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Starmer’s successor looks set to be one of these three – politicalbetting.com

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  • Scott_xP said:

    Officials fear the dispute could spiral into trade war if checks are stepped up at Calais

    One diplomat: “I’m worried that London may not be taking seriously the French threat to choke the flow of freight and let empty shelves put pressure on the British”


    https://www.ft.com/content/0409d72b-ed29-4076-ac6a-2080b4b59e72

    Just sends more business to Amazon

    I have not had a delay beyond their delivery dates in the years I have used them

    In fact talking to family and friends it looks like a lot more Christmas buying is going to Amazon and online and actually starting now to get Christmas done asap
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,132

    Isn’t that letter from the French PM noting

    “ the bloc must show 'total determination', and show 'there is more damage to leaving the Union than remaining'

    Just more revealing on the insecurities of the bloc?

    Not really. It seems like an obvious plea from France for the bloc to weigh in behind the French.
    Yes, and so far the EU doesn't seem to have been that interested in backing France up.

    But this isn't really about French fishing boats. This Wag The Dog shit, where Macron is seeking to make political capital out of an argument with the old enemy. He's hoping that he can bring the EU in, and declare a famous victory (leading to his reelection next year).

    It's pretty unedifying behaviour.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,723
    edited October 2021
    JBriskin3 said:

    JBriskin3 said:

    DavidL said:

    JBriskin3 said:

    JBriskin3 said:

    JBriskin3 said:

    Palace Intrigue getting a lot of PB Airspace tonight; When we all know that Prince Charles will be King Something Else in a few years.

    I'm more intrigued by Biden today.

    If I was meeting God's representative on earth - I think a kneel more than a simple handshake might be more appropriate??

    What about all the other faiths???
    Yes - I wasn't being clear enough. Biden seems to think a simple hand shake is required when he meets who he thinks is God's representative on earth.
    Joe Biden is a Catholic, but he is also President of the United States.

    And if you are expecting a sitting POTUS to kiss ANYONE's ring (except for #45 with his mentor Putin, he certainly kissed his "ring" often enough) you are nuttier than even I think you are.
    Nope.

    If I met who I thought to be was God's representative on earth I would kneel.
    If I met anyone who genuinely believed he was God’s representative on earth I think I would probably laugh. I mean, being polite, I would try not to, but seriously.
    Catholicism is the most believed religion in the world.
    Most attended.. not necessarily believed.eg. French Churches aiui are usually empty save for weddings and baptisms and funerals.
    Whatever - I just think it's a bit silly of a religion to believe that there is such a thing as God's represenstative on earth - But then I am Church of Scotland
    I agree..

    My vicar, who happens to be a lady, is a splendid person who represents what a vicar should be/do. She, nor the person at Canterbury is God's representative on earth.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,370
    rcs1000 said:

    Isn’t that letter from the French PM noting

    “ the bloc must show 'total determination', and show 'there is more damage to leaving the Union than remaining'

    Just more revealing on the insecurities of the bloc?

    Not really. It seems like an obvious plea from France for the bloc to weigh in behind the French.
    Yes, and so far the EU doesn't seem to have been that interested in backing France up.

    But this isn't really about French fishing boats. This Wag The Dog shit, where Macron is seeking to make political capital out of an argument with the old enemy. He's hoping that he can bring the EU in, and declare a famous victory (leading to his reelection next year).

    It's pretty unedifying behaviour.
    Can you name a time when Macron's behaviour has been edifying?

    He won because he was less awful than Le Pen.

    Given his government's recent rhetoric on Islam, we can't even say that for certain any more.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,132
    ydoethur said:

    kle4 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Isn’t that letter from the French PM noting

    “ the bloc must show 'total determination', and show 'there is more damage to leaving the Union than remaining'

    Just more revealing on the insecurities of the bloc?

    Whatever the faults of the current lot in Westminster, I simply cannot imagine them behaving like this towards an independent Scotland should that come to pass.
    I fear that may be wishful thinking. I'd hope it was the case, but that our leaders would take a more professional and mature approach than emotional, but I think the latter is more likely, and there'd be a market for it on both sides.
    I think the key differences are (1) the EU still think we will come crawling back if beaten up enough, which not even the most rabid Unionist would believe of Scotland and (2) they fear other countries might follow our example if we seem to be going OK, which again wouldn't really apply to Wales (the only other part of the UK with any mechanism to secede).

    So I don't think we'd see in practice any talk of punishment. We would still have to live together on the same island and ultimately Conservatives are there, in their own conceit anyway, to do whatever works at the time.
    I think (2) is much more at the front of their thoughts than (1).
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    Scott_xP said:

    Officials fear the dispute could spiral into trade war if checks are stepped up at Calais

    One diplomat: “I’m worried that London may not be taking seriously the French threat to choke the flow of freight and let empty shelves put pressure on the British”


    https://www.ft.com/content/0409d72b-ed29-4076-ac6a-2080b4b59e72

    They won't be taking it seriously because it would be politically helpful if the French do that! A technical dispute no one but wonks cares about with the French action thus seeming disproportionate.

    Additionally, if it causes empty shelves, and people associate that with French punitive actions, it probably means Boris would get away with other Brexit related problems not the fault of the French as people associate such problem with the perfidious Macron.

    All in all, useful for both of them - I'd not be surprised if they are good mates.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Just watched the Ashley Banjo: Britain in Black and White ITV programme - very interesting, worth viewing imo. (ITV Hub)
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261
    edited October 2021
    rcs1000 said:

    Isn’t that letter from the French PM noting

    “ the bloc must show 'total determination', and show 'there is more damage to leaving the Union than remaining'

    Just more revealing on the insecurities of the bloc?

    Not really. It seems like an obvious plea from France for the bloc to weigh in behind the French.
    Yes, and so far the EU doesn't seem to have been that interested in backing France up.

    But this isn't really about French fishing boats. This Wag The Dog shit, where Macron is seeking to make political capital out of an argument with the old enemy. He's hoping that he can bring the EU in, and declare a famous victory (leading to his reelection next year).

    It's pretty unedifying behaviour.
    A Guardian analysis points out that Macron had his best result, last time, in Brittany. He needs the fishing vote. And the hard right - MLP, Zemmour, even Barnier Redux - is on his case

    This has all the right ingredients to get quite spicy. Of course it assists Boris, as well. He can then blame any Brexit glitches on the dastardly Frogs, for the next year or so
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,399
    rcs1000 said:

    Isn’t that letter from the French PM noting

    “ the bloc must show 'total determination', and show 'there is more damage to leaving the Union than remaining'

    Just more revealing on the insecurities of the bloc?

    Not really. It seems like an obvious plea from France for the bloc to weigh in behind the French.
    Yes, and so far the EU doesn't seem to have been that interested in backing France up.

    But this isn't really about French fishing boats. This Wag The Dog shit, where Macron is seeking to make political capital out of an argument with the old enemy. He's hoping that he can bring the EU in, and declare a famous victory (leading to his reelection next year).

    It's pretty unedifying behaviour.
    It's worked in this country for years. No reason it shouldn't work there,
    In fact Macron would be a fool not to try.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,028

    Just watched the Ashley Banjo: Britain in Black and White ITV programme - very interesting, worth viewing imo. (ITV Hub)

    And showed Jim Davidson up massively. What a tool.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Isn’t that letter from the French PM noting

    “ the bloc must show 'total determination', and show 'there is more damage to leaving the Union than remaining'

    Just more revealing on the insecurities of the bloc?

    Not really. It seems like an obvious plea from France for the bloc to weigh in behind the French.
    Yes, and so far the EU doesn't seem to have been that interested in backing France up.

    But this isn't really about French fishing boats. This Wag The Dog shit, where Macron is seeking to make political capital out of an argument with the old enemy. He's hoping that he can bring the EU in, and declare a famous victory (leading to his reelection next year).

    It's pretty unedifying behaviour.
    It's worked in this country for years. No reason it shouldn't work there,
    In fact Macron would be a fool not to try.
    It's a tactic politicians will always make use of. But recognising it as such it means that more genuine problems with Brexit matters will get lost as Macronian/Borisian types play very obvious games.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,307

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,399
    kle4 said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Isn’t that letter from the French PM noting

    “ the bloc must show 'total determination', and show 'there is more damage to leaving the Union than remaining'

    Just more revealing on the insecurities of the bloc?

    Not really. It seems like an obvious plea from France for the bloc to weigh in behind the French.
    Yes, and so far the EU doesn't seem to have been that interested in backing France up.

    But this isn't really about French fishing boats. This Wag The Dog shit, where Macron is seeking to make political capital out of an argument with the old enemy. He's hoping that he can bring the EU in, and declare a famous victory (leading to his reelection next year).

    It's pretty unedifying behaviour.
    It's worked in this country for years. No reason it shouldn't work there,
    In fact Macron would be a fool not to try.
    It's a tactic politicians will always make use of. But recognising it as such it means that more genuine problems with Brexit matters will get lost as Macronian/Borisian types play very obvious games.
    Yes. It's a tactic. The faux outrage from those who used similar manoeuvres and who cheered them on is unedifying.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    edited October 2021
    dixiedean said:

    kle4 said:

    dixiedean said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Isn’t that letter from the French PM noting

    “ the bloc must show 'total determination', and show 'there is more damage to leaving the Union than remaining'

    Just more revealing on the insecurities of the bloc?

    Not really. It seems like an obvious plea from France for the bloc to weigh in behind the French.
    Yes, and so far the EU doesn't seem to have been that interested in backing France up.

    But this isn't really about French fishing boats. This Wag The Dog shit, where Macron is seeking to make political capital out of an argument with the old enemy. He's hoping that he can bring the EU in, and declare a famous victory (leading to his reelection next year).

    It's pretty unedifying behaviour.
    It's worked in this country for years. No reason it shouldn't work there,
    In fact Macron would be a fool not to try.
    It's a tactic politicians will always make use of. But recognising it as such it means that more genuine problems with Brexit matters will get lost as Macronian/Borisian types play very obvious games.
    Yes. It's a tactic. The faux outrage from those who used similar manoeuvres and who cheered them on is unedifying.
    It works both ways. Those who expressed outrage at similar manoeuvres in the opposite direction in the past should also be expressing outrage at it in the other direction, or else prove the previous outrage as faux.

    Either such behaviour is an outrage whoever does it, or it is just unedifying political tactics. I'd not be confident in historic consistency from many quarters.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,708
    edited October 2021
    But will it necessarily play out well for Macron? It's doubtful he'll be able to turn it into an EU v UK matter unless the UK side has breached some agreement. But then does he back down quickly or escalate to non-fishing areas?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    geoffw said:

    But will it necessarily play out well for Macron? It's doubtful he'll be able to turn it into an EU v UK matter unless the UK side has breached some agreement. But then does he back down quickly or escalate to non-fishing areas?

    Whether it plays out well may be immaterial depending on how well he thinks he is doing politically generally, and what options he thinks are open to him to attempt a distraction.

    I expect him to be re-elected, but he does seem nervy.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,708
    kle4 said:

    geoffw said:

    But will it necessarily play out well for Macron? It's doubtful he'll be able to turn it into an EU v UK matter unless the UK side has breached some agreement. But then does he back down quickly or escalate to non-fishing areas?

    Whether it plays out well may be immaterial depending on how well he thinks he is doing politically generally, and what options he thinks are open to him to attempt a distraction.

    I expect him to be re-elected, but he does seem nervy.
    But that is what I mean, of course!

  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,288
    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    If they hope she will make some state banquets in the next years, it might be something worth getting out in the open.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,370
    IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    There was a certain European politician who thought that and it wasn't true.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,723
    IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    My mother has just reached 93 and is in the last period of her life according to the medics. Alcohol is the last thing on her mind.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,708
    edited October 2021
    Meta translates as sounds like "dead" in Hebrew apparently.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-59090067
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,558
    Foss said:

    kle4 said:

    What will be the effect on the practical lives of Brits if the Queen does die? I knwo there will be official mourning but what does that mean beside a lot of Nicolas Witchell and everyone looking really sad on TV ? Will shops shut ,cinemas close etc?

    The plans are known in detail.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/mar/16/what-happens-when-queen-elizabeth-dies-london-bridge

    But at its most basic, even if you are a royalist, avoid television for two weeks. And on the day probably several things will close early, but most not I suspect. So practical effect looks like not that much.

    And I don't think there's an 'If' about it.
    The London Bridge plans might have been revised after complaints about DofE RIP overkill.
    Anything but Nicolas Witchell. Charles is not a fan....
    It's still possible she could outlive him.
    We can all row in behind the notion that HM the Q outlives Nicholas Witchell....
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261
    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    edited October 2021

    IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    My mother has just reached 93 and is in the last period of her life according to the medics. Alcohol is the last thing on her mind.
    Sorry to hear that @squareroot2 - best wishes to her and to you.

    But regarding HMQ giving up drinking, I agree with @kle4 @IshmaelZ - why on earth was that piece of medical news released?
  • geoffw said:

    But will it necessarily play out well for Macron? It's doubtful he'll be able to turn it into an EU v UK matter unless the UK side has breached some agreement. But then does he back down quickly or escalate to non-fishing areas?

    I wonder how he's planning on dragging this out until the election date without getting embarrassed?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    My mother has just reached 93 and is in the last period of her life according to the medics. Alcohol is the last thing on her mind.
    Sorry to hear it, but I don't have enough context to know what message to take from that.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071

    geoffw said:

    But will it necessarily play out well for Macron? It's doubtful he'll be able to turn it into an EU v UK matter unless the UK side has breached some agreement. But then does he back down quickly or escalate to non-fishing areas?

    I wonder how he's planning on dragging this out until the election date without getting embarrassed?
    Doesn't need to drag on continuously, just escalate and deescalate, to keep things bubbling for a nice juicy confrontation to cement the impression closer to it. Until then, a series of diplomatic chevauchée.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261

    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
    Meh. I was right. I've said it came from the lab since about June of last year. I am vindicated, Ignore all you want
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,132

    geoffw said:

    But will it necessarily play out well for Macron? It's doubtful he'll be able to turn it into an EU v UK matter unless the UK side has breached some agreement. But then does he back down quickly or escalate to non-fishing areas?

    I wonder how he's planning on dragging this out until the election date without getting embarrassed?
    It's about winning, it's about creating an external enemy.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Farooq said:

    Foss said:

    kle4 said:

    What will be the effect on the practical lives of Brits if the Queen does die? I knwo there will be official mourning but what does that mean beside a lot of Nicolas Witchell and everyone looking really sad on TV ? Will shops shut ,cinemas close etc?

    The plans are known in detail.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/mar/16/what-happens-when-queen-elizabeth-dies-london-bridge

    But at its most basic, even if you are a royalist, avoid television for two weeks. And on the day probably several things will close early, but most not I suspect. So practical effect looks like not that much.

    And I don't think there's an 'If' about it.
    The London Bridge plans might have been revised after complaints about DofE RIP overkill.
    Anything but Nicolas Witchell. Charles is not a fan....
    It's still possible she could outlive him.
    We can all row in behind the notion that HM the Q outlives Nicholas Witchell....
    Not me. I like Witchell more than I like Brenda.
    Odd. I can't understand disliking Brenda, but if you do surely someone parasitic on her is even worse?
  • IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    My mother has just reached 93 and is in the last period of her life according to the medics. Alcohol is the last thing on her mind.
    Thoughts and kind wishes to all your family

    These are difficult days to face
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    My mother has just reached 93 and is in the last period of her life according to the medics. Alcohol is the last thing on her mind.
    Sorry to hear that @squareroot2 - best wishes to her and to you.

    But regarding HMQ giving up drinking, I agree with @kle4 @IshmaelZ - why on earth was that piece of medical news released?
    Because what was released was “doctors have recommended and she has agreed”

    Ie she is awake and rational
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
    Meh. I was right. I've said it came from the lab since about June of last year. I am vindicated, Ignore all you want
    Lol - you may well be right, or you may not be.

    I can't really get exercised by it. If you're right, what practical difference would it make? I already know China is a nasty, controlling, dangerous regime... and thers f*ck all I (or the rest of the world, it seems) can do about it.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,708
     
    rcs1000 said:

    geoffw said:

    But will it necessarily play out well for Macron? It's doubtful he'll be able to turn it into an EU v UK matter unless the UK side has breached some agreement. But then does he back down quickly or escalate to non-fishing areas?

    I wonder how he's planning on dragging this out until the election date without getting embarrassed?
    It's about winning, it's about creating an external enemy.
    Yeah, but if he falls on his face over this, quite likely imo, his internal enemies will make hay.

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,617
    I wonder who leaked the letter to Von Der Leyen? The full quote makes it clear that Castex is worried about European public opinion needing to be shown that Brexit is damaging.

    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,403
    Farooq said:

    Foss said:

    kle4 said:

    What will be the effect on the practical lives of Brits if the Queen does die? I knwo there will be official mourning but what does that mean beside a lot of Nicolas Witchell and everyone looking really sad on TV ? Will shops shut ,cinemas close etc?

    The plans are known in detail.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/mar/16/what-happens-when-queen-elizabeth-dies-london-bridge

    But at its most basic, even if you are a royalist, avoid television for two weeks. And on the day probably several things will close early, but most not I suspect. So practical effect looks like not that much.

    And I don't think there's an 'If' about it.
    The London Bridge plans might have been revised after complaints about DofE RIP overkill.
    Anything but Nicolas Witchell. Charles is not a fan....
    It's still possible she could outlive him.
    We can all row in behind the notion that HM the Q outlives Nicholas Witchell....
    Not me. I like Witchell more than I like Brenda.
    I find the concept of The Royal Correspondent a bit strange. I mean is Whitchell allowed to report on anything else? Or just royal stuff? And with the heir to thrown widely reported to despise him. Weird.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,355

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_longest-reigning_monarchs

    I'm a staunch supporter of the Queen (but not the Monarchy). She's got to get number one and displace the French.

    May 27th 2024.

    That's 25 days after the next general election if the FTPA isn't repealed or circumvented.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261
    edited October 2021

    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
    Also: you should care. Because even if the lab leak hypothesis is wrong - chances of that are now sub-5% - the stuff that is being revealed about NIH, EcoHealth, Chinese labs, is absolutely chilling (and no one outside EcoHealth/Beijing disputes it, even the ultra-Zoonati)

    EcoHealth proposed experiments so insane even Fauci said No Way (and he is very pro-Gain of Function, which is why he off-shored it to China after the ban in the USA)

    Just one of these experiments was on another virus called Nipah.

    https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2109/2109.09112.pdf

    https://twitter.com/quay_dr/status/1450005470454824965?s=20

    Covid-19 has a Case Fatality Ratio of about 1%.

    Nipah has a CFR of maybe 75%

    https://www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/next-pandemic/nipah-virus

  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
    Meh. I was right. I've said it came from the lab since about June of last year. I am vindicated, Ignore all you want
    Lol - you may well be right, or you may not be.

    I can't really get exercised by it. If you're right, what practical difference would it make? I already know China is a nasty, controlling, dangerous regime... and thers f*ck all I (or the rest of the world, it seems) can do about it.
    I am right, and as to one reason why my rightness is important, see my comment down below. These mad fuckers are doing science which could - literally - destroy humanity
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Charles said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    My mother has just reached 93 and is in the last period of her life according to the medics. Alcohol is the last thing on her mind.
    Sorry to hear that @squareroot2 - best wishes to her and to you.

    But regarding HMQ giving up drinking, I agree with @kle4 @IshmaelZ - why on earth was that piece of medical news released?
    Because what was released was “doctors have recommended and she has agreed”

    Ie she is awake and rational
    I never thought otherwise. I cannot see the need to put that message out in such a cryptic way; if it needed saying why not just say she is 'awake and rational'? Or even 'doctors have recommended she take a break for a few days and she has agreed'.

    Does formally giving up drink carry some kind of significance for aristos that passes we hoi poloi by?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071

    I wonder who leaked the letter to Von Der Leyen? The full quote makes it clear that Castex is worried about European public opinion needing to be shown that Brexit is damaging.

    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753

    Cui Bono?

    France gets to show it is standing up for the whole EU by taking on the UK, probably a positive stance, and gets to show at home it is not just meekly doing whatever the EU wants but being proactive in seeking to make it act.

    (That said I'm only going on the reported snippets as I cannot read it myself)
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
    Meh. I was right. I've said it came from the lab since about June of last year. I am vindicated, Ignore all you want
    Lol - you may well be right, or you may not be.

    I can't really get exercised by it. If you're right, what practical difference would it make? I already know China is a nasty, controlling, dangerous regime... and thers f*ck all I (or the rest of the world, it seems) can do about it.
    I am right, and as to one reason why my rightness is important, see my comment down below. These mad fuckers are doing science which could - literally - destroy humanity
    And, beyond worrying, I can do what exactly?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_longest-reigning_monarchs

    I'm a staunch supporter of the Queen (but not the Monarchy). She's got to get number one and displace the French.

    May 27th 2024.

    That's 25 days after the next general election if the FTPA isn't repealed or circumvented.
    Is that the over/under line?

    I would go under.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261

    I wonder who leaked the letter to Von Der Leyen? The full quote makes it clear that Castex is worried about European public opinion needing to be shown that Brexit is damaging.

    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753

    It is enormously helpful to Boris, I'm not at all sure it helps France. My guess is some German or Dutchman (or Pole?) saw a chance to rein in Macron - and make him look a bit mad
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Charles said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    My mother has just reached 93 and is in the last period of her life according to the medics. Alcohol is the last thing on her mind.
    Sorry to hear that @squareroot2 - best wishes to her and to you.

    But regarding HMQ giving up drinking, I agree with @kle4 @IshmaelZ - why on earth was that piece of medical news released?
    Because what was released was “doctors have recommended and she has agreed”

    Ie she is awake and rational
    I never thought otherwise. I cannot see the need to put that message out in such a cryptic way; if it needed saying why not just say she is 'awake and rational'? Or even 'doctors have recommended she take a break for a few days and she has agreed'.

    Does formally giving up drink carry some kind of significance for aristos that passes we hoi poloi by?
    Yeah when it gets to the stage where they might accidentally pass the port to the right, lines have to be drawn
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
    Meh. I was right. I've said it came from the lab since about June of last year. I am vindicated, Ignore all you want
    Lol - you may well be right, or you may not be.

    I can't really get exercised by it. If you're right, what practical difference would it make? I already know China is a nasty, controlling, dangerous regime... and thers f*ck all I (or the rest of the world, it seems) can do about it.
    I am right, and as to one reason why my rightness is important, see my comment down below. These mad fuckers are doing science which could - literally - destroy humanity
    And, beyond worrying, I can do what exactly?
    We do still live in democracies - I hope. We are not helpless Chinese peons.

    Public opinion must see the guilty parties brought to justice, and scientists must be told Fuck This Bubonic Shit
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Foxy said:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_longest-reigning_monarchs

    I'm a staunch supporter of the Queen (but not the Monarchy). She's got to get number one and displace the French.

    May 27th 2024.

    That's 25 days after the next general election if the FTPA isn't repealed or circumvented.
    Is that the over/under line?

    I would go under.
    The ONS life expectancy calculator gives 98 for a 95 yo female. Which, considering her somewhat better than average living conditions and medical support, should just about do it.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,399
    Best wishes @squareroot2 and mother. Take care of both of you.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,484
    Get well soon, Liz.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
    Meh. I was right. I've said it came from the lab since about June of last year. I am vindicated, Ignore all you want
    Lol - you may well be right, or you may not be.

    I can't really get exercised by it. If you're right, what practical difference would it make? I already know China is a nasty, controlling, dangerous regime... and thers f*ck all I (or the rest of the world, it seems) can do about it.
    I am right, and as to one reason why my rightness is important, see my comment down below. These mad fuckers are doing science which could - literally - destroy humanity
    And, beyond worrying, I can do what exactly?
    We do still live in democracies - I hope. We are not helpless Chinese peons.

    Public opinion must see the guilty parties brought to justice, and scientists must be told Fuck This Bubonic Shit
    Bubonic??

    I will write to my MP and ask him to request the Secretary of State for Justice to prosecute Xi Jinping.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261
    edited October 2021
    kle4 said:

    I wonder who leaked the letter to Von Der Leyen? The full quote makes it clear that Castex is worried about European public opinion needing to be shown that Brexit is damaging.

    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753

    Cui Bono?

    France gets to show it is standing up for the whole EU by taking on the UK, probably a positive stance, and gets to show at home it is not just meekly doing whatever the EU wants but being proactive in seeking to make it act.

    (That said I'm only going on the reported snippets as I cannot read it myself)
    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,989
    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Farooq said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Farooq said:

    Foss said:

    kle4 said:

    What will be the effect on the practical lives of Brits if the Queen does die? I knwo there will be official mourning but what does that mean beside a lot of Nicolas Witchell and everyone looking really sad on TV ? Will shops shut ,cinemas close etc?

    The plans are known in detail.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/mar/16/what-happens-when-queen-elizabeth-dies-london-bridge

    But at its most basic, even if you are a royalist, avoid television for two weeks. And on the day probably several things will close early, but most not I suspect. So practical effect looks like not that much.

    And I don't think there's an 'If' about it.
    The London Bridge plans might have been revised after complaints about DofE RIP overkill.
    Anything but Nicolas Witchell. Charles is not a fan....
    It's still possible she could outlive him.
    We can all row in behind the notion that HM the Q outlives Nicholas Witchell....
    Not me. I like Witchell more than I like Brenda.
    Odd. I can't understand disliking Brenda, but if you do surely someone parasitic on her is even worse?
    It's not like he's parasitic on her... he doesn't take her money or time or precious bodily fluids.
    But since you bring parasitism up..
    Metaphors are either legitimate or not, you can't have it both ways.

    You seem to have moved rather rapidly to the angry left since your very welcome arrival on the site. Just for the record, I shoot grouse, travel regularly to Ireland to h*nt the f*x, and used to thwack red deer on a regular basis. I don't say any of that to be contentious, just to undermine any consensus you think you are building
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
    Meh. I was right. I've said it came from the lab since about June of last year. I am vindicated, Ignore all you want
    Lol - you may well be right, or you may not be.

    I can't really get exercised by it. If you're right, what practical difference would it make? I already know China is a nasty, controlling, dangerous regime... and thers f*ck all I (or the rest of the world, it seems) can do about it.
    I am right, and as to one reason why my rightness is important, see my comment down below. These mad fuckers are doing science which could - literally - destroy humanity
    And, beyond worrying, I can do what exactly?
    We do still live in democracies - I hope. We are not helpless Chinese peons.

    Public opinion must see the guilty parties brought to justice, and scientists must be told Fuck This Bubonic Shit
    Bubonic??

    I will write to my MP and ask him to request the Secretary of State for Justice to prosecute Xi Jinping.
    Daszak is a British citizen, I believe. Certainly many of his colleagues are, and there were plenty of Brits amongst the signatories of the appalling, notorious Lancet letter. Large chunks of the British scientific establishment is implicated on what is now a clear cover-up of "lab leak" as a hypothesis in early 2020, preventing crucial scrutiny at the moment it was most needed

    This shit matters, and UK Science has some explaining to do
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    A morbid thought but what happens if HMQ dies on the eve of, or during, the Cop26 conference?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261
    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    My mother has just reached 93 and is in the last period of her life according to the medics. Alcohol is the last thing on her mind.
    Sorry to hear that @squareroot2 - best wishes to her and to you.

    But regarding HMQ giving up drinking, I agree with @kle4 @IshmaelZ - why on earth was that piece of medical news released?
    Because what was released was “doctors have recommended and she has agreed”

    Ie she is awake and rational
    I never thought otherwise. I cannot see the need to put that message out in such a cryptic way; if it needed saying why not just say she is 'awake and rational'? Or even 'doctors have recommended she take a break for a few days and she has agreed'.

    Does formally giving up drink carry some kind of significance for aristos that passes we hoi poloi by?
    It’s a huge personal sacrifice for the good of her people. Or something
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,523

    IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    My mother has just reached 93 and is in the last period of her life according to the medics. Alcohol is the last thing on her mind.
    All good wishes. squareroot. for her and for you. One of the most difficult moments in life.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,132
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
    Meh. I was right. I've said it came from the lab since about June of last year. I am vindicated, Ignore all you want
    Lol - you may well be right, or you may not be.

    I can't really get exercised by it. If you're right, what practical difference would it make? I already know China is a nasty, controlling, dangerous regime... and thers f*ck all I (or the rest of the world, it seems) can do about it.
    I am right, and as to one reason why my rightness is important, see my comment down below. These mad fuckers are doing science which could - literally - destroy humanity
    And, beyond worrying, I can do what exactly?
    We do still live in democracies - I hope. We are not helpless Chinese peons.

    Public opinion must see the guilty parties brought to justice, and scientists must be told Fuck This Bubonic Shit
    Speak for yourself.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,704

    IshmaelZ said:

    kle4 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    Ok reflection that seems an odd snippet to have leaked. Wtf business is it of ours?
    Having made it to 95 in the first place seems a bit mean to take away the evening gin now.
    My thought entirely, and it's not like anyone can tell whether it's gin or mineral water
    My mother has just reached 93 and is in the last period of her life according to the medics. Alcohol is the last thing on her mind.
    All good wishes. squareroot. for her and for you. One of the most difficult moments in life.
    "London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?"

    Nope. Years yet I think. I hope.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,704

    A morbid thought but what happens if HMQ dies on the eve of, or during, the Cop26 conference?

    To be utterly cynical: Johnson gets out of a total hole as the whole thing is shaping up to be a flop.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,132
    Leon said:

    I wonder who leaked the letter to Von Der Leyen? The full quote makes it clear that Castex is worried about European public opinion needing to be shown that Brexit is damaging.

    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753

    It is enormously helpful to Boris, I'm not at all sure it helps France. My guess is some German or Dutchman (or Pole?) saw a chance to rein in Macron - and make him look a bit mad
    I don't think Macron is particularly popular with his other EU leaders.

    The sceptical hate him for being in thrall to the EU. The europhile think him self centred and nationalistic.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,125
    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    I'm the very opposite of being a doctor but to me, on tv, and bearing in mind she's 95, she looks quite good. Frail but with an aura of health. She doesn't look ill. Hopefully this post will not age badly.
  • French more decent than fellow Anglospherians shock.


  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,704

    Farooq said:

    Foss said:

    kle4 said:

    What will be the effect on the practical lives of Brits if the Queen does die? I knwo there will be official mourning but what does that mean beside a lot of Nicolas Witchell and everyone looking really sad on TV ? Will shops shut ,cinemas close etc?

    The plans are known in detail.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/mar/16/what-happens-when-queen-elizabeth-dies-london-bridge

    But at its most basic, even if you are a royalist, avoid television for two weeks. And on the day probably several things will close early, but most not I suspect. So practical effect looks like not that much.

    And I don't think there's an 'If' about it.
    The London Bridge plans might have been revised after complaints about DofE RIP overkill.
    Anything but Nicolas Witchell. Charles is not a fan....
    It's still possible she could outlive him.
    We can all row in behind the notion that HM the Q outlives Nicholas Witchell....
    Not me. I like Witchell more than I like Brenda.
    I find the concept of The Royal Correspondent a bit strange. I mean is Whitchell allowed to report on anything else? Or just royal stuff? And with the heir to thrown widely reported to despise him. Weird.
    It's a BBC thing. Probably dates back to 1920s or whatever.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    That says, There are disadvantages to leaving the Union just as there are disadvantages to staying in it.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    French more decent than fellow Anglospherians shock.


    What’s Biden doing with his arm?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631
    kinabalu said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    I'm the very opposite of being a doctor but to me, on tv, and bearing in mind she's 95, she looks quite good. Frail but with an aura of health. She doesn't look ill. Hopefully this post will not age badly.
    She has had a tough year though.

    I don't think this would be being leaked if it were something minor.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261
    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    That says, There are disadvantages to leaving the Union just as there are disadvantages to staying in it.
    "that there is MORE damage to leaving the Union than in staying there"
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    Can you post a link to the letter?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,484

    French more decent than fellow Anglospherians shock.


    The not-that-auld alliance.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071

    A morbid thought but what happens if HMQ dies on the eve of, or during, the Cop26 conference?

    To be utterly cynical: Johnson gets out of a total hole as the whole thing is shaping up to be a flop.
    In all fairness, what does being the host mean in terms of being able to acheive anything from such an exercise? No more than anyone else present really.

    French more decent than fellow Anglospherians shock.


    Damn two timer.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    Can you post a link to the letter?
    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753?s=20
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    You know what, I've got this tiny feeling IT CAME FROM THE LAB

    "3 takeaways from the recently released EcoHealth grant proposals & reports:

    1. By March 2018, they had a roadmap for detecting & inserting novel rare (furin) cleavage sites into novel low risk SARS-like viruses.

    2. By 2019, chimeric human pathogen MERS-CoV research was ongoing.

    3. Several groups of people were aware of either one or both of the points above and decided not to say anything about it for close to 2 years since SARS2 emerged in Wuhan."

    https://twitter.com/Ayjchan/status/1454083865556000775?s=20

    Tbh I stopped reading your post after mention of 'rare cleavage sites' in point 1.
    Meh. I was right. I've said it came from the lab since about June of last year. I am vindicated, Ignore all you want
    Lol - you may well be right, or you may not be.

    I can't really get exercised by it. If you're right, what practical difference would it make? I already know China is a nasty, controlling, dangerous regime... and thers f*ck all I (or the rest of the world, it seems) can do about it.
    I am right, and as to one reason why my rightness is important, see my comment down below. These mad fuckers are doing science which could - literally - destroy humanity
    And, beyond worrying, I can do what exactly?
    We do still live in democracies - I hope. We are not helpless Chinese peons.

    Public opinion must see the guilty parties brought to justice, and scientists must be told Fuck This Bubonic Shit
    Speak for yourself.
    確實為自己說話
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631

    A morbid thought but what happens if HMQ dies on the eve of, or during, the Cop26 conference?

    To be utterly cynical: Johnson gets out of a total hole as the whole thing is shaping up to be a flop.
    Expectations are so low for it that unless the places burns down during the conference from a freak heatwave it will be sold as a success.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    Can you post a link to the letter?
    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753?s=20
    Ta
  • Farooq said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Farooq said:

    Foss said:

    kle4 said:

    What will be the effect on the practical lives of Brits if the Queen does die? I knwo there will be official mourning but what does that mean beside a lot of Nicolas Witchell and everyone looking really sad on TV ? Will shops shut ,cinemas close etc?

    The plans are known in detail.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/mar/16/what-happens-when-queen-elizabeth-dies-london-bridge

    But at its most basic, even if you are a royalist, avoid television for two weeks. And on the day probably several things will close early, but most not I suspect. So practical effect looks like not that much.

    And I don't think there's an 'If' about it.
    The London Bridge plans might have been revised after complaints about DofE RIP overkill.
    Anything but Nicolas Witchell. Charles is not a fan....
    It's still possible she could outlive him.
    We can all row in behind the notion that HM the Q outlives Nicholas Witchell....
    Not me. I like Witchell more than I like Brenda.
    Odd. I can't understand disliking Brenda, but if you do surely someone parasitic on her is even worse?
    It's not like he's parasitic on her... he doesn't take her money or time or precious bodily fluids.
    But since you bring parasitism up..
    https://www.nhm.ac.uk/discover/bizarre-love-life-of-the-anglerfish.html
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    French more decent than fellow Anglospherians shock.


    White Man speak with forked tongue. No wonder you Scots are fucked if you haven't worked that out for yourselves.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,071
    kinabalu said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Queen advised to rest for at least the next fortnight by the doctors.

    London Bridge is going to fall down soon isn't it?

    I hope not.

    I wonder whether she's had some sort of minor stroke. Might explain the advice about giving up drinking.
    I'm the very opposite of being a doctor
    ...You're an assassin?

    To be honest it is not a complete shock, you've always had an undercurrent of darkness.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Leon said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    That says, There are disadvantages to leaving the Union just as there are disadvantages to staying in it.
    "that there is MORE damage to leaving the Union than in staying there"
    Sorry yes you are right
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631
    Leon said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    That says, There are disadvantages to leaving the Union just as there are disadvantages to staying in it.
    "that there is MORE damage to leaving the Union than in staying there"
    Hardly the "punishment beating" we were told though.

    Indeed a statement of banal truth.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261

    French more decent than fellow Anglospherians shock.


    lol. What do you expect Biden to do? He doesn't say France is MORE, he is saying France is just as loyal, decent, blah blah diplowank

    Biden is the guy who warmly embraced Macron in Cornwall, even as, behind the scenes, he was plotting with Johnson and ScoMo to sabotage the biggest French defence deal in history, steal all France's business, and set up a new Anglo Saxon defence alliance explicitly excluding the French, despite a decade of Australian promises to Paris

    He's hardly gonna double down on the insults, there is no need, America got what it wanted (as did Boris and Morrison)
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,704
    Foxy said:

    A morbid thought but what happens if HMQ dies on the eve of, or during, the Cop26 conference?

    To be utterly cynical: Johnson gets out of a total hole as the whole thing is shaping up to be a flop.
    Expectations are so low for it that unless the places burns down during the conference from a freak heatwave it will be sold as a success.
    Even if that happens, Johnson will walk away from the inferno, dust himself down, declare that England is rising once again, and call an early general election.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    Can you post a link to the letter?
    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753?s=20
    Ok Wickham's wrong though. That letter does not say "France tells Brussels it must demonstrate that Britain has been damaged by leaving the EU".

    Nor does the letter call on the EU to "damage" a former member state, as you suggested earlier.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,403
    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    That says, There are disadvantages to leaving the Union just as there are disadvantages to staying in it.
    "that there is MORE damage to leaving the Union than in staying there"
    Hardly the "punishment beating" we were told though.

    Indeed a statement of banal truth.
    But this is a Macron trying to arrange it to be harder, I.e. exactly what is implied by ‘punishment beatings’. I don’t expect our friends in the EU to give use special treatment. We left the place where that existed. But it would be nice if our allies (NATO) and the country we spent money and lives to liberate didn’t actively set out to harm us for having the temerity to leave the EU.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,617

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    Can you post a link to the letter?
    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753?s=20
    Ok Wickham's wrong though. That letter does not say "France tells Brussels it must demonstrate that Britain has been damaged by leaving the EU".

    Nor does the letter call on the EU to "damage" a former member state, as you suggested earlier.
    How do you think Castex wants the EU to "montrer" the "dommages"? He's not asking them for a Powerpoint presentation.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261
    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    That says, There are disadvantages to leaving the Union just as there are disadvantages to staying in it.
    "that there is MORE damage to leaving the Union than in staying there"
    Hardly the "punishment beating" we were told though.

    Indeed a statement of banal truth.
    Perhaps. But this is the French Prime Minister asking the European Commission to SHOW European public opinion that Brexit will be more harmful to Britain than Remaining.... and this is in regard to some fishing licences??!!

    So it really is all about Brexit, it's fuck all to do with fish, France wants Britain to hurt, and to be seen to be hurting, so other European countries don't get ideas about quitting. That's it. That's what it says

    Your pathetic shrug really is a giveaway. If a British Leaver prime minister sent a letter like this, asking for a European ally to be harmed, solely for the benefit of some public opinion, you and all your fellow Remoaners would blow a fucking gasket

  • rcs1000 said:

    geoffw said:

    But will it necessarily play out well for Macron? It's doubtful he'll be able to turn it into an EU v UK matter unless the UK side has breached some agreement. But then does he back down quickly or escalate to non-fishing areas?

    I wonder how he's planning on dragging this out until the election date without getting embarrassed?
    It's about winning, it's about creating an external enemy.
    To be fair to Macron, I don't think he created the notion of Les Rosbifs being the external enemy.
  • Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    That says, There are disadvantages to leaving the Union just as there are disadvantages to staying in it.
    "that there is MORE damage to leaving the Union than in staying there"
    Hardly the "punishment beating" we were told though.

    Indeed a statement of banal truth.
    If only there was a phrase, in French*, that meant to make a display of punishment to prevent further infractions by others.

    (I am assuming not actually a French idiom)
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,261

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    Can you post a link to the letter?
    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753?s=20
    Ok Wickham's wrong though. That letter does not say "France tells Brussels it must demonstrate that Britain has been damaged by leaving the EU".

    Nor does the letter call on the EU to "damage" a former member state, as you suggested earlier.
    It calls for a punishment beating, to educate European public opinion on the evils of Brexit. That's what it says. Denying this is futile. Remainers are cretins
  • IshmaelZ said:

    French more decent than fellow Anglospherians shock.


    White Man speak with forked tongue. No wonder you Scots are fucked if you haven't worked that out for yourselves.
    Tbf plenty of us were the white men that spoke with forked tongue.
    And there’s no one whiter (literally) than a Scotchman.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,403

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    That says, There are disadvantages to leaving the Union just as there are disadvantages to staying in it.
    "that there is MORE damage to leaving the Union than in staying there"
    Hardly the "punishment beating" we were told though.

    Indeed a statement of banal truth.
    If only there was a phrase, in French*, that meant to make a display of punishment to prevent further infractions by others.

    (I am assuming not actually a French idiom)
    I believe it was a French response to the execution of a British admiral, pour encourager les autres. Not sure what Les had done though...
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,549
    edited October 2021
    "The catastrophe of NHS Test and Trace
    It wasn’t just a waste of money – it failed to prevent two more lockdowns.
    ANDREW ORLOWSKI"

    https://www.spiked-online.com/2021/10/29/the-catastrophe-of-nhs-test-and-trace/
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    Can you post a link to the letter?
    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753?s=20
    Ok Wickham's wrong though. That letter does not say "France tells Brussels it must demonstrate that Britain has been damaged by leaving the EU".

    Nor does the letter call on the EU to "damage" a former member state, as you suggested earlier.
    It calls for a punishment beating, to educate European public opinion on the evils of Brexit. That's what it says. Denying this is futile. Remainers are cretins
    No, Leavers are cretins.

    Solidarity is the basis of a Union and we are no longer in it.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Foxy said:

    Leon said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    That says, There are disadvantages to leaving the Union just as there are disadvantages to staying in it.
    "that there is MORE damage to leaving the Union than in staying there"
    Hardly the "punishment beating" we were told though.

    Indeed a statement of banal truth.
    If only there was a phrase, in French*, that meant to make a display of punishment to prevent further infractions by others.

    (I am assuming not actually a French idiom)
    I believe it was a French response to the execution of a British admiral, pour encourager les autres. Not sure what Les had done though...
    Byngo!
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,653
    edited October 2021

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    I don't see this as helpful for Macron or France. A leading EU country calling on the EU to "damage" a former member state, to prove the folly of leaving the EU?

    It sounds unhinged, even if it has its own cold logic. It was also a private letter. I reckon it was leaked to hurt French interests and/or specific politicians. It could just be some internal French rivalry: an enemy of Macron/Castex

    What a weird way to find out that even with a decade + of zero use, my French appears to be better than that of... 99% of the Brexit commmentariat in the UK.

    That letter *doesn't* say that the EU should hurt the UK to show that Brexit was a bad idea. It really just doesn't.

    https://twitter.com/sylviademars/status/1454191198982316038
    No, it really does

    He says, end of page one, that the EU must *show* (montrer) that it is more harmful to leave than to stay (qu'il y a davantage de dommages à quitter l'Union qu'à y demeurer).
    Can you post a link to the letter?
    https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1454180320169930753?s=20
    Ok Wickham's wrong though. That letter does not say "France tells Brussels it must demonstrate that Britain has been damaged by leaving the EU".

    Nor does the letter call on the EU to "damage" a former member state, as you suggested earlier.
    How do you think Castex wants the EU to "montrer" the "dommages"? He's not asking them for a Powerpoint presentation.
    By not doing anything to ameliorate the inherent disadvantages for the UK of Brexit.
This discussion has been closed.