fein are literally abstentionist when it comes to Westminster

    A new election may give them what they want, ie enough votes back from the TUV, to regain the First Ministership.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,281

    As someone who has grown up in a republic, I can make this point: Constitutional monarchies are often stable democracies. I don't know whether that is a historical accident, though I recall reading, many years ago, that some students of comparative politics thought there were reasons for it, such as making it easier, psychologically, to make reforms, when needed.

    Provides for a Head of State who is non-political.

    Look at the alternative, for example America, where the head of state and the chief of the executive/head of cabinet is combined. POTUS has become such a divisive and political office it is unbelievable.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,502
    edited May 2022
    Under the terms of the GFA nobody "appoints" anybody.
    That isn't how it works.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,651

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Whether aliens have interacted with ancient humans or not, and that would be awesome, wild extrapolation about connections and development of ancient cultures based on very open to intepretation images and the like, does not speak to the worthiness of the idea.
    If they are open to interpretation, interpreting them in support of your theory seems apposite.
    Yeah, the plausibility of the interpretation is still relevant. I can interpret a blob on a painting as a UFO, but absent other evidence it is not a very compelling intepretation. Your basically saying all ideas are equally valid, just because.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.



    I'm sure Charles can go, being Duke of Edinburgh now.
    Duke of Rothesay.
    That one too, but he'd had that for 70 years, the Edinburgh one is shiny and new, to provide a reason to renew his relationship with the country etc etc.
    Merge the two titles and create a super new Scottish title like the Duke of Glasgae.
    Duke of Harthill, symbolising that magical point where East meets West in the central belt.
    Once worked over in Breich, near Harthill. Mighty grim up there on the moors.
    Friend of mine went for a teaching job in a school in that area. He drove in, stopped in the car park, reconsidered, and drove straight out again. But then it is the Great Scottish Central Desert of Southron PBTory fame. My granddad was born in that generai airt. Did you meet St John Philby and Wilfred Thesiger, I kept meaning to ask?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.


    So many questions about that photo, and also surely they should have a spare title for NI and go as the Mcgillycuddies of Armagh or sinilar?
    You're much more au fait with that kind of thing than me but is that St Kilda?
    Google search throws up

    https://www.shropshirestar.com/news/uk-news/2022/04/29/royal-tours-to-caribbean-should-be-scrapped-unless-they-address-justice/

    Clothing looks more Caribbean than St Kilda
    It's amazingly similar - and the weather can also be very Caribbean there. Occasionally. Looked as if they were dressed up to see the Army detachment there in Village Bay on Hirta.
    Sure, an island's an island, and I've had lots of cloudless sky, 75F days in da Hebrides.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
    Don't suppose UUP or TUV could step in for DUP?
    No as they are 4th and 6th and the leader of the largest Unionist party is the one which gets to pick the FM or DFM under the GFA now. Though the TUV would of course boycott the executive with even more vehemence than the DUP until the Irish Sea border is removed
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409

    Scott_xP said:

    If you've not not broken the law you've nothing to fear. https://twitter.com/donaeldunready/status/1523758694739357697/photo/1

    In a long day at the Dual Thick Short Planks Congress this deserves at least a mentioned in dispatches

    Bozos for BoJo really do have their collective knickers in a twist and then some.

    And are busily hoisting their flapping, somewhat- soiled undies on their own splintery petards.
    Worlds smallest violin for bozos like Harry Cole, a man who is quite literally a cuck for the Prime Minister.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    ydoethur said:

    As an American I want to apologize for Megan Markle. She doesn't seem to be able to get along with anyone, except her poor husband. And I can't help wondering whether the person who introduced the two wasn't acting on a Russian (or Chinese) suggestion. Yes, that's improbable, but the chances that she would cause problems for the monarchy should have been obviously high.

    (What should Elizabeth and Charles have done? Well, this is hindsight, but I think they should have found a job for Harry in Scotland, and hope that some Scottish lass would be willing to sacrifice for her nation, by taking him on.)

    My long-standing proposal is for Harry to become monarch of Scots and his big brother monarch of England. On the pattern of the Norwegian/Danish deal post the successful Norwegian independence referendum. I have never had a single person support the idea.
    But the monarch of Denmark wasn't the monarch of the United Kingdoms.
    Never said he was.

    Post-independence from Sweden, the Norwegians took the younger son of the Danish king - Prince Carl of Denmark - as their monarch. His big brother subsequently became king of Denmark, upon their father’s death.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
    But the current state and monarchy have only existed since the departure of the RoI in 1923 (and arguably later, as it was some time before Eire cut all links). Else you could count all the way back to the King of Amesbury or whatever in 5000 BCE.
    George Vth was head of State of NI before 1923 and after 1923, in fact the UK monarch also continued as head of state of the Irish Free State too until 1948
    Excellent, that.s very helpful. We can refine the age of the current UK monarchy to 76 years, give or take the odd few months. l do like precision. (And we'll ignore the annexation of Sgeir Rocail.)
    No, as the UK monarch was head of state of NI when it was part of Ireland for centuries before that too
    NI did not exist till the rebellion of the Unionists! You'll be doing a Neil Oliver next and telling me that the UNited Kingdom existed as a state back in the Jurassic.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,502

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
    That was agreed when NI only had sectarian parties. Now that there is a non sectarian alternative, why should they always be excluded from being FM or DFM?
    Which is why the Alliance want the GFA reformed. Then we can have proper coalitions. Like a normal place
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629
    IshmaelZ said:

    Carnyx said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.


    So many questions about that photo, and also surely they should have a spare title for NI and go as the Mcgillycuddies of Armagh or sinilar?
    You're much more au fait with that kind of thing than me but is that St Kilda?
    Google search throws up

    https://www.shropshirestar.com/news/uk-news/2022/04/29/royal-tours-to-caribbean-should-be-scrapped-unless-they-address-justice/

    Clothing looks more Caribbean than St Kilda
    It's amazingly similar - and the weather can also be very Caribbean there. Occasionally. Looked as if they were dressed up to see the Army detachment there in Village Bay on Hirta.
    Sure, an island's an island, and I've had lots of cloudless sky, 75F days in da Hebrides.
    Sailing, walking or driving?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,231
    dixiedean said:

    Under the terms of the GFA nobody "appoints" anybody.
    That isn't how it works.

    The DUP were originally against the GFA.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,007
    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    I'm struggling with this one @HYUFD but I'm not an expert on how it calculated but surely it is as follows although I am not confident I have this right:

    SF & SDLP & PBP 36 Nationalist
    DUP & UUP & TUV 35 Unionists

    Alliance 17 Non aligned

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
    But the current state and monarchy have only existed since the departure of the RoI in 1923 (and arguably later, as it was some time before Eire cut all links). Else you could count all the way back to the King of Amesbury or whatever in 5000 BCE.
    George Vth was head of State of NI before 1923 and after 1923, in fact the UK monarch also continued as head of state of the Irish Free State too until 1948
    Excellent, that.s very helpful. We can refine the age of the current UK monarchy to 76 years, give or take the odd few months. l do like precision. (And we'll ignore the annexation of Sgeir Rocail.)
    No, as the UK monarch was head of state of NI when it was part of Ireland for centuries before that too
    NI did not exist till the rebellion of the Unionists! You'll be doing a Neil Oliver next and telling me that the UNited Kingdom existed as a state back in the Jurassic.
    The UK existed since 1801 and the Kingdom of Britain since 1603 but the English monarch has been head of state in Northern Ireland since the 12th century as I stated
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,739
    Nigelb said:
    Mr Loophole

    Answering questions from the media, Starmer indicated that he would not necessarily step down if police did not fine him yet said the event may have breached rules.

    “The penalty for a Covid breach is a fixed-penalty notice,” he said when asked about that situation. “That’s a matter of law. And I’ve set out what the position is in relation to that.”
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    edited May 2022
    dixiedean said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
    That was agreed when NI only had sectarian parties. Now that there is a non sectarian alternative, why should they always be excluded from being FM or DFM?
    Which is why the Alliance want the GFA reformed. Then we can have proper coalitions. Like a normal place
    This won’t happen unless/until the Alliance come first and indeed can get support from a decently placed UUP and SDLP.

    The current system or something close works too well for SF and DUP to be changed.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,231

    Aren’t all parties represented in the Northern Ireland executive, unless they explicitly wish to go into Opposition?

    It’s an odd sort of arrangement; but it kind of worked until Brexit destabilised everything.

    I happen to think the DUP are in their rights to refuse a NI government to be established.

    1. What other leverage do they have over the Northern Ireland protocol?
    2. Sinn Fein are literally abstentionist when it comes to Westminster

    A new election may give them what they want, ie enough votes back from the TUV, to regain the First Ministership.

    They did a TMay - they called the election, and they lost the First Ministership.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    Carnyx said:

    As an American I want to apologize for Megan Markle. She doesn't seem to be able to get along with anyone, except her poor husband. And I can't help wondering whether the person who introduced the two wasn't acting on a Russian (or Chinese) suggestion. Yes, that's improbable, but the chances that she would cause problems for the monarchy should have been obviously high.

    (What should Elizabeth and Charles have done? Well, this is hindsight, but I think they should have found a job for Harry in Scotland, and hope that some Scottish lass would be willing to sacrifice for her nation, by taking him on.)

    My long-standing proposal is for Harry to become monarch of Scots and his big brother monarch of England. On the pattern of the Norwegian/Danish deal post the successful Norwegian independence referendum. I have never had a single person support the idea.
    I've long suspected that the PR is a sleeper agent slipped nto place by the Royal Family to take over the family business in Scotland come indy. Commissioner to the General Assembly of the Kirk, married in the Kirk not the C of E, and all that.
    That ship has sailed (or mare has bolted or something).

    We need a fresh one.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
    But the current state and monarchy have only existed since the departure of the RoI in 1923 (and arguably later, as it was some time before Eire cut all links). Else you could count all the way back to the King of Amesbury or whatever in 5000 BCE.
    George Vth was head of State of NI before 1923 and after 1923, in fact the UK monarch also continued as head of state of the Irish Free State too until 1948
    Excellent, that.s very helpful. We can refine the age of the current UK monarchy to 76 years, give or take the odd few months. l do like precision. (And we'll ignore the annexation of Sgeir Rocail.)
    No, as the UK monarch was head of state of NI when it was part of Ireland for centuries before that too
    NI did not exist till the rebellion of the Unionists! You'll be doing a Neil Oliver next and telling me that the UNited Kingdom existed as a state back in the Jurassic.
    The UK existed since 1801 and the Kingdom of Britain since 1603 but the English monarch has been head of state in Northern Ireland since the 12th century as I stated
    But Northern Ireland did not exist till 1923.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629

    Carnyx said:

    As an American I want to apologize for Megan Markle. She doesn't seem to be able to get along with anyone, except her poor husband. And I can't help wondering whether the person who introduced the two wasn't acting on a Russian (or Chinese) suggestion. Yes, that's improbable, but the chances that she would cause problems for the monarchy should have been obviously high.

    (What should Elizabeth and Charles have done? Well, this is hindsight, but I think they should have found a job for Harry in Scotland, and hope that some Scottish lass would be willing to sacrifice for her nation, by taking him on.)

    My long-standing proposal is for Harry to become monarch of Scots and his big brother monarch of England. On the pattern of the Norwegian/Danish deal post the successful Norwegian independence referendum. I have never had a single person support the idea.
    I've long suspected that the PR is a sleeper agent slipped nto place by the Royal Family to take over the family business in Scotland come indy. Commissioner to the General Assembly of the Kirk, married in the Kirk not the C of E, and all that.
    That ship has sailed (or mare has bolted or something).

    We need a fresh one.
    Ms Tindall not do? Wrong sort of rugger bugger husband or something? I had no idea.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,761
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
    That was agreed when NI only had sectarian parties. Now that there is a non sectarian alternative, why should they always be excluded from being FM or DFM?
    Well for starters as they still fail to come first or second. If they ever do then there might be a case for reconsideration but for now they are 3rd
    They're de facto second if the actual second place people try to take the ball home with them in a huff
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330
    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    I'm struggling with this one @HYUFD but I'm not an expert on how it calculated but surely it is as follows although I am not confident I have this right:

    SF & SDLP & PBP 36 Nationalist
    DUP & UUP & TUV 35 Unionists

    Alliance 17 Non aligned

    You forgot Independent Unionist Alex Easton elected in North Down and Independent Unionist Claire Sugden elected in East Londonderry. That makes 37 Unionists in total ie more than the 36 Nationalists (though PBP designate as socialist not nationalist anyway)

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Northern_Ireland_Assembly_election
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Whether aliens have interacted with ancient humans or not, and that would be awesome, wild extrapolation about connections and development of ancient cultures based on very open to intepretation images and the like, does not speak to the worthiness of the idea.
    If they are open to interpretation, interpreting them in support of your theory seems apposite.
    Yeah, the plausibility of the interpretation is still relevant. I can interpret a blob on a painting as a UFO, but absent other evidence it is not a very compelling intepretation. Your basically saying all ideas are equally valid, just because.
    Then the arguments against that interpretation can be presented. Von Daniken relies on a bit more than 'blobs', his detractors tend to rely on mockery not counter evidence.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
    That was agreed when NI only had sectarian parties. Now that there is a non sectarian alternative, why should they always be excluded from being FM or DFM?
    Well for starters as they still fail to come first or second. If they ever do then there might be a case for reconsideration but for now they are 3rd
    They're de facto second if the actual second place people try to take the ball home with them in a huff
    There is no de facto second under the GFA
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,775

    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
    I’m aware it makes you sound like a Kubrick obsessive to say so but if you accept that a) UAP are intelligently controlled and non human, b) have likely been here a very long time, then c) there is strong merit in serious academic study into the cloudy past of human evolution and the cognitive revolution.

    I would start by looking for non natural patterns and changes over millennia in junk DNA, the portion of our genetic code that does not have an obvious physiological function, making it presumably fairly stable against mutations that stick thanks to conferring no evolutionary advantage. Chances are there’s nothing to find of course. But it would still be worth allocating a small drop of the sea of money humans spend on nonsense every year.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
    But the current state and monarchy have only existed since the departure of the RoI in 1923 (and arguably later, as it was some time before Eire cut all links). Else you could count all the way back to the King of Amesbury or whatever in 5000 BCE.
    George Vth was head of State of NI before 1923 and after 1923, in fact the UK monarch also continued as head of state of the Irish Free State too until 1948
    Excellent, that.s very helpful. We can refine the age of the current UK monarchy to 76 years, give or take the odd few months. l do like precision. (And we'll ignore the annexation of Sgeir Rocail.)
    No, as the UK monarch was head of state of NI when it was part of Ireland for centuries before that too
    NI did not exist till the rebellion of the Unionists! You'll be doing a Neil Oliver next and telling me that the UNited Kingdom existed as a state back in the Jurassic.
    The UK existed since 1801 and the Kingdom of Britain since 1603 but the English monarch has been head of state in Northern Ireland since the 12th century as I stated
    But Northern Ireland did not exist till 1923.
    It existed as part of Ireland until 1923 and Ireland's head of state and overlord was the English monarch since the 12th century
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,281

    Nigelb said:
    Mr Loophole

    Answering questions from the media, Starmer indicated that he would not necessarily step down if police did not fine him yet said the event may have breached rules.

    “The penalty for a Covid breach is a fixed-penalty notice,” he said when asked about that situation. “That’s a matter of law. And I’ve set out what the position is in relation to that.”
    Feck it. Let's just take this to the Supreme Court and have done with it all.

  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    It seems not very well known that the LDs and Alliance are sister parties.

    It would be good to see more of some Alliance folks with respect to national issues.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Nigelb said:
    Mr Loophole

    Answering questions from the media, Starmer indicated that he would not necessarily step down if police did not fine him yet said the event may have breached rules.

    “The penalty for a Covid breach is a fixed-penalty notice,” he said when asked about that situation. “That’s a matter of law. And I’ve set out what the position is in relation to that.”
    Yeah well, the police could say that I may have raped a cat. It's very difficult indeed to see that I need to do anything in response to that.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,234

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.



    I'm sure Charles can go, being Duke of Edinburgh now.
    Duke of Rothesay.
    That one too, but he'd had that for 70 years, the Edinburgh one is shiny and new, to provide a reason to renew his relationship with the country etc etc.
    Merge the two titles and create a super new Scottish title like the Duke of Glasgae.
    Duke of Harthill, symbolising that magical point where East meets West in the central belt.
    Once worked over in Breich, near Harthill. Mighty grim up there on the moors.
    It is, even seems to have its own micro climate involving rain, sleet, fog and rapid temperature drops in my experience.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629
    moonshine said:

    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
    I’m aware it makes you sound like a Kubrick obsessive to say so but if you accept that a) UAP are intelligently controlled and non human, b) have likely been here a very long time, then c) there is strong merit in serious academic study into the cloudy past of human evolution and the cognitive revolution.

    I would start by looking for non natural patterns and changes over millennia in junk DNA, the portion of our genetic code that does not have an obvious physiological function, making it presumably fairly stable against mutations that stick thanks to conferring no evolutionary advantage. Chances are there’s nothing to find of course. But it would still be worth allocating a small drop of the sea of money humans spend on nonsense every year.
    Eh? Junk DNA should be particularly unstable. Most mutations are deleterious, so will persist only in junk DMA where they are not transcribed and expressed in the phenotype.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,502

    dixiedean said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    If the sectarians insist on spitting their orange dummies out, why not isolate them and appoint Naomi Long as Deputy First Minister?
    As the leader of the biggest Unionist party has to be FM or DFM of NI under the GFA and Long is not a Unionist but non sectarian. Plus the DUP came second, not the Alliance
    That was agreed when NI only had sectarian parties. Now that there is a non sectarian alternative, why should they always be excluded from being FM or DFM?
    Which is why the Alliance want the GFA reformed. Then we can have proper coalitions. Like a normal place
    This won’t happen unless/until the Alliance come first and indeed can get support from a decently placed UUP and SDLP.

    The current system or something close works too well for SF and DUP to be changed.
    Indeed it does.
    In theory.
    However not in practice, if there is always an excuse not to participate.
    The irony about the Shinners moaning about non- participation is, however, somewhat delicious.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629
    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
    But the current state and monarchy have only existed since the departure of the RoI in 1923 (and arguably later, as it was some time before Eire cut all links). Else you could count all the way back to the King of Amesbury or whatever in 5000 BCE.
    George Vth was head of State of NI before 1923 and after 1923, in fact the UK monarch also continued as head of state of the Irish Free State too until 1948
    Excellent, that.s very helpful. We can refine the age of the current UK monarchy to 76 years, give or take the odd few months. l do like precision. (And we'll ignore the annexation of Sgeir Rocail.)
    No, as the UK monarch was head of state of NI when it was part of Ireland for centuries before that too
    NI did not exist till the rebellion of the Unionists! You'll be doing a Neil Oliver next and telling me that the UNited Kingdom existed as a state back in the Jurassic.
    The UK existed since 1801 and the Kingdom of Britain since 1603 but the English monarch has been head of state in Northern Ireland since the 12th century as I stated
    But Northern Ireland did not exist till 1923.
    It existed as part of Ireland until 1923 and Ireland's head of state and overlord was the English monarch since the 12th century
    Dids you ask the Irish? This is even more insane than von Daniken and his laser cut stone walls.


  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,775
    Carnyx said:

    moonshine said:

    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
    I’m aware it makes you sound like a Kubrick obsessive to say so but if you accept that a) UAP are intelligently controlled and non human, b) have likely been here a very long time, then c) there is strong merit in serious academic study into the cloudy past of human evolution and the cognitive revolution.

    I would start by looking for non natural patterns and changes over millennia in junk DNA, the portion of our genetic code that does not have an obvious physiological function, making it presumably fairly stable against mutations that stick thanks to conferring no evolutionary advantage. Chances are there’s nothing to find of course. But it would still be worth allocating a small drop of the sea of money humans spend on nonsense every year.
    Eh? Junk DNA should be particularly unstable. Most mutations are deleterious, so will persist only in junk DMA where they are not transcribed and expressed in the phenotype.
    At an individual level yes but perhaps not at a population level.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,502
    edited May 2022
    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    I'm struggling with this one @HYUFD but I'm not an expert on how it calculated but surely it is as follows although I am not confident I have this right:

    SF & SDLP & PBP 36 Nationalist
    DUP & UUP & TUV 35 Unionists

    Alliance 17 Non aligned

    The 2 Indy's identify as Unionist I think.
    One certainly does as ex-DUP.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,746
    moonshine said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Russian finance minister: GDP could fall 12% this year, due to sanctions.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/05/09/ftse-100-markets-live-news-russia-energy-mccolls/

    Not enough I have to say. I presume that is without an oil embargo and much of a move on gas supplies? Even if it takes a few years for the economic effects to be completely felt the important thing is for the elite to find themselves staring into the abyss.
    There can be no meaningful oil embargo because there are plenty of countries willing to buy Russian oil. Ditto coal exports.

    If the gas pipelines from Russia to Europe are severed (in one way or another), that would have a bigger impact, but it is worth remembering that (even before the recent rises in the oil price), gas exports were only about a sixth of oil exports - https://oec.world/en/profile/country/rus
    I know you’re a pro in this area but I know a few things too. There is a way to have a meaningful impact on Russian oil production, and it lies in not only an EU import ban but an EU shipping ban. Unfortunately the EU bottled it on that second step today only 6 days before it was due to come into effect, ostensibly at Greece’s request.

    As for demand, India is talking about 16m bbl [EXIT: a MONTH!] of Russian oil. Small potatoes from the 2.7m bbl a day Europe was using before the war (circa 2m now). And China, well the state owned companies aren’t entering into new contracts to buy Russian crude or refined products like jet fuel. The private sector is and the net result is that Chinese demand for Russian oil has remained roughly flat, albeit a higher share of the total given the falling demand overall due to lockdowns.

    There’s a further step I believe should be taken and that’s an import ban on third country refined products that have been refined from Russian crude or blended with Russian refined product. As soon as a third country turns it into something else, legally it ceases to be Russian. Impact is a) the free market would overcome the logistics difficulty to keep outsized share of Russian production going, b) it would be at the commercial detriment of the European refining sector, given Urals is said to trade at perhaps a $30 / bbl discount. India still gets cheaper energy but not at Europe’s expense.

    If you did all that, then you could perhaps halve Russian oil production, more or less wiping out the oil export industry save for what goes to China from further East. And this would be permanent, given the technical challenges with much of Russia’s production. Suspend a well and there’s a good chance it doesn’t ever come back on again.

    A cynic might suggest Europe knows all this and is still hedging its bets, hoping Putin goes quickly and the whole tedium of diversifying supply goes away with him. Fat chance in my view.
    That's a good and fair comment, but do remember that it's not countries that buy crude shipments, but individual managers of refineries.

    Whatever the Chinese or Indian government says, if there's a cargo of Russian oil that matches how your refinery is set up, and it's there for $84 rather than $108 for the equivalent barrel of Mayan Heavy, you'll buy it. Unless there are specific (and enforced) sanctions against the importation of Russian oil, then that oil will find a buyer.

    You will also see a lot of "rebranding" of Russian oil. The tanker will sail into Port Harcourt, maybe top up with a little bit of Nigerian oil, and then sail on. (The founder of Glencore, Marc Rich, made billions of dollars in the 1970s doing just that.)
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,281
    Top trolling:

    "President Biden on Monday signed an updated version of the Lend-Lease Act that supplied Britain and eventually other allies during World War II, summoning the spirit of the last century’s epic battle for democracy as he paved the way for further arms shipments to Ukrainians fighting to repel Russian invaders.

    “Every day, Ukrainians fight for their lives,” Mr. Biden said as he approved the legislation in the Oval Office. “The cost of the fight is not cheap but caving to aggression is even more costly.”

    NY Times
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    kle4 said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.



    I'm sure Charles can go, being Duke of Edinburgh now.
    Duke of Rothesay.
    That one too, but he'd had that for 70 years, the Edinburgh one is shiny and new, to provide a reason to renew his relationship with the country etc etc.
    Merge the two titles and create a super new Scottish title like the Duke of Glasgae.
    Duke of Harthill, symbolising that magical point where East meets West in the central belt.
    Once worked over in Breich, near Harthill. Mighty grim up there on the moors.
    It is, even seems to have its own micro climate involving rain, sleet, fog and rapid temperature drops in my experience.
    Ditto.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    ydoethur said:

    As an American I want to apologize for Megan Markle. She doesn't seem to be able to get along with anyone, except her poor husband. And I can't help wondering whether the person who introduced the two wasn't acting on a Russian (or Chinese) suggestion. Yes, that's improbable, but the chances that she would cause problems for the monarchy should have been obviously high.

    (What should Elizabeth and Charles have done? Well, this is hindsight, but I think they should have found a job for Harry in Scotland, and hope that some Scottish lass would be willing to sacrifice for her nation, by taking him on.)

    My long-standing proposal is for Harry to become monarch of Scots and his big brother monarch of England. On the pattern of the Norwegian/Danish deal post the successful Norwegian independence referendum. I have never had a single person support the idea.
    But the monarch of Denmark wasn't the monarch of the United Kingdoms.
    Never said he was.

    Post-independence from Sweden, the Norwegians took the younger son of the Danish king - Prince Carl of Denmark - as their monarch. His big brother subsequently became king of Denmark, upon their father’s death.
    Norway having been associated with & or part of Danish kingdom before 1814 (think that's date) when it was handed over to Sweden, in compensation for Russia keeping Finland AND for Sweden under Bernadotte joining the final coalition against Napoleon I (the man who'd made him a Marshall of France).

    In 1905 the Swedes thought Norwegians were rubbing it in by choosing scion of Danish royal house for their new, independent, definitely NOT Swedish monarchy. And they were right.

    BTW, Seattle is the ONLY place I ever saw, or even heard of, anti-Swedish sentiment. By old-school Norskis!

    One thing the two cohorts DO agree on: best keep an eye on the Finns . . .
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,068
    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    If Brenda is so awesome why on earth is Prince Andrew her favourite child?

    I mean that's a great big red flag that she's got terrible judgment.

    Sometimes attributed to his striking resemblance to her very close friend Lord Porchester
    Thanks, I googled him and I got this.


    It's not easy to see from that photo, but he looks like he's got brown eyes. It would be unusual for a child with a brown-eyed parent to have blue eyes, as the brown-eyed gene is dominant.
    Not that unusual, otherwise the number of blue eyed children would be trending towards zero*.

    FWIW, my wife has brown eyes, and I have blue/green. One of our two children has my coloured eyes, and the other my wife's.

    * Unless, of course, those with blue eyes were significantly more fertile.
    Due to the dominance of the brown eyed gene (or ukelele or whatever Ishmael would like us to call it), it is very very rare for the child of two blue eyed parents to have brown eyes. Because they don't have any of the brown eyed gene. It's bred out. So its recessiveness is its strength in that regard.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,629
    moonshine said:

    Carnyx said:

    moonshine said:

    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
    I’m aware it makes you sound like a Kubrick obsessive to say so but if you accept that a) UAP are intelligently controlled and non human, b) have likely been here a very long time, then c) there is strong merit in serious academic study into the cloudy past of human evolution and the cognitive revolution.

    I would start by looking for non natural patterns and changes over millennia in junk DNA, the portion of our genetic code that does not have an obvious physiological function, making it presumably fairly stable against mutations that stick thanks to conferring no evolutionary advantage. Chances are there’s nothing to find of course. But it would still be worth allocating a small drop of the sea of money humans spend on nonsense every year.
    Eh? Junk DNA should be particularly unstable. Most mutations are deleterious, so will persist only in junk DMA where they are not transcribed and expressed in the phenotype.
    At an individual level yes but perhaps not at a population level.
    The population is simply the individuals added together. In the absence of any phenotypic expression leading to, for example, frequency-dependent selection, then it will make absolutely no difference.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,775
    rcs1000 said:

    moonshine said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Russian finance minister: GDP could fall 12% this year, due to sanctions.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/05/09/ftse-100-markets-live-news-russia-energy-mccolls/

    Not enough I have to say. I presume that is without an oil embargo and much of a move on gas supplies? Even if it takes a few years for the economic effects to be completely felt the important thing is for the elite to find themselves staring into the abyss.
    There can be no meaningful oil embargo because there are plenty of countries willing to buy Russian oil. Ditto coal exports.

    If the gas pipelines from Russia to Europe are severed (in one way or another), that would have a bigger impact, but it is worth remembering that (even before the recent rises in the oil price), gas exports were only about a sixth of oil exports - https://oec.world/en/profile/country/rus
    I know you’re a pro in this area but I know a few things too. There is a way to have a meaningful impact on Russian oil production, and it lies in not only an EU import ban but an EU shipping ban. Unfortunately the EU bottled it on that second step today only 6 days before it was due to come into effect, ostensibly at Greece’s request.

    As for demand, India is talking about 16m bbl [EXIT: a MONTH!] of Russian oil. Small potatoes from the 2.7m bbl a day Europe was using before the war (circa 2m now). And China, well the state owned companies aren’t entering into new contracts to buy Russian crude or refined products like jet fuel. The private sector is and the net result is that Chinese demand for Russian oil has remained roughly flat, albeit a higher share of the total given the falling demand overall due to lockdowns.

    There’s a further step I believe should be taken and that’s an import ban on third country refined products that have been refined from Russian crude or blended with Russian refined product. As soon as a third country turns it into something else, legally it ceases to be Russian. Impact is a) the free market would overcome the logistics difficulty to keep outsized share of Russian production going, b) it would be at the commercial detriment of the European refining sector, given Urals is said to trade at perhaps a $30 / bbl discount. India still gets cheaper energy but not at Europe’s expense.

    If you did all that, then you could perhaps halve Russian oil production, more or less wiping out the oil export industry save for what goes to China from further East. And this would be permanent, given the technical challenges with much of Russia’s production. Suspend a well and there’s a good chance it doesn’t ever come back on again.

    A cynic might suggest Europe knows all this and is still hedging its bets, hoping Putin goes quickly and the whole tedium of diversifying supply goes away with him. Fat chance in my view.
    That's a good and fair comment, but do remember that it's not countries that buy crude shipments, but individual managers of refineries.

    Whatever the Chinese or Indian government says, if there's a cargo of Russian oil that matches how your refinery is set up, and it's there for $84 rather than $108 for the equivalent barrel of Mayan Heavy, you'll buy it. Unless there are specific (and enforced) sanctions against the importation of Russian oil, then that oil will find a buyer.

    You will also see a lot of "rebranding" of Russian oil. The tanker will sail into Port Harcourt, maybe top up with a little bit of Nigerian oil, and then sail on. (The founder of Glencore, Marc Rich, made billions of dollars in the 1970s doing just that.)
    Yes it requires the authorities actually applying sanctions properly and holding the big commodity traders to account. So it probably won’t happen. But it could if there was the political will.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,007
    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    I'm struggling with this one @HYUFD but I'm not an expert on how it calculated but surely it is as follows although I am not confident I have this right:

    SF & SDLP & PBP 36 Nationalist
    DUP & UUP & TUV 35 Unionists

    Alliance 17 Non aligned

    You forgot Independent Unionist Alex Easton elected in North Down and Independent Unionist Claire Sugden elected in East Londonderry. That makes 37 Unionists in total ie more than the 36 Nationalists (though PBP designate as socialist not nationalist anyway)

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Northern_Ireland_Assembly_election
    Cheers. Yep I saw 4 in the Other column but only counted 2 of them. Silly me.

    PBP are pro a unification so should be in the nationalist column, but are you saying that as they haven't designated as such that doesn't count? Silly of them if that is the case if that is what they stand for.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,281
    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    1h
    On Victory Day, 75 days into the defense of Mariupol, the Ukrainian flag still flies high over Azovstal.

    Absolute heroes!

    https://twitter.com/visegrad24
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,878
    edited May 2022
    moonshine said:

    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
    I’m aware it makes you sound like a Kubrick obsessive to say so but if you accept that a) UAP are intelligently controlled and non human, b) have likely been here a very long time, then c) there is strong merit in serious academic study into the cloudy past of human evolution and the cognitive revolution.

    I would start by looking for non natural patterns and changes over millennia in junk DNA, the portion of our genetic code that does not have an obvious physiological function, making it presumably fairly stable against mutations that stick thanks to conferring no evolutionary advantage. Chances are there’s nothing to find of course. But it would still be worth allocating a small drop of the sea of money humans spend on nonsense every year.
    To tie several threads together, the mayor of Sanliurfa is claiming that Gobekli Tepe and the Tas Tepeler were indeed created by aliens. Probably with blue eyes, and six fingers, so definitely related to the Smithsons

    https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/gobeklitepe-may-be-made-by-aliens-says-mayor-173262
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,663
    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    I'm struggling with this one @HYUFD but I'm not an expert on how it calculated but surely it is as follows although I am not confident I have this right:

    SF & SDLP & PBP 36 Nationalist
    DUP & UUP & TUV 35 Unionists

    Alliance 17 Non aligned

    You forgot Independent Unionist Alex Easton elected in North Down and Independent Unionist Claire Sugden elected in East Londonderry. That makes 37 Unionists in total ie more than the 36 Nationalists (though PBP designate as socialist not nationalist anyway)

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Northern_Ireland_Assembly_election
    Cheers. Yep I saw 4 in the Other column but only counted 2 of them. Silly me.

    PBP are pro a unification so should be in the nationalist column, but are you saying that as they haven't designated as such that doesn't count? Silly of them if that is the case if that is what they stand for.
    Well Alliance don't support a border poll so they are "unionist" in a deracinated sense, but the designations are about community representation in a historically sectarian state so they are not entirely policy-based.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,068

    Scott_xP said:

    If you've not not broken the law you've nothing to fear. https://twitter.com/donaeldunready/status/1523758694739357697/photo/1

    In a long day at the Dual Thick Short Planks Congress this deserves at least a mentioned in dispatches

    Bozos for BoJo really do have their collective knickers in a twist and then some.

    And are busily hoisting their flapping, somewhat- soiled undies on their own splintery petards.
    Worlds smallest violin for bozos like Harry Cole, a man who is quite literally a cuck for the Prime Minister.
    Boris is having sex with Harry Cole's wife?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,231
    Leon said:

    moonshine said:

    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
    I’m aware it makes you sound like a Kubrick obsessive to say so but if you accept that a) UAP are intelligently controlled and non human, b) have likely been here a very long time, then c) there is strong merit in serious academic study into the cloudy past of human evolution and the cognitive revolution.

    I would start by looking for non natural patterns and changes over millennia in junk DNA, the portion of our genetic code that does not have an obvious physiological function, making it presumably fairly stable against mutations that stick thanks to conferring no evolutionary advantage. Chances are there’s nothing to find of course. But it would still be worth allocating a small drop of the sea of money humans spend on nonsense every year.
    To tie several threads together, the mayor of Sanliurfa is claiming that Gobekli Tepe and the Tas Tepeler were indeed crested by aliens. Probably with blue eyes, and six fingers, so definitely related to the Smithsons

    https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/gobeklitepe-may-be-made-by-aliens-says-mayor-173262
    Nah, they were made by humans. Just because it was 11,600 years ago doesn't mean they lacked the know-how (and the inclination).
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    ydoethur said:

    As an American I want to apologize for Megan Markle. She doesn't seem to be able to get along with anyone, except her poor husband. And I can't help wondering whether the person who introduced the two wasn't acting on a Russian (or Chinese) suggestion. Yes, that's improbable, but the chances that she would cause problems for the monarchy should have been obviously high.

    (What should Elizabeth and Charles have done? Well, this is hindsight, but I think they should have found a job for Harry in Scotland, and hope that some Scottish lass would be willing to sacrifice for her nation, by taking him on.)

    My long-standing proposal is for Harry to become monarch of Scots and his big brother monarch of England. On the pattern of the Norwegian/Danish deal post the successful Norwegian independence referendum. I have never had a single person support the idea.
    But the monarch of Denmark wasn't the monarch of the United Kingdoms.
    Never said he was.

    Post-independence from Sweden, the Norwegians took the younger son of the Danish king - Prince Carl of Denmark - as their monarch. His big brother subsequently became king of Denmark, upon their father’s death.
    Norway having been associated with & or part of Danish kingdom before 1814 (think that's date) when it was handed over to Sweden, in compensation for Russia keeping Finland AND for Sweden under Bernadotte joining the final coalition against Napoleon I (the man who'd made him a Marshall of France).

    In 1905 the Swedes thought Norwegians were rubbing it in by choosing scion of Danish royal house for their new, independent, definitely NOT Swedish monarchy. And they were right.

    BTW, Seattle is the ONLY place I ever saw, or even heard of, anti-Swedish sentiment. By old-school Norskis!

    One thing the two cohorts DO agree on: best keep an eye on the Finns . . .
    Anti-Swedish sentiment is extremely common and rabid among Russians. Just last week they were calling our wonderful Astrid Lindgren (author of Pippi Longstocking etc) a “Nazi”. Too daft for words
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,746

    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    If Brenda is so awesome why on earth is Prince Andrew her favourite child?

    I mean that's a great big red flag that she's got terrible judgment.

    Sometimes attributed to his striking resemblance to her very close friend Lord Porchester
    Thanks, I googled him and I got this.


    It's not easy to see from that photo, but he looks like he's got brown eyes. It would be unusual for a child with a brown-eyed parent to have blue eyes, as the brown-eyed gene is dominant.
    Not that unusual, otherwise the number of blue eyed children would be trending towards zero*.

    FWIW, my wife has brown eyes, and I have blue/green. One of our two children has my coloured eyes, and the other my wife's.

    * Unless, of course, those with blue eyes were significantly more fertile.
    Due to the dominance of the brown eyed gene (or ukelele or whatever Ishmael would like us to call it), it is very very rare for the child of two blue eyed parents to have brown eyes. Because they don't have any of the brown eyed gene. It's bred out. So its recessiveness is its strength in that regard.
    OK. Let's build a very simply model.

    Let's assume that we have a population of 100, split equally between blue and brown eyes. Let's assume that 85% of blue/brown parents have a brown eyed child, that 99% of brown/brown have a brown eyed child, and that 1% of blue/blue have a brown eyed child.

    Does that sound reasonable?

    Would you like to tell me how many blue eyed children there are after a dozen or so iterations of the model?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,068
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    If Brenda is so awesome why on earth is Prince Andrew her favourite child?

    I mean that's a great big red flag that she's got terrible judgment.

    Sometimes attributed to his striking resemblance to her very close friend Lord Porchester
    Thanks, I googled him and I got this.


    It's not easy to see from that photo, but he looks like he's got brown eyes. It would be unusual for a child with a brown-eyed parent to have blue eyes, as the brown-eyed gene is dominant.
    Not that unusual, otherwise the number of blue eyed children would be trending towards zero*.

    FWIW, my wife has brown eyes, and I have blue/green. One of our two children has my coloured eyes, and the other my wife's.

    * Unless, of course, those with blue eyes were significantly more fertile.
    Due to the dominance of the brown eyed gene (or ukelele or whatever Ishmael would like us to call it), it is very very rare for the child of two blue eyed parents to have brown eyes. Because they don't have any of the brown eyed gene. It's bred out. So its recessiveness is its strength in that regard.
    OK. Let's build a very simply model.

    Let's assume that we have a population of 100, split equally between blue and brown eyes. Let's assume that 85% of blue/brown parents have a brown eyed child, that 99% of brown/brown have a brown eyed child, and that 1% of blue/blue have a brown eyed child.

    Does that sound reasonable?

    Would you like to tell me how many blue eyed children there are after a dozen or so iterations of the model?
    I couldn't do so even if I wanted to.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,502

    Scott_xP said:

    If you've not not broken the law you've nothing to fear. https://twitter.com/donaeldunready/status/1523758694739357697/photo/1

    In a long day at the Dual Thick Short Planks Congress this deserves at least a mentioned in dispatches

    Bozos for BoJo really do have their collective knickers in a twist and then some.

    And are busily hoisting their flapping, somewhat- soiled undies on their own splintery petards.
    Worlds smallest violin for bozos like Harry Cole, a man who is quite literally a cuck for the Prime Minister.
    Boris is having sex with Harry Cole's wife?
    Not implausible at all.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,321


    After 'Save Big Dog', we get 'Save Little Dog'.

    What’s Davey? Mute dog?
    Smug dog, with all those new councillors...
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,231
    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Republicans' biggest problem in this country is that they just seem weird and obssessive to most people.

    That's what they used to say about Brexiteers back in the day, when Alan Sked led UKIP.
    We were in the EEC/EU for 46 years, we have had a monarchy for over 1000 years except 10 years from 1649-1659
    "we"? Who's this ****ing We?

    99 years, please.
    Scotland has had a monarchy for over 1000 years too, united with England's in 1603, NI via Ireland has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1542 and before that the English monarch held the Lordship of Ireland since 1171. Wales has had the English monarch as its head of state since 1284
    But the current state and monarchy have only existed since the departure of the RoI in 1923 (and arguably later, as it was some time before Eire cut all links). Else you could count all the way back to the King of Amesbury or whatever in 5000 BCE.
    George Vth was head of State of NI before 1923 and after 1923, in fact the UK monarch also continued as head of state of the Irish Free State too until 1948
    Excellent, that.s very helpful. We can refine the age of the current UK monarchy to 76 years, give or take the odd few months. l do like precision. (And we'll ignore the annexation of Sgeir Rocail.)
    No, as the UK monarch was head of state of NI when it was part of Ireland for centuries before that too
    NI did not exist till the rebellion of the Unionists! You'll be doing a Neil Oliver next and telling me that the UNited Kingdom existed as a state back in the Jurassic.
    The UK existed since 1801 and the Kingdom of Britain since 1603 but the English monarch has been head of state in Northern Ireland since the 12th century as I stated
    But Northern Ireland did not exist till 1923.
    1922!

    BTW the UK didn't change its name to "United Kingdom of GB & NI" until 1927.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,502
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    If Brenda is so awesome why on earth is Prince Andrew her favourite child?

    I mean that's a great big red flag that she's got terrible judgment.

    Sometimes attributed to his striking resemblance to her very close friend Lord Porchester
    Thanks, I googled him and I got this.


    It's not easy to see from that photo, but he looks like he's got brown eyes. It would be unusual for a child with a brown-eyed parent to have blue eyes, as the brown-eyed gene is dominant.
    Not that unusual, otherwise the number of blue eyed children would be trending towards zero*.

    FWIW, my wife has brown eyes, and I have blue/green. One of our two children has my coloured eyes, and the other my wife's.

    * Unless, of course, those with blue eyes were significantly more fertile.
    Due to the dominance of the brown eyed gene (or ukelele or whatever Ishmael would like us to call it), it is very very rare for the child of two blue eyed parents to have brown eyes. Because they don't have any of the brown eyed gene. It's bred out. So its recessiveness is its strength in that regard.
    OK. Let's build a very simply model.

    Let's assume that we have a population of 100, split equally between blue and brown eyes. Let's assume that 85% of blue/brown parents have a brown eyed child, that 99% of brown/brown have a brown eyed child, and that 1% of blue/blue have a brown eyed child.

    Does that sound reasonable?

    Would you like to tell me how many blue eyed children there are after a dozen or so iterations of the model?
    All this assumes the parents are the biological parents.
    Call me cynical.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,878

    IshmaelZ said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.


    So many questions about that photo, and also surely they should have a spare title for NI and go as the Mcgillycuddies of Armagh or sinilar?
    You're much more au fait with that kind of thing than me but is that St Kilda?
    No
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,746

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    If Brenda is so awesome why on earth is Prince Andrew her favourite child?

    I mean that's a great big red flag that she's got terrible judgment.

    Sometimes attributed to his striking resemblance to her very close friend Lord Porchester
    Thanks, I googled him and I got this.


    It's not easy to see from that photo, but he looks like he's got brown eyes. It would be unusual for a child with a brown-eyed parent to have blue eyes, as the brown-eyed gene is dominant.
    Not that unusual, otherwise the number of blue eyed children would be trending towards zero*.

    FWIW, my wife has brown eyes, and I have blue/green. One of our two children has my coloured eyes, and the other my wife's.

    * Unless, of course, those with blue eyes were significantly more fertile.
    Due to the dominance of the brown eyed gene (or ukelele or whatever Ishmael would like us to call it), it is very very rare for the child of two blue eyed parents to have brown eyes. Because they don't have any of the brown eyed gene. It's bred out. So its recessiveness is its strength in that regard.
    OK. Let's build a very simply model.

    Let's assume that we have a population of 100, split equally between blue and brown eyes. Let's assume that 85% of blue/brown parents have a brown eyed child, that 99% of brown/brown have a brown eyed child, and that 1% of blue/blue have a brown eyed child.

    Does that sound reasonable?

    Would you like to tell me how many blue eyed children there are after a dozen or so iterations of the model?
    I couldn't do so even if I wanted to.
    The point is that it can't be *that* unusual for blue/brown to produce blue, otherwise the number of blue eyed babies would rapidly trend towards zero.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,071
    I love that legal eagle Dan Hodges has rumbled the evil Starmer's plot: to "get away with not breaking the law"

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1523717177089880065
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,409
    edited May 2022
    dixiedean said:

    Scott_xP said:

    If you've not not broken the law you've nothing to fear. https://twitter.com/donaeldunready/status/1523758694739357697/photo/1

    In a long day at the Dual Thick Short Planks Congress this deserves at least a mentioned in dispatches

    Bozos for BoJo really do have their collective knickers in a twist and then some.

    And are busily hoisting their flapping, somewhat- soiled undies on their own splintery petards.
    Worlds smallest violin for bozos like Harry Cole, a man who is quite literally a cuck for the Prime Minister.
    Boris is having sex with Harry Cole's wife?
    Not implausible at all.
    Carrie Johnson is the “ancienne maitresse de Harry Cole”.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,068

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    If Brenda is so awesome why on earth is Prince Andrew her favourite child?

    I mean that's a great big red flag that she's got terrible judgment.

    Sometimes attributed to his striking resemblance to her very close friend Lord Porchester
    Thanks, I googled him and I got this.


    It's not easy to see from that photo, but he looks like he's got brown eyes. It would be unusual for a child with a brown-eyed parent to have blue eyes, as the brown-eyed gene is dominant.
    Not that unusual, otherwise the number of blue eyed children would be trending towards zero*.

    FWIW, my wife has brown eyes, and I have blue/green. One of our two children has my coloured eyes, and the other my wife's.

    * Unless, of course, those with blue eyes were significantly more fertile.
    Due to the dominance of the brown eyed gene (or ukelele or whatever Ishmael would like us to call it), it is very very rare for the child of two blue eyed parents to have brown eyes. Because they don't have any of the brown eyed gene. It's bred out. So its recessiveness is its strength in that regard.
    OK. Let's build a very simply model.

    Let's assume that we have a population of 100, split equally between blue and brown eyes. Let's assume that 85% of blue/brown parents have a brown eyed child, that 99% of brown/brown have a brown eyed child, and that 1% of blue/blue have a brown eyed child.

    Does that sound reasonable?

    Would you like to tell me how many blue eyed children there are after a dozen or so iterations of the model?
    I couldn't do so even if I wanted to.
    I think the percentages are off too - the likelihood of two brown-eyed parents having a blue eyed child is higher than the likelihood of two blue-eyed parents having a brown-eyed one.

    Incidentally, I believe all iris colours are actually the same eye colour anyway - just more or less. It goes black, brown, hazel, green, blue, grey, white, according to how much or little pigment you have.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Scott_xP said:

    If you've not not broken the law you've nothing to fear. https://twitter.com/donaeldunready/status/1523758694739357697/photo/1

    In a long day at the Dual Thick Short Planks Congress this deserves at least a mentioned in dispatches

    Bozos for BoJo really do have their collective knickers in a twist and then some.

    And are busily hoisting their flapping, somewhat- soiled undies on their own splintery petards.
    Worlds smallest violin for bozos like Harry Cole, a man who is quite literally a cuck for the Prime Minister.
    Boris is having sex with Harry Cole's wife?
    Coles's ex
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,330
    Macron tells Europe to spare Putin from humiliation and warns the Ukraine it will be decades before it is allowed into the EU

    https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/1523747474434895873?s=20&t=9aKF6axzAvzXvkmoNR1ctw
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited May 2022

    Leon said:

    moonshine said:

    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
    I’m aware it makes you sound like a Kubrick obsessive to say so but if you accept that a) UAP are intelligently controlled and non human, b) have likely been here a very long time, then c) there is strong merit in serious academic study into the cloudy past of human evolution and the cognitive revolution.

    I would start by looking for non natural patterns and changes over millennia in junk DNA, the portion of our genetic code that does not have an obvious physiological function, making it presumably fairly stable against mutations that stick thanks to conferring no evolutionary advantage. Chances are there’s nothing to find of course. But it would still be worth allocating a small drop of the sea of money humans spend on nonsense every year.
    To tie several threads together, the mayor of Sanliurfa is claiming that Gobekli Tepe and the Tas Tepeler were indeed crested by aliens. Probably with blue eyes, and six fingers, so definitely related to the Smithsons

    https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/gobeklitepe-may-be-made-by-aliens-says-mayor-173262
    Nah, they were made by humans. Just because it was 11,600 years ago doesn't mean they lacked the know-how (and the inclination).
    Yep, they just decided one day to stop being hunter gatherers and to start a collective community level mass construction project in stone relying on structured organisation and farming that didn't exist yet immediately after we exited the last ice age.

    Edit - they had help or early human history is very wrong
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,746

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    If Brenda is so awesome why on earth is Prince Andrew her favourite child?

    I mean that's a great big red flag that she's got terrible judgment.

    Sometimes attributed to his striking resemblance to her very close friend Lord Porchester
    Thanks, I googled him and I got this.


    It's not easy to see from that photo, but he looks like he's got brown eyes. It would be unusual for a child with a brown-eyed parent to have blue eyes, as the brown-eyed gene is dominant.
    Not that unusual, otherwise the number of blue eyed children would be trending towards zero*.

    FWIW, my wife has brown eyes, and I have blue/green. One of our two children has my coloured eyes, and the other my wife's.

    * Unless, of course, those with blue eyes were significantly more fertile.
    Due to the dominance of the brown eyed gene (or ukelele or whatever Ishmael would like us to call it), it is very very rare for the child of two blue eyed parents to have brown eyes. Because they don't have any of the brown eyed gene. It's bred out. So its recessiveness is its strength in that regard.
    OK. Let's build a very simply model.

    Let's assume that we have a population of 100, split equally between blue and brown eyes. Let's assume that 85% of blue/brown parents have a brown eyed child, that 99% of brown/brown have a brown eyed child, and that 1% of blue/blue have a brown eyed child.

    Does that sound reasonable?

    Would you like to tell me how many blue eyed children there are after a dozen or so iterations of the model?
    I couldn't do so even if I wanted to.
    I think the percentages are off too - the likelihood of two brown-eyed parents having a blue eyed child is higher than the likelihood of two blue-eyed parents having a brown-eyed one.

    Incidentally, I believe all iris colours are actually the same eye colour anyway - just more or less. It goes black, brown, hazel, green, blue, grey, white, according to how much or little pigment you have.
    Here you go: a table full of statistics

    https://www.babymed.com/tools/baby-eye-color-calculator-predictor?p1=Brown&p2=Brown
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,775
    Leon said:

    moonshine said:

    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
    I’m aware it makes you sound like a Kubrick obsessive to say so but if you accept that a) UAP are intelligently controlled and non human, b) have likely been here a very long time, then c) there is strong merit in serious academic study into the cloudy past of human evolution and the cognitive revolution.

    I would start by looking for non natural patterns and changes over millennia in junk DNA, the portion of our genetic code that does not have an obvious physiological function, making it presumably fairly stable against mutations that stick thanks to conferring no evolutionary advantage. Chances are there’s nothing to find of course. But it would still be worth allocating a small drop of the sea of money humans spend on nonsense every year.
    To tie several threads together, the mayor of Sanliurfa is claiming that Gobekli Tepe and the Tas Tepeler were indeed created by aliens. Probably with blue eyes, and six fingers, so definitely related to the Smithsons

    https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/gobeklitepe-may-be-made-by-aliens-says-mayor-173262
    Now there’s a lad who understands marketing.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,231
    HYUFD said:

    Macron tells Europe to spare Putin from humiliation and warns the Ukraine it will be decades before it is allowed into the EU

    https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/1523747474434895873?s=20&t=9aKF6axzAvzXvkmoNR1ctw

    Ukraine, NOT "The Ukraine".

    "The official Ukrainian position is that "the Ukraine" is incorrect, both grammatically and politically."
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,568

    I love that legal eagle Dan Hodges has rumbled the evil Starmer's plot: to "get away with not breaking the law"

    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1523717177089880065

    But that's the actual boring law, elitist judges and whatnot.

    Dan's talking about the real law, where The Mail (embodiment of what right-thinking people are thinking) don't like the cut of Starmer's jib. He's had the temerity to not do what they have told him to. That's clearly far worse.

    (If Starmer gets out of this alive, the relationship between him and the press is going to be fascinating.)
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,733
    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    If Brenda is so awesome why on earth is Prince Andrew her favourite child?

    I mean that's a great big red flag that she's got terrible judgment.

    Sometimes attributed to his striking resemblance to her very close friend Lord Porchester
    Thanks, I googled him and I got this.


    It's not easy to see from that photo, but he looks like he's got brown eyes. It would be unusual for a child with a brown-eyed parent to have blue eyes, as the brown-eyed gene is dominant.
    Not that unusual, otherwise the number of blue eyed children would be trending towards zero*.

    FWIW, my wife has brown eyes, and I have blue/green. One of our two children has my coloured eyes, and the other my wife's.

    * Unless, of course, those with blue eyes were significantly more fertile.
    Due to the dominance of the brown eyed gene (or ukelele or whatever Ishmael would like us to call it), it is very very rare for the child of two blue eyed parents to have brown eyes. Because they don't have any of the brown eyed gene. It's bred out. So its recessiveness is its strength in that regard.
    OK. Let's build a very simply model.

    Let's assume that we have a population of 100, split equally between blue and brown eyes. Let's assume that 85% of blue/brown parents have a brown eyed child, that 99% of brown/brown have a brown eyed child, and that 1% of blue/blue have a brown eyed child.

    Does that sound reasonable?

    Would you like to tell me how many blue eyed children there are after a dozen or so iterations of the model?
    All this assumes the parents are the biological parents.
    Call me cynical.
    Can’t remember the stats but rather more people are not the child of the person they think is their dad than would be expected.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,068
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    If Brenda is so awesome why on earth is Prince Andrew her favourite child?

    I mean that's a great big red flag that she's got terrible judgment.

    Sometimes attributed to his striking resemblance to her very close friend Lord Porchester
    Thanks, I googled him and I got this.


    It's not easy to see from that photo, but he looks like he's got brown eyes. It would be unusual for a child with a brown-eyed parent to have blue eyes, as the brown-eyed gene is dominant.
    Not that unusual, otherwise the number of blue eyed children would be trending towards zero*.

    FWIW, my wife has brown eyes, and I have blue/green. One of our two children has my coloured eyes, and the other my wife's.

    * Unless, of course, those with blue eyes were significantly more fertile.
    Due to the dominance of the brown eyed gene (or ukelele or whatever Ishmael would like us to call it), it is very very rare for the child of two blue eyed parents to have brown eyes. Because they don't have any of the brown eyed gene. It's bred out. So its recessiveness is its strength in that regard.
    OK. Let's build a very simply model.

    Let's assume that we have a population of 100, split equally between blue and brown eyes. Let's assume that 85% of blue/brown parents have a brown eyed child, that 99% of brown/brown have a brown eyed child, and that 1% of blue/blue have a brown eyed child.

    Does that sound reasonable?

    Would you like to tell me how many blue eyed children there are after a dozen or so iterations of the model?
    I couldn't do so even if I wanted to.
    The point is that it can't be *that* unusual for blue/brown to produce blue, otherwise the number of blue eyed babies would rapidly trend towards zero.
    Well, the fact that two blue eyed parents are the less likely to have a child of a different eye colour than two brown-eyed parents pulls things in the opposing direction.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,775
    Leon said:

    moonshine said:

    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
    I’m aware it makes you sound like a Kubrick obsessive to say so but if you accept that a) UAP are intelligently controlled and non human, b) have likely been here a very long time, then c) there is strong merit in serious academic study into the cloudy past of human evolution and the cognitive revolution.

    I would start by looking for non natural patterns and changes over millennia in junk DNA, the portion of our genetic code that does not have an obvious physiological function, making it presumably fairly stable against mutations that stick thanks to conferring no evolutionary advantage. Chances are there’s nothing to find of course. But it would still be worth allocating a small drop of the sea of money humans spend on nonsense every year.
    To tie several threads together, the mayor of Sanliurfa is claiming that Gobekli Tepe and the Tas Tepeler were indeed created by aliens. Probably with blue eyes, and six fingers, so definitely related to the Smithsons

    https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/gobeklitepe-may-be-made-by-aliens-says-mayor-173262
    Now there’s a lad who understands marketing.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 56,878

    Leon said:

    moonshine said:

    moonshine said:

    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    Taz said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Cyclefree said:

    I am on way back north, my meeting in the Bucks countryside being over (very close to Chequers as it happens), having driven down this morning. I am having the largest strongest coffee I can stomach and find that Sir Keir has laid down the gauntlet. Good for him!

    Those Covid lockdown rules are having a hell of an after-life.

    I assume nothing else has happened - like Putin declaring war on us or anything.

    I am currently listening to Mary Beard read her book "Twelve Caesars". I thought it would tell me about the Roman Emperors and what they did. But no. It's all about how they've been portrayed in art. At best it could have amounted to a 30 minute podcast. Instead of which it is endless chapter after endless chapter saying that

    1. Suetonius made up a lot of what he wrote.
    2. No-one really knows what Julius Caesar or others looked like.
    3. Artists made it up.
    4. Aristocrats liked having busts of them in their house.
    5. Er .... that's it.

    In TWELVE chapters. I don't think I've ever listened to anything so long and learned so little. In fact most of the time a I have no idea what she is talking about - it's like having a bath of warm words with occasional bubbles of names I recognise - Titian, Mantua, Charles 1st, Caligula etc.

    My admiration for my daughter who did a classics degree has increased significantly if this is what her lectures were like.

    That's a shame, as it's literally the next book on my reading pile (though I go in knowing it is about imagery).

    I could see a little of that party pooping tendency in her book SPQR, when talking about ancient battles and essentially going 'Things would have been far too chaotic for people to really know what was going on, so most of the detail we hear about, say, Cannae, is probably wrong' without really offering up any insight about that. I did enjoy the parts pointing out how the Roman foundational myths are really quite unusual in some ways (an unnecessary twin, outsides and outcasts founding the place etc)
    For those who have not seen it (and who care about the relative merits of Greece vs Rome) here is Mary Beard in a 90-minute debate against Boris Johnson.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2k448JqQyj8
    Doesn't seem like a fair fight, one the face of it. She generally knows what she's talking about.
    An academic expert in their field vs a former journalist and MP who did classics at univeristy 30 years before and likes it is presumably designed as an entertainment event not an even intellectual contest.

    But did he win?
    Johnson has also had books published about Rome and presented TV shows on the subject.

    Erich von Daniken also had books published about ancient history. Dunno about TV, mind.
    Apparently he is still alive - and probably very happy about how much TV and movie material seems inspired by or influenced by his ideals. People love ancient astronaut theory.

    I remember Paul Merton joking about how the answer was always No to Erich's questions.

    Could this be a UFO from the 12th century? No

    Could this be a landing platform for an alien scacecraft? No

    Could this... "No, no no"
    He seems very happy when he's on Ancient Allens. Given the US are paying to study UAPs and have conceded one possibility is they are of non terrestrial origin then its no leap at all to their having been visiting since human records exist. The possibility of human interaction with aliens is somewhat beyond cheesy 'and finally' stories about stereotypical yokels in backwoods America now
    Not only is it not a leap, but it would be far more plausible that if UAPs are ET origin, that they have been here for a very long time rather than pitching up only recently. Unless you think nuke testing is some special intergalactic marker at a quantum level and the speed of light has been conquered, allowing them to get here toute de suite after 1945.

    Ergo, if UAPs are indeed non terrestrial, then the thrust of the ancient aliens theory is probably right, if not of course the finer detail about Pharaohs being aliens or whatever it was. A self replicating autonomous Von Neumann probe might have been indifferently monitoring Earth since time immemorial. Not intervening but quietly cataloguing, feeding back info to a central hub on behalf of a civilisation long ago lost to time.
    It's very much all in or not at all, yes.
    Although speed of light isn't really an issue, I'd imagine any interstellar travel isn't done by actually traversing the empty space between two star systems.
    I’m aware it makes you sound like a Kubrick obsessive to say so but if you accept that a) UAP are intelligently controlled and non human, b) have likely been here a very long time, then c) there is strong merit in serious academic study into the cloudy past of human evolution and the cognitive revolution.

    I would start by looking for non natural patterns and changes over millennia in junk DNA, the portion of our genetic code that does not have an obvious physiological function, making it presumably fairly stable against mutations that stick thanks to conferring no evolutionary advantage. Chances are there’s nothing to find of course. But it would still be worth allocating a small drop of the sea of money humans spend on nonsense every year.
    To tie several threads together, the mayor of Sanliurfa is claiming that Gobekli Tepe and the Tas Tepeler were indeed crested by aliens. Probably with blue eyes, and six fingers, so definitely related to the Smithsons

    https://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/gobeklitepe-may-be-made-by-aliens-says-mayor-173262
    Nah, they were made by humans. Just because it was 11,600 years ago doesn't mean they lacked the know-how (and the inclination).
    Explain the six fingers then? And the entire thrust of that brilliant article on the Spectator, which has been their Most Read article for 36 hours?

    It’s fuckin aliens. The mayor of Urfa is bang on
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    kjh said:

    HYUFD said:

    Who sez that the younger royals are neither use nor ornament? Bit miffed that BJ & co think Scotland is so much in the bag that they don't need to send the duchess to live in Edinburgh.

    The Northern Ireland Secretary has already ruled out granting a border poll and Unionist parties still won more seats than Nationalist parties at Stormont even if SF came first
    I'm struggling with this one @HYUFD but I'm not an expert on how it calculated but surely it is as follows although I am not confident I have this right:

    SF & SDLP & PBP 36 Nationalist
    DUP & UUP & TUV 35 Unionists

    Alliance 17 Non aligned

    You forgot Independent Unionist Alex Easton elected in North Down and Independent Unionist Claire Sugden elected in East Londonderry. That makes 37 Unionists in total ie more than the 36 Nationalists (though PBP designate as socialist not nationalist anyway)

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Northern_Ireland_Assembly_election
    Cheers. Yep I saw 4 in the Other column but only counted 2 of them. Silly me.

    PBP are pro a unification so should be in the nationalist column, but are you saying that as they haven't designated as such that doesn't count? Silly of them if that is the case if that is what they stand for.
    With respect to People Before Profit position on Irish unity, this from wiki (two sources):

    >Both the PBP and the Socialist Party (SP) are all-Ireland organisations but do not form part of a single electoral alliance in elections in Northern Ireland. The PBP contests elections under its own name, while the SP is part of the Cross-Community Labour Alternative. The electoral alliance between the PBP and Solidarity supports anti-capitalism, democratic socialism, and eco-socialism, and promotes Irish reunification through a socialist European federation.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/People_Before_Profit/Solidarity

    > Solidarity believes that Ireland, England, Scotland, and Wales should merge and form a socialist federation, which should aspire to be part of a Socialist Federation of Europe. The Phoenix has opined that this position is a "bizarre fusion of Trotskyism and British Unionism" that "articulates a unionist outlook dressed in socialist rhetoric"
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solidarity_(Ireland)

    SSI - note that Cross-Community Labour Alternative (CCLA) did field a candidate in Fermanagh and South Tyrone, Donal O'Cofaigh

    So would seem that lumping PBP with nationalist contingent is problematic?
This discussion has been closed.