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So is Johnson going to survive as PM or not? – politicalbetting.com
So is Johnson going to survive as PM or not? – politicalbetting.com
By far the biggest current political betting market is the one above on when will Boris Johnson cease to be Prime Minister. As can seen from the chart there has been a movement away from him going early but it’s still a 68% chance,
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Labourlist reports she won 89 to 32 votes for the other shortlisted candidate.
James.T.Crewtocks
@crewtocks
·
3h
Replying to
@Rachael_Swindon and @lifesabitch_2
A new Socialist Party set up by @jeremycorbyn
would have a membership of 200, 000 within the month. Possibly 300, 000 at the 6 months mark.
Grays report scrubbed by lawyers
Whatever that means
Greened out on Betfair, but still have a larger return if he gets booted in 2022.
To me the whole mood feels to have shifted a lot from the dangerous place for Boris two weeks ago. A vonc will come as a surprise now.
Having survived this I reckon he goes all the way to fight the election now.
However, if the Independent headline that lawyers have scrubbed the report us true, then goodness knows what happens next
The overall thrust should be the same.
Maybe @Cyclefree will know more?
If however the Labour lead goes back above 10% and the Tories suffer heavy losses in May's local elections he would be at risk
I don't know whether Boris can hang on, but I do know that the government and party will descend even further info fractiousness and chaos if he does. A new leader at least would have a chance of getting a grip.
When you go after such petty crap, you have to know you are either a dictator or a batman villain.
This could be a big moment or maybe not
Today, if pressed I would say we are looking at a Lab minority government.
But there are two years to go.
https://change-us.org/cllr-paulette-hamilton/
Officials in Westminster are now said to be 'fearful' the document may not become public until Monday due to a process of 'legal scrubbing' currently taking place
This ensures that the final report does not unfairly identify junior staff or cut across the separate investigation by the Metropolitan police
Did he break the Ministerial Code? Did he mislead Parliament? More importantly, did he break the spirit of the Covid rules?
The latter is absolutely crucial, the Queen sat alone on a chapel pew while her late husband was about to be buried, while Johnson was surrounded by empty bottles is not a good look. Does Dom have a photo?
The 'anti tory' sentiment will be similar to 97. Even just getting the Lib Dems back to 25 MPs will have a significant impact on knocking down the Tory majority.
Hope the Johnson candidate loses their deposit.
"Why is your leader less popular than your Party what do voters not like about Keir Starmer"
I could have provided a much clearer answer but she didn't exactly jump to his defence.
It is not my natural environment (think IKEA). But it's quite fun, and not quite as easy as I first thought, because there's an element of writing style advice. Should one say "drapery" or "curtains"? "chaise longue" or "sofa?" When does "elegant English" become OTT?
It could work as part of peoples nature is to be in it for themselves, and to believe political promises that sound great.
If Brexit can win in 2016, Boris can still win on delivering levelling up in 2024.
Labour needs to be 12% ahead of the Tories after the boundary changes even for a majority of 1
Young Brits more likely to have absorbed a load of americanisms.
Labour need genuine talent if they’re to form a competent government. Paulette is rather mediocre, imo.
Indeed the Times has no mention of it at all on their front page
I am sure they will make up for it when the report is published
Pure Bury.
BBC2 focus group
Since these won't kick in until late 2023, why are you regarding current opinion polls as gospel?
My conclusion? HYUFD is correct. Johnson survives, and wins the next GE comfortably. Unbelievable under the circumstances.
But there's a definite feeling the Tory tribe is pulling back and deciding to stick with Johnson a while longer.
I suspect that Sunak and Truss have let it be known that now is not a good time for either of them to be running for leadership or indeed taking over. Far too much shit coming down the tracks.
Glad I am now all green on Johnson exit date.
What surprises me is how some think the party rebellion is dead for now and others who cant see that, even if current investigations don't directly pin stuff on Johnson, that after the elections in May are likely to be a point to try to oust him.
The public overall appear a bit pissed off & a bit bored of Boris and the ballot box is likely to tell that.
A prediction: Johnson survives, Watford won't.
Andrew Lilico
@andrew_lilico
·
18m
When you emerge into a mask-free world tomorrow, remember: Boris did that.
===
Because he was panicking about what the backbench would think especially the Spartans and the CRG.
The economy could still sink the emboldened post Partygate Johnson.
Amazed it even needs a thread.
No. Stick with curtains.
For Sue Gray. Who I hope might soon be a heroine worthy of ancient legend
Twas brillig, and the slimy Gove
Did gyre and gimble in a daze:
All misery were the Tory droves,
And the dumb Raab’s eyes glazed.
“Beware the Boriscock, my son!
The jaws that lie, the nose that swells!
Beware the Rees-Mogg bird, and shun
The base and vile Patel!”
She took her dire report in hand;
Long time the manchild foe she sought—
So rested she by the Speaker’s chair
And stood awhile in thought.
And, as in uffish thought she stood,
The Boriscock, with lies so plain,
Came skulking to the dispatch box,
And bumbled as it came!
One, two! One, two! And through and through
The dire report went snicker-snack!
She left him dead, and with his head
She went galumphing back.
“And hast thou slain the Boriscock?
Come to my arms, my lady fine!
O frabjous day! Callooh! Callay!”
He poured a glass of wine.
’Twas brillig, and the slimy Gove
Did gyre and gimble in a daze:
All misery were the Tory droves,
And the dumb Raab’s eyes glazed.
Says me..on a forum..posting...
Or is Lily James body not a patch on Pamala Anderson’s?
Speaker Hoyle is ruining PMQs? There’s not that much noise, but he still shushing everyone too much. Someone get him a hearing aid.
Todays Matt is brilliant 😄
Has everyone else already had more than enough of Wes “Ed balls love child” Streeting?
Yopu should learn from experience. That was a massively odds on prediction and you couldn't get even that right. This one is genuinely in the balance. You are an acknowledged master of What I meant wasery, but why put yourself to the trouble?
What you hear at PMQs is mediated via cunningly placed microphones, very different from the raw sound. Which is why you can't hear any of the heckling, which is prob the best bit.
If Wes grows up he can be PM 2029 in GE after next. Drop the politicking, show leadership and he can offer far more than Keir or other LAB aspirants like Angela, Rachel LOL.
GN all 👍
They aren't the same.
Even my own American producer didn't know what I was on about. Beyond that there were 'faucets' which I hadn't come across and to make my discomfort complete I asked for 'white coffee'.
Leaden, and not nearly enough of the fragrant Liv Lisa Fries.
Going along with the pretence: 6 Jan 2021, storming of the Capitol.